PythiaFootballPythiaFootballBETA Free Picks Fixtures League Stats Team Stats Player Stats Pro Picks PRO Research Head-to-Head Validation Pricing Log in
← Back

Stade Lausanne-Ouchy vs Stade Nyonnais Result & Analysis

Date: 24/07/2026
Time: 17:30
Final 2-0
Stade Lausanne-Ouchy
Stade Lausanne-Ouchy
Vs
61%
23%
16%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Stade Nyonnais
Stade Nyonnais
Switzerland: Challenge League
Referee: -
1 Model Analysis2 Goal Analysis3 Team Strengths Analysis4 Props Analysis5 Double Chance6 Home & Away Over/Under7 Handicap8 Half Time Goals O/U9 Half Time Home & Away O/U
10 Top picks for this game11 Squad value12 Games History13 Overall Statistics14 League Table
Match preview & prediction

Pythia gives Stade Lausanne-Ouchy a 61% win probability against Stade Nyonnais in the Switzerland: Challenge League on 2026-07-24, with 23% for the draw and 16% for Stade Nyonnais. The model estimates around 2.9 total goals, with 2 the most likely total (24%) and 1-1 the most likely scoreline (11.1%). High-confidence angles (70%+): Over 1.5 (79%).

Results analysis

Stade Lausanne-Ouchy finished 2-0 against Stade Nyonnais (Home win). Pythia had modelled a 61% home win, 23% draw and 16% away win. Picks that landed: Over 1.5 (79%).

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Stade Lausanne-Ouchy win✓ Hit
60.9%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
23.2%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Stade Nyonnais win✗ Miss
15.8%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

Stade Lausanne-OuchyStade Lausanne-Ouchy

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-512L02L12L11D03L03L22D50W31W21WA·BEL20/03H·FC 03/04H·RAP07/04A·ÉTO10/04A·FC 22/04H·YVE26/04A·FC 02/05H·BEL08/05A·STA11/05H·NEU15/05
Avg total
3.2
Avg scored
1.5
Avg conceded
1.7
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.671.372.001.471.331.27
vs Stronger (3)1.672.332.502.000.003.00
vs Similar (20)1.351.301.601.401.101.20
vs Weaker (7)2.571.143.001.332.251.00
Clean sheet %23% (-0pp vs league)
This opponent (Stade Nyonnais) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Stade NyonnaisStade Nyonnais

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-521W00D14L14L04L13L01L15L13L12LH·RAP20/03A·ÉTO03/04H·YVE06/04A·NEU10/04A·BEL18/04H·FC 24/04H·FC 01/05A·FC 08/05H·STA11/05A·RAP15/05
Avg total
3.5
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
2.7
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.771.631.001.530.531.73
vs Stronger (21)0.811.571.001.820.601.30
vs Similar (9)0.671.781.000.750.402.60
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %17% (-7pp vs league)
This opponent (Stade Lausanne-Ouchy) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%12%18%24%7%014%124%222%316%49%57%6+
The model estimates around 2.9 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (24%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
79.2%
Under 1.5
20.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
55.0%
Under 2.5
45.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
32.6%
Under 3.5
67.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
52.5%
No
47.5%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
11.1%
2-0 ✓
10.9%
1-0
10.0%
2-1
9.9%
3-0
7.1%
0-0
6.6%
3-1
6.5%
1-2
4.6%
Stade Lausanne-Ouchy goals ↓
Stade Nyonnais goals →
01234
06.6%4.1%2.3%0.7%0.2%
110%11%4.6%1.4%0.3%
211%9.9%4.5%1.4%0.3%
37.1%6.5%3.0%0.9%0.2%
43.5%3.2%1.5%0.4%0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Stade Lausanne-Ouchy goals (down), columns = Stade Nyonnais goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
FC Aarau
2.22
Yverdon Sport
1.86
FC Winterthur
1.51
Stade Lausanne-Ouchy
1.39
Neuchatel Xamax FC
1.36
SC Kriens
1.24
Rapperswil
1.22
FC WIL 1900
1.11
Étoile Carouge
1.11
Stade Nyonnais
0.78
Stade Lausanne-Ouchy is 0.61 points better than Stade Nyonnais in terms of average points per game (1.39 vs 0.78).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
FC Aarau
2.14
Yverdon Sport
2.08
FC Winterthur
1.66
Stade Lausanne-Ouchy
1.64
Neuchatel Xamax FC
1.53
Rapperswil
1.44
SC Kriens
1.36
Étoile Carouge
1.28
FC WIL 1900
1.08
Stade Nyonnais
0.92
Stade Lausanne-Ouchy is 0.72 goals better than Stade Nyonnais in terms of goals scored per game (1.64 vs 0.92).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
FC Aarau
1.31
Yverdon Sport
1.33
FC Winterthur
1.41
Stade Lausanne-Ouchy
1.42
Étoile Carouge
1.50
FC WIL 1900
1.53
Neuchatel Xamax FC
1.56
Stade Nyonnais
1.67
SC Kriens
1.72
Rapperswil
1.72
Stade Lausanne-Ouchy is 0.25 goals better than Stade Nyonnais in terms of goals conceded per game (1.42 vs 1.67).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

Stade Lausanne-OuchyStade Lausanne-Ouchy

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D02L00D00D00D02L22D20W10W10WA·BEL20/03H·FC 03/04H·RAP07/04A·ÉTO10/04A·FC 22/04H·YVE26/04A·FC 02/05H·BEL08/05A·STA11/05H·NEU15/05
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.770.671.070.800.470.53
vs Stronger (3)1.331.002.001.500.000.00
vs Similar (20)0.650.650.900.600.400.70
vs Weaker (7)0.860.571.001.000.750.25
Clean sheet %57% (+33pp vs league)
This opponent (Stade Nyonnais) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Stade NyonnaisStade Nyonnais

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
50-520W00D12L12L02L02L00D15L01L11DH·RAP20/03A·ÉTO03/04H·YVE06/04A·NEU10/04A·BEL18/04H·FC 24/04H·FC 01/05A·FC 08/05H·STA11/05A·RAP15/05
Avg total
2.1
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
1.5
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.500.770.600.530.401.00
vs Stronger (21)0.520.760.640.730.400.80
vs Similar (9)0.440.780.500.000.401.40
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %53% (+30pp vs league)
This opponent (Stade Lausanne-Ouchy) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Stade Lausanne-Ouchy over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Stade Lausanne-Ouchy over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Stade Lausanne-Ouchy over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Stade Nyonnais over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Stade Nyonnais over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Stade Nyonnais over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 10. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 1.579.2%-------✓ Hit

💰 11. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FW (33)
€11m
FA (24)
€7m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FW (9)
€5m
FA (5)
€2m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FW (9)
€2m
FA (8)
€2m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FW (15)
€4m
FA (11)
€3m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🤝 12. Games History

H2H record

8 previous meetings
4
SL wins
2
Draws
2
SN wins

Head-to-head

Stade Lausanne-Ouchy vs Stade Nyonnais · H/A from SL
DateH/AGameScore
11/05/26AStade Nyonnais Vs SL1-3
14/03/26HSL Vs Stade Nyonnais1-1
01/11/25HSL Vs Stade Nyonnais3-3
12/09/25AStade Nyonnais Vs SL1-2
26/04/25HSL Vs Stade Nyonnais0-1
21/02/25AStade Nyonnais Vs SL3-0
08/11/24HSL Vs Stade Nyonnais6-2
30/08/24AStade Nyonnais Vs SL0-3

Stade Lausanne-OuchyStade Lausanne-Ouchy

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
15/05/26HSL Vs Neuchatel Xamax FC2-1
11/05/26AStade Nyonnais Vs SL1-3
08/05/26HSL Vs Bellinzona5-0
02/05/26AFC Vaduz Vs SL2-2
26/04/26HSL Vs Yverdon Sport0-3
22/04/26AFC Aarau Vs SL3-0
10/04/26AÉtoile Carouge Vs SL1-1
07/04/26HSL Vs Rapperswil1-2
03/04/26HSL Vs FC WIL 19000-2
20/03/26ABellinzona Vs SL2-1

Stade NyonnaisStade Nyonnais

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
15/05/26ARapperswil Vs SN2-1
11/05/26HSN Vs Stade Lausanne-Ouchy1-3
08/05/26AFC Aarau Vs SN5-1
01/05/26HSN Vs FC WIL 19000-1
24/04/26HSN Vs FC Vaduz1-3
18/04/26ABellinzona Vs SN4-0
10/04/26ANeuchatel Xamax FC Vs SN4-1
06/04/26HSN Vs Yverdon Sport1-4
03/04/26AÉtoile Carouge Vs SN0-0
20/03/26HSN Vs Rapperswil2-1

📊 13. Overall Statistics

Stade Lausanne-Ouchy
Stade Lausanne-Ouchy
Switzerland: Challenge League
Recent: 3 Wins / 2 Draws / 5 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLDWWW1.48
HomeLLLWW1.48
AwayLDLDW1.48
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %42%40%44%
AVG goals2.862.882.84
Over 1.5 %84%84%84%
Over 2.5 %60%52%68%
Over 3.5 %24%24%24%
Scored1.561.721.40
Conceded1.301.161.44
BTTS50%48%52%
Clean Sheet26%28%24%
Corners---
Cards---
Stade Nyonnais
Stade Nyonnais
Switzerland: Challenge League
Recent: 1 Wins / 1 Draws / 8 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLLLLL0.90
HomeWLLLL1.12
AwayDLLLL0.68
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %20%28%12%
AVG goals2.662.802.52
Over 1.5 %70%76%64%
Over 2.5 %50%56%44%
Over 3.5 %30%32%28%
Scored1.001.240.76
Conceded1.661.561.76
BTTS52%56%48%
Clean Sheet20%24%16%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 14. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1Neuchatel Xamax FCNeuchatel Xamax FC39
100%
3.0
63+3
3.0
67%
67%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.01.0
-
2Stade Lausanne-OuchyStade Lausanne-Ouchy37
67%
2.3
51+4
2.0
100%
0%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.70.3
-
3Yverdon SportYverdon Sport35
33%
1.7
53+2
2.7
100%
33%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.71.0
-
4FC WinterthurFC Winterthur34
33%
1.3
74+3
3.7
100%
67%
67%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
11
5242.31.3
-
5Étoile CarougeÉtoile Carouge34
33%
1.3
42+2
2.0
67%
33%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.30.7
-
6FC AarauFC Aarau34
33%
1.3
35-2
2.7
100%
67%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
7
2231.01.7
-
7SC KriensSC Kriens33
33%
1.0
45-1
3.0
100%
33%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.31.7
-
8RapperswilRapperswil33
33%
1.0
68-2
4.7
100%
67%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.02.7
-
9FC WIL 1900FC WIL 190033
33%
1.0
611-5
5.7
100%
100%
67%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.03.7
-
10Stade NyonnaisStade Nyonnais30
0%
0.0
26-4
2.7
100%
67%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.72.0
-
Switzerland: Challenge League 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Switzerland: Challenge League stats & trends →

← all matches