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Sportist Svoge vs CSKA Sofia II Result & Analysis

Date: 10/04/2026
Time: 14:00
Final 0-1
Sportist Svoge
Sportist Svoge
Vs
25%
28%
48%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
CSKA Sofia II
CSKA Sofia II
Bulgaria: Second League
Referee: -
Match preview & prediction

CSKA Sofia II are the clear favourites, with a 48% chance of victory, a 28% chance of a draw and a 25% chance for Sportist Svoge to win. The model predicts an average of 2.6 goals, most likely a 2-goal total with a 26% probability. The single most probable scoreline is 1-1, occurring 13.3% of the time. Sportist Svoge, playing at home against a stronger side, averages 0.86 goals scored and 1.57 conceded, while CSKA Sofia II, on the road against a weaker opponent, averages 1.2 goals scored and 1.8 conceded. The suggested picks are Over 1.5 with a 74.8% probability (missed) and Under 3.5 with a 73.3% probability (hit). The match is poised for a tight contest, with CSKA Sofia II’s recent defeat and Sportist Svoge’s draw hinting at a cautious approach, but the odds favour a CSKA Sofia II win.

Results analysis

The match finished 0-1 in favour of CSKA Sofia II, confirming the model’s prediction that the away side would win. The model had given CSKA a 48% chance of victory, and the call was correct. The suggested picks were mixed: Over 1.5 goals, at 74.8%, missed as the game saw only one goal, while Under 3.5 goals, at 73.3%, hit. The final score matched the most likely 1-2 outcome, though the 1-1 draw was the top probability at 13.3%. Sportist Svoge, after a draw against Marek, could not capitalize on home advantage, whereas CSKA, coming off a defeat, finished strong with a clean win.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Sportist Svoge win✗ Miss
24.7%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
27.8%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
CSKA Sofia II win✓ Hit
47.6%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

Sportist SvogeSportist Svoge

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-430W30W31W22D03L02L04L10W01L00DA·HEB22/11A·ETA02/12H·MAR07/12A·LUD16/02H·FRA28/02A·YAN07/03H·FK 14/03A·SEV25/03H·LOK29/03A·SPA04/04
Avg total
2.5
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
1.3
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.801.430.801.470.801.40
vs Stronger (12)0.752.250.861.570.603.20
vs Similar (18)0.830.890.751.380.900.50
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %27% (-8pp vs league)
This opponent (CSKA Sofia II) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

CSKA Sofia IICSKA Sofia II

Last 10 – goals for & against
60-611D40W00D00D62W21W03L10W13L01LH·LOK23/11H·SPA30/11H·LUD07/12A·VIH16/02A·BEL02/03H·PIR09/03A·CHE15/03H·DUN25/03A·ETA29/03H·MAR05/04
Avg total
2.6
Avg scored
1.5
Avg conceded
1.1
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.471.231.690.941.211.57
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (18)1.061.000.890.561.221.44
vs Weaker (12)2.081.582.711.431.201.80
Clean sheet %33% (-2pp vs league)
This opponent (Sportist Svoge) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

7%13%20%26%9%017%126%222%314%47%55%6+
The model estimates around 2.6 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (26%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
74.8%
Under 1.5
25.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
48.5%
Under 2.5
51.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
26.7%
Under 3.5
73.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
52.8%
No
47.2%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
13.3%
0-1 ✓
10.2%
1-2
9.4%
0-2
8.8%
0-0
8.5%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
6.4%
2-2
5.0%
Sportist Svoge goals ↓
CSKA Sofia II goals →
01234
08.5%10%8.8%4.6%1.8%
16.5%13%9.4%4.9%1.9%
24.1%6.4%5.0%2.6%1.0%
31.5%2.3%1.8%0.9%0.4%
40.4%0.6%0.5%0.2%0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Sportist Svoge goals (down), columns = CSKA Sofia II goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Dunav Ruse
2.16
Yantra 2019
2.00
Fratria
1.97
Vihren
1.81
CSKA Sofia II
1.72
Chernomorets 1919 Burgas
1.44
Etar Veliko Tarnovo
1.38
Marek
1.28
Ludogorets II
1.28
Hebar 1918
1.25
Pirin Blagoevgrad
1.19
Spartak Pleven
1.09
Sportist Svoge
1.06
Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa
1.03
Sevlievo
1.00
FK Minyor Pernik
0.94
Belasitsa
0.59
Sportist Svoge is 0.66 points worse than CSKA Sofia II in terms of average points per game (1.06 vs 1.72).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Fratria
1.91
Vihren
1.84
CSKA Sofia II
1.78
Dunav Ruse
1.66
Yantra 2019
1.41
Ludogorets II
1.28
Hebar 1918
1.28
Etar Veliko Tarnovo
1.22
Chernomorets 1919 Burgas
1.19
Pirin Blagoevgrad
1.19
Spartak Pleven
1.16
Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa
1.03
FK Minyor Pernik
1.00
Sevlievo
0.91
Sportist Svoge
0.88
Marek
0.84
Belasitsa
0.81
Sportist Svoge is 0.91 goals worse than CSKA Sofia II in terms of goals scored per game (0.88 vs 1.78).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Dunav Ruse
0.50
Yantra 2019
0.75
Fratria
0.91
CSKA Sofia II
1.00
Chernomorets 1919 Burgas
1.00
Vihren
1.06
Marek
1.09
Pirin Blagoevgrad
1.28
Ludogorets II
1.34
Etar Veliko Tarnovo
1.34
FK Minyor Pernik
1.41
Spartak Pleven
1.41
Sportist Svoge
1.50
Hebar 1918
1.59
Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa
1.62
Sevlievo
1.62
Belasitsa
1.94
Sportist Svoge is 0.50 goals worse than CSKA Sofia II in terms of goals conceded per game (1.50 vs 1.00).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

Sportist SvogeSportist Svoge

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-310W10W31W11D02L00D02L10W00D00DA·HEB22/11A·ETA02/12H·MAR07/12A·LUD16/02H·FRA28/02A·YAN07/03H·FK 14/03A·SEV25/03H·LOK29/03A·SPA04/04
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.370.700.330.730.400.67
vs Stronger (12)0.251.170.140.860.401.60
vs Similar (18)0.440.390.500.620.400.20
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %57% (+22pp vs league)
This opponent (CSKA Sofia II) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

CSKA Sofia IICSKA Sofia II

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-310W10W00D00D32W10W02L00D12L01LH·LOK23/11H·SPA30/11H·LUD07/12A·VIH16/02A·BEL02/03H·PIR09/03A·CHE15/03H·DUN25/03A·ETA29/03H·MAR05/04
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.670.630.690.560.640.71
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (18)0.500.610.330.560.670.67
vs Weaker (12)0.920.671.140.570.600.80
Clean sheet %53% (+18pp vs league)
This opponent (Sportist Svoge) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Sportist Svoge over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sportist Svoge over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sportist Svoge over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
CSKA Sofia II over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
CSKA Sofia II over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
CSKA Sofia II over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

Sportist SvogeSportist Svoge

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-220W20W00D11D01L02L02L00D01L00DA·HEB22/11A·ETA02/12H·MAR07/12A·LUD16/02H·FRA28/02A·YAN07/03H·FK 14/03A·SEV25/03H·LOK29/03A·SPA04/04
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.430.730.470.730.400.73
vs Stronger (12)0.501.080.710.710.201.60
vs Similar (18)0.390.500.250.750.500.30
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %43% (+8pp vs league)
This opponent (CSKA Sofia II) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

CSKA Sofia IICSKA Sofia II

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-301L30W00D00D30W11D01L10W01L00DH·LOK23/11H·SPA30/11H·LUD07/12A·VIH16/02A·BEL02/03H·PIR09/03A·CHE15/03H·DUN25/03A·ETA29/03H·MAR05/04
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.800.601.000.380.570.86
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (18)0.560.390.560.000.560.78
vs Weaker (12)1.170.921.570.860.601.00
Clean sheet %53% (+18pp vs league)
This opponent (Sportist Svoge) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Sportist Svoge over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sportist Svoge over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sportist Svoge over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
CSKA Sofia II over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
CSKA Sofia II over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
CSKA Sofia II over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 1.574.8%-------✗ Miss
Under 3.573.3%-------✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
DR (22)
€4m
FRA (22)
€3m
Y2 (18)
€3m
H1 (19)
€3m
VIH (18)
€2m
EVT (23)
€2m
C1B (19)
€2m
CSI (20)
€2m
PB (17)
€2m
MAR (19)
€2m
LGO (15)
€1m
SP (19)
€1m
LI (13)
€1m
SS (12)
€1m
Sportist Svoge's squad is €1m less valuable than CSKA Sofia II's (€1m vs €2m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
H1 (8)
€2m
DR (6)
€1m
VIH (9)
€1m
Y2 (6)
€1m
EVT (12)
€1m
FRA (6)
€1m
C1B (4)
€1m
CSI (8)
€1m
SP (8)
€1m
LI (6)
€1m
PB (5)
€0m
MAR (4)
€0m
SS (5)
€0m
LGO (4)
€0m
Sportist Svoge and CSKA Sofia II have a similar attack value (both €0m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
DR (5)
€1m
FRA (4)
€1m
C1B (6)
€1m
PB (6)
€1m
VIH (3)
€1m
MAR (6)
€1m
EVT (3)
€0m
LGO (3)
€0m
CSI (3)
€0m
Y2 (2)
€0m
SP (5)
€0m
LI (3)
€0m
H1 (2)
€0m
SS (4)
€0m
Sportist Svoge and CSKA Sofia II have a similar midfield value (both €0m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
DR (11)
€2m
Y2 (10)
€2m
FRA (12)
€1m
H1 (9)
€1m
EVT (8)
€1m
CSI (9)
€1m
MAR (9)
€1m
LGO (8)
€1m
C1B (9)
€1m
VIH (6)
€1m
PB (6)
€1m
SP (6)
€0m
LI (4)
€0m
SS (3)
€0m
Sportist Svoge and CSKA Sofia II have a similar defence value (both €0m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

3 previous meetings
1
SS wins
1
Draws
1
CSI wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Sportist Svoge vs CSKA Sofia II · H/A from SS
DateH/AGameScore
03/10/25ACSKA Sofia II Vs SS6-0
17/02/25HSS Vs CSKA Sofia II0-0
04/08/24ACSKA Sofia II Vs SS1-2

Sportist SvogeSportist Svoge

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
04/04/26ASpartak Pleven Vs SS0-0
29/03/26HSS Vs Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa0-1
25/03/26ASevlievo Vs SS0-1
14/03/26HSS Vs FK Minyor Pernik0-4
07/03/26AYantra 2019 Vs SS2-0
28/02/26HSS Vs Fratria0-3
16/02/26ALudogorets II Vs SS2-2
07/12/25HSS Vs Marek3-1
02/12/25AEtar Veliko Tarnovo Vs SS0-3
22/11/25AHebar 1918 Vs SS0-3

CSKA Sofia IICSKA Sofia II

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
05/04/26HCSI Vs Marek0-1
29/03/26AEtar Veliko Tarnovo Vs CSI3-1
25/03/26HCSI Vs Dunav Ruse1-0
15/03/26AChernomorets 1919 Burgas Vs CSI3-0
09/03/26HCSI Vs Pirin Blagoevgrad2-1
02/03/26ABelasitsa Vs CSI2-6
16/02/26AVihren Vs CSI0-0
07/12/25HCSI Vs Ludogorets II0-0
30/11/25HCSI Vs Spartak Pleven4-0
23/11/25HCSI Vs Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa1-1

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Sportist Svoge
Sportist Svoge
Bulgaria: Second League
Recent: 4 Wins / 2 Draws / 4 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLLWLD1.06
HomeLWLLL1.12
AwayWDLWD1.00
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %24%25%23%
AVG goals1.961.922.00
Over 1.5 %62%67%58%
Over 2.5 %36%33%38%
Over 3.5 %14%8%19%
Scored0.720.790.65
Conceded1.241.121.35
BTTS26%33%19%
Clean Sheet38%29%46%
Corners---
Cards---
CSKA Sofia II
CSKA Sofia II
Bulgaria: Second League
Recent: 4 Wins / 3 Draws / 3 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWLWLL1.38
HomeWDWWL1.76
AwayWDWLL1.00
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %36%52%20%
AVG goals2.682.722.64
Over 1.5 %74%72%76%
Over 2.5 %48%48%48%
Over 3.5 %28%32%24%
Scored1.521.841.20
Conceded1.160.881.44
BTTS50%40%60%
Clean Sheet36%48%24%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1Dunav RuseDunav Ruse3269
62%
2.2
5316+37
2.2
69%
38%
22%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
1121.70.5
-
2Yantra 2019Yantra 20193264
56%
2.0
4524+21
2.2
56%
41%
25%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1021.40.8
-
3FratriaFratria3263
56%
2.0
6129+32
2.8
84%
53%
31%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1111.90.9
-
4VihrenVihren3258
53%
1.8
5934+25
2.9
72%
56%
41%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1111.81.1
-
5CSKA Sofia IICSKA Sofia II3255
50%
1.7
5732+25
2.8
75%
50%
25%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1011.81.0
-
6Chernomorets 1919 BurgasChernomorets 1919 Burgas3246
34%
1.4
3832+6
2.2
69%
31%
16%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1111.21.0
-
7Etar Veliko TarnovoEtar Veliko Tarnovo3244
34%
1.4
3943-4
2.6
66%
44%
31%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1011.21.3
-
8Ludogorets IILudogorets II3241
34%
1.3
4143-2
2.6
69%
50%
34%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
1001.31.3
-
9MarekMarek3241
31%
1.3
2735-8
1.9
59%
31%
16%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
0110.81.1
-
10Hebar 1918Hebar 19183240
34%
1.2
4151-10
2.9
84%
53%
28%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
2011.31.6
-
11Pirin BlagoevgradPirin Blagoevgrad3238
28%
1.2
3841-3
2.5
66%
50%
28%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
0111.21.3
-
12Spartak PlevenSpartak Pleven3235
28%
1.1
3745-8
2.6
75%
47%
25%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
1001.21.4
-
13Sportist SvogeSportist Svoge3234
28%
1.1
2848-20
2.4
62%
47%
25%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0000.91.5
-
14Lokomotiv G. OryahovitsaLokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa3233
25%
1.0
3352-19
2.7
69%
56%
25%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0011.01.6
-
15SevlievoSevlievo3232
28%
1.0
2952-23
2.5
69%
41%
25%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.91.6
-
16FK Minyor PernikFK Minyor Pernik3230
22%
0.9
3245-13
2.4
72%
44%
25%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.01.4
-
17BelasitsaBelasitsa3219
12%
0.6
2662-36
2.8
72%
50%
22%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.81.9
-
Bulgaria: Second League 2025/26 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Bulgaria: Second League stats & trends →

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