Stenhousemuir’s recent three-game winning streak contrasts with Inverness CT’s return from a draw, yet the model still favours a draw with a 39% probability, higher than the 33% home win and 27% away win odds. The expected total of 1.5 goals points to a tight contest, and the most likely scoreline is 0-0, a 23.9% chance. Stenhousemuir, playing at home against a stronger side, averages 1.64 goals scored and 0.5 conceded, while Inverness CT, away against a weaker opponent, scores 0.5 and concedes 1.0. The model’s suggested picks all favour low-scoring outcomes: Under 7.5 (100%), Under 6.5 (99.9% with a 7% edge), Under 5.5 (99.6% with an 8% edge), Away under 3.5 goals (99.5% with a 10% edge), Away under 2.5 HT goals (99.2% with a 7% edge), Home under 3.5 goals (99.1% with a 7% edge), Under 4.5 (98.2% with a 13% edge), and Away under 2.5 2H goals (98.1% with a 9% edge). The model’s edge on these low-goal selections stems from the defensive solidity shown by both sides in recent fixtures.
Results analysis
The upset came early as Stenhousemuir overturned the pre-match favourite, a draw, to win 3-1. The model had tipped a draw with a 39% probability, but that call was wrong. The final score was a home win, extending Stenhousemuir’s two-game winning run. The model’s other selections all hit: Under 7.5 (100%), Under 6.5 (99.9%), Under 5.5 (99.6%), Away under 3.5 goals (99.4%), Away under 2.5 HT goals (99.3%), Home under 3.5 goals (99.1%), Away under 2.5 2H goals (98.3%) and Under 4.5 (98.2%). Each probability was expressed as a percentage, and every pick was noted with its outcome.
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🎯 1. Model Analysis
Stenhousemuir win✓ Hit
33.4%
Avg Implied 25.6% · @ 3.56
Edge
+7.8%
Best 5 market prices
Unibet
3.85
Pinnacle
3.77
1xBet
3.71
Betfair
3.70
Marathonbet
3.64
Draw✗ Miss
39.3%
Avg Implied 27.8% · @ 3.29
Edge
+11.6%
Best 5 market prices
Betfair
3.50
Pinnacle
3.48
Dafabet
3.35
10Bet
3.35
Betano
3.30
Inverness CT win✗ Miss
27.2%
Avg Implied 46.6% · @ 1.96
Edge
-19.3%
Best 5 market prices
Superbet
2.02
Dafabet
2.02
SBO
2.01
Pinnacle
2.01
William Hil
2.00
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
Stenhousemuir
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.0
Avg scored
1.4
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.57
0.63
1.62
0.44
1.50
0.86
vs Stronger (29)
1.55
0.66
1.60
0.47
1.50
0.86
vs Similar (1)
2.00
0.00
2.00
0.00
-
-
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
53% (+24pp vs league)
This opponent (Inverness CT) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Inverness CT
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.0
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
1.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.37
0.80
1.79
0.64
1.00
0.94
vs Stronger (25)
1.52
0.84
1.85
0.62
1.17
1.08
vs Similar (2)
0.50
0.00
-
-
0.50
0.00
vs Weaker (3)
0.67
1.00
1.00
1.00
0.50
1.00
Clean sheet %
43% (+14pp vs league)
This opponent (Stenhousemuir) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 1.5 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 1 (31%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
45.0%
@ 1.32-25.5%
Under 1.5
55.0%
@ 3.15+25.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.34
Betano
1.34
Betfair
1.33
BetVictor
1.33
Bet365
1.33
Under
Bet365
3.25
Betfair
3.25
Unibet
3.25
10Bet
3.25
Pinnacle
3.23
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
18.8%
@ 2.00-27.8%
Under 2.5
81.2%
@ 1.75+27.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
2.05
Pinnacle
2.05
Bet365
2.05
Betfair
2.00
10Bet
2.00
Under
Betfair
1.80
Pinnacle
1.78
10Bet
1.77
Superbet
1.76
Betano
1.75
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
6.4%
@ 3.49-20.2%
Under 3.5
93.6%
@ 1.26+20.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
BetVictor
3.80
Pinnacle
3.67
Bet365
3.50
Betfair
3.50
Unibet
3.50
Under
Betfair
1.29
Bet365
1.28
10Bet
1.28
Superbet
1.28
Pinnacle
1.28
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
28.6%
@ 1.82-21.9%
No
71.4%
@ 1.87+21.9%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
Bet365
1.91
Betfair
1.87
William Hil
1.83
Betano
1.83
BetVictor
1.83
No
Superbet
1.92
William Hil
1.91
Betfair
1.90
Betano
1.87
1xBet
1.87
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
0-0
23.9%@ 8.27+18.5%
1-0
16.7%@ 9.21+12.0%
0-1
14.4%@ 6.42+7.5%
1-1
13.7%@ 6.05+6.4%
2-0
7.2%@ 16.98+4.6%
0-2
5.4%@ 8.56+0.2%
2-1
4.9%@ 11.58+1.1%
1-2
4.3%@ 8.01-1.2%
Stenhousemuir goals ↓
Inverness CT goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
24%
14%
5.4%
1.2%
0.2%
1
17%
14%
4.3%
1.0%
0.2%
2
7.2%
4.9%
1.7%
0.4%
0.1%
3
1.9%
1.3%
0.5%
0.1%
0.0%
4
0.4%
0.3%
0.1%
0.0%
0.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Stenhousemuir goals (down), columns = Inverness CT goals (across).
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💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Partick
1.85
Livingston
1.73
Dunfermline
1.54
Arbroath
1.48
Raith Rovers
1.25
Stenhousemuir
1.25
Queen's Park
1.14
Ayr Utd
1.08
Morton
1.04
Inverness CT
0.99
Stenhousemuir is 0.26 points better than Inverness CT in terms of average points per game (1.25 vs 0.99).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Livingston
1.52
Partick
1.50
Dunfermline
1.44
Arbroath
1.25
Stenhousemuir
1.25
Raith Rovers
1.19
Ayr Utd
1.06
Morton
1.00
Queen's Park
0.97
Inverness CT
0.87
Stenhousemuir is 0.38 goals better than Inverness CT in terms of goals scored per game (1.25 vs 0.87).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Livingston
0.91
Partick
0.96
Stenhousemuir
1.00
Dunfermline
1.02
Arbroath
1.15
Raith Rovers
1.17
Ayr Utd
1.31
Queen's Park
1.33
Morton
1.38
Inverness CT
1.59
Stenhousemuir is 0.59 goals better than Inverness CT in terms of goals conceded per game (1.00 vs 1.59).
⏱️ Possession
Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Stenhousemuir
For 4.9 · Against 3.6 · Total 8.5
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.1 · Against 2.1 · Total 4.2
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 14.0 · Against 13.7 · Total 27.7
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Inverness CT
For 5.3 · Against 2.6 · Total 7.9
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.5 · Against 1.6 · Total 3.1
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 11.0 · Against 10.4 · Total 21.4
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Stenhousemuir
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
8.5
8.4
8.7
3.7
3.6
3.9
27.4
28.6
26.3
vs Stronger (49)
8.5
8.4
8.7
3.8
3.7
3.9
27.4
28.6
26.3
vs Similar (1)
-
-
-
0.0
0.0
-
-
-
-
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
39%
33%
44%
58%
54%
62%
83%
89%
78%
% under line
61%
67%
56%
42%
46%
38%
17%
11%
22%
This opponent (Inverness CT) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Inverness CT
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.1
9.7
8.4
2.6
2.4
2.8
21.8
21.3
22.3
vs Stronger (44)
9.1
9.9
8.4
2.4
2.0
2.8
21.4
20.8
22.1
vs Similar (2)
4.0
-
4.0
0.5
-
0.5
18.0
-
18.0
vs Weaker (4)
9.5
8.5
10.5
6.2
6.5
6.0
25.8
25.0
26.5
% over line
38%
42%
35%
34%
29%
38%
49%
47%
50%
% under line
62%
58%
65%
66%
71%
62%
51%
53%
50%
This opponent (Stenhousemuir) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Morton
10.9
Partick
10.4
Ayr Utd
10.0
Livingston
9.9
Arbroath
9.6
Dunfermline
9.3
Inverness CT
9.1
Queen's Park
9.0
Stenhousemuir
8.5
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Stenhousemuir
4.8
Morton
4.5
Partick
4.4
Livingston
4.2
Ayr Utd
4.0
Dunfermline
3.9
Arbroath
3.6
Inverness CT
3.2
Raith Rovers
3.0
Queen's Park
2.5
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Stenhousemuir
25.4
Livingston
25.3
Ayr Utd
22.0
Morton
21.6
Inverness CT
21.6
Arbroath
20.9
Dunfermline
20.7
Partick
19.9
Queen's Park
19.0
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
38.6%
@ 2.15-4.2%
Under 9.5
61.4%
@ 1.61+4.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
2.21
Pinnacle
2.20
Betano
2.20
Marathonbet
2.17
Superbet
2.15
Under
Unibet
1.68
Superbet
1.63
Pinnacle
1.62
Betano
1.62
1xBet
1.58
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
63.7%
Under 3.5
36.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
68.9%
Under 21.5
31.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Stenhousemuir or Draw✓ Hit
72.8%
Avg Implied 52.7% · @ 1.75
Edge
+20.0%
33%
39%
27%
covers Stenhousemuir + Draw
Best 5 market prices
Betfair
1.83
Betano
1.83
Unibet
1.82
10Bet
1.80
William Hil
1.75
Stenhousemuir or Inverness CT✓ Hit
60.7%
Avg Implied 72.6% · @ 1.27
Edge
-12.0%
33%
39%
27%
covers Stenhousemuir + Inverness CT
Best 5 market prices
William Hil
1.33
Betfair
1.30
Betano
1.30
Superbet
1.29
BetVictor
1.29
Draw or Inverness CT✗ Miss
66.6%
Avg Implied 74.6% · @ 1.24
Edge
-8.0%
33%
39%
27%
covers Draw + Inverness CT
Best 5 market prices
Betano
1.30
Bet365
1.28
10Bet
1.25
Superbet
1.25
William Hil
1.25
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🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Stenhousemuir over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
54.9%
@ 1.46-8.5%
Under
45.1%
@ 2.53+8.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
1.50
Pinnacle
1.48
Betano
1.47
BetVictor
1.47
1xBet
1.46
Under
Pinnacle
2.67
Betfair
2.63
Superbet
2.62
Betano
2.55
10Bet
2.55
Stenhousemuir over/under 1.5Actual: Over
Over
19.0%
@ 3.24-9.6%
Under
81.0%
@ 1.30+9.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
3.40
Unibet
3.30
BetVictor
3.30
Marathonbet
3.26
1xBet
3.26
Under
Bet365
1.33
Superbet
1.33
Betano
1.32
Pinnacle
1.30
Betfair
1.30
Stenhousemuir over/under 2.5Actual: Over
Over
4.7%
@ 7.88-7.1%
Under
95.3%
@ 1.05+7.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betfair
8.50
1xBet
8.20
Marathonbet
8.20
Superbet
7.60
Bet365
7.50
Under
Betano
1.07
Bet365
1.07
Superbet
1.06
Betfair
1.05
Marathonbet
1.02
Stenhousemuir over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
0.9%
@ 13.50-6.1%
Under
99.1%
@ 1.01+6.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
15.00
Betano
12.00
Under
Betano
1.01
Bet365
1.01
Inverness CT over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
49.9%
@ 1.21-26.3%
Under
50.1%
@ 3.88+26.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
1.25
Betano
1.24
Pinnacle
1.23
BetVictor
1.22
Superbet
1.22
Under
Betfair
4.00
Unibet
4.00
10Bet
3.95
Pinnacle
3.95
1xBet
3.88
Inverness CT over/under 1.5Actual: Under
Over
15.3%
@ 2.08-29.3%
Under
84.7%
@ 1.68+29.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.22
Bet365
2.20
Betfair
2.10
BetVictor
2.10
Superbet
2.10
Under
Unibet
1.72
10Bet
1.70
Betano
1.70
1xBet
1.69
Marathonbet
1.69
Inverness CT over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
3.3%
@ 4.35-17.9%
Under
96.7%
@ 1.17+17.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
BetVictor
4.75
Betfair
4.50
Bet365
4.50
Superbet
4.35
10Bet
4.33
Under
Betano
1.20
10Bet
1.18
Superbet
1.18
Unibet
1.17
Bet365
1.17
Inverness CT over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
0.6%
@ 9.17-9.6%
Under
99.4%
@ 1.04+9.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betfair
10.00
Bet365
9.00
Betano
8.50
Under
Betano
1.05
Bet365
1.04
Betfair
1.03
⚖️ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to Stenhousemuir, so a minus line means Stenhousemuir give that many goals of a start and Inverness CT receive them. At -1, Stenhousemuir must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Stenhousemuir win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Stenhousemuir)Actual: Draw
Stenhousemuir -2
2.7%
@ 21.00-1.8%
Draw -2
8.6%
@ 11.00+0.1%
Inverness CT +2
88.8%
@ 1.07+1.7%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
21.00
Draw
Bet365
11.00
Away
Bet365
1.07
Handicap -1 (Stenhousemuir)Actual: Stenhousemuir
Stenhousemuir -1
11.2%
@ 7.97+0.2%
Draw -1
22.2%
@ 5.08+4.8%
Inverness CT +1
66.6%
@ 1.24-4.9%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Unibet
8.50
10Bet
8.00
Marathonbet
7.90
Bet365
7.50
Draw
Unibet
5.20
Marathonbet
5.10
Bet365
5.00
10Bet
5.00
Away
Bet365
1.28
10Bet
1.25
Unibet
1.21
Marathonbet
1.20
Handicap +1 (Stenhousemuir)Actual: Stenhousemuir
Stenhousemuir +1
72.8%
@ 1.76+22.6%
Draw +1
19.1%
@ 3.55-5.7%
Inverness CT -1
8.2%
@ 3.51-16.9%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Unibet
1.86
10Bet
1.80
Betfair
1.73
Marathonbet
1.72
Bet365
1.67
Draw
Bet365
3.75
Betfair
3.60
10Bet
3.50
Marathonbet
3.48
Unibet
3.40
Away
Bet365
3.75
Betfair
3.60
10Bet
3.60
Marathonbet
3.42
Unibet
3.20
Handicap +2 (Stenhousemuir)Actual: Stenhousemuir
Stenhousemuir +2
91.8%
@ 1.24+20.3%
Draw +2
6.5%
@ 5.45-9.8%
Inverness CT -2
1.7%
@ 7.28-10.5%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Unibet
1.27
Marathonbet
1.23
Bet365
1.22
Draw
Bet365
6.00
Marathonbet
5.45
Unibet
4.90
Away
Bet365
8.00
Marathonbet
7.10
Unibet
6.75
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Stenhousemuir
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.80
0.27
0.62
0.19
1.00
0.36
vs Stronger (29)
0.83
0.28
0.67
0.20
1.00
0.36
vs Similar (1)
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
-
-
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
73% (+44pp vs league)
This opponent (Inverness CT) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Inverness CT
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.7
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.63
0.30
0.79
0.36
0.50
0.25
vs Stronger (25)
0.64
0.32
0.77
0.31
0.50
0.33
vs Similar (2)
0.50
0.00
-
-
0.50
0.00
vs Weaker (3)
0.67
0.33
1.00
1.00
0.50
0.00
Clean sheet %
70% (+41pp vs league)
This opponent (Stenhousemuir) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
65.5%
@ 1.41-0.2%
Under 0.5
34.5%
@ 2.70+0.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.47
Bet365
1.44
BetVictor
1.43
Pinnacle
1.42
Marathonbet
1.41
Under
Betfair
2.88
Pinnacle
2.86
William Hil
2.80
10Bet
2.75
Unibet
2.75
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
29.0%
@ 2.90-3.0%
Under 1.5
71.0%
@ 1.36+3.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
3.09
Betano
3.05
Bet365
3.00
Marathonbet
2.88
Betfair
2.88
Under
Superbet
1.38
10Bet
1.38
Pinnacle
1.37
BetVictor
1.37
Betano
1.37
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
9.0%
@ 7.38-3.6%
Under 2.5
91.0%
@ 1.06+3.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
BetVictor
8.00
Betfair
8.00
William Hil
8.00
Bet365
7.50
Marathonbet
6.95
Under
Betano
1.08
William Hil
1.07
Superbet
1.07
Bet365
1.07
Betfair
1.05
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Stenhousemuir over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
48.2%
@ 2.51+11.4%
Under
51.8%
@ 1.46-11.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.62
Betano
2.55
1xBet
2.50
Marathonbet
2.50
Unibet
2.48
Under
Pinnacle
1.48
10Bet
1.48
Superbet
1.48
Betano
1.47
Unibet
1.45
Stenhousemuir over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
12.5%
@ 8.72+1.9%
Under
87.5%
@ 1.03-1.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
9.20
Marathonbet
9.20
10Bet
8.50
Betano
8.00
Under
Betano
1.06
10Bet
1.04
Marathonbet
1.02
1xBet
1.02
Stenhousemuir over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
2.7%
Under
97.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Inverness CT over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
41.5%
@ 1.88-7.6%
Under
58.5%
@ 1.82+7.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.95
Pinnacle
1.93
Superbet
1.90
Marathonbet
1.87
1xBet
1.87
Under
Unibet
1.86
10Bet
1.85
Pinnacle
1.84
Superbet
1.80
1xBet
1.79
Inverness CT over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
7.7%
@ 5.44-9.2%
Under
92.3%
@ 1.11+9.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
5.55
1xBet
5.55
Betano
5.40
10Bet
5.25
Under
Betano
1.13
10Bet
1.12
Marathonbet
1.10
1xBet
1.10
Inverness CT over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.7%
@ 14.12-6.0%
Under
99.3%
@ 1.01+6.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
17.00
Betano
11.25
Under
Betano
1.02
10Bet
1.01
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Stenhousemuir
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.77
0.37
1.00
0.25
0.50
0.50
vs Stronger (29)
0.72
0.38
0.93
0.27
0.50
0.50
vs Similar (1)
2.00
0.00
2.00
0.00
-
-
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
70% (+41pp vs league)
This opponent (Inverness CT) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Inverness CT
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.73
0.50
1.00
0.29
0.50
0.69
vs Stronger (25)
0.88
0.52
1.08
0.31
0.67
0.75
vs Similar (2)
0.00
0.00
-
-
0.00
0.00
vs Weaker (3)
0.00
0.67
0.00
0.00
0.00
1.00
Clean sheet %
67% (+37pp vs league)
This opponent (Stenhousemuir) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
75.9%
@ 1.25+2.1%
Under 0.5
24.1%
@ 3.52-2.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
1.28
Betano
1.27
Superbet
1.25
10Bet
1.25
William Hil
1.25
Under
10Bet
3.65
Betano
3.65
Superbet
3.60
Bet365
3.50
Marathonbet
3.42
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
40.3%
@ 2.19-2.0%
Under 1.5
59.7%
@ 1.60+2.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
2.25
William Hil
2.20
Betano
2.20
Marathonbet
2.18
1xBet
2.18
Under
Betano
1.65
10Bet
1.62
Superbet
1.62
Marathonbet
1.60
1xBet
1.60
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
14.9%
@ 4.83-4.3%
Under 2.5
85.1%
@ 1.15+4.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
5.50
William Hil
5.00
Superbet
4.65
Betano
4.60
Marathonbet
4.60
Under
Betano
1.19
Superbet
1.16
William Hil
1.15
Bet365
1.14
Marathonbet
1.13
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Stenhousemuir over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
47.8%
@ 2.07+3.2%
Under
52.2%
@ 1.67-3.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
2.10
Marathonbet
2.09
Betano
2.07
Superbet
2.05
10Bet
2.05
Under
10Bet
1.70
Betano
1.70
Superbet
1.68
1xBet
1.66
Marathonbet
1.63
Stenhousemuir over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
18.4%
@ 6.40+4.0%
Under
81.6%
@ 1.08-4.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
6.80
Marathonbet
6.65
10Bet
6.25
Betano
5.90
Under
Betano
1.11
10Bet
1.08
1xBet
1.06
Marathonbet
1.06
Stenhousemuir over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
4.0%
@ 19.00-1.1%
Under
96.0%
@ 1.01+1.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
26.00
Betano
12.00
Under
Betano
1.02
10Bet
1.01
Inverness CT over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
46.3%
@ 1.64-10.4%
Under
53.7%
@ 2.14+10.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
1.66
Betano
1.65
10Bet
1.62
1xBet
1.61
Under
1xBet
2.17
10Bet
2.15
Betano
2.15
Superbet
2.10
Inverness CT over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
12.4%
@ 3.94-11.0%
Under
87.6%
@ 1.21+11.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
4.00
Marathonbet
3.98
Betano
3.90
1xBet
3.90
Under
Betano
1.23
1xBet
1.20
10Bet
1.20
Marathonbet
1.19
Inverness CT over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
1.7%
@ 9.50-8.1%
Under
98.3%
@ 1.03+8.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
10.00
Betano
9.00
Under
Betano
1.04
10Bet
1.03
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🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Under 7.5
100.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 6.5
99.9%
1.01
Betano
1.01
-
-
-
-
+6.0%
✓ Hit
Under 5.5
99.6%
1.02
Bet365
1.03
Betano
1.03
1xBet
1.02
Betfair
1.01
-
+7.2%
✓ Hit
Away under 3.5 goals
99.4%
1.04
Betano
1.05
Bet365
1.04
Betfair
1.03
-
-
+9.6%
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 HT goals
99.3%
1.01
Betano
1.02
10Bet
1.01
-
-
-
+6.0%
✓ Hit
Home under 3.5 goals
99.1%
1.01
Betano
1.01
Bet365
1.01
-
-
-
+6.1%
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 2H goals
98.3%
1.03
Betano
1.04
10Bet
1.03
-
-
-
+8.1%
✓ Hit
Under 4.5
98.2%
1.07
Bet365
1.10
Betano
1.10
Superbet
1.09
Betfair
1.08
Unibet
1.06
+11.9%
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 HT goals
97.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 goals
96.7%
1.17
Betano
1.20
10Bet
1.18
Superbet
1.18
Unibet
1.17
Bet365
1.17
+17.9%
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 2H goals
96.0%
1.01
Betano
1.02
10Bet
1.01
-
-
-
+1.1%
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 goals
95.3%
1.05
Betano
1.07
Bet365
1.07
Superbet
1.06
Betfair
1.05
Marathonbet
1.02
+7.1%
✗ Miss
Away under 1.5 HT goals
92.3%
1.11
Betano
1.13
10Bet
1.12
Marathonbet
1.10
1xBet
1.10
-
+9.2%
✓ Hit
Under 2.5 HT goals
91.0%
1.06
Betano
1.08
William Hil
1.07
Superbet
1.07
Bet365
1.07
Betfair
1.05
+3.6%
✓ Hit
Away +2 handicap
88.8%
1.07
Bet365
1.07
-
-
-
-
+1.7%
✗ Miss
Away under 1.5 2H goals
87.6%
1.21
Betano
1.23
1xBet
1.20
10Bet
1.20
Marathonbet
1.19
-
+11.0%
✓ Hit
Home under 1.5 HT goals
87.5%
1.03
Betano
1.06
10Bet
1.04
Marathonbet
1.02
1xBet
1.02
-
-1.9%
✓ Hit
Under 2.5 2H goals
85.1%
1.15
Betano
1.19
Superbet
1.16
William Hil
1.15
Bet365
1.14
Marathonbet
1.13
+4.3%
✗ Miss
Under 11.5 corners
82.2%
1.19
Unibet
1.23
1xBet
1.14
-
-
-
+5.9%
-
Over 19.5 fouls
82.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home under 1.5 2H goals
81.6%
1.08
Betano
1.11
10Bet
1.08
1xBet
1.06
Marathonbet
1.06
-
-4.0%
✗ Miss
Over 2.5 cards
81.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home under 1.5 goals
81.0%
1.30
Bet365
1.33
Superbet
1.33
Betano
1.32
Pinnacle
1.30
Betfair
1.30
+9.6%
✗ Miss
Over 0.5 2H goals
75.9%
1.25
Bet365
1.28
Betano
1.27
Superbet
1.25
10Bet
1.25
William Hil
1.25
+2.1%
✓ Hit
Under 10.5 corners
73.0%
1.36
Unibet
1.41
Superbet
1.40
Betano
1.36
Marathonbet
1.31
1xBet
1.31
+5.4%
-
Under 5.5 cards
72.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 1.5 HT goals
71.0%
1.36
Superbet
1.38
10Bet
1.38
Pinnacle
1.37
BetVictor
1.37
Betano
1.37
+3.0%
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
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💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
LIV (25)
€4m
DUN (26)
€4m
PAR (20)
€3m
AU (17)
€2m
QP (19)
€2m
RR (18)
€2m
MOR (14)
€1m
ARB (15)
€1m
IC (6)
€1m
STE (2)
€0m
Stenhousemuir and Inverness CT have a similar squad value (both €0m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
DUN (9)
€2m
LIV (7)
€1m
PAR (6)
€1m
QP (8)
€1m
AU (6)
€1m
RR (5)
€1m
MOR (4)
€0m
IC (3)
€0m
ARB (3)
€0m
STE (1)
€0m
Stenhousemuir and Inverness CT have a similar attack value (both €0m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
LIV (8)
€1m
PAR (6)
€1m
RR (6)
€1m
DUN (4)
€0m
MOR (4)
€0m
ARB (5)
€0m
IC (2)
€0m
AU (1)
€0m
QP (1)
€0m
STE (0)
€0m
Stenhousemuir and Inverness CT have a similar midfield value (both €0m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
DUN (13)
€2m
LIV (10)
€1m
AU (10)
€1m
PAR (8)
€1m
QP (10)
€1m
RR (7)
€0m
MOR (6)
€0m
ARB (7)
€0m
STE (1)
€0m
IC (1)
€0m
Stenhousemuir and Inverness CT have a similar defence value (both €0m).
Scotland: Championship 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Scotland: Championship stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
Partick
Raith Rovers
Arbroath
Livingston
Ayr Utd
Dunfermline
Morton
Queen's Park