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Stoke vs Millwall Result & Analysis

Date: 25/02/2023
Time: 15:00
Final 0-1
Stoke
Stoke
Vs
34%
33%
32%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Millwall
Millwall
England: Championship
Referee: T Robinson

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Stoke win✗ Miss
34.4%
Avg Implied 41.5% · @ 2.29
Edge
-7.1%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
33.2%
Avg Implied 30.4% · @ 3.12
Edge
+2.8%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Millwall win✓ Hit
32.4%
Avg Implied 28.1% · @ 3.38
Edge
+4.3%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

StokeStoke

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-422D01L01L13L40W01L00D30W01L31WA·ROT26/12H·BUR30/12H·PRE02/01A·SHE14/01H·REA21/01A·LUT04/02H·HUL11/02H·HUD15/02A·BLA18/02A·SWA21/02
Avg total
2.3
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
1.0
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.201.171.201.201.201.13
vs Stronger (2)0.001.500.001.50--
vs Similar (24)1.211.121.271.271.151.00
vs Weaker (4)1.751.252.000.501.502.00
Clean sheet %30% (+1pp vs league)
This opponent (Millwall) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

MillwallMillwall

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-320W00D30W01L10W11D21W01L32W11DA·WAT26/12H·BRI29/12H·ROT01/01A·MID14/01A·CAR21/01H·SUN04/02A·QPR11/02A·COV14/02H·SHE18/02H·BUR21/02
Avg total
2.0
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.271.031.530.801.001.27
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (24)1.291.081.550.821.081.31
vs Weaker (6)1.170.831.500.750.501.00
Clean sheet %30% (+1pp vs league)
This opponent (Stoke) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

7%14%21%28%14%024%128%218%39%44%52%6+
The model estimates around 2.0 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (28%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
61.8%
Under 1.5
38.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
33.4%
@ 2.50-4.6%
Under 2.5
66.6%
@ 1.53+4.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
15.0%
Under 3.5
85.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
42.2%
No
57.8%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
14.9%
0-0
14.4%
1-0
12.2%
0-1 ✓
11.7%
2-1
7.0%
2-0
7.0%
1-2
6.8%
0-2
6.5%
Stoke goals ↓
Millwall goals →
01234
014%12%6.5%2.2%0.5%
112%15%6.8%2.3%0.6%
27.0%7.0%3.5%1.2%0.3%
32.4%2.4%1.2%0.4%0.1%
40.6%0.6%0.3%0.1%0.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Stoke goals (down), columns = Millwall goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Burnley
2.20
Sheffield United
1.98
Luton
1.74
Middlesbrough
1.63
Coventry
1.52
Sunderland
1.50
Blackburn
1.50
Millwall
1.48
Swansea
1.43
West Brom
1.43
Watford
1.37
Preston
1.37
Norwich
1.35
Bristol City
1.28
Hull
1.26
Birmingham
1.15
Huddersfield
1.15
Stoke
1.15
Rotherham
1.09
QPR
1.09
Reading
1.09
Cardiff
1.07
Wigan
0.98
Blackpool
0.96
Stoke is 0.33 points worse than Millwall in terms of average points per game (1.15 vs 1.48).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Burnley
1.89
Middlesbrough
1.83
Sheffield United
1.59
Swansea
1.48
Sunderland
1.48
West Brom
1.28
Coventry
1.26
Norwich
1.24
Luton
1.24
Millwall
1.24
Watford
1.22
Bristol City
1.20
Stoke
1.20
Blackburn
1.13
Hull
1.11
Rotherham
1.07
Blackpool
1.04
Birmingham
1.02
Huddersfield
1.02
Reading
1.00
Preston
0.98
QPR
0.96
Cardiff
0.89
Wigan
0.83
Stoke is 0.04 goals worse than Millwall in terms of goals scored per game (1.20 vs 1.24).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Burnley
0.76
Luton
0.85
Sheffield United
0.85
Coventry
1.00
Millwall
1.09
Watford
1.15
West Brom
1.15
Norwich
1.17
Blackburn
1.17
Stoke
1.17
Sunderland
1.20
Bristol City
1.22
Middlesbrough
1.22
Birmingham
1.26
Cardiff
1.26
Preston
1.28
Rotherham
1.30
Hull
1.33
Huddersfield
1.35
Swansea
1.39
Wigan
1.41
Reading
1.48
QPR
1.54
Blackpool
1.57
Stoke is 0.09 goals worse than Millwall in terms of goals conceded per game (1.17 vs 1.09).

⏱️ Possession

Avg possession %
Burnley
65%
Swansea
64%
Middlesbrough
58%
Norwich
57%
Sunderland
54%
Blackburn
54%
West Brom
53%
Stoke
53%
Watford
53%
Sheffield United
51%
Hull
50%
Bristol City
50%
QPR
50%
Wigan
48%
Preston
48%
Coventry
47%
Cardiff
47%
Luton
46%
Millwall
45%
Blackpool
42%
Rotherham
42%
Reading
42%
Birmingham
42%
Huddersfield
41%
Stoke is 7.7 percentage points better than Millwall in terms of average possession (53% vs 45%).

🎲 4. Props Analysis

StokeStoke

For 5.5 · Against 3.9 · Total 9.4

🚩 Corners

1504553123725762624735339815912881186A·SWAA·BLAH·HUDH·HULA·LUTH·REAA·SHEH·PREH·BURA·ROT
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.7 · Against 2.6 · Total 4.3

🟨 Cards

80141424232224423215562504853A·SWAA·BLAH·HUDH·HULA·LUTH·REAA·SHEH·PREH·BURA·ROT
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 13.7 · Against 10.3 · Total 24.0

⚠️ Fouls

340171291315131497111251371362113161429222823181720193430A·SWAA·BLAH·HUDH·HULA·LUTH·REAA·SHEH·PREH·BURA·ROT
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

MillwallMillwall

For 5.1 · Against 4.6 · Total 9.7

🚩 Corners

140364563345647361013410499971111911714H·BURH·SHEA·COVA·QPRH·SUNA·CARA·MIDH·ROTH·BRIA·WAT
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.1 · Against 1.7 · Total 3.8

🟨 Cards

701134311131333211332742465206H·BURH·SHEA·COVA·QPRH·SUNA·CARA·MIDH·ROTH·BRIA·WAT
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 11.2 · Against 10.0 · Total 21.2

⚠️ Fouls

2907111013981281910101313891283151418231720292321211129H·BURH·SHEA·COVA·QPRH·SUNA·CARA·MIDH·ROTH·BRIA·WAT
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

StokeStoke

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)10.310.710.03.94.03.822.222.222.1
vs Stronger (5)10.210.79.55.44.07.525.423.728.0
vs Similar (40)10.510.810.33.94.33.521.922.421.4
vs Weaker (5)8.69.58.02.41.53.021.419.023.0
% over line58%67%50%54%54%54%52%50%54%
% under line42%33%50%46%46%46%48%50%46%
This opponent (Millwall) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

MillwallMillwall

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)9.69.89.43.32.93.620.921.020.7
vs Stronger (1)11.0-11.02.0-2.015.0-15.0
vs Similar (39)9.59.69.43.43.23.620.820.621.0
vs Weaker (10)10.010.49.02.72.04.321.722.120.7
% over line44%48%40%50%36%64%42%44%40%
% under line56%52%60%50%64%36%58%56%60%
This opponent (Stoke) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

🚩 Total Corners

Match total corners / game
Sheffield United
10.8
West Brom
10.7
Burnley
10.6
Norwich
10.6
Bristol City
10.5
Watford
10.5
Middlesbrough
10.5
Stoke
10.3
Luton
10.3
Coventry
10.1
Rotherham
10.1
Hull
10.1
Cardiff
10.0
QPR
9.9
Blackpool
9.8
Swansea
9.8
Sunderland
9.8
Birmingham
9.7
Blackburn
9.7
Preston
9.6
Millwall
9.6
Huddersfield
9.5
Reading
9.3
Wigan
9.0

🟨 Total Cards

Match total cards / game
Sunderland
4.6
Sheffield United
4.3
Middlesbrough
4.3
Preston
4.2
Blackburn
4.2
Cardiff
4.1
Luton
4.1
Swansea
4.1
Coventry
4.0
Watford
3.9
Stoke
3.9
Wigan
3.9
Bristol City
3.8
Blackpool
3.7
Reading
3.7
Burnley
3.7
Huddersfield
3.7
Norwich
3.7
Birmingham
3.7
QPR
3.7
Rotherham
3.6
Hull
3.4
West Brom
3.3
Millwall
3.3

⚠️ Total Fouls

Match total fouls / game
Sunderland
23.5
Wigan
22.8
Luton
22.6
Middlesbrough
22.2
Stoke
22.2
Blackpool
22.0
QPR
21.6
Reading
21.6
Birmingham
21.4
Bristol City
21.4
Swansea
21.3
Watford
21.3
Norwich
21.2
Blackburn
21.2
Preston
21.2
Sheffield United
21.0
Millwall
20.9
Rotherham
20.6
Burnley
20.5
Coventry
20.0
Hull
19.7
Cardiff
19.6
West Brom
19.5
Huddersfield
19.2
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Over
Over 9.5
57.7%
Under 9.5
42.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
64.2%
Under 3.5
35.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Under
Over 21.5
48.0%
Under 21.5
52.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

StokeStoke

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-201L00D00D12L10W01L00D10W01L21WA·ROT26/12H·BUR30/12H·PRE02/01A·SHE14/01H·REA21/01A·LUT04/02H·HUL11/02H·HUD15/02A·BLA18/02A·SWA21/02
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.570.600.600.530.530.67
vs Stronger (2)0.000.500.000.50--
vs Similar (24)0.620.580.730.550.540.62
vs Weaker (4)0.500.750.500.500.501.00
Clean sheet %43% (+15pp vs league)
This opponent (Millwall) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

MillwallMillwall

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
10-110W00D10W00D10W00D10W00D11D00DA·WAT26/12H·BRI29/12H·ROT01/01A·MID14/01A·CAR21/01H·SUN04/02A·QPR11/02A·COV14/02H·SHE18/02H·BUR21/02
Avg total
0.6
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.1
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.570.430.670.470.470.40
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (24)0.540.330.640.360.460.31
vs Weaker (6)0.670.830.750.750.501.00
Clean sheet %67% (+38pp vs league)
This opponent (Stoke) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Stoke over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Stoke over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Stoke over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Millwall over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Millwall over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Millwall over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

StokeStoke

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-321W01L01L01L30W00D00D20W00D10WA·ROT26/12H·BUR30/12H·PRE02/01A·SHE14/01H·REA21/01A·LUT04/02H·HUL11/02H·HUD15/02A·BLA18/02A·SWA21/02
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.630.570.600.670.670.47
vs Stronger (2)0.001.000.001.00--
vs Similar (24)0.580.540.550.730.620.38
vs Weaker (4)1.250.501.500.001.001.00
Clean sheet %57% (+28pp vs league)
This opponent (Millwall) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

MillwallMillwall

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-210W00D20W01L00D11D11D01L21W11DA·WAT26/12H·BRI29/12H·ROT01/01A·MID14/01A·CAR21/01H·SUN04/02A·QPR11/02A·COV14/02H·SHE18/02H·BUR21/02
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.700.600.870.330.530.87
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (24)0.750.750.910.450.621.00
vs Weaker (6)0.500.000.750.000.000.00
Clean sheet %60% (+31pp vs league)
This opponent (Stoke) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Stoke over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Stoke over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Stoke over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Millwall over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Millwall over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Millwall over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Under 3.585.0%-------✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards81.6%-------✗ Miss
Under 25.5 fouls81.2%-------✓ Hit
Under 5.5 cards71.9%-------✓ Hit

🎽 13. Player market rates

Stoke
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Ki-Jana Hoever20%
Tyrese Campbell20%
Jacob Brown18%
Nick Powell16%
D'Margio Wright-Phillips14%
Lewis Baker14%
Liam Delap14%
Harry Clarke11%
Josh Laurent9%
Ben Wilmot8%
Phil Jagielka7%
Will Smallbone7%
Dwight Gayle6%
Josh Tymon4%
Matija Šarkić0%
Axel Tuanzebe0%
Aden Flint0%
Bersant Celina0%
Morgan Fox0%
Ben Pearson0%
Sam Clucas0%
Tariqe Fosu-Henry0%
Dujon Sterling0%
Jordan Thompson0%
Harry Souttar0%
Jack Bonham0%
Josef Bursik0%
Gavin Kilkenny0%
Emre Tezgel0%
Connor Taylor0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Harry Souttar57%
Ben Pearson50%
Gavin Kilkenny33%
Axel Tuanzebe25%
Liam Delap23%
Connor Taylor21%
Jacob Brown21%
Jordan Thompson21%
Josh Laurent19%
Ben Wilmot15%
Tariqe Fosu-Henry15%
Lewis Baker14%
Nick Powell12%
Aden Flint11%
Harry Clarke11%
Tyrese Campbell10%
Dwight Gayle9%
Dujon Sterling8%
Josh Tymon7%
Josef Bursik6%
Morgan Fox5%
Jack Bonham4%
Will Smallbone2%
Ki-Jana Hoever0%
Phil Jagielka0%
Matija Šarkić0%
Bersant Celina0%
Sam Clucas0%
D'Margio Wright-Phillips0%
Emre Tezgel0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Aden Flint22%
Dwight Gayle14%
Tyrese Campbell12%
Lewis Baker11%
Josh Tymon11%
Josh Laurent9%
Morgan Fox8%
Ben Pearson7%
Will Smallbone7%
Ki-Jana Hoever7%
Tariqe Fosu-Henry5%
Phil Jagielka4%
Jacob Brown3%
Matija Šarkić0%
Axel Tuanzebe0%
Bersant Celina0%
Sam Clucas0%
Nick Powell0%
Dujon Sterling0%
Jordan Thompson0%
Harry Souttar0%
Jack Bonham0%
Ben Wilmot0%
Josef Bursik0%
Gavin Kilkenny0%
Harry Clarke0%
Liam Delap0%
D'Margio Wright-Phillips0%
Emre Tezgel0%
Connor Taylor0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Jacob Brown21%
Tyrese Campbell20%
Bersant Celina17%
Liam Delap14%
Will Smallbone12%
Aden Flint11%
Lewis Baker9%
Dwight Gayle9%
Ben Pearson7%
Nick Powell4%
Josh Tymon4%
Ki-Jana Hoever0%
Phil Jagielka0%
Matija Šarkić0%
Axel Tuanzebe0%
Morgan Fox0%
Sam Clucas0%
Tariqe Fosu-Henry0%
Dujon Sterling0%
Jordan Thompson0%
Harry Souttar0%
Jack Bonham0%
Josh Laurent0%
Ben Wilmot0%
Josef Bursik0%
Gavin Kilkenny0%
Harry Clarke0%
D'Margio Wright-Phillips0%
Emre Tezgel0%
Connor Taylor0%
Millwall
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Zian Flemming28%
Tom Bradshaw24%
Charlie Cresswell14%
Duncan Watmore12%
Oliver Burke12%
Benik Afobe11%
Andreas Voglsammer7%
Jake Cooper7%
George Saville5%
Callum Styles5%
Tyler Burey4%
George Honeyman3%
Jamie Shackleton0%
Scott Malone0%
George Evans0%
Mason Bennett0%
George Long0%
Shaun Hutchinson0%
Murray Wallace0%
Ryan Leonard0%
Danny McNamara0%
Billy Mitchell0%
Bartosz Białkowski0%
Romain Esse0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Jake Cooper28%
George Saville26%
Danny McNamara21%
Tyler Burey17%
Murray Wallace16%
Charlie Cresswell14%
Callum Styles14%
Tom Bradshaw12%
Billy Mitchell11%
Shaun Hutchinson11%
George Honeyman11%
Mason Bennett10%
George Long8%
Oliver Burke6%
Ryan Leonard6%
Benik Afobe5%
Andreas Voglsammer5%
Zian Flemming5%
Scott Malone3%
Jamie Shackleton3%
George Evans0%
Bartosz Białkowski0%
Duncan Watmore0%
Romain Esse0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Scott Malone12%
Oliver Burke12%
Tom Bradshaw10%
Andreas Voglsammer10%
George Honeyman8%
Zian Flemming7%
Jake Cooper7%
Duncan Watmore6%
Ryan Leonard6%
Benik Afobe5%
Mason Bennett5%
Callum Styles5%
Tyler Burey4%
Charlie Cresswell3%
Billy Mitchell3%
Danny McNamara2%
Jamie Shackleton0%
George Evans0%
George Saville0%
George Long0%
Shaun Hutchinson0%
Murray Wallace0%
Bartosz Białkowski0%
Romain Esse0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Zian Flemming42%
Tom Bradshaw24%
Oliver Burke12%
Andreas Voglsammer7%
Charlie Cresswell7%
Jake Cooper7%
Murray Wallace5%
Benik Afobe5%
Mason Bennett5%
Callum Styles5%
Scott Malone3%
Billy Mitchell3%
Jamie Shackleton0%
George Evans0%
George Saville0%
George Long0%
Shaun Hutchinson0%
Ryan Leonard0%
Danny McNamara0%
Bartosz Białkowski0%
George Honeyman0%
Duncan Watmore0%
Tyler Burey0%
Romain Esse0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SUN (30)
€392m
COV (27)
€237m
MID (29)
€142m
BUR (28)
€115m
SHU (27)
€110m
NOR (34)
€107m
HUL (27)
€105m
BIR (26)
€93m
SWA (27)
€91m
WAT (22)
€88m
MIL (29)
€85m
STK (25)
€79m
QPR (28)
€71m
BRC (25)
€66m
WBA (22)
€52m
PRE (20)
€43m
BLB (27)
€36m
CAR (25)
€29m
LUT (26)
€29m
HUD (26)
€16m
BLA (22)
€11m
REA (20)
€10m
WIG (21)
€7m
ROT (19)
€5m
Stoke's squad is €6m less valuable than Millwall's (€79m vs €85m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SUN (9)
€157m
COV (8)
€85m
MID (12)
€74m
BUR (14)
€70m
SWA (13)
€56m
NOR (10)
€46m
BIR (9)
€46m
STK (8)
€35m
MIL (10)
€30m
QPR (11)
€29m
SHU (9)
€29m
BRC (8)
€29m
WAT (6)
€28m
HUL (7)
€22m
PRE (6)
€17m
CAR (12)
€15m
BLB (8)
€15m
WBA (7)
€15m
LUT (10)
€13m
BLA (8)
€4m
HUD (7)
€4m
REA (6)
€3m
WIG (8)
€2m
ROT (6)
€2m
Stoke's attack is €5m more valuable than Millwall's (€35m vs €30m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SUN (6)
€110m
COV (6)
€52m
WAT (6)
€38m
SHU (5)
€32m
NOR (11)
€31m
HUL (8)
€31m
MIL (8)
€29m
MID (5)
€27m
WBA (6)
€22m
BRC (6)
€19m
QPR (5)
€15m
BIR (5)
€12m
STK (6)
€11m
SWA (4)
€9m
BUR (3)
€8m
BLB (7)
€7m
LUT (6)
€4m
HUD (6)
€4m
CAR (3)
€4m
PRE (3)
€3m
REA (5)
€3m
BLA (5)
€3m
WIG (8)
€2m
ROT (5)
€1m
Stoke's midfield is €18m less valuable than Millwall's (€11m vs €29m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SUN (15)
€125m
COV (13)
€99m
HUL (12)
€52m
SHU (13)
€49m
MID (12)
€41m
BUR (11)
€37m
BIR (12)
€35m
STK (11)
€32m
NOR (13)
€29m
QPR (12)
€27m
SWA (10)
€26m
MIL (11)
€25m
PRE (11)
€22m
WAT (10)
€22m
BRC (11)
€18m
WBA (9)
€15m
BLB (12)
€14m
LUT (10)
€12m
CAR (10)
€10m
HUD (13)
€8m
BLA (9)
€4m
REA (9)
€4m
WIG (5)
€3m
ROT (8)
€2m
Stoke's defence is €7m more valuable than Millwall's (€32m vs €25m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

5 previous meetings
1
STK wins
1
Draws
3
MIL wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Stoke vs Millwall · H/A from STK
DateH/AGameScore
30/07/22AMillwall Vs STK2-0
19/03/22HSTK Vs Millwall2-0
23/10/21AMillwall Vs STK2-1
05/04/21HSTK Vs Millwall1-2
12/09/20AMillwall Vs STK0-0

StokeStoke

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
21/02/23ASwansea Vs STK1-3
18/02/23ABlackpool Vs STK1-0
15/02/23HSTK Vs Huddersfield3-0
11/02/23HSTK Vs Hull0-0
04/02/23ALuton Vs STK1-0
21/01/23HSTK Vs Reading4-0
14/01/23ASheffield United Vs STK3-1
02/01/23HSTK Vs Preston0-1
30/12/22HSTK Vs Burnley0-1
26/12/22ARotherham Vs STK2-2

MillwallMillwall

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
21/02/23HMIL Vs Burnley1-1
18/02/23HMIL Vs Sheffield United3-2
14/02/23ACoventry Vs MIL1-0
11/02/23AQPR Vs MIL1-2
04/02/23HMIL Vs Sunderland1-1
21/01/23ACardiff Vs MIL0-1
14/01/23AMiddlesbrough Vs MIL1-0
01/01/23HMIL Vs Rotherham3-0
29/12/22HMIL Vs Bristol City0-0
26/12/22AWatford Vs MIL0-2

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Stoke
Stoke
England: Championship
Recent: 3 Wins / 2 Draws / 5 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLDWLW1.20
HomeLLWDW1.25
AwayDLLLW1.15
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %32%33%31%
AVG goals2.442.212.65
Over 1.5 %70%62%77%
Over 2.5 %48%38%58%
Over 3.5 %30%25%35%
Scored1.201.171.23
Conceded1.241.041.42
BTTS48%33%62%
Clean Sheet28%33%23%
Corners10.3010.679.96
Cards3.884.003.77
Millwall
Millwall
England: Championship
Recent: 5 Wins / 3 Draws / 2 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDWLWD1.64
HomeDWDWD2.16
AwayWLWWL1.12
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %46%64%28%
AVG goals2.262.282.24
Over 1.5 %72%76%68%
Over 2.5 %40%40%40%
Over 3.5 %14%12%16%
Scored1.281.640.92
Conceded0.980.641.32
BTTS40%40%40%
Clean Sheet34%48%20%
Corners9.609.809.40
Cards3.262.883.64

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1BurnleyBurnley46101
63%
2.2
8735+52
2.7
76%
52%
22%
9.7
46%
4.0
52%
20.9
46%
115
708371.90.8
65%
2Sheffield UnitedSheffield United4691
61%
2.0
7339+34
2.4
61%
41%
26%
10.5
57%
4.3
67%
20.2
30%
110
2932491.60.8
51%
3LutonLuton4680
46%
1.7
5739+18
2.1
67%
30%
15%
10.7
61%
3.8
54%
22.5
52%
29
134121.20.8
46%
4MiddlesbroughMiddlesbrough4675
48%
1.6
8456+28
3.0
83%
65%
41%
10.3
54%
3.9
50%
21.3
41%
142
7427411.81.2
58%
5CoventryCoventry4670
39%
1.5
5846+12
2.3
63%
35%
24%
9.9
52%
4.1
63%
20.6
37%
237
8552991.31.0
47%
6SunderlandSunderland4669
39%
1.5
6855+13
2.7
78%
54%
20%
9.7
61%
4.5
70%
23.5
59%
392
1571101251.51.2
54%
7BlackburnBlackburn4669
43%
1.5
5254-2
2.3
65%
41%
15%
9.9
54%
4.1
57%
19.7
39%
36
157141.11.2
54%
8MillwallMillwall4668
41%
1.5
5750+7
2.3
67%
39%
17%
8.9
33%
3.4
50%
21.2
41%
85
3029251.21.1
45%
9West BromWest Brom4666
39%
1.4
5953+6
2.4
76%
37%
20%
10.8
70%
3.5
43%
19.9
39%
52
1522151.31.2
53%
10SwanseaSwansea4666
39%
1.4
6864+4
2.9
78%
57%
33%
9.5
41%
4.4
63%
22.0
48%
91
569261.51.4
64%
11WatfordWatford4663
35%
1.4
5653+3
2.4
74%
39%
26%
10.3
54%
4.7
78%
23.2
63%
88
2838221.21.2
53%
12PrestonPreston4663
37%
1.4
4559-14
2.3
63%
43%
20%
9.6
52%
4.4
67%
21.2
50%
43
173221.01.3
48%
13NorwichNorwich4662
37%
1.3
5754+3
2.4
67%
46%
22%
10.7
57%
4.0
57%
21.5
46%
107
4631291.21.2
57%
14Bristol CityBristol City4659
33%
1.3
5556-1
2.4
80%
39%
15%
10.5
57%
3.6
54%
20.7
30%
66
2919181.21.2
50%
15HullHull4658
30%
1.3
5161-10
2.4
67%
41%
26%
10.0
52%
3.2
37%
20.0
30%
105
2231521.11.3
50%
16StokeStoke4653
30%
1.2
5554+1
2.4
67%
43%
28%
10.7
67%
4.0
54%
22.4
52%
79
3511321.21.2
53%
17BirminghamBirmingham4653
30%
1.2
4758-11
2.3
67%
41%
15%
9.8
57%
3.9
48%
21.7
37%
93
4612351.01.3
42%
18HuddersfieldHuddersfield4653
30%
1.2
4762-15
2.4
67%
43%
22%
10.0
54%
3.6
52%
19.5
35%
16
4481.01.3
41%
19RotherhamRotherham4650
24%
1.1
4960-11
2.4
76%
48%
22%
10.1
61%
3.7
52%
20.1
35%
5
2121.11.3
42%
20ReadingReading4650
28%
1.1
4668-22
2.5
74%
50%
22%
9.5
54%
3.6
50%
21.2
39%
10
3341.01.5
42%
21QPRQPR4650
28%
1.1
4471-27
2.5
72%
50%
24%
10.3
50%
3.8
65%
22.1
48%
71
2915271.01.5
50%
22CardiffCardiff4649
28%
1.1
4158-17
2.2
61%
35%
20%
9.6
52%
4.1
57%
19.9
39%
29
154100.91.3
47%
23WiganWigan4645
22%
1.0
3865-27
2.2
67%
37%
15%
8.9
41%
3.7
54%
21.8
57%
7
2230.81.4
48%
24BlackpoolBlackpool4644
24%
1.0
4872-24
2.6
63%
48%
30%
10.3
54%
3.8
52%
22.5
63%
11
4341.01.6
42%
England: Championship 2022/23 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full England: Championship stats & trends →

← all matches