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Stevenage vs Luton Prediction & Stats

Date: 10/09/2026
Time: 19:00
Stevenage
Stevenage
Vs
33%
28%
39%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Luton
Luton
England: League One
Referee: -
Match preview & prediction

The contest is finely balanced, with the model favouring an away win. Stevenage’s home form shows they average just 0.67 goals scored and 0.67 conceded against stronger opponents, while Luton, playing away against weaker sides, nets 2.0 goals and concedes 1.44 on average. The predicted outcome is an away victory at 39%, a draw at 28%, and a home win at 33%. The average goal tally is 2.7, and the most likely scoreline is 1-1, a 13.5% chance. The match’s expected total of 2.7 goals aligns with the 26% probability of exactly two goals. Suggested selections include Under 7.5 (99.3%), Away under 2.5 HT goals (98.0%), Home under 2.5 HT goals (98.0%), Under 6.5 (97.9%), Home under 2.5 2H goals (96.5%), Home under 3.5 goals (95.8%), Away under 2.5 2H goals (95.1%), and Away under 3.5 goals (94.5%). Stevenage entered from a draw, Luton after two defeats, adding extra intrigue to an evenly poised fixture.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Stevenage win
33.2%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw
28.2%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Luton win
38.6%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

StevenageStevenage

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-311D10W01L02L21W11D12L03L22D00DA·DON25/04H·WIG02/05H·STO09/05A·STO13/05A·WYC07/08A·BUR15/08H·OXF22/08H·REA25/08H·DON29/08A·PET01/09
Avg total
2.1
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
1.3
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.931.171.060.880.771.54
vs Stronger (6)0.501.670.670.670.332.67
vs Similar (24)1.041.041.140.930.901.20
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %40% (+12pp vs league)
This opponent (Luton) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

LutonLuton

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-522D20W21W32W30W43W22D02L25L20WA·MAN18/04A·ROT21/04H·BAR25/04A·BOL02/05A·GIL08/08A·REA15/08H·NOT22/08A·CHE27/08A·MAN30/08H·STO02/09
Avg total
3.9
Avg scored
2.2
Avg conceded
1.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.701.331.931.141.501.50
vs Stronger (1)0.002.00--0.002.00
vs Similar (13)1.461.151.860.861.001.50
vs Weaker (16)2.001.442.001.432.001.44
Clean sheet %20% (-8pp vs league)
This opponent (Stevenage) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%13%19%26%8%016%126%222%315%48%56%6+
The model estimates around 2.7 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (26%).
Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
76.3%
Under 1.5
23.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
50.6%
Under 2.5
49.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5
Over 3.5
28.6%
Under 3.5
71.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to score
Yes
56.0%
No
44.0%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
13.5%
1-2
8.6%
0-1
8.3%
0-0
8.0%
2-1
7.9%
1-0
7.5%
0-2
6.7%
2-0
5.6%
Stevenage goals ↓
Luton goals →
01234
08.0%8.3%6.7%3.1%1.1%
17.5%13%8.6%4.0%1.4%
25.6%7.9%5.6%2.6%0.9%
32.4%3.4%2.4%1.1%0.4%
40.8%1.1%0.8%0.4%0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Stevenage goals (down), columns = Luton goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Leicester
2.34
Stockport
1.69
Luton
1.61
Bradford
1.60
Plymouth
1.59
Oxford
1.58
Stevenage
1.56
Sheffield Weds
1.49
Huddersfield
1.46
Mansfield
1.41
Milton Keynes Dons
1.38
Reading
1.37
Wycombe
1.37
Blackpool
1.30
Doncaster
1.30
Barnsley
1.28
Wigan
1.22
Cambridge
1.21
Burton
1.17
Notts County
1.17
AFC Wimbledon
1.15
Peterboro
1.15
Leyton Orient
1.13
Bromley
1.08
Stevenage is 0.05 points worse than Luton in terms of average points per game (1.56 vs 1.61).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Leicester
2.24
Plymouth
1.63
Huddersfield
1.61
Stockport
1.53
Oxford
1.51
Wycombe
1.50
Barnsley
1.48
Luton
1.48
Sheffield Weds
1.42
Reading
1.39
Peterboro
1.39
Mansfield
1.35
Milton Keynes Dons
1.32
Leyton Orient
1.28
Bradford
1.21
Blackpool
1.17
Cambridge
1.15
Notts County
1.12
AFC Wimbledon
1.11
Doncaster
1.09
Burton
1.09
Wigan
1.07
Bromley
1.03
Stevenage
1.02
Stevenage is 0.46 goals worse than Luton in terms of goals scored per game (1.02 vs 1.48).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Leicester
0.77
Stevenage
1.02
Mansfield
1.09
Bradford
1.10
Oxford
1.14
Sheffield Weds
1.21
Luton
1.22
Wycombe
1.26
Wigan
1.26
Stockport
1.27
Milton Keynes Dons
1.30
Reading
1.30
Burton
1.30
Plymouth
1.37
Huddersfield
1.39
Blackpool
1.41
Peterboro
1.48
Cambridge
1.49
Doncaster
1.50
Notts County
1.54
Leyton Orient
1.54
AFC Wimbledon
1.57
Barnsley
1.59
Bromley
1.67
Stevenage is 0.20 goals better than Luton in terms of goals conceded per game (1.02 vs 1.22).

⏱️ Possession

Avg possession %
Luton
56%
Peterboro
55%
Stockport
55%
Wycombe
54%
Leyton Orient
52%
Barnsley
52%
Doncaster
50%
Reading
50%
Bradford
50%
Huddersfield
50%
Plymouth
48%
AFC Wimbledon
46%
Blackpool
46%
Burton
46%
Mansfield
46%
Wigan
45%
Stevenage
45%
Stevenage is 10.8 percentage points worse than Luton in terms of average possession (45% vs 56%).

🎲 4. Props Analysis

StevenageStevenage

For 4.1 · Against 5.4 · Total 9.5

🚩 Corners

190339105566234574103334619101227121467A·PETH·DONH·REAH·OXFA·BURA·WYCA·STOH·STOH·WIGA·DON
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.4 · Against 1.7 · Total 3.1

🟨 Cards

60113221442212111122345633230A·PETH·DONH·REAH·OXFA·WYCA·STOH·STOH·WIGA·DONH·BAR
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 12.5 · Against 13.4 · Total 25.9

⚠️ Fouls

440108916612222217141286141615141613918251844312020313022A·PETH·DONH·REAH·OXFA·BURA·WYCA·STOH·STOH·WIGA·DON
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

LutonLuton

For 5.8 · Against 4.6 · Total 10.4

🚩 Corners

1402874398325923595629310111211711814812H·STOA·MANA·CHEH·NOTA·REAA·GILA·BOLH·BARA·ROTA·MAN
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.9 · Against 2.2 · Total 4.1

🟨 Cards

8011241532111341521122618327633H·STOA·MANA·CHEH·NOTA·REAA·GILA·BOLH·BARA·ROTA·MAN
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 10.4 · Against 14.0 · Total 24.4

⚠️ Fouls

3407131313611151811121017171791471391220261733232734232021H·STOA·MANA·CHEH·NOTA·REAA·GILA·BOLH·BARA·ROTA·MAN
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

StevenageStevenage

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)8.99.08.83.63.63.524.426.222.5
vs Stronger (12)10.310.010.73.33.73.025.028.521.5
vs Similar (38)8.48.68.23.63.63.724.125.422.8
vs Weaker (0)---------
% over line48%38%58%52%56%48%69%83%54%
% under line52%62%42%48%44%52%31%17%46%
This opponent (Luton) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

LutonLuton

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)10.411.49.43.63.53.824.024.223.9
vs Stronger (1)12.0-12.01.0-1.017.0-17.0
vs Similar (23)11.013.09.04.03.34.724.624.225.1
vs Weaker (26)9.79.99.53.43.63.223.824.223.4
% over line58%65%52%50%42%58%65%65%64%
% under line42%35%48%50%58%42%35%35%36%
This opponent (Stevenage) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

🚩 Total Corners

Match total corners / game
Barnsley
11.7
Oxford
11.3
Plymouth
11.2
Leicester
11.0
Blackpool
10.6
Wigan
10.6
Luton
10.4
Burton
10.4
Bradford
10.3
Sheffield Weds
10.3
Huddersfield
10.2
Bromley
10.2
AFC Wimbledon
10.1
Wycombe
10.1
Peterboro
9.9
Doncaster
9.9
Stockport
9.8
Mansfield
9.7
Leyton Orient
9.7
Notts County
9.4
Reading
9.2
Milton Keynes Dons
9.2
Cambridge
9.0
Stevenage
8.9

🟨 Total Cards

Match total cards / game
Plymouth
4.8
Notts County
4.4
Peterboro
4.2
Leyton Orient
4.1
Bradford
4.1
Huddersfield
4.1
Blackpool
3.9
Doncaster
3.8
Bromley
3.8
Stevenage
3.8
Mansfield
3.8
Luton
3.7
Leicester
3.7
Milton Keynes Dons
3.7
Wycombe
3.6
Burton
3.6
Reading
3.6
Barnsley
3.6
Oxford
3.5
AFC Wimbledon
3.3
Stockport
3.3
Wigan
3.2
Sheffield Weds
3.1
Cambridge
3.0

⚠️ Total Fouls

Match total fouls / game
Notts County
24.8
Plymouth
24.5
Bradford
24.4
Huddersfield
24.4
Stevenage
24.4
Luton
23.9
Leyton Orient
23.7
Wigan
23.3
AFC Wimbledon
23.2
Peterboro
23.2
Milton Keynes Dons
23.1
Blackpool
23.1
Doncaster
22.8
Reading
22.7
Burton
22.5
Oxford
22.4
Cambridge
22.4
Mansfield
22.3
Sheffield Weds
22.1
Leicester
22.0
Bromley
21.9
Wycombe
21.3
Stockport
20.8
Barnsley
20.4
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
51.8%
Under 9.5
48.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
52.3%
Under 3.5
47.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
75.5%
Under 21.5
24.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Stevenage or Draw
61.4%
Avg Implied -
33%
28%
39%
covers Stevenage + Draw
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Stevenage or Luton
71.8%
Avg Implied -
33%
28%
39%
covers Stevenage + Luton
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw or Luton
66.8%
Avg Implied -
33%
28%
39%
covers Draw + Luton
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

Home & Away Over/Under

How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Stevenage over/under 0.5
Over
72.5%
Under
27.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Stevenage over/under 1.5
Over
37.0%
Under
63.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Stevenage over/under 2.5
Over
14.1%
Under
85.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Stevenage over/under 3.5
Over
4.2%
Under
95.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Luton over/under 0.5
Over
75.5%
Under
24.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Luton over/under 1.5
Over
41.1%
Under
58.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Luton over/under 2.5
Over
16.8%
Under
83.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Luton over/under 3.5
Over
5.5%
Under
94.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⚖️ 7. Handicap

Handicap

The handicap is applied to Stevenage, so a minus line means Stevenage give that many goals of a start and Luton receive them. At -1, Stevenage must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Stevenage win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Stevenage)
Stevenage -2
5.2%
Draw -2
9.9%
Luton +2
85.0%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap -1 (Stevenage)
Stevenage -1
15.0%
Draw -1
18.1%
Luton +1
66.8%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +1 (Stevenage)
Stevenage +1
61.4%
Draw +1
19.9%
Luton -1
18.7%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +2 (Stevenage)
Stevenage +2
81.3%
Draw +2
11.8%
Luton -2
6.9%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

StevenageStevenage

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-210W00D00D02L11D00D00D02L00D00DA·DON25/04H·WIG02/05H·STO09/05A·STO13/05A·WYC07/08A·BUR15/08H·OXF22/08H·REA25/08H·DON29/08A·PET01/09
Avg total
0.7
Avg scored
0.2
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.430.530.470.350.380.77
vs Stronger (6)0.170.830.330.330.001.33
vs Similar (24)0.500.460.500.360.500.60
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %63% (+35pp vs league)
This opponent (Luton) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

LutonLuton

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-312L20W11D12L10W13L11D00D03L00DA·MAN18/04A·ROT21/04H·BAR25/04A·BOL02/05A·GIL08/08A·REA15/08H·NOT22/08A·CHE27/08A·MAN30/08H·STO02/09
Avg total
2.0
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
1.2
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.930.731.140.500.750.94
vs Stronger (1)0.000.00--0.000.00
vs Similar (13)0.920.771.140.570.671.00
vs Weaker (16)1.000.751.140.430.891.00
Clean sheet %57% (+29pp vs league)
This opponent (Stevenage) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5
Over 0.5
69.1%
Under 0.5
30.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
32.5%
Under 1.5
67.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
11.4%
Under 2.5
88.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Stevenage over/under 0.5 HT
Over
42.7%
Under
57.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Stevenage over/under 1.5 HT
Over
12.6%
Under
87.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Stevenage over/under 2.5 HT
Over
2.3%
Under
97.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Luton over/under 0.5 HT
Over
49.4%
Under
50.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Luton over/under 1.5 HT
Over
12.0%
Under
88.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Luton over/under 2.5 HT
Over
2.5%
Under
97.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

StevenageStevenage

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-201L10W01L00D10W11D12L01L22D00DA·DON25/04H·WIG02/05H·STO09/05A·STO13/05A·WYC07/08A·BUR15/08H·OXF22/08H·REA25/08H·DON29/08A·PET01/09
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.500.630.590.530.380.77
vs Stronger (6)0.330.830.330.330.331.33
vs Similar (24)0.540.580.640.570.400.60
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %53% (+25pp vs league)
This opponent (Luton) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

LutonLuton

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-310W00D10W20W20W30W11D02L22D20WA·MAN18/04A·ROT21/04H·BAR25/04A·BOL02/05A·GIL08/08A·REA15/08H·NOT22/08A·CHE27/08A·MAN30/08H·STO02/09
Avg total
1.9
Avg scored
1.4
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.770.600.790.640.750.56
vs Stronger (1)0.002.00--0.002.00
vs Similar (13)0.540.380.710.290.330.50
vs Weaker (16)1.000.690.861.001.110.44
Clean sheet %50% (+22pp vs league)
This opponent (Stevenage) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5
Over 0.5
77.8%
Under 0.5
22.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
44.1%
Under 1.5
55.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
21.2%
Under 2.5
78.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Stevenage over/under 0.5 2H
Over
52.1%
Under
47.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Stevenage over/under 1.5 2H
Over
18.6%
Under
81.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Stevenage over/under 2.5 2H
Over
3.4%
Under
96.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Luton over/under 0.5 2H
Over
52.6%
Under
47.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Luton over/under 1.5 2H
Over
17.5%
Under
82.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Luton over/under 2.5 2H
Over
5.2%
Under
94.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5Edge
Under 7.599.3%-------
Under 6.597.9%-------
Home under 2.5 HT goals97.7%-------
Away under 2.5 HT goals97.5%-------
Home under 2.5 2H goals96.6%-------
Home under 3.5 goals95.8%-------
Away under 2.5 2H goals94.8%-------
Away under 3.5 goals94.5%-------
Under 5.594.3%-------
Under 2.5 HT goals88.6%-------
Away under 1.5 HT goals88.0%-------
Home under 1.5 HT goals87.4%-------
Over 19.5 fouls86.8%-------
Under 4.586.3%-------
Home under 2.5 goals85.9%-------
Away +2 handicap85.0%-------
Away under 2.5 goals83.2%-------
Away under 1.5 2H goals82.5%-------
Under 5.5 cards81.8%-------
Home under 1.5 2H goals81.4%-------
Home +2 handicap81.3%-------
Under 2.5 2H goals78.8%-------
Over 0.5 2H goals77.8%-------
Over 1.576.3%-------
Away over 0.5 goals75.5%-------
Over 21.5 fouls75.5%-------
Over 2.5 cards72.8%-------
Home over 0.5 goals72.5%-------
Under 11.5 corners71.8%-------
Home or Away71.8%-------
Under 3.571.4%-------

🎽 13. Player market rates

Stevenage
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Josh Magennis40%
J. Roberts20%
D. Kemp20%
O. Sanderson20%
Jordan Houghton0%
T. Vancooten0%
Luther James-Wildin0%
C. Piergianni0%
L. Thompson0%
L. Freestone0%
P. Patterson0%
Filip Marschall0%
T. Taylor0%
D. Phillips0%
M. Mellon0%
Saxon Earley0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Luther James-Wildin67%
C. Piergianni40%
J. Roberts20%
L. Freestone20%
D. Kemp20%
Jordan Houghton0%
T. Vancooten0%
L. Thompson0%
Josh Magennis0%
P. Patterson0%
Filip Marschall0%
T. Taylor0%
D. Phillips0%
M. Mellon0%
Saxon Earley0%
O. Sanderson0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
P. Patterson40%
J. Roberts0%
Jordan Houghton0%
T. Vancooten0%
Luther James-Wildin0%
C. Piergianni0%
L. Thompson0%
Josh Magennis0%
L. Freestone0%
D. Kemp0%
Filip Marschall0%
T. Taylor0%
D. Phillips0%
M. Mellon0%
Saxon Earley0%
O. Sanderson0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
D. Kemp40%
P. Patterson20%
O. Sanderson20%
J. Roberts0%
Jordan Houghton0%
T. Vancooten0%
Luther James-Wildin0%
C. Piergianni0%
L. Thompson0%
Josh Magennis0%
L. Freestone0%
Filip Marschall0%
T. Taylor0%
D. Phillips0%
M. Mellon0%
Saxon Earley0%
Luton
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
N. Wells80%
C. Marshall50%
G. Kodua20%
Benedict Benagr20%
K. Palmer0%
L. Walsh0%
K. Naismith0%
H. Odoffin0%
G. Johnston0%
H. Ashby0%
Isaiah Jones0%
Joshua Keeley0%
Emilio Lawrence0%
J. Richards0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
K. Naismith33%
K. Palmer20%
L. Walsh20%
N. Wells20%
G. Johnston20%
Isaiah Jones20%
G. Kodua20%
H. Odoffin0%
H. Ashby0%
Joshua Keeley0%
Emilio Lawrence0%
C. Marshall0%
J. Richards0%
Benedict Benagr0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
K. Palmer20%
L. Walsh0%
K. Naismith0%
N. Wells0%
H. Odoffin0%
G. Johnston0%
H. Ashby0%
Isaiah Jones0%
Joshua Keeley0%
Emilio Lawrence0%
G. Kodua0%
C. Marshall0%
J. Richards0%
Benedict Benagr0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
N. Wells40%
Benedict Benagr20%
K. Palmer0%
L. Walsh0%
K. Naismith0%
H. Odoffin0%
G. Johnston0%
H. Ashby0%
Isaiah Jones0%
Joshua Keeley0%
Emilio Lawrence0%
G. Kodua0%
C. Marshall0%
J. Richards0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
LEI (22)
€69m
LUT (26)
€29m
SHW (24)
€21m
OXF (24)
€20m
HUD (26)
€16m
MKD (24)
€15m
PLY (25)
€13m
BLA (22)
€11m
LO (23)
€10m
STO (25)
€10m
WYC (24)
€10m
REA (20)
€10m
BAR (21)
€8m
WIG (21)
€7m
PET (23)
€7m
BRA (21)
€7m
STE (21)
€7m
DON (23)
€7m
MAN (23)
€6m
NC (24)
€6m
AW (21)
€5m
CAM (20)
€5m
BUR (17)
€5m
BRO (19)
€4m
Stevenage's squad is €22m less valuable than Luton's (€7m vs €29m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
LEI (7)
€20m
LUT (10)
€13m
SHW (6)
€7m
OXF (8)
€6m
MKD (8)
€5m
PLY (8)
€4m
LO (6)
€4m
BLA (8)
€4m
HUD (7)
€4m
STO (8)
€3m
REA (6)
€3m
BRA (9)
€3m
PET (8)
€3m
WYC (7)
€3m
NC (7)
€2m
AW (8)
€2m
STE (6)
€2m
CAM (9)
€2m
WIG (8)
€2m
DON (6)
€2m
BAR (5)
€2m
BUR (6)
€1m
MAN (6)
€1m
BRO (5)
€1m
Stevenage's attack is €11m less valuable than Luton's (€2m vs €13m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
LEI (4)
€13m
MKD (6)
€7m
SHW (5)
€6m
OXF (4)
€6m
LUT (6)
€4m
HUD (6)
€4m
MAN (5)
€3m
LO (8)
€3m
REA (5)
€3m
STO (6)
€3m
BAR (7)
€3m
BLA (5)
€3m
PLY (6)
€3m
WIG (8)
€2m
WYC (5)
€2m
DON (6)
€2m
NC (7)
€2m
STE (6)
€2m
BUR (4)
€1m
PET (5)
€1m
BRO (6)
€1m
BRA (3)
€1m
AW (5)
€1m
CAM (3)
€1m
Stevenage's midfield is €2m less valuable than Luton's (€2m vs €4m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
LEI (11)
€36m
LUT (10)
€12m
OXF (12)
€8m
SHW (13)
€8m
HUD (13)
€8m
PLY (11)
€6m
WYC (12)
€5m
BLA (9)
€4m
STO (11)
€4m
REA (9)
€4m
BAR (9)
€3m
LO (9)
€3m
STE (9)
€3m
DON (11)
€3m
MKD (10)
€3m
PET (10)
€3m
BRA (9)
€3m
WIG (5)
€3m
CAM (8)
€2m
AW (8)
€2m
BUR (7)
€2m
NC (10)
€2m
MAN (12)
€2m
BRO (8)
€2m
Stevenage's defence is €9m less valuable than Luton's (€3m vs €12m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

2 previous meetings
1
STE wins
0
Draws
1
LUT wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Stevenage vs Luton · H/A from STE
DateH/AGameScore
10/01/26ALuton Vs STE2-1
04/10/25HSTE Vs Luton2-0

StevenageStevenage

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
01/09/26APeterboro Vs STE0-0
29/08/26HSTE Vs Doncaster2-2
25/08/26HSTE Vs Reading0-3
22/08/26HSTE Vs Oxford1-2
15/08/26ABurton Vs STE1-1
07/08/26AWycombe Vs STE1-2
13/05/26AStockport Vs STE2-0
09/05/26HSTE Vs Stockport0-1
02/05/26HSTE Vs Wigan1-0
25/04/26ADoncaster Vs STE1-1

LutonLuton

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
02/09/26HLUT Vs Stockport2-0
30/08/26AMansfield Vs LUT5-2
27/08/26AChelsea Vs LUT2-0
22/08/26HLUT Vs Notts County2-2
15/08/26AReading Vs LUT3-4
08/08/26AGillingham Vs LUT0-3
02/05/26ABolton Vs LUT2-3
25/04/26HLUT Vs Barnsley2-1
21/04/26ARotherham Vs LUT0-2
18/04/26AMansfield Vs LUT2-2

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Stevenage
Stevenage
England: League One
Recent: 2 Wins / 4 Draws / 4 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDLLDD1.38
HomeWLLLD1.69
AwayDLWDD1.04
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %36%46%25%
AVG goals2.041.882.21
Over 1.5 %54%50%58%
Over 2.5 %38%35%42%
Over 3.5 %18%12%25%
Scored0.941.040.83
Conceded1.100.851.38
BTTS46%42%50%
Clean Sheet36%42%29%
Corners8.848.888.79
Cards3.793.763.83
Luton
Luton
England: League One
Recent: 6 Wins / 2 Draws / 2 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWDLLW1.58
HomeWWWDW1.92
AwayWWWLL1.27
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %44%54%35%
AVG goals3.063.003.12
Over 1.5 %82%83%81%
Over 2.5 %60%62%58%
Over 3.5 %36%33%38%
Scored1.641.791.50
Conceded1.421.211.62
BTTS58%67%50%
Clean Sheet24%25%23%
Corners10.4111.469.40
Cards3.763.583.92

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1HuddersfieldHuddersfield410
75%
2.5
93+6
3.0
100%
75%
25%
7.0
0%
3.2
50%
22.2
50%
16
4482.20.8
50%
2Sheffield WedsSheffield Weds49
75%
2.2
115+6
4.0
75%
75%
25%
12.2
75%
3.0
25%
27.2
100%
21
7682.81.2
-
3BlackpoolBlackpool47
50%
1.8
84+4
3.0
100%
75%
25%
12.5
50%
5.0
67%
19.5
25%
11
4342.01.0
46%
4BurtonBurton47
50%
1.8
85+3
3.2
100%
75%
25%
7.2
25%
4.3
67%
30.0
100%
5
1122.01.2
46%
5BarnsleyBarnsley47
50%
1.8
53+2
2.0
50%
50%
25%
13.0
75%
5.5
75%
22.2
75%
8
2331.20.8
52%
6CambridgeCambridge47
50%
1.8
76+1
3.2
100%
75%
25%
10.5
50%
1.8
0%
20.5
25%
5
2121.81.5
-
7LutonLuton47
50%
1.8
1010+0
5.0
100%
75%
75%
9.8
75%
4.8
50%
25.5
75%
29
134122.52.5
56%
8Leyton OrientLeyton Orient46
50%
1.5
95+4
3.5
100%
75%
50%
9.5
50%
5.2
100%
29.2
100%
10
4332.21.2
52%
9StockportStockport46
50%
1.5
96+3
3.8
100%
75%
50%
11.2
75%
2.3
0%
18.0
25%
10
3342.21.5
55%
10Notts CountyNotts County46
25%
1.5
65+1
2.8
100%
50%
25%
9.2
50%
5.5
75%
29.0
100%
6
2221.51.2
-
11BradfordBradford46
50%
1.5
44+0
2.0
75%
25%
0%
14.0
100%
3.0
25%
24.5
75%
7
3131.01.0
50%
12MansfieldMansfield46
50%
1.5
810-2
4.5
100%
100%
50%
8.8
25%
3.5
50%
24.2
75%
6
1322.02.5
46%
13LeicesterLeicester45
25%
1.2
43+1
1.8
75%
25%
0%
10.8
50%
3.8
50%
23.5
50%
69
2013361.00.8
-
14ReadingReading34
33%
1.3
84+4
4.0
67%
67%
67%
9.3
33%
3.0
33%
25.3
100%
10
3342.71.3
50%
15OxfordOxford34
33%
1.3
56-1
3.7
100%
100%
67%
11.3
67%
4.7
100%
32.7
100%
20
6681.72.0
-
16PlymouthPlymouth44
25%
1.0
46-2
2.5
100%
25%
25%
11.5
75%
3.2
50%
24.2
75%
13
4361.01.5
48%
17PeterboroPeterboro44
25%
1.0
27-5
2.2
75%
50%
25%
8.2
25%
4.0
67%
23.8
50%
7
3130.51.8
55%
18AFC WimbledonAFC Wimbledon44
25%
1.0
27-5
2.2
50%
50%
25%
12.0
75%
4.8
75%
22.8
75%
5
2120.51.8
46%
19BromleyBromley44
25%
1.0
413-9
4.2
75%
50%
50%
8.8
25%
4.0
50%
24.8
75%
4
1121.03.2
-
20DoncasterDoncaster43
0%
0.8
45-1
2.2
75%
50%
25%
11.2
50%
3.2
25%
22.5
75%
7
2231.01.2
50%
21StevenageStevenage43
0%
0.8
45-1
2.2
75%
50%
25%
9.8
50%
3.3
33%
29.5
75%
7
2231.01.2
45%
22WiganWigan43
25%
0.8
57-2
3.0
75%
50%
50%
11.0
75%
4.2
75%
23.0
75%
7
2231.21.8
45%
23Milton Keynes DonsMilton Keynes Dons43
0%
0.8
46-2
2.5
75%
50%
50%
11.8
75%
3.8
50%
21.2
50%
15
5731.01.5
-
24WycombeWycombe42
0%
0.5
49-5
3.2
100%
50%
25%
10.5
75%
4.0
67%
22.5
75%
10
3251.02.2
54%
England: League One 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full England: League One stats & trends →

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