This opponent (Juve Stabia) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Juve Stabia
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.9
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
1.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.00
1.88
1.25
2.50
0.75
1.25
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (6)
0.67
1.83
0.33
2.67
1.00
1.00
vs Weaker (2)
2.00
2.00
4.00
2.00
0.00
2.00
Clean sheet %
12% (-16pp vs league)
This opponent (Spezia) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.5 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (27%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
73.0%
Under 1.5
27.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
46.2%
@ 2.08+0.6%
Under 2.5
53.8%
@ 1.74-0.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
24.7%
Under 3.5
75.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
51.5%
No
48.5%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
13.7%
1-0
10.4%
0-0
9.3%
2-1
9.1%
2-0 ✓
8.5%
0-1
7.3%
1-2
6.6%
2-2
4.8%
Spezia goals ↓
Juve Stabia goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
9.3%
7.3%
4.6%
1.6%
0.4%
1
10%
14%
6.6%
2.4%
0.6%
2
8.5%
9.1%
4.8%
1.7%
0.5%
3
4.1%
4.4%
2.3%
0.8%
0.2%
4
1.5%
1.6%
0.9%
0.3%
0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Spezia goals (down), columns = Juve Stabia goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Benevento
2.26
Crotone
1.79
Spezia
1.61
Pordenone
1.53
Cittadella
1.53
Chievo
1.47
Frosinone
1.42
Pisa
1.42
Empoli
1.42
Salernitana
1.37
Venezia
1.32
Cremonese
1.29
Virtus Entella
1.26
Ascoli
1.21
Trapani
1.21
Cosenza
1.21
Pescara
1.18
Perugia
1.18
Juve Stabia
1.08
Livorno
0.55
Spezia is 0.53 points better than Juve Stabia in terms of average points per game (1.61 vs 1.08).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Benevento
1.76
Crotone
1.66
Spezia
1.42
Salernitana
1.39
Ascoli
1.32
Cosenza
1.32
Pisa
1.29
Cittadella
1.29
Pescara
1.26
Chievo
1.26
Trapani
1.26
Pordenone
1.26
Empoli
1.24
Juve Stabia
1.24
Virtus Entella
1.21
Cremonese
1.11
Frosinone
1.08
Perugia
1.00
Venezia
0.97
Livorno
0.79
Spezia is 0.18 goals better than Juve Stabia in terms of goals scored per game (1.42 vs 1.24).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Benevento
0.71
Frosinone
1.00
Chievo
1.00
Spezia
1.05
Crotone
1.05
Venezia
1.05
Cremonese
1.13
Pisa
1.18
Pordenone
1.21
Empoli
1.26
Perugia
1.29
Cosenza
1.29
Cittadella
1.29
Salernitana
1.32
Virtus Entella
1.32
Pescara
1.45
Ascoli
1.53
Trapani
1.58
Juve Stabia
1.66
Livorno
1.76
Spezia is 0.61 goals better than Juve Stabia in terms of goals conceded per game (1.05 vs 1.66).
⏱️ Possession
Not available for this league.
Not enough data to compare these two teams.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Spezia
For 5.2 · Against 4.6 · Total 9.8
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.8 · Against 2.5 · Total 4.3
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 16.2 · Against 13.6 · Total 29.8
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Juve Stabia
For 4.2 · Against 4.6 · Total 8.9
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 3.5 · Against 2.5 · Total 6.0
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 16.6 · Against 16.2 · Total 32.9
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Spezia
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
10.4
10.3
10.5
4.8
4.6
4.9
29.3
28.3
30.4
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (20)
10.2
10.7
9.6
4.8
5.2
4.5
29.1
27.6
30.5
vs Weaker (30)
10.6
10.1
11.1
4.7
4.2
5.2
29.5
28.7
30.3
% over line
54%
56%
52%
74%
68%
80%
96%
92%
100%
% under line
46%
44%
48%
26%
32%
20%
4%
8%
0%
This opponent (Juve Stabia) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Juve Stabia
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (8)
8.9
8.8
9.0
6.0
7.5
4.5
32.9
35.8
30.0
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (6)
7.5
8.0
7.0
6.2
8.3
4.0
33.8
36.0
31.7
vs Weaker (2)
13.0
11.0
15.0
5.5
5.0
6.0
30.0
35.0
25.0
% over line
50%
50%
50%
88%
100%
75%
100%
100%
100%
% under line
50%
50%
50%
12%
0%
25%
0%
0%
0%
This opponent (Spezia) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Crotone
10.7
Livorno
10.5
Virtus Entella
10.4
Spezia
10.4
Cittadella
10.3
Chievo
10.0
Trapani
10.0
Pescara
10.0
Frosinone
9.9
Cremonese
9.9
Perugia
9.8
Salernitana
9.7
Empoli
9.7
Venezia
9.6
Pisa
9.4
Pordenone
9.2
Benevento
9.1
Cosenza
9.0
Juve Stabia
8.9
Ascoli
8.8
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Pisa
6.1
Juve Stabia
6.0
Ascoli
5.8
Benevento
5.6
Livorno
5.5
Cittadella
5.4
Salernitana
5.3
Pordenone
5.2
Frosinone
5.2
Virtus Entella
5.0
Chievo
5.0
Venezia
4.9
Cosenza
4.9
Trapani
4.9
Spezia
4.8
Crotone
4.7
Perugia
4.6
Cremonese
4.5
Pescara
4.5
Empoli
3.9
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Pordenone
36.0
Virtus Entella
33.6
Juve Stabia
32.9
Trapani
32.8
Cittadella
32.5
Ascoli
32.2
Livorno
32.1
Benevento
32.1
Venezia
30.9
Salernitana
30.8
Cosenza
30.8
Frosinone
29.7
Spezia
29.3
Perugia
29.3
Cremonese
28.7
Pisa
28.6
Pescara
28.5
Crotone
28.3
Chievo
27.9
Empoli
24.2
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Over
Over 9.5
50.4%
Under 9.5
49.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
70.7%
Under 3.5
29.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
93.3%
Under 21.5
6.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Spezia
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
1.1
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.57
0.83
0.73
0.80
0.40
0.87
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (11)
0.64
0.82
0.67
0.33
0.60
1.40
vs Weaker (19)
0.53
0.84
0.78
1.11
0.30
0.60
Clean sheet %
43% (+15pp vs league)
This opponent (Juve Stabia) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Juve Stabia
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.50
0.50
1.00
0.50
0.00
0.50
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (6)
0.00
0.50
0.00
0.33
0.00
0.67
vs Weaker (2)
2.00
0.50
4.00
1.00
0.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
50% (+22pp vs league)
This opponent (Spezia) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Spezia over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Spezia over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Spezia over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Juve Stabia over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Juve Stabia over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Juve Stabia over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Spezia
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.90
0.60
0.73
0.53
1.07
0.67
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (11)
0.64
0.55
0.33
0.67
1.00
0.40
vs Weaker (19)
1.05
0.63
1.00
0.44
1.10
0.80
Clean sheet %
47% (+18pp vs league)
This opponent (Juve Stabia) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Juve Stabia
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.9
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
1.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.50
1.38
0.25
2.00
0.75
0.75
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (6)
0.67
1.33
0.33
2.33
1.00
0.33
vs Weaker (2)
0.00
1.50
0.00
1.00
0.00
2.00
Clean sheet %
25% (-3pp vs league)
This opponent (Spezia) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Spezia over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Spezia over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Spezia over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Juve Stabia over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Juve Stabia over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Juve Stabia over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 19.5 fouls
97.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 21.5 fouls
93.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 23.5 fouls
86.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards
85.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 25.5 fouls
76.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 3.5
75.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 11.5 corners
73.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 1.5
73.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 3.5 cards
70.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Spezia · 2025/26
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Gabriele Artistico36%
Gianluca Lapadula32%
Mattia Valoti25%
Giuseppe Aurelio20%
Giuseppe Di Serio11%
Vanja Vlahović9%
Giovanni Bonfanti8%
Salvatore Esposito8%
Filippo Bandinelli6%
Pietro Beruatto6%
Rachid Kouda6%
Edoardo Soleri5%
Leonardo Sernicola5%
Luca Vignali3%
Ádám Nagy0%
Antonio Candela0%
Francesco Cassata0%
Andrea Cistana0%
Aleš Matějů0%
Petko Hristov0%
Boris Radunović0%
Przemysław Wiśniewski0%
Daniele Verde0%
Alessandro Bellemo0%
Mouhamadou Sarr0%
Marco Ruggero0%
Emanuele Adamo0%
Laurs Skjellerup0%
Alessandro Romano0%
Pietro Candelari0%
Diego Mascardi0%
Christian Comotto0%
Fellipe Jack0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Francesco Cassata41%
Salvatore Esposito38%
Filippo Bandinelli38%
Fellipe Jack38%
Alessandro Bellemo27%
Giovanni Bonfanti25%
Aleš Matějů23%
Marco Ruggero22%
Alessandro Romano21%
Mattia Valoti19%
Emanuele Adamo19%
Petko Hristov17%
Luca Vignali17%
Laurs Skjellerup17%
Ádám Nagy15%
Giuseppe Di Serio15%
Pietro Beruatto15%
Pietro Candelari14%
Rachid Kouda12%
Andrea Cistana11%
Leonardo Sernicola10%
Przemysław Wiśniewski10%
Christian Comotto10%
Gabriele Artistico9%
Giuseppe Aurelio6%
Antonio Candela5%
Gianluca Lapadula5%
Edoardo Soleri5%
Boris Radunović0%
Daniele Verde0%
Mouhamadou Sarr0%
Vanja Vlahović0%
Diego Mascardi0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Daniele Verde17%
Giovanni Bonfanti17%
Salvatore Esposito15%
Mattia Valoti12%
Pietro Beruatto12%
Gianluca Lapadula11%
Leonardo Sernicola10%
Alessandro Bellemo9%
Vanja Vlahović9%
Giuseppe Aurelio9%
Ádám Nagy7%
Rachid Kouda6%
Antonio Candela5%
Alessandro Romano5%
Francesco Cassata5%
Giuseppe Di Serio4%
Luca Vignali3%
Aleš Matějů3%
Christian Comotto3%
Gabriele Artistico3%
Filippo Bandinelli0%
Andrea Cistana0%
Petko Hristov0%
Boris Radunović0%
Przemysław Wiśniewski0%
Edoardo Soleri0%
Mouhamadou Sarr0%
Marco Ruggero0%
Emanuele Adamo0%
Laurs Skjellerup0%
Pietro Candelari0%
Diego Mascardi0%
Fellipe Jack0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Gabriele Artistico24%
Giovanni Bonfanti17%
Mattia Valoti12%
Gianluca Lapadula11%
Edoardo Soleri11%
Salvatore Esposito8%
Vanja Vlahović4%
Aleš Matějů3%
Giuseppe Aurelio3%
Ádám Nagy0%
Leonardo Sernicola0%
Filippo Bandinelli0%
Antonio Candela0%
Luca Vignali0%
Francesco Cassata0%
Andrea Cistana0%
Petko Hristov0%
Boris Radunović0%
Przemysław Wiśniewski0%
Daniele Verde0%
Alessandro Bellemo0%
Pietro Beruatto0%
Mouhamadou Sarr0%
Giuseppe Di Serio0%
Marco Ruggero0%
Emanuele Adamo0%
Laurs Skjellerup0%
Rachid Kouda0%
Alessandro Romano0%
Pietro Candelari0%
Diego Mascardi0%
Christian Comotto0%
Fellipe Jack0%
Juve Stabia · 2026/27
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Marco Bellich33%
Leonardo Candellone33%
Thomas Battistella0%
Kevin Piscopo0%
Davide Buglio0%
Manuel Ricciardi0%
Christian Pierobon0%
Pietro Boer0%
Nicola Patanè0%
Saná Fernandes0%
Giulio Scuderi0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Kevin Piscopo33%
Davide Buglio33%
Giulio Scuderi33%
Marco Bellich0%
Thomas Battistella0%
Leonardo Candellone0%
Manuel Ricciardi0%
Christian Pierobon0%
Pietro Boer0%
Nicola Patanè0%
Saná Fernandes0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Thomas Battistella33%
Nicola Patanè33%
Marco Bellich0%
Leonardo Candellone0%
Kevin Piscopo0%
Davide Buglio0%
Manuel Ricciardi0%
Christian Pierobon0%
Pietro Boer0%
Saná Fernandes0%
Giulio Scuderi0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Leonardo Candellone33%
Kevin Piscopo33%
Marco Bellich0%
Thomas Battistella0%
Davide Buglio0%
Manuel Ricciardi0%
Christian Pierobon0%
Pietro Boer0%
Nicola Patanè0%
Saná Fernandes0%
Giulio Scuderi0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
VEN (36)
€117m
FRO (33)
€84m
PIS (36)
€71m
CRE (30)
€49m
EMP (27)
€20m
JS (33)
€13m
BEN (30)
€12m
SPE (34)
€11m
VE (27)
€11m
ASC (29)
€11m
PES (27)
€8m
Spezia's squad is €2m less valuable than Juve Stabia's (€11m vs €13m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
VEN (9)
€39m
FRO (8)
€34m
PIS (13)
€24m
CRE (7)
€12m
EMP (9)
€11m
ASC (11)
€5m
PES (10)
€4m
BEN (8)
€4m
SPE (10)
€3m
VE (7)
€3m
JS (8)
€2m
Spezia and Juve Stabia have a similar attack value (both €3m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
VEN (11)
€31m
FRO (11)
€27m
PIS (9)
€26m
CRE (10)
€15m
VE (11)
€6m
EMP (9)
€6m
JS (11)
€5m
SPE (11)
€4m
BEN (9)
€3m
ASC (6)
€3m
PES (6)
€1m
Spezia and Juve Stabia have a similar midfield value (both €4m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
VEN (16)
€47m
FRO (14)
€24m
CRE (13)
€22m
PIS (14)
€22m
JS (14)
€6m
BEN (13)
€5m
EMP (9)
€4m
SPE (13)
€4m
PES (11)
€3m
ASC (12)
€3m
VE (9)
€2m
Spezia's defence is €2m less valuable than Juve Stabia's (€4m vs €6m).
Italy: Serie B 2019/20 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Italy: Serie B stats & trends →
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Benevento
Cittadella
Pisa
Frosinone
Empoli
Salernitana
Venezia
Cremonese
Virtus Entella
Cosenza
Ascoli
Pescara
Perugia