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Stade Nyonnais vs Rapperswil Result & Analysis

Date: 31/07/2026
Time: 17:30
Final 1-2
Stade Nyonnais
Stade Nyonnais
Vs
29%
25%
46%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Rapperswil
Rapperswil
Switzerland: Challenge League
Referee: -
1 Model Analysis2 Goal Analysis3 Team Strengths Analysis4 Props Analysis5 Double Chance6 Home & Away Over/Under7 Handicap8 Half Time Goals O/U9 Half Time Home & Away O/U
10 Top picks for this game11 Squad value12 Games History13 Overall Statistics14 League Table
Match preview & prediction

Stade Nyonnais and Rapperswil are set for a high-scoring encounter, with an expected total of 3.2 goals and the most likely outcome being exactly 3 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1-1, but with a relatively low probability of 11.3%. Rapperswil's recent form is a concern, having lost their last 5 matches, including a 0-2 defeat to Stade Lausanne-Ouchy. However, their away scoring and conceding numbers suggest they can pose a threat, averaging 1 goal scored and 2 conceded against weaker opponents.

The model's selection is the away win, with a probability of 46%, making it the favourite to win. The home win percentage is 29%, while the draw percentage is 25%. The model's selection to score over 1.5 goals has a probability of 84.1% and is expected to be the correct choice, with a 2% edge.

Results analysis

The win extends Stade Nyonnais' dismal run, with their 5th consecutive defeat. The final score was 1-2 in favour of Rapperswil, who secured the away win. The model correctly predicted the away win, with Rapperswil being the pre-match favourite at 46% probability. The model's call was correct, as the actual result was indeed an away win. The model's selection of Rapperswil to win was the favourite. The model's selection of Over 1.5 hit, with a probability of 84.1%, while the most likely total goals was 3, with a 22% probability.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Stade Nyonnais win✗ Miss
29.4%
Avg Implied 36.6% · @ 2.49
Edge
-7.2%
Best 5 market prices
Bet365
2.62
Superbet
2.57
Betano
2.55
BetVictor
2.55
Dafabet
2.55
Draw✗ Miss
25.0%
Avg Implied 24.8% · @ 3.68
Edge
+0.2%
Best 5 market prices
Pinnacle
4.22
1xBet
3.80
Marathonbet
3.80
Dafabet
3.75
Betfair
3.75
Rapperswil win✓ Hit
45.6%
Avg Implied 38.5% · @ 2.37
Edge
+7.0%
Best 5 market prices
10Bet
2.45
Betano
2.42
Dafabet
2.41
BetVictor
2.40
Pinnacle
2.40

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

Stade NyonnaisStade Nyonnais

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-500D14L14L04L13L01L15L13L12L02LA·ÉTO03/04H·YVE06/04A·NEU10/04A·BEL18/04H·FC 24/04H·FC 01/05A·FC 08/05H·STA11/05A·RAP15/05A·STA24/07
Avg total
3.4
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
2.8
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.731.631.001.500.501.75
vs Stronger (21)0.761.571.001.800.551.36
vs Similar (9)0.671.781.000.750.402.60
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %17% (-7pp vs league)
This opponent (Rapperswil) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

RapperswilRapperswil

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-545L21W20W12L21W42W23L13L21W45LH·FC 04/04A·STA07/04H·FC 11/04A·FC 19/04H·ÉTO24/04A·BEL03/05H·NEU08/05A·YVE11/05H·STA15/05H·FC 24/07
Avg total
4.7
Avg scored
2.4
Avg conceded
2.3
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.671.931.672.001.671.87
vs Stronger (10)1.302.901.253.251.332.67
vs Similar (20)1.851.451.821.551.891.33
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %23% (-0pp vs league)
This opponent (Stade Nyonnais) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%11%17%22%5%011%122%222%318%411%511%6+
The model estimates around 3.2 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 3 (22%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
84.1%
@ 1.13+2.0%
Under 1.5
15.9%
@ 5.17-2.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.16
Bet365
1.14
Pinnacle
1.14
Superbet
1.14
BetVictor
1.13
Under
Pinnacle
5.57
Betfair
5.50
BetVictor
5.40
1xBet
5.20
Marathonbet
5.20
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
62.3%
@ 1.48-0.5%
Under 2.5
37.7%
@ 2.49+0.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
1.53
Betano
1.52
10Bet
1.50
Superbet
1.49
BetVictor
1.49
Under
Pinnacle
2.62
Betfair
2.60
10Bet
2.50
Marathonbet
2.49
1xBet
2.49
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
40.0%
@ 2.20-2.3%
Under 3.5
60.0%
@ 1.61+2.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.25
Betano
2.22
Superbet
2.20
10Bet
2.20
Betfair
2.20
Under
Pinnacle
1.66
Bet365
1.62
10Bet
1.62
Betano
1.62
1xBet
1.61
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
64.2%
@ 1.41-1.0%
No
35.8%
@ 2.65+1.0%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
Bet365
1.44
Betano
1.44
Superbet
1.43
BetVictor
1.40
10Bet
1.40
No
Betfair
2.75
BetVictor
2.70
1xBet
2.70
Marathonbet
2.64
Superbet
2.62

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
11.3%@ 7.29+5.2%
1-2 ✓
9.2%@ 8.93+4.3%
2-1
7.3%@ 9.07+2.4%
2-2
6.5%@ 10.12+2.2%
0-2
6.5%@ 14.30+3.4%
0-1
6.2%@ 12.17+2.6%
1-3
5.5%@ 14.96+2.6%
0-0
5.1%@ 16.78+2.4%
Stade Nyonnais goals ↓
Rapperswil goals →
01234
05.1%6.2%6.5%3.9%1.7%
14.7%11%9.2%5.5%2.5%
24.0%7.3%6.5%3.9%1.8%
31.9%3.4%3.1%1.8%0.8%
40.7%1.2%1.1%0.7%0.3%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Stade Nyonnais goals (down), columns = Rapperswil goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
FC Aarau
2.22
Yverdon Sport
1.86
FC Winterthur
1.51
Stade Lausanne-Ouchy
1.39
Neuchatel Xamax FC
1.36
SC Kriens
1.24
Rapperswil
1.22
FC WIL 1900
1.11
Étoile Carouge
1.11
Stade Nyonnais
0.78
Stade Nyonnais is 0.44 points worse than Rapperswil in terms of average points per game (0.78 vs 1.22).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
FC Aarau
2.14
Yverdon Sport
2.08
FC Winterthur
1.66
Stade Lausanne-Ouchy
1.64
Neuchatel Xamax FC
1.53
Rapperswil
1.44
SC Kriens
1.36
Étoile Carouge
1.28
FC WIL 1900
1.08
Stade Nyonnais
0.92
Stade Nyonnais is 0.53 goals worse than Rapperswil in terms of goals scored per game (0.92 vs 1.44).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
FC Aarau
1.31
Yverdon Sport
1.33
FC Winterthur
1.41
Stade Lausanne-Ouchy
1.42
Étoile Carouge
1.50
FC WIL 1900
1.53
Neuchatel Xamax FC
1.56
Stade Nyonnais
1.67
SC Kriens
1.72
Rapperswil
1.72
Stade Nyonnais is 0.06 goals better than Rapperswil in terms of goals conceded per game (1.67 vs 1.72).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

Stade NyonnaisStade Nyonnais

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
50-500D12L12L02L02L00D15L01L11D01LA·ÉTO03/04H·YVE06/04A·NEU10/04A·BEL18/04H·FC 24/04H·FC 01/05A·FC 08/05H·STA11/05A·RAP15/05A·STA24/07
Avg total
2.0
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
1.6
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.470.770.570.500.381.00
vs Stronger (21)0.480.760.600.700.360.82
vs Similar (9)0.440.780.500.000.401.40
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %53% (+30pp vs league)
This opponent (Rapperswil) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

RapperswilRapperswil

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-333D00D10W02L11D31W20W00D11D23LH·FC 04/04A·STA07/04H·FC 11/04A·FC 19/04H·ÉTO24/04A·BEL03/05H·NEU08/05A·YVE11/05H·STA15/05H·FC 24/07
Avg total
2.4
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
1.1
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.930.871.130.930.730.80
vs Stronger (10)0.801.001.001.250.670.83
vs Similar (20)1.000.801.180.820.780.78
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %43% (+20pp vs league)
This opponent (Stade Nyonnais) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Stade Nyonnais over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Stade Nyonnais over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Stade Nyonnais over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Rapperswil over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Rapperswil over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Rapperswil over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 10. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 1.584.1%1.13
Betano
1.16
Bet365
1.14
Pinnacle
1.14
Superbet
1.14
BetVictor
1.13
+2.0%✓ Hit

💰 11. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FW (33)
€11m
FA (24)
€7m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FW (9)
€5m
FA (5)
€2m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FW (9)
€2m
FA (8)
€2m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FW (15)
€4m
FA (11)
€3m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🤝 12. Games History

H2H record

4 previous meetings
2
SN wins
0
Draws
2
RAP wins

Head-to-head

Stade Nyonnais vs Rapperswil · H/A from SN
DateH/AGameScore
15/05/26ARapperswil Vs SN2-1
20/03/26HSN Vs Rapperswil2-1
17/10/25ARapperswil Vs SN1-0
01/08/25HSN Vs Rapperswil1-0

Stade NyonnaisStade Nyonnais

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
24/07/26AStade Lausanne-Ouchy Vs SN2-0
15/05/26ARapperswil Vs SN2-1
11/05/26HSN Vs Stade Lausanne-Ouchy1-3
08/05/26AFC Aarau Vs SN5-1
01/05/26HSN Vs FC WIL 19000-1
24/04/26HSN Vs FC Vaduz1-3
18/04/26ABellinzona Vs SN4-0
10/04/26ANeuchatel Xamax FC Vs SN4-1
06/04/26HSN Vs Yverdon Sport1-4
03/04/26AÉtoile Carouge Vs SN0-0

RapperswilRapperswil

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
24/07/26HRAP Vs FC WIL 19004-5
15/05/26HRAP Vs Stade Nyonnais2-1
11/05/26AYverdon Sport Vs RAP3-1
08/05/26HRAP Vs Neuchatel Xamax FC2-3
03/05/26ABellinzona Vs RAP2-4
24/04/26HRAP Vs Étoile Carouge2-1
19/04/26AFC Vaduz Vs RAP2-1
11/04/26HRAP Vs FC WIL 19002-0
07/04/26AStade Lausanne-Ouchy Vs RAP1-2
04/04/26HRAP Vs FC Aarau4-5

📊 13. Overall Statistics

Stade Nyonnais
Stade Nyonnais
Switzerland: Challenge League
Recent: 0 Wins / 1 Draws / 9 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLLLLL0.84
HomeWLLLL1.04
AwayLLLLL0.65
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %18%25%12%
AVG goals2.642.792.50
Over 1.5 %70%75%65%
Over 2.5 %48%54%42%
Over 3.5 %30%33%27%
Scored0.941.170.73
Conceded1.701.621.77
BTTS52%58%46%
Clean Sheet18%21%15%
Corners---
Cards---
Rapperswil
Rapperswil
Switzerland: Challenge League
Recent: 5 Wins / 0 Draws / 5 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWLLWL1.19
HomeWWLWL1.32
AwayLWLWL1.06
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %38%42%33%
AVG goals3.323.323.33
Over 1.5 %81%74%89%
Over 2.5 %68%68%67%
Over 3.5 %32%32%33%
Scored1.511.421.61
Conceded1.811.891.72
BTTS65%58%72%
Clean Sheet22%26%17%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 14. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1Stade Lausanne-OuchyStade Lausanne-Ouchy410
75%
2.5
72+5
2.2
100%
25%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.80.5
-
2Neuchatel Xamax FCNeuchatel Xamax FC49
75%
2.2
75+2
3.0
75%
75%
25%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.81.2
-
3FC WinterthurFC Winterthur47
50%
1.8
94+5
3.2
100%
50%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
11
5242.21.0
-
4Yverdon SportYverdon Sport35
33%
1.7
53+2
2.7
100%
33%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.71.0
-
5Étoile CarougeÉtoile Carouge45
25%
1.2
42+2
1.5
50%
25%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.00.5
-
6FC AarauFC Aarau34
33%
1.3
35-2
2.7
100%
67%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
7
2231.01.7
-
7SC KriensSC Kriens33
33%
1.0
45-1
3.0
100%
33%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.31.7
-
8RapperswilRapperswil43
25%
0.8
610-4
4.0
100%
50%
25%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.52.5
-
9FC WIL 1900FC WIL 190033
33%
1.0
611-5
5.7
100%
100%
67%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.03.7
-
10Stade NyonnaisStade Nyonnais41
0%
0.2
26-4
2.0
75%
50%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.51.5
-
Switzerland: Challenge League 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Switzerland: Challenge League stats & trends →

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