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Sport Academy Kairat vs Shakhter Karagandy Result & Analysis

Date: 22/05/2025
Time: 11:30
Final 1-2
Sport Academy Kairat
Sport Academy Kairat
Vs
61%
19%
20%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Shakhter Karagandy
Shakhter Karagandy
Kazakhstan: 1. Division
Referee: -

ðŸŽŊ 1. Model Analysis

Sport Academy Kairat win✗ Miss
60.8%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
19.2%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Shakhter Karagandy win✓ Hit
20.0%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

âš― 2. Goal Analysis

Sport Academy KairatSport Academy Kairat

Last 10 – goals for & against
70-710W21W00D02L03L21W01L70W11D02LH·OKZ03/10A·ARY10/10A·KAI18/10A·ALT25/10A·SD 10/04H·KHA17/04A·IRT25/04H·EKI01/05A·AKT08/05A·ALT16/05
Avg total
2.4
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
1.1
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game2.631.533.851.001.711.94
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (17)2.711.714.251.001.332.33
vs Weaker (13)2.541.313.201.002.121.50
Clean sheet %23% (-1pp vs league)
This opponent (Shakhter Karagandy) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Shakhter KaragandyShakhter Karagandy

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-515L11D13L11D21W41W32W00D22D31WA·KAI20/10H·KYZ27/10H·AKT03/11A·IRT16/03A·YAS09/04H·SD 18/04A·KHA25/04H·IRT01/05A·EKI09/05H·AKT16/05← Premier League1. Division →
Avg total
3.5
Avg scored
1.8
Avg conceded
1.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.931.630.931.270.932.00
vs Stronger (14)0.791.790.861.570.712.00
vs Similar (15)0.931.530.711.001.122.00
vs Weaker (1)3.001.003.001.00--
Clean sheet %20% (-4pp vs league)
This opponent (Sport Academy Kairat) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%11%17%23%2%06%115%219%320%416%523%6+
The model estimates around 4.1 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 6+ (23%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
92.1%
Under 1.5
7.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
77.4%
Under 2.5
22.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
58.3%
Under 3.5
41.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
72.3%
No
27.7%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
2-1
8.5%
3-1
7.3%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
6.3%
2-0
5.7%
3-2
5.4%
3-0
4.9%
1-2 ✓
4.8%
Sport Academy Kairat goals ↓
Shakhter Karagandy goals →
01234
02.3%1.9%1.9%0.9%0.3%
13.7%7.2%4.8%2.4%0.9%
25.7%8.5%6.3%3.1%1.2%
34.9%7.3%5.4%2.7%1.0%
43.2%4.8%3.5%1.8%0.7%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Sport Academy Kairat goals (down), columns = Shakhter Karagandy goals (across).

💊 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Kaspiy
2.62
Irtysh
2.35
Altay (Kazakhstan)
2.08
Shakhter Karagandy
2.00
Zhetisay
1.62
Sport Academy Kairat
1.54
Akademiya Ontustik
1.50
Taraz
1.35
AKAS
1.27
Ekibastuz
1.08
SD Family
0.88
Khan Tengri
0.69
Aktobe Jas
0.52
Yassy Turkistan
0.39
Sport Academy Kairat is 0.46 points worse than Shakhter Karagandy in terms of average points per game (1.54 vs 2.00).

⚔ïļ Attack

Goals scored / game
Kaspiy
2.85
Irtysh
2.73
Shakhter Karagandy
2.32
Sport Academy Kairat
2.23
Altay (Kazakhstan)
2.04
Zhetisay
1.69
Akademiya Ontustik
1.69
Taraz
1.65
AKAS
1.62
Ekibastuz
1.38
SD Family
1.27
Aktobe Jas
1.24
Khan Tengri
1.04
Yassy Turkistan
0.70
Sport Academy Kairat is 0.09 goals worse than Shakhter Karagandy in terms of goals scored per game (2.23 vs 2.32).

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Irtysh
0.77
Altay (Kazakhstan)
0.92
Kaspiy
1.04
Zhetisay
1.35
Shakhter Karagandy
1.36
Taraz
1.46
AKAS
1.50
Sport Academy Kairat
1.62
Akademiya Ontustik
1.69
Khan Tengri
2.12
Ekibastuz
2.31
Aktobe Jas
2.60
SD Family
2.88
Yassy Turkistan
3.09
Sport Academy Kairat is 0.26 goals worse than Shakhter Karagandy in terms of goals conceded per game (1.62 vs 1.36).

⏱ïļ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

ðŸŽē 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

ðŸĨ… 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖ïļ 7. Handicap

⏱ïļ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

Sport Academy KairatSport Academy Kairat

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-300D10W00D01L01L21W01L30W00D00DH·OKZ03/10A·ARY10/10A·KAI18/10A·ALT25/10A·SD 10/04H·KHA17/04A·IRT25/04H·EKI01/05A·AKT08/05A·ALT16/05
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.100.671.620.310.710.94
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (17)1.181.001.880.500.561.44
vs Weaker (13)1.000.231.200.000.880.38
Clean sheet %60% (+36pp vs league)
This opponent (Shakhter Karagandy) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Shakhter KaragandyShakhter Karagandy

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-202L11D01L00D11D20W11D00D11D10WA·KAI20/10H·KYZ27/10H·AKT03/11A·IRT16/03A·YAS09/04H·SD 18/04A·KHA25/04H·IRT01/05A·EKI09/05H·AKT16/05← Premier League1. Division →
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.330.770.400.670.270.87
vs Stronger (14)0.210.710.290.710.140.71
vs Similar (15)0.400.870.430.710.381.00
vs Weaker (1)1.000.001.000.00--
Clean sheet %43% (+19pp vs league)
This opponent (Sport Academy Kairat) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸĨ… 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Sport Academy Kairat over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sport Academy Kairat over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sport Academy Kairat over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Shakhter Karagandy over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Shakhter Karagandy over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Shakhter Karagandy over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱ïļ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

Sport Academy KairatSport Academy Kairat

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-410W11D00D01L02L00D00D40W11D02LH·OKZ03/10A·ARY10/10A·KAI18/10A·ALT25/10A·SD 10/04H·KHA17/04A·IRT25/04H·EKI01/05A·AKT08/05A·ALT16/05
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.530.872.230.691.001.00
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (17)1.530.712.380.500.780.89
vs Weaker (13)1.541.082.001.001.251.12
Clean sheet %40% (+16pp vs league)
This opponent (Shakhter Karagandy) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Shakhter KaragandyShakhter Karagandy

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-313L00D12L11D10W21W21W00D11D21WA·KAI20/10H·KYZ27/10H·AKT03/11A·IRT16/03A·YAS09/04H·SD 18/04A·KHA25/04H·IRT01/05A·EKI09/05H·AKT16/05← Premier League1. Division →
Avg total
2.1
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
1.0
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.600.870.530.600.671.13
vs Stronger (14)0.571.070.570.860.571.29
vs Similar (15)0.530.670.290.290.751.00
vs Weaker (1)2.001.002.001.00--
Clean sheet %40% (+16pp vs league)
This opponent (Sport Academy Kairat) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸĨ… 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Sport Academy Kairat over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sport Academy Kairat over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sport Academy Kairat over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Shakhter Karagandy over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Shakhter Karagandy over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Shakhter Karagandy over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸ”Ĩ 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 1.592.1%-------✓ Hit
Over 2.577.4%-------✓ Hit
BTTS Yes72.3%-------✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
IRT (26)
€4m
KAS (23)
€4m
A( (20)
€3m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

⚔ïļ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
A( (8)
€1m
IRT (6)
€1m
KAS (4)
€1m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
KAS (8)
€2m
IRT (7)
€1m
A( (4)
€1m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
IRT (13)
€2m
KAS (11)
€1m
A( (8)
€1m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

ðŸĪ 15. Games History

H2H record

No previous meetings
0
SAK wins
0
Draws
0
SK wins

Head-to-head

Sport Academy Kairat vs Shakhter Karagandy · H/A from SAK
DateH/AGameScore
No games.

Sport Academy KairatSport Academy Kairat

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
16/05/25AAltay (Kazakhstan) Vs SAK2-0
08/05/25AAktobe Jas Vs SAK1-1
01/05/25HSAK Vs Ekibastuz7-0
25/04/25AIrtysh Vs SAK1-0
17/04/25HSAK Vs Khan Tengri2-1
10/04/25ASD Family Vs SAK3-0
25/10/24AAltay (Kazakhstan) Vs SAK2-0
18/10/24AKaisar II Vs SAK0-0
10/10/24AArys Vs SAK1-2
03/10/24HSAK Vs Okzhetpes1-0

Shakhter KaragandyShakhter Karagandy

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
16/05/25HSK Vs Aktobe Jas3-1
09/05/25AEkibastuz Vs SK2-2
01/05/25HSK Vs Irtysh0-0
25/04/25AKhan Tengri Vs SK2-3
18/04/25HSK Vs SD Family4-1
09/04/25AYassy Turkistan Vs SK1-2
16/03/25AIrtysh Vs SK1-1
03/11/24HSK Vs Aktobe1-3
27/10/24HSK Vs Kyzyl-Zhar1-1
20/10/24AKaisar Vs SK5-1

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Sport Academy Kairat
Sport Academy Kairat
Kazakhstan: 1. Division
Recent: 4 Wins / 2 Draws / 4 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWLWDL1.80
HomeWDWWW2.38
AwayLLLDL1.27
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %56%75%38%
AVG goals4.024.583.50
Over 1.5 %84%83%85%
Over 2.5 %72%75%69%
Over 3.5 %46%54%38%
Scored2.443.291.65
Conceded1.581.291.85
BTTS64%71%58%
Clean Sheet22%25%19%
Corners---
Cards---
Shakhter Karagandy
Shakhter Karagandy
Kazakhstan: 1. Division
Recent: 4 Wins / 4 Draws / 2 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWWDDW0.92
HomeDLWDW1.33
AwayLDWWD0.54
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %22%33%12%
AVG goals2.562.252.85
Over 1.5 %70%62%77%
Over 2.5 %52%46%58%
Over 3.5 %28%25%31%
Scored0.981.080.88
Conceded1.581.171.96
BTTS54%46%62%
Clean Sheet18%33%4%
Corners---
Cards2.203.330.50

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value ₮mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1KaspiyKaspiy2668
85%
2.6
7427+47
3.9
88%
81%
54%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
1212.81.0
-
2IrtyshIrtysh2661
73%
2.3
7120+51
3.5
77%
58%
38%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
1122.70.8
-
3Altay (Kazakhstan)Altay (Kazakhstan)2552
64%
2.1
5123+28
3.0
84%
64%
24%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1112.00.9
-
4Shakhter KaragandyShakhter Karagandy2550
60%
2.0
5834+24
3.7
96%
80%
56%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.31.4
-
5ZhetisayZhetisay2642
50%
1.6
4435+9
3.0
77%
62%
35%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.71.3
-
6Sport Academy KairatSport Academy Kairat2640
46%
1.5
5842+16
3.8
85%
77%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.21.6
-
7Akademiya OntustikAkademiya Ontustik2639
46%
1.5
4444+0
3.4
88%
62%
35%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.71.7
-
8TarazTaraz2635
38%
1.3
4338+5
3.1
88%
58%
38%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.71.5
-
9AKASAKAS2633
38%
1.3
4239+3
3.1
88%
62%
35%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.61.5
-
10EkibastuzEkibastuz2628
31%
1.1
3660-24
3.7
81%
69%
58%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.42.3
-
11SD FamilySD Family2623
27%
0.9
3375-42
4.2
85%
69%
42%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.32.9
-
12Khan TengriKhan Tengri2618
19%
0.7
2755-28
3.2
85%
54%
31%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.02.1
-
13Aktobe JasAktobe Jas2513
8%
0.5
3165-34
3.8
92%
80%
60%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.22.6
-
14Yassy TurkistanYassy Turkistan239
9%
0.4
1671-55
3.8
83%
65%
48%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.73.1
-
Kazakhstan: 1. Division 2025/26 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Kazakhstan: 1. Division stats & trends →

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