Start’s recent form has dipped, with three losses in five and a 0-1 defeat to Fredrikstad leaving them vulnerable at home. KFUM Oslo, on the other hand, has returned from a win and will travel with a 4-0 victory over IF Ready, suggesting a sharper attack on the road. The model therefore favours an away win, with a 39% chance, a draw at 29% and a home win at 32%. The expected total of 2.6 goals points to a modestly low-scoring affair, and the single most likely scoreline is 1-1, carrying a 13.8% probability. Home side Start averages 1.5 goals scored and 1.62 conceded against similarly-matched opponents, while KFUM Oslo averages 1.0 scored and 1.9 conceded away. Suggested selections include Under 7.5 goals at 99.3%, Home under 2.5 HT goals at 98.6% with a 6% edge, Home under 2.5 2H goals at 98.2% with an 8% edge, Under 6.5 at 97.7% (3% edge), Home under 3.5 goals at 97.7% (8% edge), Away under 2.5 HT goals at 96.9% (3% edge), Away under 2.5 2H goals at 95.7% (4% edge) and Under 5.5 at 93.8% (4% edge).
Results analysis
Start’s win over KFUM Oslo, 4-1, was a shock that left the model’s favourite - an away victory at 41% - wrong. The game saw the home side extend a winning streak, while the visitors returned to a defeat. The model had called an away win, but the result was a home triumph. The suggested selections were largely accurate: Under 7.5 hit at 99.3%, Home under 2.5 HT goals hit at 98.4%, Home under 2.5 2H goals hit at 97.8%, Under 6.5 hit at 97.7%, Away under 2.5 HT goals hit at 96.9%, Away under 2.5 2H goals hit at 95.4%, and Under 5.5 hit at 93.8%. Only Home under 3.5 goals missed, recorded at 97.7%. The match finished with a 4-1 scoreline, confirming a home win.
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🎯 1. Model Analysis
Start win✓ Hit
30.8%
Avg Implied 46.2% · @ 2.02
Edge
-15.4%
Best 5 market prices
Superbet
2.22
Unibet
2.10
Dafabet
2.05
Pinnacle
2.03
1xBet
2.03
Draw✗ Miss
28.6%
Avg Implied 26.6% · @ 3.51
Edge
+2.0%
Best 5 market prices
Pinnacle
3.74
1xBet
3.68
Unibet
3.60
Marathonbet
3.60
Betfair
3.60
KFUM Oslo win✗ Miss
40.6%
Avg Implied 27.2% · @ 3.44
Edge
+13.4%
Best 5 market prices
Bet365
3.75
Pinnacle
3.64
Dafabet
3.60
Betano
3.60
1xBet
3.53
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
Start
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.4
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
2.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.23
1.93
1.50
1.64
1.00
2.19
vs Stronger (7)
1.00
3.14
0.75
2.25
1.33
4.33
vs Similar (20)
1.10
1.65
1.50
1.62
0.83
1.67
vs Weaker (3)
2.67
1.00
3.00
0.50
2.00
2.00
Clean sheet %
13% (-10pp vs league)
This opponent (KFUM Oslo) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
KFUM Oslo
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.6
Avg scored
1.4
Avg conceded
1.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.27
1.53
1.31
1.44
1.21
1.64
vs Stronger (7)
0.86
2.00
0.75
2.50
1.00
1.33
vs Similar (22)
1.27
1.45
1.50
1.08
1.00
1.90
vs Weaker (1)
4.00
0.00
-
-
4.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
20% (-4pp vs league)
This opponent (Start) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.6 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (26%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
74.8%
@ 1.22-1.6%
Under 1.5
25.2%
@ 3.95+1.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.26
10Bet
1.25
Pinnacle
1.25
BetVictor
1.22
Betfair
1.22
Under
Superbet
4.40
Pinnacle
4.16
Betfair
4.10
Bet365
4.00
Unibet
3.95
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
48.5%
@ 1.75-5.3%
Under 2.5
51.5%
@ 2.04+5.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
SBO
1.81
Pinnacle
1.81
Bet365
1.80
1xBet
1.80
Betano
1.78
Under
Superbet
2.22
Unibet
2.08
Pinnacle
2.06
Betfair
2.05
1xBet
2.04
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
26.7%
@ 2.80-6.5%
Under 3.5
73.3%
@ 1.39+6.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
3.00
10Bet
2.90
BetVictor
2.90
Betfair
2.88
1xBet
2.83
Under
Superbet
1.48
Unibet
1.41
Pinnacle
1.41
Bet365
1.40
Betfair
1.40
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
54.2%
@ 1.61-3.3%
No
45.8%
@ 2.17+3.3%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
Bet365
1.67
Betfair
1.65
1xBet
1.63
Marathonbet
1.63
Betano
1.62
No
Superbet
2.35
Unibet
2.25
Betfair
2.20
William Hil
2.20
BetVictor
2.15
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
13.7%@ 6.34+6.6%
0-1
9.1%@ 10.63+4.8%
1-2
8.8%@ 10.93+4.6%
0-0
8.6%@ 11.01+4.5%
1-0
7.6%@ 7.86+1.8%
2-1
7.5%@ 8.01+1.8%
0-2
7.3%@ 17.80+4.8%
2-0
5.3%@ 9.93+0.7%
Start goals ↓
KFUM Oslo goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
8.6%
9.1%
7.3%
3.4%
1.2%
1
7.6%
14%
8.8%
4.1%
1.5%
2
5.3%
7.5%
5.3%
2.5%
0.9%
3
2.1%
3.0%
2.1%
1.0%
0.4%
4
0.6%
0.9%
0.6%
0.3%
0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Start goals (down), columns = KFUM Oslo goals (across).
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💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Bodo/Glimt
2.44
Viking
2.39
Tromso
1.94
Molde
1.67
Fredrikstad
1.44
Lillestrom
1.44
Brann
1.44
Rosenborg
1.33
Ham-Kam
1.28
Sarpsborg 08 FF
1.28
Valerenga
1.17
KFUM Oslo
1.06
Sandefjord
1.06
Kristiansund BK
0.89
Aalesund
0.83
Start
0.72
Start is 0.33 points worse than KFUM Oslo in terms of average points per game (0.72 vs 1.06).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Bodo/Glimt
2.61
Viking
2.33
Molde
2.00
Brann
2.00
Tromso
1.89
Valerenga
1.72
Aalesund
1.56
Rosenborg
1.50
Ham-Kam
1.44
Lillestrom
1.33
Fredrikstad
1.22
KFUM Oslo
1.11
Start
1.11
Sarpsborg 08 FF
1.11
Kristiansund BK
0.94
Sandefjord
0.83
Start and KFUM Oslo are level in goals scored per game (both 1.11).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Bodo/Glimt
0.78
Viking
1.00
Tromso
1.11
Sarpsborg 08 FF
1.28
Sandefjord
1.28
Lillestrom
1.39
Rosenborg
1.44
Brann
1.50
Fredrikstad
1.56
Molde
1.61
Kristiansund BK
1.61
KFUM Oslo
1.72
Ham-Kam
1.78
Valerenga
2.11
Start
2.17
Aalesund
2.39
Start is 0.44 goals worse than KFUM Oslo in terms of goals conceded per game (2.17 vs 1.72).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
Bodo/Glimt
64%
Brann
59%
Molde
58%
Lillestrom
53%
Rosenborg
52%
Viking
51%
Sandefjord
50%
Tromso
49%
Valerenga
49%
Ham-Kam
48%
Fredrikstad
47%
KFUM Oslo
46%
Sarpsborg 08 FF
45%
Aalesund
43%
Kristiansund BK
43%
Start
42%
Start is 3.3 percentage points worse than KFUM Oslo in terms of average possession (42% vs 46%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Start
For 3.8 · Against 4.7 · Total 8.5
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.2 · Against 1.8 · Total 4.0
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 11.2 · Against 11.3 · Total 22.5
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
KFUM Oslo
For 4.1 · Against 5.2 · Total 9.3
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.3 · Against 1.2 · Total 3.5
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 13.0 · Against 8.1 · Total 21.1
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Start
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
8.9
9.1
8.8
1.2
1.0
1.4
23.6
23.4
23.8
vs Stronger (7)
9.7
7.5
12.7
3.6
3.5
3.7
23.1
24.8
21.0
vs Similar (35)
8.4
10.8
6.8
1.0
0.5
1.4
23.9
22.0
25.2
vs Weaker (8)
-
-
-
0.0
0.0
0.0
-
-
-
% over line
35%
50%
22%
16%
14%
18%
76%
62%
89%
% under line
65%
50%
78%
84%
86%
82%
24%
38%
11%
This opponent (KFUM Oslo) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
KFUM Oslo
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.0
9.1
8.8
3.1
3.3
2.9
21.9
20.9
23.2
vs Stronger (11)
9.6
11.0
6.7
3.6
4.1
2.8
19.5
18.0
23.0
vs Similar (38)
8.8
8.4
9.2
3.0
2.9
3.0
22.7
22.1
23.2
vs Weaker (1)
-
-
-
0.0
-
0.0
-
-
-
% over line
49%
45%
53%
44%
44%
44%
55%
52%
58%
% under line
51%
55%
47%
56%
56%
56%
45%
48%
42%
This opponent (Start) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Valerenga
12.0
Aalesund
11.8
Viking
11.8
Sarpsborg 08 FF
11.3
Rosenborg
11.2
Brann
11.0
Sandefjord
10.9
Bodo/Glimt
10.8
Lillestrom
10.5
Ham-Kam
10.3
Kristiansund BK
10.2
Molde
10.2
Fredrikstad
10.0
Start
8.9
KFUM Oslo
8.9
Tromso
8.9
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Molde
4.2
Viking
4.2
Brann
4.2
Lillestrom
4.1
Rosenborg
4.0
Valerenga
3.9
Start
3.8
Sandefjord
3.7
Kristiansund BK
3.6
KFUM Oslo
3.6
Sarpsborg 08 FF
3.4
Tromso
3.3
Aalesund
3.3
Fredrikstad
3.2
Ham-Kam
3.0
Bodo/Glimt
3.0
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Sandefjord
25.2
Viking
24.7
Rosenborg
24.5
Valerenga
24.0
Tromso
23.9
Brann
23.9
Start
23.6
Molde
23.3
Ham-Kam
23.1
Lillestrom
22.6
Sarpsborg 08 FF
22.6
Kristiansund BK
21.9
KFUM Oslo
21.7
Aalesund
21.6
Fredrikstad
21.1
Bodo/Glimt
19.0
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Over
Over 9.5
50.0%
@ 1.81-1.7%
Under 9.5
50.0%
@ 1.93+1.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
1.98
Superbet
1.90
Betano
1.85
Pinnacle
1.78
1xBet
1.77
Under
Unibet
2.05
Pinnacle
2.01
1xBet
1.98
10Bet
1.95
Marathonbet
1.94
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
51.2%
Under 3.5
48.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
63.9%
Under 21.5
36.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Start or Draw✓ Hit
49.1%
Avg Implied 72.1% · @ 1.30
Edge
-23.0%
31%
29%
41%
covers Start + Draw
Best 5 market prices
Superbet
1.36
Bet365
1.36
Unibet
1.30
Betano
1.30
William Hil
1.30
Start or KFUM Oslo✓ Hit
73.6%
Avg Implied 73.8% · @ 1.27
Edge
-0.2%
31%
29%
41%
covers Start + KFUM Oslo
Best 5 market prices
Bet365
1.33
Betano
1.30
William Hil
1.29
1xBet
1.28
Superbet
1.28
Draw or KFUM Oslo✗ Miss
77.3%
Avg Implied 54.0% · @ 1.73
Edge
+23.2%
31%
29%
41%
covers Draw + KFUM Oslo
Best 5 market prices
SBO
1.82
Betano
1.82
Betfair
1.80
1xBet
1.79
Marathonbet
1.78
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🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Start over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
65.6%
@ 1.18-13.3%
Under
34.4%
@ 4.40+13.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.20
Pinnacle
1.20
Marathonbet
1.18
Superbet
1.18
Bet365
1.18
Under
Pinnacle
4.67
Bet365
4.50
Superbet
4.50
Betfair
4.50
BetVictor
4.50
Start over/under 1.5Actual: Over
Over
28.9%
@ 1.91-20.0%
Under
71.1%
@ 1.82+20.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.98
1xBet
1.93
Marathonbet
1.93
Superbet
1.92
BetVictor
1.91
Under
Pinnacle
1.88
Marathonbet
1.84
1xBet
1.84
Betano
1.83
Bet365
1.83
Start over/under 2.5Actual: Over
Over
9.3%
@ 3.82-15.1%
Under
90.7%
@ 1.23+15.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
4.03
Marathonbet
3.94
1xBet
3.94
BetVictor
3.90
10Bet
3.80
Under
Betano
1.26
Pinnacle
1.25
Bet365
1.25
Superbet
1.24
Unibet
1.23
Start over/under 3.5Actual: Over
Over
2.3%
@ 8.95-8.1%
Under
97.7%
@ 1.04+8.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
10.00
Betfair
9.50
1xBet
9.40
Marathonbet
9.30
Superbet
8.30
Under
Betano
1.07
Bet365
1.06
Superbet
1.06
Betfair
1.04
Marathonbet
1.01
KFUM Oslo over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
81.6%
@ 1.33+11.9%
Under
18.4%
@ 3.07-11.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
BetVictor
1.36
Pinnacle
1.36
Bet365
1.36
Betano
1.36
10Bet
1.35
Under
Superbet
3.60
Unibet
3.20
Pinnacle
3.17
Bet365
3.00
Betfair
3.00
KFUM Oslo over/under 1.5Actual: Under
Over
50.5%
@ 2.68+15.6%
Under
49.5%
@ 1.44-15.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.90
1xBet
2.78
Marathonbet
2.78
Betfair
2.75
Bet365
2.75
Under
Superbet
1.59
Unibet
1.49
Pinnacle
1.44
Betano
1.42
Marathonbet
1.41
KFUM Oslo over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
24.1%
@ 6.58+9.9%
Under
75.9%
@ 1.09-9.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
8.00
1xBet
7.30
Marathonbet
7.30
BetVictor
7.00
10Bet
6.50
Under
Superbet
1.15
Unibet
1.11
Betano
1.09
10Bet
1.08
Bet365
1.08
KFUM Oslo over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
9.2%
@ 13.62+2.2%
Under
90.8%
@ 1.02-2.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
21.00
Superbet
12.00
Betano
11.50
Betfair
10.00
Under
Betfair
1.03
Superbet
1.03
Betano
1.02
Bet365
1.01
⚖️ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to Start, so a minus line means Start give that many goals of a start and KFUM Oslo receive them. At -1, Start must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Start win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Start)Actual: Start
Start -2
2.6%
@ 7.72-9.1%
Draw -2
6.3%
@ 5.83-9.1%
KFUM Oslo +2
91.1%
@ 1.24+18.2%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Betfair
8.00
Bet365
8.00
Marathonbet
7.70
Superbet
7.60
Unibet
7.50
Draw
Betfair
6.00
Marathonbet
6.00
Bet365
6.00
Superbet
5.90
Unibet
5.60
Away
Bet365
1.28
10Bet
1.25
Betfair
1.22
Marathonbet
1.22
Unibet
1.22
Handicap -1 (Start)Actual: Start
Start -1
8.9%
@ 3.61-15.9%
Draw -1
13.8%
@ 3.79-9.8%
KFUM Oslo +1
77.3%
@ 1.73+25.6%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Superbet
3.85
Betfair
3.60
10Bet
3.60
Unibet
3.60
Marathonbet
3.50
Draw
Bet365
4.00
Superbet
4.00
Betfair
3.75
Marathonbet
3.74
Unibet
3.65
Away
Bet365
1.80
Marathonbet
1.78
10Bet
1.77
Betfair
1.73
Unibet
1.68
Handicap +1 (Start)Actual: Start
Start +1
49.1%
@ 1.29-20.4%
Draw +1
22.7%
@ 5.02+4.7%
KFUM Oslo -1
28.3%
@ 7.18+15.7%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Superbet
1.37
Unibet
1.34
Marathonbet
1.28
10Bet
1.28
Bet365
1.25
Draw
Bet365
5.50
Marathonbet
5.25
Betfair
5.00
10Bet
5.00
Superbet
4.85
Away
Bet365
9.00
Betfair
8.00
Marathonbet
7.60
10Bet
7.00
Unibet
6.00
Handicap +2 (Start)Actual: Start
Start +2
71.7%
@ 1.07-14.1%
Draw +2
15.9%
@ 10.33+7.0%
KFUM Oslo -2
12.3%
@ 17.67+7.1%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Unibet
1.09
Bet365
1.07
Betfair
1.06
Draw
Bet365
12.00
Betfair
11.00
Unibet
8.00
Away
Bet365
21.00
Betfair
20.00
Unibet
12.00
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Start
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
1.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.57
0.67
0.50
0.86
0.62
0.50
vs Stronger (7)
0.71
1.29
0.50
1.50
1.00
1.00
vs Similar (20)
0.55
0.45
0.62
0.62
0.50
0.33
vs Weaker (3)
0.33
0.67
0.00
0.50
1.00
1.00
Clean sheet %
50% (+26pp vs league)
This opponent (KFUM Oslo) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
KFUM Oslo
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.73
0.83
0.75
0.69
0.71
1.00
vs Stronger (7)
0.29
0.86
0.25
1.00
0.33
0.67
vs Similar (22)
0.73
0.86
0.92
0.58
0.50
1.20
vs Weaker (1)
4.00
0.00
-
-
4.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
43% (+20pp vs league)
This opponent (Start) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
68.2%
@ 1.32-2.3%
Under 0.5
31.8%
@ 3.16+2.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.40
Pinnacle
1.34
BetVictor
1.34
10Bet
1.33
Marathonbet
1.32
Under
Bet365
3.40
Superbet
3.40
Betfair
3.30
Pinnacle
3.30
William Hil
3.25
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
31.6%
@ 2.52-5.4%
Under 1.5
68.4%
@ 1.48+5.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.67
Betano
2.67
Betfair
2.60
1xBet
2.59
Marathonbet
2.59
Under
Superbet
1.56
William Hil
1.50
Bet365
1.50
Unibet
1.49
BetVictor
1.48
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
11.7%
@ 6.17-3.4%
Under 2.5
88.3%
@ 1.09+3.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betfair
7.00
BetVictor
6.50
1xBet
6.35
Marathonbet
6.35
Bet365
6.00
Under
Superbet
1.13
Bet365
1.12
William Hil
1.11
Betano
1.11
BetVictor
1.08
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Start over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
36.4%
@ 1.80-15.2%
Under
63.6%
@ 1.92+15.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.85
Pinnacle
1.84
Marathonbet
1.79
1xBet
1.79
Unibet
1.78
Under
Pinnacle
1.98
10Bet
1.95
Superbet
1.92
Betano
1.90
Marathonbet
1.89
Start over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
8.1%
@ 5.05-10.2%
Under
91.9%
@ 1.13+10.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
5.40
1xBet
5.40
Betano
4.85
Superbet
4.85
10Bet
4.75
Under
Betano
1.16
10Bet
1.15
Superbet
1.14
1xBet
1.11
Marathonbet
1.11
Start over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
1.6%
@ 12.83-5.7%
Under
98.4%
@ 1.02+5.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
15.00
10Bet
13.00
Betano
10.50
Under
Betano
1.03
10Bet
1.02
Superbet
1.01
KFUM Oslo over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
48.2%
@ 2.20+6.0%
Under
51.8%
@ 1.61-6.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
2.35
Pinnacle
2.32
Marathonbet
2.24
1xBet
2.24
10Bet
2.20
Under
Superbet
1.71
Unibet
1.66
Pinnacle
1.62
10Bet
1.60
Marathonbet
1.56
KFUM Oslo over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
13.7%
@ 7.52+1.4%
Under
86.3%
@ 1.06-1.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
8.60
Marathonbet
8.60
Betano
7.40
10Bet
7.00
Superbet
6.00
Under
Superbet
1.09
10Bet
1.07
Betano
1.07
Marathonbet
1.03
1xBet
1.03
KFUM Oslo over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
3.1%
@ 19.50-1.8%
Under
96.9%
@ 1.01+1.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
26.00
Superbet
20.00
Betano
12.50
Under
10Bet
1.01
Betano
1.01
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Start
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
1.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.67
1.27
1.00
0.79
0.38
1.69
vs Stronger (7)
0.29
1.86
0.25
0.75
0.33
3.33
vs Similar (20)
0.55
1.20
0.88
1.00
0.33
1.33
vs Weaker (3)
2.33
0.33
3.00
0.00
1.00
1.00
Clean sheet %
40% (+16pp vs league)
This opponent (KFUM Oslo) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
KFUM Oslo
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.53
0.70
0.56
0.75
0.50
0.64
vs Stronger (7)
0.57
1.14
0.50
1.50
0.67
0.67
vs Similar (22)
0.55
0.59
0.58
0.50
0.50
0.70
vs Weaker (1)
0.00
0.00
-
-
0.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
43% (+20pp vs league)
This opponent (Start) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
77.1%
@ 1.19-1.2%
Under 0.5
22.9%
@ 4.28+1.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.22
William Hil
1.22
Bet365
1.18
Superbet
1.17
1xBet
1.17
Under
Superbet
4.60
Bet365
4.50
1xBet
4.25
Marathonbet
4.25
Betano
4.20
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
42.4%
@ 1.92-6.1%
Under 1.5
57.6%
@ 1.81+6.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
William Hil
2.00
Marathonbet
1.98
1xBet
1.98
Betano
1.95
Unibet
1.86
Under
Superbet
1.90
Betano
1.83
Bet365
1.83
Unibet
1.81
Marathonbet
1.77
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
17.1%
@ 3.93-6.7%
Under 2.5
82.9%
@ 1.22+6.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
William Hil
4.20
Marathonbet
4.15
1xBet
4.15
Betano
3.80
Bet365
3.75
Under
Superbet
1.27
Betano
1.26
Bet365
1.25
William Hil
1.20
1xBet
1.18
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Start over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
46.8%
@ 1.56-12.5%
Under
53.2%
@ 2.28+12.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
1.60
Superbet
1.57
10Bet
1.55
1xBet
1.55
Betano
1.55
Under
Betano
2.35
10Bet
2.30
1xBet
2.30
Superbet
2.27
Marathonbet
2.16
Start over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
12.4%
@ 3.63-13.1%
Under
87.6%
@ 1.24+13.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
3.74
Superbet
3.70
10Bet
3.65
1xBet
3.60
Betano
3.45
Under
Betano
1.28
10Bet
1.25
1xBet
1.24
Superbet
1.23
Marathonbet
1.22
Start over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
2.2%
@ 9.30-7.8%
Under
97.8%
@ 1.03+7.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
10.00
Superbet
9.70
10Bet
9.50
Betano
8.00
Under
Betano
1.06
Superbet
1.03
10Bet
1.03
1xBet
1.01
KFUM Oslo over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
54.7%
@ 1.84+4.4%
Under
45.3%
@ 1.86-4.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.90
Marathonbet
1.88
10Bet
1.85
Betano
1.85
Superbet
1.72
Under
Superbet
2.00
Betano
1.88
10Bet
1.83
1xBet
1.81
Marathonbet
1.80
KFUM Oslo over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
20.4%
@ 5.30+2.9%
Under
79.6%
@ 1.12-2.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
5.95
1xBet
5.50
10Bet
5.50
Betano
5.10
Superbet
4.45
Under
Superbet
1.17
Betano
1.15
10Bet
1.11
1xBet
1.10
Marathonbet
1.09
KFUM Oslo over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
4.6%
@ 14.33-2.0%
Under
95.4%
@ 1.02+2.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
19.00
Superbet
13.00
Betano
11.00
Under
Superbet
1.02
Betano
1.02
10Bet
1.01
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🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Under 7.5
99.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 HT goals
98.4%
1.02
Betano
1.03
10Bet
1.02
Superbet
1.01
-
-
+5.7%
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 2H goals
97.8%
1.03
Betano
1.06
Superbet
1.03
10Bet
1.03
1xBet
1.01
-
+7.8%
✓ Hit
Under 6.5
97.7%
1.01
Betano
1.02
Superbet
1.01
Betfair
1.01
Bet365
1.01
1xBet
1.01
+3.1%
✓ Hit
Home under 3.5 goals
97.7%
1.04
Betano
1.07
Bet365
1.06
Superbet
1.06
Betfair
1.04
Marathonbet
1.01
+8.1%
✗ Miss
Away under 2.5 HT goals
96.9%
1.01
10Bet
1.01
Betano
1.01
-
-
-
+1.8%
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 2H goals
95.4%
1.02
Superbet
1.02
Betano
1.02
10Bet
1.01
-
-
+2.0%
✓ Hit
Under 5.5
93.8%
1.04
Superbet
1.06
Betano
1.06
Bet365
1.05
Betfair
1.04
BetVictor
1.02
+3.5%
✓ Hit
Home under 1.5 HT goals
91.9%
1.13
Betano
1.16
10Bet
1.15
Superbet
1.14
1xBet
1.11
Marathonbet
1.11
+10.2%
✗ Miss
Away +2 handicap
91.1%
1.24
Bet365
1.28
10Bet
1.25
Betfair
1.22
Marathonbet
1.22
Unibet
1.22
+18.2%
✗ Miss
Away under 3.5 goals
90.8%
1.02
Betfair
1.03
Superbet
1.03
Betano
1.02
Bet365
1.01
-
-2.2%
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 goals
90.7%
1.23
Betano
1.26
Pinnacle
1.25
Bet365
1.25
Superbet
1.24
Unibet
1.23
+15.1%
✗ Miss
Under 2.5 HT goals
88.3%
1.09
Superbet
1.13
Bet365
1.12
William Hil
1.11
Betano
1.11
BetVictor
1.08
+3.4%
✗ Miss
Home under 1.5 2H goals
87.6%
1.24
Betano
1.28
10Bet
1.25
1xBet
1.24
Superbet
1.23
Marathonbet
1.22
+13.1%
✗ Miss
Away under 1.5 HT goals
86.3%
1.06
Superbet
1.09
10Bet
1.07
Betano
1.07
Marathonbet
1.03
1xBet
1.03
-1.4%
✓ Hit
Under 4.5
85.4%
1.13
Superbet
1.18
Betano
1.16
Pinnacle
1.16
Bet365
1.14
Unibet
1.14
+3.0%
✗ Miss
Under 2.5 2H goals
82.9%
1.22
Superbet
1.27
Betano
1.26
Bet365
1.25
William Hil
1.20
1xBet
1.18
+6.7%
✓ Hit
Under 5.5 cards
82.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Away over 0.5 goals
81.6%
1.33
BetVictor
1.36
Pinnacle
1.36
Bet365
1.36
Betano
1.36
10Bet
1.35
+11.9%
✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 2H goals
79.6%
1.12
Superbet
1.17
Betano
1.15
10Bet
1.11
1xBet
1.10
Marathonbet
1.09
-2.9%
✓ Hit
Over 19.5 fouls
78.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 0.5 2H goals
77.1%
1.19
Betano
1.22
William Hil
1.22
Bet365
1.18
Superbet
1.17
1xBet
1.17
-1.2%
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 goals
75.9%
1.09
Superbet
1.15
Unibet
1.11
Betano
1.09
10Bet
1.08
Bet365
1.08
-9.9%
✓ Hit
Over 1.5
74.8%
1.22
Betano
1.26
10Bet
1.25
Pinnacle
1.25
BetVictor
1.22
Betfair
1.22
-1.6%
✓ Hit
Home or Away
73.6%
1.27
Bet365
1.33
Betano
1.30
William Hil
1.29
1xBet
1.28
Superbet
1.28
-0.2%
✓ Hit
Under 11.5 corners
73.4%
1.34
Unibet
1.42
1xBet
1.33
Superbet
1.33
Betano
1.31
Marathonbet
1.31
+4.9%
✗ Miss
Under 3.5
73.3%
1.39
Superbet
1.48
Unibet
1.41
Pinnacle
1.41
Bet365
1.40
Betfair
1.40
+6.5%
✗ Miss
Over 2.5 cards
71.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home +2 handicap
71.7%
1.07
Unibet
1.09
Bet365
1.07
Betfair
1.06
-
-
-14.1%
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Start
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Jesper Cornelius22%
Steve Mvoué18%
Hakon Lorentzen17%
Altin Ujkani17%
Deni Dashaev17%
Ousmane Diallo Toure12%
Erlend Dahl Reitan12%
Erlend Segberg12%
Tom Strannegård12%
Eirik Schulze7%
Jacob Pryts0%
Sebastian Griesbeck0%
Mikael Ugland0%
Fredrik Palerud0%
Kristoffer Tønnessen0%
John Olav Norheim0%
Markus Soomets0%
Jens Berland Husebø0%
James Ampofo0%
Omar Jebali0%
Lukas Hjelleset Gausdal0%
Alexander Gurendal0%
Santino Samuyiwa0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Erlend Dahl Reitan41%
Steve Mvoué36%
Altin Ujkani33%
Kristoffer Tønnessen20%
Alexander Gurendal20%
Mikael Ugland19%
Ousmane Diallo Toure19%
Erlend Segberg18%
Deni Dashaev17%
Sebastian Griesbeck14%
Eirik Schulze14%
John Olav Norheim14%
Fredrik Palerud11%
Omar Jebali8%
James Ampofo7%
Jacob Pryts6%
Jesper Cornelius6%
Hakon Lorentzen0%
Markus Soomets0%
Jens Berland Husebø0%
Tom Strannegård0%
Lukas Hjelleset Gausdal0%
Santino Samuyiwa0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Tom Strannegård18%
Hakon Lorentzen17%
Eirik Schulze14%
Erlend Segberg12%
Jesper Cornelius11%
Omar Jebali8%
Mikael Ugland6%
Jacob Pryts0%
Sebastian Griesbeck0%
Erlend Dahl Reitan0%
Fredrik Palerud0%
Kristoffer Tønnessen0%
John Olav Norheim0%
Steve Mvoué0%
Altin Ujkani0%
Markus Soomets0%
Jens Berland Husebø0%
Ousmane Diallo Toure0%
James Ampofo0%
Deni Dashaev0%
Lukas Hjelleset Gausdal0%
Alexander Gurendal0%
Santino Samuyiwa0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Jesper Cornelius33%
James Ampofo20%
Deni Dashaev17%
Eirik Schulze14%
Hakon Lorentzen11%
John Olav Norheim7%
Mikael Ugland6%
Erlend Segberg6%
Jacob Pryts0%
Sebastian Griesbeck0%
Erlend Dahl Reitan0%
Fredrik Palerud0%
Kristoffer Tønnessen0%
Steve Mvoué0%
Altin Ujkani0%
Markus Soomets0%
Jens Berland Husebø0%
Tom Strannegård0%
Ousmane Diallo Toure0%
Omar Jebali0%
Lukas Hjelleset Gausdal0%
Alexander Gurendal0%
Santino Samuyiwa0%
KFUM Oslo
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Teodor Haltvik40%
Bilal Njie31%
Rasmus Eggen Vinge19%
Magnus Wolff Eikrem17%
Magnus Grødem15%
Hakon Helland Hoseth12%
Simen Hestnes9%
Bjorn Martin Kristensen6%
Daniel Schneider6%
Amin Nouri0%
Robin Rasch0%
Tore Andre Soras0%
Sander Hansen Sjøkvist0%
Martin Tangen Vinjor0%
Fredrik Tobias Berglie0%
David Hickson Gyedu0%
Havar Jensen0%
Emil Odegaard0%
Eirik Franke Saunes0%
Brage Skaret0%
Momodou Lion Njie0%
Jonas Lange Hjorth0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Momodou Lion Njie33%
Martin Tangen Vinjor24%
Daniel Schneider22%
Tore Andre Soras20%
David Hickson Gyedu20%
Brage Skaret20%
Eirik Franke Saunes19%
Magnus Grødem15%
Robin Rasch12%
Rasmus Eggen Vinge12%
Bilal Njie8%
Fredrik Tobias Berglie8%
Jonas Lange Hjorth8%
Sander Hansen Sjøkvist6%
Hakon Helland Hoseth6%
Bjorn Martin Kristensen6%
Amin Nouri0%
Magnus Wolff Eikrem0%
Havar Jensen0%
Emil Odegaard0%
Simen Hestnes0%
Teodor Haltvik0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Magnus Wolff Eikrem17%
Jonas Lange Hjorth15%
Robin Rasch12%
Hakon Helland Hoseth12%
Martin Tangen Vinjor12%
David Hickson Gyedu10%
Brage Skaret10%
Simen Hestnes9%
Sander Hansen Sjøkvist6%
Amin Nouri0%
Bilal Njie0%
Magnus Grødem0%
Tore Andre Soras0%
Fredrik Tobias Berglie0%
Havar Jensen0%
Emil Odegaard0%
Eirik Franke Saunes0%
Teodor Haltvik0%
Bjorn Martin Kristensen0%
Momodou Lion Njie0%
Rasmus Eggen Vinge0%
Daniel Schneider0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Teodor Haltvik20%
Rasmus Eggen Vinge12%
Magnus Wolff Eikrem8%
Bilal Njie8%
Magnus Grødem8%
Amin Nouri0%
Robin Rasch0%
Tore Andre Soras0%
Sander Hansen Sjøkvist0%
Martin Tangen Vinjor0%
Fredrik Tobias Berglie0%
David Hickson Gyedu0%
Havar Jensen0%
Emil Odegaard0%
Simen Hestnes0%
Eirik Franke Saunes0%
Hakon Helland Hoseth0%
Brage Skaret0%
Bjorn Martin Kristensen0%
Momodou Lion Njie0%
Jonas Lange Hjorth0%
Daniel Schneider0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
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💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BOD (24)
€75m
VIK (27)
€47m
MOL (26)
€35m
BRA (25)
€27m
ROS (23)
€23m
S0F (24)
€16m
VAL (22)
€16m
FRE (25)
€15m
TRO (22)
€15m
LIL (25)
€14m
AAL (25)
€13m
KB (21)
€13m
SAN (23)
€12m
HAM (24)
€10m
STA (25)
€9m
KO (24)
€8m
Start and KFUM Oslo have a similar squad value (both €9m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BOD (7)
€22m
VIK (10)
€21m
MOL (7)
€13m
BRA (10)
€11m
ROS (8)
€10m
S0F (10)
€9m
LIL (9)
€6m
VAL (7)
€6m
AAL (7)
€5m
KB (6)
€5m
FRE (5)
€5m
SAN (8)
€4m
TRO (6)
€4m
HAM (10)
€4m
KO (8)
€3m
STA (5)
€2m
Start and KFUM Oslo have a similar attack value (both €2m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BOD (7)
€27m
VIK (5)
€12m
MOL (8)
€7m
BRA (4)
€7m
VAL (6)
€5m
KB (6)
€4m
AAL (8)
€4m
LIL (4)
€4m
ROS (4)
€3m
S0F (5)
€3m
STA (8)
€3m
HAM (6)
€3m
TRO (5)
€3m
FRE (4)
€3m
SAN (4)
€2m
KO (5)
€2m
Start's midfield is €1m more valuable than KFUM Oslo's (€3m vs €2m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BOD (10)
€26m
VIK (12)
€15m
MOL (11)
€15m
ROS (11)
€9m
BRA (11)
€9m
TRO (11)
€8m
FRE (16)
€8m
VAL (9)
€5m
SAN (11)
€5m
LIL (12)
€5m
AAL (10)
€4m
S0F (9)
€4m
HAM (8)
€4m
KO (11)
€4m
STA (12)
€4m
KB (9)
€3m
Start and KFUM Oslo have a similar defence value (both €4m).
Norway: Eliteserien 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Norway: Eliteserien stats & trends →
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Bodo/Glimt
Viking
Tromso
Molde
Brann
Lillestrom
Fredrikstad
Rosenborg
Sarpsborg 08 FF
Ham-Kam
Valerenga
Sandefjord
Kristiansund BK
Aalesund