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Stal Mielec vs Odra Opole Prediction & Stats

Date: 05/09/2026
Time: 13:30
Stal Mielec
Stal Mielec
Vs
50%
25%
24%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Odra Opole
Odra Opole
Poland: I Liga
Referee: -
Match preview & prediction

Stal Mielec are tipped to win, with a 50% chance of triumph, a 25% draw probability and a 24% chance for Odra Opole to come away with the win. The model expects an average of three goals in the match, yet the most likely total is two, with a 23% chance. The single scoreline that the model deems most probable is 1-1, carrying a 11.7% probability. Stal Mielec, playing at home against a similarly-matched opponent, have averaged 2.25 goals scored and 1.5 conceded, while Odra Opole, on the road, average 1.0 goal scored and 1.17 conceded. Suggested picks include Under 7.5 goals at 98.8%, Away under 2.5 HT goals at 98.3% with a 7% edge, Away under 2.5 2H goals at 97.2% with a 7% edge, Home under 2.5 HT goals at 97.0% with a 6% edge, Under 6.5 at 96.5% with a 6% edge, Away under 3.5 goals at 96.5% with a 6% edge, Home under 2.5 2H goals at 93.3% with a 5% edge and Under 5.5 at 91.4% with a 2% edge. Stal Mielec’s recent form shows a dip after two straight defeats, while Odra Opole has come off a draw.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Stal Mielec win
50.3%
Avg Implied 41.9% · @ 2.17
Edge
+8.4%
Best 5 market prices
Superbet
2.22
SBO
2.22
Dafabet
2.22
Betano
2.20
BetVictor
2.20
Draw
25.2%
Avg Implied 26.9% · @ 3.38
Edge
-1.8%
Best 5 market prices
Pinnacle
3.64
Betfair
3.50
Dafabet
3.45
1xBet
3.42
Betano
3.40
Odra Opole win
24.5%
Avg Implied 31.2% · @ 2.92
Edge
-6.7%
Best 5 market prices
Dafabet
3.05
Bet365
3.00
Betano
3.00
Superbet
3.00
Pinnacle
2.99

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

Stal MielecStal Mielec

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-511D31W41W21W33D11D52W04L02L22DH·PUS09/05A·POG15/05H·POL24/05A·UNI26/07H·POD02/08H·STA08/08H·POL16/08A·ŁKS23/08A·POG29/08A·GÓR02/09
Avg total
3.9
Avg scored
2.1
Avg conceded
1.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.631.772.141.501.192.00
vs Stronger (1)0.003.00--0.003.00
vs Similar (24)1.711.792.251.501.172.08
vs Weaker (5)1.601.401.501.501.671.33
Clean sheet %10% (-15pp vs league)
This opponent (Odra Opole) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Odra OpoleOdra Opole

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-331W20W12L01L10W13L31W11D00D21WH·POG11/05A·GÓR16/05H·POL24/05H·ARK24/07A·CHR03/08A·PUS08/08H·WAR15/08A·POD22/08H·ŁKS28/08H·WIS01/09
Avg total
2.4
Avg scored
1.4
Avg conceded
1.0
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.971.171.071.130.871.20
vs Stronger (5)0.601.201.001.000.001.50
vs Similar (23)0.961.170.911.181.001.17
vs Weaker (2)2.001.003.001.001.001.00
Clean sheet %27% (+1pp vs league)
This opponent (Stal Mielec) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%12%17%23%6%013%123%222%317%410%59%6+
The model estimates around 3.0 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (23%).
Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
81.5%
@ 1.21+4.6%
Under 1.5
18.5%
@ 4.01-4.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.23
Bet365
1.22
Superbet
1.22
Betfair
1.22
Pinnacle
1.21
Under
Betfair
4.20
Pinnacle
4.17
BetVictor
4.10
Marathonbet
4.00
1xBet
4.00
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
58.2%
@ 1.71+3.4%
Under 2.5
41.8%
@ 2.06-3.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
1.73
Betfair
1.73
Superbet
1.72
Pinnacle
1.71
Betano
1.70
Under
Pinnacle
2.13
Betfair
2.10
Bet365
2.08
Betano
2.07
Marathonbet
2.06
Over/Under 3.5
Over 3.5
35.8%
@ 2.73+1.9%
Under 3.5
64.2%
@ 1.40-1.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betfair
2.88
Pinnacle
2.76
Superbet
2.75
BetVictor
2.75
Bet365
2.75
Under
Betano
1.44
Pinnacle
1.43
Superbet
1.40
Bet365
1.40
BetVictor
1.40
Both teams to score
Yes
59.8%
@ 1.58+1.5%
No
40.2%
@ 2.22-1.5%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
Bet365
1.62
William Hil
1.62
Superbet
1.60
BetVictor
1.57
Betfair
1.57
No
BetVictor
2.25
1xBet
2.25
Betfair
2.25
Betano
2.25
Marathonbet
2.21

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
11.7%@ 6.23+4.6%
2-1
9.7%@ 8.15+4.2%
2-0
8.0%@ 11.17+4.0%
1-0
7.7%@ 8.58+2.5%
1-2
6.5%@ 9.63+1.8%
0-0
5.9%@ 11.43+2.0%
2-2
5.9%@ 11.15+1.9%
3-1
5.8%@ 15.59+3.0%
Stal Mielec goals ↓
Odra Opole goals →
01234
05.9%4.8%3.6%1.4%0.4%
17.7%12%6.5%2.6%0.8%
28.0%9.7%5.9%2.4%0.7%
34.8%5.8%3.5%1.4%0.4%
42.2%2.6%1.6%0.6%0.2%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Stal Mielec goals (down), columns = Odra Opole goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Miedz Legnica
2.17
Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki
2.00
ŁKS Łódź
1.83
Arka Gdynia
1.67
Chrobry Głogów
1.67
Polonia Warszawa
1.67
Warta Poznań
1.50
Pogoń Siedlce
1.33
Stal Mielec
1.33
Odra Opole
1.33
Nieciecza
1.17
Ruch Chorzów
1.17
Lechia Gdansk
1.17
Puszcza Niepołomice
1.00
Unia Skierniewice
1.00
Polonia Bytom
1.00
Podbeskidzie
0.83
Stal Rzeszów
0.83
Stal Mielec and Odra Opole are level in average points per game (both 1.33).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Polonia Bytom
2.00
Warta Poznań
1.83
Stal Mielec
1.83
Chrobry Głogów
1.67
Polonia Warszawa
1.67
Miedz Legnica
1.67
Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki
1.67
ŁKS Łódź
1.67
Arka Gdynia
1.50
Nieciecza
1.50
Podbeskidzie
1.33
Pogoń Siedlce
1.17
Lechia Gdansk
1.17
Odra Opole
1.00
Puszcza Niepołomice
0.83
Unia Skierniewice
0.83
Stal Rzeszów
0.67
Ruch Chorzów
0.50
Stal Mielec is 0.83 goals better than Odra Opole in terms of goals scored per game (1.83 vs 1.00).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Miedz Legnica
0.50
Arka Gdynia
0.83
Chrobry Głogów
0.83
Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki
0.83
ŁKS Łódź
0.83
Pogoń Siedlce
1.00
Odra Opole
1.00
Puszcza Niepołomice
1.17
Ruch Chorzów
1.17
Polonia Warszawa
1.33
Unia Skierniewice
1.50
Warta Poznań
1.67
Nieciecza
1.67
Podbeskidzie
1.67
Lechia Gdansk
1.83
Stal Rzeszów
2.00
Stal Mielec
2.17
Polonia Bytom
2.50
Stal Mielec is 1.17 goals worse than Odra Opole in terms of goals conceded per game (2.17 vs 1.00).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Stal Mielec or Draw
75.5%
Avg Implied 68.6% · @ 1.35
Edge
+6.9%
50%
25%
24%
covers Stal Mielec + Draw
Best 5 market prices
Betano
1.39
SBO
1.37
BetVictor
1.36
William Hil
1.36
Betfair
1.36
Stal Mielec or Odra Opole
74.8%
Avg Implied 73.0% · @ 1.27
Edge
+1.8%
50%
25%
24%
covers Stal Mielec + Odra Opole
Best 5 market prices
Bet365
1.30
William Hil
1.30
Superbet
1.28
Betano
1.28
SBO
1.26
Draw or Odra Opole
49.7%
Avg Implied 58.3% · @ 1.58
Edge
-8.7%
50%
25%
24%
covers Draw + Odra Opole
Best 5 market prices
Betano
1.67
Bet365
1.62
William Hil
1.60
Superbet
1.59
BetVictor
1.57

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

Home & Away Over/Under

How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Stal Mielec over/under 0.5
Over
83.6%
@ 1.20+6.3%
Under
16.4%
@ 4.11-6.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.22
Betano
1.21
Bet365
1.20
Superbet
1.20
1xBet
1.19
Under
Bet365
4.33
BetVictor
4.20
1xBet
4.10
Betano
4.10
Superbet
4.00
Stal Mielec over/under 1.5
Over
54.0%
@ 1.99+7.2%
Under
46.0%
@ 1.75-7.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.00
Superbet
2.00
Bet365
2.00
BetVictor
2.00
Betano
1.98
Under
Pinnacle
1.78
Betano
1.78
Marathonbet
1.75
1xBet
1.74
Superbet
1.73
Stal Mielec over/under 2.5
Over
27.2%
@ 4.17+5.0%
Under
72.8%
@ 1.19-5.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
BetVictor
4.33
Bet365
4.33
1xBet
4.20
Marathonbet
4.15
Pinnacle
4.15
Under
Betano
1.23
Bet365
1.20
Superbet
1.20
Pinnacle
1.20
BetVictor
1.18
Stal Mielec over/under 3.5
Over
11.0%
@ 9.45+1.1%
Under
89.0%
@ 1.04-1.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
11.00
1xBet
10.00
Superbet
9.00
Betano
7.80
Under
Betano
1.06
Bet365
1.05
Superbet
1.04
1xBet
1.01
Odra Opole over/under 0.5
Over
70.3%
@ 1.29-1.9%
Under
29.7%
@ 3.34+1.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
1.30
Betano
1.30
Superbet
1.30
BetVictor
1.29
1xBet
1.27
Under
Pinnacle
3.43
Bet365
3.40
1xBet
3.34
BetVictor
3.30
Betano
3.30
Odra Opole over/under 1.5
Over
34.2%
@ 2.40-4.6%
Under
65.8%
@ 1.52+4.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
2.50
Pinnacle
2.46
Superbet
2.42
BetVictor
2.40
Marathonbet
2.38
Under
1xBet
1.56
Betano
1.55
Pinnacle
1.52
Superbet
1.50
BetVictor
1.50
Odra Opole over/under 2.5
Over
12.3%
@ 5.57-4.3%
Under
87.7%
@ 1.11+4.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
6.00
BetVictor
5.75
Marathonbet
5.70
Superbet
5.45
1xBet
5.30
Under
Betano
1.14
Bet365
1.12
1xBet
1.11
Superbet
1.11
BetVictor
1.10
Odra Opole over/under 3.5
Over
3.5%
@ 13.67-3.5%
Under
96.5%
@ 1.02+3.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
17.00
Superbet
14.00
Betano
10.00
Under
Betano
1.03
Bet365
1.02
Superbet
1.01

⚖️ 7. Handicap

Handicap

The handicap is applied to Stal Mielec, so a minus line means Stal Mielec give that many goals of a start and Odra Opole receive them. At -1, Stal Mielec must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Stal Mielec win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Stal Mielec)
Stal Mielec -2
13.0%
@ 8.63+2.5%
Draw -2
15.7%
@ 6.37+1.5%
Odra Opole +2
71.3%
@ 1.20-4.0%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
9.00
Marathonbet
8.90
Superbet
8.00
Draw
Marathonbet
6.60
Bet365
6.50
Superbet
6.00
Away
Bet365
1.22
Superbet
1.21
Marathonbet
1.16
Handicap -1 (Stal Mielec)
Stal Mielec -1
28.7%
@ 4.08+6.7%
Draw -1
21.7%
@ 4.09-0.2%
Odra Opole +1
49.7%
@ 1.59-6.5%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Betfair
4.20
Marathonbet
4.10
Superbet
4.00
Bet365
4.00
Draw
Bet365
4.33
Marathonbet
4.05
Superbet
4.00
Betfair
4.00
Away
Superbet
1.62
Bet365
1.62
Betfair
1.57
Marathonbet
1.57
Handicap +1 (Stal Mielec)
Stal Mielec +1
75.5%
@ 1.33+8.5%
Draw +1
14.2%
@ 4.87-4.2%
Odra Opole -1
10.3%
@ 6.13-4.3%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Superbet
1.36
Bet365
1.33
Marathonbet
1.31
Draw
Bet365
5.00
Marathonbet
4.85
Superbet
4.75
Away
Bet365
6.50
Marathonbet
6.20
Superbet
5.70
Handicap +2 (Stal Mielec)
Stal Mielec +2
89.7%
@ 1.10+6.0%
Draw +2
7.0%
@ 9.00-3.2%
Odra Opole -2
3.3%
@ 15.00-2.8%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
1.10
Draw
Bet365
9.00
Away
Bet365
15.00

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

Stal MielecStal Mielec

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-311D11D20W10W30W00D21W01L02L01LH·PUS09/05A·POG15/05H·POL24/05A·UNI26/07H·POD02/08H·STA08/08H·POL16/08A·ŁKS23/08A·POG29/08A·GÓR02/09
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.830.801.360.500.381.06
vs Stronger (1)0.003.00--0.003.00
vs Similar (24)0.830.751.330.580.330.92
vs Weaker (5)1.000.601.500.000.671.00
Clean sheet %43% (+18pp vs league)
This opponent (Odra Opole) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Odra OpoleOdra Opole

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-210W10W10W01L10W12L20W10W00D01LH·POG11/05A·GÓR16/05H·POL24/05H·ARK24/07A·CHR03/08A·PUS08/08H·WAR15/08A·POD22/08H·ŁKS28/08H·WIS01/09
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.430.430.470.400.400.47
vs Stronger (5)0.200.600.331.000.000.00
vs Similar (23)0.390.430.360.270.420.58
vs Weaker (2)1.500.002.000.001.000.00
Clean sheet %63% (+38pp vs league)
This opponent (Stal Mielec) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5
Over 0.5
72.9%
@ 1.31+2.3%
Under 0.5
27.1%
@ 3.16-2.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.37
Bet365
1.33
Superbet
1.32
Pinnacle
1.32
William Hil
1.30
Under
William Hil
3.30
Bet365
3.25
Pinnacle
3.20
BetVictor
3.20
Betfair
3.20
Half Time Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
35.2%
@ 2.48-2.1%
Under 1.5
64.8%
@ 1.48+2.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betfair
2.63
Betano
2.55
Pinnacle
2.55
Bet365
2.50
Superbet
2.47
Under
William Hil
1.50
Bet365
1.50
BetVictor
1.50
Pinnacle
1.50
Superbet
1.48
Half Time Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
12.8%
@ 5.91-3.0%
Under 2.5
87.2%
@ 1.11+3.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
6.50
BetVictor
6.50
Betfair
6.00
William Hil
5.80
Superbet
5.70
Under
William Hil
1.12
Betano
1.12
Betfair
1.11
Superbet
1.11
Bet365
1.11

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Stal Mielec over/under 0.5 HT
Over
53.5%
@ 1.84+3.2%
Under
46.5%
@ 1.86-3.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.87
Superbet
1.85
Pinnacle
1.84
Marathonbet
1.82
1xBet
1.81
Under
Pinnacle
1.92
1xBet
1.85
Superbet
1.85
Marathonbet
1.84
Betano
1.83
Stal Mielec over/under 1.5 HT
Over
14.3%
@ 5.30-3.2%
Under
85.7%
@ 1.12+3.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
5.55
1xBet
5.55
Superbet
5.20
Betano
4.90
Under
Betano
1.14
Superbet
1.13
1xBet
1.10
Marathonbet
1.10
Stal Mielec over/under 2.5 HT
Over
3.3%
@ 13.00-3.9%
Under
96.7%
@ 1.01+3.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
16.00
Betano
10.00
Under
Betano
1.02
Superbet
1.01
Odra Opole over/under 0.5 HT
Over
38.9%
@ 2.08-5.5%
Under
61.1%
@ 1.66+5.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.12
Superbet
2.10
Betano
2.10
1xBet
2.04
Marathonbet
2.04
Under
Pinnacle
1.67
1xBet
1.66
Superbet
1.66
Marathonbet
1.66
Betano
1.65
Odra Opole over/under 1.5 HT
Over
9.4%
@ 6.72-4.4%
Under
90.6%
@ 1.07+4.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
7.20
1xBet
7.20
Superbet
6.50
Betano
6.00
Under
Betano
1.10
Superbet
1.08
Marathonbet
1.05
1xBet
1.05
Odra Opole over/under 2.5 HT
Over
1.6%
@ 16.50-4.2%
Under
98.4%
@ 1.01+4.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
22.00
Betano
11.00
Under
Betano
1.01

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

Stal MielecStal Mielec

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-300D20W21W11D03L11D31W03L00D21WH·PUS09/05A·POG15/05H·POL24/05A·UNI26/07H·POD02/08H·STA08/08H·POL16/08A·ŁKS23/08A·POG29/08A·GÓR02/09
Avg total
2.2
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
1.1
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.800.970.791.000.810.94
vs Stronger (1)0.000.00--0.000.00
vs Similar (24)0.881.040.920.920.831.17
vs Weaker (5)0.600.800.001.501.000.33
Clean sheet %40% (+15pp vs league)
This opponent (Odra Opole) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Odra OpoleOdra Opole

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-221W10W02L00D00D01L11D01L00D20WH·POG11/05A·GÓR16/05H·POL24/05H·ARK24/07A·CHR03/08A·PUS08/08H·WAR15/08A·POD22/08H·ŁKS28/08H·WIS01/09
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.530.730.600.730.470.73
vs Stronger (5)0.400.600.670.000.001.50
vs Similar (23)0.570.740.550.910.580.58
vs Weaker (2)0.501.001.001.000.001.00
Clean sheet %47% (+21pp vs league)
This opponent (Stal Mielec) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5
Over 0.5
81.1%
@ 1.19+2.9%
Under 0.5
18.9%
@ 4.25-2.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
1.20
Bet365
1.20
Betano
1.19
1xBet
1.17
Under
1xBet
4.40
Bet365
4.33
Betano
4.15
Superbet
4.10
Second Half Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
50.3%
@ 1.91+1.8%
Under 1.5
49.7%
@ 1.80-1.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
1.95
1xBet
1.92
Marathonbet
1.91
Bet365
1.91
Betano
1.85
Under
Betano
1.85
Bet365
1.80
Marathonbet
1.79
1xBet
1.78
Superbet
1.77
Second Half Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
20.6%
@ 3.76-4.0%
Under 2.5
79.4%
@ 1.23+4.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
4.00
Superbet
3.90
1xBet
3.70
Betano
3.45
Under
Betano
1.26
Bet365
1.22
1xBet
1.22
Superbet
1.21

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Stal Mielec over/under 0.5 2H
Over
62.6%
@ 1.59+4.4%
Under
37.4%
@ 2.21-4.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
1.61
1xBet
1.60
Betano
1.57
Marathonbet
1.57
Under
Betano
2.27
1xBet
2.20
Marathonbet
2.19
Superbet
2.17
Stal Mielec over/under 1.5 2H
Over
23.9%
@ 3.83-0.1%
Under
76.1%
@ 1.22+0.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
3.98
Superbet
3.90
1xBet
3.90
Betano
3.55
Under
Betano
1.26
Superbet
1.21
1xBet
1.20
Marathonbet
1.19
Stal Mielec over/under 2.5 2H
Over
7.3%
@ 9.40-2.7%
Under
92.7%
@ 1.04+2.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
11.00
Betano
7.80
Under
Betano
1.05
Superbet
1.03
Odra Opole over/under 0.5 2H
Over
46.6%
@ 1.75-6.1%
Under
53.4%
@ 1.95+6.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
1.78
Marathonbet
1.76
1xBet
1.74
Betano
1.72
Under
Betano
2.00
1xBet
1.98
Superbet
1.92
Marathonbet
1.91
Odra Opole over/under 1.5 2H
Over
12.1%
@ 4.71-7.5%
Under
87.9%
@ 1.15+7.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
5.10
Superbet
4.85
1xBet
4.60
Betano
4.30
Under
Betano
1.18
Superbet
1.15
1xBet
1.14
Marathonbet
1.12
Odra Opole over/under 2.5 2H
Over
3.3%
@ 12.12-4.5%
Under
96.7%
@ 1.02+4.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
15.00
Betano
9.25
Under
Betano
1.03
Superbet
1.01

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5Edge
Under 7.598.8%-------
Away under 2.5 HT goals98.4%1.01
Betano
1.01
----+4.2%
Away under 2.5 2H goals96.7%1.02
Betano
1.03
Superbet
1.01
---+4.5%
Home under 2.5 HT goals96.7%1.01
Betano
1.02
Superbet
1.01
---+3.9%
Under 6.596.5%1.01
Betano
1.02
Superbet
1.01
Bet365
1.01
1xBet
1.01
-+1.9%
Away under 3.5 goals96.5%1.02
Betano
1.03
Bet365
1.02
Superbet
1.01
--+3.5%
Home under 2.5 2H goals92.7%1.04
Betano
1.05
Superbet
1.03
---+2.7%
Under 5.591.4%1.04
Betano
1.06
Bet365
1.05
1xBet
1.05
Superbet
1.04
Betfair
1.04
+0.9%
Away under 1.5 HT goals90.6%1.07
Betano
1.10
Superbet
1.08
Marathonbet
1.05
1xBet
1.05
-+4.4%
Home +2 handicap89.7%1.10
Bet365
1.10
----+6.0%
Home under 3.5 goals89.0%1.04
Betano
1.06
Bet365
1.05
Superbet
1.04
1xBet
1.01
--1.1%
Away under 1.5 2H goals87.9%1.15
Betano
1.18
Superbet
1.15
1xBet
1.14
Marathonbet
1.12
-+7.5%
Away under 2.5 goals87.7%1.11
Betano
1.14
Bet365
1.12
1xBet
1.11
Superbet
1.11
BetVictor
1.10
+4.3%
Under 2.5 HT goals87.2%1.11
William Hil
1.12
Betano
1.12
Betfair
1.11
Superbet
1.11
Bet365
1.11
+3.0%
Home under 1.5 HT goals85.7%1.12
Betano
1.14
Superbet
1.13
1xBet
1.10
Marathonbet
1.10
-+3.2%
Home over 0.5 goals83.6%1.20
Pinnacle
1.22
Betano
1.21
Bet365
1.20
Superbet
1.20
1xBet
1.19
+6.3%
Over 1.581.5%1.21
Betano
1.23
Bet365
1.22
Superbet
1.22
Betfair
1.22
Pinnacle
1.21
+4.6%
Under 4.581.1%1.14
Betano
1.17
Pinnacle
1.16
Bet365
1.14
Superbet
1.14
Betfair
1.14
-0.6%
Over 0.5 2H goals81.1%1.19
Superbet
1.20
Bet365
1.20
Betano
1.19
1xBet
1.17
-+2.9%
Under 2.5 2H goals79.4%1.23
Betano
1.26
Bet365
1.22
1xBet
1.22
Superbet
1.21
-+4.0%
Home under 1.5 2H goals76.1%1.22
Betano
1.26
Superbet
1.21
1xBet
1.20
Marathonbet
1.19
-+0.1%
Home or Draw75.5%1.35
Betano
1.39
SBO
1.37
BetVictor
1.36
William Hil
1.36
Betfair
1.36
+6.9%
Home +1 handicap75.5%1.33
Superbet
1.36
Bet365
1.33
Marathonbet
1.31
--+8.5%
Home or Away74.8%1.27
Bet365
1.30
William Hil
1.30
Superbet
1.28
Betano
1.28
SBO
1.26
+1.8%
Over 0.5 HT goals72.9%1.31
Betano
1.37
Bet365
1.33
Superbet
1.32
Pinnacle
1.32
William Hil
1.30
+2.3%
Home under 2.5 goals72.8%1.19
Betano
1.23
Bet365
1.20
Superbet
1.20
Pinnacle
1.20
BetVictor
1.18
-5.0%
Away +2 handicap71.3%1.20
Bet365
1.22
Superbet
1.21
Marathonbet
1.16
---4.0%
Away over 0.5 goals70.3%1.29
Bet365
1.30
Betano
1.30
Superbet
1.30
BetVictor
1.29
1xBet
1.27
-1.9%

🎽 13. Player market rates

Stal Mielec · 2024/25
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Piotr Wlazło34%
Ivan Cavaleiro33%
Ilia Shkurin20%
Łukasz Wolsztyński17%
Robert Dadok11%
Mateusz Matras10%
Matthew Guillaumier10%
Sergiy Krykun5%
Krzysztof Wołkowicz5%
Ravve Assayeg5%
Fryderyk Gerbowski5%
Marvin Senger4%
Krystian Getinger4%
Maciej Domański3%
Alvis Jaunzems3%
Jean-David Beauguel0%
Damian Kądzior0%
Petros Bagalianis0%
Mateusz Kochalski0%
Koki Hinokio0%
Pyry Hannola0%
Karol Knap0%
Bert Esselink0%
Adrian Bukowski0%
Dawid Tkacz0%
Jakub Mądrzyk0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Karol Knap23%
Petros Bagalianis20%
Mateusz Matras19%
Marvin Senger19%
Ivan Cavaleiro17%
Matthew Guillaumier16%
Robert Dadok15%
Bert Esselink14%
Piotr Wlazło14%
Adrian Bukowski11%
Damian Kądzior10%
Ilia Shkurin10%
Łukasz Wolsztyński10%
Koki Hinokio10%
Krzysztof Wołkowicz10%
Alvis Jaunzems9%
Fryderyk Gerbowski9%
Krystian Getinger7%
Maciej Domański6%
Dawid Tkacz6%
Ravve Assayeg5%
Jakub Mądrzyk3%
Jean-David Beauguel0%
Sergiy Krykun0%
Mateusz Kochalski0%
Pyry Hannola0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Ivan Cavaleiro33%
Matthew Guillaumier13%
Krystian Getinger11%
Adrian Bukowski11%
Ilia Shkurin10%
Łukasz Wolsztyński10%
Karol Knap8%
Robert Dadok7%
Maciej Domański6%
Krzysztof Wołkowicz5%
Mateusz Matras3%
Alvis Jaunzems3%
Jean-David Beauguel0%
Damian Kądzior0%
Piotr Wlazło0%
Sergiy Krykun0%
Petros Bagalianis0%
Marvin Senger0%
Mateusz Kochalski0%
Koki Hinokio0%
Pyry Hannola0%
Ravve Assayeg0%
Fryderyk Gerbowski0%
Bert Esselink0%
Dawid Tkacz0%
Jakub Mądrzyk0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Ilia Shkurin25%
Łukasz Wolsztyński13%
Sergiy Krykun11%
Piotr Wlazło10%
Matthew Guillaumier10%
Marvin Senger8%
Robert Dadok7%
Dawid Tkacz6%
Krzysztof Wołkowicz5%
Krystian Getinger4%
Alvis Jaunzems3%
Jean-David Beauguel0%
Damian Kądzior0%
Ivan Cavaleiro0%
Mateusz Matras0%
Maciej Domański0%
Petros Bagalianis0%
Mateusz Kochalski0%
Koki Hinokio0%
Pyry Hannola0%
Ravve Assayeg0%
Fryderyk Gerbowski0%
Karol Knap0%
Bert Esselink0%
Adrian Bukowski0%
Jakub Mądrzyk0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
LG (20)
€22m
AG (23)
€5m
PW (25)
€5m
ML (24)
€4m
ŁŁ (22)
€4m
OO (24)
€4m
RC (20)
€4m
NIE (16)
€4m
SR (18)
€3m
PB (21)
€3m
CG (20)
€3m
PN (16)
€3m
PGM (15)
€2m
SM (16)
€2m
PS (18)
€2m
WP (6)
€1m
POD (5)
€1m
US (3)
€0m
Stal Mielec's squad is €2m less valuable than Odra Opole's (€2m vs €4m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
LG (8)
€15m
PW (13)
€3m
AG (9)
€2m
OO (8)
€2m
ŁŁ (7)
€2m
NIE (7)
€2m
ML (7)
€1m
SM (8)
€1m
RC (7)
€1m
SR (9)
€1m
PB (8)
€1m
PN (6)
€1m
CG (7)
€1m
PS (8)
€1m
PGM (4)
€0m
POD (1)
€0m
WP (0)
€0m
US (0)
€0m
Stal Mielec and Odra Opole have a similar attack value (both €1m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
LG (3)
€5m
ML (10)
€2m
NIE (5)
€2m
OO (8)
€1m
PGM (6)
€1m
AG (5)
€1m
PB (8)
€1m
ŁŁ (7)
€1m
RC (5)
€1m
WP (3)
€1m
CG (6)
€1m
PN (4)
€0m
PW (2)
€0m
SR (2)
€0m
PS (3)
€0m
US (2)
€0m
POD (2)
€0m
SM (2)
€0m
Stal Mielec's midfield is €1m less valuable than Odra Opole's (€0m vs €1m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
LG (9)
€3m
AG (9)
€2m
PW (10)
€2m
ŁŁ (8)
€2m
CG (7)
€1m
SR (7)
€1m
RC (8)
€1m
ML (7)
€1m
PN (6)
€1m
OO (8)
€1m
PB (5)
€1m
PGM (5)
€1m
PS (7)
€1m
NIE (4)
€1m
SM (6)
€1m
WP (3)
€0m
POD (2)
€0m
US (1)
€0m
Stal Mielec and Odra Opole have a similar defence value (both €1m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

2 previous meetings
2
SM wins
0
Draws
0
OO wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Stal Mielec vs Odra Opole · H/A from SM
DateH/AGameScore
01/03/26AOdra Opole Vs SM0-2
21/08/25HSM Vs Odra Opole2-1

Stal MielecStal Mielec

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
02/09/26AGórnik Łęczna Vs SM2-2
29/08/26APogoń Siedlce Vs SM2-0
23/08/26AŁKS Łódź Vs SM4-0
16/08/26HSM Vs Polonia Bytom5-2
08/08/26HSM Vs Stal Rzeszów1-1
02/08/26HSM Vs Podbeskidzie3-3
26/07/26AUnia Skierniewice Vs SM1-2
24/05/26HSM Vs Polonia Bytom4-1
15/05/26APogoń Siedlce Vs SM1-3
09/05/26HSM Vs Puszcza Niepołomice1-1

Odra OpoleOdra Opole

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
01/09/26HOO Vs Wisla Krakow2-1
28/08/26HOO Vs ŁKS Łódź0-0
22/08/26APodbeskidzie Vs OO1-1
15/08/26HOO Vs Warta Poznań3-1
08/08/26APuszcza Niepołomice Vs OO3-1
03/08/26AChrobry Głogów Vs OO0-1
24/07/26HOO Vs Arka Gdynia0-1
24/05/26HOO Vs Polonia Warszawa1-2
16/05/26AGórnik Łęczna Vs OO0-2
11/05/26HOO Vs Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki3-1

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Stal Mielec
Stal Mielec
Poland: I Liga
Recent: 4 Wins / 4 Draws / 2 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDWLLD1.06
HomeDWDDW1.08
AwayWWLLD1.04
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %26%24%28%
AVG goals3.403.283.52
Over 1.5 %92%92%92%
Over 2.5 %70%72%68%
Over 3.5 %44%44%44%
Scored1.541.641.44
Conceded1.861.642.08
BTTS74%80%68%
Clean Sheet10%12%8%
Corners11.2511.0011.50
Cards3.433.333.50
Odra Opole
Odra Opole
Poland: I Liga
Recent: 5 Wins / 2 Draws / 3 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLWDDW1.30
HomeLLWDW1.54
AwayLWWLD1.04
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %34%42%25%
AVG goals2.182.232.12
Over 1.5 %72%77%67%
Over 2.5 %36%35%38%
Over 3.5 %14%15%12%
Scored1.041.190.88
Conceded1.141.041.25
BTTS46%46%46%
Clean Sheet28%27%29%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1Miedz LegnicaMiedz Legnica613
67%
2.2
103+7
2.2
83%
33%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
1211.70.5
-
2Pogoń Grod. MazowieckiPogoń Grod. Mazowiecki612
50%
2.0
105+5
2.5
67%
50%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
0111.70.8
-
3ŁKS ŁódźŁKS Łódź611
50%
1.8
105+5
2.5
83%
67%
17%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
2121.70.8
-
4Chrobry GłogówChrobry Głogów610
50%
1.7
105+5
2.5
67%
33%
17%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1111.70.8
-
5Arka GdyniaArka Gdynia610
50%
1.7
95+4
2.3
83%
33%
17%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
5
2121.50.8
-
6Polonia WarszawaPolonia Warszawa610
50%
1.7
108+2
3.0
67%
50%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
5
3021.71.3
-
7Warta PoznańWarta Poznań69
50%
1.5
1110+1
3.5
83%
83%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0101.81.7
-
8Pogoń SiedlcePogoń Siedlce68
33%
1.3
76+1
2.2
67%
33%
17%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1011.21.0
-
9Odra OpoleOdra Opole68
33%
1.3
66+0
2.0
50%
33%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
2111.01.0
-
10Stal MielecStal Mielec68
33%
1.3
1113-2
4.0
100%
67%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1011.82.2
-
11NiecieczaNieciecza67
33%
1.2
910-1
3.2
100%
83%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
2211.51.7
-
12Lechia GdanskLechia Gdansk67
33%
1.2
711-4
3.0
67%
67%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
22
15531.21.8
-
13Ruch ChorzówRuch Chorzów67
33%
1.2
37-4
1.7
67%
0%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
1110.51.2
-
14Puszcza NiepołomicePuszcza Niepołomice66
33%
1.0
57-2
2.0
50%
33%
17%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1010.81.2
-
15Polonia BytomPolonia Bytom66
17%
1.0
1215-3
4.5
100%
83%
67%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1112.02.5
-
16Unia SkierniewiceUnia Skierniewice66
33%
1.0
59-4
2.3
67%
50%
17%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.81.5
-
17PodbeskidziePodbeskidzie65
0%
0.8
810-2
3.0
100%
33%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.31.7
-
18Stal RzeszówStal Rzeszów65
17%
0.8
412-8
2.7
67%
33%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1010.72.0
-
Poland: I Liga 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Poland: I Liga stats & trends →

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