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Stal Rzeszów vs Odra Opole Result & Analysis

Date: 06/04/2026
Time: 10:00
Final 0-1
Stal Rzeszów
Stal Rzeszów
Vs
45%
28%
27%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Odra Opole
Odra Opole
Poland: I Liga
Referee: -
Match preview & prediction

Stal Rzeszów are tipped to win, with a 45% chance of triumph, a 28% chance of a draw and a 27% chance of an away win. The match is expected to see about 2.7 goals, with the most likely total being 2 goals at 26%. The single most likely scoreline is 1-1, a 13.3% probability. Stal Rzeszów, playing at home against a similarly-matched opponent, averages 1.4 goals scored and 1.4 conceded. Odra Opole, on the road, averages 0.91 goals scored and 1.36 conceded. The model’s selections include Over 1.5 with a 75.8% chance, Under 3.5 at 72.1%. The model’s pick is a home win, with the final score of 0-1 confirming an away victory. The home win probability is 45%, the draw 28% and the away win 27%.

Results analysis

The upset arrived as Odra Opole snatched a 0-1 away win, extending their recent winning streak and ending Stal Rzeszów’s two-game run. The pre-match favourite was the home side, with a 45% chance of triumph, but the model’s call proved wrong. The suggested picks also fell short: the Over 1.5 goal selection, at 75.8%, missed, while the Under 3.5 goal pick, at 72.1%, hit. The match finished with a single away goal, confirming the unexpected outcome and highlighting the model’s misjudgment of the fixture.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Stal Rzeszów win✗ Miss
45.2%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
27.8%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Odra Opole win✓ Hit
27.0%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

Stal RzeszówStal Rzeszów

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-421W10W11D11D31W14L01L12L11D32WH·TYC22/11H·POG01/12A·SLA08/12A·CHR09/02H·POL15/02A·PUS22/02H·RUC27/02A·MIE07/03H·GÓR14/03A·ZNI20/03
Avg total
2.8
Avg scored
1.4
Avg conceded
1.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.371.631.311.501.431.79
vs Stronger (3)1.002.000.003.001.501.50
vs Similar (27)1.411.591.401.401.421.83
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %13% (-12pp vs league)
This opponent (Odra Opole) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Odra OpoleOdra Opole

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-301L02L12L10W11D03L02L32W11D11DA·POL23/11H·CHR29/11A·MIE06/12H·POG06/02A·TYC16/02A·SLA22/02H·STA01/03A·ZNI08/03A·ŁKS15/03H·WIS21/03
Avg total
2.3
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
1.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.931.270.931.130.931.40
vs Stronger (5)1.201.401.330.671.002.50
vs Similar (23)0.871.300.831.250.911.36
vs Weaker (2)1.000.50--1.000.50
Clean sheet %20% (-5pp vs league)
This opponent (Stal Rzeszów) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%13%19%26%8%016%126%222%315%48%55%6+
The model estimates around 2.7 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (26%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
75.8%
Under 1.5
24.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
49.9%
Under 2.5
50.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
27.9%
Under 3.5
72.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
54.4%
No
45.6%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
13.3%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.2%
0-0
8.1%
2-0
8.1%
1-2
6.9%
0-1 ✓
6.7%
2-2
5.3%
Stal Rzeszów goals ↓
Odra Opole goals →
01234
08.1%6.7%4.5%1.7%0.5%
19.4%13%6.9%2.6%0.7%
28.1%9.2%5.3%2.0%0.6%
34.2%4.7%2.7%1.0%0.3%
41.6%1.8%1.0%0.4%0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Stal Rzeszów goals (down), columns = Odra Opole goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Wisla Krakow
2.15
Slask Wroclaw
1.79
Wieczysta Kraków
1.75
ŁKS Łódź
1.57
Ruch Chorzów
1.56
Chrobry Głogów
1.56
Miedz Legnica
1.53
Polonia Warszawa
1.51
Puszcza Niepołomice
1.44
Polonia Bytom
1.38
Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki
1.32
Odra Opole
1.29
Stal Rzeszów
1.26
Pogoń Siedlce
1.06
Stal Mielec
1.06
Znicz Pruszków
0.82
Górnik Łęczna
0.79
Tychy 71
0.68
Stal Rzeszów is 0.03 points worse than Odra Opole in terms of average points per game (1.26 vs 1.29).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Wisla Krakow
2.18
Wieczysta Kraków
2.08
Slask Wroclaw
2.00
Polonia Bytom
1.65
ŁKS Łódź
1.63
Ruch Chorzów
1.59
Polonia Warszawa
1.54
Miedz Legnica
1.53
Stal Mielec
1.50
Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki
1.50
Stal Rzeszów
1.44
Chrobry Głogów
1.39
Puszcza Niepołomice
1.32
Tychy 71
1.18
Znicz Pruszków
1.18
Górnik Łęczna
1.15
Odra Opole
1.00
Pogoń Siedlce
0.97
Stal Rzeszów is 0.44 goals better than Odra Opole in terms of goals scored per game (1.44 vs 1.00).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Wisla Krakow
0.88
Chrobry Głogów
1.08
Odra Opole
1.18
Puszcza Niepołomice
1.18
Pogoń Siedlce
1.26
Ruch Chorzów
1.35
Wieczysta Kraków
1.39
ŁKS Łódź
1.40
Slask Wroclaw
1.42
Polonia Bytom
1.47
Polonia Warszawa
1.49
Miedz Legnica
1.56
Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki
1.59
Stal Rzeszów
1.76
Górnik Łęczna
1.82
Stal Mielec
1.82
Znicz Pruszków
2.00
Tychy 71
2.18
Stal Rzeszów is 0.59 goals worse than Odra Opole in terms of goals conceded per game (1.76 vs 1.18).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

Stal RzeszówStal Rzeszów

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-311D10W11D11D20W00D00D00D00D31WH·TYC22/11H·POG01/12A·SLA08/12A·CHR09/02H·POL15/02A·PUS22/02H·RUC27/02A·MIE07/03H·GÓR14/03A·ZNI20/03
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.630.770.500.750.790.79
vs Stronger (3)0.001.000.002.000.000.50
vs Similar (27)0.700.740.530.670.920.83
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %50% (+25pp vs league)
This opponent (Odra Opole) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Odra OpoleOdra Opole

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D00D01L10W00D00D00D02L10W11DA·POL23/11H·CHR29/11A·MIE06/12H·POG06/02A·TYC16/02A·SLA22/02H·STA01/03A·ZNI08/03A·ŁKS15/03H·WIS21/03
Avg total
0.7
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.400.470.470.470.330.47
vs Stronger (5)0.400.400.330.330.500.50
vs Similar (23)0.350.480.500.500.180.45
vs Weaker (2)1.000.50--1.000.50
Clean sheet %57% (+31pp vs league)
This opponent (Stal Rzeszów) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Stal Rzeszów over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Stal Rzeszów over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Stal Rzeszów over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Odra Opole over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Odra Opole over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Odra Opole over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

Stal RzeszówStal Rzeszów

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-410W00D00D00D11D14L01L12L11D01LH·TYC22/11H·POG01/12A·SLA08/12A·CHR09/02H·POL15/02A·PUS22/02H·RUC27/02A·MIE07/03H·GÓR14/03A·ZNI20/03
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
1.0
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.730.870.810.750.641.00
vs Stronger (3)1.001.000.001.001.501.00
vs Similar (27)0.700.850.870.730.501.00
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %40% (+15pp vs league)
This opponent (Odra Opole) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Odra OpoleOdra Opole

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-301L02L11D00D11D03L02L30W01L00DA·POL23/11H·CHR29/11A·MIE06/12H·POG06/02A·TYC16/02A·SLA22/02H·STA01/03A·ZNI08/03A·ŁKS15/03H·WIS21/03
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
1.1
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.530.800.470.670.600.93
vs Stronger (5)0.801.001.000.330.502.00
vs Similar (23)0.520.830.330.750.730.91
vs Weaker (2)0.000.00--0.000.00
Clean sheet %43% (+18pp vs league)
This opponent (Stal Rzeszów) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Stal Rzeszów over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Stal Rzeszów over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Stal Rzeszów over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Odra Opole over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Odra Opole over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Odra Opole over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 1.575.8%-------✗ Miss
Under 3.572.1%-------✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
WK (24)
€13m
WK (22)
€12m
SW (22)
€7m
PW (25)
€5m
ML (24)
€4m
ŁŁ (22)
€4m
OO (24)
€4m
RC (20)
€4m
SR (18)
€3m
PB (21)
€3m
CG (20)
€3m
PN (16)
€3m
PGM (15)
€2m
SM (16)
€2m
PS (18)
€2m
Stal Rzeszów's squad is €1m less valuable than Odra Opole's (€3m vs €4m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
WK (8)
€6m
WK (8)
€5m
PW (13)
€3m
OO (8)
€2m
SW (5)
€2m
ŁŁ (7)
€2m
ML (7)
€1m
SM (8)
€1m
RC (7)
€1m
SR (9)
€1m
PB (8)
€1m
PN (6)
€1m
CG (7)
€1m
PS (8)
€1m
PGM (4)
€0m
Stal Rzeszów and Odra Opole have a similar attack value (both €1m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SW (9)
€3m
WK (4)
€2m
ML (10)
€2m
OO (8)
€1m
PGM (6)
€1m
WK (3)
€1m
PB (8)
€1m
ŁŁ (7)
€1m
RC (5)
€1m
CG (6)
€1m
PN (4)
€0m
PW (2)
€0m
SR (2)
€0m
PS (3)
€0m
SM (2)
€0m
Stal Rzeszów's midfield is €1m less valuable than Odra Opole's (€0m vs €1m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
WK (12)
€5m
WK (11)
€5m
SW (8)
€2m
PW (10)
€2m
ŁŁ (8)
€2m
CG (7)
€1m
SR (7)
€1m
RC (8)
€1m
ML (7)
€1m
PN (6)
€1m
OO (8)
€1m
PB (5)
€1m
PGM (5)
€1m
PS (7)
€1m
SM (6)
€1m
Stal Rzeszów and Odra Opole have a similar defence value (both €1m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

7 previous meetings
1
SR wins
2
Draws
4
OO wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Stal Rzeszów vs Odra Opole · H/A from SR
DateH/AGameScore
19/09/25AOdra Opole Vs SR2-1
23/04/25AOdra Opole Vs SR3-0
24/08/24HSR Vs Odra Opole2-2
10/12/23AOdra Opole Vs SR1-1
24/07/23HSR Vs Odra Opole2-5
13/05/23AOdra Opole Vs SR2-0
16/10/22HSR Vs Odra Opole4-2

Stal RzeszówStal Rzeszów

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
20/03/26AZnicz Pruszków Vs SR2-3
14/03/26HSR Vs Górnik Łęczna1-1
07/03/26AMiedz Legnica Vs SR2-1
27/02/26HSR Vs Ruch Chorzów0-1
22/02/26APuszcza Niepołomice Vs SR4-1
15/02/26HSR Vs Polonia Bytom3-1
09/02/26AChrobry Głogów Vs SR1-1
08/12/25ASlask Wroclaw Vs SR1-1
01/12/25HSR Vs Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki1-0
22/11/25HSR Vs Tychy 712-1

Odra OpoleOdra Opole

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
21/03/26HOO Vs Wisla Krakow1-1
15/03/26AŁKS Łódź Vs OO1-1
08/03/26AZnicz Pruszków Vs OO2-3
01/03/26HOO Vs Stal Mielec0-2
22/02/26ASlask Wroclaw Vs OO3-0
16/02/26ATychy 71 Vs OO1-1
06/02/26HOO Vs Pogoń Siedlce1-0
06/12/25AMiedz Legnica Vs OO2-1
29/11/25HOO Vs Chrobry Głogów0-2
23/11/25APolonia Warszawa Vs OO1-0

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Stal Rzeszów
Stal Rzeszów
Poland: I Liga
Recent: 4 Wins / 3 Draws / 3 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLLLDW1.06
HomeWWWLD1.20
AwayDDLLW0.92
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %28%32%24%
AVG goals2.982.843.12
Over 1.5 %78%72%84%
Over 2.5 %64%60%68%
Over 3.5 %34%32%36%
Scored1.181.201.16
Conceded1.801.641.96
BTTS60%60%60%
Clean Sheet14%16%12%
Corners---
Cards---
Odra Opole
Odra Opole
Poland: I Liga
Recent: 2 Wins / 3 Draws / 5 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLLWDD1.08
HomeWLWLD1.16
AwayLDLWD1.00
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %26%28%24%
AVG goals2.302.282.32
Over 1.5 %72%76%68%
Over 2.5 %40%32%48%
Over 3.5 %14%16%12%
Scored0.941.000.88
Conceded1.361.281.44
BTTS48%44%52%
Clean Sheet24%24%24%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1Wisla KrakowWisla Krakow3371
61%
2.2
7229+43
3.1
88%
55%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
13
6252.20.9
-
2Wieczysta KrakówWieczysta Kraków3663
50%
1.8
7550+25
3.5
89%
61%
44%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
12
5152.11.4
-
3Slask WroclawSlask Wroclaw3359
48%
1.8
6647+19
3.4
94%
76%
52%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
7
2322.01.4
-
4Chrobry GłogówChrobry Głogów3656
44%
1.6
5039+11
2.5
81%
50%
14%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1111.41.1
-
5ŁKS ŁódźŁKS Łódź3555
43%
1.6
5749+8
3.0
86%
66%
40%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
2121.61.4
-
6Ruch ChorzówRuch Chorzów3453
41%
1.6
5446+8
2.9
88%
62%
35%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
1111.61.4
-
7Polonia WarszawaPolonia Warszawa3553
43%
1.5
5452+2
3.0
83%
60%
31%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
5
3021.51.5
-
8Miedz LegnicaMiedz Legnica3452
44%
1.5
5253-1
3.1
88%
65%
35%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
1211.51.6
-
9Puszcza NiepołomicePuszcza Niepołomice3449
35%
1.4
4540+5
2.5
82%
53%
18%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1011.31.2
-
10Polonia BytomPolonia Bytom3447
38%
1.4
5650+6
3.1
85%
56%
38%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1111.61.5
-
11Pogoń Grod. MazowieckiPogoń Grod. Mazowiecki3445
32%
1.3
5154-3
3.1
88%
71%
35%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
0111.51.6
-
12Odra OpoleOdra Opole3444
32%
1.3
3440-6
2.2
76%
35%
12%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
2111.01.2
-
13Stal RzeszówStal Rzeszów3443
35%
1.3
4960-11
3.2
85%
71%
38%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1011.41.8
-
14Pogoń SiedlcePogoń Siedlce3436
26%
1.1
3343-10
2.2
74%
38%
18%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1011.01.3
-
15Stal MielecStal Mielec3436
29%
1.1
5162-11
3.3
91%
71%
38%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1011.51.8
-
16Znicz PruszkówZnicz Pruszków3428
21%
0.8
4068-28
3.2
76%
59%
41%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.22.0
-
17Górnik ŁęcznaGórnik Łęczna3427
15%
0.8
3962-23
3.0
91%
62%
35%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.11.8
-
18Tychy 71Tychy 713423
15%
0.7
4074-34
3.4
79%
68%
44%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.22.2
-
Poland: I Liga 2025/26 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Poland: I Liga stats & trends →

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