This opponent (Fredrikstad) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Fredrikstad
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
4.4
Avg scored
2.0
Avg conceded
2.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.56
1.74
1.64
1.71
1.46
1.77
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (10)
0.80
1.50
1.00
1.80
0.60
1.20
vs Weaker (17)
2.00
1.88
2.00
1.67
2.00
2.12
Clean sheet %
22% (+0pp vs league)
This opponent (Stjørdals-Blink) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 3.3 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 3 (22%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
85.6%
Under 1.5
14.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
64.9%
Under 2.5
35.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
42.9%
Under 3.5
57.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
64.8%
No
35.2%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
10.4%
1-2 ✓
9.5%
0-2
7.1%
2-1
6.4%
2-2
6.4%
1-3
6.3%
0-1
6.1%
0-3
4.7%
Stjørdals-Blink goals ↓
Fredrikstad goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
4.5%
6.1%
7.1%
4.7%
2.4%
1
3.8%
10%
9.5%
6.3%
3.2%
2
3.2%
6.4%
6.4%
4.2%
2.1%
3
1.4%
2.9%
2.8%
1.9%
0.9%
4
0.5%
1.0%
1.0%
0.6%
0.3%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Stjørdals-Blink goals (down), columns = Fredrikstad goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Brann
2.70
Stabaek
1.93
Start
1.74
KFUM Oslo
1.68
Kongsvinger
1.67
Sandnes ULF
1.52
Sogndal
1.43
Ranheim
1.43
Mjondalen
1.40
Fredrikstad
1.17
Raufoss
1.17
Bryne
1.17
Asane
1.07
Skeid
1.06
Grorud
0.67
Stjørdals-Blink
0.57
Arendal
0.00
Stjørdals-Blink is 0.60 points worse than Fredrikstad in terms of average points per game (0.57 vs 1.17).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Brann
3.17
Stabaek
2.07
Start
2.03
KFUM Oslo
2.00
Sogndal
1.83
Sandnes ULF
1.74
Ranheim
1.63
Fredrikstad
1.53
Skeid
1.47
Kongsvinger
1.42
Asane
1.40
Bryne
1.40
Mjondalen
1.30
Raufoss
1.17
Grorud
1.13
Stjørdals-Blink
1.00
Arendal
0.50
Stjørdals-Blink is 0.53 goals worse than Fredrikstad in terms of goals scored per game (1.00 vs 1.53).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Brann
0.53
Stabaek
0.93
Kongsvinger
1.15
Start
1.26
Mjondalen
1.57
KFUM Oslo
1.61
Fredrikstad
1.70
Sandnes ULF
1.71
Skeid
1.72
Ranheim
1.73
Bryne
1.73
Sogndal
1.77
Raufoss
1.80
Asane
2.23
Grorud
2.30
Stjørdals-Blink
2.37
Arendal
4.00
Stjørdals-Blink is 0.67 goals worse than Fredrikstad in terms of goals conceded per game (2.37 vs 1.70).
⏱️ Possession
Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Stjørdals-Blink
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
1.1
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.37
1.15
0.46
1.15
0.29
1.14
vs Stronger (12)
0.25
1.33
0.33
1.17
0.17
1.50
vs Similar (15)
0.47
1.00
0.57
1.14
0.38
0.88
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
19% (-3pp vs league)
This opponent (Fredrikstad) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Fredrikstad
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.9
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.78
0.74
0.86
0.86
0.69
0.62
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (10)
0.40
0.50
0.60
0.60
0.20
0.40
vs Weaker (17)
1.00
0.88
1.00
1.00
1.00
0.75
Clean sheet %
41% (+19pp vs league)
This opponent (Stjørdals-Blink) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Stjørdals-Blink over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Stjørdals-Blink over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Stjørdals-Blink over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fredrikstad over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fredrikstad over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fredrikstad over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Stjørdals-Blink
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.6
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
1.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.63
1.30
0.54
1.15
0.71
1.43
vs Stronger (12)
0.67
1.58
0.67
1.50
0.67
1.67
vs Similar (15)
0.60
1.07
0.43
0.86
0.75
1.25
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
30% (+8pp vs league)
This opponent (Fredrikstad) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Fredrikstad
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.5
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
1.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.78
1.00
0.79
0.86
0.77
1.15
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (10)
0.40
1.00
0.40
1.20
0.40
0.80
vs Weaker (17)
1.00
1.00
1.00
0.67
1.00
1.38
Clean sheet %
33% (+11pp vs league)
This opponent (Stjørdals-Blink) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Stjørdals-Blink over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Stjørdals-Blink over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Stjørdals-Blink over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fredrikstad over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fredrikstad over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fredrikstad over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 1.5
85.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Fredrikstad · 2026/27
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Oskar Øhlenschlaeger19%
Rocco Robert Shein18%
Benjamin Thoresen Faraas18%
Gabriel Wesseh17%
Solomon Owusu12%
Johannes Núñez12%
Fredrik Holmé12%
Eirik Granaas12%
Daniel Eid12%
Max Nilsson8%
Simen Rafn8%
Samuel Leach Holm7%
Ulrik Fredriksen6%
Leonard Owusu0%
Isak Helstad Amundsen0%
Jakub Jezierski0%
Henrik Langaas Skogvold0%
Aleksander Andresen0%
Martin Borsheim0%
Salim Laghzaoui0%
Fanuel Ghebreyohannes Yrga-Alem0%
Sondre Sørløkk0%
Jonathan Norbye0%
Joachim Nysveen0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Eirik Granaas38%
Fanuel Ghebreyohannes Yrga-Alem20%
Fredrik Holmé19%
Benjamin Thoresen Faraas18%
Martin Borsheim17%
Simen Rafn15%
Johannes Núñez12%
Oskar Øhlenschlaeger12%
Daniel Eid12%
Jonathan Norbye11%
Rocco Robert Shein9%
Leonard Owusu8%
Max Nilsson8%
Samuel Leach Holm7%
Ulrik Fredriksen6%
Solomon Owusu0%
Isak Helstad Amundsen0%
Jakub Jezierski0%
Henrik Langaas Skogvold0%
Aleksander Andresen0%
Salim Laghzaoui0%
Gabriel Wesseh0%
Sondre Sørløkk0%
Joachim Nysveen0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Gabriel Wesseh17%
Johannes Núñez12%
Daniel Eid12%
Rocco Robert Shein9%
Sondre Sørløkk9%
Leonard Owusu8%
Max Nilsson8%
Simen Rafn8%
Samuel Leach Holm7%
Fredrik Holmé6%
Oskar Øhlenschlaeger6%
Salim Laghzaoui6%
Henrik Langaas Skogvold6%
Solomon Owusu0%
Ulrik Fredriksen0%
Isak Helstad Amundsen0%
Benjamin Thoresen Faraas0%
Jakub Jezierski0%
Aleksander Andresen0%
Martin Borsheim0%
Eirik Granaas0%
Fanuel Ghebreyohannes Yrga-Alem0%
Jonathan Norbye0%
Joachim Nysveen0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Benjamin Thoresen Faraas18%
Henrik Langaas Skogvold17%
Johannes Núñez12%
Sondre Sørløkk9%
Daniel Eid6%
Ulrik Fredriksen6%
Simen Rafn0%
Samuel Leach Holm0%
Solomon Owusu0%
Rocco Robert Shein0%
Leonard Owusu0%
Isak Helstad Amundsen0%
Fredrik Holmé0%
Jakub Jezierski0%
Aleksander Andresen0%
Martin Borsheim0%
Max Nilsson0%
Salim Laghzaoui0%
Oskar Øhlenschlaeger0%
Eirik Granaas0%
Fanuel Ghebreyohannes Yrga-Alem0%
Gabriel Wesseh0%
Jonathan Norbye0%
Joachim Nysveen0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
Norway: 1. Division 2022/23 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Norway: 1. Division stats & trends →