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Sport Academy Kairat vs Ekibastuz Prediction & Stats

Date: 15/10/2026
Time: 10:00
Sport Academy Kairat
Sport Academy Kairat
Vs
65%
20%
15%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Ekibastuz
Ekibastuz
Kazakhstan: 1. Division
Referee: -
1 Model Analysis2 Goal Analysis3 Team Strengths Analysis4 Props Analysis5 Double Chance6 Home & Away Over/Under7 Handicap8 Half Time Goals O/U9 Half Time Home & Away O/U10 Second Half Goals O/U11 Second Half Home & Away O/U
12 Top picks for this game14 Squad value15 Games History16 Overall Statistics17 League Table
Match preview & prediction

Sport Academy Kairat are clear favourites, with the model assigning a 63% chance of a home win. Their recent 2-game winning streak and a 1-0 victory over Arys underline the confidence, while Ekibastuz have struggled away, conceding 2.75 goals on average against similar opposition. The expected total is 3.5 goals, and the most likely scoreline is 2-1 for the hosts, a 9.6% probability. Home scoring and conceding figures are 2.55 and 1.27, respectively, versus Ekibastuz’s 0.83 scored and 2.75 conceded away. The match result probabilities are 63% home win, 20% draw, and 16% away win. Suggested picks include Under 7.5 (97.3%), Away under 3.5 goals (97.0%), Home +2 handicap (93.6%), Under 6.5 (93.4%), Home over 0.5 goals (90.5%), Away under 2.5 goals (89.0%), Over 1.5 (87.3%), and Under 5.5 (85.7%).

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Sport Academy Kairat win
65.3%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw
19.5%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Ekibastuz win
15.2%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

Sport Academy KairatSport Academy Kairat

Last 10 – goals for & against
60-641W51W60W40W22D01L00D40W10W10WA·YAS17/10H·SD 24/10H·KAS17/07A·AKT24/07H·JAI31/07A·YEL06/08H·AKA13/08A·TUR21/08H·ARY27/08A·TOB03/09
Avg total
3.2
Avg scored
2.7
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game2.231.332.471.332.001.33
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (20)2.051.552.101.402.001.70
vs Weaker (10)2.600.903.201.202.000.60
Clean sheet %33% (+9pp vs league)
This opponent (Ekibastuz) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

EkibastuzEkibastuz

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-404L12L04L03L21W20W31W23L24L13LA·KHA16/10H·IRT24/10H·KAS09/04A·KAS23/07H·YEL30/07A·AKT06/08H·JAI14/08A·AKA20/08H·TUR27/08A·ARY03/09
Avg total
3.8
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
2.5
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.502.171.692.121.292.21
vs Stronger (1)1.002.001.002.00--
vs Similar (27)1.372.261.732.130.922.42
vs Weaker (2)3.501.00--3.501.00
Clean sheet %13% (-11pp vs league)
This opponent (Sport Academy Kairat) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

5%11%16%21%4%09%119%221%319%414%515%6+
The model estimates around 3.6 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 3 (21%).
Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
87.8%
Under 1.5
12.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
69.0%
Under 2.5
31.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5
Over 3.5
47.6%
Under 3.5
52.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to score
Yes
62.4%
No
37.6%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
2-1
9.5%
1-1
8.6%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
7.7%
3-0
6.8%
1-0
6.2%
2-2
5.4%
4-1
4.7%
Sport Academy Kairat goals ↓
Ekibastuz goals →
01234
03.6%2.4%1.8%0.7%0.2%
16.2%8.6%4.4%1.7%0.5%
28.4%9.5%5.4%2.0%0.6%
36.8%7.7%4.3%1.6%0.5%
44.1%4.7%2.6%1.0%0.3%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Sport Academy Kairat goals (down), columns = Ekibastuz goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Shakhter Karagandy
3.00
Akademiya Ontustik
2.38
Turan Turkistan
2.29
Sport Academy Kairat
2.12
Taraz
1.50
Kaspij Aktau 2
1.43
Ekibastuz
1.29
Jaiyq
1.14
Astana II
1.12
Arys
1.00
Aktobe Jas
0.88
Khan Tengri
0.88
Yelimay Semey 2
0.86
Tobol 2
0.38
Sport Academy Kairat is 0.84 points better than Ekibastuz in terms of average points per game (2.12 vs 1.29).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Shakhter Karagandy
3.43
Turan Turkistan
2.29
Sport Academy Kairat
2.25
Akademiya Ontustik
2.00
Ekibastuz
1.71
Kaspij Aktau 2
1.71
Tobol 2
1.38
Aktobe Jas
1.25
Astana II
1.12
Jaiyq
1.00
Taraz
1.00
Khan Tengri
1.00
Arys
1.00
Yelimay Semey 2
0.86
Sport Academy Kairat is 0.54 goals better than Ekibastuz in terms of goals scored per game (2.25 vs 1.71).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Shakhter Karagandy
0.29
Sport Academy Kairat
0.38
Jaiyq
1.00
Turan Turkistan
1.14
Taraz
1.25
Akademiya Ontustik
1.25
Kaspij Aktau 2
1.57
Arys
1.62
Khan Tengri
1.75
Yelimay Semey 2
1.86
Ekibastuz
2.14
Tobol 2
2.25
Astana II
2.25
Aktobe Jas
2.88
Sport Academy Kairat is 1.77 goals better than Ekibastuz in terms of goals conceded per game (0.38 vs 2.14).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Sport Academy Kairat or Draw
84.8%
Avg Implied -
65%
20%
15%
covers Sport Academy Kairat + Draw
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Sport Academy Kairat or Ekibastuz
80.5%
Avg Implied -
65%
20%
15%
covers Sport Academy Kairat + Ekibastuz
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw or Ekibastuz
34.7%
Avg Implied -
65%
20%
15%
covers Draw + Ekibastuz
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

Home & Away Over/Under

How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Sport Academy Kairat over/under 0.5
Over
91.2%
Under
8.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sport Academy Kairat over/under 1.5
Over
69.8%
Under
30.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sport Academy Kairat over/under 2.5
Over
43.8%
Under
56.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sport Academy Kairat over/under 3.5
Over
22.8%
Under
77.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ekibastuz over/under 0.5
Over
67.6%
Under
32.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ekibastuz over/under 1.5
Over
31.1%
Under
68.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ekibastuz over/under 2.5
Over
10.5%
Under
89.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ekibastuz over/under 3.5
Over
2.8%
Under
97.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⚖️ 7. Handicap

Handicap

The handicap is applied to Sport Academy Kairat, so a minus line means Sport Academy Kairat give that many goals of a start and Ekibastuz receive them. At -1, Sport Academy Kairat must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Sport Academy Kairat win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Sport Academy Kairat)
Sport Academy Kairat -2
24.9%
Draw -2
19.3%
Ekibastuz +2
55.8%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap -1 (Sport Academy Kairat)
Sport Academy Kairat -1
44.2%
Draw -1
21.1%
Ekibastuz +1
34.7%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +1 (Sport Academy Kairat)
Sport Academy Kairat +1
84.8%
Draw +1
9.4%
Ekibastuz -1
5.8%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +2 (Sport Academy Kairat)
Sport Academy Kairat +2
94.2%
Draw +2
4.1%
Ekibastuz -2
1.7%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

Sport Academy KairatSport Academy Kairat

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-331W10W20W30W20W00D00D20W10W10WA·YAS17/10H·SD 24/10H·KAS17/07A·AKT24/07H·JAI31/07A·YEL06/08H·AKA13/08A·TUR21/08H·ARY27/08A·TOB03/09
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
1.5
Avg conceded
0.1
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.070.530.930.531.200.53
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (20)0.950.650.800.601.100.70
vs Weaker (10)1.300.301.200.401.400.20
Clean sheet %57% (+32pp vs league)
This opponent (Ekibastuz) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

EkibastuzEkibastuz

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-201L00D01L02L10W20W11D02L01L00DA·KHA16/10H·IRT24/10H·KAS09/04A·KAS23/07H·YEL30/07A·AKT06/08H·JAI14/08A·AKA20/08H·TUR27/08A·ARY03/09
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.630.800.810.620.431.00
vs Stronger (1)0.000.000.000.00--
vs Similar (27)0.560.850.870.670.171.08
vs Weaker (2)2.000.50--2.000.50
Clean sheet %43% (+19pp vs league)
This opponent (Sport Academy Kairat) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
No half-time model prices for this fixture yet - the form above is the record.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Sport Academy Kairat over/under 0.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sport Academy Kairat over/under 1.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sport Academy Kairat over/under 2.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ekibastuz over/under 0.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ekibastuz over/under 1.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ekibastuz over/under 2.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

Sport Academy KairatSport Academy Kairat

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-410W41W40W10W02L01L00D20W00D00DA·YAS17/10H·SD 24/10H·KAS17/07A·AKT24/07H·JAI31/07A·YEL06/08H·AKA13/08A·TUR21/08H·ARY27/08A·TOB03/09
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
0.4
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.170.801.530.800.800.80
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (20)1.100.901.300.800.901.00
vs Weaker (10)1.300.602.000.800.600.40
Clean sheet %50% (+26pp vs league)
This opponent (Ekibastuz) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

EkibastuzEkibastuz

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-303L12L03L01L11D00D20W21W23L13LA·KHA16/10H·IRT24/10H·KAS09/04A·KAS23/07H·YEL30/07A·AKT06/08H·JAI14/08A·AKA20/08H·TUR27/08A·ARY03/09
Avg total
2.6
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
1.7
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.871.370.881.500.861.21
vs Stronger (1)1.002.001.002.00--
vs Similar (27)0.811.410.871.470.751.33
vs Weaker (2)1.500.50--1.500.50
Clean sheet %23% (-1pp vs league)
This opponent (Sport Academy Kairat) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
No second-half model prices for this fixture yet - the form above is the record.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Sport Academy Kairat over/under 0.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sport Academy Kairat over/under 1.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sport Academy Kairat over/under 2.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ekibastuz over/under 0.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ekibastuz over/under 1.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ekibastuz over/under 2.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5Edge
Away under 3.5 goals97.2%-------
Under 7.597.1%-------
Home +2 handicap94.2%-------
Under 6.593.0%-------
Home over 0.5 goals91.2%-------
Away under 2.5 goals89.5%-------
Over 1.587.8%-------
Under 5.585.0%-------
Home or Draw84.8%-------
Home +1 handicap84.8%-------
Home or Away80.5%-------
Home under 3.5 goals77.2%-------
Under 4.571.5%-------

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

No squad-value data for this league.
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

⚔️ Attack

No squad-value data for this league.
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🧠 Midfield

No squad-value data for this league.
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🛡️ Defence

No squad-value data for this league.
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

8 previous meetings
6
SAK wins
1
Draws
1
EKI wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Sport Academy Kairat vs Ekibastuz · H/A from SAK
DateH/AGameScore
31/07/25AEkibastuz Vs SAK2-3
01/05/25HSAK Vs Ekibastuz7-0
09/08/24AEkibastuz Vs SAK1-4
27/06/24HSAK Vs Ekibastuz3-0
31/10/23AEkibastuz Vs SAK3-1
06/04/23HSAK Vs Ekibastuz5-2
06/08/22AEkibastuz Vs SAK0-3
30/04/22HSAK Vs Ekibastuz2-2

Sport Academy KairatSport Academy Kairat

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
03/09/26ATobol 2 Vs SAK0-1
27/08/26HSAK Vs Arys1-0
21/08/26ATuran Turkistan Vs SAK0-4
13/08/26HSAK Vs Akademiya Ontustik0-0
06/08/26AYelimay Semey 2 Vs SAK1-0
31/07/26HSAK Vs Jaiyq2-2
24/07/26AAktobe Jas Vs SAK0-4
17/07/26HSAK Vs Kaspij Aktau 26-0
24/10/25HSAK Vs SD Family5-1
17/10/25AYassy Turkistan Vs SAK1-4

EkibastuzEkibastuz

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
03/09/26AArys Vs EKI3-1
27/08/26HEKI Vs Turan Turkistan2-4
20/08/26AAkademiya Ontustik Vs EKI3-2
14/08/26HEKI Vs Jaiyq3-1
06/08/26AAktobe Jas Vs EKI0-2
30/07/26HEKI Vs Yelimay Semey 22-1
23/07/26AKaspij Aktau 2 Vs EKI3-0
09/04/26HEKI Vs Kaspiy0-4
24/10/25HEKI Vs Irtysh1-2
16/10/25AKhan Tengri Vs EKI4-0

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Sport Academy Kairat
Sport Academy Kairat
Kazakhstan: 1. Division
Recent: 7 Wins / 2 Draws / 1 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLDWWW1.84
HomeWWDDW2.13
AwayWWLWW1.59
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %56%65%48%
AVG goals3.663.913.44
Over 1.5 %78%83%74%
Over 2.5 %68%74%63%
Over 3.5 %48%48%48%
Scored2.262.651.93
Conceded1.401.261.52
BTTS50%57%44%
Clean Sheet30%35%26%
Corners---
Cards---
Ekibastuz
Ekibastuz
Kazakhstan: 1. Division
Recent: 3 Wins / 0 Draws / 7 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWWLLL1.38
HomeLLWWL1.60
AwayLLWLL1.16
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %42%48%36%
AVG goals3.724.003.44
Over 1.5 %88%96%80%
Over 2.5 %76%84%68%
Over 3.5 %52%60%44%
Scored1.682.041.32
Conceded2.041.962.12
BTTS62%76%48%
Clean Sheet20%16%24%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1Shakhter KaragandyShakhter Karagandy721
100%
3.0
242+22
3.7
86%
71%
57%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0003.40.3
-
2Akademiya OntustikAkademiya Ontustik819
75%
2.4
1610+6
3.2
88%
88%
38%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.01.2
-
3Sport Academy KairatSport Academy Kairat817
62%
2.1
183+15
2.6
50%
50%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.20.4
-
4Turan TurkistanTuran Turkistan716
71%
2.3
168+8
3.4
71%
71%
57%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.31.1
-
5TarazTaraz812
38%
1.5
810-2
2.2
75%
38%
25%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.01.2
-
6Kaspij Aktau 2Kaspij Aktau 2710
43%
1.4
1211+1
3.3
71%
71%
29%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.71.6
-
7EkibastuzEkibastuz79
43%
1.3
1215-3
3.9
100%
86%
57%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.72.1
-
8Astana IIAstana II89
38%
1.1
918-9
3.4
88%
75%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.12.2
-
9JaiyqJaiyq78
29%
1.1
77+0
2.0
57%
29%
29%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.01.0
-
10ArysArys88
25%
1.0
813-5
2.6
75%
50%
38%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.01.6
-
11Khan TengriKhan Tengri87
25%
0.9
814-6
2.8
62%
50%
38%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.01.8
-
12Aktobe JasAktobe Jas87
25%
0.9
1023-13
4.1
88%
62%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.22.9
-
13Yelimay Semey 2Yelimay Semey 276
29%
0.9
613-7
2.7
57%
57%
14%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.91.9
-
14Tobol 2Tobol 283
12%
0.4
1118-7
3.6
88%
75%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.42.2
-
Kazakhstan: 1. Division 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Kazakhstan: 1. Division stats & trends →

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