Stal Rzeszów’s return to home ground is met by an Ruch Chorzów side that has just won away, setting the stage for an expected 3.1 goals in a match that the model predicts will finish 1-1 with a 11.6 % chance. The most likely result is an away win, with probabilities of 49 % for Ruch, 26 % for Stal and 25 % for a draw. The average total of 3.1 goals points to a moderately high-scoring affair, yet the most probable total is two goals, a 23 % chance. Stal’s home form shows 1.17 goals scored and 1.58 conceded against similarly ranked opponents, while Ruch’s away record is 1.5 scored and 1.08 conceded. Suggested picks include Under 7.5 (98.6 %), Home under 2.5 HT goals (98.5 %), Home under 2.5 2H goals (97.4 % with a 5 % edge), Under 6.5 (96.2 % with a 2 % edge), Home under 3.5 goals (96.0 % with a 2 % edge), Away under 2.5 HT goals (95.3 % with a 4 % edge), Away under 2.5 2H goals (94.2 % with a 7 % edge) and Under 5.5 (90.7 % with a 2 % edge).
Results analysis
Stal Rzeszów’s recent run of losses has been halted as Ruch Chorzów, riding a two-game winning streak, secured a 0-1 victory. The model’s favourite, an away win, was correct, reflecting the 49 % probability it was assigned. The final score of 0-1 matched the actual result, confirming the predicted outcome. The model’s selections performed strongly: Under 7.5 goals hit with a 98.6 % probability, Home under 2.5 HT goals hit at 98.5 %, Home under 2.5 2H goals hit at 97.4 %, Under 6.5 hit at 96.2 %, Home under 3.5 goals hit at 96.0 %, Away under 2.5 HT goals hit at 95.3 %, Away under 2.5 2H goals hit at 94.2 %, and Under 5.5 hit at 90.7 %. All selections settled in favour of the model’s predictions.
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🎯 1. Model Analysis
Stal Rzeszów win✗ Miss
25.5%
Avg Implied 24.5% · @ 3.71
Edge
+1.0%
Best 5 market prices
Pinnacle
3.90
Dafabet
3.85
Betano
3.80
1xBet
3.76
Superbet
3.75
Draw✗ Miss
25.0%
Avg Implied 24.8% · @ 3.67
Edge
+0.2%
Best 5 market prices
Pinnacle
3.94
Dafabet
3.80
Betano
3.80
Betfair
3.75
Superbet
3.70
Ruch Chorzów win✓ Hit
49.5%
Avg Implied 50.7% · @ 1.80
Edge
-1.2%
Best 5 market prices
Pinnacle
1.84
SBO
1.84
Dafabet
1.84
Superbet
1.83
Unibet
1.83
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
Stal Rzeszów
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.7
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
2.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.27
1.97
1.07
1.93
1.44
2.00
vs Stronger (4)
1.25
2.50
1.00
3.50
1.50
1.50
vs Similar (26)
1.27
1.88
1.08
1.67
1.43
2.07
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
3% (-22pp vs league)
This opponent (Ruch Chorzów) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Ruch Chorzów
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.7
Avg scored
1.5
Avg conceded
1.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.47
1.43
1.57
1.29
1.38
1.56
vs Stronger (3)
0.67
2.33
1.00
1.00
0.50
3.00
vs Similar (26)
1.58
1.31
1.62
1.31
1.54
1.31
vs Weaker (1)
1.00
2.00
-
-
1.00
2.00
Clean sheet %
23% (-2pp vs league)
This opponent (Stal Rzeszów) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 3.1 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (23%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
82.5%
@ 1.18+3.6%
Under 1.5
17.5%
@ 4.38-3.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betfair
1.20
Pinnacle
1.20
Betano
1.20
Bet365
1.18
10Bet
1.18
Under
Pinnacle
4.56
Bet365
4.50
Betfair
4.50
888Sport
4.50
BetVictor
4.50
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
59.7%
@ 1.59+1.2%
Under 2.5
40.3%
@ 2.24-1.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.65
10Bet
1.62
Bet365
1.62
BetVictor
1.61
1xBet
1.60
Under
Unibet
2.38
Pinnacle
2.27
Betfair
2.25
Betano
2.25
Bet365
2.25
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
37.3%
@ 2.46-0.3%
Under 3.5
62.7%
@ 1.49+0.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betfair
2.63
Pinnacle
2.58
BetVictor
2.55
10Bet
2.50
Bet365
2.50
Under
Unibet
1.56
Betano
1.52
Pinnacle
1.50
Bet365
1.50
Superbet
1.50
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
61.3%
@ 1.55+1.7%
No
38.7%
@ 2.28-1.7%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
Bet365
1.62
Betfair
1.57
Betano
1.57
Marathonbet
1.56
10Bet
1.55
No
Unibet
2.50
William Hil
2.30
Superbet
2.30
888Sport
2.30
Betfair
2.30
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
11.6%@ 6.77+5.0%
1-2
9.6%@ 7.52+3.7%
0-2
7.6%@ 9.20+2.7%
0-1 ✓
7.2%@ 8.42+2.0%
2-1
6.6%@ 11.51+2.8%
2-2
6.1%@ 11.45+2.2%
1-3
5.8%@ 11.88+2.1%
0-0
5.6%@ 13.45+2.3%
Stal Rzeszów goals ↓
Ruch Chorzów goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
5.6%
7.2%
7.6%
4.6%
2.1%
1
4.7%
12%
9.6%
5.8%
2.7%
2
3.6%
6.6%
6.1%
3.7%
1.7%
3
1.5%
2.8%
2.6%
1.6%
0.7%
4
0.5%
0.9%
0.8%
0.5%
0.2%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Stal Rzeszów goals (down), columns = Ruch Chorzów goals (across).
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💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Miedz Legnica
2.17
Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki
2.00
ŁKS Łódź
1.83
Arka Gdynia
1.67
Chrobry Głogów
1.67
Polonia Warszawa
1.67
Warta Poznań
1.50
Pogoń Siedlce
1.33
Stal Mielec
1.33
Odra Opole
1.33
Nieciecza
1.17
Ruch Chorzów
1.17
Lechia Gdansk
1.17
Puszcza Niepołomice
1.00
Unia Skierniewice
1.00
Polonia Bytom
1.00
Podbeskidzie
0.83
Stal Rzeszów
0.83
Stal Rzeszów is 0.33 points worse than Ruch Chorzów in terms of average points per game (0.83 vs 1.17).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Polonia Bytom
2.00
Warta Poznań
1.83
Stal Mielec
1.83
Chrobry Głogów
1.67
Polonia Warszawa
1.67
Miedz Legnica
1.67
Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki
1.67
ŁKS Łódź
1.67
Arka Gdynia
1.50
Nieciecza
1.50
Podbeskidzie
1.33
Pogoń Siedlce
1.17
Lechia Gdansk
1.17
Odra Opole
1.00
Puszcza Niepołomice
0.83
Unia Skierniewice
0.83
Stal Rzeszów
0.67
Ruch Chorzów
0.50
Stal Rzeszów is 0.17 goals better than Ruch Chorzów in terms of goals scored per game (0.67 vs 0.50).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Miedz Legnica
0.50
Arka Gdynia
0.83
Chrobry Głogów
0.83
Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki
0.83
ŁKS Łódź
0.83
Pogoń Siedlce
1.00
Odra Opole
1.00
Puszcza Niepołomice
1.17
Ruch Chorzów
1.17
Polonia Warszawa
1.33
Unia Skierniewice
1.50
Warta Poznań
1.67
Nieciecza
1.67
Podbeskidzie
1.67
Lechia Gdansk
1.83
Stal Rzeszów
2.00
Stal Mielec
2.17
Polonia Bytom
2.50
Stal Rzeszów is 0.83 goals worse than Ruch Chorzów in terms of goals conceded per game (2.00 vs 1.17).
⏱️ Possession
Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Stal Rzeszów or Draw✗ Miss
50.5%
Avg Implied 48.4% · @ 1.90
Edge
+2.1%
26%
25%
49%
covers Stal Rzeszów + Draw
Best 5 market prices
SBO
1.98
Betano
1.98
10Bet
1.95
888Sport
1.95
William Hil
1.95
Stal Rzeszów or Ruch Chorzów✓ Hit
75.0%
Avg Implied 75.8% · @ 1.22
Edge
-0.8%
26%
25%
49%
covers Stal Rzeszów + Ruch Chorzów
Best 5 market prices
William Hil
1.25
Bet365
1.25
888Sport
1.25
Betano
1.24
Superbet
1.23
Draw or Ruch Chorzów✓ Hit
74.5%
Avg Implied 75.8% · @ 1.22
Edge
-1.3%
26%
25%
49%
covers Draw + Ruch Chorzów
Best 5 market prices
Betano
1.27
BetVictor
1.25
Bet365
1.25
Superbet
1.23
William Hil
1.22
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🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Stal Rzeszów over/under 0.5Actual: Under
Over
71.8%
@ 1.35+3.0%
Under
28.2%
@ 2.97-3.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.37
Betano
1.36
Bet365
1.36
Pinnacle
1.35
Superbet
1.34
Under
Pinnacle
3.08
Bet365
3.00
Betano
3.00
BetVictor
3.00
Superbet
3.00
Stal Rzeszów over/under 1.5Actual: Under
Over
36.1%
@ 2.62+0.8%
Under
63.9%
@ 1.43-0.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.83
BetVictor
2.75
Betano
2.65
Marathonbet
2.64
1xBet
2.64
Under
Unibet
1.50
Betano
1.45
Bet365
1.44
Superbet
1.44
Pinnacle
1.43
Stal Rzeszów over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
13.5%
@ 6.42-1.0%
Under
86.5%
@ 1.09+1.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
BetVictor
7.00
Bet365
7.00
Marathonbet
6.20
1xBet
6.20
Superbet
6.10
Under
Betano
1.11
Bet365
1.10
Superbet
1.09
1xBet
1.09
BetVictor
1.07
Stal Rzeszów over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
4.0%
@ 15.33-2.2%
Under
96.0%
@ 1.02+2.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
19.00
Superbet
16.00
Betano
11.00
Under
Betano
1.02
Bet365
1.02
Superbet
1.01
Ruch Chorzów over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
83.9%
@ 1.13+1.8%
Under
16.1%
@ 5.17-1.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.15
Bet365
1.14
BetVictor
1.13
Superbet
1.13
1xBet
1.11
Under
Bet365
5.50
BetVictor
5.25
Superbet
5.20
1xBet
5.20
10Bet
5.00
Ruch Chorzów over/under 1.5Actual: Under
Over
54.5%
@ 1.69-0.4%
Under
45.5%
@ 2.05+0.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.73
Bet365
1.73
Betano
1.70
BetVictor
1.70
1xBet
1.69
Under
Pinnacle
2.11
Unibet
2.08
Betano
2.07
Superbet
2.07
BetVictor
2.05
Ruch Chorzów over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
27.6%
@ 3.16-1.8%
Under
72.4%
@ 1.32+1.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
3.40
Pinnacle
3.29
BetVictor
3.20
Superbet
3.10
Betano
3.05
Under
Betano
1.35
1xBet
1.33
Superbet
1.32
Pinnacle
1.31
BetVictor
1.30
Ruch Chorzów over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
11.3%
@ 6.58-2.9%
Under
88.7%
@ 1.09+2.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
8.00
Superbet
6.30
1xBet
6.10
Betano
5.90
Under
Betano
1.11
1xBet
1.09
Bet365
1.08
Superbet
1.08
⚖️ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to Stal Rzeszów, so a minus line means Stal Rzeszów give that many goals of a start and Ruch Chorzów receive them. At -1, Stal Rzeszów must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Stal Rzeszów win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Stal Rzeszów)Actual: Ruch Chorzów
Stal Rzeszów -2
3.6%
@ 19.00-1.2%
Draw -2
7.4%
@ 10.80-1.1%
Ruch Chorzów +2
89.0%
@ 1.06+2.4%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
21.00
Superbet
17.00
Draw
Bet365
12.00
Superbet
9.60
Away
Bet365
1.07
Superbet
1.06
Handicap -1 (Stal Rzeszów)Actual: Ruch Chorzów
Stal Rzeszów -1
11.0%
@ 6.97-1.3%
Draw -1
14.5%
@ 5.08-2.5%
Ruch Chorzów +1
74.5%
@ 1.22+3.8%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
8.00
Marathonbet
7.50
Unibet
5.40
Draw
Bet365
5.50
Marathonbet
5.40
Unibet
4.35
Away
Bet365
1.25
Unibet
1.21
Marathonbet
1.19
Handicap +1 (Stal Rzeszów)Actual: Draw
Stal Rzeszów +1
50.5%
@ 1.87+3.7%
Draw +1
21.3%
@ 3.67-2.5%
Ruch Chorzów -1
28.2%
@ 2.98-1.2%
Best 5 market prices
Home
10Bet
1.95
Superbet
1.92
Betfair
1.91
Marathonbet
1.85
Bet365
1.83
Draw
Bet365
4.00
Superbet
3.75
Betfair
3.75
10Bet
3.65
Marathonbet
3.64
Away
Bet365
3.20
Betfair
3.10
10Bet
3.00
Superbet
3.00
Marathonbet
2.92
Handicap +2 (Stal Rzeszów)Actual: Stal Rzeszów
Stal Rzeszów +2
71.8%
@ 1.33+4.1%
Draw +2
15.4%
@ 5.23-1.8%
Ruch Chorzów -2
12.8%
@ 5.97-2.3%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Superbet
1.34
Bet365
1.33
Marathonbet
1.31
Draw
Bet365
5.50
Superbet
5.10
Marathonbet
5.10
Away
Bet365
6.50
Superbet
5.75
Marathonbet
5.65
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Stal Rzeszów
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.60
0.63
0.50
0.57
0.69
0.69
vs Stronger (4)
0.50
1.00
1.00
1.50
0.00
0.50
vs Similar (26)
0.62
0.58
0.42
0.42
0.79
0.71
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
57% (+31pp vs league)
This opponent (Ruch Chorzów) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Ruch Chorzów
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.87
0.50
0.86
0.57
0.88
0.44
vs Stronger (3)
0.67
0.33
1.00
0.00
0.50
0.50
vs Similar (26)
0.88
0.54
0.85
0.62
0.92
0.46
vs Weaker (1)
1.00
0.00
-
-
1.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
57% (+31pp vs league)
This opponent (Stal Rzeszów) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
70.6%
@ 1.28-1.5%
Under 0.5
29.4%
@ 3.32+1.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.32
Bet365
1.30
BetVictor
1.29
William Hil
1.29
Superbet
1.28
Under
Betfair
3.50
Bet365
3.40
William Hil
3.40
Superbet
3.40
BetVictor
3.30
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
33.5%
@ 2.32-6.4%
Under 1.5
66.5%
@ 1.54+6.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.46
Betano
2.40
William Hil
2.38
Betfair
2.38
Bet365
2.38
Under
Unibet
1.58
Superbet
1.56
Pinnacle
1.55
BetVictor
1.54
Bet365
1.53
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
12.5%
@ 5.26-5.2%
Under 2.5
87.5%
@ 1.13+5.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
BetVictor
5.50
Betfair
5.50
Bet365
5.50
William Hil
5.50
Superbet
5.00
Under
Bet365
1.14
Betano
1.14
Betfair
1.13
1xBet
1.13
Superbet
1.13
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Stal Rzeszów over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
40.9%
@ 2.22-0.8%
Under
59.1%
@ 1.59+0.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.34
Betano
2.25
Superbet
2.20
Marathonbet
2.17
1xBet
2.16
Under
1xBet
1.62
Superbet
1.60
Pinnacle
1.59
Marathonbet
1.58
Betano
1.57
Stal Rzeszów over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
10.5%
@ 7.05-2.5%
Under
89.5%
@ 1.06+2.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
7.30
1xBet
7.20
Superbet
7.10
Betano
6.60
Under
Betano
1.08
Superbet
1.06
1xBet
1.05
Marathonbet
1.04
Stal Rzeszów over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
1.5%
@ 26.00-98.5%
Under
98.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
26.00
Under
No market prices yet.
Ruch Chorzów over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
48.6%
@ 1.66-7.2%
Under
51.4%
@ 2.10+7.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.70
Pinnacle
1.68
Marathonbet
1.65
Superbet
1.65
1xBet
1.64
Under
Pinnacle
2.16
1xBet
2.13
Superbet
2.10
Betano
2.05
Marathonbet
2.05
Ruch Chorzów over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
17.3%
@ 4.10-5.2%
Under
82.7%
@ 1.19+5.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
4.25
Superbet
4.10
Betano
4.05
1xBet
4.00
Under
Betano
1.20
Superbet
1.20
1xBet
1.19
Marathonbet
1.17
Ruch Chorzów over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
4.7%
@ 10.38-4.3%
Under
95.3%
@ 1.03+4.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
12.00
Betano
8.75
Under
Betano
1.04
Superbet
1.02
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Stal Rzeszów
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.6
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
1.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.67
1.33
0.57
1.36
0.75
1.31
vs Stronger (4)
0.75
1.50
0.00
2.00
1.50
1.00
vs Similar (26)
0.65
1.31
0.67
1.25
0.64
1.36
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
17% (-9pp vs league)
This opponent (Ruch Chorzów) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Ruch Chorzów
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.60
0.93
0.71
0.71
0.50
1.12
vs Stronger (3)
0.00
2.00
0.00
1.00
0.00
2.50
vs Similar (26)
0.69
0.77
0.77
0.69
0.62
0.85
vs Weaker (1)
0.00
2.00
-
-
0.00
2.00
Clean sheet %
37% (+11pp vs league)
This opponent (Stal Rzeszów) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
78.4%
@ 1.16-1.4%
Under 0.5
21.6%
@ 4.60+1.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
1.18
Betano
1.17
Superbet
1.16
1xBet
1.14
Under
1xBet
4.90
Superbet
4.55
Bet365
4.50
Betano
4.45
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
44.4%
@ 1.81-6.6%
Under 1.5
55.6%
@ 1.88+6.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
1.83
Marathonbet
1.83
1xBet
1.83
10Bet
1.80
Superbet
1.80
Under
Betano
1.93
10Bet
1.91
Superbet
1.90
1xBet
1.87
Marathonbet
1.86
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
19.2%
@ 3.42-7.9%
Under 2.5
80.8%
@ 1.27+7.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
3.75
Superbet
3.45
1xBet
3.30
Betano
3.20
Under
Betano
1.30
1xBet
1.27
Superbet
1.26
Bet365
1.25
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Stal Rzeszów over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
46.4%
@ 1.85-3.5%
Under
53.6%
@ 1.84+3.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
1.87
1xBet
1.85
Superbet
1.85
Betano
1.83
Under
Betano
1.87
1xBet
1.85
Superbet
1.85
Marathonbet
1.79
Stal Rzeszów over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
13.5%
@ 5.19-4.3%
Under
86.5%
@ 1.12+4.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
5.50
1xBet
5.30
Superbet
5.20
Betano
4.75
Under
Betano
1.15
Superbet
1.13
1xBet
1.11
Marathonbet
1.10
Stal Rzeszów over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
2.6%
@ 13.38-4.5%
Under
97.4%
@ 1.01+4.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
17.00
Betano
9.75
Under
Betano
1.02
Superbet
1.01
Ruch Chorzów over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
54.5%
@ 1.45-9.4%
Under
45.5%
@ 2.56+9.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
1.46
Betano
1.45
1xBet
1.44
Under
1xBet
2.60
Betano
2.57
Superbet
2.52
Ruch Chorzów over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
21.6%
@ 3.06-8.5%
Under
78.4%
@ 1.32+8.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
3.15
Marathonbet
3.14
1xBet
3.00
Betano
2.95
Under
Betano
1.35
1xBet
1.32
Superbet
1.31
Marathonbet
1.29
Ruch Chorzów over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
5.8%
@ 7.47-6.5%
Under
94.2%
@ 1.05+6.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
8.00
Superbet
7.90
Betano
6.50
Under
Betano
1.08
Superbet
1.05
1xBet
1.03
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🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Under 7.5
98.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 HT goals
98.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 2H goals
97.4%
1.01
Betano
1.02
Superbet
1.01
-
-
-
+4.5%
✓ Hit
Under 6.5
96.2%
1.02
Betano
1.03
1xBet
1.02
Bet365
1.02
Superbet
1.01
-
+2.3%
✓ Hit
Home under 3.5 goals
96.0%
1.02
Betano
1.02
Bet365
1.02
Superbet
1.01
-
-
+2.2%
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 HT goals
95.3%
1.03
Betano
1.04
Superbet
1.02
-
-
-
+4.3%
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 2H goals
94.2%
1.05
Betano
1.08
Superbet
1.05
1xBet
1.03
-
-
+6.5%
✓ Hit
Under 5.5
90.7%
1.05
Betano
1.08
Superbet
1.06
Betfair
1.06
888Sport
1.06
Bet365
1.06
+2.1%
✓ Hit
Home under 1.5 HT goals
89.5%
1.06
Betano
1.08
Superbet
1.06
1xBet
1.05
Marathonbet
1.04
-
+2.5%
✓ Hit
Away +2 handicap
89.0%
1.06
Bet365
1.07
Superbet
1.06
-
-
-
+2.4%
✓ Hit
Away under 3.5 goals
88.7%
1.09
Betano
1.11
1xBet
1.09
Bet365
1.08
Superbet
1.08
-
+2.9%
✓ Hit
Under 2.5 HT goals
87.5%
1.13
Bet365
1.14
Betano
1.14
Betfair
1.13
1xBet
1.13
Superbet
1.13
+5.2%
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 goals
86.5%
1.09
Betano
1.11
Bet365
1.10
Superbet
1.09
1xBet
1.09
BetVictor
1.07
+1.0%
✓ Hit
Home under 1.5 2H goals
86.5%
1.12
Betano
1.15
Superbet
1.13
1xBet
1.11
Marathonbet
1.10
-
+4.3%
✓ Hit
Away over 0.5 goals
83.9%
1.13
Betano
1.15
Bet365
1.14
BetVictor
1.13
Superbet
1.13
1xBet
1.11
+1.8%
✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 HT goals
82.7%
1.19
Betano
1.20
Superbet
1.20
1xBet
1.19
Marathonbet
1.17
-
+5.2%
✓ Hit
Over 1.5
82.5%
1.18
Betfair
1.20
Pinnacle
1.20
Betano
1.20
Bet365
1.18
10Bet
1.18
+3.6%
✗ Miss
Under 2.5 2H goals
80.8%
1.27
Betano
1.30
1xBet
1.27
Superbet
1.26
Bet365
1.25
-
+7.9%
✓ Hit
Under 4.5
80.0%
1.18
Betano
1.21
Unibet
1.21
Betfair
1.20
Pinnacle
1.19
Superbet
1.19
+1.6%
✓ Hit
Over 0.5 2H goals
78.4%
1.16
Bet365
1.18
Betano
1.17
Superbet
1.16
1xBet
1.14
-
-1.4%
✗ Miss
Away under 1.5 2H goals
78.4%
1.32
Betano
1.35
1xBet
1.32
Superbet
1.31
Marathonbet
1.29
-
+8.5%
✓ Hit
Home or Away
75.0%
1.22
William Hil
1.25
Bet365
1.25
888Sport
1.25
Betano
1.24
Superbet
1.23
-0.8%
✓ Hit
Draw or Away
74.5%
1.22
Betano
1.27
BetVictor
1.25
Bet365
1.25
Superbet
1.23
William Hil
1.22
-1.3%
✓ Hit
Away +1 handicap
74.5%
1.22
Bet365
1.25
Unibet
1.21
Marathonbet
1.19
-
-
+3.8%
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 goals
72.4%
1.32
Betano
1.35
1xBet
1.33
Superbet
1.32
Pinnacle
1.31
BetVictor
1.30
+1.8%
✓ Hit
Home +2 handicap
71.8%
1.33
Superbet
1.34
Bet365
1.33
Marathonbet
1.31
-
-
+4.1%
✓ Hit
Home over 0.5 goals
71.8%
1.35
1xBet
1.37
Betano
1.36
Bet365
1.36
Pinnacle
1.35
Superbet
1.34
+3.0%
✗ Miss
Over 0.5 HT goals
70.6%
1.28
Betano
1.32
Bet365
1.30
BetVictor
1.29
William Hil
1.29
Superbet
1.28
-1.5%
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Ruch Chorzów · 2023/24
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Daniel Szczepan26%
Soma Novothny23%
Michał Feliks22%
Tomasz Swędrowski21%
Bartlomiej Baranski14%
Tomás Podstawski10%
Robert Dadok10%
Adam Vlkanova8%
Mateusz Bartolewski7%
Tomasz Wójtowicz7%
Josema7%
Łukasz Moneta6%
Patryk Sikora5%
Kacper Michalski5%
Przemysław Szur5%
Juliusz Letniowski4%
Miłosz Kozak4%
Dante Stipica0%
Krzysztof Kamiński0%
Michał Buchalik0%
Maciej Sadlok0%
Wiktor Długosz0%
Patryk Stępiński0%
Filip Starzyński0%
Paweł Baranowski0%
Remigiusz Szywacz0%
Maciej Firlej0%
Tomasz Foszmańczyk0%
Dominik Steczyk0%
Konrad Kasolik0%
Szymon Szymański0%
Filip Wilak0%
Kacper Skwierczyński0%
Jakub Bielecki0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Maciej Sadlok42%
Tomás Podstawski40%
Remigiusz Szywacz40%
Patryk Stępiński23%
Daniel Szczepan23%
Juliusz Letniowski22%
Michał Feliks22%
Przemysław Szur20%
Paweł Baranowski17%
Adam Vlkanova17%
Miłosz Kozak16%
Tomasz Swędrowski16%
Kacper Michalski15%
Mateusz Bartolewski15%
Dante Stipica14%
Bartlomiej Baranski14%
Tomasz Foszmańczyk13%
Robert Dadok10%
Szymon Szymański10%
Wiktor Długosz9%
Soma Novothny8%
Dominik Steczyk8%
Tomasz Wójtowicz7%
Josema7%
Łukasz Moneta6%
Patryk Sikora5%
Krzysztof Kamiński0%
Michał Buchalik0%
Filip Starzyński0%
Maciej Firlej0%
Konrad Kasolik0%
Filip Wilak0%
Kacper Skwierczyński0%
Jakub Bielecki0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Miłosz Kozak20%
Adam Vlkanova17%
Soma Novothny15%
Mateusz Bartolewski15%
Filip Wilak12%
Łukasz Moneta11%
Tomasz Wójtowicz7%
Tomasz Swędrowski5%
Michał Feliks4%
Filip Starzyński4%
Daniel Szczepan3%
Szymon Szymański3%
Dante Stipica0%
Krzysztof Kamiński0%
Michał Buchalik0%
Maciej Sadlok0%
Wiktor Długosz0%
Kacper Michalski0%
Patryk Stępiński0%
Juliusz Letniowski0%
Tomás Podstawski0%
Paweł Baranowski0%
Remigiusz Szywacz0%
Maciej Firlej0%
Josema0%
Tomasz Foszmańczyk0%
Dominik Steczyk0%
Konrad Kasolik0%
Robert Dadok0%
Kacper Skwierczyński0%
Przemysław Szur0%
Jakub Bielecki0%
Patryk Sikora0%
Bartlomiej Baranski0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Robert Dadok30%
Daniel Szczepan26%
Soma Novothny23%
Filip Wilak12%
Miłosz Kozak12%
Juliusz Letniowski9%
Adam Vlkanova8%
Filip Starzyński4%
Mateusz Bartolewski4%
Dante Stipica0%
Krzysztof Kamiński0%
Michał Buchalik0%
Maciej Sadlok0%
Wiktor Długosz0%
Kacper Michalski0%
Patryk Stępiński0%
Tomás Podstawski0%
Paweł Baranowski0%
Łukasz Moneta0%
Tomasz Swędrowski0%
Remigiusz Szywacz0%
Maciej Firlej0%
Josema0%
Tomasz Foszmańczyk0%
Dominik Steczyk0%
Konrad Kasolik0%
Michał Feliks0%
Szymon Szymański0%
Kacper Skwierczyński0%
Przemysław Szur0%
Jakub Bielecki0%
Patryk Sikora0%
Tomasz Wójtowicz0%
Bartlomiej Baranski0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
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💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
LG (20)
€22m
AG (23)
€5m
PW (25)
€5m
ML (24)
€4m
ŁŁ (22)
€4m
OO (24)
€4m
RC (20)
€4m
NIE (16)
€4m
SR (18)
€3m
PB (21)
€3m
CG (20)
€3m
PN (16)
€3m
PGM (15)
€2m
SM (16)
€2m
PS (18)
€2m
WP (6)
€1m
POD (5)
€1m
US (3)
€0m
Stal Rzeszów and Ruch Chorzów have a similar squad value (both €3m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
LG (8)
€15m
PW (13)
€3m
AG (9)
€2m
OO (8)
€2m
ŁŁ (7)
€2m
NIE (7)
€2m
ML (7)
€1m
SM (8)
€1m
RC (7)
€1m
SR (9)
€1m
PB (8)
€1m
PN (6)
€1m
CG (7)
€1m
PS (8)
€1m
PGM (4)
€0m
POD (1)
€0m
WP (0)
€0m
US (0)
€0m
Stal Rzeszów and Ruch Chorzów have a similar attack value (both €1m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
LG (3)
€5m
ML (10)
€2m
NIE (5)
€2m
OO (8)
€1m
PGM (6)
€1m
AG (5)
€1m
PB (8)
€1m
ŁŁ (7)
€1m
RC (5)
€1m
WP (3)
€1m
CG (6)
€1m
PN (4)
€0m
PW (2)
€0m
SR (2)
€0m
PS (3)
€0m
US (2)
€0m
POD (2)
€0m
SM (2)
€0m
Stal Rzeszów and Ruch Chorzów have a similar midfield value (both €0m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
LG (9)
€3m
AG (9)
€2m
PW (10)
€2m
ŁŁ (8)
€2m
CG (7)
€1m
SR (7)
€1m
RC (8)
€1m
ML (7)
€1m
PN (6)
€1m
OO (8)
€1m
PB (5)
€1m
PGM (5)
€1m
PS (7)
€1m
NIE (4)
€1m
SM (6)
€1m
WP (3)
€0m
POD (2)
€0m
US (1)
€0m
Stal Rzeszów and Ruch Chorzów have a similar defence value (both €1m).
Poland: I Liga 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Poland: I Liga stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
Miedz Legnica
Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki
ŁKS Łódź
Chrobry Głogów
Arka Gdynia
Polonia Warszawa
Warta Poznań
Pogoń Siedlce
Odra Opole
Stal Mielec
Nieciecza
Lechia Gdansk
Puszcza Niepołomice
Polonia Bytom
Unia Skierniewice
Podbeskidzie