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Stenhousemuir vs Heart Of Midlothian Prediction & Stats

Date: 11/09/2026
Time: 18:45
Stenhousemuir
Stenhousemuir
Vs
21%
29%
50%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Heart Of Midlothian
Heart Of Midlothian
Scotland: League Cup
Referee: -
Match preview & prediction

Stenhousemuir’s recent three-game winning streak against Queen’s Park gives the home side a slight lift, yet the model favours an away win for Heart Of Midlothian. The predicted outcome is a 53% chance of a Hearts victory, 28% for a draw and 19% for a Stenhousemuir win. The match is expected to see 2.4 goals on average, with the most likely total of two goals occurring 27% of the time. The single scoreline the model deems most probable is 1-1, with a 13.1% probability.

Stenhousemuir, playing at home against a stronger opponent, averages 1.67 goals scored and 0.60 conceded. Hearts, on the road against a weaker side, averages 0.75 goals scored and 1.00 conceded. These figures suggest a modestly defensive game but with chances for both sides.

The model’s selections include Under 7.5 goals (99.7%), Home under 3.5 goals (98.9%), Under 6.5 (98.8%), Under 5.5 (96.3%), Home under 2.5 goals (94.5%), Away +2 handicap (93.5%), Away under 3.5 goals (92.5%) and Under 4.5 (90.2%). All probabilities are expressed as percentages.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Stenhousemuir win
20.8%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw
28.9%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Heart Of Midlothian win
50.3%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

StenhousemuirStenhousemuir

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-301L20W21W22D00D11D20W00D20W31WH·ALL16/05H·FOR11/07A·BRE18/07A·PAR21/07H·LIV25/07A·RAI01/08H·MOR08/08H·MOT16/08A·QUE22/08H·INV29/08
Avg total
2.0
Avg scored
1.4
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.500.671.500.501.500.86
vs Stronger (29)1.480.691.470.531.500.86
vs Similar (1)2.000.002.000.00--
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %50% (+18pp vs league)
This opponent (Heart Of Midlothian) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Heart Of MidlothianHeart Of Midlothian

Last 10 – goals for & against
60-602L12L16L40W11D62W22D11D21W31WH·STU28/07A·ABE01/08A·BEN06/08H·DUN09/08H·BEN13/08H·INV16/08H·RAP20/08A·RAP26/08H·ST 29/08A·HIB03/09
Avg total
3.9
Avg scored
2.1
Avg conceded
1.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.701.201.940.761.381.77
vs Stronger (7)1.292.711.251.501.334.33
vs Similar (14)1.930.712.000.501.831.00
vs Weaker (9)1.670.782.400.600.751.00
Clean sheet %33% (+1pp vs league)
This opponent (Stenhousemuir) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

7%14%21%28%11%020%128%221%312%46%53%6+
The model estimates around 2.3 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (28%).
Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
69.1%
Under 1.5
30.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
41.5%
Under 2.5
58.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5
Over 3.5
20.9%
Under 3.5
79.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to score
Yes
45.9%
No
54.1%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
13.5%
0-1
13.0%
0-0
10.9%
0-2
10.5%
1-2
9.1%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
5.3%
0-3
5.2%
Stenhousemuir goals ↓
Heart Of Midlothian goals →
01234
011%13%10%5.2%1.9%
17.1%14%9.1%4.5%1.6%
23.6%5.3%3.9%1.9%0.7%
31.0%1.5%1.1%0.6%0.2%
40.2%0.3%0.2%0.1%0.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Stenhousemuir goals (down), columns = Heart Of Midlothian goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Heart Of Midlothian
2.60
ST Johnstone
2.60
Partick
2.50
Alloa Athletic
2.40
Rangers
2.33
ST Mirren
2.25
Airdrie United
2.25
Dunfermline
2.25
Kilmarnock
2.20
Falkirk
2.00
Motherwell
2.00
Ayr Utd
1.80
Morton
1.80
Celtic
1.75
Cove Rangers
1.75
Ross County
1.75
Inverness CT
1.50
Hibernian
1.50
Dundee
1.50
Aberdeen
1.50
Raith Rovers
1.50
East Kilbride
1.50
Dumbarton
1.50
Spartans
1.50
Livingston
1.50
Queen's Park
1.50
Stranraer
1.25
Clyde
1.25
Forfar
1.00
Arbroath
1.00
Stenhousemuir
1.00
East Fife
1.00
Hamilton Academical
0.75
Montrose
0.75
Queen of the South
0.75
Kelty Hearts
0.33
Annan Athletic
0.25
Edinburgh City
0.25
Dundee Utd
0.00
Brechin
0.00
Elgin
0.00
Stirling
0.00
Peterhead
0.00
Stenhousemuir is 1.60 points worse than Heart Of Midlothian in terms of average points per game (1.00 vs 2.60).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Heart Of Midlothian
3.40
Raith Rovers
3.25
Falkirk
3.00
ST Johnstone
3.00
Ayr Utd
2.80
ST Mirren
2.75
East Kilbride
2.75
Ross County
2.75
Celtic
2.50
Rangers
2.33
Inverness CT
2.25
Dunfermline
2.25
Queen's Park
2.25
Partick
2.17
Airdrie United
2.00
Dundee
2.00
Morton
2.00
Livingston
2.00
Kilmarnock
1.80
Alloa Athletic
1.80
Aberdeen
1.50
Clyde
1.50
Arbroath
1.50
Montrose
1.50
Motherwell
1.43
Cove Rangers
1.25
Dundee Utd
1.00
Hibernian
1.00
Annan Athletic
1.00
Spartans
1.00
Peterhead
1.00
Queen of the South
1.00
Hamilton Academical
0.75
Forfar
0.75
Stenhousemuir
0.75
East Fife
0.67
Elgin
0.50
Stranraer
0.50
Dumbarton
0.50
Edinburgh City
0.25
Brechin
0.00
Kelty Hearts
0.00
Stirling
0.00
Stenhousemuir is 2.65 goals worse than Heart Of Midlothian in terms of goals scored per game (0.75 vs 3.40).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Heart Of Midlothian
0.40
ST Johnstone
0.40
Aberdeen
0.50
Cove Rangers
0.50
Kilmarnock
0.60
Dundee
0.75
Stranraer
0.75
Airdrie United
1.00
Hibernian
1.00
Rangers
1.00
Falkirk
1.00
Motherwell
1.00
Partick
1.00
Ayr Utd
1.00
Livingston
1.00
Ross County
1.00
Queen of the South
1.00
ST Mirren
1.12
Celtic
1.25
Arbroath
1.25
Dunfermline
1.25
Alloa Athletic
1.40
Forfar
1.50
Spartans
1.50
Stenhousemuir
1.50
Queen's Park
1.50
Morton
1.60
Hamilton Academical
1.75
Dundee Utd
2.00
Inverness CT
2.00
Dumbarton
2.00
Clyde
2.00
East Fife
2.00
Raith Rovers
2.25
Stirling
2.25
Peterhead
2.25
Kelty Hearts
2.33
Montrose
2.50
East Kilbride
3.00
Edinburgh City
4.00
Brechin
4.25
Elgin
4.75
Annan Athletic
5.25
Stenhousemuir is 1.10 goals worse than Heart Of Midlothian in terms of goals conceded per game (1.50 vs 0.40).

⏱️ Possession

Avg possession %
Celtic
63%
ST Mirren
37%
Not enough data to compare these two teams.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

StenhousemuirStenhousemuir

For 4.9 · Against 3.6 · Total 8.5

🚩 Corners

1402427713454441047411836987981411211H·LIVA·MONH·ALLA·COVH·INVH·HAMA·EASH·KELA·PETA·QUE
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.1 · Against 2.1 · Total 4.2

🟨 Cards

703112512551642313226750764H·LIVA·MONH·ALLA·COVH·INVH·HAMA·EASH·KELA·PETA·QUE
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 14.0 · Against 13.7 · Total 27.7

⚠️ Fouls

380171477159111713151118101120181718191031142428282921383529H·LIVA·MONH·ALLA·COVH·INVH·HAMA·EASH·KELA·PETA·QUE
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

Heart Of MidlothianHeart Of Midlothian

For 6.0 · Against 5.7 · Total 11.7

🚩 Corners

19087846134572266482695515121999810101510A·HIBH·ST A·RAPH·RAPH·DUNA·BENA·ABEH·STUA·CELH·FAL
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.2 · Against 2.7 · Total 4.9

🟨 Cards

904631312423213613314943651944A·HIBA·RAPH·RAPH·DUNA·BENA·ABEH·STUA·CELH·FALA·MOT
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 11.1 · Against 14.2 · Total 25.3

⚠️ Fouls

38091611141820817111112121710101591061725253825222427251923A·HIBH·ST A·RAPH·RAPH·DUNA·BENA·ABEH·STUA·CELH·FAL
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

StenhousemuirStenhousemuir

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)8.58.48.63.53.43.727.227.926.4
vs Stronger (49)8.58.48.63.63.53.727.227.926.4
vs Similar (1)---0.00.0----
vs Weaker (0)---------
% over line38%35%41%54%50%58%82%88%76%
% under line62%65%59%46%50%42%18%12%24%
This opponent (Heart Of Midlothian) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Heart Of MidlothianHeart Of Midlothian

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)10.410.110.74.23.25.424.423.425.3
vs Stronger (11)10.410.410.44.63.75.823.824.623.0
vs Similar (23)10.410.210.64.73.75.725.124.126.1
vs Weaker (16)10.49.810.93.32.04.623.721.225.9
% over line64%64%65%58%35%83%67%59%74%
% under line36%36%35%42%65%17%33%41%26%
This opponent (Stenhousemuir) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

🚩 Total Corners

Match total corners / game
ST Mirren
11.1
Celtic
11.0
Ross County
10.9
Stirling
10.9
Morton
10.9
Dundee Utd
10.5
Hamilton Academical
10.5
Hibernian
10.5
Aberdeen
10.4
Partick
10.4
East Kilbride
10.4
Dumbarton
10.4
Stranraer
10.3
Elgin
10.3
Heart Of Midlothian
10.3
Rangers
10.1
Airdrie United
10.1
ST Johnstone
10.1
Brechin
10.1
Alloa Athletic
10.0
Ayr Utd
10.0
Annan Athletic
9.9
Livingston
9.9
Clyde
9.8
Dundee
9.7
East Fife
9.6
Falkirk
9.6
Arbroath
9.6
Kilmarnock
9.5
Kelty Hearts
9.5
Cove Rangers
9.4
Dunfermline
9.3
Edinburgh City
9.2
Spartans
9.2
Inverness CT
9.1
Forfar
9.1
Queen's Park
9.0
Peterhead
8.9
Stenhousemuir
8.5
Montrose
8.5
Motherwell
8.3
Queen of the South
6.0

🟨 Total Cards

Match total cards / game
East Kilbride
5.6
Edinburgh City
5.1
Peterhead
5.0
Stenhousemuir
4.8
Aberdeen
4.7
Motherwell
4.7
Hibernian
4.6
Heart Of Midlothian
4.6
Morton
4.5
Partick
4.4
Forfar
4.3
Rangers
4.3
Elgin
4.3
Kilmarnock
4.2
Kelty Hearts
4.2
Clyde
4.2
Falkirk
4.2
Livingston
4.2
Stranraer
4.2
Spartans
4.1
Dundee Utd
4.1
Annan Athletic
4.0
Stirling
4.0
Ayr Utd
4.0
ST Johnstone
4.0
Dunfermline
3.9
Celtic
3.8
Montrose
3.7
Dundee
3.7
Arbroath
3.6
East Fife
3.5
ST Mirren
3.5
Brechin
3.5
Dumbarton
3.5
Ross County
3.4
Airdrie United
3.3
Cove Rangers
3.2
Inverness CT
3.2
Queen of the South
3.0
Raith Rovers
3.0
Hamilton Academical
2.7
Queen's Park
2.5
Alloa Athletic
1.0

⚠️ Total Fouls

Match total fouls / game
Peterhead
27.3
Rangers
26.7
East Kilbride
26.4
Motherwell
25.9
Aberdeen
25.6
Falkirk
25.4
Stenhousemuir
25.4
Livingston
25.3
Heart Of Midlothian
24.6
Kilmarnock
24.2
Forfar
24.0
Edinburgh City
23.9
Hibernian
23.2
East Fife
22.9
Elgin
22.7
Kelty Hearts
22.5
Stranraer
22.3
ST Mirren
22.2
ST Johnstone
22.2
Annan Athletic
22.2
Montrose
22.2
Alloa Athletic
22.0
Ayr Utd
22.0
Dundee
21.9
Dundee Utd
21.9
Clyde
21.7
Morton
21.6
Inverness CT
21.6
Celtic
21.4
Stirling
21.1
Cove Rangers
21.0
Ross County
21.0
Arbroath
20.9
Dunfermline
20.7
Dumbarton
20.5
Brechin
20.5
Spartans
20.4
Queen of the South
20.0
Airdrie United
20.0
Partick
19.9
Queen's Park
19.0
Hamilton Academical
16.0
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
43.4%
Under 9.5
56.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
45.4%
Under 3.5
54.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
42.5%
Under 21.5
57.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Stenhousemuir or Draw
49.7%
Avg Implied -
21%
29%
50%
covers Stenhousemuir + Draw
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Stenhousemuir or Heart Of Midlothian
71.1%
Avg Implied -
21%
29%
50%
covers Stenhousemuir + Heart Of Midlothian
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw or Heart Of Midlothian
79.2%
Avg Implied -
21%
29%
50%
covers Draw + Heart Of Midlothian
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

Home & Away Over/Under

How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Stenhousemuir over/under 0.5
Over
57.8%
Under
42.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Stenhousemuir over/under 1.5
Over
21.4%
Under
78.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Stenhousemuir over/under 2.5
Over
5.7%
Under
94.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Stenhousemuir over/under 3.5
Over
1.2%
Under
98.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Heart Of Midlothian over/under 0.5
Over
77.2%
Under
22.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Heart Of Midlothian over/under 1.5
Over
43.4%
Under
56.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Heart Of Midlothian over/under 2.5
Over
18.5%
Under
81.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Heart Of Midlothian over/under 3.5
Over
6.3%
Under
93.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⚖️ 7. Handicap

Handicap

The handicap is applied to Stenhousemuir, so a minus line means Stenhousemuir give that many goals of a start and Heart Of Midlothian receive them. At -1, Stenhousemuir must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Stenhousemuir win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Stenhousemuir)
Stenhousemuir -2
1.8%
Draw -2
5.4%
Heart Of Midlothian +2
92.9%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap -1 (Stenhousemuir)
Stenhousemuir -1
7.1%
Draw -1
13.7%
Heart Of Midlothian +1
79.2%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +1 (Stenhousemuir)
Stenhousemuir +1
49.7%
Draw +1
24.2%
Heart Of Midlothian -1
26.1%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +2 (Stenhousemuir)
Stenhousemuir +2
73.9%
Draw +2
15.7%
Heart Of Midlothian -2
10.4%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

StenhousemuirStenhousemuir

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D00D21W21W00D11D00D00D00D10WH·ALL16/05H·FOR11/07A·BRE18/07A·PAR21/07H·LIV25/07A·RAI01/08H·MOR08/08H·MOT16/08A·QUE22/08H·INV29/08
Avg total
0.9
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.3
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.770.270.560.191.000.36
vs Stronger (29)0.790.280.600.201.000.36
vs Similar (1)0.000.000.000.00--
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %73% (+41pp vs league)
This opponent (Heart Of Midlothian) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Heart Of MidlothianHeart Of Midlothian

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-300D10W03L20W00D10W01L01L20W20WH·STU28/07A·ABE01/08A·BEN06/08H·DUN09/08H·BEN13/08H·INV16/08H·RAP20/08A·RAP26/08H·ST 29/08A·HIB03/09
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.700.470.590.180.850.85
vs Stronger (7)0.431.140.000.501.002.00
vs Similar (14)0.860.290.750.121.000.50
vs Weaker (9)0.670.220.800.000.500.50
Clean sheet %63% (+31pp vs league)
This opponent (Stenhousemuir) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
No half-time model prices for this fixture yet - the form above is the record.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Stenhousemuir over/under 0.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Stenhousemuir over/under 1.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Stenhousemuir over/under 2.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Heart Of Midlothian over/under 0.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Heart Of Midlothian over/under 1.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Heart Of Midlothian over/under 2.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

StenhousemuirStenhousemuir

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-201L20W00D01L00D00D20W00D20W21WH·ALL16/05H·FOR11/07A·BRE18/07A·PAR21/07H·LIV25/07A·RAI01/08H·MOR08/08H·MOT16/08A·QUE22/08H·INV29/08
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.3
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.730.400.940.310.500.50
vs Stronger (29)0.690.410.870.330.500.50
vs Similar (1)2.000.002.000.00--
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %67% (+35pp vs league)
This opponent (Heart Of Midlothian) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Heart Of MidlothianHeart Of Midlothian

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
50-502L02L13L20W11D52W21W10W01L11DH·STU28/07A·ABE01/08A·BEN06/08H·DUN09/08H·BEN13/08H·INV16/08H·RAP20/08A·RAP26/08H·ST 29/08A·HIB03/09
Avg total
2.6
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
1.3
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.000.731.350.590.540.92
vs Stronger (7)0.861.571.251.000.332.33
vs Similar (14)1.070.431.250.380.830.50
vs Weaker (9)1.000.561.600.600.250.50
Clean sheet %50% (+18pp vs league)
This opponent (Stenhousemuir) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
No second-half model prices for this fixture yet - the form above is the record.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Stenhousemuir over/under 0.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Stenhousemuir over/under 1.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Stenhousemuir over/under 2.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Heart Of Midlothian over/under 0.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Heart Of Midlothian over/under 1.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Heart Of Midlothian over/under 2.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5Edge
Under 7.599.7%-------
Under 6.599.0%-------
Home under 3.5 goals98.8%-------
Under 5.596.8%-------
Home under 2.5 goals94.3%-------
Away under 3.5 goals93.7%-------
Away +2 handicap92.9%-------
Under 4.591.2%-------
Under 5.5 cards86.3%-------
Under 25.5 fouls84.9%-------
Away under 2.5 goals81.5%-------
Draw or Away79.2%-------
Away +1 handicap79.2%-------
Under 3.579.1%-------
Under 11.5 corners78.7%-------
Home under 1.5 goals78.6%-------
Away over 0.5 goals77.2%-------
Home +2 handicap73.9%-------
Under 4.5 cards73.4%-------
Under 23.5 fouls73.1%-------
Home or Away71.1%-------

🎽 13. Player market rates

Heart Of Midlothian
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
J. Wilson60%
Josh McPake40%
C. Miller29%
Tom Renaud25%
L. Mendy25%
P. Kabore17%
O. McEntee14%
Cláudio Braga14%
Tomas Magnusson0%
B. Reus0%
Stuart Findlay0%
J. McCart0%
B. Spittal0%
Christian Borchgrevink0%
H. Milne0%
Amadou Ba-Sy0%
S. Guendouz0%
Rogers Mato0%
Jordi Altena0%
S. Kerjota0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
H. Milne33%
Amadou Ba-Sy33%
P. Kabore33%
Tomas Magnusson17%
O. McEntee14%
Cláudio Braga14%
Jordi Altena14%
B. Reus0%
Stuart Findlay0%
J. McCart0%
C. Miller0%
B. Spittal0%
Christian Borchgrevink0%
Josh McPake0%
Tom Renaud0%
S. Guendouz0%
Rogers Mato0%
J. Wilson0%
S. Kerjota0%
L. Mendy0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Josh McPake40%
Rogers Mato33%
B. Spittal29%
Cláudio Braga29%
S. Kerjota20%
J. McCart17%
Tomas Magnusson0%
B. Reus0%
Stuart Findlay0%
C. Miller0%
Christian Borchgrevink0%
Tom Renaud0%
H. Milne0%
O. McEntee0%
Amadou Ba-Sy0%
S. Guendouz0%
P. Kabore0%
J. Wilson0%
Jordi Altena0%
L. Mendy0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Cláudio Braga57%
L. Mendy25%
Tomas Magnusson0%
B. Reus0%
Stuart Findlay0%
J. McCart0%
C. Miller0%
B. Spittal0%
Christian Borchgrevink0%
Josh McPake0%
Tom Renaud0%
H. Milne0%
O. McEntee0%
Amadou Ba-Sy0%
S. Guendouz0%
P. Kabore0%
Rogers Mato0%
J. Wilson0%
Jordi Altena0%
S. Kerjota0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
RAN (29)
€136m
CEL (27)
€116m
HOM (30)
€22m
HIB (27)
€20m
MOT (26)
€16m
ABE (27)
€15m
DU (22)
€11m
SM (24)
€8m
KIL (24)
€7m
FAL (27)
€6m
DUN (21)
€5m
SJ (25)
€5m
LIV (25)
€4m
DUN (26)
€4m
PAR (20)
€3m
AU (17)
€2m
QP (19)
€2m
RR (18)
€2m
RC (11)
€1m
MOR (14)
€1m
ARB (15)
€1m
KH (4)
€1m
IC (6)
€1m
HA (5)
€0m
AA (2)
€0m
EK (4)
€0m
MON (4)
€0m
STE (2)
€0m
QOT (1)
€0m
CLY (2)
€0m
FOR (1)
€0m
STI (3)
€0m
CR (2)
€0m
DUM (1)
€0m
STR (1)
€0m
AA (1)
€0m
EF (1)
€0m
EC (1)
€0m
Stenhousemuir's squad is €22m less valuable than Heart Of Midlothian's (€0m vs €22m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
CEL (11)
€56m
RAN (9)
€38m
HOM (12)
€12m
MOT (10)
€10m
HIB (9)
€7m
ABE (7)
€4m
DU (7)
€4m
KIL (9)
€3m
SJ (9)
€2m
FAL (9)
€2m
DUN (9)
€2m
SM (8)
€1m
LIV (7)
€1m
DUN (7)
€1m
PAR (6)
€1m
QP (8)
€1m
AU (6)
€1m
RR (5)
€1m
KH (3)
€1m
AA (1)
€0m
MOR (4)
€0m
EK (3)
€0m
IC (3)
€0m
HA (1)
€0m
ARB (3)
€0m
CLY (2)
€0m
RC (1)
€0m
STE (1)
€0m
MON (1)
€0m
STI (1)
€0m
CR (1)
€0m
AA (1)
€0m
DUM (0)
€0m
FOR (0)
€0m
STR (0)
€0m
EF (0)
€0m
EC (0)
€0m
QOT (0)
€0m
Stenhousemuir's attack is €12m less valuable than Heart Of Midlothian's (€0m vs €12m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
RAN (8)
€44m
CEL (5)
€20m
HIB (7)
€8m
ABE (8)
€4m
HOM (6)
€4m
SM (6)
€3m
DU (6)
€3m
DUN (7)
€2m
KIL (5)
€2m
MOT (4)
€1m
LIV (8)
€1m
PAR (6)
€1m
SJ (5)
€1m
FAL (5)
€1m
RR (6)
€1m
DUN (4)
€0m
MOR (4)
€0m
ARB (5)
€0m
RC (3)
€0m
IC (2)
€0m
HA (2)
€0m
AU (1)
€0m
MON (2)
€0m
QP (1)
€0m
EF (1)
€0m
STI (1)
€0m
EC (1)
€0m
DUM (0)
€0m
FOR (0)
€0m
STR (0)
€0m
STE (0)
€0m
AA (0)
€0m
CLY (0)
€0m
CR (0)
€0m
KH (0)
€0m
EK (0)
€0m
AA (0)
€0m
QOT (0)
€0m
Stenhousemuir's midfield is €4m less valuable than Heart Of Midlothian's (€0m vs €4m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
RAN (12)
€54m
CEL (11)
€41m
ABE (12)
€7m
HOM (12)
€6m
MOT (12)
€5m
HIB (11)
€5m
DU (9)
€4m
FAL (13)
€3m
SM (10)
€3m
KIL (10)
€3m
DUN (7)
€2m
DUN (13)
€2m
SJ (11)
€2m
LIV (10)
€1m
AU (10)
€1m
PAR (8)
€1m
QP (10)
€1m
RC (7)
€1m
RR (7)
€0m
MOR (6)
€0m
ARB (7)
€0m
QOT (1)
€0m
FOR (1)
€0m
STE (1)
€0m
KH (1)
€0m
IC (1)
€0m
HA (2)
€0m
DUM (1)
€0m
STR (1)
€0m
CR (1)
€0m
EK (1)
€0m
STI (1)
€0m
MON (1)
€0m
AA (1)
€0m
EF (0)
€0m
CLY (0)
€0m
EC (0)
€0m
AA (0)
€0m
Stenhousemuir's defence is €5m less valuable than Heart Of Midlothian's (€0m vs €6m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

No previous meetings
0
STE wins
0
Draws
0
HOM wins

Head-to-head

Stenhousemuir vs Heart Of Midlothian · H/A from STE
DateH/AGameScore
No games.

StenhousemuirStenhousemuir

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
29/08/26HSTE Vs Inverness CT3-1
22/08/26AQueen's Park Vs STE0-2
16/08/26HSTE Vs Motherwell0-0
08/08/26HSTE Vs Morton2-0
01/08/26ARaith Rovers Vs STE1-1
25/07/26HSTE Vs Livingston0-0
21/07/26APartick Vs STE2-2
18/07/26ABrechin Vs STE1-2
11/07/26HSTE Vs Forfar2-0
16/05/26HSTE Vs Alloa Athletic0-1

Heart Of MidlothianHeart Of Midlothian

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
03/09/26AHibernian Vs HOM1-3
29/08/26HHOM Vs ST Johnstone2-1
26/08/26ARapid Vienna Vs HOM1-1
20/08/26HHOM Vs Rapid Vienna2-2
16/08/26HHOM Vs Inverness CT6-2
13/08/26HHOM Vs Benfica1-1
09/08/26HHOM Vs Dundee Utd4-0
06/08/26ABenfica Vs HOM6-1
01/08/26AAberdeen Vs HOM2-1
28/07/26HHOM Vs Sturm Graz0-2

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Stenhousemuir
Stenhousemuir
Scotland: League Cup
Recent: 5 Wins / 4 Draws / 1 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDWDWW1.90
HomeWDWDW2.04
AwayWWDDW1.75
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %50%54%46%
AVG goals2.202.272.12
Over 1.5 %68%65%71%
Over 2.5 %34%38%29%
Over 3.5 %26%35%17%
Scored1.501.731.25
Conceded0.700.540.88
BTTS42%38%46%
Clean Sheet48%58%38%
Corners8.548.418.67
Cards5.205.185.22
Heart Of Midlothian
Heart Of Midlothian
Scotland: League Cup
Recent: 4 Wins / 3 Draws / 3 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWDDWW1.94
HomeWDWDW2.35
AwayLLLDW1.50
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %56%69%42%
AVG goals2.882.812.96
Over 1.5 %78%77%79%
Over 2.5 %54%50%58%
Over 3.5 %32%31%33%
Scored1.802.041.54
Conceded1.080.771.42
BTTS56%50%62%
Clean Sheet36%46%25%
Corners10.309.9610.65
Cards4.703.955.38

🏆 17. League Table

Stenhousemuir plays in Scotland - Championship
RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1StenhousemuirStenhousemuir410
75%
2.5
82+6
2.5
100%
25%
25%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.00.5
-
2PartickPartick48
50%
2.0
41+3
1.2
50%
0%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1111.00.2
-
3Raith RoversRaith Rovers47
50%
1.8
53+2
2.0
75%
25%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1101.20.8
-
4ArbroathArbroath47
50%
1.8
33+0
1.5
50%
25%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0000.80.8
-
5LivingstonLivingston46
50%
1.5
43+1
1.8
75%
0%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
1111.00.8
-
6Ayr UtdAyr Utd45
25%
1.2
44+0
2.0
100%
0%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1011.01.0
-
7DunfermlineDunfermline45
25%
1.2
23-1
1.2
50%
0%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
2020.50.8
-
8Inverness CTInverness CT43
0%
0.8
24-2
1.5
50%
25%
25%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0000.51.0
-
9MortonMorton41
0%
0.2
26-4
2.0
75%
25%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0000.51.5
-
10QueenQueen's Park41
0%
0.2
16-5
1.8
75%
25%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1010.21.5
-
Scotland: Championship 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Scotland: Championship stats & trends →
Heart Of Midlothian plays in Scotland - Premiership
RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1CelticCeltic412
100%
3.0
112+9
3.2
75%
75%
25%
13.5
75%
2.5
25%
19.0
25%
116
5620412.80.5
66%
2ST MirrenST Mirren410
75%
2.5
73+4
2.5
50%
25%
25%
11.2
75%
3.8
75%
26.5
75%
8
1331.80.8
46%
3Heart Of MidlothianHeart Of Midlothian49
75%
2.2
104+6
3.5
100%
100%
50%
11.5
75%
4.0
67%
24.8
100%
22
12462.51.0
53%
4MotherwellMotherwell48
50%
2.0
84+4
3.0
75%
75%
25%
10.2
75%
3.5
75%
25.0
75%
16
10152.01.0
58%
5DundeeDundee57
40%
1.4
64+2
2.0
80%
20%
0%
9.6
40%
3.4
40%
22.2
60%
5
1221.20.8
44%
6RangersRangers47
50%
1.8
54+1
2.2
75%
50%
0%
12.0
100%
4.5
50%
29.8
100%
136
3844541.21.0
58%
7HibernianHibernian46
50%
1.5
67-1
3.2
100%
100%
25%
11.0
75%
3.0
50%
24.5
100%
20
7851.51.8
47%
8ST JohnstoneST Johnstone44
25%
1.0
67-1
3.2
75%
50%
25%
8.8
25%
3.0
33%
23.2
50%
5
2121.51.8
-
9Dundee UtdDundee Utd54
20%
0.8
510-5
3.0
100%
60%
40%
11.0
60%
4.4
60%
22.2
80%
11
4341.02.0
42%
10AberdeenAberdeen43
25%
0.8
27-5
2.2
75%
50%
0%
12.8
75%
5.0
75%
25.2
50%
15
4470.51.8
48%
11FalkirkFalkirk41
0%
0.2
26-4
2.0
75%
50%
0%
9.5
50%
4.0
75%
29.8
75%
6
2130.51.5
51%
12KilmarnockKilmarnock40
0%
0.0
414-10
4.5
75%
75%
75%
9.8
50%
3.8
75%
22.2
75%
7
3231.03.5
42%
Scotland: Premiership 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Scotland: Premiership stats & trends →

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