PythiaFootballPythiaFootballBETA Free Picks Fixtures League Stats Team Stats Player Stats Pro Picks PRO Research Head-to-Head Validation Pricing Log in
← Back

Stade Nyonnais vs Étoile Carouge Result & Analysis

Date: 23/01/2026
Time: 18:30
Final 2-2
Stade Nyonnais
Stade Nyonnais
Vs
37%
30%
33%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Étoile Carouge
Étoile Carouge
Switzerland: Challenge League
Referee: -

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Stade Nyonnais win✗ Miss
37.5%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✓ Hit
29.6%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Étoile Carouge win✗ Miss
33.0%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

Stade NyonnaisStade Nyonnais

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-321W01L22D33D00D10W01L02L01L11DH·FC 03/10A·RAP17/10H·YVE24/10A·STA01/11H·ÉTO07/11A·FC 22/11H·FC 28/11A·BEL06/12A·FC 14/12H·NEU19/12
Avg total
2.1
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
1.2
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.071.571.271.530.871.60
vs Stronger (9)1.441.781.752.751.201.00
vs Similar (21)0.901.481.091.090.701.90
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %20% (-4pp vs league)
This opponent (Étoile Carouge) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Étoile CarougeÉtoile Carouge

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-330W02L13L20W00D02L02L00D12L12LA·BEL04/10H·NEU17/10A·FC 26/10H·BEL31/10A·STA07/11H·RAP21/11A·YVE30/11H·FC 05/12A·FC 12/12H·STA19/12
Avg total
2.1
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
1.3
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.131.331.271.331.001.33
vs Stronger (4)0.501.001.000.500.001.50
vs Similar (26)1.231.381.311.461.151.31
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %23% (-0pp vs league)
This opponent (Stade Nyonnais) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

7%13%20%27%10%018%127%221%313%47%54%6+
The model estimates around 2.5 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (27%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
72.4%
Under 1.5
27.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
45.5%
Under 2.5
54.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
24.1%
Under 3.5
75.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
52.0%
No
48.0%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
14.1%
0-0
9.5%
1-0
9.4%
0-1
8.6%
2-1
8.3%
1-2
7.7%
2-0
6.9%
0-2
5.9%
Stade Nyonnais goals ↓
Étoile Carouge goals →
01234
09.5%8.6%5.9%2.4%0.7%
19.4%14%7.7%3.1%0.9%
26.9%8.3%5.0%2.0%0.6%
33.0%3.6%2.1%0.9%0.3%
41.0%1.2%0.7%0.3%0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Stade Nyonnais goals (down), columns = Étoile Carouge goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
FC Vaduz
2.25
FC Aarau
2.22
Yverdon Sport
1.86
Stade Lausanne-Ouchy
1.39
Neuchatel Xamax FC
1.36
Rapperswil
1.22
Étoile Carouge
1.11
FC WIL 1900
1.11
Stade Nyonnais
0.78
Bellinzona
0.64
Stade Nyonnais is 0.33 points worse than Étoile Carouge in terms of average points per game (0.78 vs 1.11).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
FC Aarau
2.14
Yverdon Sport
2.08
FC Vaduz
2.08
Stade Lausanne-Ouchy
1.64
Neuchatel Xamax FC
1.53
Rapperswil
1.44
Étoile Carouge
1.28
Bellinzona
1.11
FC WIL 1900
1.08
Stade Nyonnais
0.92
Stade Nyonnais is 0.36 goals worse than Étoile Carouge in terms of goals scored per game (0.92 vs 1.28).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
FC Vaduz
1.14
FC Aarau
1.31
Yverdon Sport
1.33
Stade Lausanne-Ouchy
1.42
Étoile Carouge
1.50
FC WIL 1900
1.53
Neuchatel Xamax FC
1.56
Stade Nyonnais
1.67
Rapperswil
1.72
Bellinzona
2.14
Stade Nyonnais is 0.17 goals worse than Étoile Carouge in terms of goals conceded per game (1.67 vs 1.50).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

Stade NyonnaisStade Nyonnais

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-220W00D11D21W00D00D00D02L01L00DH·FC 03/10A·RAP17/10H·YVE24/10A·STA01/11H·ÉTO07/11A·FC 22/11H·FC 28/11A·BEL06/12A·FC 14/12H·NEU19/12
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.630.800.870.730.400.87
vs Stronger (9)0.670.670.751.250.600.20
vs Similar (21)0.620.860.910.550.301.20
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %47% (+23pp vs league)
This opponent (Étoile Carouge) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Étoile CarougeÉtoile Carouge

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-220W02L01L00D00D01L00D00D11D00DA·BEL04/10H·NEU17/10A·FC 26/10H·BEL31/10A·STA07/11H·RAP21/11A·YVE30/11H·FC 05/12A·FC 12/12H·STA19/12
Avg total
0.8
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.600.500.600.470.600.53
vs Stronger (4)0.250.500.500.500.000.50
vs Similar (26)0.650.500.620.460.690.54
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %57% (+33pp vs league)
This opponent (Stade Nyonnais) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Stade Nyonnais over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Stade Nyonnais over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Stade Nyonnais over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Étoile Carouge over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Étoile Carouge over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Étoile Carouge over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

Stade NyonnaisStade Nyonnais

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-201L01L11D12L00D10W01L00D00D11DH·FC 03/10A·RAP17/10H·YVE24/10A·STA01/11H·ÉTO07/11A·FC 22/11H·FC 28/11A·BEL06/12A·FC 14/12H·NEU19/12
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.430.770.400.800.470.73
vs Stronger (9)0.781.111.001.500.600.80
vs Similar (21)0.290.620.180.550.400.70
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %40% (+16pp vs league)
This opponent (Étoile Carouge) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Étoile CarougeÉtoile Carouge

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-210W00D12L20W00D01L02L00D01L12LA·BEL04/10H·NEU17/10A·FC 26/10H·BEL31/10A·STA07/11H·RAP21/11A·YVE30/11H·FC 05/12A·FC 12/12H·STA19/12
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.530.830.670.870.400.80
vs Stronger (4)0.250.500.500.000.001.00
vs Similar (26)0.580.880.691.000.460.77
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %43% (+20pp vs league)
This opponent (Stade Nyonnais) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Stade Nyonnais over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Stade Nyonnais over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Stade Nyonnais over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Étoile Carouge over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Étoile Carouge over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Étoile Carouge over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Under 3.575.9%-------✗ Miss
Over 1.572.4%-------✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SL (24)
€6m
FV (26)
€6m
FA (23)
€6m
YS (22)
€5m
NXF (26)
€5m
BEL (34)
€5m
FW1 (26)
€5m
RAP (24)
€4m
ÉC (23)
€4m
SN (21)
€3m
Stade Nyonnais's squad is €1m less valuable than Étoile Carouge's (€3m vs €4m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SL (9)
€3m
YS (10)
€3m
FV (9)
€2m
NXF (10)
€2m
FA (6)
€2m
BEL (11)
€2m
SN (9)
€1m
FW1 (9)
€1m
ÉC (6)
€1m
RAP (8)
€1m
Stade Nyonnais and Étoile Carouge have a similar attack value (both €1m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FV (8)
€2m
FW1 (7)
€2m
RAP (6)
€2m
BEL (8)
€1m
SL (5)
€1m
NXF (5)
€1m
ÉC (5)
€1m
FA (4)
€1m
YS (3)
€1m
SN (3)
€0m
Stade Nyonnais and Étoile Carouge have a similar midfield value (both €0m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FA (13)
€3m
SL (10)
€2m
BEL (15)
€2m
YS (9)
€2m
NXF (11)
€2m
ÉC (12)
€2m
FV (9)
€2m
RAP (10)
€2m
FW1 (10)
€2m
SN (9)
€1m
Stade Nyonnais and Étoile Carouge have a similar defence value (both €1m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

6 previous meetings
0
SN wins
2
Draws
4
ÉC wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Stade Nyonnais vs Étoile Carouge · H/A from SN
DateH/AGameScore
07/11/25HSN Vs Étoile Carouge0-0
26/08/25AÉtoile Carouge Vs SN1-1
31/03/25AÉtoile Carouge Vs SN2-1
07/03/25HSN Vs Étoile Carouge0-3
04/10/24AÉtoile Carouge Vs SN3-1
20/09/24HSN Vs Étoile Carouge2-4

Stade NyonnaisStade Nyonnais

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
19/12/25HSN Vs Neuchatel Xamax FC1-1
14/12/25AFC WIL 1900 Vs SN1-0
06/12/25ABellinzona Vs SN2-0
28/11/25HSN Vs FC Vaduz0-1
22/11/25AFC Aarau Vs SN0-1
07/11/25HSN Vs Étoile Carouge0-0
01/11/25AStade Lausanne-Ouchy Vs SN3-3
24/10/25HSN Vs Yverdon Sport2-2
17/10/25ARapperswil Vs SN1-0
03/10/25HSN Vs FC WIL 19002-1

Étoile CarougeÉtoile Carouge

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
19/12/25HÉC Vs Stade Lausanne-Ouchy1-2
12/12/25AFC Aarau Vs ÉC2-1
05/12/25HÉC Vs FC WIL 19000-0
30/11/25AYverdon Sport Vs ÉC2-0
21/11/25HÉC Vs Rapperswil0-2
07/11/25AStade Nyonnais Vs ÉC0-0
31/10/25HÉC Vs Bellinzona2-0
26/10/25AFC Vaduz Vs ÉC3-1
17/10/25HÉC Vs Neuchatel Xamax FC0-2
04/10/25ABellinzona Vs ÉC0-3

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Stade Nyonnais
Stade Nyonnais
Switzerland: Challenge League
Recent: 2 Wins / 4 Draws / 4 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWLLLD0.94
HomeWDDLD1.12
AwayLDWLL0.76
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %24%32%16%
AVG goals3.003.082.92
Over 1.5 %76%80%72%
Over 2.5 %56%64%48%
Over 3.5 %30%28%32%
Scored1.181.321.04
Conceded1.821.761.88
BTTS58%56%60%
Clean Sheet16%20%12%
Corners---
Cards---
Étoile Carouge
Étoile Carouge
Switzerland: Challenge League
Recent: 2 Wins / 2 Draws / 6 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLLDLL1.20
HomeLWLDL1.60
AwayWLDLL0.80
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %32%44%20%
AVG goals2.622.722.52
Over 1.5 %74%84%64%
Over 2.5 %54%52%56%
Over 3.5 %26%28%24%
Scored1.301.521.08
Conceded1.321.201.44
BTTS54%64%44%
Clean Sheet24%24%24%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1FC VaduzFC Vaduz3681
69%
2.2
7541+34
3.2
81%
64%
42%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
6
2222.11.1
-
2FC AarauFC Aarau3680
69%
2.2
7747+30
3.4
81%
69%
39%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
6
2132.11.3
-
3Yverdon SportYverdon Sport3667
56%
1.9
7548+27
3.4
83%
75%
47%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
5
3122.11.3
-
4Stade Lausanne-OuchyStade Lausanne-Ouchy3650
39%
1.4
5951+8
3.1
89%
64%
28%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
6
3121.61.4
-
5Neuchatel Xamax FCNeuchatel Xamax FC3649
39%
1.4
5556-1
3.1
83%
67%
39%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
5
2121.51.6
-
6RapperswilRapperswil3644
39%
1.2
5262-10
3.2
81%
67%
31%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
1221.41.7
-
7Étoile CarougeÉtoile Carouge3640
28%
1.1
4654-8
2.8
83%
58%
28%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
1121.31.5
-
8FC WIL 1900FC WIL 19003640
28%
1.1
3955-16
2.6
69%
47%
36%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
5
1221.11.5
-
9Stade NyonnaisStade Nyonnais3628
14%
0.8
3360-27
2.6
64%
44%
31%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1010.91.7
-
10BellinzonaBellinzona3623
14%
0.6
4077-37
3.2
81%
61%
42%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
5
2121.12.1
-
Switzerland: Challenge League 2025/26 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Switzerland: Challenge League stats & trends →

← all matches