This opponent (Puszcza Niepołomice) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Puszcza Niepołomice
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.8
Avg scored
1.9
Avg conceded
0.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.37
1.17
1.33
1.13
1.40
1.20
vs Stronger (2)
1.00
2.50
0.00
3.00
2.00
2.00
vs Similar (26)
1.38
1.15
1.31
1.08
1.46
1.23
vs Weaker (2)
1.50
0.00
3.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
20% (-5pp vs league)
This opponent (Stal Mielec) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 3.1 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (22%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
83.1%
Under 1.5
16.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
60.7%
Under 2.5
39.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
38.3%
Under 3.5
61.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
63.7%
No
36.3%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1 ✓
11.8%
1-2
8.5%
2-1
8.3%
2-2
6.6%
0-1
5.8%
1-0
5.7%
0-2
5.4%
0-0
5.4%
Stal Mielec goals ↓
Puszcza Niepołomice goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
5.4%
5.8%
5.4%
2.9%
1.1%
1
5.7%
12%
8.5%
4.5%
1.8%
2
5.2%
8.3%
6.6%
3.5%
1.4%
3
2.7%
4.3%
3.4%
1.8%
0.7%
4
1.1%
1.7%
1.3%
0.7%
0.3%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Stal Mielec goals (down), columns = Puszcza Niepołomice goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Wisla Krakow
2.15
Slask Wroclaw
1.79
Wieczysta Kraków
1.75
ŁKS Łódź
1.57
Ruch Chorzów
1.56
Chrobry Głogów
1.56
Miedz Legnica
1.53
Polonia Warszawa
1.51
Puszcza Niepołomice
1.44
Polonia Bytom
1.38
Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki
1.32
Odra Opole
1.29
Stal Rzeszów
1.26
Pogoń Siedlce
1.06
Stal Mielec
1.06
Znicz Pruszków
0.82
Górnik Łęczna
0.79
Tychy 71
0.68
Stal Mielec is 0.38 points worse than Puszcza Niepołomice in terms of average points per game (1.06 vs 1.44).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Wisla Krakow
2.18
Wieczysta Kraków
2.08
Slask Wroclaw
2.00
Polonia Bytom
1.65
ŁKS Łódź
1.63
Ruch Chorzów
1.59
Polonia Warszawa
1.54
Miedz Legnica
1.53
Stal Mielec
1.50
Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki
1.50
Stal Rzeszów
1.44
Chrobry Głogów
1.39
Puszcza Niepołomice
1.32
Znicz Pruszków
1.18
Tychy 71
1.18
Górnik Łęczna
1.15
Odra Opole
1.00
Pogoń Siedlce
0.97
Stal Mielec is 0.18 goals better than Puszcza Niepołomice in terms of goals scored per game (1.50 vs 1.32).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Wisla Krakow
0.88
Chrobry Głogów
1.08
Odra Opole
1.18
Puszcza Niepołomice
1.18
Pogoń Siedlce
1.26
Ruch Chorzów
1.35
Wieczysta Kraków
1.39
ŁKS Łódź
1.40
Slask Wroclaw
1.42
Polonia Bytom
1.47
Polonia Warszawa
1.49
Miedz Legnica
1.56
Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki
1.59
Stal Rzeszów
1.76
Stal Mielec
1.82
Górnik Łęczna
1.82
Znicz Pruszków
2.00
Tychy 71
2.18
Stal Mielec is 0.65 goals worse than Puszcza Niepołomice in terms of goals conceded per game (1.82 vs 1.18).
⏱️ Possession
Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Stal Mielec
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.9
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.63
0.87
0.93
0.67
0.33
1.07
vs Stronger (1)
0.00
3.00
-
-
0.00
3.00
vs Similar (28)
0.68
0.82
1.00
0.71
0.36
0.93
vs Weaker (1)
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
-
-
Clean sheet %
40% (+15pp vs league)
This opponent (Puszcza Niepołomice) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Puszcza Niepołomice
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.57
0.53
0.40
0.47
0.73
0.60
vs Stronger (2)
0.00
2.00
0.00
3.00
0.00
1.00
vs Similar (26)
0.62
0.46
0.38
0.31
0.85
0.62
vs Weaker (2)
0.50
0.00
1.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
60% (+35pp vs league)
This opponent (Stal Mielec) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Stal Mielec over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Stal Mielec over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Stal Mielec over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Puszcza Niepołomice over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Puszcza Niepołomice over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Puszcza Niepołomice over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Stal Mielec
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.67
0.90
0.67
0.93
0.67
0.87
vs Stronger (1)
0.00
0.00
-
-
0.00
0.00
vs Similar (28)
0.71
0.96
0.71
1.00
0.71
0.93
vs Weaker (1)
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
-
-
Clean sheet %
40% (+15pp vs league)
This opponent (Puszcza Niepołomice) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Puszcza Niepołomice
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
1.4
Avg conceded
0.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.80
0.63
0.93
0.67
0.67
0.60
vs Stronger (2)
1.00
0.50
0.00
0.00
2.00
1.00
vs Similar (26)
0.77
0.69
0.92
0.77
0.62
0.62
vs Weaker (2)
1.00
0.00
2.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
47% (+21pp vs league)
This opponent (Stal Mielec) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Stal Mielec over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Stal Mielec over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Stal Mielec over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Puszcza Niepołomice over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Puszcza Niepołomice over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Puszcza Niepołomice over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 1.5
83.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 19.5 fouls
82.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 2.5 cards
78.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 5.5 cards
76.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 11.5 corners
73.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Stal Mielec · 2024/25
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Piotr Wlazło34%
Ivan Cavaleiro33%
Ilia Shkurin20%
Łukasz Wolsztyński17%
Robert Dadok11%
Mateusz Matras10%
Matthew Guillaumier10%
Sergiy Krykun5%
Krzysztof Wołkowicz5%
Ravve Assayeg5%
Fryderyk Gerbowski5%
Marvin Senger4%
Krystian Getinger4%
Maciej Domański3%
Alvis Jaunzems3%
Jean-David Beauguel0%
Damian Kądzior0%
Petros Bagalianis0%
Mateusz Kochalski0%
Koki Hinokio0%
Pyry Hannola0%
Karol Knap0%
Bert Esselink0%
Adrian Bukowski0%
Dawid Tkacz0%
Jakub Mądrzyk0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Karol Knap23%
Petros Bagalianis20%
Mateusz Matras19%
Marvin Senger19%
Ivan Cavaleiro17%
Matthew Guillaumier16%
Robert Dadok15%
Bert Esselink14%
Piotr Wlazło14%
Adrian Bukowski11%
Damian Kądzior10%
Ilia Shkurin10%
Łukasz Wolsztyński10%
Koki Hinokio10%
Krzysztof Wołkowicz10%
Alvis Jaunzems9%
Fryderyk Gerbowski9%
Krystian Getinger7%
Maciej Domański6%
Dawid Tkacz6%
Ravve Assayeg5%
Jakub Mądrzyk3%
Jean-David Beauguel0%
Sergiy Krykun0%
Mateusz Kochalski0%
Pyry Hannola0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Ivan Cavaleiro33%
Matthew Guillaumier13%
Krystian Getinger11%
Adrian Bukowski11%
Ilia Shkurin10%
Łukasz Wolsztyński10%
Karol Knap8%
Robert Dadok7%
Maciej Domański6%
Krzysztof Wołkowicz5%
Mateusz Matras3%
Alvis Jaunzems3%
Jean-David Beauguel0%
Damian Kądzior0%
Piotr Wlazło0%
Sergiy Krykun0%
Petros Bagalianis0%
Marvin Senger0%
Mateusz Kochalski0%
Koki Hinokio0%
Pyry Hannola0%
Ravve Assayeg0%
Fryderyk Gerbowski0%
Bert Esselink0%
Dawid Tkacz0%
Jakub Mądrzyk0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Ilia Shkurin25%
Łukasz Wolsztyński13%
Sergiy Krykun11%
Piotr Wlazło10%
Matthew Guillaumier10%
Marvin Senger8%
Robert Dadok7%
Dawid Tkacz6%
Krzysztof Wołkowicz5%
Krystian Getinger4%
Alvis Jaunzems3%
Jean-David Beauguel0%
Damian Kądzior0%
Ivan Cavaleiro0%
Mateusz Matras0%
Maciej Domański0%
Petros Bagalianis0%
Mateusz Kochalski0%
Koki Hinokio0%
Pyry Hannola0%
Ravve Assayeg0%
Fryderyk Gerbowski0%
Karol Knap0%
Bert Esselink0%
Adrian Bukowski0%
Jakub Mądrzyk0%
Puszcza Niepołomice · 2024/25
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Michalis Kosidis27%
German Barkovskiy20%
Antoni Klimek15%
Artur Crăciun14%
Jani Atanasov11%
Piotr Mroziński11%
Dawid Szymonowicz9%
Mateusz Cholewiak7%
Konrad Stępień7%
Łukasz Sołowiej6%
Roman Yakuba6%
Jakov Blagaić5%
Dawid Abramowicz4%
Jakub Serafin3%
Jin-hyun Lee0%
Mateusz Stępień0%
Mateusz Radecki0%
Michal Siplak0%
Artur Siemaszko0%
Hubert Tomalski0%
Georgy Zhukov0%
Ioan-Calin Revenco0%
Rok Kidrič0%
Michał Walski0%
Wojciech Hajda0%
Kewin Komar0%
Krystian Okoniewski0%
Jakub Stec0%
Michał Perchel0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Artur Siemaszko33%
Dawid Abramowicz29%
Artur Crăciun28%
German Barkovskiy27%
Jakub Stec25%
Jani Atanasov22%
Georgy Zhukov22%
Jakub Serafin22%
Dawid Szymonowicz22%
Wojciech Hajda21%
Łukasz Sołowiej19%
Konrad Stępień19%
Piotr Mroziński19%
Ioan-Calin Revenco18%
Roman Yakuba15%
Jakov Blagaić14%
Michal Siplak12%
Jin-hyun Lee11%
Mateusz Stępień10%
Michalis Kosidis10%
Antoni Klimek8%
Mateusz Cholewiak7%
Hubert Tomalski7%
Mateusz Radecki5%
Kewin Komar3%
Rok Kidrič0%
Michał Walski0%
Krystian Okoniewski0%
Michał Perchel0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Konrad Stępień15%
German Barkovskiy13%
Jin-hyun Lee11%
Dawid Abramowicz11%
Jakub Serafin6%
Łukasz Sołowiej6%
Mateusz Stępień5%
Mateusz Cholewiak4%
Artur Crăciun3%
Michalis Kosidis3%
Jakov Blagaić0%
Mateusz Radecki0%
Michal Siplak0%
Artur Siemaszko0%
Dawid Szymonowicz0%
Hubert Tomalski0%
Jani Atanasov0%
Georgy Zhukov0%
Ioan-Calin Revenco0%
Rok Kidrič0%
Michał Walski0%
Wojciech Hajda0%
Piotr Mroziński0%
Kewin Komar0%
Roman Yakuba0%
Antoni Klimek0%
Krystian Okoniewski0%
Jakub Stec0%
Michał Perchel0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
German Barkovskiy13%
Jani Atanasov11%
Antoni Klimek8%
Piotr Mroziński7%
Jin-hyun Lee6%
Dawid Szymonowicz4%
Konrad Stępień4%
Michalis Kosidis3%
Jakub Serafin3%
Jakov Blagaić0%
Mateusz Stępień0%
Mateusz Cholewiak0%
Mateusz Radecki0%
Michal Siplak0%
Dawid Abramowicz0%
Łukasz Sołowiej0%
Artur Siemaszko0%
Hubert Tomalski0%
Artur Crăciun0%
Georgy Zhukov0%
Ioan-Calin Revenco0%
Rok Kidrič0%
Michał Walski0%
Wojciech Hajda0%
Kewin Komar0%
Roman Yakuba0%
Krystian Okoniewski0%
Jakub Stec0%
Michał Perchel0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
WK (24)
€13m
WK (22)
€12m
SW (22)
€7m
PW (25)
€5m
ML (24)
€4m
ŁŁ (22)
€4m
OO (24)
€4m
RC (20)
€4m
SR (18)
€3m
PB (21)
€3m
CG (20)
€3m
PN (16)
€3m
PGM (15)
€2m
SM (16)
€2m
PS (18)
€2m
Stal Mielec and Puszcza Niepołomice have a similar squad value (both €2m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
WK (8)
€6m
WK (8)
€5m
PW (13)
€3m
OO (8)
€2m
SW (5)
€2m
ŁŁ (7)
€2m
ML (7)
€1m
SM (8)
€1m
RC (7)
€1m
SR (9)
€1m
PB (8)
€1m
PN (6)
€1m
CG (7)
€1m
PS (8)
€1m
PGM (4)
€0m
Stal Mielec and Puszcza Niepołomice have a similar attack value (both €1m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SW (9)
€3m
WK (4)
€2m
ML (10)
€2m
OO (8)
€1m
PGM (6)
€1m
WK (3)
€1m
PB (8)
€1m
ŁŁ (7)
€1m
RC (5)
€1m
CG (6)
€1m
PN (4)
€0m
PW (2)
€0m
SR (2)
€0m
PS (3)
€0m
SM (2)
€0m
Stal Mielec and Puszcza Niepołomice have a similar midfield value (both €0m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
WK (12)
€5m
WK (11)
€5m
SW (8)
€2m
PW (10)
€2m
ŁŁ (8)
€2m
CG (7)
€1m
SR (7)
€1m
RC (8)
€1m
ML (7)
€1m
PN (6)
€1m
OO (8)
€1m
PB (5)
€1m
PGM (5)
€1m
PS (7)
€1m
SM (6)
€1m
Stal Mielec and Puszcza Niepołomice have a similar defence value (both €1m).
Poland: I Liga 2025/26 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Poland: I Liga stats & trends →