Stade Nyonnais enter the match after a 0-3 loss to SC Kriens, their last five results a streak of four defeats. FC Winterthur, fresh from a 1-1 draw with Stade Lausanne-Ouchy, have shown a more balanced recent run. The model places the away side as the favourite, with a 49% chance of victory, while home and draw both sit at 25% each. The expected total of 3.0 goals aligns with a most likely total of 2, a 23% chance, and the single scoreline the model deems most probable is 1-1, with an 11.9% probability. Stade Nyonnais average 0.73 goals scored and 1.09 conceded at home against similarly ranked opposition, whereas FC Winterthur average 1.33 scored and 1.67 conceded on the road. Suggested selections include Home under 2.5 HT goals at 99.2%, Under 7.5 at 98.8%, Home under 2.5 2H goals at 98.5% with an 8% edge, Under 6.5 at 96.6% with a 7% edge, Away under 2.5 HT goals at 96.6% with a 6% edge, Home under 3.5 goals at 96.4% with a 5% edge, Away under 2.5 2H goals at 94.9% with a 9% edge, and Home under 1.5 HT goals at 93.8% with an 8% edge.
Results analysis
The pre-match favourite, FC Winterthur, failed to deliver as the match finished 2-2, a draw that left the model’s call wrong. The upset was amplified by the fact that both sides entered the game coming off a draw, with Stade Nyonnais’ recent form noted as “coming off a draw” and FC Winterthur’s also “coming off a draw.” The model’s prediction of an away win with a 49% probability was not realised. Every suggested pick was settled: Home under 2.5 HT goals hit at 99.4%, Under 7.5 hit at 98.8%, Home under 2.5 2H goals hit at 98.5%, Away under 2.5 HT goals hit at 96.8%, Under 6.5 hit at 96.6%, Home under 3.5 goals hit at 96.4%, Away under 2.5 2H goals hit at 94.7%, and Home under 1.5 HT goals hit at 93.7%. The final score of 2-2 confirmed the draw, underscoring the unpredictability of the Challenge League.
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🎯 1. Model Analysis
Stade Nyonnais win✗ Miss
25.3%
Avg Implied 22.4% · @ 4.08
Edge
+2.9%
Best 5 market prices
Unibet
4.40
Dafabet
4.20
Bet365
4.20
Betano
4.15
Pinnacle
4.11
Draw✓ Hit
25.5%
Avg Implied 23.3% · @ 3.93
Edge
+2.2%
Best 5 market prices
Betfair
4.20
Pinnacle
4.17
Dafabet
4.10
10Bet
4.00
BetVictor
4.00
FC Winterthur win✗ Miss
49.2%
Avg Implied 54.3% · @ 1.68
Edge
-5.1%
Best 5 market prices
Pinnacle
1.75
Bet365
1.75
William Hil
1.70
BetVictor
1.70
Dafabet
1.70
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
Stade Nyonnais
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.9
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
2.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.67
1.70
0.79
1.43
0.56
1.94
vs Stronger (10)
1.00
2.20
1.00
2.67
1.00
2.00
vs Similar (20)
0.50
1.45
0.73
1.09
0.22
1.89
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
20% (-4pp vs league)
This opponent (FC Winterthur) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
FC Winterthur
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.8
Avg scored
1.9
Avg conceded
1.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.27
2.30
1.27
2.00
1.27
2.60
vs Stronger (24)
1.17
2.54
1.08
2.25
1.25
2.83
vs Similar (6)
1.67
1.33
2.00
1.00
1.33
1.67
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
7% (-17pp vs league)
This opponent (Stade Nyonnais) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 3.0 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (23%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
81.2%
@ 1.12-1.2%
Under 1.5
18.8%
@ 5.27+1.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
1.17
Betano
1.15
Bet365
1.14
Pinnacle
1.14
Superbet
1.13
Under
Betfair
6.50
BetVictor
5.75
Pinnacle
5.66
Superbet
5.20
1xBet
5.10
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
57.7%
@ 1.44-6.7%
Under 2.5
42.3%
@ 2.60+6.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
1.50
Pinnacle
1.48
Betano
1.47
Superbet
1.44
BetVictor
1.44
Under
Betfair
2.88
10Bet
2.65
BetVictor
2.63
Unibet
2.63
Pinnacle
2.63
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
35.3%
@ 2.10-9.1%
Under 3.5
64.7%
@ 1.68+9.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
2.20
Pinnacle
2.20
Betano
2.15
Superbet
2.12
Marathonbet
2.11
Under
SBO
1.77
Betfair
1.73
Unibet
1.70
10Bet
1.70
Pinnacle
1.68
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
59.8%
@ 1.46-3.4%
No
40.2%
@ 2.50+3.4%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
Bet365
1.53
Betano
1.50
Superbet
1.48
Marathonbet
1.46
1xBet
1.46
No
Betfair
2.75
BetVictor
2.55
1xBet
2.50
10Bet
2.50
William Hil
2.50
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
11.9%@ 7.79+6.2%
1-2
9.6%@ 7.77+3.9%
0-2
7.8%@ 9.90+3.4%
0-1
7.7%@ 10.30+3.5%
2-1
6.6%@ 12.67+3.2%
0-0
6.1%@ 16.64+3.4%
2-2 ✓
5.9%@ 11.12+1.9%
1-3
5.7%@ 10.81+1.6%
Stade Nyonnais goals ↓
FC Winterthur goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
6.1%
7.7%
7.8%
4.6%
2.1%
1
5.0%
12%
9.6%
5.7%
2.5%
2
3.7%
6.6%
5.9%
3.5%
1.5%
3
1.5%
2.7%
2.4%
1.4%
0.6%
4
0.5%
0.8%
0.7%
0.4%
0.2%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Stade Nyonnais goals (down), columns = FC Winterthur goals (across).
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💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Stade Lausanne-Ouchy
2.33
Yverdon Sport
2.00
SC Kriens
1.67
FC Winterthur
1.50
Neuchatel Xamax FC
1.50
Étoile Carouge
1.33
FC Aarau
1.33
FC WIL 1900
0.83
Rapperswil
0.67
Stade Nyonnais
0.33
Stade Nyonnais is 1.17 points worse than FC Winterthur in terms of average points per game (0.33 vs 1.50).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
FC Winterthur
2.00
Stade Lausanne-Ouchy
1.83
SC Kriens
1.67
Yverdon Sport
1.67
FC WIL 1900
1.50
Neuchatel Xamax FC
1.50
Rapperswil
1.33
FC Aarau
1.33
Étoile Carouge
1.00
Stade Nyonnais
0.67
Stade Nyonnais is 1.33 goals worse than FC Winterthur in terms of goals scored per game (0.67 vs 2.00).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Stade Lausanne-Ouchy
0.50
SC Kriens
1.00
Yverdon Sport
1.00
Étoile Carouge
1.00
FC Winterthur
1.17
Neuchatel Xamax FC
1.50
FC Aarau
1.67
Stade Nyonnais
1.83
Rapperswil
2.17
FC WIL 1900
2.67
Stade Nyonnais is 0.67 goals worse than FC Winterthur in terms of goals conceded per game (1.83 vs 1.17).
⏱️ Possession
Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Stade Nyonnais or Draw✓ Hit
50.8%
Avg Implied 45.4% · @ 2.03
Edge
+5.4%
25%
25%
49%
covers Stade Nyonnais + Draw
Best 5 market prices
Betano
2.12
William Hil
2.10
Betfair
2.10
10Bet
2.05
Superbet
2.02
Stade Nyonnais or FC Winterthur✗ Miss
74.5%
Avg Implied 77.1% · @ 1.19
Edge
-2.6%
25%
25%
49%
covers Stade Nyonnais + FC Winterthur
Best 5 market prices
Betano
1.23
William Hil
1.22
Bet365
1.22
Superbet
1.20
Betfair
1.20
Draw or FC Winterthur✓ Hit
74.7%
Avg Implied 77.5% · @ 1.19
Edge
-2.8%
25%
25%
49%
covers Draw + FC Winterthur
Best 5 market prices
Betano
1.24
William Hil
1.22
BetVictor
1.22
Betfair
1.20
Bet365
1.20
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🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Stade Nyonnais over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
70.6%
@ 1.30-0.1%
Under
29.4%
@ 3.15+0.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.34
Pinnacle
1.32
Superbet
1.32
1xBet
1.30
Bet365
1.30
Under
Bet365
3.40
Pinnacle
3.28
Betfair
3.25
Betano
3.10
10Bet
3.10
Stade Nyonnais over/under 1.5Actual: Over
Over
34.7%
@ 2.48-2.8%
Under
65.3%
@ 1.49+2.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.64
Superbet
2.52
Betfair
2.50
Betano
2.50
Marathonbet
2.49
Under
Bet365
1.53
Betano
1.50
Betfair
1.50
Pinnacle
1.49
10Bet
1.48
Stade Nyonnais over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
12.6%
@ 5.49-4.3%
Under
87.4%
@ 1.11+4.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
5.70
Marathonbet
5.65
1xBet
5.60
Betfair
5.50
Betano
5.50
Under
Bet365
1.14
Betfair
1.13
Betano
1.12
1xBet
1.11
Superbet
1.11
Stade Nyonnais over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
3.6%
@ 10.25-5.5%
Under
96.4%
@ 1.03+5.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
10.50
Bet365
10.00
Under
Betano
1.03
Bet365
1.03
FC Winterthur over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
83.1%
@ 1.08-2.7%
Under
16.9%
@ 6.52+2.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.11
Superbet
1.09
Bet365
1.08
1xBet
1.07
10Bet
1.07
Under
Betfair
7.00
Bet365
7.00
1xBet
6.90
Superbet
6.30
10Bet
6.00
FC Winterthur over/under 1.5Actual: Over
Over
53.0%
@ 1.51-8.7%
Under
47.0%
@ 2.43+8.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.56
1xBet
1.53
Betano
1.53
Marathonbet
1.51
Superbet
1.51
Under
Betfair
2.63
Bet365
2.50
Pinnacle
2.43
Betano
2.40
Superbet
2.40
FC Winterthur over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
26.3%
@ 2.52-10.4%
Under
73.7%
@ 1.46+10.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.71
Betano
2.62
1xBet
2.60
Marathonbet
2.58
Superbet
2.55
Under
Bet365
1.50
Betfair
1.50
Unibet
1.49
10Bet
1.45
Superbet
1.45
FC Winterthur over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
10.5%
@ 4.82-8.8%
Under
89.5%
@ 1.15+8.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betfair
5.00
Betano
5.00
1xBet
4.90
Superbet
4.70
Bet365
4.50
Under
Bet365
1.17
Superbet
1.15
Betano
1.15
Betfair
1.14
1xBet
1.14
⚖️ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to Stade Nyonnais, so a minus line means Stade Nyonnais give that many goals of a start and FC Winterthur receive them. At -1, Stade Nyonnais must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Stade Nyonnais win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
This opponent (FC Winterthur) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
FC Winterthur
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.63
0.93
0.47
0.73
0.80
1.13
vs Stronger (24)
0.54
1.04
0.33
0.75
0.75
1.33
vs Similar (6)
1.00
0.50
1.00
0.67
1.00
0.33
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
43% (+20pp vs league)
This opponent (Stade Nyonnais) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
65.5%
@ 1.22-10.1%
Under 0.5
34.5%
@ 3.77+10.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.27
Bet365
1.25
William Hil
1.22
Marathonbet
1.22
BetVictor
1.22
Under
Betfair
4.50
BetVictor
3.90
William Hil
3.80
Superbet
3.80
10Bet
3.80
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
29.2%
@ 2.08-15.3%
Under 1.5
70.8%
@ 1.67+15.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.21
Betano
2.20
1xBet
2.11
Marathonbet
2.11
Bet365
2.10
Under
SBO
1.73
Betfair
1.73
10Bet
1.70
Superbet
1.68
Unibet
1.68
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
9.6%
@ 4.47-11.0%
Under 2.5
90.4%
@ 1.17+11.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
BetVictor
4.80
William Hil
4.60
Betfair
4.50
1xBet
4.40
Betano
4.40
Under
Bet365
1.20
Superbet
1.18
Betano
1.17
William Hil
1.17
Betfair
1.17
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Stade Nyonnais over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
36.3%
@ 2.15-6.9%
Under
63.7%
@ 1.63+6.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.21
Betano
2.18
Marathonbet
2.12
Superbet
2.12
1xBet
2.10
Under
Pinnacle
1.65
1xBet
1.65
Superbet
1.64
Betano
1.62
Marathonbet
1.61
Stade Nyonnais over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
6.3%
@ 6.65-7.5%
Under
93.7%
@ 1.07+7.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
6.95
1xBet
6.80
Betano
6.20
Under
Betano
1.09
1xBet
1.06
Marathonbet
1.05
Stade Nyonnais over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.6%
@ 11.25-7.6%
Under
99.4%
@ 1.01+7.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
11.25
Under
Betano
1.01
FC Winterthur over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
50.0%
@ 1.56-9.7%
Under
50.0%
@ 2.31+9.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.60
Pinnacle
1.58
1xBet
1.53
Superbet
1.53
Under
Superbet
2.35
Pinnacle
2.35
1xBet
2.33
Betano
2.22
FC Winterthur over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
16.6%
@ 3.60-8.9%
Under
83.4%
@ 1.23+8.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
3.65
Marathonbet
3.65
1xBet
3.50
Under
Betano
1.24
1xBet
1.24
Marathonbet
1.22
FC Winterthur over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
3.2%
@ 8.95-7.1%
Under
96.8%
@ 1.03+7.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
9.90
Betano
8.00
Under
Betano
1.05
1xBet
1.01
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Stade Nyonnais
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
1.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.30
0.87
0.43
0.93
0.19
0.81
vs Stronger (10)
0.40
1.10
0.33
1.67
0.43
0.86
vs Similar (20)
0.25
0.75
0.45
0.73
0.00
0.78
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
33% (+10pp vs league)
This opponent (FC Winterthur) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
FC Winterthur
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.1
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
1.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.63
1.37
0.80
1.27
0.47
1.47
vs Stronger (24)
0.62
1.50
0.75
1.50
0.50
1.50
vs Similar (6)
0.67
0.83
1.00
0.33
0.33
1.33
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
17% (-7pp vs league)
This opponent (Stade Nyonnais) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
74.8%
@ 1.12-7.4%
Under 0.5
25.2%
@ 5.16+7.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
1.14
Betano
1.14
Superbet
1.13
1xBet
1.10
Marathonbet
1.10
Under
Bet365
5.50
Superbet
5.20
Marathonbet
5.10
1xBet
5.10
Betano
4.90
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
38.9%
@ 1.65-17.2%
Under 1.5
61.1%
@ 2.11+17.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
1.67
Superbet
1.66
1xBet
1.65
Betano
1.65
Marathonbet
1.65
Under
10Bet
2.15
Betano
2.12
Superbet
2.10
1xBet
2.10
Bet365
2.10
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
15.1%
@ 2.98-15.8%
Under 2.5
84.9%
@ 1.34+15.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
3.25
Superbet
3.00
1xBet
2.88
Marathonbet
2.88
Betano
2.87
Under
Betano
1.37
Superbet
1.34
Bet365
1.33
1xBet
1.32
Marathonbet
1.32
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Stade Nyonnais over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
39.7%
@ 1.80-11.5%
Under
60.3%
@ 1.89+11.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
1.83
1xBet
1.80
Betano
1.80
Marathonbet
1.79
Under
Betano
1.91
1xBet
1.90
Superbet
1.88
Marathonbet
1.87
Stade Nyonnais over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
10.4%
@ 4.85-8.5%
Under
89.6%
@ 1.13+8.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
5.00
1xBet
5.00
Betano
4.55
Under
Betano
1.16
1xBet
1.12
Marathonbet
1.12
Stade Nyonnais over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
1.5%
@ 9.50-8.3%
Under
98.5%
@ 1.03+8.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
9.50
Under
Betano
1.03
FC Winterthur over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
57.8%
@ 1.38-9.2%
Under
42.2%
@ 2.81+9.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
1.42
1xBet
1.36
Betano
1.36
Under
1xBet
2.90
Betano
2.87
Superbet
2.65
FC Winterthur over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
22.0%
@ 2.67-12.7%
Under
78.0%
@ 1.41+12.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
2.72
Marathonbet
2.67
1xBet
2.65
Betano
2.62
Under
Betano
1.44
1xBet
1.42
Superbet
1.40
Marathonbet
1.39
FC Winterthur over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
5.3%
@ 6.10-9.9%
Under
94.7%
@ 1.09+9.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
6.50
Betano
5.70
Under
Betano
1.11
1xBet
1.07
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🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Home under 2.5 HT goals
99.4%
1.01
Betano
1.01
-
-
-
-
+7.6%
✓ Hit
Under 7.5
98.8%
1.01
1xBet
1.01
Bet365
1.01
-
-
-
+5.1%
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 2H goals
98.5%
1.03
Betano
1.03
-
-
-
-
+8.3%
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 HT goals
96.8%
1.03
Betano
1.05
1xBet
1.01
-
-
-
+7.1%
✓ Hit
Under 6.5
96.6%
1.03
Betano
1.04
Bet365
1.03
1xBet
1.03
-
-
+6.4%
✓ Hit
Home under 3.5 goals
96.4%
1.03
Betano
1.03
Bet365
1.03
-
-
-
+5.5%
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 2H goals
94.7%
1.09
Betano
1.11
1xBet
1.07
-
-
-
+9.9%
✓ Hit
Home under 1.5 HT goals
93.7%
1.07
Betano
1.09
1xBet
1.06
Marathonbet
1.05
-
-
+7.5%
✓ Hit
Under 5.5
91.6%
1.08
Betano
1.11
Bet365
1.10
Pinnacle
1.10
Superbet
1.09
Betfair
1.08
+6.1%
✓ Hit
Under 2.5 HT goals
90.4%
1.17
Bet365
1.20
Superbet
1.18
Betano
1.17
William Hil
1.17
Betfair
1.17
+11.0%
✗ Miss
Home under 1.5 2H goals
89.6%
1.13
Betano
1.16
1xBet
1.12
Marathonbet
1.12
-
-
+8.5%
✓ Hit
Away under 3.5 goals
89.5%
1.15
Bet365
1.17
Superbet
1.15
Betano
1.15
Betfair
1.14
1xBet
1.14
+8.8%
✓ Hit
Away +2 handicap
89.2%
1.07
Bet365
1.07
-
-
-
-
+1.0%
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 goals
87.4%
1.11
Bet365
1.14
Betfair
1.13
Betano
1.12
1xBet
1.11
Superbet
1.11
+4.3%
✓ Hit
Under 2.5 2H goals
84.9%
1.34
Betano
1.37
Superbet
1.34
Bet365
1.33
1xBet
1.32
Marathonbet
1.32
+15.8%
✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 HT goals
83.4%
1.23
Betano
1.24
1xBet
1.24
Marathonbet
1.22
-
-
+8.9%
✗ Miss
Away over 0.5 goals
83.1%
1.08
Betano
1.11
Superbet
1.09
Bet365
1.08
1xBet
1.07
10Bet
1.07
-2.7%
✓ Hit
Under 4.5
81.5%
1.26
Betfair
1.29
Unibet
1.28
10Bet
1.28
Betano
1.27
Pinnacle
1.27
+8.3%
✓ Hit
Over 1.5
81.2%
1.12
10Bet
1.17
Betano
1.15
Bet365
1.14
Pinnacle
1.14
Superbet
1.13
-1.2%
✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 2H goals
78.0%
1.41
Betano
1.44
1xBet
1.42
Superbet
1.40
Marathonbet
1.39
-
+12.7%
✓ Hit
Over 0.5 2H goals
74.8%
1.12
Bet365
1.14
Betano
1.14
Superbet
1.13
1xBet
1.10
Marathonbet
1.10
-7.4%
✓ Hit
Draw or Away
74.7%
1.19
Betano
1.24
William Hil
1.22
BetVictor
1.22
Betfair
1.20
Bet365
1.20
-2.8%
✓ Hit
Away +1 handicap
74.7%
1.19
Bet365
1.22
Marathonbet
1.16
-
-
-
-0.2%
✓ Hit
Home or Away
74.5%
1.19
Betano
1.23
William Hil
1.22
Bet365
1.22
Superbet
1.20
Betfair
1.20
-2.6%
✗ Miss
Away under 2.5 goals
73.7%
1.46
Bet365
1.50
Betfair
1.50
Unibet
1.49
10Bet
1.45
Superbet
1.45
+10.4%
✓ Hit
Home +2 handicap
72.3%
1.40
Bet365
1.44
Betfair
1.40
Marathonbet
1.38
Unibet
1.38
-
+9.9%
✓ Hit
Under 1.5 HT goals
70.8%
1.67
SBO
1.73
Betfair
1.73
10Bet
1.70
Superbet
1.68
Unibet
1.68
+15.3%
✗ Miss
Home over 0.5 goals
70.6%
1.30
Betano
1.34
Pinnacle
1.32
Superbet
1.32
1xBet
1.30
Bet365
1.30
-0.1%
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
FC Winterthur · 2025/26
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Christian Gomis40%
Andrin Hunziker31%
Nishan Burkart18%
Pajtim Kasami17%
Roman Buess12%
Elias Maluvunu11%
Theo Golliard9%
Brian Beyer7%
Randy Schneider6%
Alexandre Jankewitz6%
Tibault Citherlet6%
Bafode Dansoko5%
Souleymane Diaby5%
Luca Zuffi4%
Silvan Sidler4%
Remo Arnold3%
Mirlind Kryeziu0%
Fabian Rohner0%
Stefanos Kapino0%
Lukas Mühl0%
Basil Stillhart0%
Dario Ulrich0%
Marvin Martins0%
Francis Momoh0%
Adrian Durrer0%
Stéphane Cueni0%
Carmine Chiappetta0%
Loïc Lüthi0%
Ledjan Sahitaj0%
Rhodri Smith0%
Leandro Maksutaj0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Fabian Rohner47%
Mirlind Kryeziu44%
Carmine Chiappetta33%
Adrian Durrer22%
Alexandre Jankewitz22%
Silvan Sidler21%
Pajtim Kasami21%
Stéphane Cueni20%
Christian Gomis20%
Andrin Hunziker19%
Marvin Martins18%
Roman Buess17%
Ledjan Sahitaj17%
Tibault Citherlet17%
Luca Zuffi14%
Bafode Dansoko14%
Lukas Mühl13%
Remo Arnold13%
Randy Schneider13%
Elias Maluvunu11%
Francis Momoh9%
Souleymane Diaby9%
Stefanos Kapino8%
Dario Ulrich8%
Rhodri Smith8%
Theo Golliard6%
Basil Stillhart0%
Nishan Burkart0%
Brian Beyer0%
Loïc Lüthi0%
Leandro Maksutaj0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Theo Golliard17%
Fabian Rohner12%
Andrin Hunziker11%
Silvan Sidler11%
Randy Schneider10%
Nishan Burkart9%
Dario Ulrich8%
Rhodri Smith8%
Elias Maluvunu7%
Brian Beyer7%
Alexandre Jankewitz6%
Adrian Durrer6%
Tibault Citherlet6%
Bafode Dansoko5%
Souleymane Diaby5%
Roman Buess4%
Mirlind Kryeziu0%
Stefanos Kapino0%
Lukas Mühl0%
Luca Zuffi0%
Basil Stillhart0%
Pajtim Kasami0%
Remo Arnold0%
Marvin Martins0%
Francis Momoh0%
Stéphane Cueni0%
Christian Gomis0%
Carmine Chiappetta0%
Loïc Lüthi0%
Ledjan Sahitaj0%
Leandro Maksutaj0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Andrin Hunziker33%
Christian Gomis20%
Pajtim Kasami12%
Fabian Rohner12%
Theo Golliard11%
Bafode Dansoko10%
Nishan Burkart9%
Dario Ulrich8%
Silvan Sidler4%
Elias Maluvunu4%
Randy Schneider3%
Mirlind Kryeziu0%
Stefanos Kapino0%
Lukas Mühl0%
Luca Zuffi0%
Basil Stillhart0%
Roman Buess0%
Remo Arnold0%
Marvin Martins0%
Francis Momoh0%
Alexandre Jankewitz0%
Adrian Durrer0%
Stéphane Cueni0%
Souleymane Diaby0%
Carmine Chiappetta0%
Brian Beyer0%
Loïc Lüthi0%
Ledjan Sahitaj0%
Rhodri Smith0%
Tibault Citherlet0%
Leandro Maksutaj0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
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💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FW (25)
€6m
SL (24)
€6m
FA (23)
€6m
YS (22)
€5m
NXF (26)
€5m
FW1 (26)
€5m
RAP (24)
€4m
ÉC (23)
€4m
SN (21)
€3m
SK (16)
€3m
Stade Nyonnais's squad is €3m less valuable than FC Winterthur's (€3m vs €6m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SL (9)
€3m
YS (10)
€3m
FW (9)
€2m
NXF (10)
€2m
FA (6)
€2m
SN (9)
€1m
FW1 (9)
€1m
ÉC (6)
€1m
RAP (8)
€1m
SK (5)
€0m
Stade Nyonnais and FC Winterthur have a similar attack value (both €1m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FW (7)
€2m
FW1 (7)
€2m
RAP (6)
€2m
SL (5)
€1m
NXF (5)
€1m
ÉC (5)
€1m
FA (4)
€1m
SK (3)
€1m
YS (3)
€1m
SN (3)
€0m
Stade Nyonnais's midfield is €2m less valuable than FC Winterthur's (€0m vs €2m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FA (13)
€3m
SL (10)
€2m
FW (9)
€2m
YS (9)
€2m
NXF (11)
€2m
ÉC (12)
€2m
SK (8)
€2m
RAP (10)
€2m
FW1 (10)
€2m
SN (9)
€1m
Stade Nyonnais and FC Winterthur have a similar defence value (both €1m).
Switzerland: Challenge League 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Switzerland: Challenge League stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
Stade Lausanne-Ouchy
Yverdon Sport
SC Kriens
Neuchatel Xamax FC
Étoile Carouge
FC Aarau
FC WIL 1900
Rapperswil