This opponent (Heart Of Midlothian) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Heart Of Midlothian
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.2
Avg scored
2.2
Avg conceded
1.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.40
1.27
1.40
1.27
1.40
1.27
vs Stronger (5)
0.20
2.00
0.50
2.50
0.00
1.67
vs Similar (13)
1.00
1.15
1.00
1.14
1.00
1.17
vs Weaker (12)
2.33
1.08
2.17
1.00
2.50
1.17
Clean sheet %
23% (-2pp vs league)
This opponent (ST Mirren) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.4 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (27%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
71.2%
Under 1.5
28.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
44.0%
Under 2.5
56.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
22.9%
Under 3.5
77.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
50.3%
No
49.7%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1 ✓
14.1%
1-0
10.6%
0-0
10.0%
2-1
8.7%
0-1
8.2%
2-0
8.0%
1-2
6.9%
0-2
5.1%
ST Mirren goals ↓
Heart Of Midlothian goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
10%
8.2%
5.1%
1.8%
0.5%
1
11%
14%
6.9%
2.5%
0.7%
2
8.0%
8.7%
4.7%
1.7%
0.5%
3
3.6%
3.9%
2.1%
0.8%
0.2%
4
1.2%
1.3%
0.7%
0.3%
0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = ST Mirren goals (down), columns = Heart Of Midlothian goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Cumnock Juniors
3.00
Clachnacuddin
3.00
Formartine United
3.00
Celtic
2.60
Musselburgh Athletic
2.40
Clydebank
2.40
Cowdenbeath
2.33
Jeanfield Swifts
2.33
ST Johnstone
2.25
Bo'ness Athletic
2.25
Irvine Meadow
2.25
Aberdeen
2.20
Dundee
2.00
ST Mirren
2.00
Hibernian
2.00
Falkirk
2.00
Dunfermline
2.00
Stranraer
2.00
Montrose
2.00
Stirling
2.00
Cove Rangers
2.00
East Kilbride
2.00
Heart Of Midlothian
2.00
Ayr Utd
2.00
Airdrie United
2.00
Hamilton Academical
2.00
Threave Rovers
2.00
Banks O' Dee
2.00
Lochee United
2.00
Auchinleck Talbot
2.00
Bo'ness United
2.00
Buckie Thistle
2.00
Dundonald Bluebell
2.00
Camelon Juniors
2.00
Sauchie Juniors
2.00
Turriff United
2.00
Hill Of Beath Hawthorn
2.00
Brechin
1.75
Fraserburgh
1.75
Broxburn Athletic
1.75
Dundee North End
1.75
Rangers
1.50
Dumbarton
1.50
Peterhead
1.50
Stenhousemuir
1.50
Queen of the South
1.50
Berwick Rangers
1.50
Culter
1.50
Whitehill Welfare
1.50
Vale of Leithen
1.50
Dunbar United
1.50
Carluke Rovers
1.50
Caledonian Braves
1.50
Dalkeith Thistle
1.50
Newtongrange Star
1.50
Rutherglen Glencairn
1.50
Burntisland Shipyard
1.50
Cupar Hearts
1.50
Civil Service Strollers
1.50
Darvel
1.50
Girvan
1.50
Tynecastle
1.50
Livingston
1.33
Forfar
1.33
Elgin
1.33
Queen's Park
1.25
Ross County
1.00
Partick
1.00
Clyde
1.00
Wick Academy
1.00
Inverurie Loco Works
1.00
Edinburgh City
0.50
Raith Rovers
0.50
Keith
0.50
Huntly
0.50
Motherwell
0.00
Kilmarnock
0.00
Morton
0.00
Arbroath
0.00
East Fife
0.00
Annan Athletic
0.00
Kelty Hearts
0.00
Spartans
0.00
Dundee Utd
0.00
Inverness CT
0.00
Alloa Athletic
0.00
Gretna 2008
0.00
Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic
0.00
Preston Athletic
0.00
Hawick Royal Albert
0.00
Creetown
0.00
Benburb
0.00
Gala Fairydean Rovers
0.00
Nairn County
0.00
Kilwinning Rangers
0.00
Strathspey Thistle
0.00
Bonnyton Thistle
0.00
Tayport
0.00
Stirling University
0.00
Deveronvale
0.00
Glenafton Athletic
0.00
Cumbernauld Colts
0.00
Tranent Juniors
0.00
East Stirlingshire
0.00
Beith
0.00
Invergordon
0.00
Edinburgh University
0.00
Coldstream
0.00
Golspie Sutherland
0.00
Newton Stewart
0.00
Penicuik Athletic
0.00
Dalbeattie Star
0.00
Haddington Athletic
0.00
St Andrews United
0.00
Albion Rovers
0.00
BSC Glasgow
0.00
Rothes
0.00
Forres Mechanics
0.00
Blackburn United
0.00
Glasgow University
0.00
St. Cuthbert Wanderers
0.00
Lothian Hutchison
0.00
Easthouses Lily
0.00
Dunipace
0.00
Wigtown & Bladnoch
0.00
Pollok
0.00
Fort William
0.00
ST Mirren and Heart Of Midlothian are level in average points per game (both 2.00).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Girvan
5.00
Peterhead
4.00
Stirling
4.00
Threave Rovers
4.00
Hill Of Beath Hawthorn
3.67
Camelon Juniors
3.50
Ayr Utd
3.33
Lochee United
3.33
Celtic
3.00
Cumnock Juniors
3.00
Clachnacuddin
3.00
Clydebank
3.00
Cupar Hearts
3.00
Tynecastle
3.00
Fraserburgh
2.75
Sauchie Juniors
2.67
Rangers
2.50
Stenhousemuir
2.50
Montrose
2.50
Irvine Meadow
2.50
Culter
2.50
Aberdeen
2.40
Bo'ness United
2.33
Heart Of Midlothian
2.25
Bo'ness Athletic
2.25
Ross County
2.00
Partick
2.00
Dundee
2.00
ST Mirren
2.00
Dumbarton
2.00
Falkirk
2.00
Cowdenbeath
2.00
Stranraer
2.00
Kelty Hearts
2.00
East Kilbride
2.00
Alloa Athletic
2.00
Airdrie United
2.00
Berwick Rangers
2.00
Jeanfield Swifts
2.00
Formartine United
2.00
Dundee North End
2.00
Preston Athletic
2.00
Vale of Leithen
2.00
Auchinleck Talbot
2.00
Dundonald Bluebell
2.00
Deveronvale
2.00
Glenafton Athletic
2.00
Wick Academy
2.00
East Stirlingshire
2.00
Newtongrange Star
2.00
Rutherglen Glencairn
2.00
Huntly
2.00
Livingston
1.67
Dunfermline
1.67
Hamilton Academical
1.67
Musselburgh Athletic
1.60
Brechin
1.50
Queen's Park
1.50
Broxburn Athletic
1.50
Carluke Rovers
1.50
Caledonian Braves
1.50
Burntisland Shipyard
1.50
Civil Service Strollers
1.50
Darvel
1.50
Hibernian
1.33
Elgin
1.33
Cove Rangers
1.33
Buckie Thistle
1.33
Kilmarnock
1.00
Forfar
1.00
Clyde
1.00
Edinburgh City
1.00
Spartans
1.00
Queen of the South
1.00
Banks O' Dee
1.00
Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic
1.00
Whitehill Welfare
1.00
Dunbar United
1.00
Creetown
1.00
Nairn County
1.00
Tayport
1.00
Turriff United
1.00
Beith
1.00
Edinburgh University
1.00
Dalbeattie Star
1.00
Haddington Athletic
1.00
Inverurie Loco Works
1.00
Albion Rovers
1.00
Forres Mechanics
1.00
Dunipace
1.00
Pollok
1.00
ST Johnstone
0.75
Raith Rovers
0.50
Keith
0.50
Dalkeith Thistle
0.50
Motherwell
0.00
Morton
0.00
Arbroath
0.00
East Fife
0.00
Annan Athletic
0.00
Dundee Utd
0.00
Inverness CT
0.00
Gretna 2008
0.00
Hawick Royal Albert
0.00
Benburb
0.00
Gala Fairydean Rovers
0.00
Kilwinning Rangers
0.00
Strathspey Thistle
0.00
Bonnyton Thistle
0.00
Stirling University
0.00
Cumbernauld Colts
0.00
Tranent Juniors
0.00
Invergordon
0.00
Coldstream
0.00
Golspie Sutherland
0.00
Newton Stewart
0.00
Penicuik Athletic
0.00
St Andrews United
0.00
BSC Glasgow
0.00
Rothes
0.00
Blackburn United
0.00
Glasgow University
0.00
St. Cuthbert Wanderers
0.00
Lothian Hutchison
0.00
Easthouses Lily
0.00
Wigtown & Bladnoch
0.00
Fort William
0.00
ST Mirren is 0.25 goals worse than Heart Of Midlothian in terms of goals scored per game (2.00 vs 2.25).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Formartine United
0.00
Ayr Utd
0.33
Celtic
0.40
Rangers
0.50
Camelon Juniors
0.50
Turriff United
0.50
Newtongrange Star
0.50
Aberdeen
0.60
Hibernian
0.67
Jeanfield Swifts
0.67
Banks O' Dee
0.67
Dundee North End
0.75
Clydebank
0.80
Motherwell
1.00
Dundee
1.00
ST Mirren
1.00
Falkirk
1.00
Livingston
1.00
Arbroath
1.00
East Fife
1.00
Stirling
1.00
Clyde
1.00
Cove Rangers
1.00
Dundee Utd
1.00
Heart Of Midlothian
1.00
Hamilton Academical
1.00
Cumnock Juniors
1.00
Clachnacuddin
1.00
Musselburgh Athletic
1.00
Culter
1.00
Auchinleck Talbot
1.00
Gala Fairydean Rovers
1.00
Bonnyton Thistle
1.00
Carluke Rovers
1.00
Buckie Thistle
1.00
Dundonald Bluebell
1.00
Caledonian Braves
1.00
Sauchie Juniors
1.00
Penicuik Athletic
1.00
Inverurie Loco Works
1.00
BSC Glasgow
1.00
Darvel
1.00
Blackburn United
1.00
ST Johnstone
1.25
Forfar
1.33
Dunfermline
1.33
Cowdenbeath
1.33
East Kilbride
1.33
Hill Of Beath Hawthorn
1.33
Stranraer
1.50
Stenhousemuir
1.50
Edinburgh City
1.50
Queen of the South
1.50
Berwick Rangers
1.50
Fraserburgh
1.50
Whitehill Welfare
1.50
Rutherglen Glencairn
1.50
Civil Service Strollers
1.50
Girvan
1.50
Tynecastle
1.50
Airdrie United
1.67
Bo'ness United
1.67
Brechin
1.75
Ross County
2.00
Partick
2.00
Kilmarnock
2.00
Morton
2.00
Elgin
2.00
Montrose
2.00
Annan Athletic
2.00
Spartans
2.00
Inverness CT
2.00
Queen's Park
2.00
Gretna 2008
2.00
Threave Rovers
2.00
Bo'ness Athletic
2.00
Irvine Meadow
2.00
Dunbar United
2.00
Kilwinning Rangers
2.00
Keith
2.00
Stirling University
2.00
Wick Academy
2.00
Golspie Sutherland
2.00
Dalbeattie Star
2.00
Dalkeith Thistle
2.00
Albion Rovers
2.00
Cupar Hearts
2.00
Forres Mechanics
2.00
Lothian Hutchison
2.00
Dunipace
2.00
Broxburn Athletic
2.25
Burntisland Shipyard
2.50
Huntly
2.50
Lochee United
2.67
Peterhead
3.00
Kelty Hearts
3.00
Raith Rovers
3.00
Alloa Athletic
3.00
Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic
3.00
Preston Athletic
3.00
Vale of Leithen
3.00
Creetown
3.00
Benburb
3.00
Nairn County
3.00
Tayport
3.00
Cumbernauld Colts
3.00
East Stirlingshire
3.00
Beith
3.00
Edinburgh University
3.00
Newton Stewart
3.00
Pollok
3.00
Dumbarton
3.50
Hawick Royal Albert
4.00
Deveronvale
4.00
Glenafton Athletic
4.00
Tranent Juniors
4.00
Invergordon
4.00
Haddington Athletic
4.00
Glasgow University
4.00
Easthouses Lily
4.00
Wigtown & Bladnoch
4.00
Strathspey Thistle
6.00
Coldstream
6.00
St Andrews United
7.00
Rothes
8.00
Fort William
8.00
St. Cuthbert Wanderers
9.00
ST Mirren and Heart Of Midlothian are level in goals conceded per game (both 1.00).
⏱️ Possession
Not available for this league.
Not enough data to compare these two teams.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
ST Mirren
For 4.4 · Against 4.8 · Total 9.2
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.7 · Against 1.6 · Total 4.3
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 13.9 · Against 9.6 · Total 23.5
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Heart Of Midlothian
For 7.2 · Against 3.9 · Total 11.1
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.9 · Against 2.0 · Total 3.9
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 10.1 · Against 11.2 · Total 21.3
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
ST Mirren
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
10.2
10.6
9.7
3.5
3.5
3.5
21.9
21.1
22.7
vs Stronger (23)
10.7
10.5
11.0
3.5
3.2
3.7
22.3
21.5
23.1
vs Similar (26)
9.6
10.7
8.5
3.7
3.7
3.6
21.5
20.8
22.4
vs Weaker (1)
-
-
-
0.0
-
0.0
-
-
-
% over line
60%
65%
55%
46%
36%
56%
49%
43%
55%
% under line
40%
35%
45%
54%
64%
44%
51%
57%
45%
This opponent (Heart Of Midlothian) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Heart Of Midlothian
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
11.0
11.0
11.0
3.8
4.0
3.6
21.1
21.7
20.5
vs Stronger (11)
11.2
10.2
12.2
3.4
3.2
3.5
20.6
20.0
21.2
vs Similar (17)
10.5
12.0
8.6
4.1
4.0
4.1
22.7
22.4
23.0
vs Weaker (22)
11.2
10.3
11.8
3.8
4.4
3.4
20.0
21.9
18.7
% over line
55%
61%
50%
56%
61%
52%
43%
48%
38%
% under line
45%
39%
50%
44%
39%
48%
57%
52%
62%
This opponent (ST Mirren) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Celtic
12.2
Ross County
11.4
Rangers
11.3
Hibernian
11.3
Dumbarton
11.2
Falkirk
11.1
Arbroath
11.1
Motherwell
11.0
Morton
11.0
Heart Of Midlothian
11.0
Kelty Hearts
10.8
Kilmarnock
10.8
Aberdeen
10.8
Dunfermline
10.7
Stirling
10.6
Dundee
10.6
Dundee Utd
10.5
Airdrie United
10.5
ST Mirren
10.3
ST Johnstone
10.2
Annan Athletic
10.0
Brechin
10.0
Partick
9.9
Cove Rangers
9.9
Inverness CT
9.8
Montrose
9.8
Forfar
9.7
Stenhousemuir
9.6
East Fife
9.5
Stranraer
9.4
Livingston
9.4
Cowdenbeath
9.4
Clyde
9.4
Edinburgh City
9.4
Spartans
9.2
Elgin
8.9
Peterhead
8.7
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Peterhead
5.2
Aberdeen
4.7
Morton
4.6
Dundee Utd
4.5
Edinburgh City
4.4
Motherwell
4.4
Elgin
4.3
Kilmarnock
4.2
Annan Athletic
4.2
ST Johnstone
4.2
Heart Of Midlothian
4.2
Forfar
4.1
Hibernian
4.1
Rangers
4.1
Dundee
4.1
Livingston
4.0
Stirling
4.0
Falkirk
4.0
ST Mirren
4.0
Stranraer
3.9
Cowdenbeath
3.9
Clyde
3.9
East Fife
3.8
Montrose
3.8
Dumbarton
3.7
Stenhousemuir
3.7
Dunfermline
3.7
Ross County
3.7
Partick
3.6
Brechin
3.5
Arbroath
3.5
Spartans
3.5
Celtic
3.4
Airdrie United
3.3
Kelty Hearts
3.3
Inverness CT
3.3
Cove Rangers
2.7
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Peterhead
25.2
Elgin
24.7
Forfar
24.5
Aberdeen
24.3
Edinburgh City
23.6
Livingston
23.3
Stenhousemuir
22.6
Morton
22.5
East Fife
22.3
Clyde
22.0
Spartans
22.0
Cowdenbeath
21.9
ST Johnstone
21.8
Kilmarnock
21.8
ST Mirren
21.8
Falkirk
21.7
Motherwell
21.6
Rangers
21.5
Ross County
21.5
Heart Of Midlothian
21.1
Stirling
21.0
Dundee Utd
20.9
Annan Athletic
20.9
Kelty Hearts
20.8
Montrose
20.8
Hibernian
20.7
Brechin
20.4
Arbroath
20.4
Dundee
19.9
Inverness CT
19.6
Stranraer
19.6
Airdrie United
19.5
Dunfermline
19.4
Celtic
19.4
Partick
19.3
Dumbarton
19.0
Cove Rangers
18.8
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
50.1%
Under 9.5
49.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
66.1%
Under 3.5
33.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
63.3%
Under 21.5
36.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
ST Mirren or Draw✓ Hit
71.4%
Avg Implied -
42%
30%
29%
covers ST Mirren + Draw
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
ST Mirren or Heart Of Midlothian✗ Miss
70.4%
Avg Implied -
42%
30%
29%
covers ST Mirren + Heart Of Midlothian
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw or Heart Of Midlothian✓ Hit
58.2%
Avg Implied -
42%
30%
29%
covers Draw + Heart Of Midlothian
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
ST Mirren over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
74.3%
Under
25.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
ST Mirren over/under 1.5Actual: Under
Over
39.3%
Under
60.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
ST Mirren over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
15.6%
Under
84.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
ST Mirren over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
4.9%
Under
95.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Heart Of Midlothian over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
66.1%
Under
33.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Heart Of Midlothian over/under 1.5Actual: Under
Over
29.4%
Under
70.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Heart Of Midlothian over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
9.6%
Under
90.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Heart Of Midlothian over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
2.4%
Under
97.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⚖️ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to ST Mirren, so a minus line means ST Mirren give that many goals of a start and Heart Of Midlothian receive them. At -1, ST Mirren must win by two or more to land; a one-goal ST Mirren win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (ST Mirren)Actual: Heart Of Midlothian
ST Mirren -2
7.4%
Draw -2
12.8%
Heart Of Midlothian +2
79.9%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap -1 (ST Mirren)Actual: Heart Of Midlothian
ST Mirren -1
20.1%
Draw -1
21.7%
Heart Of Midlothian +1
58.2%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +1 (ST Mirren)Actual: ST Mirren
ST Mirren +1
71.4%
Draw +1
17.0%
Heart Of Midlothian -1
11.5%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +2 (ST Mirren)Actual: ST Mirren
ST Mirren +2
88.5%
Draw +2
8.1%
Heart Of Midlothian -2
3.4%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
ST Mirren
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.73
0.57
0.60
0.40
0.87
0.73
vs Stronger (13)
0.77
0.69
0.67
0.50
0.86
0.86
vs Similar (16)
0.62
0.50
0.56
0.33
0.71
0.71
vs Weaker (1)
2.00
0.00
-
-
2.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
53% (+28pp vs league)
This opponent (Heart Of Midlothian) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Heart Of Midlothian
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.60
0.40
0.67
0.27
0.53
0.53
vs Stronger (5)
0.00
0.20
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.33
vs Similar (13)
0.46
0.46
0.57
0.43
0.33
0.50
vs Weaker (12)
1.00
0.42
1.00
0.17
1.00
0.67
Clean sheet %
63% (+38pp vs league)
This opponent (ST Mirren) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
ST Mirren over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
ST Mirren over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
ST Mirren over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Heart Of Midlothian over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Heart Of Midlothian over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Heart Of Midlothian over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
ST Mirren
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
1.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.57
0.97
0.73
0.73
0.40
1.20
vs Stronger (13)
0.62
1.08
1.00
0.67
0.29
1.43
vs Similar (16)
0.50
0.88
0.56
0.78
0.43
1.00
vs Weaker (1)
1.00
1.00
-
-
1.00
1.00
Clean sheet %
23% (-2pp vs league)
This opponent (Heart Of Midlothian) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Heart Of Midlothian
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.1
Avg scored
1.4
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.80
0.87
0.73
1.00
0.87
0.73
vs Stronger (5)
0.20
1.80
0.50
2.50
0.00
1.33
vs Similar (13)
0.54
0.69
0.43
0.71
0.67
0.67
vs Weaker (12)
1.33
0.67
1.17
0.83
1.50
0.50
Clean sheet %
47% (+21pp vs league)
This opponent (ST Mirren) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
ST Mirren over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
ST Mirren over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
ST Mirren over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Heart Of Midlothian over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Heart Of Midlothian over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Heart Of Midlothian over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Under 7.5
99.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 6.5
98.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away under 3.5 goals
97.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 5.5
96.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home under 3.5 goals
95.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 goals
90.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 4.5
89.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home +2 handicap
88.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 goals
84.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards
82.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away +2 handicap
79.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 19.5 fouls
78.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 3.5
77.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home over 0.5 goals
74.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 11.5 corners
73.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home or Draw
71.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home +1 handicap
71.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 1.5
71.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 goals
70.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home or Away
70.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Under 5.5 cards
70.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
ST Mirren
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Conor McMenamin27%
Toyosi Olusanya26%
Mikael Mandron18%
Oisin Smyth16%
Jonah Ayunga14%
Evan Mooney14%
Caolan Boyd-Munce13%
Roland Idowu13%
Mark O'Hara12%
Killian Phillips11%
Declan John11%
Alex Iacovitti7%
Richard Taylor6%
Scott Tanser3%
Alexander Gogić3%
Jaden Brown0%
Ellery Balcombe0%
Elvis Bwomono0%
Kevin van Veen0%
Charles Dunne0%
James Scott0%
Marcus Fraser0%
Shaun Rooney0%
Greg Kiltie0%
Dennis Adeniran0%
Zac Hemming0%
Ryan Alebiosu0%
Owen Oseni0%
Callum Penman0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Shaun Rooney50%
Dennis Adeniran50%
Jaden Brown29%
Toyosi Olusanya26%
Killian Phillips26%
Charles Dunne25%
Callum Penman25%
Alexander Gogić22%
Alex Iacovitti21%
Marcus Fraser21%
Greg Kiltie21%
Elvis Bwomono20%
Richard Taylor18%
Roland Idowu16%
Mikael Mandron15%
Jonah Ayunga14%
Scott Tanser14%
Mark O'Hara12%
Caolan Boyd-Munce10%
Ellery Balcombe10%
Conor McMenamin9%
Ryan Alebiosu8%
Zac Hemming6%
Declan John6%
Oisin Smyth5%
Kevin van Veen0%
James Scott0%
Owen Oseni0%
Evan Mooney0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Jaden Brown29%
Evan Mooney14%
Jonah Ayunga11%
Mark O'Hara9%
Conor McMenamin9%
Elvis Bwomono8%
James Scott8%
Ryan Alebiosu8%
Toyosi Olusanya6%
Roland Idowu6%
Mikael Mandron6%
Declan John6%
Marcus Fraser5%
Ellery Balcombe5%
Scott Tanser3%
Caolan Boyd-Munce3%
Richard Taylor3%
Killian Phillips3%
Alexander Gogić3%
Alex Iacovitti0%
Kevin van Veen0%
Charles Dunne0%
Shaun Rooney0%
Greg Kiltie0%
Dennis Adeniran0%
Oisin Smyth0%
Zac Hemming0%
Owen Oseni0%
Callum Penman0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Toyosi Olusanya23%
Mikael Mandron18%
Oisin Smyth11%
Conor McMenamin9%
Jonah Ayunga7%
Roland Idowu6%
Killian Phillips6%
Caolan Boyd-Munce3%
Mark O'Hara3%
Richard Taylor3%
Jaden Brown0%
Alex Iacovitti0%
Declan John0%
Ellery Balcombe0%
Elvis Bwomono0%
Kevin van Veen0%
Scott Tanser0%
Charles Dunne0%
James Scott0%
Alexander Gogić0%
Marcus Fraser0%
Shaun Rooney0%
Greg Kiltie0%
Dennis Adeniran0%
Zac Hemming0%
Ryan Alebiosu0%
Owen Oseni0%
Callum Penman0%
Evan Mooney0%
Heart Of Midlothian
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Elton Kabangu29%
James Wilson19%
Yutaro Oda17%
Blair Spittal15%
Musa Drammeh14%
Alan Forrest14%
Lawrence Shankland13%
Michael Steinwender11%
Kenneth Vargas11%
Stephen Kingsley9%
Jamie McCart9%
Frankie Kent9%
Jorge Grant9%
Calem Nieuwenhof8%
Craig Halkett6%
James Penrice5%
Daniel Oyegoke4%
Yan Dhanda3%
Craig Gordon0%
Cameron Devlin0%
Kye Rowles0%
Barrie McKay0%
Beni Baningime0%
Liam Boyce0%
Zander Clark0%
Ryan Fulton0%
Harry Milne0%
Sander Erik Kartum0%
Lewis Neilson0%
Malachi Boateng0%
Gerald Taylor0%
Adam Forrester0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Cameron Devlin31%
James Penrice31%
Adam Forrester27%
Gerald Taylor25%
Craig Halkett22%
Lawrence Shankland21%
Stephen Kingsley18%
Kye Rowles16%
Jorge Grant14%
Elton Kabangu14%
Frankie Kent13%
Daniel Oyegoke12%
Yan Dhanda10%
Beni Baningime10%
Sander Erik Kartum8%
Kenneth Vargas8%
Malachi Boateng8%
Craig Gordon5%
James Wilson4%
Alan Forrest3%
Michael Steinwender0%
Barrie McKay0%
Liam Boyce0%
Yutaro Oda0%
Zander Clark0%
Ryan Fulton0%
Jamie McCart0%
Blair Spittal0%
Harry Milne0%
Calem Nieuwenhof0%
Lewis Neilson0%
Musa Drammeh0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Ryan Fulton33%
Lawrence Shankland21%
Liam Boyce17%
James Penrice13%
Kenneth Vargas11%
Beni Baningime10%
Malachi Boateng8%
James Wilson7%
Blair Spittal7%
Elton Kabangu7%
Musa Drammeh5%
Yan Dhanda3%
Adam Forrester3%
Cameron Devlin3%
Jorge Grant3%
Alan Forrest3%
Craig Gordon0%
Kye Rowles0%
Michael Steinwender0%
Frankie Kent0%
Barrie McKay0%
Stephen Kingsley0%
Yutaro Oda0%
Zander Clark0%
Craig Halkett0%
Jamie McCart0%
Harry Milne0%
Sander Erik Kartum0%
Daniel Oyegoke0%
Calem Nieuwenhof0%
Lewis Neilson0%
Gerald Taylor0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Lawrence Shankland34%
Elton Kabangu29%
Musa Drammeh18%
Liam Boyce8%
James Wilson7%
Craig Halkett6%
Blair Spittal5%
Kye Rowles4%
Cameron Devlin3%
Jorge Grant3%
Kenneth Vargas3%
Alan Forrest3%
Craig Gordon0%
Michael Steinwender0%
Frankie Kent0%
Yan Dhanda0%
Barrie McKay0%
Stephen Kingsley0%
Beni Baningime0%
Yutaro Oda0%
Zander Clark0%
Ryan Fulton0%
Jamie McCart0%
James Penrice0%
Harry Milne0%
Sander Erik Kartum0%
Daniel Oyegoke0%
Calem Nieuwenhof0%
Lewis Neilson0%
Malachi Boateng0%
Gerald Taylor0%
Adam Forrester0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
RAN (29)
€136m
CEL (27)
€116m
HOM (30)
€22m
HIB (27)
€20m
MOT (26)
€16m
ABE (27)
€15m
DU (22)
€11m
SM (24)
€8m
KIL (24)
€7m
FAL (27)
€6m
DUN (21)
€5m
SJ (25)
€5m
LIV (25)
€4m
DUN (26)
€4m
PAR (20)
€3m
AU (17)
€2m
QP (19)
€2m
RR (18)
€2m
RC (11)
€1m
MOR (14)
€1m
ARB (15)
€1m
KH (4)
€1m
IC (6)
€1m
HA (5)
€0m
AA (2)
€0m
EK (4)
€0m
MON (4)
€0m
STE (2)
€0m
QOT (1)
€0m
CLY (2)
€0m
FOR (1)
€0m
STI (3)
€0m
CR (2)
€0m
DUM (1)
€0m
STR (1)
€0m
AA (1)
€0m
EF (1)
€0m
EC (1)
€0m
ST Mirren's squad is €14m less valuable than Heart Of Midlothian's (€8m vs €22m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
CEL (11)
€56m
RAN (9)
€38m
HOM (12)
€12m
MOT (10)
€10m
HIB (9)
€7m
ABE (7)
€4m
DU (7)
€4m
KIL (9)
€3m
SJ (9)
€2m
FAL (9)
€2m
DUN (9)
€2m
SM (8)
€1m
LIV (7)
€1m
DUN (7)
€1m
PAR (6)
€1m
QP (8)
€1m
AU (6)
€1m
RR (5)
€1m
KH (3)
€1m
AA (1)
€0m
MOR (4)
€0m
EK (3)
€0m
IC (3)
€0m
HA (1)
€0m
ARB (3)
€0m
CLY (2)
€0m
RC (1)
€0m
STE (1)
€0m
MON (1)
€0m
STI (1)
€0m
CR (1)
€0m
AA (1)
€0m
DUM (0)
€0m
FOR (0)
€0m
STR (0)
€0m
EF (0)
€0m
EC (0)
€0m
QOT (0)
€0m
ST Mirren's attack is €11m less valuable than Heart Of Midlothian's (€1m vs €12m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
RAN (8)
€44m
CEL (5)
€20m
HIB (7)
€8m
ABE (8)
€4m
HOM (6)
€4m
SM (6)
€3m
DU (6)
€3m
DUN (7)
€2m
KIL (5)
€2m
MOT (4)
€1m
LIV (8)
€1m
PAR (6)
€1m
SJ (5)
€1m
FAL (5)
€1m
RR (6)
€1m
DUN (4)
€0m
MOR (4)
€0m
ARB (5)
€0m
RC (3)
€0m
IC (2)
€0m
HA (2)
€0m
AU (1)
€0m
MON (2)
€0m
QP (1)
€0m
EF (1)
€0m
STI (1)
€0m
EC (1)
€0m
DUM (0)
€0m
FOR (0)
€0m
STR (0)
€0m
STE (0)
€0m
AA (0)
€0m
CLY (0)
€0m
CR (0)
€0m
KH (0)
€0m
EK (0)
€0m
AA (0)
€0m
QOT (0)
€0m
ST Mirren's midfield is €1m less valuable than Heart Of Midlothian's (€3m vs €4m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
RAN (12)
€54m
CEL (11)
€41m
ABE (12)
€7m
HOM (12)
€6m
MOT (12)
€5m
HIB (11)
€5m
DU (9)
€4m
FAL (13)
€3m
SM (10)
€3m
KIL (10)
€3m
DUN (7)
€2m
DUN (13)
€2m
SJ (11)
€2m
LIV (10)
€1m
AU (10)
€1m
PAR (8)
€1m
QP (10)
€1m
RC (7)
€1m
RR (7)
€0m
MOR (6)
€0m
ARB (7)
€0m
QOT (1)
€0m
FOR (1)
€0m
STE (1)
€0m
KH (1)
€0m
IC (1)
€0m
HA (2)
€0m
DUM (1)
€0m
STR (1)
€0m
CR (1)
€0m
EK (1)
€0m
STI (1)
€0m
MON (1)
€0m
AA (1)
€0m
EF (0)
€0m
CLY (0)
€0m
EC (0)
€0m
AA (0)
€0m
ST Mirren's defence is €2m less valuable than Heart Of Midlothian's (€3m vs €6m).
Scotland: Premiership 2024/25 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Scotland: Premiership stats & trends →
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Celtic
Rangers
Hibernian
Dundee Utd
Aberdeen
Motherwell
Kilmarnock
Dundee
Ross County
ST Johnstone
Livingston
Ayr Utd
Partick