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Sportist Svoge vs Montana Result & Analysis

Date: 25/07/2026
Time: 15:30
Final 2-2
Sportist Svoge
Sportist Svoge
Vs
24%
31%
45%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Montana
Montana
Bulgaria: Second League
Referee: -
Match preview & prediction

Pythia gives Sportist Svoge a 24% win probability against Montana in the Bulgaria: Second League on 2026-07-25, with 31% for the draw and 45% for Montana. The model estimates around 2.2 total goals, with 2 the most likely total (28%) and 1-1 the most likely scoreline (14.2%). High-confidence angles (70%+): Under 3.5 (82%).

Results analysis

Sportist Svoge finished 2-2 against Montana (Draw). Pythia had modelled a 24% home win, 31% draw and 45% away win. Missed: Under 3.5 (82%).

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Sportist Svoge win✗ Miss
23.8%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✓ Hit
31.0%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Montana win✗ Miss
45.3%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

Sportist SvogeSportist Svoge

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-410W01L00D01L14L32W03L20W01L10WA·SEV25/03H·LOK29/03A·SPA04/04H·CSK10/04A·VIH16/04H·DUN26/04A·BEL02/05H·PIR11/05A·CHE15/05H·HEB23/05
Avg total
2.0
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
1.2
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.901.571.001.270.801.87
vs Stronger (13)1.082.311.431.430.673.33
vs Similar (17)0.761.000.621.120.890.89
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %23% (-12pp vs league)
This opponent (Montana) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

MontanaMontana

Last 10 – goals for & against
20-212L01L00D10W11D22D22D01L02L02LA·ARD04/04H·CSK08/04H·SLA16/04H·DOB27/04A·SEP01/05A·BER05/05H·LOK09/05A·BOT14/05H·SPA18/05A·SLA22/05
Avg total
2.0
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
1.3
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.531.470.571.640.501.31
vs Stronger (6)0.332.670.252.500.503.00
vs Similar (20)0.651.250.701.300.601.20
vs Weaker (4)0.250.75--0.250.75
Clean sheet %20% (-15pp vs league)
This opponent (Sportist Svoge) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

7%14%21%28%13%022%128%220%311%45%52%6+
The model estimates around 2.2 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (28%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
65.4%
Under 1.5
34.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
37.3%
Under 2.5
62.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
17.7%
Under 3.5
82.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
43.9%
No
56.1%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
14.2%
0-1
13.4%
0-0
12.6%
0-2
9.6%
1-0
8.6%
1-2
8.4%
2-1
5.7%
2-0
4.3%
Sportist Svoge goals ↓
Montana goals →
01234
013%13%9.6%4.2%1.4%
18.6%14%8.4%3.7%1.2%
24.3%5.7%3.7%1.6%0.5%
31.3%1.7%1.1%0.5%0.2%
40.3%0.4%0.2%0.1%0.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Sportist Svoge goals (down), columns = Montana goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Yantra 2019
2.00
Fratria
1.97
Vihren
1.81
CSKA Sofia II
1.72
Beroe
1.71
Dobrudzha
1.61
Montana
1.55
Chernomorets 1919 Burgas
1.44
Etar Veliko Tarnovo
1.38
Nesebar
1.36
Rilski Sportist
1.36
Ludogorets II
1.28
Marek
1.28
Hebar 1918
1.25
Pirin Blagoevgrad
1.19
Spartak Pleven
1.09
Sportist Svoge
1.06
Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa
1.03
Sportist Svoge is 0.49 points worse than Montana in terms of average points per game (1.06 vs 1.55).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Fratria
1.91
Vihren
1.84
CSKA Sofia II
1.78
Beroe
1.57
Dobrudzha
1.49
Montana
1.43
Yantra 2019
1.41
Ludogorets II
1.28
Hebar 1918
1.28
Nesebar
1.26
Rilski Sportist
1.26
Etar Veliko Tarnovo
1.22
Pirin Blagoevgrad
1.19
Chernomorets 1919 Burgas
1.19
Spartak Pleven
1.16
Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa
1.03
Sportist Svoge
0.88
Marek
0.84
Sportist Svoge is 0.55 goals worse than Montana in terms of goals scored per game (0.88 vs 1.43).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Yantra 2019
0.75
Fratria
0.91
Chernomorets 1919 Burgas
1.00
CSKA Sofia II
1.00
Beroe
1.00
Dobrudzha
1.06
Vihren
1.06
Marek
1.09
Montana
1.11
Nesebar
1.26
Rilski Sportist
1.26
Pirin Blagoevgrad
1.28
Ludogorets II
1.34
Etar Veliko Tarnovo
1.34
Spartak Pleven
1.41
Sportist Svoge
1.50
Hebar 1918
1.59
Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa
1.62
Sportist Svoge is 0.39 goals worse than Montana in terms of goals conceded per game (1.50 vs 1.11).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🔢 6. Odd / Even

🥅 7. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 8. Handicap

🔥 9. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Under 3.582.3%-------✗ Miss

💰 10. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BER (37)
€11m
CSI (46)
€9m
LI (41)
€9m
DOB (38)
€8m
MON (42)
€6m
FRA (39)
€4m
H1 (46)
€4m
Y2 (30)
€4m
VIH (39)
€3m
PB (39)
€3m
EVT (38)
€3m
C1B (33)
€3m
MAR (39)
€2m
LGO (37)
€2m
SP (34)
€2m
SS (41)
€2m
Sportist Svoge's squad is €5m less valuable than Montana's (€2m vs €6m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BER (0)
€0m
C1B (0)
€0m
CSI (0)
€0m
DOB (0)
€0m
EVT (0)
€0m
FRA (0)
€0m
H1 (0)
€0m
LGO (0)
€0m
LI (0)
€0m
MAR (0)
€0m
MON (0)
€0m
PB (0)
€0m
SP (0)
€0m
SS (0)
€0m
VIH (0)
€0m
Y2 (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BER (0)
€0m
C1B (0)
€0m
CSI (0)
€0m
DOB (0)
€0m
EVT (0)
€0m
FRA (0)
€0m
H1 (0)
€0m
LGO (0)
€0m
LI (0)
€0m
MAR (0)
€0m
MON (0)
€0m
PB (0)
€0m
SP (0)
€0m
SS (0)
€0m
VIH (0)
€0m
Y2 (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BER (0)
€0m
C1B (0)
€0m
CSI (0)
€0m
DOB (0)
€0m
EVT (0)
€0m
FRA (0)
€0m
H1 (0)
€0m
LGO (0)
€0m
LI (0)
€0m
MAR (0)
€0m
MON (0)
€0m
PB (0)
€0m
SP (0)
€0m
SS (0)
€0m
VIH (0)
€0m
Y2 (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🤝 11. Games History

Head-to-head

Sportist Svoge vs Montana · H/A from SS
DateH/AGameScore
16/03/25HSS Vs Montana0-3
01/09/24AMontana Vs SS1-0
16/03/24AMontana Vs SS2-0
03/09/23HSS Vs Montana1-1
24/02/23AMontana Vs SS0-0
30/07/22HSS Vs Montana2-2

Sportist SvogeSportist Svoge

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
23/05/26HSS Vs Hebar 19181-0
15/05/26AChernomorets 1919 Burgas Vs SS1-0
11/05/26HSS Vs Pirin Blagoevgrad2-0
02/05/26ABelasitsa Vs SS3-0
26/04/26HSS Vs Dunav Ruse3-2
16/04/26AVihren Vs SS4-1
10/04/26HSS Vs CSKA Sofia II0-1
04/04/26ASpartak Pleven Vs SS0-0
29/03/26HSS Vs Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa0-1
25/03/26ASevlievo Vs SS0-1

MontanaMontana

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
22/05/26ASlavia Sofia Vs MON2-0
18/05/26HMON Vs Spartak Varna0-2
14/05/26ABotev Vratsa Vs MON1-0
09/05/26HMON Vs Lokomotiv Sofia2-2
05/05/26ABeroe Vs MON2-2
01/05/26ASeptemvri Sofia Vs MON1-1
27/04/26HMON Vs Dobrudzha1-0
16/04/26HMON Vs Slavia Sofia0-0
08/04/26HMON Vs CSKA Sofia0-1
04/04/26AArda Kardzhali Vs MON2-1

📊 12. Overall Statistics

Sportist Svoge
Sportist Svoge
Bulgaria: Second League
Recent: 4 Wins / 1 Draws / 5 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWLWLW1.18
HomeLLWWW1.36
AwayWDLLL1.00
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %30%36%24%
AVG goals2.042.042.04
Over 1.5 %60%64%56%
Over 2.5 %38%36%40%
Over 3.5 %16%12%20%
Scored0.800.960.64
Conceded1.241.081.40
BTTS24%32%16%
Clean Sheet40%32%48%
Corners---
Cards---
Montana
Montana
Bulgaria: Second League
Recent: 1 Wins / 4 Draws / 5 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDDLLL0.96
HomeLDWDL0.96
AwayLDDLL0.96
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %22%21%23%
AVG goals1.961.832.08
Over 1.5 %54%50%58%
Over 2.5 %36%29%42%
Over 3.5 %18%17%19%
Scored0.780.710.85
Conceded1.181.121.23
BTTS30%29%31%
Clean Sheet38%42%35%
Corners9.238.589.79
Cards4.083.834.29

🏆 13. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1Etar Veliko TarnovoEtar Veliko Tarnovo410
75%
2.5
93+6
3.0
75%
50%
25%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
0002.20.8
-
2CSKA Sofia IICSKA Sofia II410
75%
2.5
94+5
3.2
75%
50%
25%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
9
0002.21.0
-
3FratriaFratria49
75%
2.2
51+4
1.5
50%
0%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
0001.20.2
-
4MontanaMontana47
50%
1.8
86+2
3.5
75%
75%
75%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
6
0002.01.5
-
5Spartak PlevenSpartak Pleven47
50%
1.8
64+2
2.5
75%
50%
25%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
0001.51.0
-
6BeroeBeroe46
50%
1.5
44+0
2.0
75%
25%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
11
0001.01.0
-
7Ludogorets IILudogorets II36
67%
2.0
33+0
2.0
67%
33%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
9
0001.01.0
-
8Yantra 2019Yantra 201946
50%
1.5
56-1
2.8
75%
50%
25%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
0001.21.5
-
9NesebarNesebar46
50%
1.5
58-3
3.2
75%
50%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.22.0
-
10VihrenVihren35
33%
1.7
54+1
3.0
100%
33%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
0001.71.3
-
11Sportist SvogeSportist Svoge45
25%
1.2
33+0
1.5
25%
25%
25%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
0000.80.8
-
12Chernomorets 1919 BurgasChernomorets 1919 Burgas45
25%
1.2
33+0
1.5
50%
0%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
0000.80.8
-
13DobrudzhaDobrudzha44
25%
1.0
54+1
2.2
50%
25%
25%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
8
0001.21.0
-
14Lokomotiv G. OryahovitsaLokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa44
25%
1.0
35-2
2.0
75%
25%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
0000.81.2
-
15MarekMarek43
25%
0.8
24-2
1.5
25%
25%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
0000.51.0
-
16Rilski SportistRilski Sportist42
0%
0.5
35-2
2.0
50%
25%
25%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.81.2
-
17Hebar 1918Hebar 191830
0%
0.0
69-3
5.0
100%
100%
67%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
0002.03.0
-
18Pirin BlagoevgradPirin Blagoevgrad30
0%
0.0
19-8
3.3
67%
67%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
0000.33.0
-
Bulgaria: Second League 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Bulgaria: Second League stats & trends →

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