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Stal Rzeszów vs Polonia Warszawa Prediction & Stats

Date: 05/09/2026
Time: 13:30
Stal Rzeszów
Stal Rzeszów
Vs
20%
23%
57%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Polonia Warszawa
Polonia Warszawa
Poland: I Liga
Referee: -
1 Model Analysis2 Goal Analysis3 Team Strengths Analysis4 Props Analysis5 Double Chance6 Home & Away Over/Under7 Handicap8 Half Time Goals O/U9 Half Time Home & Away O/U10 Second Half Goals O/U11 Second Half Home & Away O/U
12 Top picks for this game14 Squad value15 Games History16 Overall Statistics17 League Table
Match preview & prediction

Stal Rzeszów’s recent win fuels optimism, yet Polonia Warszawa’s away form shows a higher scoring edge, with 1.77 goals per game against similar opposition. The model projects a 57% chance of an away victory, 23% draw, 20% home win, making Polonia the clear favourite. The expected total of 3.2 goals points to a lively encounter, and the most likely scoreline is 1-1, a 10.6% probability. The match is expected to average three goals, with a 22% chance of that exact total. Home side Stal averages 1.08 goals scored and 1.67 conceded, while Polonia concedes 1.54 and scores 1.77 on the road. Suggested picks include Home under 2.5 HT goals at 98.8%, Under 7.5 at 98.4%, Home under 3.5 goals at 97.1%, Home under 2.5 2H goals at 97.1%, Away under 2.5 HT goals at 96.4%, Under 6.5 at 95.7%, Away under 2.5 2H goals at 93.4%, and Away +2 handicap at 92.1%. Each selection carries its own probability, with edges noted where applicable.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Stal Rzeszów win
19.7%
Avg Implied 28.6% · @ 3.17
Edge
-8.9%
Best 5 market prices
Pinnacle
3.31
1xBet
3.26
Betano
3.25
Dafabet
3.25
William Hil
3.20
Draw
23.1%
Avg Implied 25.7% · @ 3.53
Edge
-2.7%
Best 5 market prices
Betfair
3.80
Pinnacle
3.67
Betano
3.60
Dafabet
3.60
BetVictor
3.60
Polonia Warszawa win
57.2%
Avg Implied 45.6% · @ 1.99
Edge
+11.6%
Best 5 market prices
Dafabet
2.06
Pinnacle
2.03
Betano
2.02
William Hil
2.00
BetVictor
2.00

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

Stal RzeszówStal Rzeszów

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-521W15L33D15L04L11D11D01L10W30WA·POG10/05H·WIE16/05A·TYC24/05H·CHR25/07A·ARK01/08A·STA08/08A·POG14/08H·RUC24/08A·UNI28/08H·POD01/09
Avg total
3.4
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
2.1
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.271.831.071.791.441.88
vs Stronger (4)1.252.501.003.501.501.50
vs Similar (24)1.211.880.911.641.462.08
vs Weaker (2)2.000.003.000.001.000.00
Clean sheet %10% (-15pp vs league)
This opponent (Polonia Warszawa) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Polonia WarszawaPolonia Warszawa

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-401L21W23L10W31W11D01L31W24L10WH·WIS15/05A·ODR24/05A·WIE28/05A·PUS26/07H·UNI01/08H·RUC07/08A·POG15/08A·NIE22/08H·LEC29/08A·GÓR02/09
Avg total
2.8
Avg scored
1.5
Avg conceded
1.3
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.531.301.431.211.621.38
vs Stronger (2)1.001.000.001.002.001.00
vs Similar (24)1.581.461.361.361.771.54
vs Weaker (4)1.500.502.500.500.500.50
Clean sheet %23% (-2pp vs league)
This opponent (Stal Rzeszów) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%11%17%22%5%011%122%222%318%411%510%6+
The model estimates around 3.2 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 3 (22%).
Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
83.6%
@ 1.16+3.6%
Under 1.5
16.4%
@ 4.65-3.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.19
Pinnacle
1.18
Betfair
1.17
Bet365
1.17
BetVictor
1.15
Under
Betfair
5.00
Bet365
5.00
BetVictor
4.75
Pinnacle
4.69
Marathonbet
4.45
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
61.6%
@ 1.55+1.8%
Under 2.5
38.4%
@ 2.32-1.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.60
Pinnacle
1.60
Bet365
1.57
Marathonbet
1.56
1xBet
1.56
Under
Betfair
2.45
Unibet
2.38
Bet365
2.35
Pinnacle
2.32
Betano
2.27
Over/Under 3.5
Over 3.5
39.4%
@ 2.36+0.2%
Under 3.5
60.6%
@ 1.52-0.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.45
Betfair
2.45
Betano
2.40
Bet365
2.38
Marathonbet
2.35
Under
Unibet
1.56
Pinnacle
1.54
Betano
1.53
Betfair
1.53
Bet365
1.53
Both teams to score
Yes
60.2%
@ 1.50-1.8%
No
39.8%
@ 2.44+1.8%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
Betano
1.52
Bet365
1.50
William Hil
1.50
Betfair
1.50
Marathonbet
1.49
No
Bet365
2.50
Betfair
2.50
William Hil
2.45
BetVictor
2.45
1xBet
2.42

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
10.6%@ 6.76+4.0%
1-2
9.9%@ 7.83+4.2%
0-2
8.7%@ 10.88+4.6%
0-1
7.5%@ 9.50+2.8%
1-3
6.7%@ 13.03+3.3%
0-3
5.9%@ 17.69+3.4%
2-2
5.6%@ 10.51+1.4%
2-1
5.5%@ 10.45+1.2%
Stal Rzeszów goals ↓
Polonia Warszawa goals →
01234
05.1%7.5%8.7%5.9%3.0%
13.8%11%9.9%6.7%3.4%
22.7%5.5%5.6%3.8%2.0%
31.0%2.1%2.1%1.5%0.7%
40.3%0.6%0.6%0.4%0.2%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Stal Rzeszów goals (down), columns = Polonia Warszawa goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Miedz Legnica
2.17
Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki
2.00
ŁKS Łódź
1.83
Arka Gdynia
1.67
Chrobry Głogów
1.67
Polonia Warszawa
1.67
Warta Poznań
1.50
Pogoń Siedlce
1.33
Stal Mielec
1.33
Odra Opole
1.33
Nieciecza
1.17
Ruch Chorzów
1.17
Lechia Gdansk
1.17
Puszcza Niepołomice
1.00
Unia Skierniewice
1.00
Polonia Bytom
1.00
Podbeskidzie
0.83
Stal Rzeszów
0.83
Stal Rzeszów is 0.83 points worse than Polonia Warszawa in terms of average points per game (0.83 vs 1.67).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Polonia Bytom
2.00
Warta Poznań
1.83
Stal Mielec
1.83
Chrobry Głogów
1.67
Polonia Warszawa
1.67
Miedz Legnica
1.67
Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki
1.67
ŁKS Łódź
1.67
Arka Gdynia
1.50
Nieciecza
1.50
Podbeskidzie
1.33
Pogoń Siedlce
1.17
Lechia Gdansk
1.17
Odra Opole
1.00
Puszcza Niepołomice
0.83
Unia Skierniewice
0.83
Stal Rzeszów
0.67
Ruch Chorzów
0.50
Stal Rzeszów is 1.00 goals worse than Polonia Warszawa in terms of goals scored per game (0.67 vs 1.67).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Miedz Legnica
0.50
Arka Gdynia
0.83
Chrobry Głogów
0.83
Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki
0.83
ŁKS Łódź
0.83
Pogoń Siedlce
1.00
Odra Opole
1.00
Puszcza Niepołomice
1.17
Ruch Chorzów
1.17
Polonia Warszawa
1.33
Unia Skierniewice
1.50
Warta Poznań
1.67
Nieciecza
1.67
Podbeskidzie
1.67
Lechia Gdansk
1.83
Stal Rzeszów
2.00
Stal Mielec
2.17
Polonia Bytom
2.50
Stal Rzeszów is 0.67 goals worse than Polonia Warszawa in terms of goals conceded per game (2.00 vs 1.33).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Stal Rzeszów or Draw
42.8%
Avg Implied 53.5% · @ 1.72
Edge
-10.7%
20%
23%
57%
covers Stal Rzeszów + Draw
Best 5 market prices
Betano
1.78
William Hil
1.75
SBO
1.75
Betfair
1.73
Bet365
1.73
Stal Rzeszów or Polonia Warszawa
76.9%
Avg Implied 74.8% · @ 1.23
Edge
+2.2%
20%
23%
57%
covers Stal Rzeszów + Polonia Warszawa
Best 5 market prices
William Hil
1.29
Bet365
1.28
Betano
1.26
BetVictor
1.25
1xBet
1.22
Draw or Polonia Warszawa
80.3%
Avg Implied 71.7% · @ 1.28
Edge
+8.5%
20%
23%
57%
covers Draw + Polonia Warszawa
Best 5 market prices
Betano
1.34
Bet365
1.33
William Hil
1.30
Betfair
1.30
BetVictor
1.30

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

Home & Away Over/Under

How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Stal Rzeszów over/under 0.5
Over
68.0%
@ 1.27-5.0%
Under
32.0%
@ 3.45+5.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.30
1xBet
1.28
Bet365
1.28
Pinnacle
1.25
BetVictor
1.25
Under
Pinnacle
3.62
BetVictor
3.50
Bet365
3.50
1xBet
3.34
Betano
3.30
Stal Rzeszów over/under 1.5
Over
31.6%
@ 2.33-8.1%
Under
68.4%
@ 1.53+8.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
BetVictor
2.38
Bet365
2.38
Pinnacle
2.37
Betano
2.35
1xBet
2.33
Under
Pinnacle
1.56
Betano
1.55
Unibet
1.54
Bet365
1.53
BetVictor
1.53
Stal Rzeszów over/under 2.5
Over
10.8%
@ 5.41-6.3%
Under
89.2%
@ 1.12+6.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
5.70
Bet365
5.50
BetVictor
5.50
Marathonbet
5.35
Betano
5.00
Under
Betano
1.15
Bet365
1.14
BetVictor
1.11
1xBet
1.10
Marathonbet
1.09
Stal Rzeszów over/under 3.5
Over
2.9%
@ 12.38-4.8%
Under
97.1%
@ 1.03+4.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
15.00
Betano
9.75
Under
Bet365
1.03
Betano
1.03
Polonia Warszawa over/under 0.5
Over
87.0%
@ 1.14+5.5%
Under
13.0%
@ 5.05-5.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.17
Bet365
1.14
1xBet
1.13
BetVictor
1.13
Under
Bet365
5.50
1xBet
5.00
BetVictor
5.00
Betano
4.70
Polonia Warszawa over/under 1.5
Over
60.5%
@ 1.76+8.0%
Under
39.5%
@ 1.95-8.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.82
Bet365
1.80
Betano
1.78
BetVictor
1.78
1xBet
1.76
Under
Unibet
2.02
Betano
1.98
BetVictor
1.95
Marathonbet
1.95
Pinnacle
1.93
Polonia Warszawa over/under 2.5
Over
33.5%
@ 3.42+6.3%
Under
66.5%
@ 1.27-6.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
3.57
Bet365
3.50
BetVictor
3.50
Betano
3.35
Marathonbet
3.34
Under
1xBet
1.30
Betano
1.30
Bet365
1.28
Marathonbet
1.25
Pinnacle
1.25
Polonia Warszawa over/under 3.5
Over
15.0%
@ 7.10+1.8%
Under
85.0%
@ 1.08-1.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
8.00
1xBet
6.70
Betano
6.60
Under
Betano
1.09
Bet365
1.08
1xBet
1.07

⚖️ 7. Handicap

Handicap

The handicap is applied to Stal Rzeszów, so a minus line means Stal Rzeszów give that many goals of a start and Polonia Warszawa receive them. At -1, Stal Rzeszów must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Stal Rzeszów win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Stal Rzeszów)
Stal Rzeszów -2
2.4%
@ 15.00-3.8%
Draw -2
5.5%
@ 10.00-3.7%
Polonia Warszawa +2
92.1%
@ 1.09+7.5%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
15.00
Draw
Bet365
10.00
Away
Bet365
1.09
Handicap -1 (Stal Rzeszów)
Stal Rzeszów -1
7.9%
@ 6.50-5.9%
Draw -1
11.9%
@ 5.30-5.0%
Polonia Warszawa +1
80.3%
@ 1.29+11.0%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Marathonbet
6.50
Bet365
6.50
Draw
Bet365
5.50
Marathonbet
5.10
Away
Bet365
1.33
Marathonbet
1.26
Handicap +1 (Stal Rzeszów)
Stal Rzeszów +1
42.8%
@ 1.70-8.5%
Draw +1
22.0%
@ 3.87-0.5%
Polonia Warszawa -1
35.2%
@ 3.35+9.1%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Betfair
1.73
Bet365
1.73
Marathonbet
1.68
Unibet
1.67
Draw
Bet365
4.33
Betfair
4.00
Marathonbet
3.90
Unibet
3.25
Away
Bet365
3.60
Betfair
3.50
Marathonbet
3.42
Unibet
2.88
Handicap +2 (Stal Rzeszów)
Stal Rzeszów +2
64.8%
@ 1.25-6.9%
Draw +2
17.7%
@ 5.90+2.4%
Polonia Warszawa -2
17.5%
@ 6.90+4.5%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
1.28
Marathonbet
1.23
Draw
Bet365
6.00
Marathonbet
5.80
Away
Bet365
7.00
Marathonbet
6.80

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

Stal RzeszówStal Rzeszów

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-300D13L11D01L01L00D00D01L00D00DA·POG10/05H·WIE16/05A·TYC24/05H·CHR25/07A·ARK01/08A·STA08/08A·POG14/08H·RUC24/08A·UNI28/08H·POD01/09
Avg total
0.9
Avg scored
0.2
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.530.600.430.640.620.56
vs Stronger (4)0.501.001.001.500.000.50
vs Similar (24)0.580.580.360.550.770.62
vs Weaker (2)0.000.000.000.000.000.00
Clean sheet %57% (+31pp vs league)
This opponent (Polonia Warszawa) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Polonia WarszawaPolonia Warszawa

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-201L01L12L00D01L00D01L10W11D00DH·WIS15/05A·ODR24/05A·WIE28/05A·PUS26/07H·UNI01/08H·RUC07/08A·POG15/08A·NIE22/08H·LEC29/08A·GÓR02/09
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.470.500.290.360.620.62
vs Stronger (2)0.501.000.001.001.001.00
vs Similar (24)0.500.460.270.270.690.62
vs Weaker (4)0.250.500.500.500.000.50
Clean sheet %60% (+35pp vs league)
This opponent (Stal Rzeszów) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5
Over 0.5
73.2%
@ 1.26-0.3%
Under 0.5
26.8%
@ 3.49+0.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.32
Bet365
1.28
BetVictor
1.25
William Hil
1.25
1xBet
1.24
Under
Betfair
3.75
1xBet
3.60
Bet365
3.50
BetVictor
3.50
William Hil
3.50
Half Time Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
33.5%
@ 2.25-7.5%
Under 1.5
66.5%
@ 1.57+7.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
2.37
Pinnacle
2.36
1xBet
2.26
Marathonbet
2.26
William Hil
2.25
Under
Unibet
1.58
William Hil
1.57
Pinnacle
1.57
Betfair
1.57
Bet365
1.57
Half Time Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
13.8%
@ 5.09-4.4%
Under 2.5
86.2%
@ 1.14+4.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
BetVictor
5.50
Bet365
5.50
Betfair
5.00
William Hil
5.00
Betano
4.85
Under
William Hil
1.14
Betano
1.14
Betfair
1.14
Bet365
1.14
1xBet
1.14

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Stal Rzeszów over/under 0.5 HT
Over
40.1%
@ 2.06-4.9%
Under
59.9%
@ 1.68+4.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.11
Betano
2.07
1xBet
2.03
Marathonbet
2.03
Under
1xBet
1.70
Pinnacle
1.69
Betano
1.67
Marathonbet
1.67
Stal Rzeszów over/under 1.5 HT
Over
9.6%
@ 6.30-5.0%
Under
90.4%
@ 1.08+5.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
6.70
1xBet
6.30
Betano
5.90
Under
Betano
1.10
1xBet
1.07
Marathonbet
1.06
Stal Rzeszów over/under 2.5 HT
Over
1.5%
@ 11.00-6.9%
Under
98.5%
@ 1.01+6.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
11.00
Under
Betano
1.01
Polonia Warszawa over/under 0.5 HT
Over
49.4%
@ 1.70-5.0%
Under
50.6%
@ 2.03+5.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.75
Pinnacle
1.71
Marathonbet
1.69
1xBet
1.66
Under
1xBet
2.10
Pinnacle
2.06
Marathonbet
2.00
Betano
1.95
Polonia Warszawa over/under 1.5 HT
Over
14.8%
@ 4.40-6.1%
Under
85.2%
@ 1.16+6.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
4.60
Betano
4.40
1xBet
4.20
Under
1xBet
1.18
Betano
1.17
Marathonbet
1.14
Polonia Warszawa over/under 2.5 HT
Over
3.3%
@ 9.25-6.7%
Under
96.7%
@ 1.03+6.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
9.25
Under
Betano
1.03

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

Stal RzeszówStal Rzeszów

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-421W02L22D14L03L11D11D00D10W30WA·POG10/05H·WIE16/05A·TYC24/05H·CHR25/07A·ARK01/08A·STA08/08A·POG14/08H·RUC24/08A·UNI28/08H·POD01/09
Avg total
2.5
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
1.4
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.731.230.641.140.811.31
vs Stronger (4)0.751.500.002.001.501.00
vs Similar (24)0.621.290.551.090.691.46
vs Weaker (2)2.000.003.000.001.000.00
Clean sheet %23% (-2pp vs league)
This opponent (Polonia Warszawa) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Polonia WarszawaPolonia Warszawa

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-300D20W11D10W30W11D00D21W13L10WH·WIS15/05A·ODR24/05A·WIE28/05A·PUS26/07H·UNI01/08H·RUC07/08A·POG15/08A·NIE22/08H·LEC29/08A·GÓR02/09
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.070.801.140.861.000.75
vs Stronger (2)0.500.000.000.001.000.00
vs Similar (24)1.081.001.091.091.080.92
vs Weaker (4)1.250.002.000.000.500.00
Clean sheet %47% (+21pp vs league)
This opponent (Stal Rzeszów) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5
Over 0.5
80.7%
@ 1.16-0.1%
Under 0.5
19.3%
@ 4.87+0.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.17
Bet365
1.17
1xBet
1.13
Under
1xBet
5.10
Bet365
5.00
Betano
4.50
Second Half Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
49.0%
@ 1.78-3.0%
Under 1.5
51.0%
@ 1.93+3.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
1.80
Marathonbet
1.79
1xBet
1.79
Betano
1.75
Under
Betano
1.98
Marathonbet
1.91
Bet365
1.91
1xBet
1.91
Second Half Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
22.9%
@ 3.28-5.3%
Under 2.5
77.1%
@ 1.29+5.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
3.50
1xBet
3.20
Betano
3.15
Under
Betano
1.31
1xBet
1.29
Bet365
1.28

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Stal Rzeszów over/under 0.5 2H
Over
49.0%
@ 1.73-4.2%
Under
51.0%
@ 1.97+4.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
1.74
1xBet
1.74
Betano
1.72
Under
Betano
2.00
1xBet
1.98
Marathonbet
1.93
Stal Rzeszów over/under 1.5 2H
Over
14.7%
@ 4.57-5.4%
Under
85.3%
@ 1.15+5.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
4.85
1xBet
4.60
Betano
4.25
Under
Betano
1.18
1xBet
1.14
Marathonbet
1.13
Stal Rzeszów over/under 2.5 2H
Over
3.0%
@ 9.00-7.2%
Under
97.0%
@ 1.03+7.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
9.00
Under
Betano
1.03
Polonia Warszawa over/under 0.5 2H
Over
57.1%
@ 1.46-6.2%
Under
42.9%
@ 2.52+6.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.47
1xBet
1.45
Under
1xBet
2.55
Betano
2.50
Polonia Warszawa over/under 1.5 2H
Over
23.2%
@ 3.20-5.6%
Under
76.8%
@ 1.29+5.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
3.34
Betano
3.15
1xBet
3.10
Under
Betano
1.31
1xBet
1.30
Marathonbet
1.26
Polonia Warszawa over/under 2.5 2H
Over
5.9%
@ 7.70-6.1%
Under
94.1%
@ 1.05+6.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
8.40
Betano
7.00
Under
Betano
1.07
1xBet
1.03

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5Edge
Home under 2.5 HT goals98.5%1.01
Betano
1.01
----+6.9%
Under 7.598.4%-------
Home under 3.5 goals97.1%1.03
Bet365
1.03
Betano
1.03
---+4.8%
Home under 2.5 2H goals97.0%1.03
Betano
1.03
----+7.2%
Away under 2.5 HT goals96.7%1.03
Betano
1.03
----+6.7%
Under 6.595.6%1.02
Betano
1.03
1xBet
1.02
Bet365
1.02
--+2.3%
Away under 2.5 2H goals94.1%1.05
Betano
1.07
1xBet
1.03
---+6.1%
Away +2 handicap92.1%1.09
Bet365
1.09
----+7.5%
Home under 1.5 HT goals90.4%1.08
Betano
1.10
1xBet
1.07
Marathonbet
1.06
--+5.0%
Under 5.589.7%1.05
Betano
1.08
Betfair
1.07
Bet365
1.07
BetVictor
1.04
1xBet
1.03
+1.5%
Home under 2.5 goals89.2%1.12
Betano
1.15
Bet365
1.14
BetVictor
1.11
1xBet
1.10
Marathonbet
1.09
+6.3%
Away over 0.5 goals87.0%1.14
Betano
1.17
Bet365
1.14
1xBet
1.13
BetVictor
1.13
-+5.5%
Under 2.5 HT goals86.2%1.14
William Hil
1.14
Betano
1.14
Betfair
1.14
Bet365
1.14
1xBet
1.14
+4.4%
Home under 1.5 2H goals85.3%1.15
Betano
1.18
1xBet
1.14
Marathonbet
1.13
--+5.4%
Away under 1.5 HT goals85.2%1.16
1xBet
1.18
Betano
1.17
Marathonbet
1.14
--+6.1%
Away under 3.5 goals85.0%1.08
Betano
1.09
Bet365
1.08
1xBet
1.07
---1.8%
Over 1.583.6%1.16
Betano
1.19
Pinnacle
1.18
Betfair
1.17
Bet365
1.17
BetVictor
1.15
+3.6%
Over 0.5 2H goals80.7%1.16
Betano
1.17
Bet365
1.17
1xBet
1.13
---0.1%
Draw or Away80.3%1.28
Betano
1.34
Bet365
1.33
William Hil
1.30
Betfair
1.30
BetVictor
1.30
+8.5%
Away +1 handicap80.3%1.29
Bet365
1.33
Marathonbet
1.26
---+11.0%
Under 4.578.4%1.19
Unibet
1.22
Pinnacle
1.21
Betano
1.21
Bet365
1.20
Betfair
1.20
+0.8%
Under 2.5 2H goals77.1%1.29
Betano
1.31
1xBet
1.29
Bet365
1.28
--+5.3%
Home or Away76.9%1.23
William Hil
1.29
Bet365
1.28
Betano
1.26
BetVictor
1.25
1xBet
1.22
+2.2%
Away under 1.5 2H goals76.8%1.29
Betano
1.31
1xBet
1.30
Marathonbet
1.26
--+5.6%
Over 0.5 HT goals73.2%1.26
Betano
1.32
Bet365
1.28
BetVictor
1.25
William Hil
1.25
1xBet
1.24
-0.3%

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
LG (20)
€22m
AG (23)
€5m
PW (25)
€5m
ML (24)
€4m
ŁŁ (22)
€4m
OO (24)
€4m
RC (20)
€4m
NIE (16)
€4m
SR (18)
€3m
PB (21)
€3m
CG (20)
€3m
PN (16)
€3m
PGM (15)
€2m
SM (16)
€2m
PS (18)
€2m
WP (6)
€1m
POD (5)
€1m
US (3)
€0m
Stal Rzeszów's squad is €2m less valuable than Polonia Warszawa's (€3m vs €5m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
LG (8)
€15m
PW (13)
€3m
AG (9)
€2m
OO (8)
€2m
ŁŁ (7)
€2m
NIE (7)
€2m
ML (7)
€1m
SM (8)
€1m
RC (7)
€1m
SR (9)
€1m
PB (8)
€1m
PN (6)
€1m
CG (7)
€1m
PS (8)
€1m
PGM (4)
€0m
POD (1)
€0m
WP (0)
€0m
US (0)
€0m
Stal Rzeszów's attack is €1m less valuable than Polonia Warszawa's (€1m vs €3m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
LG (3)
€5m
ML (10)
€2m
NIE (5)
€2m
OO (8)
€1m
PGM (6)
€1m
AG (5)
€1m
PB (8)
€1m
ŁŁ (7)
€1m
RC (5)
€1m
WP (3)
€1m
CG (6)
€1m
PN (4)
€0m
PW (2)
€0m
SR (2)
€0m
PS (3)
€0m
US (2)
€0m
POD (2)
€0m
SM (2)
€0m
Stal Rzeszów and Polonia Warszawa have a similar midfield value (both €0m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
LG (9)
€3m
AG (9)
€2m
PW (10)
€2m
ŁŁ (8)
€2m
CG (7)
€1m
SR (7)
€1m
RC (8)
€1m
ML (7)
€1m
PN (6)
€1m
OO (8)
€1m
PB (5)
€1m
PGM (5)
€1m
PS (7)
€1m
NIE (4)
€1m
SM (6)
€1m
WP (3)
€0m
POD (2)
€0m
US (1)
€0m
Stal Rzeszów and Polonia Warszawa have a similar defence value (both €1m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

6 previous meetings
1
SR wins
1
Draws
4
PW wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Stal Rzeszów vs Polonia Warszawa · H/A from SR
DateH/AGameScore
17/04/26HSR Vs Polonia Warszawa0-2
03/10/25APolonia Warszawa Vs SR2-3
10/05/25HSR Vs Polonia Warszawa1-2
04/11/24APolonia Warszawa Vs SR1-0
26/05/24HSR Vs Polonia Warszawa1-2
01/12/23APolonia Warszawa Vs SR2-2

Stal RzeszówStal Rzeszów

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
01/09/26HSR Vs Podbeskidzie3-0
28/08/26AUnia Skierniewice Vs SR0-1
24/08/26HSR Vs Ruch Chorzów0-1
14/08/26APogoń Grod. Mazowiecki Vs SR1-1
08/08/26AStal Mielec Vs SR1-1
01/08/26AArka Gdynia Vs SR4-0
25/07/26HSR Vs Chrobry Głogów1-5
24/05/26ATychy 71 Vs SR3-3
16/05/26HSR Vs Wieczysta Kraków1-5
10/05/26APogoń Siedlce Vs SR1-2

Polonia WarszawaPolonia Warszawa

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
02/09/26AGórnik Polkowice Vs PW0-1
29/08/26HPW Vs Lechia Gdansk2-4
22/08/26ANieciecza Vs PW1-3
15/08/26APogoń Siedlce Vs PW1-0
07/08/26HPW Vs Ruch Chorzów1-1
01/08/26HPW Vs Unia Skierniewice3-1
26/07/26APuszcza Niepołomice Vs PW0-1
28/05/26AWieczysta Kraków Vs PW3-2
24/05/26AOdra Opole Vs PW1-2
15/05/26HPW Vs Wisla Krakow0-1

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Stal Rzeszów
Stal Rzeszów
Poland: I Liga
Recent: 3 Wins / 3 Draws / 4 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDDLWW1.04
HomeLLLLW1.08
AwayDLDDW1.00
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %28%29%27%
AVG goals3.062.963.15
Over 1.5 %82%75%88%
Over 2.5 %66%62%69%
Over 3.5 %34%33%35%
Scored1.181.211.15
Conceded1.881.752.00
BTTS62%62%62%
Clean Sheet12%12%12%
Corners---
Cards---
Polonia Warszawa
Polonia Warszawa
Poland: I Liga
Recent: 5 Wins / 1 Draws / 4 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDLWLW1.46
HomeWLWDL1.26
AwayLWLWW1.63
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %40%35%44%
AVG goals2.822.782.85
Over 1.5 %76%65%85%
Over 2.5 %54%52%56%
Over 3.5 %30%30%30%
Scored1.441.261.59
Conceded1.381.521.26
BTTS68%57%78%
Clean Sheet20%26%15%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1Miedz LegnicaMiedz Legnica613
67%
2.2
103+7
2.2
83%
33%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
1211.70.5
-
2Pogoń Grod. MazowieckiPogoń Grod. Mazowiecki612
50%
2.0
105+5
2.5
67%
50%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
0111.70.8
-
3ŁKS ŁódźŁKS Łódź611
50%
1.8
105+5
2.5
83%
67%
17%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
2121.70.8
-
4Chrobry GłogówChrobry Głogów610
50%
1.7
105+5
2.5
67%
33%
17%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1111.70.8
-
5Arka GdyniaArka Gdynia610
50%
1.7
95+4
2.3
83%
33%
17%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
5
2121.50.8
-
6Polonia WarszawaPolonia Warszawa610
50%
1.7
108+2
3.0
67%
50%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
5
3021.71.3
-
7Warta PoznańWarta Poznań69
50%
1.5
1110+1
3.5
83%
83%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0101.81.7
-
8Pogoń SiedlcePogoń Siedlce68
33%
1.3
76+1
2.2
67%
33%
17%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1011.21.0
-
9Odra OpoleOdra Opole68
33%
1.3
66+0
2.0
50%
33%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
2111.01.0
-
10Stal MielecStal Mielec68
33%
1.3
1113-2
4.0
100%
67%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1011.82.2
-
11NiecieczaNieciecza67
33%
1.2
910-1
3.2
100%
83%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
2211.51.7
-
12Lechia GdanskLechia Gdansk67
33%
1.2
711-4
3.0
67%
67%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
22
15531.21.8
-
13Ruch ChorzówRuch Chorzów67
33%
1.2
37-4
1.7
67%
0%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
1110.51.2
-
14Puszcza NiepołomicePuszcza Niepołomice66
33%
1.0
57-2
2.0
50%
33%
17%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1010.81.2
-
15Polonia BytomPolonia Bytom66
17%
1.0
1215-3
4.5
100%
83%
67%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1112.02.5
-
16Unia SkierniewiceUnia Skierniewice66
33%
1.0
59-4
2.3
67%
50%
17%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.81.5
-
17PodbeskidziePodbeskidzie65
0%
0.8
810-2
3.0
100%
33%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.31.7
-
18Stal RzeszówStal Rzeszów65
17%
0.8
412-8
2.7
67%
33%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1010.72.0
-
Poland: I Liga 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Poland: I Liga stats & trends →

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