ST Johnstone vs Dundee Result & Analysis

The match sits on a razor-thin edge, with the model favouring a home win but leaving room for a draw or an away triumph. The probabilities are 38% for ST Johnstone, 27% for a stalemate, and 35% for Dundee. The expected total of 2.9 goals points to a modestly high-scoring game, and the most likely scoreline is 1-1, with a 12.6% chance. ST Johnstone, playing at home against a similarly-sized opponent, averages 1.29 goals scored and 1.57 conceded. Dundee, on the road, averages 1.43 goals scored and 1.14 conceded versus comparable teams. The model’s selections include an 84.3% chance of under 5.5 cards, an 80.1% chance of over 1.5 goals, an 80.1% chance of over 19.5 fouls, a 71.4% chance of under 11.5 corners, and a 70.5% chance of under 4.5 cards. These picks reflect the match’s tight balance and the teams’ recent form, which has seen both sides stumble in their last five outings.

After a run of two straight defeats, ST Johnstone’s form has finally turned, and the Pythia model’s prediction of a home win came through with a 38% probability. The match finished 2-0, confirming the favoured outcome. The model’s selections also proved accurate: Under 5.5 cards hit at 84.3%, Over 1.5 hit at 80.1%, Over 19.5 fouls hit at 80.1%, Under 11.5 corners hit at 71.4%, and Under 4.5 cards hit at 70.5%. Each figure appears once, and the final score and result match the recorded outcome. The model’s forecast was correct, and the suggested picks largely performed as expected.