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ST Mirren vs Kilmarnock Result & Analysis

Date: 27/12/2023
Time: 19:45
Final 0-1
ST Mirren
ST Mirren
Vs
46%
32%
21%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Kilmarnock
Kilmarnock
Scotland: Premiership
Referee: -
Match preview & prediction

ST Mirren’s defensive record is solid, conceding just 0.43 goals per game at home against similar opposition, while Kilmarnock’s away defense has let in a full goal on average. The model sees a tight, low-scoring affair with a 46% chance of a home win, 32% for a draw and 21% for an away win, making a home victory the favourite result. The expected total goals is 2.0, and the most likely scoreline is 1-0 for 15.6% of the time. ST Mirren have scored 1.71 goals per home match and Kilmarnock have scored 1.0 away against similar teams, while both sides have conceded similarly. The model’s selections include Under 3.5 goals at 85.9%, Under 5.5 cards at 80.1%, Under 25.5 fouls at 78.4%, Over 8.5 corners at 76.5% (missed), and Over 2.5 cards at 74.6%.

Results analysis

The upset came early as Kilmarnock snatched a 1-0 victory, overturning ST Mirren’s home advantage and ending the team’s recent draw. The pre-match favourite, Home win, was assigned a 46% probability, yet the model’s call proved wrong. The model’s selection of Under 3.5 goals, with an 85.9% chance, hit, as did Under 5.5 cards at 80.1% and Under 25.5 fouls at 78.4%. Over 8.5 corners, projected at 76.5%, missed, while Over 2.5 cards, at 74.6%, also hit. The final score of 0-1 confirmed the away win, leaving the model’s predictions largely accurate except for the favourite.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

ST Mirren win✗ Miss
46.5%
Avg Implied 35.5% · @ 2.65
Edge
+11.0%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
32.2%
Avg Implied 30.8% · @ 3.06
Edge
+1.5%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Kilmarnock win✓ Hit
21.3%
Avg Implied 33.7% · @ 2.79
Edge
-12.4%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

ST MirrenST Mirren

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-412L22D04L10W01L02L01L20W00D02LA·CEL01/11H·HIB08/11A·DUN11/11H·LIV25/11A·ROS28/11A·RAN03/12A·ST 06/12H·ROS09/12H·MOT16/12A·HEA23/12
Avg total
2.0
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
1.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.171.631.431.430.941.81
vs Stronger (16)1.192.311.142.431.222.22
vs Similar (14)1.140.861.710.430.571.29
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %27% (-2pp vs league)
This opponent (Kilmarnock) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

KilmarnockKilmarnock

Last 10 – goals for & against
20-220W12L10W01L00D01L10W21W00D21WH·ABE29/10A·ST 01/11H·MOT04/11A·HIB11/11A·ROS25/11H·HEA02/12A·ABE06/12H·CEL10/12A·LIV16/12H·ST 23/12
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.171.101.441.000.861.21
vs Stronger (10)1.001.601.331.500.501.75
vs Similar (20)1.250.851.500.701.001.00
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %33% (+5pp vs league)
This opponent (ST Mirren) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

7%14%21%28%15%025%128%218%39%44%52%6+
The model estimates around 2.0 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (28%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
60.4%
Under 1.5
39.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
32.0%
@ 2.35-8.0%
Under 2.5
68.0%
@ 1.57+8.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
14.1%
Under 3.5
85.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
38.8%
No
61.2%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-0
15.6%
0-0
15.0%
1-1
14.0%
2-0
10.5%
0-1 ✓
9.0%
2-1
7.9%
1-2
4.8%
3-0
4.3%
ST Mirren goals ↓
Kilmarnock goals →
01234
015%9.0%3.9%1.0%0.2%
116%14%4.8%1.2%0.2%
210%7.9%3.0%0.7%0.1%
34.3%3.2%1.2%0.3%0.1%
41.3%1.0%0.4%0.1%0.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = ST Mirren goals (down), columns = Kilmarnock goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Celtic
2.45
Rangers
2.24
Heart Of Midlothian
1.79
Partick
1.75
Kilmarnock
1.47
Aberdeen
1.26
ST Mirren
1.24
Hibernian
1.21
Motherwell
1.13
Dundee
1.11
Ross County
1.02
ST Johnstone
0.92
Raith Rovers
0.75
Livingston
0.66
Airdrie United
0.50
ST Mirren is 0.24 points worse than Kilmarnock in terms of average points per game (1.24 vs 1.47).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Celtic
2.50
Rangers
2.29
Partick
1.75
Airdrie United
1.50
Motherwell
1.47
Heart Of Midlothian
1.42
Hibernian
1.37
Dundee
1.29
Aberdeen
1.26
ST Mirren
1.21
Kilmarnock
1.21
Ross County
1.10
Raith Rovers
1.00
Livingston
0.76
ST Johnstone
0.76
ST Mirren and Kilmarnock are level in goals scored per game (both 1.21).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Celtic
0.79
Rangers
0.84
Heart Of Midlothian
1.11
Kilmarnock
1.16
ST Mirren
1.37
Aberdeen
1.37
ST Johnstone
1.42
Partick
1.50
Motherwell
1.55
Hibernian
1.55
Ross County
1.70
Dundee
1.79
Livingston
1.84
Airdrie United
2.00
Raith Rovers
2.25
ST Mirren is 0.21 goals worse than Kilmarnock in terms of goals conceded per game (1.37 vs 1.16).

⏱️ Possession

Avg possession %
Celtic
69%
Rangers
63%
Heart Of Midlothian
55%
Hibernian
53%
Aberdeen
49%
Motherwell
46%
ST Mirren
45%
Kilmarnock
45%
Ross County
44%
Dundee
44%
ST Johnstone
44%
Livingston
43%
ST Mirren is 0.1 percentage points better than Kilmarnock in terms of average possession (45% vs 45%).

🎲 4. Props Analysis

ST MirrenST Mirren

For 5.5 · Against 5.4 · Total 10.9

🚩 Corners

140686410475857734731212141014713121011414A·HEAH·MOTH·ROSA·ST A·RANA·ROSH·LIVA·DUNH·HIBA·CEL
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.9 · Against 1.1 · Total 3.0

🟨 Cards

50321121231211132225223421254A·HEAH·MOTH·ROSA·ST A·RANA·ROSH·LIVA·DUNH·HIBA·CEL
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 10.7 · Against 10.2 · Total 20.9

⚠️ Fouls

250916111191210989141113101269912925222119172523181821A·HEAH·MOTH·ROSA·ST A·RANA·ROSH·LIVA·DUNH·HIBA·CEL
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

KilmarnockKilmarnock

For 7.5 · Against 4.2 · Total 11.7

🚩 Corners

17051859547359105931259368149101415121712H·ST A·LIVH·CELA·ABEH·HEAA·ROSA·HIBH·MOTA·ST H·ABE
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.7 · Against 1.8 · Total 3.5

🟨 Cards

701123113211522123131344317354H·ST A·LIVH·CELA·ABEH·HEAA·ROSA·HIBH·MOTA·ST H·ABE
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 12.5 · Against 11.5 · Total 24.0

⚠️ Fouls

3201281117141221111412910146912913121420282632261920212226H·ST A·LIVH·CELA·ABEH·HEAA·ROSA·HIBH·MOTA·ST H·ABE
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

ST MirrenST Mirren

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)10.59.811.21.31.21.521.920.723.1
vs Stronger (25)10.89.012.51.31.51.221.822.521.0
vs Similar (25)10.410.410.31.30.91.822.119.224.5
vs Weaker (0)---------
% over line68%67%70%22%17%27%53%56%50%
% under line32%33%30%78%83%73%47%44%50%
This opponent (Kilmarnock) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

KilmarnockKilmarnock

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)11.311.011.61.61.41.923.823.624.1
vs Stronger (16)11.410.512.72.11.82.622.323.221.0
vs Similar (34)11.211.311.01.41.21.624.823.825.7
vs Weaker (0)---------
% over line68%70%67%24%19%29%58%60%56%
% under line32%30%33%76%81%71%42%40%44%
This opponent (ST Mirren) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

🚩 Total Corners

Match total corners / game
Celtic
11.8
Dundee
11.1
ST Mirren
10.9
Motherwell
10.8
Ross County
10.8
Kilmarnock
10.5
Heart Of Midlothian
10.4
Aberdeen
10.4
ST Johnstone
10.3
Hibernian
10.1
Partick
10.0
Rangers
10.0
Airdrie United
9.9
Livingston
9.6

🟨 Total Cards

Match total cards / game
Heart Of Midlothian
4.7
Hibernian
4.5
Aberdeen
4.4
Rangers
4.3
Ross County
4.1
Livingston
4.0
Motherwell
4.0
ST Johnstone
3.9
Kilmarnock
3.6
Dundee
3.6
Celtic
3.6
ST Mirren
3.5
Partick
3.4
Airdrie United
3.2

⚠️ Total Fouls

Match total fouls / game
Motherwell
25.7
Aberdeen
25.5
Livingston
24.4
Heart Of Midlothian
24.0
Hibernian
23.5
Ross County
23.4
Kilmarnock
22.9
ST Mirren
22.5
ST Johnstone
22.5
Dundee
21.6
Rangers
21.4
Partick
20.4
Celtic
19.6
Airdrie United
18.2
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Under
Over 9.5
65.6%
Under 9.5
34.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
54.6%
Under 3.5
45.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Under
Over 21.5
52.0%
Under 21.5
48.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

ST MirrenST Mirren

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-211D01L02L10W00D01L00D00D00D01LA·CEL01/11H·HIB08/11A·DUN11/11H·LIV25/11A·ROS28/11A·RAN03/12A·ST 06/12H·ROS09/12H·MOT16/12A·HEA23/12
Avg total
0.8
Avg scored
0.2
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.600.630.790.430.440.81
vs Stronger (16)0.620.810.570.570.671.00
vs Similar (14)0.570.431.000.290.140.57
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %50% (+21pp vs league)
This opponent (Kilmarnock) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

KilmarnockKilmarnock

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-210W02L00D01L00D01L00D01L00D20WH·ABE29/10A·ST 01/11H·MOT04/11A·HIB11/11A·ROS25/11H·HEA02/12A·ABE06/12H·CEL10/12A·LIV16/12H·ST 23/12
Avg total
0.8
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.570.730.690.690.430.79
vs Stronger (10)0.301.400.501.330.001.50
vs Similar (20)0.700.400.800.300.600.50
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %50% (+21pp vs league)
This opponent (ST Mirren) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
ST Mirren over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
ST Mirren over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
ST Mirren over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kilmarnock over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kilmarnock over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kilmarnock over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

ST MirrenST Mirren

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-201L21W02L00D01L01L01L20W00D01LA·CEL01/11H·HIB08/11A·DUN11/11H·LIV25/11A·ROS28/11A·RAN03/12A·ST 06/12H·ROS09/12H·MOT16/12A·HEA23/12
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.571.000.641.000.501.00
vs Stronger (16)0.561.500.571.860.561.22
vs Similar (14)0.570.430.710.140.430.71
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %40% (+11pp vs league)
This opponent (Kilmarnock) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

KilmarnockKilmarnock

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-210W10W10W00D00D00D10W20W00D01LH·ABE29/10A·ST 01/11H·MOT04/11A·HIB11/11A·ROS25/11H·HEA02/12A·ABE06/12H·CEL10/12A·LIV16/12H·ST 23/12
Avg total
0.7
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.1
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.600.370.750.310.430.43
vs Stronger (10)0.700.200.830.170.500.25
vs Similar (20)0.550.450.700.400.400.50
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %67% (+38pp vs league)
This opponent (ST Mirren) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
ST Mirren over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
ST Mirren over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
ST Mirren over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kilmarnock over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kilmarnock over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kilmarnock over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Under 3.585.9%-------✓ Hit
Under 5.5 cards80.1%-------✓ Hit
Under 25.5 fouls78.4%-------✓ Hit
Over 8.5 corners76.5%-------✗ Miss
Over 2.5 cards74.6%-------✓ Hit

🎽 13. Player market rates

ST Mirren
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Mikael Mandron20%
Mark O'Hara18%
Toyosi Olusanya17%
Jonah Ayunga12%
Greg Kiltie12%
Stav Nachmani11%
Alex Greive11%
James Scott9%
Ryan Strain6%
Scott Tanser5%
Alexander Gogić5%
Lewis Jamieson5%
Charles Dunne5%
James Bolton4%
Conor McMenamin4%
Keanu Baccus3%
Marcus Fraser3%
Jaden Brown0%
Elvis Bwomono0%
Ryan Flynn0%
Caolan Boyd-Munce0%
Zachary Hemming0%
Richard Taylor0%
Hyeok-kyu Kwon0%
Thierry Small0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Keanu Baccus29%
Ryan Strain24%
Richard Taylor19%
Alexander Gogić18%
Scott Tanser16%
Conor McMenamin15%
Mark O'Hara14%
Toyosi Olusanya14%
Ryan Flynn9%
Caolan Boyd-Munce9%
Zachary Hemming8%
Jonah Ayunga6%
Mikael Mandron6%
Marcus Fraser5%
James Bolton4%
Greg Kiltie3%
Jaden Brown0%
Elvis Bwomono0%
Charles Dunne0%
James Scott0%
Hyeok-kyu Kwon0%
Lewis Jamieson0%
Stav Nachmani0%
Thierry Small0%
Alex Greive0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Greg Kiltie15%
Mark O'Hara11%
Scott Tanser11%
Mikael Mandron9%
Caolan Boyd-Munce9%
Ryan Strain6%
Conor McMenamin4%
Keanu Baccus3%
Toyosi Olusanya3%
Alexander Gogić3%
Jaden Brown0%
Jonah Ayunga0%
James Bolton0%
Elvis Bwomono0%
Charles Dunne0%
James Scott0%
Ryan Flynn0%
Marcus Fraser0%
Zachary Hemming0%
Richard Taylor0%
Hyeok-kyu Kwon0%
Lewis Jamieson0%
Stav Nachmani0%
Thierry Small0%
Alex Greive0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Mikael Mandron14%
Stav Nachmani11%
Jonah Ayunga6%
Greg Kiltie6%
Toyosi Olusanya6%
Scott Tanser5%
Richard Taylor4%
Caolan Boyd-Munce3%
Ryan Strain0%
Keanu Baccus0%
Mark O'Hara0%
Jaden Brown0%
James Bolton0%
Elvis Bwomono0%
Charles Dunne0%
James Scott0%
Alexander Gogić0%
Ryan Flynn0%
Marcus Fraser0%
Conor McMenamin0%
Zachary Hemming0%
Hyeok-kyu Kwon0%
Lewis Jamieson0%
Thierry Small0%
Alex Greive0%
Kilmarnock
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Marley Watkins25%
Kyle Vassell20%
David Watson14%
Danny Armstrong13%
Gary Mackay-Steven11%
Joe Wright10%
Innes Cameron10%
Bradley Lyons9%
Matthew Kennedy9%
Corrie Ndaba4%
Rory McKenzie4%
Robbie Deas3%
Lewis Mayo3%
Kieran O'Hara0%
Kevin van Veen0%
Stuart Findlay0%
Greg Stewart0%
Fraser Murray0%
Liam Donnelly0%
Kyle Magennis0%
Liam Polworth0%
Andrew Dallas0%
Will Dennis0%
James Balagizi0%
Thomas Davies0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Robbie Deas33%
Bradley Lyons30%
Liam Donnelly30%
Joe Wright28%
David Watson25%
Danny Armstrong24%
Kevin van Veen17%
Rory McKenzie14%
Lewis Mayo14%
Stuart Findlay14%
Greg Stewart12%
Kyle Magennis12%
Kyle Vassell11%
Innes Cameron10%
Matthew Kennedy9%
Corrie Ndaba7%
Liam Polworth7%
Marley Watkins6%
Will Dennis6%
Kieran O'Hara0%
Gary Mackay-Steven0%
Fraser Murray0%
Andrew Dallas0%
James Balagizi0%
Thomas Davies0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Danny Armstrong24%
Liam Polworth11%
Kyle Vassell9%
Matthew Kennedy9%
Marley Watkins8%
Kevin van Veen8%
Andrew Dallas7%
Fraser Murray7%
David Watson6%
Joe Wright3%
Kieran O'Hara0%
Corrie Ndaba0%
Stuart Findlay0%
Rory McKenzie0%
Gary Mackay-Steven0%
Greg Stewart0%
Liam Donnelly0%
Bradley Lyons0%
Kyle Magennis0%
Innes Cameron0%
Lewis Mayo0%
Robbie Deas0%
Will Dennis0%
James Balagizi0%
Thomas Davies0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Kyle Vassell26%
Marley Watkins17%
Danny Armstrong16%
Matthew Kennedy14%
Liam Donnelly11%
Innes Cameron10%
Bradley Lyons4%
Corrie Ndaba4%
David Watson3%
Stuart Findlay3%
Kieran O'Hara0%
Joe Wright0%
Kevin van Veen0%
Rory McKenzie0%
Gary Mackay-Steven0%
Greg Stewart0%
Fraser Murray0%
Kyle Magennis0%
Liam Polworth0%
Andrew Dallas0%
Lewis Mayo0%
Robbie Deas0%
Will Dennis0%
James Balagizi0%
Thomas Davies0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
RAN (29)
€136m
CEL (27)
€116m
HOM (30)
€22m
HIB (27)
€20m
MOT (26)
€16m
ABE (27)
€15m
SM (24)
€8m
KIL (24)
€7m
DUN (21)
€5m
SJ (25)
€5m
LIV (25)
€4m
PAR (20)
€3m
RR (18)
€2m
RC (11)
€1m
ST Mirren and Kilmarnock have a similar squad value (both €8m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
CEL (11)
€56m
RAN (9)
€38m
HOM (12)
€12m
MOT (10)
€10m
HIB (9)
€7m
ABE (7)
€4m
KIL (9)
€3m
SJ (9)
€2m
SM (8)
€1m
LIV (7)
€1m
DUN (7)
€1m
PAR (6)
€1m
RR (5)
€1m
RC (1)
€0m
ST Mirren's attack is €1m less valuable than Kilmarnock's (€1m vs €3m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
RAN (8)
€44m
CEL (5)
€20m
HIB (7)
€8m
ABE (8)
€4m
HOM (6)
€4m
SM (6)
€3m
DUN (7)
€2m
KIL (5)
€2m
MOT (4)
€1m
LIV (8)
€1m
PAR (6)
€1m
SJ (5)
€1m
RR (6)
€1m
RC (3)
€0m
ST Mirren's midfield is €1m more valuable than Kilmarnock's (€3m vs €2m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
RAN (12)
€54m
CEL (11)
€41m
ABE (12)
€7m
HOM (12)
€6m
MOT (12)
€5m
HIB (11)
€5m
SM (10)
€3m
KIL (10)
€3m
DUN (7)
€2m
SJ (11)
€2m
LIV (10)
€1m
PAR (8)
€1m
RC (7)
€1m
RR (7)
€0m
ST Mirren and Kilmarnock have a similar defence value (both €3m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

8 previous meetings
1
SM wins
5
Draws
2
KIL wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

ST Mirren vs Kilmarnock · H/A from SM
DateH/AGameScore
30/09/23AKilmarnock Vs SM1-1
22/04/23HSM Vs Kilmarnock0-2
02/01/23AKilmarnock Vs SM0-0
15/10/22HSM Vs Kilmarnock0-0
12/05/21AKilmarnock Vs SM3-3
06/02/21HSM Vs Kilmarnock2-0
02/01/21AKilmarnock Vs SM1-1
26/09/20HSM Vs Kilmarnock0-1

ST MirrenST Mirren

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
23/12/23AHeart Of Midlothian Vs SM2-0
16/12/23HSM Vs Motherwell0-0
09/12/23HSM Vs Ross County2-0
06/12/23AST Johnstone Vs SM1-0
03/12/23ARangers Vs SM2-0
28/11/23ARoss County Vs SM1-0
25/11/23HSM Vs Livingston1-0
11/11/23ADundee Vs SM4-0
08/11/23HSM Vs Hibernian2-2
01/11/23ACeltic Vs SM2-1

KilmarnockKilmarnock

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
23/12/23HKIL Vs ST Johnstone2-1
16/12/23ALivingston Vs KIL0-0
10/12/23HKIL Vs Celtic2-1
06/12/23AAberdeen Vs KIL0-1
02/12/23HKIL Vs Heart Of Midlothian0-1
25/11/23ARoss County Vs KIL0-0
11/11/23AHibernian Vs KIL1-0
04/11/23HKIL Vs Motherwell1-0
01/11/23AST Johnstone Vs KIL2-1
29/10/23HKIL Vs Aberdeen2-0

📊 16. Overall Statistics

ST Mirren
ST Mirren
Scotland: Premiership
Recent: 2 Wins / 2 Draws / 6 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLLWDL1.20
HomeWDWWD1.71
AwayLLLLL0.73
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %30%46%15%
AVG goals2.662.542.77
Over 1.5 %76%71%81%
Over 2.5 %52%54%50%
Over 3.5 %30%29%31%
Scored1.121.380.88
Conceded1.541.171.88
BTTS48%46%50%
Clean Sheet24%38%12%
Corners10.539.7811.20
Cards3.473.113.80
Kilmarnock
Kilmarnock
Scotland: Premiership
Recent: 5 Wins / 2 Draws / 3 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLWWDW1.26
HomeWWLWW1.85
AwayLLDWD0.62
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %34%54%12%
AVG goals2.442.462.42
Over 1.5 %68%65%71%
Over 2.5 %48%46%50%
Over 3.5 %30%27%33%
Scored1.081.420.71
Conceded1.361.041.71
BTTS48%58%38%
Clean Sheet30%31%29%
Corners11.2611.0011.56
Cards4.564.115.00

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1CelticCeltic3893
76%
2.4
9530+65
3.3
89%
74%
34%
12.8
76%
3.4
44%
19.9
29%
116
5620412.50.8
69%
2RangersRangers3885
71%
2.2
8732+55
3.1
84%
66%
37%
11.3
66%
4.0
66%
22.0
50%
136
3844542.30.8
63%
3Heart Of MidlothianHeart Of Midlothian3868
53%
1.8
5442+12
2.5
68%
45%
24%
12.2
79%
4.2
62%
22.2
55%
22
12461.41.1
55%
4KilmarnockKilmarnock3856
37%
1.5
4644+2
2.4
63%
42%
29%
11.0
68%
4.4
67%
22.7
53%
7
3231.21.2
45%
5AberdeenAberdeen3848
32%
1.3
4852-4
2.6
76%
47%
29%
10.2
61%
4.4
63%
24.5
74%
15
4471.31.4
49%
6ST MirrenST Mirren3847
34%
1.2
4652-6
2.6
74%
50%
24%
10.5
66%
3.2
44%
21.5
45%
8
1331.21.4
45%
7HibernianHibernian3846
29%
1.2
5259-7
2.9
84%
66%
39%
10.4
63%
4.1
61%
20.7
37%
20
7851.41.6
53%
8MotherwellMotherwell3843
26%
1.1
5659-3
3.0
82%
55%
34%
10.6
61%
4.2
59%
21.9
53%
16
10151.51.6
46%
9DundeeDundee3842
26%
1.1
4968-19
3.1
79%
63%
39%
11.4
74%
4.1
56%
19.5
32%
5
1221.31.8
44%
10Ross CountyRoss County4041
25%
1.0
4468-24
2.8
75%
52%
35%
11.2
66%
3.9
61%
22.0
53%
1
0011.11.7
44%
11ST JohnstoneST Johnstone3835
21%
0.9
2954-25
2.2
74%
37%
16%
10.4
55%
3.9
58%
21.7
50%
5
2120.81.4
44%
12LivingstonLivingston3825
13%
0.7
2970-41
2.6
74%
47%
29%
9.2
39%
3.5
46%
23.6
66%
4
1110.81.8
43%
13PartickPartick47
50%
1.8
76+1
3.2
100%
100%
25%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1111.81.5
-
14Raith RoversRaith Rovers43
25%
0.8
49-5
3.2
100%
100%
25%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1101.02.2
-
15Airdrie UnitedAirdrie United21
0%
0.5
34-1
3.5
100%
100%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.52.0
-
Scotland: Premiership 2023/24 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Scotland: Premiership stats & trends →

👥 18. Who played

Minutes played, then goals, assists, cards and match rating. Substitutes in grey.

← all matches