Celtic are the clear favourites, with the model assigning a 62% chance of victory and a 15% chance for ST Johnstone to win, while a draw sits at 24%. The predicted outcome is an away win, driven by Celtic’s strong away form - averaging 2.12 goals scored and 1.25 conceded against weaker opponents - versus ST Johnstone’s weaker home performance, where they average only 0.57 goals scored and 1.71 conceded against stronger teams. The expected total of 2.7 goals points to a moderately high-scoring game, yet the single most likely scoreline is 0-2, with a 11.9% probability. The model’s suggested picks include Under 7.5 (99.3%), Home under 3.5 goals (99.0%), Under 6.5 (97.9%), Away +2 handicap (95.3%), Home under 2.5 goals (95.0%), Under 5.5 (94.3%), Away under 3.5 goals (87.7% miss) and Under 4.5 (86.2% miss). The match is expected to finish 0-2 in favour of Celtic.
Results analysis
The win extends Celtic’s winning run, with the 0-5 scoreline confirming the model’s prediction of an away triumph. The favourite, Away win, was chosen with a 62% probability and proved correct. The model’s selections were largely accurate: Under 7.5 hit at 99.3%, Home under 3.5 goals hit at 99.0%, Under 6.5 hit at 97.9%, Away +2 handicap hit at 95.3%, Home under 2.5 goals hit at 95.0%, Under 5.5 hit at 94.3%. Two picks missed: Away under 3.5 goals at 87.7% and Under 4.5 at 86.2%. The final score of 0-5 matched the most likely 0-2 outcome, and the total of five goals exceeded the expected 2.7, yet the model’s heavy-weight predictions largely came through.
🎯 1. Model Analysis
ST Johnstone win✗ Miss
14.6%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
23.8%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Celtic win✓ Hit
61.6%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
ST Johnstone
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
1.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.93
1.57
1.06
1.31
0.79
1.86
vs Stronger (13)
0.54
2.08
0.57
1.71
0.50
2.50
vs Similar (17)
1.24
1.18
1.44
1.00
1.00
1.38
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
30% (+5pp vs league)
This opponent (Celtic) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Celtic
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.8
Avg scored
2.7
Avg conceded
1.1
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
2.63
0.97
3.28
0.61
1.67
1.50
vs Stronger (2)
1.00
1.50
1.00
2.00
1.00
1.00
vs Similar (5)
1.40
2.60
2.50
3.00
0.67
2.33
vs Weaker (23)
3.04
0.57
3.53
0.20
2.12
1.25
Clean sheet %
50% (+25pp vs league)
This opponent (ST Johnstone) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.7 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (26%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
76.3%
Under 1.5
23.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
50.8%
Under 2.5
49.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
28.7%
Under 3.5
71.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
48.4%
No
51.6%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
0-2
11.9%
0-1
11.6%
1-1
11.3%
1-2
9.7%
0-0
7.7%
0-3
7.5%
1-3
6.1%
1-0
4.4%
ST Johnstone goals ↓
Celtic goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
7.7%
12%
12%
7.5%
3.5%
1
4.4%
11%
9.7%
6.1%
2.9%
2
2.2%
4.2%
4.0%
2.5%
1.2%
3
0.6%
1.1%
1.1%
0.7%
0.3%
4
0.1%
0.2%
0.2%
0.1%
0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = ST Johnstone goals (down), columns = Celtic goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Cumnock Juniors
3.00
Clachnacuddin
3.00
Formartine United
3.00
Celtic
2.60
Musselburgh Athletic
2.40
Clydebank
2.40
Cowdenbeath
2.33
Jeanfield Swifts
2.33
ST Johnstone
2.25
Bo'ness Athletic
2.25
Irvine Meadow
2.25
Aberdeen
2.20
Dundee
2.00
ST Mirren
2.00
Hibernian
2.00
Falkirk
2.00
Dunfermline
2.00
Stranraer
2.00
Montrose
2.00
Stirling
2.00
Cove Rangers
2.00
East Kilbride
2.00
Heart Of Midlothian
2.00
Ayr Utd
2.00
Airdrie United
2.00
Hamilton Academical
2.00
Threave Rovers
2.00
Banks O' Dee
2.00
Lochee United
2.00
Auchinleck Talbot
2.00
Bo'ness United
2.00
Buckie Thistle
2.00
Dundonald Bluebell
2.00
Camelon Juniors
2.00
Sauchie Juniors
2.00
Turriff United
2.00
Hill Of Beath Hawthorn
2.00
Brechin
1.75
Fraserburgh
1.75
Broxburn Athletic
1.75
Dundee North End
1.75
Rangers
1.50
Dumbarton
1.50
Peterhead
1.50
Stenhousemuir
1.50
Queen of the South
1.50
Berwick Rangers
1.50
Culter
1.50
Whitehill Welfare
1.50
Vale of Leithen
1.50
Dunbar United
1.50
Carluke Rovers
1.50
Caledonian Braves
1.50
Dalkeith Thistle
1.50
Newtongrange Star
1.50
Rutherglen Glencairn
1.50
Burntisland Shipyard
1.50
Cupar Hearts
1.50
Civil Service Strollers
1.50
Darvel
1.50
Girvan
1.50
Tynecastle
1.50
Livingston
1.33
Forfar
1.33
Elgin
1.33
Queen's Park
1.25
Ross County
1.00
Partick
1.00
Clyde
1.00
Wick Academy
1.00
Inverurie Loco Works
1.00
Edinburgh City
0.50
Raith Rovers
0.50
Keith
0.50
Huntly
0.50
Motherwell
0.00
Kilmarnock
0.00
Morton
0.00
Arbroath
0.00
East Fife
0.00
Annan Athletic
0.00
Kelty Hearts
0.00
Spartans
0.00
Dundee Utd
0.00
Inverness CT
0.00
Alloa Athletic
0.00
Gretna 2008
0.00
Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic
0.00
Preston Athletic
0.00
Hawick Royal Albert
0.00
Creetown
0.00
Benburb
0.00
Gala Fairydean Rovers
0.00
Nairn County
0.00
Kilwinning Rangers
0.00
Strathspey Thistle
0.00
Bonnyton Thistle
0.00
Tayport
0.00
Stirling University
0.00
Deveronvale
0.00
Glenafton Athletic
0.00
Cumbernauld Colts
0.00
Tranent Juniors
0.00
East Stirlingshire
0.00
Beith
0.00
Invergordon
0.00
Edinburgh University
0.00
Coldstream
0.00
Golspie Sutherland
0.00
Newton Stewart
0.00
Penicuik Athletic
0.00
Dalbeattie Star
0.00
Haddington Athletic
0.00
St Andrews United
0.00
Albion Rovers
0.00
BSC Glasgow
0.00
Rothes
0.00
Forres Mechanics
0.00
Blackburn United
0.00
Glasgow University
0.00
St. Cuthbert Wanderers
0.00
Lothian Hutchison
0.00
Easthouses Lily
0.00
Dunipace
0.00
Wigtown & Bladnoch
0.00
Pollok
0.00
Fort William
0.00
ST Johnstone is 0.35 points worse than Celtic in terms of average points per game (2.25 vs 2.60).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Girvan
5.00
Peterhead
4.00
Stirling
4.00
Threave Rovers
4.00
Hill Of Beath Hawthorn
3.67
Camelon Juniors
3.50
Ayr Utd
3.33
Lochee United
3.33
Celtic
3.00
Cumnock Juniors
3.00
Clachnacuddin
3.00
Clydebank
3.00
Cupar Hearts
3.00
Tynecastle
3.00
Fraserburgh
2.75
Sauchie Juniors
2.67
Rangers
2.50
Stenhousemuir
2.50
Montrose
2.50
Irvine Meadow
2.50
Culter
2.50
Aberdeen
2.40
Bo'ness United
2.33
Heart Of Midlothian
2.25
Bo'ness Athletic
2.25
Ross County
2.00
Partick
2.00
Dundee
2.00
ST Mirren
2.00
Dumbarton
2.00
Falkirk
2.00
Cowdenbeath
2.00
Stranraer
2.00
Kelty Hearts
2.00
East Kilbride
2.00
Alloa Athletic
2.00
Airdrie United
2.00
Berwick Rangers
2.00
Jeanfield Swifts
2.00
Formartine United
2.00
Dundee North End
2.00
Preston Athletic
2.00
Vale of Leithen
2.00
Auchinleck Talbot
2.00
Dundonald Bluebell
2.00
Deveronvale
2.00
Glenafton Athletic
2.00
Wick Academy
2.00
East Stirlingshire
2.00
Newtongrange Star
2.00
Rutherglen Glencairn
2.00
Huntly
2.00
Livingston
1.67
Dunfermline
1.67
Hamilton Academical
1.67
Musselburgh Athletic
1.60
Brechin
1.50
Queen's Park
1.50
Broxburn Athletic
1.50
Carluke Rovers
1.50
Caledonian Braves
1.50
Burntisland Shipyard
1.50
Civil Service Strollers
1.50
Darvel
1.50
Hibernian
1.33
Elgin
1.33
Cove Rangers
1.33
Buckie Thistle
1.33
Kilmarnock
1.00
Forfar
1.00
Clyde
1.00
Edinburgh City
1.00
Spartans
1.00
Queen of the South
1.00
Banks O' Dee
1.00
Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic
1.00
Whitehill Welfare
1.00
Dunbar United
1.00
Creetown
1.00
Nairn County
1.00
Tayport
1.00
Turriff United
1.00
Beith
1.00
Edinburgh University
1.00
Dalbeattie Star
1.00
Haddington Athletic
1.00
Inverurie Loco Works
1.00
Albion Rovers
1.00
Forres Mechanics
1.00
Dunipace
1.00
Pollok
1.00
ST Johnstone
0.75
Raith Rovers
0.50
Keith
0.50
Dalkeith Thistle
0.50
Motherwell
0.00
Morton
0.00
Arbroath
0.00
East Fife
0.00
Annan Athletic
0.00
Dundee Utd
0.00
Inverness CT
0.00
Gretna 2008
0.00
Hawick Royal Albert
0.00
Benburb
0.00
Gala Fairydean Rovers
0.00
Kilwinning Rangers
0.00
Strathspey Thistle
0.00
Bonnyton Thistle
0.00
Stirling University
0.00
Cumbernauld Colts
0.00
Tranent Juniors
0.00
Invergordon
0.00
Coldstream
0.00
Golspie Sutherland
0.00
Newton Stewart
0.00
Penicuik Athletic
0.00
St Andrews United
0.00
BSC Glasgow
0.00
Rothes
0.00
Blackburn United
0.00
Glasgow University
0.00
St. Cuthbert Wanderers
0.00
Lothian Hutchison
0.00
Easthouses Lily
0.00
Wigtown & Bladnoch
0.00
Fort William
0.00
ST Johnstone is 2.25 goals worse than Celtic in terms of goals scored per game (0.75 vs 3.00).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Formartine United
0.00
Ayr Utd
0.33
Celtic
0.40
Rangers
0.50
Camelon Juniors
0.50
Turriff United
0.50
Newtongrange Star
0.50
Aberdeen
0.60
Hibernian
0.67
Jeanfield Swifts
0.67
Banks O' Dee
0.67
Dundee North End
0.75
Clydebank
0.80
Motherwell
1.00
Dundee
1.00
ST Mirren
1.00
Falkirk
1.00
Livingston
1.00
Arbroath
1.00
East Fife
1.00
Stirling
1.00
Clyde
1.00
Cove Rangers
1.00
Dundee Utd
1.00
Heart Of Midlothian
1.00
Hamilton Academical
1.00
Cumnock Juniors
1.00
Clachnacuddin
1.00
Musselburgh Athletic
1.00
Culter
1.00
Auchinleck Talbot
1.00
Gala Fairydean Rovers
1.00
Bonnyton Thistle
1.00
Carluke Rovers
1.00
Buckie Thistle
1.00
Dundonald Bluebell
1.00
Caledonian Braves
1.00
Sauchie Juniors
1.00
Penicuik Athletic
1.00
Inverurie Loco Works
1.00
BSC Glasgow
1.00
Darvel
1.00
Blackburn United
1.00
ST Johnstone
1.25
Forfar
1.33
Dunfermline
1.33
Cowdenbeath
1.33
East Kilbride
1.33
Hill Of Beath Hawthorn
1.33
Stranraer
1.50
Stenhousemuir
1.50
Edinburgh City
1.50
Queen of the South
1.50
Berwick Rangers
1.50
Fraserburgh
1.50
Whitehill Welfare
1.50
Rutherglen Glencairn
1.50
Civil Service Strollers
1.50
Girvan
1.50
Tynecastle
1.50
Airdrie United
1.67
Bo'ness United
1.67
Brechin
1.75
Ross County
2.00
Partick
2.00
Kilmarnock
2.00
Morton
2.00
Elgin
2.00
Montrose
2.00
Annan Athletic
2.00
Spartans
2.00
Inverness CT
2.00
Queen's Park
2.00
Gretna 2008
2.00
Threave Rovers
2.00
Bo'ness Athletic
2.00
Irvine Meadow
2.00
Dunbar United
2.00
Kilwinning Rangers
2.00
Keith
2.00
Stirling University
2.00
Wick Academy
2.00
Golspie Sutherland
2.00
Dalbeattie Star
2.00
Dalkeith Thistle
2.00
Albion Rovers
2.00
Cupar Hearts
2.00
Forres Mechanics
2.00
Lothian Hutchison
2.00
Dunipace
2.00
Broxburn Athletic
2.25
Burntisland Shipyard
2.50
Huntly
2.50
Lochee United
2.67
Peterhead
3.00
Kelty Hearts
3.00
Raith Rovers
3.00
Alloa Athletic
3.00
Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic
3.00
Preston Athletic
3.00
Vale of Leithen
3.00
Creetown
3.00
Benburb
3.00
Nairn County
3.00
Tayport
3.00
Cumbernauld Colts
3.00
East Stirlingshire
3.00
Beith
3.00
Edinburgh University
3.00
Newton Stewart
3.00
Pollok
3.00
Dumbarton
3.50
Hawick Royal Albert
4.00
Deveronvale
4.00
Glenafton Athletic
4.00
Tranent Juniors
4.00
Invergordon
4.00
Haddington Athletic
4.00
Glasgow University
4.00
Easthouses Lily
4.00
Wigtown & Bladnoch
4.00
Strathspey Thistle
6.00
Coldstream
6.00
St Andrews United
7.00
Rothes
8.00
Fort William
8.00
St. Cuthbert Wanderers
9.00
ST Johnstone is 0.85 goals worse than Celtic in terms of goals conceded per game (1.25 vs 0.40).
⏱️ Possession
Not available for this league.
Not enough data to compare these two teams.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
ST Johnstone
For 4.6 · Against 5.6 · Total 10.2
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.5 · Against 2.0 · Total 3.5
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 9.6 · Against 12.5 · Total 22.1
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Celtic
For 7.3 · Against 3.6 · Total 10.9
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 0.9 · Against 2.7 · Total 3.6
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 8.8 · Against 9.2 · Total 18.0
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
ST Johnstone
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
10.6
11.6
9.7
3.1
3.2
3.1
21.7
21.0
22.3
vs Stronger (20)
11.6
12.2
11.1
3.2
3.3
3.2
20.9
20.7
21.2
vs Similar (29)
9.8
11.1
8.6
3.2
3.1
3.2
22.3
21.3
23.2
vs Weaker (1)
-
-
-
0.0
-
0.0
-
-
-
% over line
55%
55%
55%
40%
54%
27%
52%
50%
55%
% under line
45%
45%
45%
60%
46%
73%
48%
50%
45%
This opponent (Celtic) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Celtic
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
11.8
12.5
11.0
2.6
2.2
3.1
18.6
18.5
18.7
vs Stronger (2)
10.5
14.0
7.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
9.5
8.0
11.0
vs Similar (10)
11.7
12.0
11.4
3.1
3.4
2.8
19.6
19.8
19.4
vs Weaker (38)
11.9
12.5
11.2
2.6
2.1
3.4
18.9
18.9
19.0
% over line
70%
68%
71%
34%
28%
43%
30%
27%
33%
% under line
30%
32%
29%
66%
72%
57%
70%
73%
67%
This opponent (ST Johnstone) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Celtic
12.1
Ross County
11.6
Falkirk
11.4
Morton
11.4
Motherwell
11.2
Aberdeen
11.2
Hibernian
11.0
Kilmarnock
10.8
Dumbarton
10.8
Rangers
10.8
Heart Of Midlothian
10.7
Dundee Utd
10.7
Dundee
10.7
Dunfermline
10.6
Arbroath
10.6
ST Johnstone
10.5
Airdrie United
10.5
Kelty Hearts
10.2
Annan Athletic
10.2
Stirling
10.2
ST Mirren
10.1
Cove Rangers
10.0
Brechin
10.0
Partick
10.0
Forfar
9.7
Clyde
9.7
Stenhousemuir
9.6
East Fife
9.5
Cowdenbeath
9.4
Montrose
9.3
Stranraer
9.3
Elgin
9.2
Edinburgh City
9.2
Spartans
9.1
Inverness CT
9.1
Livingston
8.9
Peterhead
8.7
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Peterhead
5.2
Morton
4.7
Elgin
4.6
Aberdeen
4.5
Forfar
4.5
Edinburgh City
4.4
Dundee Utd
4.4
ST Mirren
4.2
Motherwell
4.2
Rangers
4.2
Kilmarnock
4.2
Clyde
4.2
Falkirk
4.2
ST Johnstone
4.1
Stirling
4.1
Hibernian
4.0
Stranraer
4.0
Livingston
4.0
Heart Of Midlothian
3.9
Partick
3.9
Cowdenbeath
3.9
Spartans
3.8
East Fife
3.8
Dundee
3.8
Annan Athletic
3.7
Stenhousemuir
3.7
Dumbarton
3.7
Montrose
3.6
Dunfermline
3.6
Brechin
3.5
Ross County
3.4
Airdrie United
3.4
Inverness CT
3.4
Celtic
3.4
Kelty Hearts
3.3
Arbroath
3.2
Cove Rangers
2.7
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Peterhead
24.8
Forfar
24.5
Elgin
24.1
Edinburgh City
23.8
Aberdeen
23.7
Livingston
23.5
Clyde
22.9
East Fife
22.8
Morton
22.3
Motherwell
22.1
Spartans
22.1
Falkirk
22.0
ST Johnstone
22.0
Cowdenbeath
21.9
ST Mirren
21.9
Stenhousemuir
21.9
Kilmarnock
21.7
Rangers
21.3
Heart Of Midlothian
21.3
Stirling
21.3
Dundee Utd
21.1
Hibernian
20.9
Ross County
20.7
Inverness CT
20.4
Brechin
20.4
Airdrie United
20.3
Annan Athletic
20.1
Partick
20.0
Dunfermline
20.0
Montrose
19.8
Dundee
19.7
Kelty Hearts
19.7
Stranraer
19.6
Arbroath
19.5
Celtic
19.1
Dumbarton
19.1
Cove Rangers
18.1
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
52.9%
Under 9.5
47.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
62.0%
Under 3.5
38.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
58.4%
Under 21.5
41.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
ST Johnstone or Draw✗ Miss
38.4%
Avg Implied -
15%
24%
62%
covers ST Johnstone + Draw
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
ST Johnstone or Celtic✓ Hit
76.2%
Avg Implied -
15%
24%
62%
covers ST Johnstone + Celtic
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw or Celtic✓ Hit
85.4%
Avg Implied -
15%
24%
62%
covers Draw + Celtic
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
ST Johnstone over/under 0.5Actual: Under
Over
55.8%
Under
44.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
ST Johnstone over/under 1.5Actual: Under
Over
19.7%
Under
80.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
ST Johnstone over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
5.0%
Under
95.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
ST Johnstone over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
1.0%
Under
99.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Celtic over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
84.9%
Under
15.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Celtic over/under 1.5Actual: Over
Over
56.3%
Under
43.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Celtic over/under 2.5Actual: Over
Over
29.3%
Under
70.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Celtic over/under 3.5Actual: Over
Over
12.3%
Under
87.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⚖️ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to ST Johnstone, so a minus line means ST Johnstone give that many goals of a start and Celtic receive them. At -1, ST Johnstone must win by two or more to land; a one-goal ST Johnstone win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (ST Johnstone)Actual: Celtic
ST Johnstone -2
1.1%
Draw -2
3.6%
Celtic +2
95.3%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap -1 (ST Johnstone)Actual: Celtic
ST Johnstone -1
4.7%
Draw -1
9.9%
Celtic +1
85.4%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +1 (ST Johnstone)Actual: Celtic
ST Johnstone +1
38.4%
Draw +1
24.2%
Celtic -1
37.5%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +2 (ST Johnstone)Actual: Celtic
ST Johnstone +2
62.5%
Draw +2
19.4%
Celtic -2
18.1%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
ST Johnstone
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.8
Avg scored
0.2
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.30
0.83
0.38
0.62
0.21
1.07
vs Stronger (13)
0.23
1.00
0.29
0.71
0.17
1.33
vs Similar (17)
0.35
0.71
0.44
0.56
0.25
0.88
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
43% (+18pp vs league)
This opponent (Celtic) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Celtic
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.2
Avg scored
1.5
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.23
0.50
1.61
0.33
0.67
0.75
vs Stronger (2)
0.00
0.50
0.00
1.00
0.00
0.00
vs Similar (5)
0.40
1.20
0.00
1.50
0.67
1.00
vs Weaker (23)
1.52
0.35
1.93
0.13
0.75
0.75
Clean sheet %
60% (+35pp vs league)
This opponent (ST Johnstone) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
ST Johnstone over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
ST Johnstone over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
ST Johnstone over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Celtic over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Celtic over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Celtic over/under 2.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
ST Johnstone
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.9
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.63
0.73
0.69
0.69
0.57
0.79
vs Stronger (13)
0.31
1.08
0.29
1.00
0.33
1.17
vs Similar (17)
0.88
0.47
1.00
0.44
0.75
0.50
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
53% (+28pp vs league)
This opponent (Celtic) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Celtic
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
0.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.40
0.47
1.67
0.28
1.00
0.75
vs Stronger (2)
1.00
1.00
1.00
1.00
1.00
1.00
vs Similar (5)
1.00
1.40
2.50
1.50
0.00
1.33
vs Weaker (23)
1.52
0.22
1.60
0.07
1.38
0.50
Clean sheet %
67% (+41pp vs league)
This opponent (ST Johnstone) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
ST Johnstone over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
ST Johnstone over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
ST Johnstone over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Celtic over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Celtic over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Celtic over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Under 7.5
99.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home under 3.5 goals
99.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 6.5
97.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away +2 handicap
95.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 goals
95.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 5.5
94.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away under 3.5 goals
87.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Under 4.5
86.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Draw or Away
85.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away +1 handicap
85.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away over 0.5 goals
84.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home under 1.5 goals
80.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards
80.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 1.5
76.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home or Away
76.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 19.5 fouls
74.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 5.5 cards
73.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 25.5 fouls
73.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 3.5
71.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Under 11.5 corners
70.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 2.5 goals
70.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
ST Johnstone
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Elliot Watt25%
Makenzie Kirk23%
Benjamin Mbunga-Kimpioka19%
Nicky Clark17%
Daniels Balodis15%
Božo Mikulić14%
Graham Carey12%
Josh McPake8%
Taylor Steven7%
Adama Sidibeh6%
Jack Sanders5%
Drey Wright3%
Sven Sprangler0%
Víctor Griffith0%
Barry Douglas0%
Jason Holt0%
Matthew Smith0%
Uche Ikpeazu0%
Ross Sinclair0%
Cameron MacPherson0%
Jonathan Svedberg0%
Andrew Fisher0%
Kyle Cameron0%
David Keltjens0%
Joshua Rae0%
Stephen Duke-McKenna0%
Lewis Neilson0%
Sam Curtis0%
André Raymond0%
Maksym Kucheriavyi0%
Aaron Essel0%
Franio Franczak0%
Zach Mitchell0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Uche Ikpeazu50%
Cameron MacPherson43%
Aaron Essel33%
André Raymond29%
Jason Holt29%
Sven Sprangler27%
Elliot Watt25%
Maksym Kucheriavyi25%
Jonathan Svedberg20%
Barry Douglas19%
Jack Sanders18%
Lewis Neilson18%
Adama Sidibeh13%
Zach Mitchell12%
Matthew Smith10%
Víctor Griffith9%
Benjamin Mbunga-Kimpioka8%
Sam Curtis8%
Andrew Fisher7%
Joshua Rae7%
Taylor Steven7%
Nicky Clark7%
Drey Wright6%
Graham Carey3%
Makenzie Kirk3%
Božo Mikulić0%
Ross Sinclair0%
Daniels Balodis0%
Kyle Cameron0%
David Keltjens0%
Josh McPake0%
Stephen Duke-McKenna0%
Franio Franczak0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Maksym Kucheriavyi25%
Jonathan Svedberg20%
Josh McPake15%
Elliot Watt12%
André Raymond12%
Graham Carey9%
Benjamin Mbunga-Kimpioka8%
Sam Curtis8%
Nicky Clark7%
Aaron Essel7%
Adama Sidibeh6%
Matthew Smith5%
Jack Sanders5%
Makenzie Kirk3%
Sven Sprangler0%
Víctor Griffith0%
Božo Mikulić0%
Barry Douglas0%
Jason Holt0%
Uche Ikpeazu0%
Ross Sinclair0%
Drey Wright0%
Cameron MacPherson0%
Daniels Balodis0%
Andrew Fisher0%
Kyle Cameron0%
David Keltjens0%
Joshua Rae0%
Stephen Duke-McKenna0%
Lewis Neilson0%
Taylor Steven0%
Franio Franczak0%
Zach Mitchell0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Uche Ikpeazu50%
Adama Sidibeh26%
Makenzie Kirk17%
Elliot Watt12%
Stephen Duke-McKenna9%
Benjamin Mbunga-Kimpioka8%
Josh McPake8%
Nicky Clark3%
Drey Wright3%
Sven Sprangler0%
Víctor Griffith0%
Božo Mikulić0%
Barry Douglas0%
Jason Holt0%
Graham Carey0%
Matthew Smith0%
Ross Sinclair0%
Cameron MacPherson0%
Jonathan Svedberg0%
Daniels Balodis0%
Andrew Fisher0%
Kyle Cameron0%
David Keltjens0%
Joshua Rae0%
Jack Sanders0%
Lewis Neilson0%
Sam Curtis0%
André Raymond0%
Maksym Kucheriavyi0%
Taylor Steven0%
Aaron Essel0%
Franio Franczak0%
Zach Mitchell0%
Celtic
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Daizen Maeda40%
Maik Nawrocki33%
Nicolas-Gerrit Kühn31%
Jota31%
Adam Idah29%
Kyogo Furuhashi28%
Reo Hatate21%
Arne Engels20%
Callum McGregor18%
Luke McCowan17%
Yang Hyun-Jun14%
Johnny Kenny12%
Anthony Ralston11%
Alistair Johnston10%
Liam Scales9%
Jeffrey Schlupp7%
Paulo Bernardo6%
James Forrest4%
Auston Trusty3%
Cameron Carter-Vickers3%
Kasper Schmeichel0%
Luis Palma0%
Greg Taylor0%
Odin Thiago Holm0%
Viljami Sinisalo0%
Álex Valle0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Greg Taylor17%
Nicolas-Gerrit Kühn14%
Johnny Kenny12%
Alistair Johnston12%
Daizen Maeda9%
Paulo Bernardo8%
Callum McGregor7%
Reo Hatate6%
Auston Trusty6%
Liam Scales6%
Álex Valle6%
Anthony Ralston5%
Arne Engels5%
Yang Hyun-Jun3%
Cameron Carter-Vickers3%
Kasper Schmeichel2%
Adam Idah2%
Jota0%
James Forrest0%
Jeffrey Schlupp0%
Luis Palma0%
Kyogo Furuhashi0%
Luke McCowan0%
Odin Thiago Holm0%
Viljami Sinisalo0%
Maik Nawrocki0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Álex Valle25%
Alistair Johnston24%
James Forrest22%
Greg Taylor22%
Nicolas-Gerrit Kühn21%
Daizen Maeda19%
Arne Engels18%
Anthony Ralston16%
Jota15%
Reo Hatate13%
Johnny Kenny12%
Luke McCowan11%
Kyogo Furuhashi10%
Yang Hyun-Jun10%
Liam Scales9%
Paulo Bernardo8%
Callum McGregor7%
Jeffrey Schlupp7%
Auston Trusty3%
Kasper Schmeichel0%
Cameron Carter-Vickers0%
Luis Palma0%
Adam Idah0%
Odin Thiago Holm0%
Viljami Sinisalo0%
Maik Nawrocki0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Kyogo Furuhashi31%
Adam Idah29%
Arne Engels23%
Daizen Maeda21%
Reo Hatate19%
Jota15%
Nicolas-Gerrit Kühn14%
Johnny Kenny12%
Luis Palma10%
Luke McCowan6%
James Forrest4%
Yang Hyun-Jun3%
Auston Trusty3%
Liam Scales3%
Paulo Bernardo3%
Callum McGregor2%
Anthony Ralston0%
Kasper Schmeichel0%
Jeffrey Schlupp0%
Cameron Carter-Vickers0%
Greg Taylor0%
Alistair Johnston0%
Odin Thiago Holm0%
Viljami Sinisalo0%
Maik Nawrocki0%
Álex Valle0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
RAN (29)
€136m
CEL (27)
€116m
HOM (30)
€22m
HIB (27)
€20m
MOT (26)
€16m
ABE (27)
€15m
DU (22)
€11m
SM (24)
€8m
KIL (24)
€7m
FAL (27)
€6m
DUN (21)
€5m
SJ (25)
€5m
LIV (25)
€4m
DUN (26)
€4m
PAR (20)
€3m
AU (17)
€2m
QP (19)
€2m
RR (18)
€2m
RC (11)
€1m
MOR (14)
€1m
ARB (15)
€1m
KH (4)
€1m
IC (6)
€1m
HA (5)
€0m
AA (2)
€0m
EK (4)
€0m
MON (4)
€0m
STE (2)
€0m
QOT (1)
€0m
CLY (2)
€0m
FOR (1)
€0m
STI (3)
€0m
CR (2)
€0m
DUM (1)
€0m
STR (1)
€0m
AA (1)
€0m
EF (1)
€0m
EC (1)
€0m
ST Johnstone's squad is €111m less valuable than Celtic's (€5m vs €116m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
CEL (11)
€56m
RAN (9)
€38m
HOM (12)
€12m
MOT (10)
€10m
HIB (9)
€7m
ABE (7)
€4m
DU (7)
€4m
KIL (9)
€3m
SJ (9)
€2m
FAL (9)
€2m
DUN (9)
€2m
SM (8)
€1m
LIV (7)
€1m
DUN (7)
€1m
PAR (6)
€1m
QP (8)
€1m
AU (6)
€1m
RR (5)
€1m
KH (3)
€1m
AA (1)
€0m
MOR (4)
€0m
EK (3)
€0m
IC (3)
€0m
HA (1)
€0m
ARB (3)
€0m
CLY (2)
€0m
RC (1)
€0m
STE (1)
€0m
MON (1)
€0m
STI (1)
€0m
CR (1)
€0m
AA (1)
€0m
DUM (0)
€0m
FOR (0)
€0m
STR (0)
€0m
EF (0)
€0m
EC (0)
€0m
QOT (0)
€0m
ST Johnstone's attack is €54m less valuable than Celtic's (€2m vs €56m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
RAN (8)
€44m
CEL (5)
€20m
HIB (7)
€8m
ABE (8)
€4m
HOM (6)
€4m
SM (6)
€3m
DU (6)
€3m
DUN (7)
€2m
KIL (5)
€2m
MOT (4)
€1m
LIV (8)
€1m
PAR (6)
€1m
SJ (5)
€1m
FAL (5)
€1m
RR (6)
€1m
DUN (4)
€0m
MOR (4)
€0m
ARB (5)
€0m
RC (3)
€0m
IC (2)
€0m
HA (2)
€0m
AU (1)
€0m
MON (2)
€0m
QP (1)
€0m
EF (1)
€0m
STI (1)
€0m
EC (1)
€0m
DUM (0)
€0m
FOR (0)
€0m
STR (0)
€0m
STE (0)
€0m
AA (0)
€0m
CLY (0)
€0m
CR (0)
€0m
KH (0)
€0m
EK (0)
€0m
AA (0)
€0m
QOT (0)
€0m
ST Johnstone's midfield is €18m less valuable than Celtic's (€1m vs €20m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
RAN (12)
€54m
CEL (11)
€41m
ABE (12)
€7m
HOM (12)
€6m
MOT (12)
€5m
HIB (11)
€5m
DU (9)
€4m
FAL (13)
€3m
SM (10)
€3m
KIL (10)
€3m
DUN (7)
€2m
DUN (13)
€2m
SJ (11)
€2m
LIV (10)
€1m
AU (10)
€1m
PAR (8)
€1m
QP (10)
€1m
RC (7)
€1m
RR (7)
€0m
MOR (6)
€0m
ARB (7)
€0m
QOT (1)
€0m
FOR (1)
€0m
STE (1)
€0m
KH (1)
€0m
IC (1)
€0m
HA (2)
€0m
DUM (1)
€0m
STR (1)
€0m
CR (1)
€0m
EK (1)
€0m
STI (1)
€0m
MON (1)
€0m
AA (1)
€0m
EF (0)
€0m
CLY (0)
€0m
EC (0)
€0m
AA (0)
€0m
ST Johnstone's defence is €39m less valuable than Celtic's (€2m vs €41m).
Scotland: Premiership 2024/25 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Scotland: Premiership stats & trends →
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Rangers
Hibernian
Dundee Utd
Aberdeen
Heart Of Midlothian
ST Mirren
Motherwell
Kilmarnock
Dundee
Ross County
Livingston
Ayr Utd
Partick