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Stabaek vs Asane Result & Analysis

Date: 03/10/2022
Time: 16:00
Final 4-0
Stabaek
Stabaek
Vs
57%
23%
20%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Asane
Asane
Norway: 1. Division
Referee: -

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Stabaek win✓ Hit
57.3%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
22.9%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Asane win✗ Miss
19.8%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

StabaekStabaek

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-534L20W42W12L23L50W10W22D20W40WA·SOG25/07H·SKE31/07A·FRE04/08H·BRA07/08A·STJ14/08H·STA21/08A·KON27/08H·BRY05/09H·RAU12/09A·GRO18/09
Avg total
3.9
Avg scored
2.6
Avg conceded
1.3
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game2.040.961.670.832.381.08
vs Stronger (2)1.001.501.002.001.001.00
vs Similar (13)1.770.921.670.671.861.14
vs Weaker (10)2.600.901.800.803.401.00
Clean sheet %52% (+30pp vs league)
This opponent (Asane) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

AsaneAsane

Last 10 – goals for & against
60-606L11D22D43W02L31W42W02L33D12LA·SAN25/07H·SOG31/07A·KFU04/08H·FRE08/08A·SKE14/08H·MJO22/08A·STJ27/08H·BRA03/09A·RAN11/09H·KON17/09
Avg total
4.2
Avg scored
1.8
Avg conceded
2.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.522.161.542.231.502.08
vs Stronger (10)1.202.501.003.171.501.50
vs Similar (15)1.731.932.001.431.502.38
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %0% (-22pp vs league)
This opponent (Stabaek) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%11%17%22%5%011%122%222%318%411%511%6+
The model estimates around 3.2 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 3 (22%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
84.0%
Under 1.5
16.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
62.3%
Under 2.5
37.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
40.0%
Under 3.5
60.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
60.7%
No
39.3%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
10.5%
2-1
9.8%
2-0
8.5%
1-0
7.3%
3-1
6.8%
3-0
5.9%
2-2
5.7%
1-2
5.5%
Stabaek goals ↓
Asane goals →
01234
05.0%3.7%2.7%1.0%0.3%
17.3%11%5.5%2.1%0.6%
28.5%9.8%5.7%2.2%0.6%
35.9%6.8%3.9%1.5%0.4%
43.0%3.5%2.0%0.8%0.2%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Stabaek goals (down), columns = Asane goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Brann
2.70
Stabaek
1.93
Start
1.74
KFUM Oslo
1.68
Kongsvinger
1.67
Sandnes ULF
1.52
Sogndal
1.43
Ranheim
1.43
Mjondalen
1.40
Fredrikstad
1.17
Raufoss
1.17
Bryne
1.17
Asane
1.07
Skeid
1.06
Grorud
0.67
Stjørdals-Blink
0.57
Arendal
0.00
Stabaek is 0.87 points better than Asane in terms of average points per game (1.93 vs 1.07).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Brann
3.17
Stabaek
2.07
Start
2.03
KFUM Oslo
2.00
Sogndal
1.83
Sandnes ULF
1.74
Ranheim
1.63
Fredrikstad
1.53
Skeid
1.47
Kongsvinger
1.42
Asane
1.40
Bryne
1.40
Mjondalen
1.30
Raufoss
1.17
Grorud
1.13
Stjørdals-Blink
1.00
Arendal
0.50
Stabaek is 0.67 goals better than Asane in terms of goals scored per game (2.07 vs 1.40).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Brann
0.53
Stabaek
0.93
Kongsvinger
1.15
Start
1.26
Mjondalen
1.57
KFUM Oslo
1.61
Fredrikstad
1.70
Sandnes ULF
1.71
Skeid
1.72
Ranheim
1.73
Bryne
1.73
Sogndal
1.77
Raufoss
1.80
Asane
2.23
Grorud
2.30
Stjørdals-Blink
2.37
Arendal
4.00
Stabaek is 1.30 goals better than Asane in terms of goals conceded per game (0.93 vs 2.23).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

StabaekStabaek

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-202L10W11D00D11D20W00D00D10W20WA·SOG25/07H·SKE31/07A·FRE04/08H·BRA07/08A·STJ14/08H·STA21/08A·KON27/08H·BRY05/09H·RAU12/09A·GRO18/09
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.800.360.670.250.920.46
vs Stronger (2)0.500.000.000.001.000.00
vs Similar (13)0.540.380.500.170.570.57
vs Weaker (10)1.200.401.000.401.400.40
Clean sheet %68% (+46pp vs league)
This opponent (Asane) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

AsaneAsane

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-404L11D21W22D01L11D11D01L21W00DA·SAN25/07H·SOG31/07A·KFU04/08H·FRE08/08A·SKE14/08H·MJO22/08A·STJ27/08H·BRA03/09A·RAN11/09H·KON17/09
Avg total
2.2
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
1.3
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.721.040.621.000.831.08
vs Stronger (10)0.601.100.331.331.000.75
vs Similar (15)0.801.000.860.710.751.25
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %28% (+6pp vs league)
This opponent (Stabaek) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Stabaek over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Stabaek over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Stabaek over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Asane over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Asane over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Asane over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

StabaekStabaek

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-332W10W31W12L12L30W10W22D10W20WA·SOG25/07H·SKE31/07A·FRE04/08H·BRA07/08A·STJ14/08H·STA21/08A·KON27/08H·BRY05/09H·RAU12/09A·GRO18/09
Avg total
2.7
Avg scored
1.8
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.240.601.000.581.460.62
vs Stronger (2)0.501.501.002.000.001.00
vs Similar (13)1.230.541.170.501.290.57
vs Weaker (10)1.400.500.800.402.000.60
Clean sheet %60% (+38pp vs league)
This opponent (Asane) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

AsaneAsane

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-302L00D01L21W01L20W31W01L12L12LA·SAN25/07H·SOG31/07A·KFU04/08H·FRE08/08A·SKE14/08H·MJO22/08A·STJ27/08H·BRA03/09A·RAN11/09H·KON17/09
Avg total
2.0
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
1.1
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.801.120.921.230.671.00
vs Stronger (10)0.601.400.671.830.500.75
vs Similar (15)0.930.931.140.710.751.12
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %20% (-2pp vs league)
This opponent (Stabaek) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Stabaek over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Stabaek over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Stabaek over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Asane over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Asane over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Asane over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 1.584.0%-------✓ Hit

🎽 13. Player market rates

Stabaek · 2023/24
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Kasper Høgh36%
Mushaga Bakenga24%
Simen Wangberg15%
Kevin Kabran15%
Kaloyan Kalinov Kostadinov8%
Rasmus Eggen Vinge8%
Curtis Edwards7%
Nikolas Walstad5%
Kasper Pedersen4%
Sturla Ottesen4%
Nicolai Naess3%
Gaute Hoberg Vetti0%
Tobias Pachonik0%
Andreas Skovgaard0%
Fredrik Haugen0%
Nicolas Pignatel Jenssen0%
Fredrik Krogstad0%
Jonatan Lucca0%
Isak Pettersson0%
Herman Geelmuyden0%
Keegan Jelacic0%
Aleksander Andresen0%
Luca Kjerrumgaard0%
Oskar Spiten-Nysaether0%
Sebastian Olderheim0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Herman Geelmuyden27%
Andreas Skovgaard18%
Jonatan Lucca18%
Simen Wangberg15%
Fredrik Krogstad11%
Curtis Edwards11%
Kaloyan Kalinov Kostadinov8%
Rasmus Eggen Vinge8%
Kasper Høgh7%
Nicolai Naess7%
Mushaga Bakenga7%
Kevin Kabran5%
Nikolas Walstad5%
Isak Pettersson3%
Gaute Hoberg Vetti0%
Kasper Pedersen0%
Tobias Pachonik0%
Fredrik Haugen0%
Nicolas Pignatel Jenssen0%
Sturla Ottesen0%
Keegan Jelacic0%
Aleksander Andresen0%
Luca Kjerrumgaard0%
Oskar Spiten-Nysaether0%
Sebastian Olderheim0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Rasmus Eggen Vinge15%
Nikolas Walstad14%
Fredrik Krogstad11%
Nicolai Naess10%
Kasper Høgh7%
Sturla Ottesen7%
Mushaga Bakenga7%
Kevin Kabran5%
Kaloyan Kalinov Kostadinov4%
Kasper Pedersen4%
Gaute Hoberg Vetti0%
Tobias Pachonik0%
Andreas Skovgaard0%
Fredrik Haugen0%
Nicolas Pignatel Jenssen0%
Simen Wangberg0%
Jonatan Lucca0%
Curtis Edwards0%
Isak Pettersson0%
Herman Geelmuyden0%
Keegan Jelacic0%
Aleksander Andresen0%
Luca Kjerrumgaard0%
Oskar Spiten-Nysaether0%
Sebastian Olderheim0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Kasper Høgh29%
Mushaga Bakenga17%
Luca Kjerrumgaard9%
Fredrik Haugen8%
Simen Wangberg8%
Kevin Kabran5%
Fredrik Krogstad4%
Nicolai Naess3%
Gaute Hoberg Vetti0%
Kasper Pedersen0%
Tobias Pachonik0%
Andreas Skovgaard0%
Nicolas Pignatel Jenssen0%
Jonatan Lucca0%
Curtis Edwards0%
Isak Pettersson0%
Nikolas Walstad0%
Kaloyan Kalinov Kostadinov0%
Herman Geelmuyden0%
Sturla Ottesen0%
Keegan Jelacic0%
Aleksander Andresen0%
Rasmus Eggen Vinge0%
Oskar Spiten-Nysaether0%
Sebastian Olderheim0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BRA (25)
€27m
FRE (25)
€15m
STA (24)
€9m
STA (25)
€9m
KO (24)
€8m
BRY (21)
€6m
KON (24)
€6m
SOG (19)
€4m
RAN (22)
€4m
ASA (22)
€3m
SU (21)
€3m
RAU (17)
€2m
Stabaek's squad is €6m more valuable than Asane's (€9m vs €3m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BRA (10)
€11m
STA (9)
€5m
FRE (5)
€5m
KON (10)
€3m
KO (8)
€3m
BRY (6)
€2m
STA (5)
€2m
ASA (7)
€1m
RAN (6)
€1m
SOG (6)
€1m
SU (5)
€1m
RAU (4)
€0m
Stabaek's attack is €4m more valuable than Asane's (€5m vs €1m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BRA (4)
€7m
STA (8)
€3m
FRE (4)
€3m
KO (5)
€2m
STA (5)
€2m
BRY (5)
€1m
RAN (5)
€1m
SOG (5)
€1m
SU (7)
€1m
KON (3)
€1m
RAU (4)
€0m
ASA (4)
€0m
Stabaek's midfield is €1m more valuable than Asane's (€2m vs €0m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BRA (11)
€9m
FRE (16)
€8m
KO (11)
€4m
STA (12)
€4m
STA (10)
€3m
BRY (10)
€2m
SOG (8)
€2m
KON (11)
€2m
ASA (11)
€2m
RAN (11)
€2m
RAU (9)
€1m
SU (9)
€1m
Stabaek and Asane have a similar defence value (both €3m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

1 previous meeting
1
STA wins
0
Draws
0
ASA wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Stabaek vs Asane · H/A from STA
DateH/AGameScore
19/04/22AAsane Vs STA0-4

StabaekStabaek

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
18/09/22AGrorud Vs STA0-4
12/09/22HSTA Vs Raufoss2-0
05/09/22HSTA Vs Bryne2-2
27/08/22AKongsvinger Vs STA0-1
21/08/22HSTA Vs Start5-0
14/08/22AStjørdals-Blink Vs STA3-2
07/08/22HSTA Vs Brann1-2
04/08/22AFredrikstad Vs STA2-4
31/07/22HSTA Vs Skeid2-0
25/07/22ASogndal Vs STA4-3

AsaneAsane

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
17/09/22HASA Vs Kongsvinger1-2
11/09/22ARanheim Vs ASA3-3
03/09/22HASA Vs Brann0-2
27/08/22AStjørdals-Blink Vs ASA2-4
22/08/22HASA Vs Mjondalen3-1
14/08/22ASkeid Vs ASA2-0
08/08/22HASA Vs Fredrikstad4-3
04/08/22AKFUM Oslo Vs ASA2-2
31/07/22HASA Vs Sogndal1-1
25/07/22ASandnes ULF Vs ASA6-0

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Stabaek
Stabaek
Norway: 1. Division
Recent: 6 Wins / 1 Draws / 3 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWWDWW1.88
HomeWLWDW1.67
AwayLWLWW2.08
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %52%42%62%
AVG goals3.002.503.46
Over 1.5 %68%67%69%
Over 2.5 %52%42%62%
Over 3.5 %48%33%62%
Scored2.041.672.38
Conceded0.960.831.08
BTTS44%42%46%
Clean Sheet52%50%54%
Corners---
Cards---
Asane
Asane
Norway: 1. Division
Recent: 3 Wins / 3 Draws / 4 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWWLDL1.16
HomeDWWLL1.31
AwayLDLWD1.00
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %28%38%17%
AVG goals3.683.773.58
Over 1.5 %96%100%92%
Over 2.5 %68%77%58%
Over 3.5 %48%46%50%
Scored1.521.541.50
Conceded2.162.232.08
BTTS76%77%75%
Clean Sheet0%0%0%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1BrannBrann3081
87%
2.7
9516+79
3.7
97%
77%
47%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
27
11793.20.5
-
2StabaekStabaek3058
53%
1.9
6228+34
3.0
70%
53%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
9
5232.10.9
-
3KongsvingerKongsvinger3355
48%
1.7
4738+9
2.6
64%
55%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
6
3121.41.2
-
4StartStart3154
52%
1.7
6339+24
3.3
74%
65%
45%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
9
2342.01.3
-
5KFUM OsloKFUM Oslo3152
48%
1.7
6250+12
3.6
90%
87%
52%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
8
3242.01.6
-
6Sandnes ULFSandnes ULF3147
45%
1.5
5453+1
3.5
84%
74%
45%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1111.71.7
-
7SogndalSogndal3043
40%
1.4
5553+2
3.6
87%
67%
47%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
1121.81.8
-
8RanheimRanheim3043
40%
1.4
4952-3
3.4
90%
73%
40%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
1121.61.7
-
9MjondalenMjondalen3042
43%
1.4
3947-8
2.9
83%
67%
20%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.31.6
-
10FredrikstadFredrikstad3035
30%
1.2
4651-5
3.2
83%
67%
43%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
15
5381.51.7
-
11BryneBryne3035
30%
1.2
4252-10
3.1
93%
70%
27%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
6
2121.41.7
-
12RaufossRaufoss3035
30%
1.2
3554-19
3.0
87%
60%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
0011.21.8
-
13SkeidSkeid3234
31%
1.1
4755-8
3.2
75%
62%
44%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.51.7
-
14AsaneAsane3032
27%
1.1
4267-25
3.6
93%
70%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1021.42.2
-
15GrorudGrorud3020
13%
0.7
3469-35
3.4
93%
73%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.12.3
-
16Stjørdals-BlinkStjørdals-Blink3017
13%
0.6
3071-41
3.4
83%
77%
47%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.02.4
-
17ArendalArendal20
0%
0.0
18-7
4.5
100%
100%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.54.0
-
Norway: 1. Division 2022/23 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Norway: 1. Division stats & trends →

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