Stal Rzeszów’s recent win over Unia Skierniewice gives them a brief lift, yet the model still favours a Podbeskidzie victory, with a 41% chance of away win, 31% draw, and 29% home win. The expected total goals sit at 2.3, and the most likely scoreline is 1-1, carrying a 14.4% probability. Podbeskidzie, playing away against a stronger opponent, averages 0.87 goals scored and 2.27 conceded, while Stal’s home form shows 1-0 last match and a 5-game record of WLDDL. The model’s selections highlight a very low-scoring affair: Under 7.5 (99.7%), Under 6.5 (99.0% with a 7% edge), Home under 3.5 goals (97.9% with an 8% edge), Under 5.5 (96.9% with an 8% edge), Away under 3.5 goals (95.9% with a 6% edge), Under 4.5 (91.5% with a 13% edge), Home under 2.5 goals (91.3% with an 11% edge), and Away +2 handicap (88.7% with a 10% edge). These picks underline the model’s view that the match will be tight and low-scoring, with Podbeskidzie’s away form giving them the edge over Stal Rzeszów.
Results analysis
Stal Rzeszów’s 3-0 victory over Podbeskidzie shocked the pre-match favourite, the model’s pick for an away win with a 41% probability, which proved wrong. The final score of 3-0 gave Stal a home win, extending their two-game winning run. The model’s selection for an away win was therefore missed. The model’s other suggestions all hit: Under 7.5 goals at 99.7%, Under 6.5 at 99.1%, Home under 3.5 goals at 97.9%, Under 5.5 at 97.0%, Away under 3.5 goals at 95.9%, Under 4.5 at 91.6%. The Home under 2.5 goals pick at 91.4% missed, as did the Away +2 handicap at 88.8%. The match delivered a low-scoring, home-dominant outcome that contradicted the model’s favourite.
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🎯 1. Model Analysis
Stal Rzeszów win✓ Hit
28.6%
Avg Implied 37.7% · @ 2.40
Edge
-9.1%
Best 5 market prices
Superbet
2.87
Unibet
2.55
Betfair
2.50
Dafabet
2.40
William Hil
2.40
Draw✗ Miss
30.7%
Avg Implied 26.5% · @ 3.42
Edge
+4.2%
Best 5 market prices
Betfair
3.60
BetVictor
3.60
Dafabet
3.55
Bet365
3.50
10Bet
3.45
Podbeskidzie win✗ Miss
40.7%
Avg Implied 35.8% · @ 2.52
Edge
+4.9%
Best 5 market prices
Dafabet
2.70
Pinnacle
2.64
BetVictor
2.63
William Hil
2.62
Betano
2.60
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
Stal Rzeszów
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.4
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
2.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.27
1.90
1.07
1.93
1.44
1.88
vs Stronger (4)
1.25
2.50
1.00
3.50
1.50
1.50
vs Similar (25)
1.28
1.88
1.08
1.67
1.46
2.08
vs Weaker (1)
1.00
0.00
-
-
1.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
7% (-19pp vs league)
This opponent (Podbeskidzie) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Podbeskidzie
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.6
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
1.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.00
1.73
1.13
1.20
0.87
2.27
vs Stronger (29)
0.97
1.79
1.07
1.29
0.87
2.27
vs Similar (1)
2.00
0.00
2.00
0.00
-
-
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
20% (-6pp vs league)
This opponent (Stal Rzeszów) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.3 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (28%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
68.3%
@ 1.16-11.3%
Under 1.5
31.7%
@ 4.51+11.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
1.18
Betfair
1.17
Bet365
1.17
BetVictor
1.15
1xBet
1.13
Under
Betfair
5.00
BetVictor
4.75
1xBet
4.50
Marathonbet
4.50
Bet365
4.50
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
40.5%
@ 1.56-18.5%
Under 2.5
59.5%
@ 2.24+18.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
1.68
Bet365
1.57
Betfair
1.57
Pinnacle
1.56
1xBet
1.55
Under
Bet365
2.35
Pinnacle
2.31
Marathonbet
2.27
1xBet
2.27
BetVictor
2.25
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
20.1%
@ 2.40-18.3%
Under 3.5
79.9%
@ 1.49+18.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
2.60
Betfair
2.55
Bet365
2.38
Pinnacle
2.37
Marathonbet
2.33
Under
Pinnacle
1.53
Bet365
1.53
BetVictor
1.53
Betfair
1.50
Unibet
1.50
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
47.6%
@ 1.48-14.6%
No
52.4%
@ 2.44+14.6%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
Superbet
1.57
Bet365
1.53
Betfair
1.50
Unibet
1.47
Marathonbet
1.45
No
BetVictor
2.55
Betfair
2.50
1xBet
2.50
Unibet
2.45
William Hil
2.45
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
14.4%@ 6.51+7.8%
0-1
11.4%@ 10.44+7.3%
0-0
11.3%@ 13.56+8.2%
1-0
9.0%@ 10.23+4.8%
1-2
8.3%@ 8.67+3.4%
0-2
8.1%@ 13.42+4.9%
2-1
6.7%@ 8.59+1.8%
2-0
5.3%@ 13.00+2.0%
Stal Rzeszów goals ↓
Podbeskidzie goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
11%
11%
8.1%
3.4%
1.1%
1
9.0%
14%
8.3%
3.5%
1.1%
2
5.3%
6.7%
4.3%
1.8%
0.6%
3
1.8%
2.3%
1.5%
0.6%
0.2%
4
0.5%
0.6%
0.4%
0.2%
0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Stal Rzeszów goals (down), columns = Podbeskidzie goals (across).
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💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Avia Świdnik
2.50
Korona Kielce
2.33
Polonia Bytom
2.25
Chojniczanka Chojnice
2.20
Stal Stalowa Wola
2.00
Jastrzębie
2.00
Hutnik Kraków
2.00
Piast Gliwice
2.00
Wisla Krakow
2.00
Puszcza Niepołomice
2.00
Slask Wroclaw
2.00
Cracovia Krakow
1.50
Podbeskidzie
1.50
Odra Opole
1.50
Widzew Łódź
1.50
Warta Poznań
1.50
Miedz Legnica
1.50
Olimpia Grudziądz
1.33
Świt Skolwin
1.33
Lechia Gdansk
1.33
ŁKS Łódź II
1.00
Zaglebie Lubin
1.00
Motor Lublin
1.00
Wieczysta Kraków
1.00
Nieciecza
1.00
Polonia Warszawa
1.00
Wisla Plock
1.00
Chrobry Głogów
1.00
Radomiak Radom
1.00
Legia Warszawa
1.00
Widzew II
0.94
Chemik Bydgoszcz
0.94
Śląsk Wrocław II
0.94
Sokół Ostróda
0.94
Górnik Polkowice
0.94
Górnik Zabrze II
0.94
Luzino
0.94
Wisła Płock II
0.94
Sokół Kleczew
0.94
Kluczevia Stargard
0.94
Lechia Zielona Góra
0.94
Wigry Suwałki
0.94
Kluczbork
0.94
Sandecja Nowy Sącz
0.94
Podhale Nowy Targ
0.94
Unia Skierniewice
0.54
Znicz Pruszków
0.50
Arka Gdynia
0.50
ŁKS Łódź
0.50
Pogon Szczecin
0.50
Zaglebie Sosnowiec
0.00
Resovia Rzeszów
0.00
Kalisz
0.00
Beskid
0.00
Siarka Tarnobrzeg
0.00
Korona Kielce II
0.00
Rekord Bielsko-Biała
0.00
Polonia Środa
0.00
Tychy 71
0.00
Górnik Łęczna
0.00
Stal Rzeszów
0.00
Ruch Chorzów
0.00
Stal Mielec
0.00
Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki
0.00
Pogoń Siedlce
0.00
Stal Rzeszów is 1.50 points worse than Podbeskidzie in terms of average points per game (0.00 vs 1.50).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Polonia Bytom
4.25
Chrobry Głogów
3.00
Avia Świdnik
2.75
Cracovia Krakow
2.50
Stal Stalowa Wola
2.00
Chojniczanka Chojnice
2.00
Nieciecza
2.00
ŁKS Łódź
2.00
Wisla Plock
2.00
Miedz Legnica
2.00
Świt Skolwin
1.67
Korona Kielce
1.67
Jastrzębie
1.50
Podbeskidzie
1.50
Puszcza Niepołomice
1.50
Hutnik Kraków
1.33
Slask Wroclaw
1.33
Widzew II
1.03
Chemik Bydgoszcz
1.03
Śląsk Wrocław II
1.03
Sokół Ostróda
1.03
Górnik Polkowice
1.03
Górnik Zabrze II
1.03
Luzino
1.03
Wisła Płock II
1.03
Sokół Kleczew
1.03
Kluczevia Stargard
1.03
Lechia Zielona Góra
1.03
Wigry Suwałki
1.03
Kluczbork
1.03
Sandecja Nowy Sącz
1.03
Podhale Nowy Targ
1.03
Resovia Rzeszów
1.00
Rekord Bielsko-Biała
1.00
Olimpia Grudziądz
1.00
Polonia Środa
1.00
ŁKS Łódź II
1.00
Piast Gliwice
1.00
Wisla Krakow
1.00
Górnik Łęczna
1.00
Ruch Chorzów
1.00
Odra Opole
1.00
Lechia Gdansk
1.00
Stal Mielec
1.00
Widzew Łódź
1.00
Legia Warszawa
1.00
Unia Skierniewice
0.59
Znicz Pruszków
0.50
Arka Gdynia
0.50
Pogon Szczecin
0.50
Warta Poznań
0.50
Zaglebie Sosnowiec
0.00
Kalisz
0.00
Beskid
0.00
Siarka Tarnobrzeg
0.00
Korona Kielce II
0.00
Zaglebie Lubin
0.00
Tychy 71
0.00
Motor Lublin
0.00
Wieczysta Kraków
0.00
Stal Rzeszów
0.00
Polonia Warszawa
0.00
Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki
0.00
Pogoń Siedlce
0.00
Radomiak Radom
0.00
Stal Rzeszów is 1.50 goals worse than Podbeskidzie in terms of goals scored per game (0.00 vs 1.50).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Zaglebie Lubin
0.00
Motor Lublin
0.00
Wieczysta Kraków
0.00
Polonia Warszawa
0.00
Radomiak Radom
0.00
Hutnik Kraków
0.33
Korona Kielce
0.33
Jastrzębie
0.50
Warta Poznań
0.50
Olimpia Grudziądz
0.67
Piast Gliwice
0.67
Widzew Łódź
0.75
Chojniczanka Chojnice
0.80
Stal Stalowa Wola
1.00
Siarka Tarnobrzeg
1.00
Korona Kielce II
1.00
Avia Świdnik
1.00
ŁKS Łódź II
1.00
Stal Rzeszów
1.00
Odra Opole
1.00
Arka Gdynia
1.00
Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki
1.00
Pogon Szczecin
1.00
Puszcza Niepołomice
1.00
Slask Wroclaw
1.00
Legia Warszawa
1.00
Polonia Bytom
1.25
Wisla Krakow
1.33
Lechia Gdansk
1.33
Podbeskidzie
1.50
Miedz Legnica
1.50
Widzew II
1.58
Chemik Bydgoszcz
1.58
Śląsk Wrocław II
1.58
Sokół Ostróda
1.58
Górnik Polkowice
1.58
Górnik Zabrze II
1.58
Luzino
1.58
Wisła Płock II
1.58
Sokół Kleczew
1.58
Kluczevia Stargard
1.58
Lechia Zielona Góra
1.58
Wigry Suwałki
1.58
Kluczbork
1.58
Sandecja Nowy Sącz
1.58
Podhale Nowy Targ
1.58
Świt Skolwin
1.67
Resovia Rzeszów
2.00
Kalisz
2.00
Rekord Bielsko-Biała
2.00
Tychy 71
2.00
Znicz Pruszków
2.00
Cracovia Krakow
2.00
Nieciecza
2.00
Stal Mielec
2.00
Wisla Plock
2.00
Pogoń Siedlce
2.00
ŁKS Łódź
2.50
Unia Skierniewice
2.77
Zaglebie Sosnowiec
3.00
Beskid
3.00
Polonia Środa
3.00
Ruch Chorzów
3.00
Chrobry Głogów
3.00
Górnik Łęczna
5.00
Stal Rzeszów is 0.50 goals better than Podbeskidzie in terms of goals conceded per game (1.00 vs 1.50).
⏱️ Possession
Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Stal Rzeszów or Draw✓ Hit
59.3%
Avg Implied 63.9% · @ 1.42
Edge
-4.6%
29%
31%
41%
covers Stal Rzeszów + Draw
Best 5 market prices
Superbet
1.54
Betfair
1.50
Unibet
1.45
Bet365
1.44
William Hil
1.44
Stal Rzeszów or Podbeskidzie✓ Hit
69.3%
Avg Implied 73.7% · @ 1.23
Edge
-4.4%
29%
31%
41%
covers Stal Rzeszów + Podbeskidzie
Best 5 market prices
William Hil
1.30
Betano
1.27
Superbet
1.27
BetVictor
1.25
1xBet
1.23
Draw or Podbeskidzie✗ Miss
71.4%
Avg Implied 62.4% · @ 1.45
Edge
+9.0%
29%
31%
41%
covers Draw + Podbeskidzie
Best 5 market prices
10Bet
1.55
BetVictor
1.53
Betano
1.50
Bet365
1.50
1xBet
1.47
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🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Stal Rzeszów over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
64.2%
@ 1.21-11.9%
Under
35.8%
@ 3.86+11.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
1.25
Bet365
1.20
1xBet
1.17
Under
Bet365
4.33
1xBet
4.00
Superbet
3.25
Stal Rzeszów over/under 1.5Actual: Over
Over
27.5%
@ 2.00-18.7%
Under
72.5%
@ 1.72+18.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
2.30
Pinnacle
2.02
Unibet
1.97
Marathonbet
1.93
Bet365
1.91
Under
1xBet
1.80
Bet365
1.80
Pinnacle
1.76
Marathonbet
1.76
Unibet
1.65
Stal Rzeszów over/under 2.5Actual: Over
Over
8.6%
@ 4.23-13.2%
Under
91.4%
@ 1.18+13.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
4.75
Bet365
4.00
1xBet
3.95
Under
Bet365
1.22
1xBet
1.20
Superbet
1.11
Stal Rzeszów over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
2.1%
@ 8.75-8.7%
Under
97.9%
@ 1.05+8.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
9.50
Bet365
8.00
Under
Bet365
1.06
1xBet
1.05
Podbeskidzie over/under 0.5Actual: Under
Over
72.0%
@ 1.20-4.6%
Under
28.0%
@ 3.93+4.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
1.22
1xBet
1.20
Superbet
1.18
Under
Bet365
4.00
1xBet
3.94
Superbet
3.85
Podbeskidzie over/under 1.5Actual: Under
Over
36.4%
@ 2.00-9.6%
Under
63.6%
@ 1.71+9.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
2.10
Marathonbet
2.04
1xBet
2.04
Pinnacle
2.01
Superbet
2.00
Under
Pinnacle
1.76
Unibet
1.75
Superbet
1.72
Marathonbet
1.68
Bet365
1.67
Podbeskidzie over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
13.7%
@ 4.14-8.5%
Under
86.3%
@ 1.18+8.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
4.33
1xBet
4.20
Superbet
3.90
Under
Bet365
1.20
1xBet
1.17
Superbet
1.17
Podbeskidzie over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
4.1%
@ 9.75-5.6%
Under
95.9%
@ 1.04+5.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
11.00
Bet365
8.50
Under
Bet365
1.05
1xBet
1.04
⚖️ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to Stal Rzeszów, so a minus line means Stal Rzeszów give that many goals of a start and Podbeskidzie receive them. At -1, Stal Rzeszów must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Stal Rzeszów win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Stal Rzeszów)Actual: Stal Rzeszów
Stal Rzeszów -2
3.2%
@ 13.00-3.9%
Draw -2
8.0%
@ 8.00-3.6%
Podbeskidzie +2
88.8%
@ 1.14+7.5%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
13.00
Draw
Bet365
8.00
Away
Bet365
1.14
Handicap -1 (Stal Rzeszów)Actual: Stal Rzeszów
Stal Rzeszów -1
11.2%
@ 4.58-7.7%
Draw -1
17.4%
@ 4.16-3.5%
Podbeskidzie +1
71.4%
@ 1.45+11.2%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
5.50
Marathonbet
4.40
10Bet
4.33
Unibet
4.10
Draw
Bet365
4.75
Marathonbet
4.25
10Bet
4.00
Unibet
3.65
Away
10Bet
1.55
Marathonbet
1.47
Bet365
1.40
Unibet
1.36
Handicap +1 (Stal Rzeszów)Actual: Stal Rzeszów
Stal Rzeszów +1
59.3%
@ 1.46-0.1%
Draw +1
21.8%
@ 4.15+0.9%
Podbeskidzie -1
18.9%
@ 4.39-0.9%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Betfair
1.50
Bet365
1.50
Unibet
1.45
Marathonbet
1.39
Draw
Marathonbet
4.45
Bet365
4.33
Betfair
4.33
Unibet
3.50
Away
Marathonbet
4.95
Bet365
4.50
Betfair
4.50
Unibet
3.60
Handicap +2 (Stal Rzeszów)Actual: Stal Rzeszów
Stal Rzeszów +2
81.1%
@ 1.22+6.4%
Draw +2
12.3%
@ 6.00-2.9%
Podbeskidzie -2
6.6%
@ 9.00-3.5%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
1.22
Draw
Bet365
6.00
Away
Bet365
9.00
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Stal Rzeszów
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.57
0.60
0.50
0.64
0.62
0.56
vs Stronger (4)
0.50
1.00
1.00
1.50
0.00
0.50
vs Similar (25)
0.60
0.56
0.42
0.50
0.77
0.62
vs Weaker (1)
0.00
0.00
-
-
0.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
57% (+31pp vs league)
This opponent (Podbeskidzie) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Podbeskidzie
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.2
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.27
1.03
0.33
0.53
0.20
1.53
vs Stronger (29)
0.24
1.07
0.29
0.57
0.20
1.53
vs Similar (1)
1.00
0.00
1.00
0.00
-
-
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
37% (+11pp vs league)
This opponent (Stal Rzeszów) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
1.31
BetVictor
1.29
Bet365
1.28
1xBet
1.27
Marathonbet
1.27
Under
William Hil
3.70
Betfair
3.50
Bet365
3.50
BetVictor
3.40
Marathonbet
3.20
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
2.47
1xBet
2.27
Marathonbet
2.27
Bet365
2.25
Betfair
2.25
Under
Pinnacle
1.61
William Hil
1.60
Betfair
1.57
Bet365
1.57
BetVictor
1.56
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
BetVictor
5.50
Betfair
5.50
Superbet
5.35
Bet365
5.00
1xBet
4.90
Under
William Hil
1.15
1xBet
1.14
Bet365
1.14
Betfair
1.13
BetVictor
1.11
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Stal Rzeszów over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
2.05
1xBet
1.83
Pinnacle
1.80
Under
Pinnacle
1.95
1xBet
1.87
Superbet
1.67
Stal Rzeszów over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
5.20
Under
1xBet
1.13
Stal Rzeszów over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Podbeskidzie over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
1.92
Pinnacle
1.88
1xBet
1.83
Under
1xBet
1.87
Pinnacle
1.85
Superbet
1.80
Podbeskidzie over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
5.20
Under
1xBet
1.12
Podbeskidzie over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Stal Rzeszów
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.4
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
1.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.70
1.30
0.57
1.29
0.81
1.31
vs Stronger (4)
0.75
1.50
0.00
2.00
1.50
1.00
vs Similar (25)
0.68
1.32
0.67
1.17
0.69
1.46
vs Weaker (1)
1.00
0.00
-
-
1.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
20% (-6pp vs league)
This opponent (Podbeskidzie) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Podbeskidzie
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.73
0.70
0.80
0.67
0.67
0.73
vs Stronger (29)
0.72
0.72
0.79
0.71
0.67
0.73
vs Similar (1)
1.00
0.00
1.00
0.00
-
-
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
47% (+21pp vs league)
This opponent (Stal Rzeszów) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
William Hil
1.17
Bet365
1.17
Superbet
1.16
1xBet
1.14
Under
Bet365
5.00
1xBet
4.90
William Hil
4.60
Superbet
4.00
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
1.90
Bet365
1.80
1xBet
1.76
Marathonbet
1.76
William Hil
1.75
Under
William Hil
1.95
Marathonbet
1.93
1xBet
1.93
Bet365
1.91
Superbet
1.80
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
3.60
Bet365
3.50
William Hil
3.40
1xBet
3.30
Under
1xBet
1.29
Bet365
1.28
William Hil
1.25
Superbet
1.20
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Stal Rzeszów over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
1.74
1xBet
1.58
Under
1xBet
2.23
Superbet
1.97
Stal Rzeszów over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
3.80
Under
1xBet
1.22
Stal Rzeszów over/under 2.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
11.00
Under
1xBet
1.01
Podbeskidzie over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
1.60
1xBet
1.59
Under
1xBet
2.20
Superbet
2.15
Podbeskidzie over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
3.80
Under
1xBet
1.22
Podbeskidzie over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
11.00
Under
1xBet
1.01
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🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Under 7.5
99.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 6.5
99.1%
1.02
Bet365
1.02
1xBet
1.02
-
-
-
+7.9%
✓ Hit
Home under 3.5 goals
97.9%
1.05
Bet365
1.06
1xBet
1.05
-
-
-
+8.7%
✓ Hit
Under 5.5
97.0%
1.06
Bet365
1.08
1xBet
1.07
Betfair
1.06
BetVictor
1.04
-
+8.7%
✓ Hit
Away under 3.5 goals
95.9%
1.04
Bet365
1.05
1xBet
1.04
-
-
-
+5.6%
✓ Hit
Under 4.5
91.6%
1.18
Bet365
1.22
Betfair
1.20
BetVictor
1.18
Unibet
1.18
Marathonbet
1.16
+13.5%
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 goals
91.4%
1.18
Bet365
1.22
1xBet
1.20
Superbet
1.11
-
-
+13.2%
✗ Miss
Away +2 handicap
88.8%
1.14
Bet365
1.14
-
-
-
-
+7.5%
✗ Miss
Away under 2.5 goals
86.3%
1.18
Bet365
1.20
1xBet
1.17
Superbet
1.17
-
-
+8.5%
✓ Hit
Home +2 handicap
81.1%
1.22
Bet365
1.22
-
-
-
-
+6.4%
✓ Hit
Under 3.5
79.9%
1.49
Pinnacle
1.53
Bet365
1.53
BetVictor
1.53
Betfair
1.50
Unibet
1.50
+18.3%
✓ Hit
Home under 1.5 goals
72.5%
1.72
1xBet
1.80
Bet365
1.80
Pinnacle
1.76
Marathonbet
1.76
Unibet
1.65
+18.7%
✗ Miss
Away over 0.5 goals
72.0%
1.20
Bet365
1.22
1xBet
1.20
Superbet
1.18
-
-
-4.6%
✗ Miss
Draw or Away
71.4%
1.45
10Bet
1.55
BetVictor
1.53
Betano
1.50
Bet365
1.50
1xBet
1.47
+9.0%
✗ Miss
Away +1 handicap
71.4%
1.45
10Bet
1.55
Marathonbet
1.47
Bet365
1.40
Unibet
1.36
-
+11.2%
✗ Miss
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
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💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
WŁ (29)
€43m
LG (20)
€22m
CK (26)
€21m
LW (25)
€20m
PS (27)
€20m
ZL (28)
€19m
ML (20)
€19m
KK (23)
€16m
WK (24)
€13m
WP (25)
€12m
WK (22)
€12m
RR (25)
€11m
PG (22)
€9m
SW (22)
€7m
AG (23)
€5m
PW (25)
€5m
ML (24)
€4m
ŁŁ (22)
€4m
OO (24)
€4m
RC (20)
€4m
NIE (16)
€4m
SR (18)
€3m
PB (21)
€3m
CG (20)
€3m
PN (16)
€3m
PGM (15)
€2m
SM (16)
€2m
PS (18)
€2m
WP (6)
€1m
POD (5)
€1m
US (3)
€0m
Stal Rzeszów's squad is €2m more valuable than Podbeskidzie's (€3m vs €1m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
WŁ (13)
€21m
LG (8)
€15m
CK (12)
€11m
ZL (11)
€10m
LW (12)
€10m
ML (10)
€10m
PS (13)
€8m
WK (8)
€6m
WK (8)
€5m
RR (9)
€4m
PG (11)
€4m
WP (7)
€4m
KK (7)
€3m
PW (13)
€3m
AG (9)
€2m
OO (8)
€2m
SW (5)
€2m
ŁŁ (7)
€2m
NIE (7)
€2m
ML (7)
€1m
SM (8)
€1m
RC (7)
€1m
SR (9)
€1m
PB (8)
€1m
PN (6)
€1m
CG (7)
€1m
PS (8)
€1m
PGM (4)
€0m
POD (1)
€0m
WP (0)
€0m
US (0)
€0m
Stal Rzeszów's attack is €1m more valuable than Podbeskidzie's (€1m vs €0m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
KK (8)
€7m
WŁ (5)
€7m
LG (3)
€5m
LW (7)
€4m
ZL (4)
€4m
SW (9)
€3m
PS (5)
€3m
WP (9)
€3m
ML (2)
€2m
CK (4)
€2m
WK (4)
€2m
ML (10)
€2m
NIE (5)
€2m
OO (8)
€1m
PGM (6)
€1m
WK (3)
€1m
AG (5)
€1m
PB (8)
€1m
ŁŁ (7)
€1m
RR (4)
€1m
RC (5)
€1m
WP (3)
€1m
CG (6)
€1m
PN (4)
€0m
PW (2)
€0m
SR (2)
€0m
PS (3)
€0m
US (2)
€0m
PG (1)
€0m
POD (2)
€0m
SM (2)
€0m
Stal Rzeszów and Podbeskidzie have a similar midfield value (both €0m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
WŁ (11)
€15m
PS (9)
€9m
CK (10)
€8m
ML (8)
€6m
WP (9)
€6m
LW (6)
€6m
RR (12)
€6m
KK (8)
€5m
WK (12)
€5m
ZL (13)
€5m
WK (11)
€5m
PG (10)
€4m
LG (9)
€3m
SW (8)
€2m
AG (9)
€2m
PW (10)
€2m
ŁŁ (8)
€2m
CG (7)
€1m
SR (7)
€1m
RC (8)
€1m
ML (7)
€1m
PN (6)
€1m
OO (8)
€1m
PB (5)
€1m
PGM (5)
€1m
PS (7)
€1m
NIE (4)
€1m
SM (6)
€1m
WP (3)
€0m
POD (2)
€0m
US (1)
€0m
Stal Rzeszów's defence is €1m more valuable than Podbeskidzie's (€1m vs €0m).
Poland: I Liga 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Poland: I Liga stats & trends →