The match between ST Johnstone and Hibernian is a tight affair, with the model favouring an away win at 38%. The expected total of 2.8 goals points to a moderate scoring game, and the most likely scoreline is 1-1, a 13.1% chance. ST Johnstone’s recent form shows a 3-win-2-loss record, with a 1-2 loss to Heart Of Midlothian, while Hibernian, coming off a 2-3 defeat to Gent, has averaged 1.5 goals scored and 1.25 conceded on the road against weaker opponents. The home win probability is 35%, the draw 28%, and the away win 38%. Suggested picks include Under 7.5 (99.2%), Home under 2.5 HT goals (98.1%), Under 6.5 (97.6% with a 1% edge), Home under 2.5 2H goals (96.9%), Away under 2.5 HT goals (95.5%), Home under 3.5 goals (95.0%), Away under 3.5 goals (94.3%), and Away under 2.5 2H goals (94.3%). Each selection is presented with its exact probability.
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🎯 1. Model Analysis
ST Johnstone win
33.5%
Avg Implied 33.5% · @ 2.79
Edge
+0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Betano
2.92
Betfair
2.88
Dafabet
2.85
Marathonbet
2.82
1xBet
2.82
Draw
27.6%
Avg Implied 28.7% · @ 3.27
Edge
-1.1%
Best 5 market prices
Dafabet
3.45
10Bet
3.40
Betano
3.35
BetVictor
3.30
Unibet
3.30
Hibernian win
38.9%
Avg Implied 37.8% · @ 2.47
Edge
+1.1%
Best 5 market prices
Betfair
2.60
10Bet
2.50
Dafabet
2.50
Bet365
2.50
Betano
2.47
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
ST Johnstone
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.3
Avg scored
1.4
Avg conceded
0.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.43
0.67
2.00
0.79
0.94
0.56
vs Stronger (1)
1.00
2.00
-
-
1.00
2.00
vs Similar (26)
1.42
0.58
2.08
0.85
0.77
0.31
vs Weaker (3)
1.67
1.00
1.00
0.00
2.00
1.50
Clean sheet %
50% (+21pp vs league)
This opponent (Hibernian) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Hibernian
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.7
Avg scored
1.5
Avg conceded
1.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.40
1.17
1.50
1.12
1.29
1.21
vs Stronger (7)
1.29
1.14
1.00
1.67
1.50
0.75
vs Similar (12)
1.08
1.58
1.29
1.57
0.80
1.60
vs Weaker (11)
1.82
0.73
2.00
0.33
1.60
1.20
Clean sheet %
30% (+1pp vs league)
This opponent (ST Johnstone) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.8 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (25%).
Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
78.2%
@ 1.26+4.0%
Under 1.5
21.8%
@ 3.61-4.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.31
10Bet
1.28
BetVictor
1.25
Bet365
1.25
Unibet
1.25
Under
Bet365
4.00
Unibet
3.75
10Bet
3.65
BetVictor
3.60
Betano
3.50
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
53.2%
@ 1.87+2.7%
Under 2.5
46.8%
@ 1.91-2.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.93
Bet365
1.91
1xBet
1.88
Marathonbet
1.88
Betfair
1.87
Under
10Bet
1.95
Unibet
1.93
Betano
1.93
Bet365
1.91
Betfair
1.90
Over/Under 3.5
Over 3.5
30.9%
@ 3.12+1.0%
Under 3.5
69.1%
@ 1.33-1.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
BetVictor
3.25
Bet365
3.20
Betano
3.20
10Bet
3.10
Unibet
3.10
Under
Bet365
1.36
10Bet
1.36
Betano
1.36
Unibet
1.34
1xBet
1.30
Both teams to score
Yes
57.9%
@ 1.66+2.1%
No
42.1%
@ 2.10-2.1%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
Bet365
1.67
Betano
1.67
BetVictor
1.67
William Hil
1.67
1xBet
1.66
No
10Bet
2.15
Unibet
2.14
Betano
2.12
Bet365
2.10
William Hil
2.10
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
13.1%@ 5.98+5.6%
1-2
8.7%@ 8.61+3.5%
2-1
8.0%@ 9.36+3.2%
0-1
7.7%@ 8.33+2.3%
0-0
7.2%@ 9.86+2.7%
1-0
6.9%@ 9.09+2.0%
0-2
6.5%@ 12.28+2.8%
2-2
5.8%@ 11.47+1.9%
ST Johnstone goals ↓
Hibernian goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
7.2%
7.7%
6.5%
3.1%
1.2%
1
6.9%
13%
8.7%
4.2%
1.5%
2
5.5%
8.0%
5.8%
2.8%
1.0%
3
2.4%
3.6%
2.6%
1.3%
0.5%
4
0.8%
1.2%
0.9%
0.4%
0.2%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = ST Johnstone goals (down), columns = Hibernian goals (across).
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💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Celtic
2.16
Heart Of Midlothian
2.11
Rangers
1.89
Motherwell
1.61
Hibernian
1.50
Falkirk
1.29
Dundee Utd
1.18
Dundee
1.11
Kilmarnock
1.05
Aberdeen
1.05
ST Johnstone
1.05
ST Mirren
0.95
ST Johnstone is 0.45 points worse than Hibernian in terms of average points per game (1.05 vs 1.50).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Rangers
2.00
Celtic
1.92
Heart Of Midlothian
1.76
Motherwell
1.55
Hibernian
1.53
Kilmarnock
1.32
Falkirk
1.32
Dundee Utd
1.29
Dundee
1.11
Aberdeen
1.05
ST Johnstone
1.00
ST Mirren
0.80
ST Johnstone is 0.53 goals worse than Hibernian in terms of goals scored per game (1.00 vs 1.53).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Heart Of Midlothian
0.89
Motherwell
0.95
Celtic
1.08
Rangers
1.13
Hibernian
1.16
ST Mirren
1.40
Aberdeen
1.45
ST Johnstone
1.56
Dundee Utd
1.58
Dundee
1.61
Falkirk
1.63
Kilmarnock
1.79
ST Johnstone is 0.40 goals worse than Hibernian in terms of goals conceded per game (1.56 vs 1.16).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
Celtic
66%
Rangers
58%
Motherwell
58%
Heart Of Midlothian
53%
Falkirk
51%
Aberdeen
48%
Hibernian
47%
ST Mirren
46%
Dundee
44%
Kilmarnock
42%
Dundee Utd
42%
Not enough data to compare these two teams.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
ST Johnstone
For 6.3 · Against 4.1 · Total 10.4
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.8 · Against 1.8 · Total 3.6
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 10.3 · Against 12.0 · Total 22.3
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Hibernian
For 4.9 · Against 5.3 · Total 10.2
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.6 · Against 2.2 · Total 4.8
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 12.1 · Against 11.0 · Total 23.1
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
ST Johnstone
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.5
9.9
9.2
1.4
1.4
1.3
21.9
23.9
20.2
vs Stronger (1)
12.0
-
12.0
0.0
-
0.0
25.0
-
25.0
vs Similar (45)
9.5
9.9
9.0
1.5
1.5
1.5
22.3
23.9
20.6
vs Weaker (4)
8.0
-
8.0
0.5
0.0
0.7
13.0
-
13.0
% over line
41%
50%
33%
22%
28%
16%
53%
62%
44%
% under line
59%
50%
67%
78%
72%
84%
47%
38%
56%
This opponent (Hibernian) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Hibernian
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
10.4
11.6
9.3
4.4
4.5
4.2
23.4
23.3
23.4
vs Stronger (12)
10.9
11.6
10.3
4.7
5.6
4.0
21.7
22.0
21.5
vs Similar (22)
9.8
10.7
8.9
5.0
5.5
4.4
24.6
24.9
24.4
vs Weaker (16)
11.0
12.9
8.8
3.3
2.6
4.3
22.6
21.7
23.7
% over line
63%
74%
52%
62%
60%
64%
70%
70%
70%
% under line
37%
26%
48%
38%
40%
36%
30%
30%
30%
This opponent (ST Johnstone) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
ST Mirren
11.1
Celtic
11.0
Dundee Utd
10.5
Hibernian
10.5
Aberdeen
10.4
Heart Of Midlothian
10.3
Rangers
10.1
ST Johnstone
10.1
Dundee
9.7
Falkirk
9.6
Kilmarnock
9.5
Motherwell
8.3
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Aberdeen
4.7
Motherwell
4.7
Hibernian
4.6
Heart Of Midlothian
4.6
Rangers
4.3
Kilmarnock
4.2
Falkirk
4.2
Dundee Utd
4.1
ST Johnstone
4.0
Celtic
3.8
Dundee
3.7
ST Mirren
3.5
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Rangers
26.7
Motherwell
25.9
Aberdeen
25.6
Falkirk
25.4
Heart Of Midlothian
24.6
Kilmarnock
24.2
Hibernian
23.2
ST Mirren
22.2
ST Johnstone
22.2
Dundee
21.9
Dundee Utd
21.9
Celtic
21.4
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
52.3%
@ 1.78+0.2%
Under 9.5
47.7%
@ 1.93-0.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.87
Bet365
1.83
Unibet
1.63
Under
Unibet
2.10
Betano
1.87
Bet365
1.83
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
64.6%
@ 1.75+10.8%
Under 3.5
35.4%
@ 2.04-10.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.87
1xBet
1.62
Under
1xBet
2.20
Betano
1.87
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
68.9%
Under 21.5
31.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
ST Johnstone or Draw
61.1%
Avg Implied 62.2% · @ 1.51
Edge
-1.1%
34%
28%
39%
covers ST Johnstone + Draw
Best 5 market prices
Betano
1.57
1xBet
1.52
Marathonbet
1.52
BetVictor
1.50
Bet365
1.50
ST Johnstone or Hibernian
72.4%
Avg Implied 71.5% · @ 1.31
Edge
+0.9%
34%
28%
39%
covers ST Johnstone + Hibernian
Best 5 market prices
William Hil
1.35
Betfair
1.33
Bet365
1.33
Betano
1.32
1xBet
1.31
Draw or Hibernian
66.5%
Avg Implied 66.3% · @ 1.41
Edge
+0.1%
34%
28%
39%
covers Draw + Hibernian
Best 5 market prices
10Bet
1.45
Unibet
1.45
Betano
1.44
Marathonbet
1.40
1xBet
1.40
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🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
ST Johnstone over/under 0.5
Over
73.9%
@ 1.28+1.6%
Under
26.1%
@ 3.35-1.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.32
BetVictor
1.30
Bet365
1.30
10Bet
1.28
1xBet
1.28
Under
Betfair
3.75
Unibet
3.40
10Bet
3.40
Bet365
3.40
Marathonbet
3.24
ST Johnstone over/under 1.5
Over
38.8%
@ 2.44+0.5%
Under
61.2%
@ 1.51-0.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
2.50
BetVictor
2.50
Marathonbet
2.49
1xBet
2.49
Betano
2.47
Under
Betfair
1.57
Unibet
1.54
10Bet
1.53
Bet365
1.50
Marathonbet
1.50
ST Johnstone over/under 2.5
Over
15.3%
@ 5.72-1.0%
Under
84.7%
@ 1.11+1.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
6.00
Betfair
6.00
1xBet
5.90
Marathonbet
5.90
BetVictor
5.75
Under
Betfair
1.13
Bet365
1.12
10Bet
1.12
Betano
1.12
Unibet
1.12
ST Johnstone over/under 3.5
Over
4.7%
@ 13.75-2.2%
Under
95.3%
@ 1.02+2.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
17.00
Betano
10.50
Under
Betano
1.03
Bet365
1.02
Hibernian over/under 0.5
Over
76.8%
@ 1.25+2.4%
Under
23.2%
@ 3.63-2.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.28
10Bet
1.25
BetVictor
1.25
Bet365
1.25
Unibet
1.25
Under
Betfair
4.00
Bet365
3.75
BetVictor
3.60
Marathonbet
3.56
1xBet
3.56
Hibernian over/under 1.5
Over
42.9%
@ 2.24+1.3%
Under
57.1%
@ 1.60-1.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
2.27
Marathonbet
2.27
10Bet
2.25
BetVictor
2.25
Betfair
2.25
Under
Bet365
1.62
Betfair
1.62
Betano
1.62
1xBet
1.61
Marathonbet
1.61
Hibernian over/under 2.5
Over
18.1%
@ 5.06-0.3%
Under
81.9%
@ 1.14+0.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betfair
5.50
BetVictor
5.25
1xBet
5.10
Marathonbet
5.10
Bet365
5.00
Under
Bet365
1.17
Betano
1.17
Betfair
1.14
Unibet
1.14
10Bet
1.13
Hibernian over/under 3.5
Over
6.1%
@ 11.00-2.6%
Under
93.9%
@ 1.04+2.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
13.00
Betano
9.00
Under
Bet365
1.04
Betano
1.04
⚖️ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to ST Johnstone, so a minus line means ST Johnstone give that many goals of a start and Hibernian receive them. At -1, ST Johnstone must win by two or more to land; a one-goal ST Johnstone win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (ST Johnstone)
ST Johnstone -2
5.5%
@ 13.12-1.4%
Draw -2
10.0%
@ 8.12-1.1%
Hibernian +2
84.5%
@ 1.11+2.6%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
15.00
Betfair
15.00
Unibet
11.50
10Bet
11.00
Draw
Betfair
9.50
Bet365
8.50
Unibet
7.50
10Bet
7.00
Away
Bet365
1.12
10Bet
1.12
Unibet
1.12
Betfair
1.07
Handicap -1 (ST Johnstone)
ST Johnstone -1
15.5%
@ 5.83+0.1%
Draw -1
18.0%
@ 4.38-2.6%
Hibernian +1
66.5%
@ 1.41+2.5%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Betfair
7.00
Bet365
6.00
Marathonbet
5.60
Unibet
5.30
10Bet
5.25
Draw
Bet365
4.75
Marathonbet
4.50
Betfair
4.33
10Bet
4.20
Unibet
4.10
Away
10Bet
1.45
Unibet
1.44
Bet365
1.40
Marathonbet
1.40
Betfair
1.36
Handicap +1 (ST Johnstone)
ST Johnstone +1
61.1%
@ 1.50+0.9%
Draw +1
19.7%
@ 4.10-2.3%
Hibernian -1
19.2%
@ 5.07+1.4%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
1.53
Marathonbet
1.52
10Bet
1.50
Unibet
1.50
Betfair
1.44
Draw
Bet365
4.33
Marathonbet
4.15
Betfair
4.00
Unibet
4.00
10Bet
4.00
Away
Betfair
6.00
Bet365
5.00
10Bet
5.00
Unibet
4.70
Marathonbet
4.65
Handicap +2 (ST Johnstone)
ST Johnstone +2
80.8%
@ 1.14+2.8%
Draw +2
11.9%
@ 6.72-1.3%
Hibernian -2
7.3%
@ 10.10-1.5%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
1.17
10Bet
1.15
Unibet
1.14
Marathonbet
1.12
Betfair
1.10
Draw
Betfair
8.50
Bet365
7.00
Unibet
6.75
10Bet
6.50
Marathonbet
4.85
Away
Betfair
13.00
Bet365
11.00
10Bet
10.00
Unibet
10.00
Marathonbet
6.50
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
ST Johnstone
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.9
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.60
0.33
1.00
0.43
0.25
0.25
vs Stronger (1)
0.00
2.00
-
-
0.00
2.00
vs Similar (26)
0.62
0.23
1.00
0.46
0.23
0.00
vs Weaker (3)
0.67
0.67
1.00
0.00
0.50
1.00
Clean sheet %
70% (+41pp vs league)
This opponent (Hibernian) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Hibernian
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.63
0.40
0.62
0.38
0.64
0.43
vs Stronger (7)
0.57
0.57
0.33
0.67
0.75
0.50
vs Similar (12)
0.42
0.58
0.29
0.57
0.60
0.60
vs Weaker (11)
0.91
0.09
1.17
0.00
0.60
0.20
Clean sheet %
67% (+38pp vs league)
This opponent (ST Johnstone) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5
Over 0.5
71.9%
@ 1.37+4.0%
Under 0.5
28.1%
@ 2.90-4.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.44
1xBet
1.39
BetVictor
1.39
Marathonbet
1.39
Bet365
1.36
Under
Betfair
3.20
William Hil
3.00
Bet365
3.00
Unibet
2.95
10Bet
2.88
Half Time Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
35.8%
@ 2.70+1.4%
Under 1.5
64.2%
@ 1.41-1.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
2.87
Betfair
2.75
1xBet
2.73
Marathonbet
2.73
Unibet
2.70
Under
Bet365
1.44
10Bet
1.42
Unibet
1.42
Betano
1.42
BetVictor
1.41
Half Time Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
14.1%
@ 6.76+0.3%
Under 2.5
85.9%
@ 1.08-0.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
BetVictor
7.50
Betfair
7.50
Bet365
7.00
1xBet
6.60
Marathonbet
6.60
Under
Betano
1.10
Bet365
1.10
William Hil
1.10
Unibet
1.08
10Bet
1.08
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
ST Johnstone over/under 0.5 HT
Over
44.4%
@ 2.10+0.1%
Under
55.6%
@ 1.66-0.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
2.20
Marathonbet
2.13
10Bet
2.10
Unibet
2.05
1xBet
2.00
Under
1xBet
1.73
Unibet
1.68
10Bet
1.67
Betano
1.62
Marathonbet
1.62
ST Johnstone over/under 1.5 HT
Over
9.9%
@ 6.86-3.6%
Under
90.1%
@ 1.07+3.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
7.50
Marathonbet
7.30
Betano
6.60
10Bet
6.50
Unibet
6.40
Under
Betano
1.09
10Bet
1.08
Unibet
1.08
1xBet
1.06
Marathonbet
1.05
ST Johnstone over/under 2.5 HT
Over
1.6%
@ 12.50-5.8%
Under
98.4%
@ 1.01+5.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
12.50
Under
Betano
1.01
Hibernian over/under 0.5 HT
Over
50.2%
@ 2.00+3.9%
Under
49.8%
@ 1.73-3.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
2.05
Marathonbet
2.01
Unibet
2.00
1xBet
2.00
10Bet
1.95
Under
10Bet
1.77
1xBet
1.73
Betano
1.72
Unibet
1.72
Marathonbet
1.70
Hibernian over/under 1.5 HT
Over
16.3%
@ 6.10+1.2%
Under
83.7%
@ 1.09-1.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
6.50
Marathonbet
6.45
Unibet
6.00
Betano
5.80
10Bet
5.75
Under
Betano
1.12
10Bet
1.10
Unibet
1.09
1xBet
1.08
Marathonbet
1.07
Hibernian over/under 2.5 HT
Over
4.3%
@ 11.75-3.7%
Under
95.7%
@ 1.02+3.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
11.75
Under
Betano
1.02
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
ST Johnstone
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.83
0.33
1.00
0.36
0.69
0.31
vs Stronger (1)
1.00
0.00
-
-
1.00
0.00
vs Similar (26)
0.81
0.35
1.08
0.38
0.54
0.31
vs Weaker (3)
1.00
0.33
0.00
0.00
1.50
0.50
Clean sheet %
70% (+41pp vs league)
This opponent (Hibernian) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Hibernian
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.77
0.77
0.88
0.75
0.64
0.79
vs Stronger (7)
0.71
0.57
0.67
1.00
0.75
0.25
vs Similar (12)
0.67
1.00
1.00
1.00
0.20
1.00
vs Weaker (11)
0.91
0.64
0.83
0.33
1.00
1.00
Clean sheet %
40% (+11pp vs league)
This opponent (ST Johnstone) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5
Over 0.5
79.2%
@ 1.21+2.6%
Under 0.5
20.8%
@ 3.97-2.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.24
Bet365
1.22
William Hil
1.22
10Bet
1.20
Unibet
1.20
Under
Unibet
4.10
10Bet
4.10
Bet365
4.00
Betano
3.95
1xBet
3.92
Second Half Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
49.4%
@ 2.02+3.2%
Under 1.5
50.6%
@ 1.73-3.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
2.05
Marathonbet
2.05
Betano
2.05
William Hil
2.05
Bet365
2.00
Under
10Bet
1.77
Betano
1.75
Unibet
1.74
Bet365
1.73
Marathonbet
1.72
Second Half Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
19.7%
@ 4.20-2.3%
Under 2.5
80.3%
@ 1.19+2.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
William Hil
4.40
Bet365
4.33
Marathonbet
4.25
1xBet
4.25
Betano
4.10
Under
Betano
1.22
Bet365
1.20
10Bet
1.20
Unibet
1.19
William Hil
1.18
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
ST Johnstone over/under 0.5 2H
Over
50.7%
@ 1.78-1.3%
Under
49.3%
@ 1.93+1.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.78
Marathonbet
1.78
Betano
1.78
Under
Betano
1.98
1xBet
1.92
Marathonbet
1.90
ST Johnstone over/under 1.5 2H
Over
15.3%
@ 4.78-4.0%
Under
84.7%
@ 1.15+4.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
5.05
1xBet
4.90
Betano
4.65
10Bet
4.50
Under
10Bet
1.17
Betano
1.17
1xBet
1.13
Marathonbet
1.12
ST Johnstone over/under 2.5 2H
Over
3.2%
@ 10.50-5.7%
Under
96.8%
@ 1.03+5.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
10.50
Under
Betano
1.03
Hibernian over/under 0.5 2H
Over
57.9%
@ 1.69+3.2%
Under
42.1%
@ 2.04-3.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.70
1xBet
1.70
Marathonbet
1.68
Under
Betano
2.07
Marathonbet
2.03
1xBet
2.03
Hibernian over/under 1.5 2H
Over
21.4%
@ 4.39+0.3%
Under
78.6%
@ 1.18-0.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
4.50
10Bet
4.50
1xBet
4.40
Betano
4.15
Under
Betano
1.21
10Bet
1.17
Marathonbet
1.16
1xBet
1.16
Hibernian over/under 2.5 2H
Over
5.7%
@ 9.50-4.1%
Under
94.3%
@ 1.04+4.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
9.50
Under
Betano
1.04
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🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Under 7.5
99.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home under 2.5 HT goals
98.4%
1.01
Betano
1.01
-
-
-
-
+5.8%
Under 6.5
97.5%
1.01
Betano
1.02
Bet365
1.01
1xBet
1.01
-
-
+2.3%
Home under 2.5 2H goals
96.8%
1.03
Betano
1.03
-
-
-
-
+5.7%
Away under 2.5 HT goals
95.7%
1.02
Betano
1.02
-
-
-
-
+3.7%
Home under 3.5 goals
95.3%
1.02
Betano
1.03
Bet365
1.02
-
-
-
+2.2%
Away under 2.5 2H goals
94.3%
1.04
Betano
1.04
-
-
-
-
+4.1%
Away under 3.5 goals
93.9%
1.04
Bet365
1.04
Betano
1.04
-
-
-
+2.6%
Under 5.5
93.5%
1.04
Betano
1.05
Bet365
1.04
1xBet
1.04
Unibet
1.02
-
+1.8%
Home under 1.5 HT goals
90.1%
1.07
Betano
1.09
10Bet
1.08
Unibet
1.08
1xBet
1.06
Marathonbet
1.05
+3.6%
Under 2.5 HT goals
85.9%
1.08
Betano
1.10
Bet365
1.10
William Hil
1.10
Unibet
1.08
10Bet
1.08
-0.3%
Home under 2.5 goals
84.7%
1.11
Betfair
1.13
Bet365
1.12
10Bet
1.12
Betano
1.12
Unibet
1.12
+1.0%
Under 4.5
84.7%
1.10
Betano
1.14
Bet365
1.12
10Bet
1.12
Unibet
1.11
1xBet
1.08
+0.2%
Home under 1.5 2H goals
84.7%
1.15
10Bet
1.17
Betano
1.17
1xBet
1.13
Marathonbet
1.12
-
+4.0%
Away +2 handicap
84.5%
1.11
Bet365
1.12
10Bet
1.12
Unibet
1.12
Betfair
1.07
-
+2.6%
Away under 1.5 HT goals
83.7%
1.09
Betano
1.12
10Bet
1.10
Unibet
1.09
1xBet
1.08
Marathonbet
1.07
-1.2%
Over 19.5 fouls
82.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 2.5 cards
81.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 2.5 goals
81.9%
1.14
Bet365
1.17
Betano
1.17
Betfair
1.14
Unibet
1.14
10Bet
1.13
+0.3%
Home +2 handicap
80.8%
1.14
Bet365
1.17
10Bet
1.15
Unibet
1.14
Marathonbet
1.12
Betfair
1.10
+2.8%
Under 2.5 2H goals
80.3%
1.19
Betano
1.22
Bet365
1.20
10Bet
1.20
Unibet
1.19
William Hil
1.18
+2.3%
Over 0.5 2H goals
79.2%
1.21
Betano
1.24
Bet365
1.22
William Hil
1.22
10Bet
1.20
Unibet
1.20
+2.6%
Away under 1.5 2H goals
78.6%
1.18
Betano
1.21
10Bet
1.17
Marathonbet
1.16
1xBet
1.16
-
-0.3%
Over 1.5
78.2%
1.26
Betano
1.31
10Bet
1.28
BetVictor
1.25
Bet365
1.25
Unibet
1.25
+4.0%
Away over 0.5 goals
76.8%
1.25
Betano
1.28
10Bet
1.25
BetVictor
1.25
Bet365
1.25
Unibet
1.25
+2.4%
Home over 0.5 goals
73.9%
1.28
Betano
1.32
BetVictor
1.30
Bet365
1.30
10Bet
1.28
1xBet
1.28
+1.6%
Home or Away
72.4%
1.31
William Hil
1.35
Betfair
1.33
Bet365
1.33
Betano
1.32
1xBet
1.31
+0.9%
Over 0.5 HT goals
71.9%
1.37
Betano
1.44
1xBet
1.39
BetVictor
1.39
Marathonbet
1.39
Bet365
1.36
+4.0%
Under 5.5 cards
71.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 11.5 corners
71.4%
1.37
Unibet
1.44
Betano
1.30
-
-
-
+3.3%
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
ST Johnstone
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Josh Fowler50%
Ruari Paton25%
Cheick Diabate25%
K. Fotheringham25%
J. Holt0%
S. Stanton0%
Logan Chalmers0%
L. Smith0%
J. Gullan0%
R. McAlear0%
M. Tait0%
T. Steward0%
Z. Mitchell0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
L. Smith33%
S. Stanton25%
J. Gullan25%
Cheick Diabate25%
Z. Mitchell25%
J. Holt0%
Logan Chalmers0%
Ruari Paton0%
R. McAlear0%
K. Fotheringham0%
M. Tait0%
T. Steward0%
Josh Fowler0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
M. Tait33%
S. Stanton25%
J. Gullan25%
Josh Fowler25%
J. Holt0%
Logan Chalmers0%
L. Smith0%
Ruari Paton0%
R. McAlear0%
Cheick Diabate0%
K. Fotheringham0%
T. Steward0%
Z. Mitchell0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
S. Stanton25%
J. Gullan25%
Ruari Paton25%
J. Holt0%
Logan Chalmers0%
L. Smith0%
R. McAlear0%
Cheick Diabate0%
K. Fotheringham0%
M. Tait0%
T. Steward0%
Z. Mitchell0%
Josh Fowler0%
Hibernian
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
M. Boyle50%
C. Wright50%
A. Mayor25%
F. Passlack20%
J. Kerr20%
R. Sallinger0%
Josh Mulligan0%
J. McGrath0%
Jordan Obita0%
T. Klidje0%
Warren O'Hora0%
A. Šuto0%
Miguel Changa Chaiwa0%
N. Lowe0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
F. Passlack20%
Josh Mulligan20%
A. Šuto20%
Miguel Changa Chaiwa20%
R. Sallinger0%
M. Boyle0%
J. Kerr0%
J. McGrath0%
Jordan Obita0%
T. Klidje0%
Warren O'Hora0%
C. Wright0%
N. Lowe0%
A. Mayor0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Josh Mulligan40%
J. McGrath25%
F. Passlack20%
N. Lowe20%
R. Sallinger0%
M. Boyle0%
J. Kerr0%
Jordan Obita0%
T. Klidje0%
Warren O'Hora0%
C. Wright0%
A. Šuto0%
Miguel Changa Chaiwa0%
A. Mayor0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Josh Mulligan40%
N. Lowe40%
M. Boyle25%
J. McGrath25%
A. Mayor25%
R. Sallinger0%
F. Passlack0%
J. Kerr0%
Jordan Obita0%
T. Klidje0%
Warren O'Hora0%
C. Wright0%
A. Šuto0%
Miguel Changa Chaiwa0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
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💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
RAN (29)
€136m
CEL (27)
€116m
HOM (30)
€22m
HIB (27)
€20m
MOT (26)
€16m
ABE (27)
€15m
DU (22)
€11m
SM (24)
€8m
KIL (24)
€7m
FAL (27)
€6m
DUN (21)
€5m
SJ (25)
€5m
ST Johnstone's squad is €14m less valuable than Hibernian's (€5m vs €20m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
CEL (11)
€56m
RAN (9)
€38m
HOM (12)
€12m
MOT (10)
€10m
HIB (9)
€7m
ABE (7)
€4m
DU (7)
€4m
KIL (9)
€3m
SJ (9)
€2m
FAL (9)
€2m
SM (8)
€1m
DUN (7)
€1m
ST Johnstone's attack is €5m less valuable than Hibernian's (€2m vs €7m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
RAN (8)
€44m
CEL (5)
€20m
HIB (7)
€8m
ABE (8)
€4m
HOM (6)
€4m
SM (6)
€3m
DU (6)
€3m
DUN (7)
€2m
KIL (5)
€2m
MOT (4)
€1m
SJ (5)
€1m
FAL (5)
€1m
ST Johnstone's midfield is €7m less valuable than Hibernian's (€1m vs €8m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
RAN (12)
€54m
CEL (11)
€41m
ABE (12)
€7m
HOM (12)
€6m
MOT (12)
€5m
HIB (11)
€5m
DU (9)
€4m
FAL (13)
€3m
SM (10)
€3m
KIL (10)
€3m
DUN (7)
€2m
SJ (11)
€2m
ST Johnstone's defence is €3m less valuable than Hibernian's (€2m vs €5m).
Scotland: Premiership 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Scotland: Premiership stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
Celtic
ST Mirren
Heart Of Midlothian
Motherwell
Dundee
Rangers
Dundee Utd
Aberdeen
Falkirk
Kilmarnock