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St. Andrews vs Pietà Hotspurs Prediction & Stats

Date: 31/10/2026
Time: 13:00
St. Andrews
St. Andrews
Vs
25%
23%
52%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Pietà Hotspurs
Pietà Hotspurs
Malta: Challenge League
Referee: -
1 Model Analysis2 Goal Analysis3 Team Strengths Analysis4 Props Analysis5 Double Chance6 Home & Away Over/Under7 Handicap8 Half Time Goals O/U9 Half Time Home & Away O/U10 Second Half Goals O/U11 Second Half Home & Away O/U
12 Top picks for this game14 Squad value15 Games History16 Overall Statistics17 League Table
Match preview & prediction

St. Andrews will be looking to rebound from a 2-2 draw after a string of defeats, while Pietà Hotspurs arrive unbeaten in five games with a 2-2 stalemate at home. The numbers hint at a high-scoring affair: the model expects 3.4 goals on average, with the most likely total being three, and the single most probable scoreline is 1-1 at 10.1%. The model favours an away win, giving the Hotspurs a 52% chance, St. Andrews 25% and a draw 23%. Offensively, St. Andrews averages one goal at home against similar opposition but concedes 2.1, whereas Pietà Hotspurs scores 1.67 and concedes 2.33 on the road. The suggested picks are: Under 7.5 (97.6%), Home under 3.5 goals (94.9%), Under 6.5 (94.0%), Away +2 handicap (89.0%), Away over 0.5 goals (87.2%), Under 5.5 (86.7%), Over 1.5 (86.6%) and Away under 3.5 goals (84.7%).

🎯 1. Model Analysis

St. Andrews win
24.5%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw
23.1%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Pietà Hotspurs win
52.4%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

St. AndrewsSt. Andrews

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-433D12L21W41W02L03L03L13L01L22DH·VIT01/02A·ZEB07/02H·SAN14/02A·BAL22/02A·FGU01/03H·SIR07/03A·MEL14/03H·BIR04/04H·SWI11/04A·PIE19/04
Avg total
3.4
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
2.1
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.401.531.132.001.671.07
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (17)1.351.761.002.101.861.29
vs Weaker (13)1.461.231.401.801.500.88
Clean sheet %23% (-3pp vs league)
This opponent (Pietà Hotspurs) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Pietà HotspursPietà Hotspurs

Last 10 – goals for & against
60-611D60W31W13L13L10W22D40W43W22DH·GUD31/01A·MTA08/02H·ZUR14/02H·SWI22/02H·BAL28/02H·MEL08/03A·BIR14/03A·FGU04/04A·SIR12/04H·ST.19/04
Avg total
4.0
Avg scored
2.5
Avg conceded
1.5
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.901.571.761.292.081.92
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (19)1.681.841.701.401.672.33
vs Weaker (11)2.271.091.861.143.001.00
Clean sheet %30% (+4pp vs league)
This opponent (St. Andrews) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

5%11%16%22%4%09%120%222%319%413%513%6+
The model estimates around 3.4 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 3 (22%).
Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
86.6%
Under 1.5
13.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
66.6%
Under 2.5
33.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5
Over 3.5
44.8%
Under 3.5
55.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to score
Yes
66.0%
No
34.0%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
10.1%
1-2
9.4%
0-2
6.9%
2-2
6.5%
1-3
6.5%
2-1
6.3%
0-1
5.8%
0-3
4.7%
St. Andrews goals ↓
Pietà Hotspurs goals →
01234
04.2%5.8%6.9%4.7%2.4%
13.5%10%9.4%6.5%3.3%
23.1%6.3%6.5%4.4%2.3%
31.4%2.9%3.0%2.0%1.0%
40.5%1.0%1.0%0.7%0.4%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = St. Andrews goals (down), columns = Pietà Hotspurs goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Tarxien Rainbows
2.82
Naxxar Lions
2.73
Swieqi United
2.14
Melita
1.67
Pietà Hotspurs
1.59
Sirens
1.59
Mgarr United
1.50
Fgura United
1.45
Gudja United
1.45
Victoria Hotspurs
1.40
Attard
1.40
Santa Lucía
1.36
Zurrieq
1.23
St. Andrews
1.23
Vittoriosa Stars
0.95
Zebbug Rangers
0.91
St. Andrews is 0.36 points worse than Pietà Hotspurs in terms of average points per game (1.23 vs 1.59).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Tarxien Rainbows
3.33
Naxxar Lions
3.23
Sirens
2.27
Swieqi United
2.23
Pietà Hotspurs
1.91
Fgura United
1.86
Mgarr United
1.86
Melita
1.86
Santa Lucía
1.82
Victoria Hotspurs
1.65
Attard
1.65
Zurrieq
1.64
Gudja United
1.32
St. Andrews
1.18
Vittoriosa Stars
1.18
Zebbug Rangers
1.05
St. Andrews is 0.73 goals worse than Pietà Hotspurs in terms of goals scored per game (1.18 vs 1.91).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Tarxien Rainbows
0.82
Naxxar Lions
0.85
Gudja United
1.14
Swieqi United
1.18
Melita
1.33
Santa Lucía
1.41
Mgarr United
1.50
Sirens
1.50
Vittoriosa Stars
1.50
Pietà Hotspurs
1.55
Victoria Hotspurs
1.65
Attard
1.65
Fgura United
1.68
Zurrieq
1.73
St. Andrews
1.73
Zebbug Rangers
2.05
St. Andrews is 0.18 goals worse than Pietà Hotspurs in terms of goals conceded per game (1.73 vs 1.55).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
St. Andrews or Draw
47.6%
Avg Implied -
25%
23%
52%
covers St. Andrews + Draw
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
St. Andrews or Pietà Hotspurs
76.9%
Avg Implied -
25%
23%
52%
covers St. Andrews + Pietà Hotspurs
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw or Pietà Hotspurs
75.5%
Avg Implied -
25%
23%
52%
covers Draw + Pietà Hotspurs
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

Home & Away Over/Under

How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
St. Andrews over/under 0.5
Over
74.7%
Under
25.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
St. Andrews over/under 1.5
Over
39.9%
Under
60.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
St. Andrews over/under 2.5
Over
16.0%
Under
84.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
St. Andrews over/under 3.5
Over
5.1%
Under
94.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Pietà Hotspurs over/under 0.5
Over
87.2%
Under
12.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Pietà Hotspurs over/under 1.5
Over
60.9%
Under
39.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Pietà Hotspurs over/under 2.5
Over
33.9%
Under
66.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Pietà Hotspurs over/under 3.5
Over
15.3%
Under
84.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⚖️ 7. Handicap

Handicap

The handicap is applied to St. Andrews, so a minus line means St. Andrews give that many goals of a start and Pietà Hotspurs receive them. At -1, St. Andrews must win by two or more to land; a one-goal St. Andrews win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (St. Andrews)
St. Andrews -2
3.8%
Draw -2
7.2%
Pietà Hotspurs +2
89.0%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap -1 (St. Andrews)
St. Andrews -1
11.0%
Draw -1
13.6%
Pietà Hotspurs +1
75.5%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +1 (St. Andrews)
St. Andrews +1
47.6%
Draw +1
20.8%
Pietà Hotspurs -1
31.6%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +2 (St. Andrews)
St. Andrews +2
68.4%
Draw +2
16.1%
Pietà Hotspurs -2
15.5%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

St. AndrewsSt. Andrews

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-320W00D10W20W00D01L02L03L01L10WH·VIT01/02A·ZEB07/02H·SAN14/02A·BAL22/02A·FGU01/03H·SIR07/03A·MEL14/03H·BIR04/04H·SWI11/04A·PIE19/04
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.630.500.670.670.600.33
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (17)0.650.590.600.600.710.57
vs Weaker (13)0.620.380.800.800.500.12
Clean sheet %63% (+37pp vs league)
This opponent (Pietà Hotspurs) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Pietà HotspursPietà Hotspurs

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-310W30W30W02L01L00D01L00D12L01LH·GUD31/01A·MTA08/02H·ZUR14/02H·SWI22/02H·BAL28/02H·MEL08/03A·BIR14/03A·FGU04/04A·SIR12/04H·ST.19/04
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.870.630.940.410.770.92
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (19)0.740.790.700.400.781.22
vs Weaker (11)1.090.361.290.430.750.25
Clean sheet %57% (+31pp vs league)
This opponent (St. Andrews) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
No half-time model prices for this fixture yet - the form above is the record.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
St. Andrews over/under 0.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
St. Andrews over/under 1.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
St. Andrews over/under 2.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Pietà Hotspurs over/under 0.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Pietà Hotspurs over/under 1.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Pietà Hotspurs over/under 2.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

St. AndrewsSt. Andrews

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-313L12L11D21W02L02L01L10W00D12LH·VIT01/02A·ZEB07/02H·SAN14/02A·BAL22/02A·FGU01/03H·SIR07/03A·MEL14/03H·BIR04/04H·SWI11/04A·PIE19/04
Avg total
2.1
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
1.4
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.771.030.471.331.070.73
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (17)0.711.180.401.501.140.71
vs Weaker (13)0.850.850.601.001.000.75
Clean sheet %40% (+14pp vs league)
This opponent (Pietà Hotspurs) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Pietà HotspursPietà Hotspurs

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-401L30W01L11D12L10W21W40W31W21WH·GUD31/01A·MTA08/02H·ZUR14/02H·SWI22/02H·BAL28/02H·MEL08/03A·BIR14/03A·FGU04/04A·SIR12/04H·ST.19/04
Avg total
2.5
Avg scored
1.7
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.030.930.820.881.311.00
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (19)0.951.051.001.000.891.11
vs Weaker (11)1.180.730.570.712.250.75
Clean sheet %40% (+14pp vs league)
This opponent (St. Andrews) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
No second-half model prices for this fixture yet - the form above is the record.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
St. Andrews over/under 0.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
St. Andrews over/under 1.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
St. Andrews over/under 2.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Pietà Hotspurs over/under 0.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Pietà Hotspurs over/under 1.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Pietà Hotspurs over/under 2.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5Edge
Under 7.597.6%-------
Home under 3.5 goals94.9%-------
Under 6.594.0%-------
Away +2 handicap89.0%-------
Away over 0.5 goals87.2%-------
Under 5.586.7%-------
Over 1.586.6%-------
Away under 3.5 goals84.7%-------
Home under 2.5 goals84.0%-------
Home or Away76.9%-------
Draw or Away75.5%-------
Away +1 handicap75.5%-------
Home over 0.5 goals74.7%-------
Under 4.573.9%-------

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
NL (16)
€1m
TR (8)
€1m
SU (2)
€0m
GU (1)
€0m
ZUR (1)
€0m
ZR (1)
€0m
FU (1)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
NL (4)
€0m
TR (2)
€0m
SU (2)
€0m
FU (1)
€0m
GU (0)
€0m
ZUR (0)
€0m
ZR (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
NL (5)
€0m
TR (2)
€0m
GU (1)
€0m
SU (0)
€0m
ZUR (0)
€0m
ZR (0)
€0m
FU (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
NL (7)
€1m
TR (4)
€0m
ZUR (1)
€0m
ZR (1)
€0m
SU (0)
€0m
GU (0)
€0m
FU (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

4 previous meetings
2
SA wins
1
Draws
1
PH wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

St. Andrews vs Pietà Hotspurs · H/A from SA
DateH/AGameScore
19/04/26APietà Hotspurs Vs SA2-2
10/12/25APietà Hotspurs Vs SA1-3
01/02/25HSA Vs Pietà Hotspurs1-3
21/01/24APietà Hotspurs Vs SA0-1

St. AndrewsSt. Andrews

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
19/04/26APietà Hotspurs Vs SA2-2
11/04/26HSA Vs Swieqi United0-1
04/04/26HSA Vs Birzebbuga1-3
14/03/26AMelita Vs SA3-0
07/03/26HSA Vs Sirens0-3
01/03/26AFgura United Vs SA2-0
22/02/26ABalzan FC Vs SA1-4
14/02/26HSA Vs Santa Lucía2-1
07/02/26AZebbug Rangers Vs SA2-1
01/02/26HSA Vs Vittoriosa Stars3-3

Pietà HotspursPietà Hotspurs

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
19/04/26HPH Vs St. Andrews2-2
12/04/26ASirens Vs PH3-4
04/04/26AFgura United Vs PH0-4
14/03/26ABirzebbuga Vs PH2-2
08/03/26HPH Vs Melita1-0
28/02/26HPH Vs Balzan FC1-3
22/02/26HPH Vs Swieqi United1-3
14/02/26HPH Vs Zurrieq3-1
08/02/26AMtarfa Vs PH0-6
31/01/26HPH Vs Gudja United1-1

📊 16. Overall Statistics

St. Andrews
St. Andrews
Malta: Challenge League
Recent: 2 Wins / 2 Draws / 6 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLLLLD1.38
HomeDWLLL1.23
AwayLWLLD1.54
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %40%35%46%
AVG goals2.662.652.67
Over 1.5 %70%69%71%
Over 2.5 %50%54%46%
Over 3.5 %28%27%29%
Scored1.261.121.42
Conceded1.401.541.25
BTTS46%46%46%
Clean Sheet26%23%29%
Corners---
Cards---
Pietà Hotspurs
Pietà Hotspurs
Malta: Challenge League
Recent: 5 Wins / 3 Draws / 2 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWDWWD1.52
HomeWLLWD1.78
AwayLWDWW1.22
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %44%52%35%
AVG goals3.263.003.57
Over 1.5 %78%70%87%
Over 2.5 %66%59%74%
Over 3.5 %48%44%52%
Scored1.681.741.61
Conceded1.581.261.96
BTTS62%59%65%
Clean Sheet24%30%17%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1AttardAttard00
0%
0.0
00+0
-
0%
0%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.00.0
-
2SirensSirens00
0%
0.0
00+0
-
0%
0%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.00.0
-
3Mgarr UnitedMgarr United00
0%
0.0
00+0
-
0%
0%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.00.0
-
4Naxxar LionsNaxxar Lions00
0%
0.0
00+0
-
0%
0%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0010.00.0
-
5ZurrieqZurrieq00
0%
0.0
00+0
-
0%
0%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.00.0
-
6Tarxien RainbowsTarxien Rainbows00
0%
0.0
00+0
-
0%
0%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0000.00.0
-
7St. AndrewsSt. Andrews00
0%
0.0
00+0
-
0%
0%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.00.0
-
8Pietà HotspursPietà Hotspurs00
0%
0.0
00+0
-
0%
0%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.00.0
-
9MelitaMelita00
0%
0.0
00+0
-
0%
0%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.00.0
-
10Swieqi UnitedSwieqi United00
0%
0.0
00+0
-
0%
0%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.00.0
-
11Santa LucíaSanta Lucía00
0%
0.0
00+0
-
0%
0%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.00.0
-
12Fgura UnitedFgura United00
0%
0.0
00+0
-
0%
0%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.00.0
-
13Gudja UnitedGudja United00
0%
0.0
00+0
-
0%
0%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.00.0
-
14Zebbug RangersZebbug Rangers00
0%
0.0
00+0
-
0%
0%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.00.0
-
15Victoria HotspursVictoria Hotspurs00
0%
0.0
00+0
-
0%
0%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.00.0
-
16Vittoriosa StarsVittoriosa Stars00
0%
0.0
00+0
-
0%
0%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.00.0
-
Malta: Challenge League 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Malta: Challenge League stats & trends →

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