This opponent (Aberdeen) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Aberdeen
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.9
Avg scored
1.7
Avg conceded
1.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.43
1.17
1.50
1.57
1.38
0.81
vs Stronger (6)
0.33
3.00
0.67
3.67
0.00
2.33
vs Similar (12)
1.75
0.75
2.00
0.83
1.50
0.67
vs Weaker (12)
1.67
0.67
1.40
1.20
1.86
0.29
Clean sheet %
40% (+11pp vs league)
This opponent (ST Johnstone) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.5 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (27%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
72.0%
Under 1.5
28.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
45.2%
@ 2.16+1.4%
Under 2.5
54.8%
@ 1.68-1.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
23.9%
Under 3.5
76.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
46.3%
No
53.7%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
0-1
12.8%
1-1 â
12.5%
0-2
11.7%
0-0
9.5%
1-2
9.5%
0-3
6.5%
1-0
5.7%
1-3
5.3%
ST Johnstone goals ↓
Aberdeen goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
9.5%
13%
12%
6.5%
2.7%
1
5.7%
12%
9.5%
5.3%
2.2%
2
2.8%
4.6%
3.8%
2.1%
0.9%
3
0.7%
1.2%
1.0%
0.6%
0.2%
4
0.2%
0.3%
0.2%
0.1%
0.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = ST Johnstone goals (down), columns = Aberdeen goals (across).
ðŠ 3. Team Strengths Analysis
ð Total PPG
Points / game
Celtic
2.67
Rangers
2.31
Motherwell
1.53
Aberdeen
1.50
Livingston
1.30
ST Johnstone
1.24
Hibernian
1.23
Kilmarnock
1.10
Ross County
0.97
ST Mirren
0.97
Hamilton
0.90
Heart Of Midlothian
0.77
ST Johnstone is 0.26 points worse than Aberdeen in terms of average points per game (1.24 vs 1.50).
âïļ Attack
Goals scored / game
Celtic
2.97
Rangers
2.21
Hibernian
1.40
Livingston
1.37
Motherwell
1.37
Aberdeen
1.33
Heart Of Midlothian
1.03
Kilmarnock
1.03
Hamilton
1.00
Ross County
0.97
ST Johnstone
0.97
ST Mirren
0.80
ST Johnstone is 0.37 goals worse than Aberdeen in terms of goals scored per game (0.97 vs 1.33).
ðĄïļ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Celtic
0.63
Rangers
0.66
Aberdeen
1.20
Motherwell
1.27
Livingston
1.30
Kilmarnock
1.37
ST Mirren
1.37
ST Johnstone
1.59
Hibernian
1.63
Hamilton
1.67
Heart Of Midlothian
1.73
Ross County
2.00
ST Johnstone is 0.39 goals worse than Aberdeen in terms of goals conceded per game (1.59 vs 1.20).
âąïļ Possession
Not available for this league.
Not enough data to compare these two teams.
ðē 4. Props Analysis
ST Johnstone
For 5.3 · Against 4.7 · Total 10.0
ðĐ Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.1 · Against 1.7 · Total 2.8
ðĻ Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 12.5 · Against 13.6 · Total 26.1
â ïļ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Aberdeen
For 5.6 · Against 4.0 · Total 9.6
ðĐ Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.5 · Against 1.1 · Total 2.6
ðĻ Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 13.5 · Against 11.7 · Total 25.2
â ïļ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
ST Johnstone
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
10.0
10.1
9.8
3.2
3.4
3.0
23.0
24.2
21.6
vs Stronger (21)
10.3
10.7
9.9
2.8
3.5
2.1
22.3
22.7
21.9
vs Similar (29)
9.7
9.6
9.8
3.5
3.4
3.6
23.4
25.3
21.4
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
52%
46%
58%
48%
58%
38%
56%
65%
46%
% under line
48%
54%
42%
52%
42%
62%
44%
35%
54%
This opponent (Aberdeen) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Aberdeen
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.3
9.1
9.5
4.1
3.9
4.2
27.2
26.4
27.9
vs Stronger (9)
9.8
10.5
9.2
3.3
4.0
2.8
25.0
24.2
25.6
vs Similar (20)
7.8
8.1
7.4
5.5
5.1
5.9
29.5
29.0
30.0
vs Weaker (21)
10.5
9.5
11.5
3.0
2.6
3.4
25.9
24.6
27.0
% over line
46%
42%
50%
52%
50%
54%
80%
79%
81%
% under line
54%
58%
50%
48%
50%
46%
20%
21%
19%
This opponent (ST Johnstone) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
ðĐ Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Rangers
10.6
Ross County
10.6
Hamilton
10.1
Celtic
10.1
ST Johnstone
10.0
Hibernian
10.0
Motherwell
9.8
Heart Of Midlothian
9.5
ST Mirren
9.5
Aberdeen
9.3
Livingston
9.1
Kilmarnock
9.1
ðĻ Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Heart Of Midlothian
4.2
Aberdeen
4.1
Rangers
3.9
Kilmarnock
3.8
Ross County
3.8
Hibernian
3.6
Motherwell
3.6
ST Mirren
3.5
Hamilton
3.4
Celtic
3.4
ST Johnstone
3.2
Livingston
3.0
â ïļ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Heart Of Midlothian
28.2
Aberdeen
27.2
Hamilton
25.8
Rangers
24.8
Kilmarnock
24.6
Motherwell
24.6
Ross County
24.3
ST Mirren
24.1
Hibernian
23.1
Livingston
23.0
ST Johnstone
23.0
Celtic
22.0
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Under
Over 9.5
47.0%
Under 9.5
53.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
43.3%
Under 3.5
56.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
76.4%
Under 21.5
23.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
ð 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
ðĨ 6. Home & Away Over/Under
âïļ 7. Handicap
âąïļ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
ST Johnstone
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.30
0.63
0.38
0.50
0.21
0.79
vs Stronger (12)
0.17
0.67
0.17
0.50
0.17
0.83
vs Similar (18)
0.39
0.61
0.50
0.50
0.25
0.75
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
53% (+25pp vs league)
This opponent (Aberdeen) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Aberdeen
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.67
0.63
0.71
0.93
0.62
0.38
vs Stronger (6)
0.17
1.67
0.33
2.67
0.00
0.67
vs Similar (12)
0.75
0.25
0.67
0.17
0.83
0.33
vs Weaker (12)
0.83
0.50
1.00
0.80
0.71
0.29
Clean sheet %
57% (+28pp vs league)
This opponent (ST Johnstone) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
ðĨ 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
ST Johnstone over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
ST Johnstone over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
ST Johnstone over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Aberdeen over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Aberdeen over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Aberdeen over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
âąïļ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
ST Johnstone
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
1.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.53
1.10
0.69
0.81
0.36
1.43
vs Stronger (12)
0.33
1.67
0.33
1.83
0.33
1.50
vs Similar (18)
0.67
0.72
0.90
0.20
0.38
1.38
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
40% (+11pp vs league)
This opponent (Aberdeen) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Aberdeen
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.77
0.53
0.79
0.64
0.75
0.44
vs Stronger (6)
0.17
1.33
0.33
1.00
0.00
1.67
vs Similar (12)
1.00
0.50
1.33
0.67
0.67
0.33
vs Weaker (12)
0.83
0.17
0.40
0.40
1.14
0.00
Clean sheet %
67% (+38pp vs league)
This opponent (ST Johnstone) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
ðĨ 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
ST Johnstone over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
ST Johnstone over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
ST Johnstone over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Aberdeen over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Aberdeen over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Aberdeen over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
ðĨ 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Under 5.5 cards
87.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
â Miss
Over 19.5 fouls
87.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
â Hit
Over 21.5 fouls
76.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
â Hit
Under 3.5
76.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
â Hit
Under 11.5 corners
75.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
â Hit
Under 4.5 cards
75.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
â Miss
Over 1.5
72.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
â Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
ð― 13. Player market rates
ST Johnstone · 2026/27
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Josh Fowler50%
Ruari Paton25%
Cheick Diabate25%
K. Fotheringham25%
J. Holt0%
S. Stanton0%
Logan Chalmers0%
L. Smith0%
J. Gullan0%
R. McAlear0%
M. Tait0%
T. Steward0%
Z. Mitchell0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
L. Smith33%
S. Stanton25%
J. Gullan25%
Cheick Diabate25%
Z. Mitchell25%
J. Holt0%
Logan Chalmers0%
Ruari Paton0%
R. McAlear0%
K. Fotheringham0%
M. Tait0%
T. Steward0%
Josh Fowler0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
M. Tait33%
S. Stanton25%
J. Gullan25%
Josh Fowler25%
J. Holt0%
Logan Chalmers0%
L. Smith0%
Ruari Paton0%
R. McAlear0%
Cheick Diabate0%
K. Fotheringham0%
T. Steward0%
Z. Mitchell0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
S. Stanton25%
J. Gullan25%
Ruari Paton25%
J. Holt0%
Logan Chalmers0%
L. Smith0%
R. McAlear0%
Cheick Diabate0%
K. Fotheringham0%
M. Tait0%
T. Steward0%
Z. Mitchell0%
Josh Fowler0%
Aberdeen · 2026/27
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
K. Nisbet25%
L. Mayo25%
M. MÞller0%
Daniel Happe0%
Stuart Armstrong0%
Chris Cadden0%
L. Smith0%
Aremu Afeez0%
C. Ronan0%
N. Guinness-Walker0%
Toyosi Olusanya0%
Alexander Briedl0%
Ayoub Mouloua0%
Tony Yogane0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
L. Mayo75%
Aremu Afeez50%
Daniel Happe33%
C. Ronan33%
Alexander Briedl33%
Chris Cadden25%
K. Nisbet25%
Toyosi Olusanya25%
M. MÞller0%
Stuart Armstrong0%
L. Smith0%
N. Guinness-Walker0%
Ayoub Mouloua0%
Tony Yogane0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
K. Nisbet25%
M. MÞller0%
Daniel Happe0%
Stuart Armstrong0%
Chris Cadden0%
L. Smith0%
Aremu Afeez0%
C. Ronan0%
N. Guinness-Walker0%
L. Mayo0%
Toyosi Olusanya0%
Alexander Briedl0%
Ayoub Mouloua0%
Tony Yogane0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Daniel Happe33%
K. Nisbet25%
M. MÞller0%
Stuart Armstrong0%
Chris Cadden0%
L. Smith0%
Aremu Afeez0%
C. Ronan0%
N. Guinness-Walker0%
L. Mayo0%
Toyosi Olusanya0%
Alexander Briedl0%
Ayoub Mouloua0%
Tony Yogane0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
ð° 14. Squad value
ð° Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
RAN (29)
€136m
CEL (27)
€116m
HOM (30)
€22m
HIB (27)
€20m
MOT (26)
€16m
ABE (27)
€15m
SM (24)
€8m
KIL (24)
€7m
SJ (25)
€5m
LIV (25)
€4m
RC (11)
€1m
ST Johnstone's squad is €9m less valuable than Aberdeen's (€5m vs €15m).
âïļ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
CEL (11)
€56m
RAN (9)
€38m
HOM (12)
€12m
MOT (10)
€10m
HIB (9)
€7m
ABE (7)
€4m
KIL (9)
€3m
SJ (9)
€2m
SM (8)
€1m
LIV (7)
€1m
RC (1)
€0m
ST Johnstone's attack is €2m less valuable than Aberdeen's (€2m vs €4m).
ð§ Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
RAN (8)
€44m
CEL (5)
€20m
HIB (7)
€8m
ABE (8)
€4m
HOM (6)
€4m
SM (6)
€3m
KIL (5)
€2m
MOT (4)
€1m
LIV (8)
€1m
SJ (5)
€1m
RC (3)
€0m
ST Johnstone's midfield is €3m less valuable than Aberdeen's (€1m vs €4m).
ðĄïļ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
RAN (12)
€54m
CEL (11)
€41m
ABE (12)
€7m
HOM (12)
€6m
MOT (12)
€5m
HIB (11)
€5m
SM (10)
€3m
KIL (10)
€3m
SJ (11)
€2m
LIV (10)
€1m
RC (7)
€1m
ST Johnstone's defence is €5m less valuable than Aberdeen's (€2m vs €7m).
Scotland: Premiership 2019/20 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Scotland: Premiership stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
Celtic
Rangers
Motherwell
Livingston
Hibernian
Kilmarnock
ST Mirren
Ross County
Heart Of Midlothian