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Stal Rzeszów vs Odra Opole Result & Analysis

Date: 24/08/2024
Time: 15:00
Final 2-2
Stal Rzeszów
Stal Rzeszów
Vs
55%
25%
20%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Odra Opole
Odra Opole
Poland: I Liga
Referee: -
1 Model Analysis2 Goal Analysis3 Team Strengths Analysis4 Props Analysis5 Double Chance6 Home & Away Over/Under7 Handicap8 Half Time Goals O/U9 Half Time Home & Away O/U10 Second Half Goals O/U11 Second Half Home & Away O/U
12 Top picks for this game14 Squad value15 Games History16 Overall Statistics17 League Table
Match preview & prediction

Stal Rzeszów are tipped to win in a match that the model expects to see around three goals in total. The prediction favours a home victory, with a 55% chance, while a draw sits at 25% and an away win at 20%. The average goal tally is 2.9, yet the most likely total is two goals, a 24% probability. The single scoreline the model deems most probable is 1-1, with an 11.8% chance. Stal’s home form shows they average 1.62 goals scored and only 0.88 conceded against similarly ranked opposition, whereas Odra Opole, playing away, averages a modest 0.33 scored and 1.11 conceded. The model’s selection of Over 1.5 goals carries a 79.5% probability. Recent form hints that Stal are on a two-game winning run after a 3-0 win over Podbeskidzie, while Odra come off a victory against Wisła Kraków. These elements together paint a picture of a competitive contest with Stal Rzeszów as the favourite.

Results analysis

The upset came as Stal Rzeszów’s 2-2 draw with Odra Opole overturned the pre-match favourite, the model’s Home win at 55%. The result was a draw, so the model’s call was wrong. The match finished 2-2, a score that matched the model’s most likely total of 2 goals, yet the 55% probability for a home victory did not materialise. The model’s single suggested pick, Over 1.5 goals at 79.5%, hit, confirming a high-scoring game. Stal Rzeszów were on a two-game winning run, while Odra Opole had come off a win, yet neither side managed to secure the win the model expected.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Stal Rzeszów win✗ Miss
55.1%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✓ Hit
24.8%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Odra Opole win✗ Miss
20.1%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

Stal RzeszówStal Rzeszów

Last 10 – goals for & against
80-808L42W31W12L10W12L10W31W40W31WA·GKS04/05H·NIE11/05A·GÓR18/05H·POL26/05H·ARK22/07A·GÓR27/07H·MIE04/08A·KOT11/08H·WAR17/08A·CHR20/08
Avg total
3.8
Avg scored
2.1
Avg conceded
1.7
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.731.502.001.141.501.81
vs Stronger (7)1.712.572.251.751.003.67
vs Similar (20)1.651.251.620.881.671.50
vs Weaker (3)2.330.673.001.001.000.00
Clean sheet %30% (+5pp vs league)
This opponent (Odra Opole) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Odra OpoleOdra Opole

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-430W11D20W24L02L41W03L12L00D21WH·WIS12/05A·POL19/05H·ZNI26/05A·ARK30/05H·RUC19/07H·POG28/07A·NIE04/08H·WIS11/08A·TYC17/08H·STA21/08
Avg total
2.9
Avg scored
1.5
Avg conceded
1.4
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.171.301.571.070.811.50
vs Stronger (10)1.301.901.251.501.332.17
vs Similar (19)1.051.001.700.900.331.11
vs Weaker (1)2.001.00--2.001.00
Clean sheet %23% (-2pp vs league)
This opponent (Stal Rzeszów) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%12%18%24%7%014%124%222%316%49%57%6+
The model estimates around 2.9 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (24%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
79.5%
Under 1.5
20.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
55.3%
Under 2.5
44.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
33.0%
Under 3.5
67.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
55.7%
No
44.3%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
11.8%
2-1
9.9%
2-0
9.5%
1-0
9.2%
0-0
6.6%
3-1
6.1%
3-0
5.8%
1-2
5.6%
Stal Rzeszów goals ↓
Odra Opole goals →
01234
06.6%4.7%3.0%1.1%0.3%
19.2%12%5.6%1.9%0.5%
29.5%9.9%5.2%1.8%0.5%
35.8%6.1%3.2%1.1%0.3%
42.7%2.8%1.5%0.5%0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Stal Rzeszów goals (down), columns = Odra Opole goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Arka Gdynia
2.12
Nieciecza
2.09
Wisla Plock
1.94
Wisla Krakow
1.77
Miedz Legnica
1.64
Polonia Warszawa
1.60
Tychy 71
1.56
Znicz Pruszków
1.53
Górnik Łęczna
1.47
Ruch Chorzów
1.41
ŁKS Łódź
1.38
Stal Rzeszów
1.03
Chrobry Głogów
0.97
Pogoń Siedlce
0.88
Odra Opole
0.88
Kotwica Kołobrzeg
0.85
Warta Poznań
0.71
Stal Stalowa Wola
0.68
Stal Rzeszów is 0.15 points better than Odra Opole in terms of average points per game (1.03 vs 0.88).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Nieciecza
2.06
Arka Gdynia
1.85
Wisla Krakow
1.80
Wisla Plock
1.72
Miedz Legnica
1.58
Znicz Pruszków
1.53
Górnik Łęczna
1.47
Ruch Chorzów
1.47
ŁKS Łódź
1.47
Tychy 71
1.38
Polonia Warszawa
1.34
Stal Rzeszów
1.24
Pogoń Siedlce
1.12
Chrobry Głogów
1.09
Odra Opole
0.91
Kotwica Kołobrzeg
0.85
Stal Stalowa Wola
0.79
Warta Poznań
0.65
Stal Rzeszów is 0.32 goals better than Odra Opole in terms of goals scored per game (1.24 vs 0.91).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Arka Gdynia
0.71
Wisla Krakow
0.94
Tychy 71
1.06
Wisla Plock
1.08
Polonia Warszawa
1.11
Nieciecza
1.15
ŁKS Łódź
1.21
Górnik Łęczna
1.24
Znicz Pruszków
1.26
Miedz Legnica
1.31
Ruch Chorzów
1.35
Pogoń Siedlce
1.56
Kotwica Kołobrzeg
1.62
Warta Poznań
1.65
Stal Rzeszów
1.74
Chrobry Głogów
1.74
Odra Opole
1.79
Stal Stalowa Wola
1.91
Stal Rzeszów is 0.06 goals better than Odra Opole in terms of goals conceded per game (1.74 vs 1.79).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

Stal RzeszówStal Rzeszów

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
50-505L21W10W11D00D01L00D20W20W10WA·GKS04/05H·NIE11/05A·GÓR18/05H·POL26/05H·ARK22/07A·GÓR27/07H·MIE04/08A·KOT11/08H·WAR17/08A·CHR20/08
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.670.600.790.360.560.81
vs Stronger (7)0.431.140.500.500.332.00
vs Similar (20)0.650.500.620.380.670.58
vs Weaker (3)1.330.002.000.000.000.00
Clean sheet %60% (+35pp vs league)
This opponent (Odra Opole) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Odra OpoleOdra Opole

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-330W10W10W12L01L20W01L12L00D01LH·WIS12/05A·POL19/05H·ZNI26/05A·ARK30/05H·RUC19/07H·POG28/07A·NIE04/08H·WIS11/08A·TYC17/08H·STA21/08
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.570.670.640.710.500.62
vs Stronger (10)0.800.901.001.000.670.83
vs Similar (19)0.420.580.500.600.330.56
vs Weaker (1)1.000.00--1.000.00
Clean sheet %53% (+28pp vs league)
This opponent (Stal Rzeszów) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Stal Rzeszów over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Stal Rzeszów over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Stal Rzeszów over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Odra Opole over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Odra Opole over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Odra Opole over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

Stal RzeszówStal Rzeszów

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-303L21W21W01L10W11D10W11D20W21WA·GKS04/05H·NIE11/05A·GÓR18/05H·POL26/05H·ARK22/07A·GÓR27/07H·MIE04/08A·KOT11/08H·WAR17/08A·CHR20/08
Avg total
2.1
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.070.901.210.790.941.00
vs Stronger (7)1.291.431.751.250.671.67
vs Similar (20)1.000.751.000.501.000.92
vs Weaker (3)1.000.671.001.001.000.00
Clean sheet %37% (+11pp vs league)
This opponent (Odra Opole) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Odra OpoleOdra Opole

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D01L10W12L01L21W02L00D00D20WH·WIS12/05A·POL19/05H·ZNI26/05A·ARK30/05H·RUC19/07H·POG28/07A·NIE04/08H·WIS11/08A·TYC17/08H·STA21/08
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.600.630.930.360.310.88
vs Stronger (10)0.501.000.250.500.671.33
vs Similar (19)0.630.421.200.300.000.56
vs Weaker (1)1.001.00--1.001.00
Clean sheet %50% (+25pp vs league)
This opponent (Stal Rzeszów) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Stal Rzeszów over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Stal Rzeszów over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Stal Rzeszów over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Odra Opole over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Odra Opole over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Odra Opole over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 1.579.5%-------✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
WK (24)
€13m
WP (25)
€12m
AG (23)
€5m
PW (25)
€5m
ML (24)
€4m
ŁŁ (22)
€4m
OO (24)
€4m
RC (20)
€4m
NIE (16)
€4m
SR (18)
€3m
CG (20)
€3m
PS (18)
€2m
WP (6)
€1m
Stal Rzeszów's squad is €1m less valuable than Odra Opole's (€3m vs €4m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
WK (8)
€6m
WP (7)
€4m
PW (13)
€3m
AG (9)
€2m
OO (8)
€2m
ŁŁ (7)
€2m
NIE (7)
€2m
ML (7)
€1m
RC (7)
€1m
SR (9)
€1m
CG (7)
€1m
PS (8)
€1m
WP (0)
€0m
Stal Rzeszów and Odra Opole have a similar attack value (both €1m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
WP (9)
€3m
WK (4)
€2m
ML (10)
€2m
NIE (5)
€2m
OO (8)
€1m
AG (5)
€1m
ŁŁ (7)
€1m
RC (5)
€1m
WP (3)
€1m
CG (6)
€1m
PW (2)
€0m
SR (2)
€0m
PS (3)
€0m
Stal Rzeszów's midfield is €1m less valuable than Odra Opole's (€0m vs €1m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
WP (9)
€6m
WK (12)
€5m
AG (9)
€2m
PW (10)
€2m
ŁŁ (8)
€2m
CG (7)
€1m
SR (7)
€1m
RC (8)
€1m
ML (7)
€1m
OO (8)
€1m
PS (7)
€1m
NIE (4)
€1m
WP (3)
€0m
Stal Rzeszów and Odra Opole have a similar defence value (both €1m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

4 previous meetings
1
SR wins
1
Draws
2
OO wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Stal Rzeszów vs Odra Opole · H/A from SR
DateH/AGameScore
10/12/23AOdra Opole Vs SR1-1
24/07/23HSR Vs Odra Opole2-5
13/05/23AOdra Opole Vs SR2-0
16/10/22HSR Vs Odra Opole4-2

Stal RzeszówStal Rzeszów

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
20/08/24AChrobry Głogów Vs SR1-3
17/08/24HSR Vs Warta Poznań4-0
11/08/24AKotwica Kołobrzeg Vs SR1-3
04/08/24HSR Vs Miedz Legnica1-0
27/07/24AGórnik Łęczna Vs SR2-1
22/07/24HSR Vs Arka Gdynia1-0
26/05/24HSR Vs Polonia Warszawa1-2
18/05/24AGórnik Łęczna Vs SR1-3
11/05/24HSR Vs Nieciecza4-2
04/05/24AGKS Katowice Vs SR8-0

Odra OpoleOdra Opole

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
21/08/24HOO Vs Stal Stalowa Wola2-1
17/08/24ATychy 71 Vs OO0-0
11/08/24HOO Vs Wisla Plock1-2
04/08/24ANieciecza Vs OO3-0
28/07/24HOO Vs Pogoń Siedlce4-1
19/07/24HOO Vs Ruch Chorzów0-2
30/05/24AArka Gdynia Vs OO4-2
26/05/24HOO Vs Znicz Pruszków2-0
19/05/24APolonia Warszawa Vs OO1-1
12/05/24HOO Vs Wisla Plock3-0

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Stal Rzeszów
Stal Rzeszów
Poland: I Liga
Recent: 7 Wins / 0 Draws / 3 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLWWWW1.60
HomeWLWWW1.84
AwayLWLWW1.36
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %48%56%40%
AVG goals3.163.323.00
Over 1.5 %84%84%84%
Over 2.5 %70%76%64%
Over 3.5 %34%36%32%
Scored1.662.041.28
Conceded1.501.281.72
BTTS64%64%64%
Clean Sheet26%32%20%
Corners---
Cards---
Odra Opole
Odra Opole
Poland: I Liga
Recent: 4 Wins / 2 Draws / 4 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWLLDW1.48
HomeWLWLW1.88
AwayLDLLD1.08
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %42%56%28%
AVG goals2.262.122.40
Over 1.5 %70%72%68%
Over 2.5 %42%44%40%
Over 3.5 %12%4%20%
Scored1.221.401.04
Conceded1.040.721.36
BTTS36%28%44%
Clean Sheet36%56%16%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1Arka GdyniaArka Gdynia3472
62%
2.1
6324+39
2.6
74%
50%
21%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
5
2121.90.7
-
2NiecieczaNieciecza3471
62%
2.1
7039+31
3.2
91%
74%
35%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
2212.11.1
-
3Wisla PlockWisla Plock3670
56%
1.9
6239+23
2.8
78%
64%
36%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
12
4361.71.1
-
4Wisla KrakowWisla Krakow3562
51%
1.8
6333+30
2.7
74%
57%
34%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
13
6251.80.9
-
5Miedz LegnicaMiedz Legnica3659
47%
1.6
5747+10
2.9
81%
56%
31%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
1211.61.3
-
6Polonia WarszawaPolonia Warszawa3556
46%
1.6
4739+8
2.5
66%
51%
20%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
5
3021.31.1
-
7Tychy 71Tychy 713453
38%
1.6
4736+11
2.4
68%
47%
35%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.41.1
-
8Znicz PruszkówZnicz Pruszków3452
41%
1.5
5243+9
2.8
74%
59%
35%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.51.3
-
9Górnik ŁęcznaGórnik Łęczna3450
38%
1.5
5042+8
2.7
82%
53%
32%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.51.2
-
10Ruch ChorzówRuch Chorzów3448
38%
1.4
5046+4
2.8
76%
47%
35%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
1111.51.4
-
11ŁKS ŁódźŁKS Łódź3447
38%
1.4
5041+9
2.7
71%
56%
32%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
2121.51.2
-
12Stal RzeszówStal Rzeszów3435
26%
1.0
4259-17
3.0
76%
62%
35%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1011.21.7
-
13Chrobry GłogówChrobry Głogów3433
24%
1.0
3759-22
2.8
79%
59%
32%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1111.11.7
-
14Pogoń SiedlcePogoń Siedlce3430
21%
0.9
3853-15
2.7
79%
50%
24%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1011.11.6
-
15Odra OpoleOdra Opole3430
21%
0.9
3161-30
2.7
71%
56%
26%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
2110.91.8
-
16Kotwica KołobrzegKotwica Kołobrzeg3429
18%
0.9
2955-26
2.5
68%
41%
26%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.91.6
-
17Warta PoznańWarta Poznań3424
18%
0.7
2256-34
2.3
62%
44%
21%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0100.61.6
-
18Stal Stalowa WolaStal Stalowa Wola3423
12%
0.7
2765-38
2.7
71%
47%
35%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.81.9
-
Poland: I Liga 2024/25 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Poland: I Liga stats & trends →

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