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Start vs Asane Result & Analysis

Date: 23/08/2023
Time: 16:00
Final 1-0
Start
Start
Vs
65%
20%
15%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Asane
Asane
Norway: 1. Division
Referee: -

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Start win✓ Hit
65.0%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
19.9%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Asane win✗ Miss
15.2%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

StartStart

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-321W12L13L21W12L30W11D30W20W12LH·RAN29/05A·SOG04/06A·FRE11/06H·JER23/06A·KON02/07H·MJO08/07A·KRI05/08H·SKE09/08H·SOG13/08A·RAU20/08
Avg total
2.9
Avg scored
1.7
Avg conceded
1.2
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game2.231.532.731.071.732.00
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (17)1.761.472.500.881.112.00
vs Weaker (13)2.851.623.001.292.672.00
Clean sheet %20% (-2pp vs league)
This opponent (Asane) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

AsaneAsane

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-312L12L21W22D33D00D12L32W13L21WA·FRE29/05H·KON04/06A·BRY11/06H·KRI25/06A·SAN01/07H·SKE09/07A·KFU06/08H·MJO09/08A·KON13/08H·BRY20/08
Avg total
3.4
Avg scored
1.6
Avg conceded
1.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.331.871.431.571.252.12
vs Stronger (10)0.902.401.001.800.803.00
vs Similar (20)1.551.601.671.441.451.73
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %13% (-9pp vs league)
This opponent (Start) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

5%11%16%22%4%09%120%222%319%413%514%6+
The model estimates around 3.5 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 3 (22%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
86.9%
Under 1.5
13.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
67.4%
Under 2.5
32.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
45.7%
Under 3.5
54.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
61.2%
No
38.8%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
2-1
9.6%
1-1
8.9%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
7.6%
3-0
7.0%
1-0 ✓
6.6%
2-2
5.3%
4-1
4.5%
Start goals ↓
Asane goals →
01234
03.9%2.6%1.9%0.7%0.2%
16.6%8.9%4.4%1.6%0.4%
28.8%9.6%5.3%1.9%0.5%
37.0%7.6%4.2%1.5%0.4%
44.1%4.5%2.5%0.9%0.2%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Start goals (down), columns = Asane goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Fredrikstad
2.13
KFUM Oslo
1.93
Kristiansund BK
1.69
Kongsvinger
1.68
Bryne
1.50
Start
1.48
Sogndal
1.43
Ranheim
1.33
Moss
1.27
Raufoss
1.27
Asane
1.23
Mjondalen
1.23
Sandnes ULF
1.23
hodd
1.10
jerv
1.03
Skeid
0.47
Start is 0.25 points better than Asane in terms of average points per game (1.48 vs 1.23).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Kristiansund BK
1.91
Kongsvinger
1.77
KFUM Oslo
1.70
Fredrikstad
1.67
Start
1.58
Sogndal
1.50
Sandnes ULF
1.40
Bryne
1.38
Asane
1.37
jerv
1.33
Mjondalen
1.30
Moss
1.23
Ranheim
1.20
Raufoss
1.17
hodd
0.97
Skeid
0.80
Start is 0.21 goals better than Asane in terms of goals scored per game (1.58 vs 1.37).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Fredrikstad
0.77
KFUM Oslo
1.03
Bryne
1.16
Raufoss
1.20
Start
1.26
hodd
1.27
Kristiansund BK
1.28
Moss
1.33
Kongsvinger
1.39
Mjondalen
1.40
Asane
1.47
Sogndal
1.50
Sandnes ULF
1.50
Ranheim
1.77
jerv
1.97
Skeid
2.07
Start is 0.21 goals better than Asane in terms of goals conceded per game (1.26 vs 1.47).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

StartStart

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-221W00D01L00D10W10W01L00D10W01LH·RAN29/05A·SOG04/06A·FRE11/06H·JER23/06A·KON02/07H·MJO08/07A·KRI05/08H·SKE09/08H·SOG13/08A·RAU20/08
Avg total
0.9
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.630.470.800.330.470.60
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (17)0.470.470.750.380.220.56
vs Weaker (13)0.850.460.860.290.830.67
Clean sheet %63% (+41pp vs league)
This opponent (Asane) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

AsaneAsane

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-201L01L20W02L12L00D01L11D11D20WA·FRE29/05H·KON04/06A·BRY11/06H·KRI25/06A·SAN01/07H·SKE09/07A·KFU06/08H·MJO09/08A·KON13/08H·BRY20/08
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.630.800.570.640.690.94
vs Stronger (10)0.100.900.000.600.201.20
vs Similar (20)0.900.750.890.670.910.82
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %33% (+11pp vs league)
This opponent (Start) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Start over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Start over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Start over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Asane over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Asane over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Asane over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

StartStart

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-300D12L12L21W02L20W10W30W10W11DH·RAN29/05A·SOG04/06A·FRE11/06H·JER23/06A·KON02/07H·MJO08/07A·KRI05/08H·SKE09/08H·SOG13/08A·RAU20/08
Avg total
2.0
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.601.071.930.731.271.40
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (17)1.291.001.750.500.891.44
vs Weaker (13)2.001.152.141.001.831.33
Clean sheet %27% (+5pp vs league)
This opponent (Asane) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

AsaneAsane

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-211D11D01L20W21W00D11D21W02L01LA·FRE29/05H·KON04/06A·BRY11/06H·KRI25/06A·SAN01/07H·SKE09/07A·KFU06/08H·MJO09/08A·KON13/08H·BRY20/08
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.701.070.860.930.561.19
vs Stronger (10)0.801.501.001.200.601.80
vs Similar (20)0.650.850.780.780.550.91
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %23% (+1pp vs league)
This opponent (Start) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Start over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Start over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Start over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Asane over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Asane over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Asane over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 1.586.9%-------✗ Miss

🎽 13. Player market rates

Start · 2026/27
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Jesper Cornelius22%
Steve Mvoué18%
Hakon Lorentzen17%
Altin Ujkani17%
Deni Dashaev17%
Ousmane Diallo Toure12%
Erlend Dahl Reitan12%
Erlend Segberg12%
Tom Strannegård12%
Eirik Schulze7%
Jacob Pryts0%
Sebastian Griesbeck0%
Mikael Ugland0%
Fredrik Palerud0%
Kristoffer Tønnessen0%
John Olav Norheim0%
Markus Soomets0%
Jens Berland Husebø0%
James Ampofo0%
Omar Jebali0%
Lukas Hjelleset Gausdal0%
Alexander Gurendal0%
Santino Samuyiwa0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Erlend Dahl Reitan41%
Steve Mvoué36%
Altin Ujkani33%
Kristoffer Tønnessen20%
Alexander Gurendal20%
Mikael Ugland19%
Ousmane Diallo Toure19%
Erlend Segberg18%
Deni Dashaev17%
Sebastian Griesbeck14%
Eirik Schulze14%
John Olav Norheim14%
Fredrik Palerud11%
Omar Jebali8%
James Ampofo7%
Jacob Pryts6%
Jesper Cornelius6%
Hakon Lorentzen0%
Markus Soomets0%
Jens Berland Husebø0%
Tom Strannegård0%
Lukas Hjelleset Gausdal0%
Santino Samuyiwa0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Tom Strannegård18%
Hakon Lorentzen17%
Eirik Schulze14%
Erlend Segberg12%
Jesper Cornelius11%
Omar Jebali8%
Mikael Ugland6%
Jacob Pryts0%
Sebastian Griesbeck0%
Erlend Dahl Reitan0%
Fredrik Palerud0%
Kristoffer Tønnessen0%
John Olav Norheim0%
Steve Mvoué0%
Altin Ujkani0%
Markus Soomets0%
Jens Berland Husebø0%
Ousmane Diallo Toure0%
James Ampofo0%
Deni Dashaev0%
Lukas Hjelleset Gausdal0%
Alexander Gurendal0%
Santino Samuyiwa0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Jesper Cornelius33%
James Ampofo20%
Deni Dashaev17%
Eirik Schulze14%
Hakon Lorentzen11%
John Olav Norheim7%
Mikael Ugland6%
Erlend Segberg6%
Jacob Pryts0%
Sebastian Griesbeck0%
Erlend Dahl Reitan0%
Fredrik Palerud0%
Kristoffer Tønnessen0%
Steve Mvoué0%
Altin Ujkani0%
Markus Soomets0%
Jens Berland Husebø0%
Tom Strannegård0%
Ousmane Diallo Toure0%
Omar Jebali0%
Lukas Hjelleset Gausdal0%
Alexander Gurendal0%
Santino Samuyiwa0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FRE (25)
€15m
KB (21)
€13m
STA (25)
€9m
KO (24)
€8m
BRY (21)
€6m
KON (24)
€6m
SOG (19)
€4m
MOS (21)
€4m
RAN (22)
€4m
HOD (20)
€3m
ASA (22)
€3m
SU (21)
€3m
RAU (17)
€2m
Start's squad is €5m more valuable than Asane's (€9m vs €3m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
KB (6)
€5m
FRE (5)
€5m
KON (10)
€3m
KO (8)
€3m
BRY (6)
€2m
STA (5)
€2m
MOS (6)
€2m
HOD (7)
€1m
ASA (7)
€1m
RAN (6)
€1m
SOG (6)
€1m
SU (5)
€1m
RAU (4)
€0m
Start and Asane have a similar attack value (both €2m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
KB (6)
€4m
STA (8)
€3m
FRE (4)
€3m
KO (5)
€2m
BRY (5)
€1m
RAN (5)
€1m
SOG (5)
€1m
SU (7)
€1m
KON (3)
€1m
MOS (6)
€1m
HOD (4)
€1m
RAU (4)
€0m
ASA (4)
€0m
Start's midfield is €3m more valuable than Asane's (€3m vs €0m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FRE (16)
€8m
KO (11)
€4m
STA (12)
€4m
KB (9)
€3m
BRY (10)
€2m
SOG (8)
€2m
KON (11)
€2m
MOS (9)
€2m
ASA (11)
€2m
RAN (11)
€2m
HOD (9)
€1m
RAU (9)
€1m
SU (9)
€1m
Start's defence is €2m more valuable than Asane's (€4m vs €2m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

3 previous meetings
2
STA wins
1
Draws
0
ASA wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Start vs Asane · H/A from STA
DateH/AGameScore
21/05/23AAsane Vs STA2-2
16/10/22HSTA Vs Asane4-1
04/04/22AAsane Vs STA1-5

StartStart

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
20/08/23ARaufoss Vs STA2-1
13/08/23HSTA Vs Sogndal2-0
09/08/23HSTA Vs Skeid3-0
05/08/23AKristiansund BK Vs STA1-1
08/07/23HSTA Vs Mjondalen3-0
02/07/23AKongsvinger Vs STA2-1
23/06/23HSTA Vs jerv2-1
11/06/23AFredrikstad Vs STA3-1
04/06/23ASogndal Vs STA2-1
29/05/23HSTA Vs Ranheim2-1

AsaneAsane

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
20/08/23HASA Vs Bryne2-1
13/08/23AKongsvinger Vs ASA3-1
09/08/23HASA Vs Mjondalen3-2
06/08/23AKFUM Oslo Vs ASA2-1
09/07/23HASA Vs Skeid0-0
01/07/23ASandnes ULF Vs ASA3-3
25/06/23HASA Vs Kristiansund BK2-2
11/06/23ABryne Vs ASA1-2
04/06/23HASA Vs Kongsvinger1-2
29/05/23AFredrikstad Vs ASA2-1

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Start
Start
Norway: 1. Division
Recent: 5 Wins / 1 Draws / 4 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWDWWL1.68
HomeWWWWW2.08
AwayLLLDL1.28
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %48%64%32%
AVG goals3.363.483.24
Over 1.5 %82%84%80%
Over 2.5 %72%72%72%
Over 3.5 %46%48%44%
Scored2.042.401.68
Conceded1.321.081.56
BTTS60%56%64%
Clean Sheet26%32%20%
Corners---
Cards---
Asane
Asane
Norway: 1. Division
Recent: 3 Wins / 3 Draws / 4 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDLWLW1.00
HomeLDDWW1.25
AwayLWDLL0.76
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %22%33%12%
AVG goals3.373.423.32
Over 1.5 %88%92%84%
Over 2.5 %69%75%64%
Over 3.5 %45%42%48%
Scored1.371.501.24
Conceded2.001.922.08
BTTS76%79%72%
Clean Sheet8%8%8%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1FredrikstadFredrikstad3064
60%
2.1
5023+27
2.4
70%
53%
23%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
15
5381.70.8
-
2KFUM OsloKFUM Oslo3058
57%
1.9
5131+20
2.7
67%
43%
30%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
8
3241.71.0
-
3Kristiansund BKKristiansund BK3254
47%
1.7
6141+20
3.2
88%
56%
47%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
13
5431.91.3
-
4KongsvingerKongsvinger3152
52%
1.7
5543+12
3.2
94%
71%
29%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
6
3121.81.4
-
5BryneBryne3248
44%
1.5
4437+7
2.5
75%
59%
22%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
6
2121.41.2
-
6StartStart3146
39%
1.5
4939+10
2.8
81%
65%
32%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
9
2341.61.3
-
7SogndalSogndal3043
40%
1.4
4545+0
3.0
83%
63%
27%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
1121.51.5
-
8RanheimRanheim3040
40%
1.3
3653-17
3.0
73%
67%
37%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
1121.21.8
-
9RaufossRaufoss3038
33%
1.3
3536-1
2.4
63%
53%
27%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
0011.21.2
-
10MossMoss3038
33%
1.3
3740-3
2.6
73%
57%
20%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
2121.21.3
-
11Sandnes ULFSandnes ULF3037
33%
1.2
4245-3
2.9
77%
53%
37%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1111.41.5
-
12AsaneAsane3037
30%
1.2
4144-3
2.8
77%
63%
37%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1021.41.5
-
13MjondalenMjondalen3037
33%
1.2
3942-3
2.7
77%
60%
30%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.31.4
-
14hoddhodd3033
27%
1.1
2938-9
2.2
63%
43%
17%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1111.01.3
-
15jervjerv3031
27%
1.0
4059-19
3.3
80%
63%
43%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.32.0
-
16SkeidSkeid3014
10%
0.5
2462-38
2.9
77%
57%
37%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.82.1
-
Norway: 1. Division 2023/24 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Norway: 1. Division stats & trends →

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