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ST Mirren vs Kilmarnock Result & Analysis

Date: 14/09/2024
Time: 14:00
Final 2-2
ST Mirren
ST Mirren
Vs
42%
30%
27%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Kilmarnock
Kilmarnock
Scotland: Premiership
Referee: -
Match preview & prediction

ST Mirren are favoured to win, with a 42% chance of triumph, a 30% chance of a draw and a 27% chance of a Kilmarnock victory. The match is expected to see about 2.3 goals, with the most likely total being two goals (28%). The single most likely scoreline is 1-1, carrying a 14.3% probability. ST Mirren, playing at home against a similarly-matched opponent, average 1.33 goals scored and only 0.5 conceded, while Kilmarnock, on the road, average 0.89 goals scored and 0.78 conceded. The model’s selections include Under 25.5 fouls (85%), Under 5.5 cards (83%), Over 8.5 corners (80%), Under 3.5 (79.5%), Under 23.5 fouls (73.3%) and Over 2.5 cards (71.5%). The home win probability is 42%, the draw probability 30% and the away win probability 27%. The game’s recent form shows ST Mirren coming off a draw, while Kilmarnock are still recovering from a defeat.

Results analysis

ST Mirren’s home form has slipped, coming off a draw, yet the model still tipped a home win at 42%. The match finished 2-2, a draw that left the favourite wrong. The model’s other selections were mixed: Under 25.5 fouls hit at 85%, Over 8.5 corners hit at 80%, and Over 2.5 cards hit at 71.5%. The remaining picks - Under 5.5 cards, Under 3.5, and Under 23.5 fouls - all missed, with probabilities of 83%, 79.5%, and 73.3% respectively. The final score of 2-2 matched the most likely 2-goal outcome, but the pre-match expectation of a ST Mirren victory proved incorrect.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

ST Mirren win✗ Miss
42.5%
Avg Implied 42.0% · @ 2.24
Edge
+0.4%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✓ Hit
30.4%
Avg Implied 28.7% · @ 3.28
Edge
+1.7%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Kilmarnock win✗ Miss
27.1%
Avg Implied 29.2% · @ 3.22
Edge
-2.1%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

ST MirrenST Mirren

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-423L00D41W30W11D13L13L01L03L22DA·CEL18/05A·VAL25/07H·VAL01/08H·HIB04/08H·BRA08/08A·ABE11/08A·BRA15/08A·DUN18/08H·CEL25/08A·DUN31/08
Avg total
3.1
Avg scored
1.4
Avg conceded
1.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.231.471.201.201.271.73
vs Stronger (16)1.251.811.111.671.432.00
vs Similar (14)1.211.071.330.501.121.50
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %23% (-5pp vs league)
This opponent (Kilmarnock) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

KilmarnockKilmarnock

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-401L04L22D03L10W00D02L02L11D11DA·CER01/08A·CEL04/08H·TRO08/08H·ST 11/08A·TRO15/08A·MOT18/08A·FC 22/08A·ABE25/08H·FC 29/08H·HIB01/09
Avg total
2.1
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
1.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.071.431.361.500.811.38
vs Stronger (14)0.862.001.001.860.712.14
vs Similar (16)1.250.941.711.140.890.78
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %30% (+1pp vs league)
This opponent (ST Mirren) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

7%14%21%28%11%020%128%220%312%46%53%6+
The model estimates around 2.3 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (28%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
68.7%
Under 1.5
31.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
40.9%
@ 2.17-2.5%
Under 2.5
59.1%
@ 1.67+2.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
20.5%
Under 3.5
79.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
47.7%
No
52.3%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
14.3%
1-0
11.6%
0-0
11.1%
0-1
8.6%
2-1
8.5%
2-0
8.5%
1-2
6.5%
0-2
4.9%
ST Mirren goals ↓
Kilmarnock goals →
01234
011%8.6%4.9%1.7%0.4%
112%14%6.5%2.2%0.5%
28.5%8.5%4.3%1.4%0.4%
33.7%3.8%1.9%0.6%0.2%
41.2%1.2%0.6%0.2%0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = ST Mirren goals (down), columns = Kilmarnock goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Livingston
2.50
Celtic
2.42
Rangers
1.97
Hibernian
1.53
Ayr Utd
1.50
Aberdeen
1.39
Dundee Utd
1.39
Heart Of Midlothian
1.37
ST Mirren
1.32
Motherwell
1.29
Kilmarnock
1.16
Dundee
1.08
Ross County
0.95
ST Johnstone
0.84
Partick
0.75
ST Mirren is 0.16 points better than Kilmarnock in terms of average points per game (1.32 vs 1.16).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Celtic
2.95
Livingston
2.25
Rangers
2.11
Hibernian
1.63
Dundee
1.50
ST Mirren
1.39
Heart Of Midlothian
1.37
Aberdeen
1.26
Motherwell
1.21
Kilmarnock
1.18
Dundee Utd
1.18
Ross County
1.00
ST Johnstone
1.00
Partick
0.50
Ayr Utd
0.50
ST Mirren is 0.21 goals better than Kilmarnock in terms of goals scored per game (1.39 vs 1.18).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Celtic
0.68
Livingston
0.75
Ayr Utd
1.00
Rangers
1.08
Heart Of Midlothian
1.24
Partick
1.25
Hibernian
1.32
Dundee Utd
1.42
ST Mirren
1.55
Aberdeen
1.61
Motherwell
1.66
Kilmarnock
1.68
Ross County
1.75
ST Johnstone
1.79
Dundee
2.03
ST Mirren is 0.13 goals better than Kilmarnock in terms of goals conceded per game (1.55 vs 1.68).

⏱️ Possession

Avg possession %
Celtic
74%
Rangers
63%
Heart Of Midlothian
54%
Aberdeen
53%
ST Johnstone
53%
Hibernian
45%
Dundee
44%
Dundee Utd
44%
Kilmarnock
44%
ST Mirren
42%
Motherwell
42%
Ross County
40%
ST Mirren is 1.3 percentage points worse than Kilmarnock in terms of average possession (42% vs 44%).

🎲 4. Props Analysis

ST MirrenST Mirren

For 4.3 · Against 6.6 · Total 10.9

🚩 Corners

140162107526483114385844871212812147131212A·DUNH·CELA·BRAA·ABEH·HIBA·CELH·HEAH·KILA·DUNH·RAN
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.1 · Against 1.5 · Total 3.6

🟨 Cards

604221423231212112126365423223A·DUNH·CELA·BRAA·ABEH·HIBH·KILA·DUNH·RANA·CELH·HEA
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 11.3 · Against 9.9 · Total 21.2

⚠️ Fouls

290169127149141510997710101398121225192329191617231724A·DUNH·CELA·BRAA·ABEH·HIBA·CELH·HEAH·KILA·DUNH·RAN
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

KilmarnockKilmarnock

For 3.3 · Against 8.2 · Total 11.5

🚩 Corners

16047111684123944110342958111214161281171113H·HIBH·FC A·ABEA·FC A·TROH·ST A·CELA·DUNH·CELA·ST
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.7 · Against 1.8 · Total 4.5

🟨 Cards

100231113335164221114152466102325H·HIBH·FC A·ABEA·FC A·TROH·ST A·CELA·CERH·CERA·DUN
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 11.4 · Against 10.8 · Total 22.2

⚠️ Fouls

2801017151112141191171414117107712131027262620182818171923H·HIBH·FC A·ABEA·FC A·TROH·ST A·CELA·DUNH·CELA·ST
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

ST MirrenST Mirren

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)10.510.210.82.82.53.021.720.922.5
vs Stronger (26)11.09.912.42.82.63.121.921.821.9
vs Similar (24)9.910.69.42.82.53.021.519.623.0
vs Weaker (0)---------
% over line65%67%64%40%29%50%47%43%50%
% under line35%33%36%60%71%50%53%57%50%
This opponent (Kilmarnock) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

KilmarnockKilmarnock

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)11.210.611.73.93.64.322.823.722.0
vs Stronger (21)12.211.213.24.03.54.721.423.019.9
vs Similar (29)10.310.110.53.93.64.123.924.223.5
vs Weaker (0)---------
% over line71%68%74%58%48%68%53%64%43%
% under line29%32%26%42%52%32%47%36%57%
This opponent (ST Mirren) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

🚩 Total Corners

Match total corners / game
Celtic
12.1
Heart Of Midlothian
11.6
Rangers
11.3
Kilmarnock
11.2
Dundee Utd
11.2
Ross County
11.2
Motherwell
11.1
Dundee
11.0
Aberdeen
10.7
ST Mirren
10.6
ST Johnstone
10.3
Hibernian
10.2
Partick
10.0
Livingston
9.6

🟨 Total Cards

Match total cards / game
Heart Of Midlothian
4.4
Kilmarnock
4.3
Rangers
4.3
Dundee
4.2
Aberdeen
4.1
Hibernian
4.1
ST Johnstone
4.0
Dundee Utd
4.0
Motherwell
4.0
Celtic
3.8
Ross County
3.8
Livingston
3.6
Partick
3.5
ST Mirren
3.3

⚠️ Total Fouls

Match total fouls / game
Aberdeen
24.1
Livingston
23.9
Heart Of Midlothian
22.7
Kilmarnock
22.7
ST Johnstone
22.4
Motherwell
22.1
Rangers
22.0
Ross County
21.9
ST Mirren
21.8
Dundee Utd
21.6
Hibernian
21.5
Dundee
20.3
Celtic
19.9
Partick
19.8
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Over
Over 9.5
69.9%
Under 9.5
30.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
50.6%
Under 3.5
49.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
42.3%
Under 21.5
57.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

ST MirrenST Mirren

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-222D00D10W00D00D11D01L01L02L21WA·CEL18/05A·VAL25/07H·VAL01/08H·HIB04/08H·BRA08/08A·ABE11/08A·BRA15/08A·DUN18/08H·CEL25/08A·DUN31/08
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.570.670.270.730.870.60
vs Stronger (16)0.560.880.221.001.000.71
vs Similar (14)0.570.430.330.330.750.50
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %43% (+15pp vs league)
This opponent (Kilmarnock) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

KilmarnockKilmarnock

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-201L02L10W02L10W00D00D01L10W00DA·CER01/08A·CEL04/08H·TRO08/08H·ST 11/08A·TRO15/08A·MOT18/08A·FC 22/08A·ABE25/08H·FC 29/08H·HIB01/09
Avg total
0.9
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.430.670.360.570.500.75
vs Stronger (14)0.430.710.570.430.291.00
vs Similar (16)0.440.620.140.710.670.56
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %53% (+25pp vs league)
This opponent (ST Mirren) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
ST Mirren over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
ST Mirren over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
ST Mirren over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kilmarnock over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kilmarnock over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kilmarnock over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

ST MirrenST Mirren

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-301L00D31W30W11D02L12L00D01L01LA·CEL18/05A·VAL25/07H·VAL01/08H·HIB04/08H·BRA08/08A·ABE11/08A·BRA15/08A·DUN18/08H·CEL25/08A·DUN31/08
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.670.800.930.470.401.13
vs Stronger (16)0.690.940.890.670.431.29
vs Similar (14)0.640.641.000.170.381.00
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %47% (+18pp vs league)
This opponent (Kilmarnock) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

KilmarnockKilmarnock

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D02L12L01L00D00D02L01L01L11DA·CER01/08A·CEL04/08H·TRO08/08H·ST 11/08A·TRO15/08A·MOT18/08A·FC 22/08A·ABE25/08H·FC 29/08H·HIB01/09
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.2
Avg conceded
1.0
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.630.771.000.930.310.62
vs Stronger (14)0.431.290.431.430.431.14
vs Similar (16)0.810.311.570.430.220.22
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %50% (+21pp vs league)
This opponent (ST Mirren) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
ST Mirren over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
ST Mirren over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
ST Mirren over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kilmarnock over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kilmarnock over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kilmarnock over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Under 25.5 fouls85.0%-------✓ Hit
Under 5.5 cards83.0%-------✗ Miss
Over 8.5 corners80.0%-------✓ Hit
Under 3.579.5%-------✗ Miss
Under 23.5 fouls73.3%-------✗ Miss
Over 2.5 cards71.5%-------✓ Hit

🎽 13. Player market rates

ST Mirren
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Conor McMenamin27%
Toyosi Olusanya26%
Mikael Mandron18%
Oisin Smyth16%
Jonah Ayunga14%
Evan Mooney14%
Caolan Boyd-Munce13%
Roland Idowu13%
Mark O'Hara12%
Killian Phillips11%
Declan John11%
Alex Iacovitti7%
Richard Taylor6%
Scott Tanser3%
Alexander Gogić3%
Jaden Brown0%
Ellery Balcombe0%
Elvis Bwomono0%
Kevin van Veen0%
Charles Dunne0%
James Scott0%
Marcus Fraser0%
Shaun Rooney0%
Greg Kiltie0%
Dennis Adeniran0%
Zac Hemming0%
Ryan Alebiosu0%
Owen Oseni0%
Callum Penman0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Shaun Rooney50%
Dennis Adeniran50%
Jaden Brown29%
Toyosi Olusanya26%
Killian Phillips26%
Charles Dunne25%
Callum Penman25%
Alexander Gogić22%
Alex Iacovitti21%
Marcus Fraser21%
Greg Kiltie21%
Elvis Bwomono20%
Richard Taylor18%
Roland Idowu16%
Mikael Mandron15%
Jonah Ayunga14%
Scott Tanser14%
Mark O'Hara12%
Caolan Boyd-Munce10%
Ellery Balcombe10%
Conor McMenamin9%
Ryan Alebiosu8%
Zac Hemming6%
Declan John6%
Oisin Smyth5%
Kevin van Veen0%
James Scott0%
Owen Oseni0%
Evan Mooney0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Jaden Brown29%
Evan Mooney14%
Jonah Ayunga11%
Mark O'Hara9%
Conor McMenamin9%
Elvis Bwomono8%
James Scott8%
Ryan Alebiosu8%
Toyosi Olusanya6%
Roland Idowu6%
Mikael Mandron6%
Declan John6%
Marcus Fraser5%
Ellery Balcombe5%
Scott Tanser3%
Caolan Boyd-Munce3%
Richard Taylor3%
Killian Phillips3%
Alexander Gogić3%
Alex Iacovitti0%
Kevin van Veen0%
Charles Dunne0%
Shaun Rooney0%
Greg Kiltie0%
Dennis Adeniran0%
Oisin Smyth0%
Zac Hemming0%
Owen Oseni0%
Callum Penman0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Toyosi Olusanya23%
Mikael Mandron18%
Oisin Smyth11%
Conor McMenamin9%
Jonah Ayunga7%
Roland Idowu6%
Killian Phillips6%
Caolan Boyd-Munce3%
Mark O'Hara3%
Richard Taylor3%
Jaden Brown0%
Alex Iacovitti0%
Declan John0%
Ellery Balcombe0%
Elvis Bwomono0%
Kevin van Veen0%
Scott Tanser0%
Charles Dunne0%
James Scott0%
Alexander Gogić0%
Marcus Fraser0%
Shaun Rooney0%
Greg Kiltie0%
Dennis Adeniran0%
Zac Hemming0%
Ryan Alebiosu0%
Owen Oseni0%
Callum Penman0%
Evan Mooney0%
Kilmarnock
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Bruce Anderson33%
Marley Watkins15%
Matthew Kennedy14%
Fraser Murray12%
Bobby Wales10%
Danny Armstrong9%
David Watson8%
Kyle Vassell8%
Liam Polworth7%
Joe Wright7%
Innes Cameron5%
Liam Donnelly4%
Bradley Lyons3%
Robbie Deas3%
Corrie Ndaba3%
Kieran O'Hara0%
Jack Burroughs0%
Stuart Findlay0%
Rory McKenzie0%
Gary Mackay-Steven0%
Kyle Magennis0%
Robby McCrorie0%
Lewis Mayo0%
Calvin Ramsay0%
Oliver Bainbridge0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Oliver Bainbridge29%
Danny Armstrong26%
Kyle Magennis25%
Joe Wright23%
Liam Donnelly22%
Matthew Kennedy19%
Bradley Lyons15%
Robbie Deas15%
Corrie Ndaba14%
Fraser Murray12%
Liam Polworth11%
David Watson11%
Marley Watkins9%
Bobby Wales7%
Lewis Mayo5%
Kieran O'Hara5%
Kyle Vassell4%
Bruce Anderson3%
Jack Burroughs0%
Stuart Findlay0%
Rory McKenzie0%
Gary Mackay-Steven0%
Robby McCrorie0%
Innes Cameron0%
Calvin Ramsay0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Danny Armstrong23%
Joe Wright10%
Gary Mackay-Steven9%
Liam Donnelly7%
Bobby Wales7%
Fraser Murray6%
Matthew Kennedy5%
Innes Cameron5%
Kyle Vassell4%
Bruce Anderson3%
Marley Watkins3%
Bradley Lyons3%
Corrie Ndaba3%
David Watson3%
Lewis Mayo3%
Kieran O'Hara0%
Jack Burroughs0%
Stuart Findlay0%
Rory McKenzie0%
Kyle Magennis0%
Liam Polworth0%
Robby McCrorie0%
Robbie Deas0%
Calvin Ramsay0%
Oliver Bainbridge0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Bruce Anderson13%
Kyle Vassell12%
Bobby Wales10%
Matthew Kennedy10%
Fraser Murray9%
Bradley Lyons9%
Danny Armstrong6%
Stuart Findlay5%
Joe Wright3%
Marley Watkins3%
Corrie Ndaba3%
David Watson3%
Kieran O'Hara0%
Jack Burroughs0%
Rory McKenzie0%
Gary Mackay-Steven0%
Liam Donnelly0%
Kyle Magennis0%
Liam Polworth0%
Robby McCrorie0%
Innes Cameron0%
Lewis Mayo0%
Robbie Deas0%
Calvin Ramsay0%
Oliver Bainbridge0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
RAN (29)
€136m
CEL (27)
€116m
HOM (30)
€22m
HIB (27)
€20m
MOT (26)
€16m
ABE (27)
€15m
DU (22)
€11m
SM (24)
€8m
KIL (24)
€7m
DUN (21)
€5m
SJ (25)
€5m
LIV (25)
€4m
PAR (20)
€3m
AU (17)
€2m
RC (11)
€1m
ST Mirren and Kilmarnock have a similar squad value (both €8m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
CEL (11)
€56m
RAN (9)
€38m
HOM (12)
€12m
MOT (10)
€10m
HIB (9)
€7m
ABE (7)
€4m
DU (7)
€4m
KIL (9)
€3m
SJ (9)
€2m
SM (8)
€1m
LIV (7)
€1m
DUN (7)
€1m
PAR (6)
€1m
AU (6)
€1m
RC (1)
€0m
ST Mirren's attack is €1m less valuable than Kilmarnock's (€1m vs €3m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
RAN (8)
€44m
CEL (5)
€20m
HIB (7)
€8m
ABE (8)
€4m
HOM (6)
€4m
SM (6)
€3m
DU (6)
€3m
DUN (7)
€2m
KIL (5)
€2m
MOT (4)
€1m
LIV (8)
€1m
PAR (6)
€1m
SJ (5)
€1m
RC (3)
€0m
AU (1)
€0m
ST Mirren's midfield is €1m more valuable than Kilmarnock's (€3m vs €2m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
RAN (12)
€54m
CEL (11)
€41m
ABE (12)
€7m
HOM (12)
€6m
MOT (12)
€5m
HIB (11)
€5m
DU (9)
€4m
SM (10)
€3m
KIL (10)
€3m
DUN (7)
€2m
SJ (11)
€2m
LIV (10)
€1m
AU (10)
€1m
PAR (8)
€1m
RC (7)
€1m
ST Mirren and Kilmarnock have a similar defence value (both €3m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

8 previous meetings
0
SM wins
4
Draws
4
KIL wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

ST Mirren vs Kilmarnock · H/A from SM
DateH/AGameScore
11/05/24HSM Vs Kilmarnock0-1
16/03/24AKilmarnock Vs SM5-2
27/12/23HSM Vs Kilmarnock0-1
30/09/23AKilmarnock Vs SM1-1
22/04/23HSM Vs Kilmarnock0-2
02/01/23AKilmarnock Vs SM0-0
15/10/22HSM Vs Kilmarnock0-0
12/05/21AKilmarnock Vs SM3-3

ST MirrenST Mirren

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
31/08/24ADundee Vs SM2-2
25/08/24HSM Vs Celtic0-3
18/08/24ADundee Utd Vs SM1-0
15/08/24ABrann Vs SM3-1
11/08/24AAberdeen Vs SM3-1
08/08/24HSM Vs Brann1-1
04/08/24HSM Vs Hibernian3-0
01/08/24HSM Vs Valur Reykjavik4-1
25/07/24AValur Reykjavik Vs SM0-0
18/05/24ACeltic Vs SM3-2

KilmarnockKilmarnock

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
01/09/24HKIL Vs Hibernian1-1
29/08/24HKIL Vs FC Copenhagen1-1
25/08/24AAberdeen Vs KIL2-0
22/08/24AFC Copenhagen Vs KIL2-0
18/08/24AMotherwell Vs KIL0-0
15/08/24ATromso Vs KIL0-1
11/08/24HKIL Vs ST Johnstone0-3
08/08/24HKIL Vs Tromso2-2
04/08/24ACeltic Vs KIL4-0
01/08/24ACercle Brugge Vs KIL1-0

📊 16. Overall Statistics

ST Mirren
ST Mirren
Scotland: Premiership
Recent: 2 Wins / 3 Draws / 5 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLLLLD1.14
HomeDWWDL1.46
AwayDLLLD0.85
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %30%42%19%
AVG goals2.682.542.81
Over 1.5 %76%75%77%
Over 2.5 %56%58%54%
Over 3.5 %28%21%35%
Scored1.201.331.08
Conceded1.481.211.73
BTTS44%38%50%
Clean Sheet24%33%15%
Corners10.4910.1910.77
Cards3.413.053.76
Kilmarnock
Kilmarnock
Scotland: Premiership
Recent: 1 Wins / 4 Draws / 5 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDLLDD1.34
HomeDDLDD1.68
AwayLWDLL1.00
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %32%44%20%
AVG goals2.342.642.04
Over 1.5 %66%72%60%
Over 2.5 %40%48%32%
Over 3.5 %28%32%24%
Scored1.101.440.76
Conceded1.241.201.28
BTTS50%56%44%
Clean Sheet32%28%36%
Corners11.1610.5911.70
Cards4.384.054.70

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1CelticCeltic3892
76%
2.4
11226+86
3.6
92%
74%
47%
11.8
71%
3.5
41%
18.7
29%
116
5620412.90.7
74%
2RangersRangers3875
58%
2.0
8041+39
3.2
82%
66%
42%
11.1
71%
4.0
65%
20.9
53%
136
3844542.11.1
63%
3HibernianHibernian3858
39%
1.5
6250+12
2.9
87%
61%
37%
11.5
71%
4.4
70%
20.6
45%
20
7851.61.3
45%
4Dundee UtdDundee Utd3853
39%
1.4
4554-9
2.6
66%
45%
29%
10.9
71%
4.2
50%
20.9
39%
11
4341.21.4
44%
5AberdeenAberdeen3853
39%
1.4
4861-13
2.9
74%
61%
34%
11.9
74%
4.9
78%
22.8
61%
15
4471.31.6
53%
6Heart Of MidlothianHeart Of Midlothian3852
39%
1.4
5247+5
2.6
71%
55%
29%
10.8
58%
4.2
59%
21.2
50%
22
12461.41.2
54%
7ST MirrenST Mirren3850
37%
1.3
5359-6
2.9
82%
66%
34%
10.1
61%
4.6
61%
21.7
55%
8
1331.41.6
42%
8MotherwellMotherwell3849
37%
1.3
4663-17
2.9
82%
71%
26%
11.2
61%
4.5
65%
23.4
66%
16
10151.21.7
42%
9KilmarnockKilmarnock3844
32%
1.2
4564-19
2.9
74%
45%
34%
10.4
63%
4.0
54%
22.2
53%
7
3231.21.7
44%
10DundeeDundee3841
29%
1.1
5777-20
3.5
92%
68%
47%
10.4
63%
3.7
50%
20.3
34%
5
1221.52.0
44%
11Ross CountyRoss County4038
22%
0.9
4070-30
2.8
78%
55%
28%
11.8
74%
3.2
41%
20.9
50%
1
0011.01.8
40%
12ST JohnstoneST Johnstone3832
24%
0.8
3868-30
2.8
82%
61%
24%
10.6
53%
4.2
58%
22.8
61%
5
2121.01.8
53%
13LivingstonLivingston410
75%
2.5
93+6
3.0
100%
25%
25%
-
0%
0.0
0%
-
0%
4
1112.20.8
-
14Ayr UtdAyr Utd23
50%
1.5
12-1
1.5
50%
0%
0%
-
0%
9.0
100%
-
0%
2
1010.51.0
-
15PartickPartick43
25%
0.8
25-3
1.8
75%
0%
0%
-
0%
4.5
50%
-
0%
3
1110.51.2
-
Scotland: Premiership 2024/25 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Scotland: Premiership stats & trends →

👥 18. Who played

Minutes played, then goals, assists, cards and match rating. Substitutes in grey.

← all matches