This opponent (Heart Of Midlothian) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Heart Of Midlothian
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.4
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
1.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.43
0.97
1.80
0.80
1.07
1.13
vs Stronger (6)
0.67
2.00
1.00
1.67
0.33
2.33
vs Similar (10)
1.70
0.70
2.00
0.60
1.40
0.80
vs Weaker (14)
1.57
0.71
2.00
0.57
1.14
0.86
Clean sheet %
43% (+15pp vs league)
This opponent (ST Mirren) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 1.8 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (28%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
55.8%
Under 1.5
44.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
27.7%
@ 2.12-16.8%
Under 2.5
72.3%
@ 1.70+16.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
11.3%
Under 3.5
88.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
36.8%
No
63.2%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
0-0
17.4%
1-0
15.0%
1-1
14.6%
0-1
11.8%
2-0
8.3%
2-1
6.7%
1-2
5.4%
0-2 â
5.3%
ST Mirren goals ↓
Heart Of Midlothian goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
17%
12%
5.3%
1.4%
0.3%
1
15%
15%
5.4%
1.5%
0.3%
2
8.3%
6.7%
2.7%
0.7%
0.2%
3
2.8%
2.3%
0.9%
0.3%
0.1%
4
0.7%
0.6%
0.2%
0.1%
0.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = ST Mirren goals (down), columns = Heart Of Midlothian goals (across).
ðŠ 3. Team Strengths Analysis
ð Total PPG
Points / game
Celtic
2.45
Rangers
2.34
Heart Of Midlothian
1.61
Livingston
1.29
Dundee Utd
1.26
Motherwell
1.21
Hibernian
1.18
ST Mirren
1.16
Aberdeen
1.08
Ross County
1.08
ST Johnstone
0.92
Dundee
0.76
ST Mirren is 0.45 points worse than Heart Of Midlothian in terms of average points per game (1.16 vs 1.61).
âïļ Attack
Goals scored / game
Celtic
2.42
Rangers
2.11
Heart Of Midlothian
1.42
Ross County
1.24
Motherwell
1.11
Aberdeen
1.08
Livingston
1.08
Hibernian
1.00
Dundee Utd
0.97
Dundee
0.89
ST Mirren
0.87
ST Johnstone
0.63
ST Mirren is 0.55 goals worse than Heart Of Midlothian in terms of goals scored per game (0.87 vs 1.42).
ðĄïļ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Celtic
0.58
Rangers
0.82
Hibernian
1.11
Dundee Utd
1.16
Heart Of Midlothian
1.16
Aberdeen
1.21
Livingston
1.21
ST Mirren
1.34
ST Johnstone
1.34
Motherwell
1.61
Ross County
1.61
Dundee
1.68
ST Mirren is 0.18 goals worse than Heart Of Midlothian in terms of goals conceded per game (1.34 vs 1.16).
âąïļ Possession
Not available for this league.
Not enough data to compare these two teams.
ðē 4. Props Analysis
ST Mirren
For 4.3 · Against 6.5 · Total 10.8
ðĐ Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.5 · Against 1.9 · Total 3.4
ðĻ Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 8.8 · Against 14.2 · Total 23.0
â ïļ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Heart Of Midlothian
For 6.2 · Against 4.4 · Total 10.6
ðĐ Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.9 · Against 2.9 · Total 4.8
ðĻ Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 11.5 · Against 12.9 · Total 24.4
â ïļ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
ST Mirren
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
10.5
9.9
11.0
3.3
3.6
3.0
24.2
23.9
24.5
vs Stronger (19)
9.6
8.9
10.3
3.3
4.1
2.6
23.7
24.9
22.7
vs Similar (31)
11.0
10.4
11.5
3.3
3.4
3.3
24.5
23.4
25.7
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
58%
56%
60%
36%
44%
28%
70%
68%
72%
% under line
42%
44%
40%
64%
56%
72%
30%
32%
28%
This opponent (Heart Of Midlothian) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Heart Of Midlothian
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
10.3
10.5
10.0
3.7
3.6
3.8
25.2
24.9
25.5
vs Stronger (6)
12.7
13.3
12.0
4.8
5.3
4.3
22.3
22.0
22.7
vs Similar (12)
11.1
12.3
9.8
3.8
3.8
3.8
26.0
26.5
25.5
vs Weaker (32)
9.5
9.4
9.7
3.4
3.2
3.6
25.4
24.8
26.1
% over line
58%
58%
58%
52%
46%
58%
76%
73%
79%
% under line
42%
42%
42%
48%
54%
42%
24%
27%
21%
This opponent (ST Mirren) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
ðĐ Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Celtic
11.5
Dundee
11.1
Rangers
11.0
Dundee Utd
11.0
Ross County
10.5
ST Mirren
10.5
Motherwell
10.3
Heart Of Midlothian
10.3
ST Johnstone
10.0
Hibernian
9.9
Aberdeen
9.6
Livingston
8.7
ðĻ Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Rangers
4.0
Ross County
4.0
Livingston
4.0
Aberdeen
3.9
Motherwell
3.8
ST Johnstone
3.8
Hibernian
3.7
Dundee Utd
3.7
Heart Of Midlothian
3.7
Dundee
3.6
ST Mirren
3.3
Celtic
2.7
â ïļ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Aberdeen
26.9
Motherwell
26.5
Dundee
25.6
Heart Of Midlothian
25.2
Livingston
25.1
ST Johnstone
24.6
Ross County
24.6
Hibernian
24.6
ST Mirren
24.2
Dundee Utd
23.6
Rangers
23.2
Celtic
22.1
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Over
Over 9.5
60.7%
Under 9.5
39.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
60.9%
Under 3.5
39.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Under
Over 21.5
76.0%
Under 21.5
24.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
ð 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
ðĨ 6. Home & Away Over/Under
âïļ 7. Handicap
âąïļ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
ST Mirren
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.9
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.37
0.70
0.20
0.53
0.53
0.87
vs Stronger (12)
0.33
1.17
0.33
0.83
0.33
1.50
vs Similar (18)
0.39
0.39
0.11
0.33
0.67
0.44
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
57% (+28pp vs league)
This opponent (Heart Of Midlothian) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Heart Of Midlothian
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.73
0.43
1.00
0.33
0.47
0.53
vs Stronger (6)
0.17
1.17
0.33
1.33
0.00
1.00
vs Similar (10)
0.80
0.20
1.00
0.20
0.60
0.20
vs Weaker (14)
0.93
0.29
1.29
0.00
0.57
0.57
Clean sheet %
67% (+38pp vs league)
This opponent (ST Mirren) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
ðĨ 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
ST Mirren over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
ST Mirren over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
ST Mirren over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Heart Of Midlothian over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Heart Of Midlothian over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Heart Of Midlothian over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
âąïļ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
ST Mirren
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.73
0.67
0.60
0.33
0.87
1.00
vs Stronger (12)
0.58
0.75
0.83
0.33
0.33
1.17
vs Similar (18)
0.83
0.61
0.44
0.33
1.22
0.89
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
50% (+21pp vs league)
This opponent (Heart Of Midlothian) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Heart Of Midlothian
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.70
0.53
0.80
0.47
0.60
0.60
vs Stronger (6)
0.50
0.83
0.67
0.33
0.33
1.33
vs Similar (10)
0.90
0.50
1.00
0.40
0.80
0.60
vs Weaker (14)
0.64
0.43
0.71
0.57
0.57
0.29
Clean sheet %
63% (+35pp vs league)
This opponent (ST Mirren) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
ðĨ 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
ST Mirren over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
ST Mirren over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
ST Mirren over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Heart Of Midlothian over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Heart Of Midlothian over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Heart Of Midlothian over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
ðĨ 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Under 3.5
88.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
â Hit
Over 19.5 fouls
87.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
â Miss
Over 2.5 cards
79.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
â Hit
Over 21.5 fouls
76.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
â Miss
Under 5.5 cards
74.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
â Miss
Over 8.5 corners
72.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
â Hit
Under 2.5
72.3%
1.70
-
-
-
-
-
+16.8%
â Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
ð― 13. Player market rates
ST Mirren · 2026/27
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
D. John33%
Samuel Ramos33%
P. Nsio25%
Luke Thomas0%
Alexander GogiÄ0%
C. Mochrie0%
J. Richardson0%
J. Chapman0%
J. Young0%
Henry Fieldson0%
Ryan Carr0%
Eseosa Sule0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Ryan Carr75%
Henry Fieldson33%
Luke Thomas25%
J. Richardson25%
J. Young25%
D. John0%
Alexander GogiÄ0%
C. Mochrie0%
J. Chapman0%
P. Nsio0%
Eseosa Sule0%
Samuel Ramos0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Henry Fieldson33%
Samuel Ramos33%
Alexander GogiÄ25%
D. John0%
Luke Thomas0%
C. Mochrie0%
J. Richardson0%
J. Chapman0%
J. Young0%
Ryan Carr0%
P. Nsio0%
Eseosa Sule0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Eseosa Sule50%
D. John0%
Luke Thomas0%
Alexander GogiÄ0%
C. Mochrie0%
J. Richardson0%
J. Chapman0%
J. Young0%
Henry Fieldson0%
Ryan Carr0%
P. Nsio0%
Samuel Ramos0%
Heart Of Midlothian · 2026/27
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
James Wilson50%
Calvin Miller33%
Josh McPake25%
Tom Renaud25%
Oisin McEntee17%
ClÃĄudio Braga17%
Pierre Landry KaborÃĐ17%
Tomas Magnusson0%
Beau Reus0%
Stuart Findlay0%
Jamie McCart0%
Blair Spittal0%
Christian Borchgrevink0%
Amadou Ba-Sy0%
Rogers Mato0%
Jordi Altena0%
Sabah Kerjota0%
Laurent Mendy0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Amadou Ba-Sy33%
Pierre Landry KaborÃĐ33%
Tomas Magnusson20%
Oisin McEntee17%
ClÃĄudio Braga17%
Jordi Altena17%
Beau Reus0%
Stuart Findlay0%
Jamie McCart0%
Calvin Miller0%
Blair Spittal0%
Christian Borchgrevink0%
Josh McPake0%
Tom Renaud0%
Rogers Mato0%
James Wilson0%
Sabah Kerjota0%
Laurent Mendy0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
ClÃĄudio Braga33%
Rogers Mato33%
Josh McPake25%
Sabah Kerjota25%
Blair Spittal17%
Tomas Magnusson0%
Beau Reus0%
Stuart Findlay0%
Jamie McCart0%
Calvin Miller0%
Christian Borchgrevink0%
Tom Renaud0%
Oisin McEntee0%
Amadou Ba-Sy0%
Pierre Landry KaborÃĐ0%
James Wilson0%
Jordi Altena0%
Laurent Mendy0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
ClÃĄudio Braga50%
Laurent Mendy33%
Tomas Magnusson0%
Beau Reus0%
Stuart Findlay0%
Jamie McCart0%
Calvin Miller0%
Blair Spittal0%
Christian Borchgrevink0%
Josh McPake0%
Tom Renaud0%
Oisin McEntee0%
Amadou Ba-Sy0%
Pierre Landry KaborÃĐ0%
Rogers Mato0%
James Wilson0%
Jordi Altena0%
Sabah Kerjota0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
ð° 14. Squad value
ð° Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
RAN (29)
€136m
CEL (27)
€116m
HOM (30)
€22m
HIB (27)
€20m
MOT (26)
€16m
ABE (27)
€15m
DU (22)
€11m
SM (24)
€8m
DUN (21)
€5m
SJ (25)
€5m
LIV (25)
€4m
RC (11)
€1m
ST Mirren's squad is €14m less valuable than Heart Of Midlothian's (€8m vs €22m).
âïļ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
CEL (11)
€56m
RAN (9)
€38m
HOM (12)
€12m
MOT (10)
€10m
HIB (9)
€7m
ABE (7)
€4m
DU (7)
€4m
SJ (9)
€2m
SM (8)
€1m
LIV (7)
€1m
DUN (7)
€1m
RC (1)
€0m
ST Mirren's attack is €11m less valuable than Heart Of Midlothian's (€1m vs €12m).
ð§ Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
RAN (8)
€44m
CEL (5)
€20m
HIB (7)
€8m
ABE (8)
€4m
HOM (6)
€4m
SM (6)
€3m
DU (6)
€3m
DUN (7)
€2m
MOT (4)
€1m
LIV (8)
€1m
SJ (5)
€1m
RC (3)
€0m
ST Mirren's midfield is €1m less valuable than Heart Of Midlothian's (€3m vs €4m).
ðĄïļ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
RAN (12)
€54m
CEL (11)
€41m
ABE (12)
€7m
HOM (12)
€6m
MOT (12)
€5m
HIB (11)
€5m
DU (9)
€4m
SM (10)
€3m
DUN (7)
€2m
SJ (11)
€2m
LIV (10)
€1m
RC (7)
€1m
ST Mirren's defence is €2m less valuable than Heart Of Midlothian's (€3m vs €6m).
Scotland: Premiership 2021/22 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Scotland: Premiership stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
Celtic
Rangers
Livingston
Dundee Utd
Motherwell
Hibernian
Aberdeen
Ross County
ST Johnstone
Dundee