PythiaFootballPythiaFootballBETA Free Picks Fixtures League Stats Team Stats Player Stats Pro Picks PRO Research Head-to-Head Validation Pricing Log in
← Back

Stabaek vs Egersund Result & Analysis

Date: 27/05/2024
Time: 17:00
Final 4-5
Stabaek
Stabaek
Vs
53%
21%
26%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Egersund
Egersund
Norway: 1. Division
Referee: -

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Stabaek win✗ Miss
52.6%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
20.9%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Egersund win✓ Hit
26.5%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

StabaekStabaek

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-520W31W50W22D43W50W51W33D22D03LA·ASK10/04A·VAL14/04A·BÆR24/04A·ASA27/04A·ALT01/05H·KON04/05H·BRY08/05A·MOS11/05H·LYN16/05A·RAN22/05
Avg total
4.6
Avg scored
3.1
Avg conceded
1.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.601.471.751.171.501.67
vs Stronger (6)0.001.500.001.600.001.00
vs Similar (22)2.001.503.000.861.531.80
vs Weaker (2)2.001.00--2.001.00
Clean sheet %23% (+1pp vs league)
This opponent (Egersund) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

EgersundEgersund

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-410W33D31W10W21W13L11D31W34L22DA·VID10/04A·KON15/04H·AAL20/04A·FLE24/04A·MOS27/04H·HAM01/05H·LYN04/05A·RAN11/05A·STA16/05H·LEV22/05
Avg total
3.6
Avg scored
2.0
Avg conceded
1.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game2.181.731.751.752.431.71
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (10)2.001.601.751.752.171.50
vs Weaker (1)4.003.00--4.003.00
Clean sheet %18% (-4pp vs league)
This opponent (Stabaek) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%11%17%22%2%06%115%219%320%416%522%6+
The model estimates around 4.1 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 6+ (22%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
92.0%
Under 1.5
8.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
77.1%
Under 2.5
22.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
57.9%
Under 3.5
42.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
74.6%
No
25.4%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
2-1
8.2%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
6.9%
3-1
6.5%
1-2
5.8%
3-2
5.5%
2-0
4.9%
2-3
3.9%
Stabaek goals ↓
Egersund goals →
01234
02.4%2.2%2.4%1.4%0.6%
13.4%7.6%5.8%3.3%1.4%
24.9%8.2%6.9%3.9%1.6%
33.9%6.5%5.5%3.1%1.3%
42.3%3.9%3.3%1.8%0.8%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Stabaek goals (down), columns = Egersund goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Valerenga
2.30
Bryne
1.93
Moss
1.81
Lyn
1.52
Egersund
1.52
Kongsvinger
1.45
Stabaek
1.40
Raufoss
1.37
Aalesund
1.33
Ranheim
1.30
Asane
1.23
Start
1.17
Sogndal
1.13
Mjondalen
1.07
Levanger
0.97
Sandnes ULF
0.57
Stabaek is 0.12 points worse than Egersund in terms of average points per game (1.40 vs 1.52).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Valerenga
2.73
Stabaek
1.90
Egersund
1.87
Lyn
1.84
Moss
1.84
Bryne
1.67
Ranheim
1.60
Kongsvinger
1.58
Levanger
1.57
Asane
1.53
Start
1.50
Aalesund
1.50
Mjondalen
1.27
Sogndal
1.13
Raufoss
1.13
Sandnes ULF
0.87
Stabaek is 0.03 goals better than Egersund in terms of goals scored per game (1.90 vs 1.87).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Bryne
0.97
Valerenga
1.03
Raufoss
1.17
Lyn
1.32
Sogndal
1.33
Moss
1.39
Ranheim
1.53
Aalesund
1.63
Kongsvinger
1.67
Mjondalen
1.67
Levanger
1.70
Asane
1.73
Egersund
1.87
Start
1.90
Stabaek
1.97
Sandnes ULF
2.67
Stabaek is 0.10 goals worse than Egersund in terms of goals conceded per game (1.97 vs 1.87).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

StabaekStabaek

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-300D11D30W12L21W30W10W10W01L02LA·ASK10/04A·VAL14/04A·BÆR24/04A·ASA27/04A·ALT01/05H·KON04/05H·BRY08/05A·MOS11/05H·LYN16/05A·RAN22/05
Avg total
1.9
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.630.630.670.500.610.72
vs Stronger (6)0.000.670.000.800.000.00
vs Similar (22)0.820.591.140.290.670.73
vs Weaker (2)0.501.00--0.501.00
Clean sheet %53% (+31pp vs league)
This opponent (Egersund) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

EgersundEgersund

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D11D21W00D11D12L01L01L22D02LA·VID10/04A·KON15/04H·AAL20/04A·FLE24/04A·MOS27/04H·HAM01/05H·LYN04/05A·RAN11/05A·STA16/05H·LEV22/05
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
1.1
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.911.090.751.501.000.86
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (10)0.701.100.751.500.670.83
vs Weaker (1)3.001.00--3.001.00
Clean sheet %18% (-4pp vs league)
This opponent (Stabaek) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Stabaek over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Stabaek over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Stabaek over/under 2.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Egersund over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Egersund over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Egersund over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

StabaekStabaek

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-420W20W20W10W22D20W41W23L21W01LA·ASK10/04A·VAL14/04A·BÆR24/04A·ASA27/04A·ALT01/05H·KON04/05H·BRY08/05A·MOS11/05H·LYN16/05A·RAN22/05
Avg total
2.7
Avg scored
1.9
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.970.831.080.670.890.94
vs Stronger (6)0.000.830.000.800.001.00
vs Similar (22)1.180.911.860.570.871.07
vs Weaker (2)1.500.00--1.500.00
Clean sheet %40% (+18pp vs league)
This opponent (Egersund) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

EgersundEgersund

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-310W22D10W10W10W01L10W30W12L20WA·VID10/04A·KON15/04H·AAL20/04A·FLE24/04A·MOS27/04H·HAM01/05H·LYN04/05A·RAN11/05A·STA16/05H·LEV22/05
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.270.641.000.251.430.86
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (10)1.300.501.000.251.500.67
vs Weaker (1)1.002.00--1.002.00
Clean sheet %64% (+42pp vs league)
This opponent (Stabaek) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Stabaek over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Stabaek over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Stabaek over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Egersund over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Egersund over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Egersund over/under 2.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 1.592.0%-------✓ Hit
Over 2.577.1%-------✓ Hit
BTTS Yes74.6%-------✓ Hit

🎽 13. Player market rates

Stabaek · 2023/24
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Kasper Høgh36%
Mushaga Bakenga24%
Simen Wangberg15%
Kevin Kabran15%
Kaloyan Kalinov Kostadinov8%
Rasmus Eggen Vinge8%
Curtis Edwards7%
Nikolas Walstad5%
Kasper Pedersen4%
Sturla Ottesen4%
Nicolai Naess3%
Gaute Hoberg Vetti0%
Tobias Pachonik0%
Andreas Skovgaard0%
Fredrik Haugen0%
Nicolas Pignatel Jenssen0%
Fredrik Krogstad0%
Jonatan Lucca0%
Isak Pettersson0%
Herman Geelmuyden0%
Keegan Jelacic0%
Aleksander Andresen0%
Luca Kjerrumgaard0%
Oskar Spiten-Nysaether0%
Sebastian Olderheim0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Herman Geelmuyden27%
Andreas Skovgaard18%
Jonatan Lucca18%
Simen Wangberg15%
Fredrik Krogstad11%
Curtis Edwards11%
Kaloyan Kalinov Kostadinov8%
Rasmus Eggen Vinge8%
Kasper Høgh7%
Nicolai Naess7%
Mushaga Bakenga7%
Kevin Kabran5%
Nikolas Walstad5%
Isak Pettersson3%
Gaute Hoberg Vetti0%
Kasper Pedersen0%
Tobias Pachonik0%
Fredrik Haugen0%
Nicolas Pignatel Jenssen0%
Sturla Ottesen0%
Keegan Jelacic0%
Aleksander Andresen0%
Luca Kjerrumgaard0%
Oskar Spiten-Nysaether0%
Sebastian Olderheim0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Rasmus Eggen Vinge15%
Nikolas Walstad14%
Fredrik Krogstad11%
Nicolai Naess10%
Kasper Høgh7%
Sturla Ottesen7%
Mushaga Bakenga7%
Kevin Kabran5%
Kaloyan Kalinov Kostadinov4%
Kasper Pedersen4%
Gaute Hoberg Vetti0%
Tobias Pachonik0%
Andreas Skovgaard0%
Fredrik Haugen0%
Nicolas Pignatel Jenssen0%
Simen Wangberg0%
Jonatan Lucca0%
Curtis Edwards0%
Isak Pettersson0%
Herman Geelmuyden0%
Keegan Jelacic0%
Aleksander Andresen0%
Luca Kjerrumgaard0%
Oskar Spiten-Nysaether0%
Sebastian Olderheim0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Kasper Høgh29%
Mushaga Bakenga17%
Luca Kjerrumgaard9%
Fredrik Haugen8%
Simen Wangberg8%
Kevin Kabran5%
Fredrik Krogstad4%
Nicolai Naess3%
Gaute Hoberg Vetti0%
Kasper Pedersen0%
Tobias Pachonik0%
Andreas Skovgaard0%
Nicolas Pignatel Jenssen0%
Jonatan Lucca0%
Curtis Edwards0%
Isak Pettersson0%
Nikolas Walstad0%
Kaloyan Kalinov Kostadinov0%
Herman Geelmuyden0%
Sturla Ottesen0%
Keegan Jelacic0%
Aleksander Andresen0%
Rasmus Eggen Vinge0%
Oskar Spiten-Nysaether0%
Sebastian Olderheim0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
VAL (22)
€16m
AAL (25)
€13m
STA (24)
€9m
STA (25)
€9m
BRY (21)
€6m
KON (24)
€6m
EGE (25)
€5m
SOG (19)
€4m
MOS (21)
€4m
LYN (23)
€4m
RAN (22)
€4m
ASA (22)
€3m
SU (21)
€3m
RAU (17)
€2m
Stabaek's squad is €5m more valuable than Egersund's (€9m vs €5m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
VAL (7)
€6m
STA (9)
€5m
AAL (7)
€5m
KON (10)
€3m
BRY (6)
€2m
STA (5)
€2m
MOS (6)
€2m
ASA (7)
€1m
RAN (6)
€1m
EGE (5)
€1m
LYN (5)
€1m
SOG (6)
€1m
SU (5)
€1m
RAU (4)
€0m
Stabaek's attack is €4m more valuable than Egersund's (€5m vs €1m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
VAL (6)
€5m
AAL (8)
€4m
STA (8)
€3m
STA (5)
€2m
LYN (9)
€2m
BRY (5)
€1m
EGE (8)
€1m
RAN (5)
€1m
SOG (5)
€1m
SU (7)
€1m
KON (3)
€1m
MOS (6)
€1m
RAU (4)
€0m
ASA (4)
€0m
Stabaek and Egersund have a similar midfield value (both €2m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
VAL (9)
€5m
AAL (10)
€4m
STA (12)
€4m
STA (10)
€3m
BRY (10)
€2m
SOG (8)
€2m
EGE (12)
€2m
KON (11)
€2m
MOS (9)
€2m
ASA (11)
€2m
RAN (11)
€2m
LYN (9)
€1m
RAU (9)
€1m
SU (9)
€1m
Stabaek and Egersund have a similar defence value (both €3m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

No previous meetings
0
STA wins
0
Draws
0
EGE wins

Head-to-head

Stabaek vs Egersund · H/A from STA
DateH/AGameScore
No games.

StabaekStabaek

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
22/05/24ARanheim Vs STA3-0
16/05/24HSTA Vs Lyn2-2
11/05/24AMoss Vs STA3-3
08/05/24HSTA Vs Bryne5-1
04/05/24HSTA Vs Kongsvinger5-0
01/05/24AAlta Vs STA3-4
27/04/24AAsane Vs STA2-2
24/04/24ABærum Vs STA0-5
14/04/24AValerenga Vs STA1-3
10/04/24AAsker Vs STA0-2

EgersundEgersund

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
22/05/24HEGE Vs Levanger2-2
16/05/24AStart Vs EGE4-3
11/05/24ARanheim Vs EGE1-3
04/05/24HEGE Vs Lyn1-1
01/05/24HEGE Vs Ham-Kam1-3
27/04/24AMoss Vs EGE1-2
24/04/24AFlekkerøy Vs EGE0-1
20/04/24HEGE Vs Aalesund3-1
15/04/24AKongsvinger Vs EGE3-3
10/04/24AVidar Vs EGE0-1

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Stabaek
Stabaek
Norway: 1. Division
Recent: 6 Wins / 3 Draws / 1 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWWDDL1.44
HomeWWWWD1.83
AwayWDWDL1.08
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %38%54%23%
AVG goals3.042.753.31
Over 1.5 %74%62%85%
Over 2.5 %60%50%69%
Over 3.5 %46%38%54%
Scored1.641.791.50
Conceded1.400.961.81
BTTS48%38%58%
Clean Sheet30%38%23%
Corners10.0710.279.87
Cards2.732.572.92
Egersund
Egersund
Norway: 1. Division
Recent: 5 Wins / 3 Draws / 2 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLDWLD1.91
HomeWLDD1.25
AwayDWWWL2.29
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %55%25%71%
AVG goals3.913.504.14
Over 1.5 %82%100%71%
Over 2.5 %73%75%71%
Over 3.5 %64%75%57%
Scored2.181.752.43
Conceded1.731.751.71
BTTS82%100%71%
Clean Sheet18%0%29%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1ValerengaValerenga3069
70%
2.3
8231+51
3.8
97%
67%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
16
6552.71.0
-
2BryneBryne3058
60%
1.9
5029+21
2.6
63%
43%
23%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
6
2121.71.0
-
3MossMoss3156
55%
1.8
5743+14
3.2
74%
61%
35%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
2121.81.4
-
4KongsvingerKongsvinger3348
36%
1.5
5255-3
3.2
85%
58%
39%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
6
3121.61.7
-
5LynLyn3147
39%
1.5
5741+16
3.2
84%
58%
35%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
1211.81.3
-
6EgersundEgersund3147
45%
1.5
5858+0
3.7
94%
77%
48%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
5
1121.91.9
-
7StabaekStabaek3042
40%
1.4
5759-2
3.9
90%
80%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
9
5231.92.0
-
8RaufossRaufoss3041
37%
1.4
3435-1
2.3
70%
40%
13%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
0011.11.2
-
9AalesundAalesund3040
40%
1.3
4549-4
3.1
80%
50%
40%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
13
5441.51.6
-
10RanheimRanheim3039
33%
1.3
4846+2
3.1
83%
63%
40%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
1121.61.5
-
11AsaneAsane3037
33%
1.2
4652-6
3.3
80%
63%
47%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1021.51.7
-
12StartStart3035
30%
1.2
4557-12
3.4
90%
70%
47%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
9
2341.51.9
-
13SogndalSogndal3034
30%
1.1
3440-6
2.5
73%
40%
23%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
1121.11.3
-
14MjondalenMjondalen3032
27%
1.1
3850-12
2.9
73%
50%
30%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.31.7
-
15LevangerLevanger3029
20%
1.0
4751-4
3.3
83%
63%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.61.7
-
16Sandnes ULFSandnes ULF3017
13%
0.6
2680-54
3.5
83%
57%
47%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1110.92.7
-
Norway: 1. Division 2024/25 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Norway: 1. Division stats & trends →

← all matches