ST Johnstone vs Celtic Result & Analysis

Celtic are the clear favourite, with the model assigning a 77% chance to an away win, reflecting their strong away form and the fact that ST Johnstone have struggled at home against stronger opponents, conceding almost two goals per match. The expected total of 2.9 goals suggests a moderately high-scoring game, but the most likely total is 2 goals, with a 15.5% probability of a 0-2 scoreline, which is the single most likely correct score. ST Johnstone average 1.0 goal scored and 1.88 conceded at home against tougher teams, while Celtic average 2.79 scored and only 0.64 conceded on the road against weaker sides. The model’s suggested picks include an 86.3% chance that the match will feature under 5.5 cards, an 83.7% chance of over 19.5 fouls, a 78.8% chance of over 1.5 total goals, a 77.3% chance of an away win (edge 3%), a 73.3% chance of under 4.5 cards, a 71.1% chance of over 21.5 fouls, and a 70.2% chance of over 8.5 corners. The home win probability stands at 6%, the draw at 17%, and the away win at 77%.

The model’s prediction proved accurate as Celtic secured a 0-2 away win, extending their winning run after a recent victory over Falkirk. The pre-match favourite, “Away win,” carried a 77.3% probability and was right, confirming the model’s assessment. The suggested picks also largely hit: “Under 5.5 cards” (86.3%) and “Over 19.5 fouls” (83.7%) both came through, as did “Over 1.5” (78.8%) and “Over 21.5 fouls” (71.1%). “Away win” itself hit, while “Under 4.5 cards” (73.3%) missed. The “Over 8.5 corners” (70.2%) was another success. Overall, the model’s selections performed strongly, delivering a correct outcome and most of its other predictions.