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ST Mirren vs Kilmarnock Result & Analysis

Date: 11/05/2024
Time: 14:00
Final 0-1
ST Mirren
ST Mirren
Vs
39%
32%
29%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Kilmarnock
Kilmarnock
Scotland: Premiership
Referee: -
Match preview & prediction

ST Mirren’s defensive record at home is solid, conceding only 0.14 goals per game against teams of similar strength, while Kilmarnock’s away defence has let in 0.88 goals on average. The model therefore favours a home win, with a 39% probability, followed by a draw at 32% and an away win at 29%. The expected total goals is 2.2, with the most likely total of 2 goals at 28%. The single most likely scoreline is 1-1, occurring with a 14.6% chance. ST Mirren’s average home scoring of 1.57 goals and Kilmarnock’s away scoring of 1.12 goals suggest a tight, low-scoring encounter. The suggested picks are: Under 5.5 cards 82.4%, Under 3.5 goals 81.9%, Under 25.5 fouls 81.5%, Over 8.5 corners 77.8%, and Over 2.5 cards 72.2% (edge). The model’s selection points to a narrow 1-0 win for the home side.

Results analysis

The upset came early as Kilmarnock snatched a 0-1 away win, a result that was far from the model’s pre-match favourite. The model had tipped a home win with a 39% probability, but that call proved wrong. The final score of 0-1 gave Kilmarnock the victory, while ST Mirren suffered a defeat that extended their recent run of losses. The model’s other selections all hit: Under 5.5 cards at 82.4%, Under 3.5 goals at 81.9%, Under 25.5 fouls at 81.5%, and Over 8.5 corners at 77.8%. The only miss was Over 2.5 cards, which fell short at 72.2%.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

ST Mirren win✗ Miss
39.1%
Avg Implied 35.3% · @ 2.67
Edge
+3.9%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
31.6%
Avg Implied 30.8% · @ 3.06
Edge
+0.8%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Kilmarnock win✓ Hit
29.3%
Avg Implied 34.0% · @ 2.77
Edge
-4.7%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

ST MirrenST Mirren

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-501L20W11D21W25L11D12L03L12L31WA·LIV17/02H·ST 24/02A·ROS27/02H·ABE02/03A·KIL16/03A·MOT30/03H·HEA06/04A·CEL13/04H·RAN28/04A·DUN04/05
Avg total
3.0
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
1.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.101.331.201.001.001.67
vs Stronger (14)1.001.640.881.751.171.50
vs Similar (16)1.191.061.570.140.891.78
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %30% (+1pp vs league)
This opponent (Kilmarnock) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

KilmarnockKilmarnock

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-511D20W12L22D52W11D10W20W00D14LA·CEL17/02H·ABE24/02H·RAN28/02A·DUN02/03H·ST 16/03A·HEA30/03H·ROS06/04A·ST 13/04H·HEA27/04A·RAN05/05
Avg total
2.8
Avg scored
1.6
Avg conceded
1.2
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.331.101.670.871.001.33
vs Stronger (14)1.071.361.290.860.861.86
vs Similar (16)1.560.882.000.881.120.88
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %37% (+8pp vs league)
This opponent (ST Mirren) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

7%14%21%28%12%022%128%220%311%45%53%6+
The model estimates around 2.2 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (28%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
66.0%
Under 1.5
34.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
37.8%
@ 2.29-3.3%
Under 2.5
62.2%
@ 1.60+3.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
18.1%
Under 3.5
81.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
45.6%
No
54.4%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
14.6%
0-0
12.4%
1-0
11.9%
0-1 ✓
9.8%
2-1
8.0%
2-0
7.9%
1-2
6.7%
0-2
5.6%
ST Mirren goals ↓
Kilmarnock goals →
01234
012%9.8%5.6%1.9%0.5%
112%15%6.7%2.2%0.6%
27.9%8.0%4.0%1.3%0.3%
33.2%3.2%1.6%0.5%0.1%
41.0%1.0%0.5%0.2%0.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = ST Mirren goals (down), columns = Kilmarnock goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Celtic
2.45
Rangers
2.24
Heart Of Midlothian
1.79
Partick
1.75
Kilmarnock
1.47
Aberdeen
1.26
ST Mirren
1.24
Hibernian
1.21
Motherwell
1.13
Dundee
1.11
Ross County
1.02
ST Johnstone
0.92
Raith Rovers
0.75
Livingston
0.66
Airdrie United
0.50
ST Mirren is 0.24 points worse than Kilmarnock in terms of average points per game (1.24 vs 1.47).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Celtic
2.50
Rangers
2.29
Partick
1.75
Airdrie United
1.50
Motherwell
1.47
Heart Of Midlothian
1.42
Hibernian
1.37
Dundee
1.29
Aberdeen
1.26
ST Mirren
1.21
Kilmarnock
1.21
Ross County
1.10
Raith Rovers
1.00
Livingston
0.76
ST Johnstone
0.76
ST Mirren and Kilmarnock are level in goals scored per game (both 1.21).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Celtic
0.79
Rangers
0.84
Heart Of Midlothian
1.11
Kilmarnock
1.16
ST Mirren
1.37
Aberdeen
1.37
ST Johnstone
1.42
Partick
1.50
Motherwell
1.55
Hibernian
1.55
Ross County
1.70
Dundee
1.79
Livingston
1.84
Airdrie United
2.00
Raith Rovers
2.25
ST Mirren is 0.21 goals worse than Kilmarnock in terms of goals conceded per game (1.37 vs 1.16).

⏱️ Possession

Avg possession %
Celtic
69%
Rangers
63%
Heart Of Midlothian
55%
Hibernian
53%
Aberdeen
49%
Motherwell
46%
ST Mirren
45%
Kilmarnock
45%
Ross County
44%
Dundee
44%
ST Johnstone
44%
Livingston
43%
ST Mirren is 0.1 percentage points better than Kilmarnock in terms of average possession (45% vs 45%).

🎲 4. Props Analysis

ST MirrenST Mirren

For 4.9 · Against 5.0 · Total 9.9

🚩 Corners

1508448111874431324356941212121584571113A·DUNH·RANA·CELH·HEAA·MOTA·KILH·ABEA·ROSH·ST A·LIV
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.2 · Against 1.8 · Total 3.0

🟨 Cards

5012112121113142212113223245432A·DUNH·RANA·CELH·HEAA·MOTA·KILH·ABEA·ROSH·ST A·LIV
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 11.1 · Against 11.5 · Total 22.6

⚠️ Fouls

38098121212714589131516226131012111217241919172838192223A·DUNH·RANA·CELH·HEAA·MOTA·KILH·ABEA·ROSH·ST A·LIV
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

KilmarnockKilmarnock

For 5.0 · Against 5.6 · Total 10.6

🚩 Corners

1701168462437713648653481712871441014812A·RANH·HEAA·ST H·ROSA·HEAH·ST A·DUNH·RANH·ABEA·CEL
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.9 · Against 1.4 · Total 4.3

🟨 Cards

804444223153321324484485132A·RANH·HEAH·ROSA·HEAH·ST A·DUNH·RANH·ABEA·CELH·LIV
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 10.8 · Against 11.2 · Total 22.0

⚠️ Fouls

3209119614861512515131011816171581220152221172821243220A·RANH·HEAA·ST H·ROSA·HEAH·ST A·DUNH·RANH·ABEA·CEL
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

ST MirrenST Mirren

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)10.510.010.92.32.22.421.821.222.3
vs Stronger (25)11.19.812.92.22.22.222.423.021.6
vs Similar (25)9.910.29.62.42.12.621.319.122.8
vs Weaker (0)---------
% over line66%65%67%32%25%38%46%47%44%
% under line34%35%33%68%75%62%54%53%56%
This opponent (Kilmarnock) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

KilmarnockKilmarnock

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)11.110.611.53.02.63.323.023.422.5
vs Stronger (22)11.810.912.83.23.13.423.024.021.9
vs Similar (28)10.410.310.42.82.33.322.922.823.1
vs Weaker (0)---------
% over line69%67%71%46%38%54%54%61%47%
% under line31%33%29%54%62%46%46%39%53%
This opponent (ST Mirren) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

🚩 Total Corners

Match total corners / game
Celtic
11.8
Heart Of Midlothian
11.3
Dundee
11.2
Ross County
11.1
Rangers
11.1
Motherwell
10.8
ST Mirren
10.7
Kilmarnock
10.6
Aberdeen
10.6
ST Johnstone
10.4
Hibernian
10.2
Partick
10.0
Airdrie United
9.9
Livingston
9.6

🟨 Total Cards

Match total cards / game
Heart Of Midlothian
4.4
Hibernian
4.2
Rangers
4.1
Aberdeen
4.1
Motherwell
4.1
Kilmarnock
4.0
Dundee
3.9
ST Johnstone
3.9
Ross County
3.8
Livingston
3.8
Partick
3.5
Celtic
3.5
Airdrie United
3.3
ST Mirren
3.3

⚠️ Total Fouls

Match total fouls / game
Aberdeen
24.3
Livingston
24.3
Motherwell
23.4
Kilmarnock
23.1
Heart Of Midlothian
22.9
Ross County
22.9
ST Johnstone
22.5
Hibernian
22.5
Rangers
21.8
ST Mirren
21.7
Dundee
20.3
Partick
19.9
Celtic
19.4
Airdrie United
18.7
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Over
Over 9.5
67.2%
Under 9.5
32.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
51.5%
Under 3.5
48.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
47.7%
Under 21.5
52.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

ST MirrenST Mirren

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-201L10W01L01L20W10W01L00D11D10WA·LIV17/02H·ST 24/02A·ROS27/02H·ABE02/03A·KIL16/03A·MOT30/03H·HEA06/04A·CEL13/04H·RAN28/04A·DUN04/05
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.500.570.330.600.670.53
vs Stronger (14)0.500.790.251.000.830.50
vs Similar (16)0.500.380.430.140.560.56
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %50% (+21pp vs league)
This opponent (Kilmarnock) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

KilmarnockKilmarnock

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-201L10W10W11D02L01L00D10W00D11DA·CEL17/02H·ABE24/02H·RAN28/02A·DUN02/03H·ST 16/03A·HEA30/03H·ROS06/04A·ST 13/04H·HEA27/04A·RAN05/05
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.500.670.600.470.400.87
vs Stronger (14)0.360.710.570.290.141.14
vs Similar (16)0.620.620.620.620.620.62
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %47% (+18pp vs league)
This opponent (ST Mirren) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
ST Mirren over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
ST Mirren over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
ST Mirren over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kilmarnock over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kilmarnock over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kilmarnock over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

ST MirrenST Mirren

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
50-500D10W10W20W05L01L11D03L01L21WA·LIV17/02H·ST 24/02A·ROS27/02H·ABE02/03A·KIL16/03A·MOT30/03H·HEA06/04A·CEL13/04H·RAN28/04A·DUN04/05
Avg total
1.9
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
1.2
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.600.770.870.400.331.13
vs Stronger (14)0.500.860.620.750.331.00
vs Similar (16)0.690.691.140.000.331.22
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %50% (+21pp vs league)
This opponent (Kilmarnock) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

KilmarnockKilmarnock

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
50-510W10W02L11D50W10W10W10W00D03LA·CEL17/02H·ABE24/02H·RAN28/02A·DUN02/03H·ST 16/03A·HEA30/03H·ROS06/04A·ST 13/04H·HEA27/04A·RAN05/05
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.830.431.070.400.600.47
vs Stronger (14)0.710.640.710.570.710.71
vs Similar (16)0.940.251.380.250.500.25
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %70% (+41pp vs league)
This opponent (ST Mirren) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
ST Mirren over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
ST Mirren over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
ST Mirren over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kilmarnock over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kilmarnock over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kilmarnock over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Under 5.5 cards82.4%-------✓ Hit
Under 3.581.9%-------✓ Hit
Under 25.5 fouls81.5%-------✓ Hit
Over 8.5 corners77.8%-------✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards72.2%-------✗ Miss

🎽 13. Player market rates

ST Mirren
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Mikael Mandron20%
Mark O'Hara18%
Toyosi Olusanya17%
Jonah Ayunga12%
Greg Kiltie12%
Stav Nachmani11%
Alex Greive11%
James Scott9%
Ryan Strain6%
Scott Tanser5%
Alexander Gogić5%
Lewis Jamieson5%
Charles Dunne5%
James Bolton4%
Conor McMenamin4%
Keanu Baccus3%
Marcus Fraser3%
Jaden Brown0%
Elvis Bwomono0%
Ryan Flynn0%
Caolan Boyd-Munce0%
Zachary Hemming0%
Richard Taylor0%
Hyeok-kyu Kwon0%
Thierry Small0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Keanu Baccus29%
Ryan Strain24%
Richard Taylor19%
Alexander Gogić18%
Scott Tanser16%
Conor McMenamin15%
Mark O'Hara14%
Toyosi Olusanya14%
Ryan Flynn9%
Caolan Boyd-Munce9%
Zachary Hemming8%
Jonah Ayunga6%
Mikael Mandron6%
Marcus Fraser5%
James Bolton4%
Greg Kiltie3%
Jaden Brown0%
Elvis Bwomono0%
Charles Dunne0%
James Scott0%
Hyeok-kyu Kwon0%
Lewis Jamieson0%
Stav Nachmani0%
Thierry Small0%
Alex Greive0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Greg Kiltie15%
Mark O'Hara11%
Scott Tanser11%
Mikael Mandron9%
Caolan Boyd-Munce9%
Ryan Strain6%
Conor McMenamin4%
Keanu Baccus3%
Toyosi Olusanya3%
Alexander Gogić3%
Jaden Brown0%
Jonah Ayunga0%
James Bolton0%
Elvis Bwomono0%
Charles Dunne0%
James Scott0%
Ryan Flynn0%
Marcus Fraser0%
Zachary Hemming0%
Richard Taylor0%
Hyeok-kyu Kwon0%
Lewis Jamieson0%
Stav Nachmani0%
Thierry Small0%
Alex Greive0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Mikael Mandron14%
Stav Nachmani11%
Jonah Ayunga6%
Greg Kiltie6%
Toyosi Olusanya6%
Scott Tanser5%
Richard Taylor4%
Caolan Boyd-Munce3%
Ryan Strain0%
Keanu Baccus0%
Mark O'Hara0%
Jaden Brown0%
James Bolton0%
Elvis Bwomono0%
Charles Dunne0%
James Scott0%
Alexander Gogić0%
Ryan Flynn0%
Marcus Fraser0%
Conor McMenamin0%
Zachary Hemming0%
Hyeok-kyu Kwon0%
Lewis Jamieson0%
Thierry Small0%
Alex Greive0%
Kilmarnock
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Marley Watkins25%
Kyle Vassell20%
David Watson14%
Danny Armstrong13%
Gary Mackay-Steven11%
Joe Wright10%
Innes Cameron10%
Bradley Lyons9%
Matthew Kennedy9%
Corrie Ndaba4%
Rory McKenzie4%
Robbie Deas3%
Lewis Mayo3%
Kieran O'Hara0%
Kevin van Veen0%
Stuart Findlay0%
Greg Stewart0%
Fraser Murray0%
Liam Donnelly0%
Kyle Magennis0%
Liam Polworth0%
Andrew Dallas0%
Will Dennis0%
James Balagizi0%
Thomas Davies0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Robbie Deas33%
Bradley Lyons30%
Liam Donnelly30%
Joe Wright28%
David Watson25%
Danny Armstrong24%
Kevin van Veen17%
Rory McKenzie14%
Lewis Mayo14%
Stuart Findlay14%
Greg Stewart12%
Kyle Magennis12%
Kyle Vassell11%
Innes Cameron10%
Matthew Kennedy9%
Corrie Ndaba7%
Liam Polworth7%
Marley Watkins6%
Will Dennis6%
Kieran O'Hara0%
Gary Mackay-Steven0%
Fraser Murray0%
Andrew Dallas0%
James Balagizi0%
Thomas Davies0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Danny Armstrong24%
Liam Polworth11%
Kyle Vassell9%
Matthew Kennedy9%
Marley Watkins8%
Kevin van Veen8%
Andrew Dallas7%
Fraser Murray7%
David Watson6%
Joe Wright3%
Kieran O'Hara0%
Corrie Ndaba0%
Stuart Findlay0%
Rory McKenzie0%
Gary Mackay-Steven0%
Greg Stewart0%
Liam Donnelly0%
Bradley Lyons0%
Kyle Magennis0%
Innes Cameron0%
Lewis Mayo0%
Robbie Deas0%
Will Dennis0%
James Balagizi0%
Thomas Davies0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Kyle Vassell26%
Marley Watkins17%
Danny Armstrong16%
Matthew Kennedy14%
Liam Donnelly11%
Innes Cameron10%
Bradley Lyons4%
Corrie Ndaba4%
David Watson3%
Stuart Findlay3%
Kieran O'Hara0%
Joe Wright0%
Kevin van Veen0%
Rory McKenzie0%
Gary Mackay-Steven0%
Greg Stewart0%
Fraser Murray0%
Kyle Magennis0%
Liam Polworth0%
Andrew Dallas0%
Lewis Mayo0%
Robbie Deas0%
Will Dennis0%
James Balagizi0%
Thomas Davies0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
RAN (29)
€136m
CEL (27)
€116m
HOM (30)
€22m
HIB (27)
€20m
MOT (26)
€16m
ABE (27)
€15m
SM (24)
€8m
KIL (24)
€7m
DUN (21)
€5m
SJ (25)
€5m
LIV (25)
€4m
PAR (20)
€3m
RR (18)
€2m
RC (11)
€1m
ST Mirren and Kilmarnock have a similar squad value (both €8m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
CEL (11)
€56m
RAN (9)
€38m
HOM (12)
€12m
MOT (10)
€10m
HIB (9)
€7m
ABE (7)
€4m
KIL (9)
€3m
SJ (9)
€2m
SM (8)
€1m
LIV (7)
€1m
DUN (7)
€1m
PAR (6)
€1m
RR (5)
€1m
RC (1)
€0m
ST Mirren's attack is €1m less valuable than Kilmarnock's (€1m vs €3m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
RAN (8)
€44m
CEL (5)
€20m
HIB (7)
€8m
ABE (8)
€4m
HOM (6)
€4m
SM (6)
€3m
DUN (7)
€2m
KIL (5)
€2m
MOT (4)
€1m
LIV (8)
€1m
PAR (6)
€1m
SJ (5)
€1m
RR (6)
€1m
RC (3)
€0m
ST Mirren's midfield is €1m more valuable than Kilmarnock's (€3m vs €2m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
RAN (12)
€54m
CEL (11)
€41m
ABE (12)
€7m
HOM (12)
€6m
MOT (12)
€5m
HIB (11)
€5m
SM (10)
€3m
KIL (10)
€3m
DUN (7)
€2m
SJ (11)
€2m
LIV (10)
€1m
PAR (8)
€1m
RC (7)
€1m
RR (7)
€0m
ST Mirren and Kilmarnock have a similar defence value (both €3m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

8 previous meetings
1
SM wins
4
Draws
3
KIL wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

ST Mirren vs Kilmarnock · H/A from SM
DateH/AGameScore
16/03/24AKilmarnock Vs SM5-2
27/12/23HSM Vs Kilmarnock0-1
30/09/23AKilmarnock Vs SM1-1
22/04/23HSM Vs Kilmarnock0-2
02/01/23AKilmarnock Vs SM0-0
15/10/22HSM Vs Kilmarnock0-0
12/05/21AKilmarnock Vs SM3-3
06/02/21HSM Vs Kilmarnock2-0

ST MirrenST Mirren

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
04/05/24ADundee Vs SM1-3
28/04/24HSM Vs Rangers1-2
13/04/24ACeltic Vs SM3-0
06/04/24HSM Vs Heart Of Midlothian1-2
30/03/24AMotherwell Vs SM1-1
16/03/24AKilmarnock Vs SM5-2
02/03/24HSM Vs Aberdeen2-1
27/02/24ARoss County Vs SM1-1
24/02/24HSM Vs ST Johnstone2-0
17/02/24ALivingston Vs SM1-0

KilmarnockKilmarnock

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
05/05/24ARangers Vs KIL4-1
27/04/24HKIL Vs Heart Of Midlothian0-0
13/04/24AST Johnstone Vs KIL0-2
06/04/24HKIL Vs Ross County1-0
30/03/24AHeart Of Midlothian Vs KIL1-1
16/03/24HKIL Vs ST Mirren5-2
02/03/24ADundee Vs KIL2-2
28/02/24HKIL Vs Rangers1-2
24/02/24HKIL Vs Aberdeen2-0
17/02/24ACeltic Vs KIL1-1

📊 16. Overall Statistics

ST Mirren
ST Mirren
Scotland: Premiership
Recent: 3 Wins / 2 Draws / 5 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDLLLW1.18
HomeWWWLL1.42
AwayDLDLW0.96
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %32%42%23%
AVG goals2.682.502.85
Over 1.5 %78%71%85%
Over 2.5 %52%54%50%
Over 3.5 %22%21%23%
Scored1.181.211.15
Conceded1.501.291.69
BTTS44%33%54%
Clean Sheet26%38%15%
Corners10.4610.0010.89
Cards3.263.063.44
Kilmarnock
Kilmarnock
Scotland: Premiership
Recent: 4 Wins / 4 Draws / 2 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDWWDL1.44
HomeWLWWD1.88
AwayDDDWL0.96
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %38%54%21%
AVG goals2.422.462.38
Over 1.5 %70%65%75%
Over 2.5 %42%42%42%
Over 3.5 %28%27%29%
Scored1.241.500.96
Conceded1.180.961.42
BTTS52%54%50%
Clean Sheet34%35%33%
Corners11.0610.6111.53
Cards4.484.005.00

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1CelticCeltic3893
76%
2.4
9530+65
3.3
89%
74%
34%
12.8
76%
3.4
44%
19.9
29%
116
5620412.50.8
69%
2RangersRangers3885
71%
2.2
8732+55
3.1
84%
66%
37%
11.3
66%
4.0
66%
22.0
50%
136
3844542.30.8
63%
3Heart Of MidlothianHeart Of Midlothian3868
53%
1.8
5442+12
2.5
68%
45%
24%
12.2
79%
4.2
62%
22.2
55%
22
12461.41.1
55%
4KilmarnockKilmarnock3856
37%
1.5
4644+2
2.4
63%
42%
29%
11.0
68%
4.4
67%
22.7
53%
7
3231.21.2
45%
5AberdeenAberdeen3848
32%
1.3
4852-4
2.6
76%
47%
29%
10.2
61%
4.4
63%
24.5
74%
15
4471.31.4
49%
6ST MirrenST Mirren3847
34%
1.2
4652-6
2.6
74%
50%
24%
10.5
66%
3.2
44%
21.5
45%
8
1331.21.4
45%
7HibernianHibernian3846
29%
1.2
5259-7
2.9
84%
66%
39%
10.4
63%
4.1
61%
20.7
37%
20
7851.41.6
53%
8MotherwellMotherwell3843
26%
1.1
5659-3
3.0
82%
55%
34%
10.6
61%
4.2
59%
21.9
53%
16
10151.51.6
46%
9DundeeDundee3842
26%
1.1
4968-19
3.1
79%
63%
39%
11.4
74%
4.1
56%
19.5
32%
5
1221.31.8
44%
10Ross CountyRoss County4041
25%
1.0
4468-24
2.8
75%
52%
35%
11.2
66%
3.9
61%
22.0
53%
1
0011.11.7
44%
11ST JohnstoneST Johnstone3835
21%
0.9
2954-25
2.2
74%
37%
16%
10.4
55%
3.9
58%
21.7
50%
5
2120.81.4
44%
12LivingstonLivingston3825
13%
0.7
2970-41
2.6
74%
47%
29%
9.2
39%
3.5
46%
23.6
66%
4
1110.81.8
43%
13PartickPartick47
50%
1.8
76+1
3.2
100%
100%
25%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1111.81.5
-
14Raith RoversRaith Rovers43
25%
0.8
49-5
3.2
100%
100%
25%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1101.02.2
-
15Airdrie UnitedAirdrie United21
0%
0.5
34-1
3.5
100%
100%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.52.0
-
Scotland: Premiership 2023/24 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Scotland: Premiership stats & trends →

👥 18. Who played

Minutes played, then goals, assists, cards and match rating. Substitutes in grey.

← all matches