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Stade Lausanne-Ouchy vs Étoile Carouge Result & Analysis

Date: 01/09/2026
Time: 17:30
Final 3-0
Stade Lausanne-Ouchy
Stade Lausanne-Ouchy
Vs
49%
26%
25%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Étoile Carouge
Étoile Carouge
Switzerland: Challenge League
Referee: -
Match preview & prediction

Stade Lausanne-Ouchy’s unbeaten run of five games, capped by a 1-1 draw with FC Winterthur, gives the home side a slight lift. The model favours a home win, assigning a 48% chance to that outcome, with draws and away victories each at 26%. The expected total is 2.9 goals, and the most likely scoreline is 1-1, carrying a 12.3% probability. Lausanne-Ouchy averages 2.17 goals scored and 1.25 conceded at home against similarly matched opponents, while Étoile Carouge, on the road, averages 1.55 scored and 1.27 conceded versus comparable teams. The model’s edge is most pronounced on the low-scoring side: the Under 7.5 goals pick carries a 99% probability and an edge of 9%. Other high-confidence selections include Under 6.5 (97.1% +11% edge), Under 5.5 (92.5% +14% edge), and the half-time under-2.5 goals picks for both sides, each with probabilities above 94% and edges ranging from 7% to 14%. The full list of suggested picks and their percentages is: Under 7.5 99.0%, Away under 2.5 HT goals 98.3%, Away under 2.5 2H goals 97.5%, Under 6.5 97.1%, Away under 3.5 goals 96.6%, Home under 2.5 HT goals 96.2%, Home under 2.5 2H goals 94.8%, Under 5.5 92.5%.

Results analysis

Stade Lausanne-Ouchy’s unbeaten run in the last five games, highlighted by a 3-0 win over Étoile Carouge, kept the model’s home-win prediction on target. The final score of 3-0 matched the actual result, confirming the favoured outcome. The model’s pre-match probability for a home win was 49%. Every suggested pick was settled: Under 7.5 (99%) hit, Away under 2.5 HT goals (98.5%) hit, Away under 2.5 2H goals (97.7%) hit, Under 6.5 (97%) hit, Away under 3.5 goals (96.7%) hit, Home under 2.5 HT goals (96.1%) hit, Home under 2.5 2H goals (95.2%) hit, and Under 5.5 (92.4%) hit. The model’s selections performed strongly, with all eight picks delivering.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Stade Lausanne-Ouchy win✓ Hit
49.0%
Avg Implied 55.1% · @ 1.66
Edge
-6.2%
Best 5 market prices
Pinnacle
1.70
Bet365
1.70
Dafabet
1.69
Superbet
1.68
Betano
1.67
Draw✗ Miss
25.9%
Avg Implied 24.3% · @ 3.76
Edge
+1.6%
Best 5 market prices
Unibet
4.00
BetVictor
4.00
Dafabet
3.90
Superbet
3.85
William Hil
3.80
Étoile Carouge win✗ Miss
25.1%
Avg Implied 20.6% · @ 4.44
Edge
+4.6%
Best 5 market prices
Pinnacle
5.18
1xBet
4.73
Betano
4.70
Marathonbet
4.65
Bet365
4.50

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

Stade Lausanne-OuchyStade Lausanne-Ouchy

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-503L22D50W31W21W20W11D20W21W11DH·YVE26/04A·FC 02/05H·BEL08/05A·STA11/05H·NEU15/05H·STA24/07A·FC 01/08H·RAP07/08A·NEU21/08A·FC 28/08
Avg total
3.0
Avg scored
2.0
Avg conceded
1.0
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.631.332.131.271.131.40
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (26)1.541.352.171.251.001.43
vs Weaker (4)2.251.252.001.333.001.00
Clean sheet %23% (-0pp vs league)
This opponent (Étoile Carouge) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Étoile CarougeÉtoile Carouge

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-512L53W12L03L22D30W11D01L00D21WA·RAP24/04A·YVE03/05H·FC 08/05A·NEU11/05H·BEL15/05H·FC 24/07A·YVE31/07H·NEU07/08A·STA21/08H·RAP28/08
Avg total
3.0
Avg scored
1.5
Avg conceded
1.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.401.331.191.251.641.43
vs Stronger (4)2.002.002.002.002.002.00
vs Similar (26)1.311.231.131.201.551.27
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %30% (+6pp vs league)
This opponent (Stade Lausanne-Ouchy) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%12%18%24%7%014%124%222%316%410%58%6+
The model estimates around 2.9 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (24%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
79.9%
@ 1.15-0.7%
Under 1.5
20.1%
@ 4.78+0.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.17
Bet365
1.17
Betano
1.17
Superbet
1.15
BetVictor
1.14
Under
Betfair
5.50
BetVictor
5.00
Pinnacle
4.95
Superbet
4.70
1xBet
4.60
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
55.8%
@ 1.52-4.8%
Under 2.5
44.2%
@ 2.35+4.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.59
Bet365
1.57
Betano
1.55
Superbet
1.54
BetVictor
1.54
Under
10Bet
2.45
Unibet
2.45
Betfair
2.40
Pinnacle
2.38
Betano
2.37
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
33.5%
@ 2.24-8.0%
Under 3.5
66.5%
@ 1.59+8.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.36
Superbet
2.30
Betano
2.30
1xBet
2.27
BetVictor
2.27
Under
SBO
1.77
Pinnacle
1.60
10Bet
1.60
Unibet
1.60
Bet365
1.57
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
58.3%
@ 1.52-2.4%
No
41.7%
@ 2.35+2.4%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
William Hil
1.57
Superbet
1.54
Marathonbet
1.53
1xBet
1.53
BetVictor
1.53
No
Betfair
2.55
Bet365
2.38
Betano
2.37
Unibet
2.35
10Bet
2.35

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
12.2%@ 7.23+6.0%
2-1
9.6%@ 7.56+3.6%
1-0
8.2%@ 8.93+3.2%
2-0
8.1%@ 9.18+3.2%
1-2
6.6%@ 13.08+3.2%
0-0
6.5%@ 14.29+3.4%
2-2
5.7%@ 11.28+1.7%
3-1
5.5%@ 10.95+1.4%
Stade Lausanne-Ouchy goals ↓
Étoile Carouge goals →
01234
06.5%5.3%3.8%1.5%0.4%
18.2%12%6.6%2.6%0.8%
28.1%9.6%5.7%2.3%0.7%
34.7%5.5%3.3%1.3%0.4%
42.0%2.4%1.4%0.6%0.2%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Stade Lausanne-Ouchy goals (down), columns = Étoile Carouge goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Stade Lausanne-Ouchy
2.33
Yverdon Sport
2.00
SC Kriens
1.67
FC Winterthur
1.50
Neuchatel Xamax FC
1.50
Étoile Carouge
1.33
FC Aarau
1.33
FC WIL 1900
0.83
Rapperswil
0.67
Stade Nyonnais
0.33
Stade Lausanne-Ouchy is 1.00 points better than Étoile Carouge in terms of average points per game (2.33 vs 1.33).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
FC Winterthur
2.00
Stade Lausanne-Ouchy
1.83
SC Kriens
1.67
Yverdon Sport
1.67
FC WIL 1900
1.50
Neuchatel Xamax FC
1.50
Rapperswil
1.33
FC Aarau
1.33
Étoile Carouge
1.00
Stade Nyonnais
0.67
Stade Lausanne-Ouchy is 0.83 goals better than Étoile Carouge in terms of goals scored per game (1.83 vs 1.00).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Stade Lausanne-Ouchy
0.50
SC Kriens
1.00
Yverdon Sport
1.00
Étoile Carouge
1.00
FC Winterthur
1.17
Neuchatel Xamax FC
1.50
FC Aarau
1.67
Stade Nyonnais
1.83
Rapperswil
2.17
FC WIL 1900
2.67
Stade Lausanne-Ouchy is 0.50 goals better than Étoile Carouge in terms of goals conceded per game (0.50 vs 1.00).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Stade Lausanne-Ouchy or Draw✓ Hit
74.9%
Avg Implied 79.2% · @ 1.16
Edge
-4.3%
49%
26%
25%
covers Stade Lausanne-Ouchy + Draw
Best 5 market prices
William Hil
1.22
Betano
1.20
BetVictor
1.20
Betfair
1.17
Bet365
1.17
Stade Lausanne-Ouchy or Étoile Carouge✓ Hit
74.1%
Avg Implied 76.0% · @ 1.21
Edge
-1.9%
49%
26%
25%
covers Stade Lausanne-Ouchy + Étoile Carouge
Best 5 market prices
Bet365
1.28
Betano
1.25
Betfair
1.22
William Hil
1.22
Marathonbet
1.22
Draw or Étoile Carouge✗ Miss
51.0%
Avg Implied 44.8% · @ 2.06
Edge
+6.2%
49%
26%
25%
covers Draw + Étoile Carouge
Best 5 market prices
Betano
2.18
Bet365
2.10
Betfair
2.10
10Bet
2.10
William Hil
2.05

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

Home & Away Over/Under

How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Stade Lausanne-Ouchy over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
82.3%
@ 1.09-2.8%
Under
17.7%
@ 6.21+2.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.12
Superbet
1.10
Bet365
1.08
10Bet
1.08
1xBet
1.08
Under
Bet365
7.00
Betfair
6.50
1xBet
6.30
Superbet
5.90
Betano
5.80
Stade Lausanne-Ouchy over/under 1.5Actual: Over
Over
51.6%
@ 1.53-8.9%
Under
48.4%
@ 2.34+8.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
1.57
Betano
1.57
Pinnacle
1.57
Marathonbet
1.56
1xBet
1.55
Under
Bet365
2.62
Pinnacle
2.39
Betfair
2.38
Unibet
2.33
Betano
2.32
Stade Lausanne-Ouchy over/under 2.5Actual: Over
Over
25.1%
@ 2.59-10.7%
Under
74.9%
@ 1.44+10.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.78
Superbet
2.75
Betfair
2.75
Betano
2.67
Marathonbet
2.64
Under
Bet365
1.57
1xBet
1.45
10Bet
1.45
Betano
1.44
Unibet
1.43
Stade Lausanne-Ouchy over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
9.8%
@ 4.70-10.1%
Under
90.2%
@ 1.17+10.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betfair
6.00
1xBet
5.20
Betano
5.10
Superbet
4.60
Bet365
4.33
Under
Marathonbet
1.22
Pinnacle
1.21
Bet365
1.20
Superbet
1.16
Betano
1.14
Étoile Carouge over/under 0.5Actual: Under
Over
69.5%
@ 1.36+1.2%
Under
30.5%
@ 2.93-1.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.40
Pinnacle
1.39
Betano
1.37
Superbet
1.36
Marathonbet
1.36
Under
Bet365
3.25
Betfair
3.00
Pinnacle
2.99
Betano
2.92
Superbet
2.90
Étoile Carouge over/under 1.5Actual: Under
Over
33.3%
@ 2.74-0.4%
Under
66.7%
@ 1.39+0.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.99
1xBet
2.84
Marathonbet
2.84
Superbet
2.77
Betfair
2.75
Under
Bet365
1.44
Betano
1.42
Unibet
1.40
10Bet
1.40
Betfair
1.40
Étoile Carouge over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
11.8%
@ 6.55-2.3%
Under
88.2%
@ 1.08+2.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
7.00
Superbet
6.70
1xBet
6.70
Betfair
6.50
Betano
6.40
Under
Bet365
1.11
Betano
1.10
Betfair
1.08
Superbet
1.07
1xBet
1.07
Étoile Carouge over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
3.3%
@ 10.83-5.4%
Under
96.7%
@ 1.02+5.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
11.50
Bet365
11.00
Betfair
10.00
Under
Betfair
1.03
Betano
1.02
Bet365
1.02

⚖️ 7. Handicap

Handicap

The handicap is applied to Stade Lausanne-Ouchy, so a minus line means Stade Lausanne-Ouchy give that many goals of a start and Étoile Carouge receive them. At -1, Stade Lausanne-Ouchy must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Stade Lausanne-Ouchy win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Stade Lausanne-Ouchy)Actual: Stade Lausanne-Ouchy
Stade Lausanne-Ouchy -2
11.9%
@ 4.76-6.5%
Draw -2
15.3%
@ 4.70-3.4%
Étoile Carouge +2
72.8%
@ 1.39+9.8%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Betfair
5.50
Bet365
5.00
Marathonbet
4.65
Unibet
3.90
Draw
Marathonbet
5.05
Betfair
5.00
Bet365
5.00
Unibet
3.75
Away
Bet365
1.44
Marathonbet
1.39
Unibet
1.38
Betfair
1.36
Handicap -1 (Stade Lausanne-Ouchy)Actual: Stade Lausanne-Ouchy
Stade Lausanne-Ouchy -1
27.2%
@ 2.58-6.6%
Draw -1
21.8%
@ 3.65-2.1%
Étoile Carouge +1
51.0%
@ 2.06+8.7%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Betfair
2.75
10Bet
2.70
Bet365
2.62
Marathonbet
2.59
Unibet
2.25
Draw
Bet365
4.00
Marathonbet
3.90
10Bet
3.60
Betfair
3.60
Unibet
3.15
Away
10Bet
2.10
Bet365
2.10
Betfair
2.10
Marathonbet
2.01
Unibet
2.00
Handicap +1 (Stade Lausanne-Ouchy)Actual: Stade Lausanne-Ouchy
Stade Lausanne-Ouchy +1
74.9%
@ 1.15+0.6%
Draw +1
14.6%
@ 5.60-0.7%
Étoile Carouge -1
10.5%
@ 8.18+0.1%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
1.18
Marathonbet
1.12
Draw
Bet365
6.50
Marathonbet
4.70
Away
Bet365
10.00
Marathonbet
6.35
Handicap +2 (Stade Lausanne-Ouchy)Actual: Stade Lausanne-Ouchy
Stade Lausanne-Ouchy +2
89.5%
@ 1.06-0.1%
Draw +2
7.2%
@ 15.00+0.9%
Étoile Carouge -2
3.3%
@ 23.00-0.8%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
1.06
Draw
Bet365
15.00
Away
Bet365
23.00

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

Stade Lausanne-OuchyStade Lausanne-Ouchy

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-202L22D20W10W10W10W01L10W20W10WH·YVE26/04A·FC 02/05H·BEL08/05A·STA11/05H·NEU15/05H·STA24/07A·FC 01/08H·RAP07/08A·NEU21/08A·FC 28/08
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.770.601.070.670.470.53
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (26)0.770.581.170.580.430.57
vs Weaker (4)0.750.750.671.001.000.00
Clean sheet %63% (+40pp vs league)
This opponent (Étoile Carouge) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Étoile CarougeÉtoile Carouge

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-211D22D12L02L01L00D11D01L00D11DA·RAP24/04A·YVE03/05H·FC 08/05A·NEU11/05H·BEL15/05H·FC 24/07A·YVE31/07H·NEU07/08A·STA21/08H·RAP28/08
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
1.1
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.570.670.380.620.790.71
vs Stronger (4)0.751.000.001.001.001.00
vs Similar (26)0.540.620.400.600.730.64
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %43% (+20pp vs league)
This opponent (Stade Lausanne-Ouchy) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
73.2%
@ 1.26-0.2%
Under 0.5
26.8%
@ 3.48+0.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.31
Marathonbet
1.30
1xBet
1.30
BetVictor
1.25
Superbet
1.25
Under
Betfair
4.00
Bet365
3.75
BetVictor
3.60
Superbet
3.60
William Hil
3.60
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
37.0%
@ 2.20-5.2%
Under 1.5
63.0%
@ 1.60+5.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.31
Betano
2.30
Betfair
2.25
1xBet
2.24
Marathonbet
2.24
Under
SBO
1.72
William Hil
1.62
Bet365
1.62
Unibet
1.62
Pinnacle
1.62
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
13.3%
@ 4.95-5.3%
Under 2.5
86.7%
@ 1.13+5.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betfair
5.50
BetVictor
5.40
1xBet
5.00
Marathonbet
5.00
William Hil
4.80
Under
Bet365
1.17
Superbet
1.15
Betano
1.15
William Hil
1.15
BetVictor
1.13

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Stade Lausanne-Ouchy over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
53.7%
@ 1.56-5.8%
Under
46.3%
@ 2.30+5.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.60
Superbet
1.57
Pinnacle
1.56
1xBet
1.53
Under
Pinnacle
2.41
1xBet
2.35
Superbet
2.27
Betano
2.18
Stade Lausanne-Ouchy over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
16.6%
@ 3.53-9.8%
Under
83.4%
@ 1.26+9.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
3.95
Betano
3.75
1xBet
3.50
Pinnacle
2.91
Under
Pinnacle
1.38
1xBet
1.25
Betano
1.23
Marathonbet
1.19
Stade Lausanne-Ouchy over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
3.9%
@ 9.03-6.3%
Under
96.1%
@ 1.02+6.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
9.80
Betano
8.25
Under
Betano
1.04
1xBet
1.01
Étoile Carouge over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
40.3%
@ 2.33+0.5%
Under
59.7%
@ 1.54-0.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.46
Marathonbet
2.34
Betano
2.32
Superbet
2.27
1xBet
2.25
Under
1xBet
1.57
Superbet
1.56
Betano
1.55
Pinnacle
1.53
Marathonbet
1.50
Étoile Carouge over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
9.5%
@ 7.77-2.3%
Under
90.5%
@ 1.04+2.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
8.60
1xBet
7.80
Betano
6.90
Under
Betano
1.07
1xBet
1.04
Marathonbet
1.02
Étoile Carouge over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
1.5%
@ 11.25-6.8%
Under
98.5%
@ 1.01+6.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
11.25
Under
Betano
1.01

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

Stade Lausanne-OuchyStade Lausanne-Ouchy

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-301L00D30W21W11D10W10W10W01L01LH·YVE26/04A·FC 02/05H·BEL08/05A·STA11/05H·NEU15/05H·STA24/07A·FC 01/08H·RAP07/08A·NEU21/08A·FC 28/08
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.870.731.070.600.670.87
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (26)0.770.771.000.670.570.86
vs Weaker (4)1.500.501.330.332.001.00
Clean sheet %47% (+23pp vs league)
This opponent (Étoile Carouge) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Étoile CarougeÉtoile Carouge

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-301L31W00D01L21W30W00D00D00D10WA·RAP24/04A·YVE03/05H·FC 08/05A·NEU11/05H·BEL15/05H·FC 24/07A·YVE31/07H·NEU07/08A·STA21/08H·RAP28/08
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.830.670.810.620.860.71
vs Stronger (4)1.251.002.001.001.001.00
vs Similar (26)0.770.620.730.600.820.64
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %50% (+26pp vs league)
This opponent (Stade Lausanne-Ouchy) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
77.5%
@ 1.13-3.9%
Under 0.5
22.5%
@ 4.95+3.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
1.15
Betano
1.15
Bet365
1.14
Marathonbet
1.11
1xBet
1.11
Under
Bet365
5.50
1xBet
4.90
Marathonbet
4.90
Superbet
4.80
Betano
4.65
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
44.8%
@ 1.71-9.4%
Under 1.5
55.2%
@ 2.02+9.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
1.74
Bet365
1.73
10Bet
1.70
Betano
1.70
1xBet
1.70
Under
Betano
2.05
10Bet
2.05
Marathonbet
2.02
1xBet
2.02
Bet365
2.00
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
19.9%
@ 3.02-10.6%
Under 2.5
80.1%
@ 1.33+10.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
3.40
Superbet
3.25
1xBet
3.05
Marathonbet
3.05
Betano
3.00
Under
10Bet
1.50
Betano
1.34
Bet365
1.30
Superbet
1.29
Marathonbet
1.28

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Stade Lausanne-Ouchy over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
57.3%
@ 1.38-9.9%
Under
42.7%
@ 2.82+9.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
1.40
Betano
1.37
1xBet
1.36
Under
1xBet
2.90
Betano
2.85
Superbet
2.72
Stade Lausanne-Ouchy over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
21.6%
@ 2.71-12.4%
Under
78.4%
@ 1.40+12.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
2.85
Betano
2.67
Marathonbet
2.67
1xBet
2.65
Under
1xBet
1.42
Betano
1.42
Marathonbet
1.39
Superbet
1.37
Stade Lausanne-Ouchy over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
4.8%
@ 6.15-10.2%
Under
95.2%
@ 1.08+10.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
6.50
Betano
5.80
Under
Betano
1.10
1xBet
1.07
Étoile Carouge over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
46.5%
@ 1.89-2.3%
Under
53.5%
@ 1.80+2.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
1.92
1xBet
1.90
Marathonbet
1.88
Betano
1.85
Under
Betano
1.85
1xBet
1.79
Marathonbet
1.78
Superbet
1.78
Étoile Carouge over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
13.2%
@ 5.45-3.6%
Under
86.8%
@ 1.11+3.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
5.75
1xBet
5.70
Betano
4.90
Under
Betano
1.14
Marathonbet
1.09
1xBet
1.09
Étoile Carouge over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
2.3%
@ 10.00-6.9%
Under
97.7%
@ 1.02+6.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
10.00
Under
Betano
1.02

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Under 7.599.0%1.03
Betano
1.03
----+5.6%✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 HT goals98.5%1.01
Betano
1.01
----+6.8%✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 2H goals97.7%1.02
Betano
1.02
----+6.9%✓ Hit
Under 6.597.0%1.03
Betano
1.03
1xBet
1.03
Bet365
1.02
--+6.5%✓ Hit
Away under 3.5 goals96.7%1.02
Betfair
1.03
Betano
1.02
Bet365
1.02
--+5.4%✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 HT goals96.1%1.02
Betano
1.04
1xBet
1.01
---+6.3%✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 2H goals95.2%1.08
Betano
1.10
1xBet
1.07
---+10.2%✓ Hit
Under 5.592.4%1.07
Betano
1.10
Pinnacle
1.10
Bet365
1.08
Superbet
1.07
Betfair
1.06
+5.6%✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 HT goals90.5%1.04
Betano
1.07
1xBet
1.04
Marathonbet
1.02
--+2.3%✓ Hit
Home under 3.5 goals90.2%1.17
Marathonbet
1.22
Pinnacle
1.21
Bet365
1.20
Superbet
1.16
Betano
1.14
+10.1%✓ Hit
Home +2 handicap89.5%1.06
Bet365
1.06
-----0.1%✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 goals88.2%1.08
Bet365
1.11
Betano
1.10
Betfair
1.08
Superbet
1.07
1xBet
1.07
+2.3%✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 2H goals86.8%1.11
Betano
1.14
Marathonbet
1.09
1xBet
1.09
--+3.6%✓ Hit
Under 2.5 HT goals86.7%1.13
Bet365
1.17
Superbet
1.15
Betano
1.15
William Hil
1.15
BetVictor
1.13
+5.3%✓ Hit
Home under 1.5 HT goals83.4%1.26
Pinnacle
1.38
1xBet
1.25
Betano
1.23
Marathonbet
1.19
-+9.8%✓ Hit
Under 4.582.9%1.22
10Bet
1.25
Betano
1.24
Pinnacle
1.24
Unibet
1.23
Bet365
1.22
+6.9%✓ Hit
Home over 0.5 goals82.3%1.09
Betano
1.12
Superbet
1.10
Bet365
1.08
10Bet
1.08
1xBet
1.08
-2.8%✓ Hit
Under 2.5 2H goals80.1%1.33
10Bet
1.50
Betano
1.34
Bet365
1.30
Superbet
1.29
Marathonbet
1.28
+10.6%✓ Hit
Over 1.579.9%1.15
Pinnacle
1.17
Bet365
1.17
Betano
1.17
Superbet
1.15
BetVictor
1.14
-0.7%✓ Hit
Home under 1.5 2H goals78.4%1.40
1xBet
1.42
Betano
1.42
Marathonbet
1.39
Superbet
1.37
-+12.4%✗ Miss
Over 0.5 2H goals77.5%1.13
Superbet
1.15
Betano
1.15
Bet365
1.14
Marathonbet
1.11
1xBet
1.11
-3.9%✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 goals74.9%1.44
Bet365
1.57
1xBet
1.45
10Bet
1.45
Betano
1.44
Unibet
1.43
+10.7%✗ Miss
Home or Draw74.9%1.16
William Hil
1.22
Betano
1.20
BetVictor
1.20
Betfair
1.17
Bet365
1.17
-4.3%✓ Hit
Home +1 handicap74.9%1.15
Bet365
1.18
Marathonbet
1.12
---+0.6%✓ Hit
Home or Away74.1%1.21
Bet365
1.28
Betano
1.25
Betfair
1.22
William Hil
1.22
Marathonbet
1.22
-1.9%✓ Hit
Over 0.5 HT goals73.2%1.26
Betano
1.31
Marathonbet
1.30
1xBet
1.30
BetVictor
1.25
Superbet
1.25
-0.2%✓ Hit
Away +2 handicap72.8%1.39
Bet365
1.44
Marathonbet
1.39
Unibet
1.38
Betfair
1.36
-+9.8%✗ Miss

🎽 13. Player market rates

Stade Lausanne-Ouchy · 2023/24
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Ismael Gharbi21%
Alban Ajdini19%
Vitalie Damașcan12%
Mischa Eberhard12%
Elies Mahmoud12%
Ibrahim Diakité10%
Liridon Mulaj10%
Mergim Qarri9%
Gabriel Kyeremateng8%
Lucas Pos7%
Florian Danho7%
Giovani Bamba5%
Ryan Kadima4%
Sahmkou Camara4%
Dylan Ouedraogo0%
Abdallah Ali Mohamed0%
Lamine Gassama0%
Ogou Akichi0%
Jeremy Vachoux0%
Romain Bayard0%
Dany Da Silva0%
Linus Obexer0%
Valon Hamdiu0%
Charles Abi0%
Zachary Marvin Hadji0%
Lavdrim Hajrulahu0%
Nathan Garcia0%
Emmanuel Essiam0%
Michael Heule0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Linus Obexer33%
Ogou Akichi32%
Giovani Bamba32%
Dylan Ouedraogo31%
Valon Hamdiu28%
Lucas Pos25%
Mischa Eberhard25%
Ryan Kadima24%
Mergim Qarri24%
Elies Mahmoud22%
Florian Danho20%
Sahmkou Camara20%
Abdallah Ali Mohamed19%
Ismael Gharbi17%
Jeremy Vachoux16%
Lamine Gassama15%
Emmanuel Essiam14%
Vitalie Damașcan12%
Romain Bayard10%
Alban Ajdini8%
Michael Heule8%
Nathan Garcia7%
Liridon Mulaj6%
Lavdrim Hajrulahu3%
Dany Da Silva0%
Charles Abi0%
Zachary Marvin Hadji0%
Gabriel Kyeremateng0%
Ibrahim Diakité0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Ismael Gharbi21%
Elies Mahmoud16%
Mergim Qarri15%
Lamine Gassama10%
Gabriel Kyeremateng8%
Florian Danho7%
Liridon Mulaj6%
Vitalie Damașcan6%
Alban Ajdini6%
Ryan Kadima4%
Abdallah Ali Mohamed4%
Ogou Akichi3%
Dylan Ouedraogo0%
Jeremy Vachoux0%
Romain Bayard0%
Dany Da Silva0%
Lucas Pos0%
Linus Obexer0%
Valon Hamdiu0%
Charles Abi0%
Zachary Marvin Hadji0%
Lavdrim Hajrulahu0%
Giovani Bamba0%
Nathan Garcia0%
Mischa Eberhard0%
Emmanuel Essiam0%
Michael Heule0%
Ibrahim Diakité0%
Sahmkou Camara0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Florian Danho33%
Alban Ajdini14%
Ismael Gharbi14%
Liridon Mulaj6%
Vitalie Damașcan6%
Elies Mahmoud3%
Dylan Ouedraogo0%
Abdallah Ali Mohamed0%
Lamine Gassama0%
Ogou Akichi0%
Jeremy Vachoux0%
Romain Bayard0%
Ryan Kadima0%
Dany Da Silva0%
Lucas Pos0%
Linus Obexer0%
Valon Hamdiu0%
Charles Abi0%
Zachary Marvin Hadji0%
Lavdrim Hajrulahu0%
Giovani Bamba0%
Mergim Qarri0%
Nathan Garcia0%
Mischa Eberhard0%
Gabriel Kyeremateng0%
Emmanuel Essiam0%
Michael Heule0%
Ibrahim Diakité0%
Sahmkou Camara0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FW (25)
€6m
SL (24)
€6m
FA (23)
€6m
YS (22)
€5m
NXF (26)
€5m
FW1 (26)
€5m
RAP (24)
€4m
ÉC (23)
€4m
SN (21)
€3m
SK (16)
€3m
Stade Lausanne-Ouchy's squad is €2m more valuable than Étoile Carouge's (€6m vs €4m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SL (9)
€3m
YS (10)
€3m
FW (9)
€2m
NXF (10)
€2m
FA (6)
€2m
SN (9)
€1m
FW1 (9)
€1m
ÉC (6)
€1m
RAP (8)
€1m
SK (5)
€0m
Stade Lausanne-Ouchy's attack is €1m more valuable than Étoile Carouge's (€3m vs €1m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FW (7)
€2m
FW1 (7)
€2m
RAP (6)
€2m
SL (5)
€1m
NXF (5)
€1m
ÉC (5)
€1m
FA (4)
€1m
SK (3)
€1m
YS (3)
€1m
SN (3)
€0m
Stade Lausanne-Ouchy and Étoile Carouge have a similar midfield value (both €1m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FA (13)
€3m
SL (10)
€2m
FW (9)
€2m
YS (9)
€2m
NXF (11)
€2m
ÉC (12)
€2m
SK (8)
€2m
RAP (10)
€2m
FW1 (10)
€2m
SN (9)
€1m
Stade Lausanne-Ouchy and Étoile Carouge have a similar defence value (both €2m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

8 previous meetings
5
SL wins
2
Draws
1
ÉC wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Stade Lausanne-Ouchy vs Étoile Carouge · H/A from SL
DateH/AGameScore
10/04/26AÉtoile Carouge Vs SL1-1
28/02/26HSL Vs Étoile Carouge0-1
19/12/25AÉtoile Carouge Vs SL1-2
30/08/25HSL Vs Étoile Carouge2-0
02/05/25AÉtoile Carouge Vs SL1-2
31/01/25HSL Vs Étoile Carouge1-0
25/10/24AÉtoile Carouge Vs SL1-1
27/09/24HSL Vs Étoile Carouge5-1

Stade Lausanne-OuchyStade Lausanne-Ouchy

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
28/08/26AFC Winterthur Vs SL1-1
21/08/26ANeuchatel Xamax FC Vs SL1-2
07/08/26HSL Vs Rapperswil2-0
01/08/26AFC Aarau Vs SL1-1
24/07/26HSL Vs Stade Nyonnais2-0
15/05/26HSL Vs Neuchatel Xamax FC2-1
11/05/26AStade Nyonnais Vs SL1-3
08/05/26HSL Vs Bellinzona5-0
02/05/26AFC Vaduz Vs SL2-2
26/04/26HSL Vs Yverdon Sport0-3

Étoile CarougeÉtoile Carouge

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
28/08/26HÉC Vs Rapperswil2-1
21/08/26AStade Nyonnais Vs ÉC0-0
07/08/26HÉC Vs Neuchatel Xamax FC0-1
31/07/26AYverdon Sport Vs ÉC1-1
24/07/26HÉC Vs FC Aarau3-0
15/05/26HÉC Vs Bellinzona2-2
11/05/26ANeuchatel Xamax FC Vs ÉC3-0
08/05/26HÉC Vs FC Vaduz1-2
03/05/26AYverdon Sport Vs ÉC3-5
24/04/26ARapperswil Vs ÉC2-1

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Stade Lausanne-Ouchy
Stade Lausanne-Ouchy
Switzerland: Challenge League
Recent: 6 Wins / 3 Draws / 1 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWDWWD1.58
HomeLWWWW1.60
AwayDWDWD1.56
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %44%44%44%
AVG goals2.862.882.84
Over 1.5 %88%88%88%
Over 2.5 %56%48%64%
Over 3.5 %24%24%24%
Scored1.641.801.48
Conceded1.221.081.36
BTTS52%44%60%
Clean Sheet28%36%20%
Corners---
Cards---
Étoile Carouge
Étoile Carouge
Switzerland: Challenge League
Recent: 3 Wins / 3 Draws / 4 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWDLDW1.16
HomeLDWLW1.19
AwayLWLDD1.12
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %30%31%29%
AVG goals2.742.732.75
Over 1.5 %80%88%71%
Over 2.5 %58%58%58%
Over 3.5 %26%23%29%
Scored1.341.351.33
Conceded1.401.381.42
BTTS54%58%50%
Clean Sheet22%23%21%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1Stade Lausanne-OuchyStade Lausanne-Ouchy614
67%
2.3
113+8
2.3
100%
33%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
6
3121.80.5
-
2Yverdon SportYverdon Sport612
50%
2.0
106+4
2.7
100%
50%
17%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
5
3121.71.0
-
3SC KriensSC Kriens610
50%
1.7
106+4
2.7
100%
33%
17%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
0121.71.0
-
4FC WinterthurFC Winterthur69
33%
1.5
127+5
3.2
100%
50%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
6
2222.01.2
-
5Neuchatel Xamax FCNeuchatel Xamax FC69
50%
1.5
99+0
3.0
83%
83%
17%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
5
2121.51.5
-
6Étoile CarougeÉtoile Carouge68
33%
1.3
66+0
2.0
67%
50%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
1121.01.0
-
7FC AarauFC Aarau68
33%
1.3
810-2
3.0
100%
83%
17%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
6
2131.31.7
-
8FC WIL 1900FC WIL 190065
17%
0.8
916-7
4.2
100%
67%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
5
1221.52.7
-
9RapperswilRapperswil64
17%
0.7
813-5
3.5
100%
50%
17%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
1221.32.2
-
10Stade NyonnaisStade Nyonnais62
0%
0.3
411-7
2.5
83%
67%
17%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1010.71.8
-
Switzerland: Challenge League 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Switzerland: Challenge League stats & trends →

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