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ST Johnstone vs Morton Result & Analysis

Date: 18/07/2026
Time: 14:00
Final 3-0
ST Johnstone
ST Johnstone
Vs
69%
20%
11%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Morton
Morton
Scotland: League Cup
Referee: -

🎯 1. Model Analysis

ST Johnstone win✓ Hit
68.7%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
20.5%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Morton win✗ Miss
10.8%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

ST JohnstoneST Johnstone

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-400D11D11D42W40W20W20W20W10W10WA·PAR20/03H·QUE28/03H·QUE28/03A·ARB04/04H·AIR11/04A·DUN21/04H·RAI24/04H·RAI24/04A·AYR01/05A·AYR01/05← ChampionshipLeague Cup →
Avg total
2.2
Avg scored
1.8
Avg conceded
0.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.600.601.730.531.470.67
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (28)1.540.571.790.571.290.57
vs Weaker (2)2.501.001.000.004.002.00
Clean sheet %57% (+25pp vs league)
This opponent (Morton) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

MortonMorton

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-410W21W13L23L23L00D00D04L11D02LA·AYR21/03H·ARB28/03A·DUN04/04A·RAI11/04A·RAI11/04H·QUE18/04H·QUE18/04A·ROS25/04H·AIR01/05A·EAS14/07← ChampionshipLeague Cup →
Avg total
2.6
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
1.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.031.700.930.801.132.60
vs Stronger (2)1.001.500.000.002.003.00
vs Similar (27)1.071.631.000.861.152.46
vs Weaker (1)0.004.00--0.004.00
Clean sheet %23% (-9pp vs league)
This opponent (ST Johnstone) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%12%18%24%6%014%124%222%316%49%57%6+
The model estimates around 2.9 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (24%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
79.3%
Under 1.5
20.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
55.2%
Under 2.5
44.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
32.8%
Under 3.5
67.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
47.3%
No
52.7%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
2-0
12.8%
1-0
11.0%
1-1
9.8%
2-1
9.5%
3-0 ✓
9.1%
3-1
6.8%
0-0
6.4%
4-0
4.9%
ST Johnstone goals ↓
Morton goals →
01234
06.4%3.3%1.5%0.4%0.1%
111%9.8%3.3%0.8%0.2%
213%9.5%3.6%0.9%0.2%
39.1%6.8%2.5%0.6%0.1%
44.9%3.7%1.4%0.3%0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = ST Johnstone goals (down), columns = Morton goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Heart Of Midlothian
2.60
ST Johnstone
2.60
Partick
2.50
Alloa Athletic
2.40
Rangers
2.33
ST Mirren
2.25
Airdrie United
2.25
Dunfermline
2.25
Kilmarnock
2.20
Motherwell
2.00
Falkirk
2.00
Ayr Utd
1.80
Morton
1.80
Celtic
1.75
Ross County
1.75
Cove Rangers
1.75
Inverness CT
1.50
Hibernian
1.50
Dumbarton
1.50
Spartans
1.50
Dundee
1.50
Aberdeen
1.50
Livingston
1.50
Queen's Park
1.50
Raith Rovers
1.50
East Kilbride
1.50
Stranraer
1.25
Clyde
1.25
Arbroath
1.00
Stenhousemuir
1.00
East Fife
1.00
Forfar
1.00
Hamilton Academical
0.75
Montrose
0.75
Queen of the South
0.75
Kelty Hearts
0.33
Annan Athletic
0.25
Edinburgh City
0.25
Dundee Utd
0.00
Brechin
0.00
Peterhead
0.00
Stirling
0.00
Elgin
0.00
ST Johnstone is 0.80 points better than Morton in terms of average points per game (2.60 vs 1.80).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Heart Of Midlothian
3.40
Raith Rovers
3.25
ST Johnstone
3.00
Falkirk
3.00
Ayr Utd
2.80
ST Mirren
2.75
Ross County
2.75
East Kilbride
2.75
Celtic
2.50
Rangers
2.33
Inverness CT
2.25
Queen's Park
2.25
Dunfermline
2.25
Partick
2.17
Airdrie United
2.00
Dundee
2.00
Livingston
2.00
Morton
2.00
Kilmarnock
1.80
Alloa Athletic
1.80
Aberdeen
1.50
Arbroath
1.50
Montrose
1.50
Clyde
1.50
Motherwell
1.43
Cove Rangers
1.25
Dundee Utd
1.00
Hibernian
1.00
Spartans
1.00
Peterhead
1.00
Queen of the South
1.00
Annan Athletic
1.00
Hamilton Academical
0.75
Stenhousemuir
0.75
Forfar
0.75
East Fife
0.67
Dumbarton
0.50
Stranraer
0.50
Elgin
0.50
Edinburgh City
0.25
Brechin
0.00
Kelty Hearts
0.00
Stirling
0.00
ST Johnstone is 1.00 goals better than Morton in terms of goals scored per game (3.00 vs 2.00).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Heart Of Midlothian
0.40
ST Johnstone
0.40
Aberdeen
0.50
Cove Rangers
0.50
Kilmarnock
0.60
Dundee
0.75
Stranraer
0.75
Airdrie United
1.00
Hibernian
1.00
Motherwell
1.00
Falkirk
1.00
Rangers
1.00
Livingston
1.00
Ayr Utd
1.00
Partick
1.00
Ross County
1.00
Queen of the South
1.00
ST Mirren
1.12
Celtic
1.25
Arbroath
1.25
Dunfermline
1.25
Alloa Athletic
1.40
Spartans
1.50
Queen's Park
1.50
Stenhousemuir
1.50
Forfar
1.50
Morton
1.60
Hamilton Academical
1.75
Dundee Utd
2.00
Inverness CT
2.00
Dumbarton
2.00
East Fife
2.00
Clyde
2.00
Raith Rovers
2.25
Peterhead
2.25
Stirling
2.25
Kelty Hearts
2.33
Montrose
2.50
East Kilbride
3.00
Edinburgh City
4.00
Brechin
4.25
Elgin
4.75
Annan Athletic
5.25
ST Johnstone is 1.20 goals better than Morton in terms of goals conceded per game (0.40 vs 1.60).

⏱️ Possession

Avg possession %
Celtic
63%
ST Mirren
37%
Not enough data to compare these two teams.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

ST JohnstoneST Johnstone

For 8.0 · Against 3.0 · Total 11.0

🚩 Corners

1609711728782637281161191510999A·AYRH·RAIH·QUEH·AYRA·QUEA·RAIA·AYRH·RAI
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.1 · Against 3.0 · Total 5.1

🟨 Cards

7011332223431641526457755A·AYRH·RAIH·QUEH·AYRA·QUEA·RAIA·AYRH·RAI
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 11.0 · Against 12.5 · Total 23.5

⚠️ Fouls

3405616131211142015118181375141129233426262019A·AYRH·RAIH·QUEH·AYRA·QUEA·RAIA·AYRH·RAI
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

MortonMorton

For 5.6 · Against 5.1 · Total 10.7

🚩 Corners

150114293943815664151112791110H·QUEA·RAIA·AYRA·QUEH·RAIH·AYRH·QUE
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.0 · Against 1.7 · Total 3.7

🟨 Cards

801234214421111273832H·QUEA·RAIA·AYRA·QUEH·RAIH·AYRH·QUE
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 11.1 · Against 11.6 · Total 22.7

⚠️ Fouls

2901198951117913161216121120171626292823H·QUEA·RAIA·AYRA·QUEH·RAIH·AYRH·QUE
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

ST JohnstoneST Johnstone

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)10.010.010.01.31.41.122.525.319.7
vs Stronger (0)---------
vs Similar (46)10.010.010.01.41.51.222.525.319.7
vs Weaker (4)---0.00.00.0---
% over line50%50%50%22%27%17%67%83%50%
% under line50%50%50%78%73%83%33%17%50%
This opponent (Morton) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

MortonMorton

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)10.210.310.01.11.11.023.424.722.2
vs Stronger (5)10.09.011.04.45.72.522.024.519.5
vs Similar (44)10.211.09.50.70.51.024.124.823.5
vs Weaker (1)---0.0-0.0---
% over line58%50%67%12%12%12%58%67%50%
% under line42%50%33%88%88%88%42%33%50%
This opponent (ST Johnstone) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

🚩 Total Corners

Match total corners / game
Queen's Park
12.0
ST Mirren
11.2
Morton
11.0
Stirling
11.0
Ross County
10.9
Hibernian
10.8
Celtic
10.7
Dumbarton
10.5
Dundee Utd
10.4
Partick
10.4
East Kilbride
10.4
Rangers
10.4
ST Johnstone
10.4
Stranraer
10.4
Elgin
10.3
Airdrie United
10.1
Aberdeen
10.1
Livingston
10.1
Brechin
10.0
Heart Of Midlothian
10.0
Annan Athletic
9.9
Falkirk
9.9
Dundee
9.9
Clyde
9.7
East Fife
9.7
Arbroath
9.6
Kilmarnock
9.5
Cove Rangers
9.4
Kelty Hearts
9.4
Inverness CT
9.2
Edinburgh City
9.2
Dunfermline
9.1
Spartans
9.1
Peterhead
9.0
Forfar
8.9
Stenhousemuir
8.6
Montrose
8.4
Motherwell
8.4

🟨 Total Cards

Match total cards / game
East Kilbride
5.6
Edinburgh City
5.1
Peterhead
5.0
Hamilton Academical
5.0
Stenhousemuir
4.9
Aberdeen
4.8
Ayr Utd
4.8
Motherwell
4.7
Hibernian
4.7
Morton
4.6
Heart Of Midlothian
4.4
Partick
4.4
Elgin
4.3
Forfar
4.3
Kelty Hearts
4.3
Clyde
4.3
Kilmarnock
4.3
Livingston
4.3
Spartans
4.2
Rangers
4.2
Stranraer
4.2
ST Johnstone
4.2
Falkirk
4.1
Annan Athletic
4.0
Stirling
4.0
Dundee Utd
4.0
Celtic
4.0
Dunfermline
3.9
Montrose
3.7
Arbroath
3.6
Dundee
3.6
East Fife
3.6
Brechin
3.5
Dumbarton
3.5
ST Mirren
3.5
Ross County
3.4
Airdrie United
3.4
Inverness CT
3.2
Cove Rangers
3.2
Raith Rovers
3.0
Queen's Park
2.0

⚠️ Total Fouls

Match total fouls / game
Peterhead
27.4
East Kilbride
26.4
Motherwell
25.9
Rangers
25.8
Aberdeen
25.7
Stenhousemuir
25.2
Livingston
25.0
Kilmarnock
24.7
Falkirk
24.5
Forfar
24.1
Edinburgh City
23.9
Heart Of Midlothian
23.5
East Fife
22.8
Elgin
22.7
Hibernian
22.6
ST Johnstone
22.6
Kelty Hearts
22.5
Montrose
22.3
Dundee
22.2
Annan Athletic
22.2
Stranraer
22.1
Clyde
22.0
ST Mirren
22.0
Dundee Utd
21.8
Morton
21.8
Inverness CT
21.8
Celtic
21.7
Ross County
21.5
Dunfermline
21.3
Cove Rangers
20.9
Arbroath
20.8
Stirling
20.8
Spartans
20.5
Dumbarton
20.4
Brechin
20.4
Airdrie United
20.0
Partick
19.9
Queen's Park
18.0
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
52.9%
Under 9.5
47.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
69.8%
Under 3.5
30.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
75.6%
Under 21.5
24.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
ST Johnstone or Draw✓ Hit
89.2%
Avg Implied -
69%
20%
11%
covers ST Johnstone + Draw
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
ST Johnstone or Morton✓ Hit
79.5%
Avg Implied -
69%
20%
11%
covers ST Johnstone + Morton
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw or Morton✗ Miss
31.3%
Avg Implied -
69%
20%
11%
covers Draw + Morton
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

Home & Away Over/Under

How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
ST Johnstone over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
88.3%
Under
11.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
ST Johnstone over/under 1.5Actual: Over
Over
63.2%
Under
36.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
ST Johnstone over/under 2.5Actual: Over
Over
36.2%
Under
63.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
ST Johnstone over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
17.0%
Under
83.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Morton over/under 0.5Actual: Under
Over
52.6%
Under
47.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Morton over/under 1.5Actual: Under
Over
17.2%
Under
82.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Morton over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
4.0%
Under
96.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Morton over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
0.7%
Under
99.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⚖️ 7. Handicap

Handicap

The handicap is applied to ST Johnstone, so a minus line means ST Johnstone give that many goals of a start and Morton receive them. At -1, ST Johnstone must win by two or more to land; a one-goal ST Johnstone win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (ST Johnstone)Actual: ST Johnstone
ST Johnstone -2
24.1%
Draw -2
21.1%
Morton +2
54.7%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap -1 (ST Johnstone)Actual: ST Johnstone
ST Johnstone -1
45.3%
Draw -1
23.5%
Morton +1
31.3%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +1 (ST Johnstone)Actual: ST Johnstone
ST Johnstone +1
89.2%
Draw +1
7.6%
Morton -1
3.2%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +2 (ST Johnstone)Actual: ST Johnstone
ST Johnstone +2
96.8%
Draw +2
2.6%
Morton -2
0.7%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

ST JohnstoneST Johnstone

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-300D01L01L11D30W00D20W20W10W10WA·PAR20/03H·QUE28/03H·QUE28/03A·ARB04/04H·AIR11/04A·DUN21/04H·RAI24/04H·RAI24/04A·AYR01/05A·AYR01/05← ChampionshipLeague Cup →
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.3
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.700.401.130.330.270.47
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (28)0.680.391.140.360.210.43
vs Weaker (2)1.000.501.000.001.001.00
Clean sheet %70% (+38pp vs league)
This opponent (Morton) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

MortonMorton

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-210W21W10W10W10W00D00D02L00D02LA·AYR21/03H·ARB28/03A·DUN04/04A·RAI11/04A·RAI11/04H·QUE18/04H·QUE18/04A·ROS25/04H·AIR01/05A·EAS14/07← ChampionshipLeague Cup →
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.570.630.470.400.670.87
vs Stronger (2)0.500.000.000.001.000.00
vs Similar (27)0.590.630.500.430.690.85
vs Weaker (1)0.002.00--0.002.00
Clean sheet %53% (+21pp vs league)
This opponent (ST Johnstone) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
ST Johnstone over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
ST Johnstone over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
ST Johnstone over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Morton over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Morton over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Morton over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

ST JohnstoneST Johnstone

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-300D10W10W31W10W20W00D00D00D00DA·PAR20/03H·QUE28/03H·QUE28/03A·ARB04/04H·AIR11/04A·DUN21/04H·RAI24/04H·RAI24/04A·AYR01/05A·AYR01/05← ChampionshipLeague Cup →
Avg total
0.9
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.1
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.900.200.600.201.200.20
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (28)0.860.180.640.211.070.14
vs Weaker (2)1.500.500.000.003.001.00
Clean sheet %80% (+48pp vs league)
This opponent (Morton) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

MortonMorton

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-300D00D03L13L13L00D00D02L11D00DA·AYR21/03H·ARB28/03A·DUN04/04A·RAI11/04A·RAI11/04H·QUE18/04H·QUE18/04A·ROS25/04H·AIR01/05A·EAS14/07← ChampionshipLeague Cup →
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
1.2
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.471.070.470.400.471.73
vs Stronger (2)0.501.500.000.001.003.00
vs Similar (27)0.481.000.500.430.461.62
vs Weaker (1)0.002.00--0.002.00
Clean sheet %43% (+11pp vs league)
This opponent (ST Johnstone) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
ST Johnstone over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
ST Johnstone over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
ST Johnstone over/under 2.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Morton over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Morton over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Morton over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Away under 3.5 goals99.3%-------✓ Hit
Under 7.599.0%-------✓ Hit
Under 6.597.2%-------✓ Hit
Home +2 handicap96.8%-------✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 goals96.0%-------✓ Hit
Under 5.592.7%-------✓ Hit
Home or Draw89.2%-------✓ Hit
Home +1 handicap89.2%-------✓ Hit
Home over 0.5 goals88.3%-------✓ Hit
Over 19.5 fouls86.8%--------
Over 2.5 cards85.3%--------
Under 4.583.3%-------✓ Hit
Home under 3.5 goals83.0%-------✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 goals82.8%-------✓ Hit
Home or Away79.5%-------✓ Hit
Over 1.579.3%-------✓ Hit
Over 21.5 fouls75.6%--------
Under 11.5 corners70.8%--------

🎽 13. Player market rates

ST Johnstone
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Ruari Paton33%
Cheick Diabate33%
Kai Fotheringham33%
Josh Fowler33%
Jason Holt0%
Sam Stanton0%
Logan Chalmers0%
Liam Smith0%
Jamie Gullan0%
Reece McAlear0%
Toby Steward0%
Zach Mitchell0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Liam Smith33%
Jamie Gullan33%
Cheick Diabate33%
Jason Holt0%
Sam Stanton0%
Logan Chalmers0%
Ruari Paton0%
Reece McAlear0%
Kai Fotheringham0%
Toby Steward0%
Zach Mitchell0%
Josh Fowler0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Sam Stanton33%
Jamie Gullan33%
Josh Fowler33%
Jason Holt0%
Logan Chalmers0%
Liam Smith0%
Ruari Paton0%
Reece McAlear0%
Cheick Diabate0%
Kai Fotheringham0%
Toby Steward0%
Zach Mitchell0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Jamie Gullan33%
Jason Holt0%
Sam Stanton0%
Logan Chalmers0%
Liam Smith0%
Ruari Paton0%
Reece McAlear0%
Cheick Diabate0%
Kai Fotheringham0%
Toby Steward0%
Zach Mitchell0%
Josh Fowler0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
RAN (29)
€136m
CEL (27)
€116m
HOM (30)
€22m
HIB (27)
€20m
MOT (26)
€16m
ABE (27)
€15m
DU (22)
€11m
SM (24)
€8m
KIL (24)
€7m
FAL (27)
€6m
DUN (21)
€5m
SJ (25)
€5m
LIV (25)
€4m
DUN (26)
€4m
PAR (20)
€3m
AU (17)
€2m
QP (19)
€2m
RR (18)
€2m
RC (11)
€1m
MOR (14)
€1m
ARB (15)
€1m
KH (4)
€1m
IC (6)
€1m
HA (5)
€0m
AA (2)
€0m
EK (4)
€0m
MON (4)
€0m
STE (2)
€0m
QOT (1)
€0m
CLY (2)
€0m
FOR (1)
€0m
STI (3)
€0m
CR (2)
€0m
DUM (1)
€0m
STR (1)
€0m
AA (1)
€0m
EF (1)
€0m
EC (1)
€0m
ST Johnstone's squad is €4m more valuable than Morton's (€5m vs €1m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
CEL (11)
€56m
RAN (9)
€38m
HOM (12)
€12m
MOT (10)
€10m
HIB (9)
€7m
ABE (7)
€4m
DU (7)
€4m
KIL (9)
€3m
SJ (9)
€2m
FAL (9)
€2m
DUN (9)
€2m
SM (8)
€1m
LIV (7)
€1m
DUN (7)
€1m
PAR (6)
€1m
QP (8)
€1m
AU (6)
€1m
RR (5)
€1m
KH (3)
€1m
AA (1)
€0m
MOR (4)
€0m
EK (3)
€0m
IC (3)
€0m
HA (1)
€0m
ARB (3)
€0m
CLY (2)
€0m
RC (1)
€0m
STE (1)
€0m
MON (1)
€0m
STI (1)
€0m
CR (1)
€0m
AA (1)
€0m
DUM (0)
€0m
FOR (0)
€0m
STR (0)
€0m
EF (0)
€0m
EC (0)
€0m
QOT (0)
€0m
ST Johnstone's attack is €2m more valuable than Morton's (€2m vs €0m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
RAN (8)
€44m
CEL (5)
€20m
HIB (7)
€8m
ABE (8)
€4m
HOM (6)
€4m
SM (6)
€3m
DU (6)
€3m
DUN (7)
€2m
KIL (5)
€2m
MOT (4)
€1m
LIV (8)
€1m
PAR (6)
€1m
SJ (5)
€1m
FAL (5)
€1m
RR (6)
€1m
DUN (4)
€0m
MOR (4)
€0m
ARB (5)
€0m
RC (3)
€0m
IC (2)
€0m
HA (2)
€0m
AU (1)
€0m
MON (2)
€0m
QP (1)
€0m
EF (1)
€0m
STI (1)
€0m
EC (1)
€0m
DUM (0)
€0m
FOR (0)
€0m
STR (0)
€0m
STE (0)
€0m
AA (0)
€0m
CLY (0)
€0m
CR (0)
€0m
KH (0)
€0m
EK (0)
€0m
AA (0)
€0m
QOT (0)
€0m
ST Johnstone and Morton have a similar midfield value (both €1m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
RAN (12)
€54m
CEL (11)
€41m
ABE (12)
€7m
HOM (12)
€6m
MOT (12)
€5m
HIB (11)
€5m
DU (9)
€4m
FAL (13)
€3m
SM (10)
€3m
KIL (10)
€3m
DUN (7)
€2m
DUN (13)
€2m
SJ (11)
€2m
LIV (10)
€1m
AU (10)
€1m
PAR (8)
€1m
QP (10)
€1m
RC (7)
€1m
RR (7)
€0m
MOR (6)
€0m
ARB (7)
€0m
QOT (1)
€0m
FOR (1)
€0m
STE (1)
€0m
KH (1)
€0m
IC (1)
€0m
HA (2)
€0m
DUM (1)
€0m
STR (1)
€0m
CR (1)
€0m
EK (1)
€0m
STI (1)
€0m
MON (1)
€0m
AA (1)
€0m
EF (0)
€0m
CLY (0)
€0m
EC (0)
€0m
AA (0)
€0m
ST Johnstone's defence is €2m more valuable than Morton's (€2m vs €0m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

5 previous meetings
4
SJ wins
1
Draws
0
MOR wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

ST Johnstone vs Morton · H/A from SJ
DateH/AGameScore
07/03/26AMorton Vs SJ0-2
20/12/25HSJ Vs Morton5-0
25/10/25AMorton Vs SJ0-4
30/08/25HSJ Vs Morton1-1
20/07/24HSJ Vs Morton2-0

ST JohnstoneST Johnstone

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
01/05/26AAyr Utd Vs SJ0-1
01/05/26AAyr Vs SJ0-1
24/04/26HSJ Vs Raith Rvs2-0
24/04/26HSJ Vs Raith Rovers2-0
21/04/26ADunfermline Vs SJ0-2
11/04/26HSJ Vs Airdrie United4-0
04/04/26AArbroath Vs SJ2-4
28/03/26HSJ Vs Queen's Park1-1
28/03/26HSJ Vs Queens Park1-1
20/03/26APartick Vs SJ0-0

MortonMorton

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
14/07/26AEast Fife Vs MOR2-0
01/05/26HMOR Vs Airdrie United1-1
25/04/26ARoss County Vs MOR4-0
18/04/26HMOR Vs Queen's Park0-0
18/04/26HMOR Vs Queens Park0-0
11/04/26ARaith Rovers Vs MOR3-2
11/04/26ARaith Rvs Vs MOR3-2
04/04/26ADunfermline Vs MOR3-1
28/03/26HMOR Vs Arbroath2-1
21/03/26AAyr Utd Vs MOR0-1

📊 16. Overall Statistics

ST Johnstone
ST Johnstone
Scotland: League Cup
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Draws / 0 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWWWWW2.10
HomeDDWWW2.04
AwayDWWWW2.17
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %58%54%62%
AVG goals2.462.502.42
Over 1.5 %66%65%67%
Over 2.5 %42%42%42%
Over 3.5 %28%31%25%
Scored1.761.851.67
Conceded0.700.650.75
BTTS44%42%46%
Clean Sheet54%54%54%
Corners10.0010.0010.00
Cards4.925.294.50
Morton
Morton
Scotland: League Cup
Recent: 2 Wins / 3 Draws / 5 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDDLDL0.98
HomeLWDDD1.21
AwayLLLLL0.77
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %20%25%15%
AVG goals2.502.002.96
Over 1.5 %74%67%81%
Over 2.5 %48%38%58%
Over 3.5 %28%12%42%
Scored0.980.881.08
Conceded1.521.121.88
BTTS56%50%62%
Clean Sheet22%25%19%
Corners10.1710.3310.00
Cards4.504.504.50

🏆 17. League Table

ST Johnstone plays in Scotland - Premiership
RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1CelticCeltic39
100%
3.0
82+6
3.3
67%
67%
33%
11.3
67%
2.7
33%
19.7
33%
116
5620412.70.7
66%
2ST MirrenST Mirren37
67%
2.3
63+3
3.0
67%
33%
33%
11.7
67%
3.7
67%
27.0
67%
8
1332.01.0
46%
3Heart Of MidlothianHeart Of Midlothian36
67%
2.0
73+4
3.3
100%
100%
33%
10.3
67%
4.0
50%
24.7
100%
22
12462.31.0
53%
4DundeeDundee46
50%
1.5
53+2
2.0
75%
25%
0%
10.2
50%
3.8
50%
20.2
50%
5
1221.20.8
44%
5HibernianHibernian36
67%
2.0
54+1
3.0
100%
100%
0%
9.7
67%
2.7
33%
24.3
100%
20
7851.71.3
47%
6MotherwellMotherwell35
33%
1.7
54+1
3.0
67%
67%
33%
9.7
67%
4.0
100%
28.7
100%
16
10151.71.3
58%
7RangersRangers34
33%
1.3
33+0
2.0
67%
33%
0%
12.3
100%
5.0
67%
30.0
100%
136
3844541.01.0
58%
8Dundee UtdDundee Utd44
25%
1.0
57-2
3.0
100%
50%
50%
10.8
50%
5.0
75%
24.2
100%
11
4341.21.8
42%
9ST JohnstoneST Johnstone33
33%
1.0
56-1
3.7
67%
67%
33%
9.3
33%
3.5
50%
21.0
33%
5
2121.72.0
-
10AberdeenAberdeen33
33%
1.0
24-2
2.0
67%
33%
0%
10.3
67%
6.0
100%
28.0
67%
15
4470.71.3
48%
11FalkirkFalkirk31
0%
0.3
14-3
1.7
67%
33%
0%
9.0
33%
4.3
100%
30.0
67%
6
2130.31.3
51%
12KilmarnockKilmarnock30
0%
0.0
413-9
5.7
100%
100%
100%
9.7
33%
3.7
67%
21.3
67%
7
3231.34.3
42%
Scotland: Premiership 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Scotland: Premiership stats & trends →
Morton plays in Scotland - Championship
RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1StenhousemuirStenhousemuir410
75%
2.5
82+6
2.5
100%
25%
25%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.00.5
-
2PartickPartick48
50%
2.0
41+3
1.2
50%
0%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1111.00.2
-
3Raith RoversRaith Rovers47
50%
1.8
53+2
2.0
75%
25%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1101.20.8
-
4ArbroathArbroath47
50%
1.8
33+0
1.5
50%
25%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0000.80.8
-
5LivingstonLivingston46
50%
1.5
43+1
1.8
75%
0%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
1111.00.8
-
6Ayr UtdAyr Utd45
25%
1.2
44+0
2.0
100%
0%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1011.01.0
-
7DunfermlineDunfermline45
25%
1.2
23-1
1.2
50%
0%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
2020.50.8
-
8Inverness CTInverness CT43
0%
0.8
24-2
1.5
50%
25%
25%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0000.51.0
-
9MortonMorton41
0%
0.2
26-4
2.0
75%
25%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0000.51.5
-
10QueenQueen's Park41
0%
0.2
16-5
1.8
75%
25%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1010.21.5
-
Scotland: Championship 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Scotland: Championship stats & trends →

← all matches