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Stoke vs Watford Result & Analysis

Date: 19/08/2023
Time: 15:00
Final 1-0
Stoke
Stoke
Vs
46%
29%
25%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Watford
Watford
England: Championship
Referee: J Bell

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Stoke win✓ Hit
46.4%
Avg Implied 41.9% · @ 2.27
Edge
+4.5%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
28.7%
Avg Implied 28.2% · @ 3.38
Edge
+0.6%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Watford win✗ Miss
24.9%
Avg Implied 29.9% · @ 3.18
Edge
-5.1%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

StokeStoke

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-440W12L00D12L01L11D01L02L41W02LA·COV01/04H·BRI07/04A·BIR10/04H·WES15/04H·WIG18/04A·CAR22/04H·QPR29/04A·WAT08/05H·ROT05/08A·IPS12/08
Avg total
2.3
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
1.2
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.331.131.311.001.361.29
vs Stronger (3)3.001.00--3.001.00
vs Similar (24)0.881.170.931.070.801.30
vs Weaker (3)3.331.004.000.502.002.00
Clean sheet %23% (-5pp vs league)
This opponent (Watford) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

WatfordWatford

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-402L23L22D20W13L01L22D20W40W00DA·LUT01/04H·HUD07/04A·COV10/04H·BRI15/04H·CAR19/04A·HUL22/04A·SUN29/04H·STO08/05H·QPR05/08H·PLY12/08
Avg total
2.8
Avg scored
1.5
Avg conceded
1.3
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.131.071.410.820.771.38
vs Stronger (1)2.002.00--2.002.00
vs Similar (25)1.041.041.430.860.551.27
vs Weaker (4)1.501.001.330.672.002.00
Clean sheet %40% (+11pp vs league)
This opponent (Stoke) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

7%13%20%27%10%018%127%221%313%47%54%6+
The model estimates around 2.5 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (27%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
72.3%
Under 1.5
27.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
45.3%
@ 2.00-2.2%
Under 2.5
54.7%
@ 1.81+2.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
24.0%
Under 3.5
76.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
50.4%
No
49.6%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
13.7%
1-0 ✓
11.0%
0-0
9.6%
2-1
9.1%
2-0
9.0%
0-1
7.2%
1-2
6.3%
2-2
4.6%
Stoke goals ↓
Watford goals →
01234
09.6%7.2%4.3%1.5%0.4%
111%14%6.3%2.1%0.5%
29.0%9.1%4.6%1.6%0.4%
34.4%4.5%2.3%0.8%0.2%
41.6%1.7%0.8%0.3%0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Stoke goals (down), columns = Watford goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Leicester
2.11
Ipswich
2.09
Leeds
1.96
Southampton
1.89
West Brom
1.63
Norwich
1.59
Hull
1.52
Middlesbrough
1.50
Coventry
1.39
Preston
1.37
Bristol City
1.35
Cardiff
1.35
Millwall
1.28
Swansea
1.24
Watford
1.22
QPR
1.22
Sunderland
1.22
Stoke
1.22
Blackburn
1.15
Sheffield Weds
1.15
Plymouth
1.11
Birmingham
1.09
Huddersfield
0.98
Rotherham
0.59
Stoke and Watford are level in average points per game (both 1.22).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Ipswich
2.00
Leicester
1.93
Southampton
1.89
Leeds
1.76
Norwich
1.72
Middlesbrough
1.54
West Brom
1.52
Coventry
1.52
Hull
1.48
Watford
1.33
Blackburn
1.30
Swansea
1.28
Plymouth
1.28
Preston
1.22
Bristol City
1.15
Cardiff
1.15
Sunderland
1.13
Birmingham
1.09
Stoke
1.07
Huddersfield
1.04
QPR
1.02
Millwall
0.98
Sheffield Weds
0.96
Rotherham
0.80
Stoke is 0.26 goals worse than Watford in terms of goals scored per game (1.07 vs 1.33).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Leicester
0.89
Leeds
0.93
West Brom
1.02
Bristol City
1.11
Sunderland
1.17
Millwall
1.20
Ipswich
1.24
QPR
1.26
Coventry
1.28
Stoke
1.30
Hull
1.30
Watford
1.33
Middlesbrough
1.35
Southampton
1.37
Norwich
1.39
Swansea
1.41
Birmingham
1.41
Preston
1.46
Sheffield Weds
1.48
Plymouth
1.52
Cardiff
1.52
Blackburn
1.61
Huddersfield
1.67
Rotherham
1.93
Stoke is 0.02 goals better than Watford in terms of goals conceded per game (1.30 vs 1.33).

⏱️ Possession

Avg possession %
Southampton
66%
Leicester
62%
Leeds
58%
Hull
56%
Sunderland
56%
Swansea
55%
Ipswich
53%
Middlesbrough
53%
West Brom
52%
Watford
52%
Blackburn
52%
Coventry
51%
Stoke
51%
Norwich
49%
Bristol City
48%
QPR
46%
Cardiff
45%
Plymouth
45%
Preston
45%
Birmingham
44%
Sheffield Weds
43%
Millwall
42%
Huddersfield
40%
Rotherham
37%
Stoke is 1.4 percentage points worse than Watford in terms of average possession (51% vs 52%).

🎲 4. Props Analysis

StokeStoke

For 6.5 · Against 4.6 · Total 11.1

🚩 Corners

1603710266746745510674661012127101110161112A·IPSH·ROTA·WATH·QPRA·CARH·WIGH·WESA·BIRH·BRIA·COV
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.9 · Against 2.1 · Total 4.0

🟨 Cards

9013542133225222124924347412A·IPSH·ROTA·WATH·QPRA·CARH·WIGH·WESA·BIRH·BRIA·COV
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 11.7 · Against 10.8 · Total 22.5

⚠️ Fouls

310171212101713710831713151671411661129223017113031211717A·IPSH·ROTA·WATH·QPRA·CARH·WIGH·WESA·BIRH·BRIA·COV
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

WatfordWatford

For 6.9 · Against 4.9 · Total 11.8

🚩 Corners

1601238266210521016746133391510121271113101612H·PLYH·QPRH·STOA·SUNA·HULH·CARH·BRIA·COVH·HUDA·LUT
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.2 · Against 2.5 · Total 4.7

🟨 Cards

802122332333135342322326564865H·PLYH·QPRH·STOA·SUNA·HULH·CARH·BRIA·COVH·HUDA·LUT
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 11.4 · Against 11.7 · Total 23.1

⚠️ Fouls

30016108151317121110141111117148710121426233023242218221726H·PLYH·QPRH·STOA·SUNA·HULH·CARH·BRIA·COVH·HUDA·LUT
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

StokeStoke

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)10.710.910.43.94.23.722.322.721.9
vs Stronger (6)10.010.79.33.54.03.024.023.724.3
vs Similar (39)10.911.110.84.14.23.922.122.921.2
vs Weaker (5)9.410.38.03.44.02.522.020.025.0
% over line68%76%60%54%56%52%52%52%52%
% under line32%24%40%46%44%48%48%48%48%
This opponent (Watford) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

WatfordWatford

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)10.310.310.24.54.74.222.922.922.8
vs Stronger (3)9.711.09.03.34.03.018.314.020.5
vs Similar (41)10.510.310.74.44.64.223.223.423.1
vs Weaker (6)9.210.38.05.55.75.322.822.723.0
% over line56%58%54%72%77%67%62%58%67%
% under line44%42%46%28%23%33%38%42%33%
This opponent (Stoke) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

🚩 Total Corners

Match total corners / game
Stoke
10.7
West Brom
10.7
Norwich
10.7
Plymouth
10.5
QPR
10.5
Middlesbrough
10.4
Rotherham
10.4
Ipswich
10.3
Watford
10.3
Bristol City
10.2
Southampton
10.2
Coventry
10.2
Huddersfield
10.1
Hull
10.0
Sunderland
10.0
Blackburn
10.0
Leeds
9.8
Birmingham
9.8
Cardiff
9.8
Preston
9.7
Leicester
9.6
Swansea
9.6
Millwall
9.3
Sheffield Weds
9.1

🟨 Total Cards

Match total cards / game
Watford
4.5
Sunderland
4.5
Preston
4.3
Swansea
4.3
Norwich
4.2
Blackburn
4.1
Cardiff
4.1
Leeds
4.0
Coventry
3.9
Stoke
3.9
Birmingham
3.9
Middlesbrough
3.9
Rotherham
3.8
QPR
3.8
West Brom
3.7
Ipswich
3.6
Southampton
3.6
Bristol City
3.5
Huddersfield
3.5
Sheffield Weds
3.5
Millwall
3.3
Leicester
3.2
Hull
3.2
Plymouth
3.2

⚠️ Total Fouls

Match total fouls / game
Sunderland
23.6
Leeds
22.9
Watford
22.9
Stoke
22.3
QPR
21.9
Swansea
21.8
Plymouth
21.8
Sheffield Weds
21.7
Ipswich
21.6
Birmingham
21.5
Norwich
21.5
Leicester
21.3
Preston
21.3
Southampton
21.1
Millwall
20.9
Middlesbrough
20.8
Bristol City
20.5
Coventry
20.4
Hull
20.4
Rotherham
20.2
West Brom
19.8
Cardiff
19.7
Blackburn
19.7
Huddersfield
19.3
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Under
Over 9.5
58.8%
Under 9.5
41.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
48.3%
Under 3.5
51.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
56.7%
Under 21.5
43.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

StokeStoke

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-320W10W00D10W00D11D00D00D30W01LA·COV01/04H·BRI07/04A·BIR10/04H·WES15/04H·WIG18/04A·CAR22/04H·QPR29/04A·WAT08/05H·ROT05/08A·IPS12/08
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.2
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.730.470.810.190.640.79
vs Stronger (3)1.000.33--1.000.33
vs Similar (24)0.620.500.640.210.600.90
vs Weaker (3)1.330.332.000.000.001.00
Clean sheet %57% (+28pp vs league)
This opponent (Watford) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

WatfordWatford

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-401L11D20W10W13L01L10W00D40W00DA·LUT01/04H·HUD07/04A·COV10/04H·BRI15/04H·CAR19/04A·HUL22/04A·SUN29/04H·STO08/05H·QPR05/08H·PLY12/08
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.570.430.710.410.380.46
vs Stronger (1)1.000.00--1.000.00
vs Similar (25)0.520.480.710.430.270.55
vs Weaker (4)0.750.250.670.331.000.00
Clean sheet %67% (+38pp vs league)
This opponent (Stoke) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Stoke over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Stoke over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Stoke over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Watford over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Watford over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Watford over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

StokeStoke

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-220W02L00D02L01L00D01L02L11D01LA·COV01/04H·BRI07/04A·BIR10/04H·WES15/04H·WIG18/04A·CAR22/04H·QPR29/04A·WAT08/05H·ROT05/08A·IPS12/08
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
1.0
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.600.670.500.810.710.50
vs Stronger (3)2.000.67--2.000.67
vs Similar (24)0.250.670.290.860.200.40
vs Weaker (3)2.000.672.000.502.001.00
Clean sheet %47% (+18pp vs league)
This opponent (Watford) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

WatfordWatford

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-201L12L02L10W00D00D12L20W00D00DA·LUT01/04H·HUD07/04A·COV10/04H·BRI15/04H·CAR19/04A·HUL22/04A·SUN29/04H·STO08/05H·QPR05/08H·PLY12/08
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.570.630.710.410.380.92
vs Stronger (1)1.002.00--1.002.00
vs Similar (25)0.520.560.710.430.270.73
vs Weaker (4)0.750.750.670.331.002.00
Clean sheet %60% (+31pp vs league)
This opponent (Stoke) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Stoke over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Stoke over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Stoke over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Watford over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Watford over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Watford over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Under 5.5 cards84.5%-------✓ Hit
Under 3.576.0%-------✓ Hit
Under 25.5 fouls74.6%-------✗ Miss
Over 19.5 fouls72.7%-------✓ Hit
Over 1.572.3%-------✗ Miss
Under 4.5 cards70.8%-------✗ Miss
Over 8.5 corners70.8%-------✓ Hit

🎽 13. Player market rates

Stoke
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Million Manhoef21%
André Vidigal17%
Tyrese Campbell13%
Ryan Mmaee12%
Luke Cundle12%
Ki-Jana Hoever10%
Lewis Baker10%
Daniel Johnson8%
Wouter Burger8%
Nathan Lowe8%
Niall Ennis7%
Lynden Gooch7%
Mehdi Léris7%
Jordan Thompson6%
Sead Hakšabanović5%
Luke McNally5%
Bae Jun-Ho5%
Ben Wilmot4%
Josh Laurent3%
Michael Rose3%
Wesley Moraes0%
Daniel Iversen0%
Mark Travers0%
Ciaran Clark0%
Enda Stevens0%
Dwight Gayle0%
Ben Pearson0%
Jack Bonham0%
Chiquinho0%
Junior Tchamadeu0%
Souleymane Sidibe0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Jordan Thompson44%
Ben Pearson41%
Ciaran Clark33%
Enda Stevens29%
Ben Wilmot28%
Junior Tchamadeu27%
Wouter Burger26%
Josh Laurent22%
Daniel Johnson19%
Luke McNally18%
Mehdi Léris17%
Lewis Baker15%
Million Manhoef14%
Michael Rose14%
Tyrese Campbell13%
Luke Cundle12%
Lynden Gooch10%
Ki-Jana Hoever10%
Niall Ennis7%
André Vidigal7%
Sead Hakšabanović5%
Bae Jun-Ho5%
Wesley Moraes5%
Ryan Mmaee4%
Daniel Iversen0%
Mark Travers0%
Dwight Gayle0%
Jack Bonham0%
Chiquinho0%
Souleymane Sidibe0%
Nathan Lowe0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Bae Jun-Ho13%
Ki-Jana Hoever12%
Ryan Mmaee12%
Sead Hakšabanović11%
Wouter Burger10%
Daniel Johnson8%
Million Manhoef7%
Mehdi Léris7%
Jordan Thompson6%
Luke Cundle6%
Josh Laurent5%
Tyrese Campbell4%
Ben Wilmot4%
Ben Pearson3%
Luke McNally3%
Wesley Moraes0%
André Vidigal0%
Daniel Iversen0%
Niall Ennis0%
Mark Travers0%
Ciaran Clark0%
Enda Stevens0%
Dwight Gayle0%
Lewis Baker0%
Lynden Gooch0%
Jack Bonham0%
Michael Rose0%
Chiquinho0%
Junior Tchamadeu0%
Souleymane Sidibe0%
Nathan Lowe0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Million Manhoef29%
Tyrese Campbell26%
Ryan Mmaee17%
Niall Ennis14%
André Vidigal14%
Lewis Baker10%
Ki-Jana Hoever8%
Michael Rose5%
Sead Hakšabanović5%
Bae Jun-Ho5%
Wesley Moraes5%
Josh Laurent3%
Luke McNally3%
Wouter Burger3%
Daniel Iversen0%
Mark Travers0%
Ciaran Clark0%
Enda Stevens0%
Dwight Gayle0%
Daniel Johnson0%
Ben Pearson0%
Lynden Gooch0%
Jordan Thompson0%
Jack Bonham0%
Mehdi Léris0%
Ben Wilmot0%
Luke Cundle0%
Chiquinho0%
Junior Tchamadeu0%
Souleymane Sidibe0%
Nathan Lowe0%
Watford
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Emmanuel Dennis24%
Mileta Rajović20%
Rhys Healey18%
Edo Kayembe14%
Yáser Asprilla14%
Vakoun Issouf Bayo13%
Matheus Martins13%
Ismael Koné10%
Wesley Hoedt9%
Ryan Andrews8%
Thomas Ince7%
Jake Livermore7%
Imrân Louza7%
Tom Dele-Bashiru6%
Ryan Porteous5%
Ken Sema3%
Giorgi Chakvetadze3%
Matthew Pollock0%
Ben Hamer0%
Jamal Lewis0%
Francisco Sierralta0%
Daniel Bachmann0%
James Morris0%
Jeremy Ngakia0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Ryan Porteous38%
Jake Livermore30%
Wesley Hoedt27%
Imrân Louza27%
Giorgi Chakvetadze21%
Edo Kayembe20%
Ryan Andrews18%
Matthew Pollock17%
James Morris17%
Yáser Asprilla16%
Ben Hamer16%
Francisco Sierralta15%
Daniel Bachmann15%
Jamal Lewis11%
Rhys Healey9%
Matheus Martins8%
Jeremy Ngakia7%
Ismael Koné7%
Emmanuel Dennis6%
Tom Dele-Bashiru6%
Vakoun Issouf Bayo5%
Thomas Ince4%
Ken Sema3%
Mileta Rajović2%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Imrân Louza20%
Yáser Asprilla16%
Giorgi Chakvetadze12%
Ken Sema10%
Rhys Healey9%
Ryan Porteous8%
Vakoun Issouf Bayo8%
Thomas Ince7%
Jeremy Ngakia7%
Ismael Koné7%
Edo Kayembe6%
Tom Dele-Bashiru6%
Jamal Lewis6%
Matheus Martins5%
Ryan Andrews5%
Wesley Hoedt5%
Francisco Sierralta4%
Jake Livermore3%
Emmanuel Dennis0%
Mileta Rajović0%
Matthew Pollock0%
Ben Hamer0%
Daniel Bachmann0%
James Morris0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Edo Kayembe17%
Vakoun Issouf Bayo10%
Yáser Asprilla9%
Ismael Koné7%
Imrân Louza7%
Matheus Martins5%
Mileta Rajović5%
Wesley Hoedt5%
Thomas Ince4%
Giorgi Chakvetadze3%
Ryan Andrews2%
Emmanuel Dennis0%
Ken Sema0%
Matthew Pollock0%
Rhys Healey0%
Ben Hamer0%
Jamal Lewis0%
Jake Livermore0%
Francisco Sierralta0%
Daniel Bachmann0%
Ryan Porteous0%
Tom Dele-Bashiru0%
James Morris0%
Jeremy Ngakia0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
LEE (27)
€427m
SUN (30)
€392m
IPS (31)
€280m
COV (27)
€237m
SOU (30)
€205m
MID (29)
€142m
NOR (34)
€107m
HUL (27)
€105m
BIR (26)
€93m
SWA (27)
€91m
WAT (22)
€88m
MIL (29)
€85m
STK (25)
€79m
QPR (28)
€71m
LEI (22)
€69m
BRC (25)
€66m
WBA (22)
€52m
PRE (20)
€43m
BLB (27)
€36m
CAR (25)
€29m
SHW (24)
€21m
HUD (26)
€16m
PLY (25)
€13m
ROT (19)
€5m
Stoke's squad is €10m less valuable than Watford's (€79m vs €88m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
LEE (11)
€166m
SUN (9)
€157m
IPS (11)
€130m
COV (8)
€85m
MID (12)
€74m
SOU (10)
€72m
SWA (13)
€56m
NOR (10)
€46m
BIR (9)
€46m
STK (8)
€35m
MIL (10)
€30m
QPR (11)
€29m
BRC (8)
€29m
WAT (6)
€28m
HUL (7)
€22m
LEI (7)
€20m
PRE (6)
€17m
CAR (12)
€15m
BLB (8)
€15m
WBA (7)
€15m
SHW (6)
€7m
PLY (8)
€4m
HUD (7)
€4m
ROT (6)
€2m
Stoke's attack is €8m more valuable than Watford's (€35m vs €28m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SUN (6)
€110m
LEE (5)
€98m
IPS (7)
€66m
SOU (5)
€53m
COV (6)
€52m
WAT (6)
€38m
NOR (11)
€31m
HUL (8)
€31m
MIL (8)
€29m
MID (5)
€27m
WBA (6)
€22m
BRC (6)
€19m
QPR (5)
€15m
LEI (4)
€13m
BIR (5)
€12m
STK (6)
€11m
SWA (4)
€9m
BLB (7)
€7m
SHW (5)
€6m
HUD (6)
€4m
CAR (3)
€4m
PRE (3)
€3m
PLY (6)
€3m
ROT (5)
€1m
Stoke's midfield is €27m less valuable than Watford's (€11m vs €38m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
LEE (11)
€163m
SUN (15)
€125m
COV (13)
€99m
IPS (13)
€85m
SOU (15)
€79m
HUL (12)
€52m
MID (12)
€41m
LEI (11)
€36m
BIR (12)
€35m
STK (11)
€32m
NOR (13)
€29m
QPR (12)
€27m
SWA (10)
€26m
MIL (11)
€25m
PRE (11)
€22m
WAT (10)
€22m
BRC (11)
€18m
WBA (9)
€15m
BLB (12)
€14m
CAR (10)
€10m
SHW (13)
€8m
HUD (13)
€8m
PLY (11)
€6m
ROT (8)
€2m
Stoke's defence is €10m more valuable than Watford's (€32m vs €22m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

4 previous meetings
0
STK wins
0
Draws
4
WAT wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Stoke vs Watford · H/A from STK
DateH/AGameScore
08/05/23AWatford Vs STK2-0
02/10/22HSTK Vs Watford0-4
22/01/21HSTK Vs Watford1-2
04/11/20AWatford Vs STK3-2

StokeStoke

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
12/08/23AIpswich Vs STK2-0
05/08/23HSTK Vs Rotherham4-1
08/05/23AWatford Vs STK2-0
29/04/23HSTK Vs QPR0-1
22/04/23ACardiff Vs STK1-1
18/04/23HSTK Vs Wigan0-1
15/04/23HSTK Vs West Brom1-2
10/04/23ABirmingham Vs STK0-0
07/04/23HSTK Vs Bristol City1-2
01/04/23ACoventry Vs STK0-4

WatfordWatford

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
12/08/23HWAT Vs Plymouth0-0
05/08/23HWAT Vs QPR4-0
08/05/23HWAT Vs Stoke2-0
29/04/23ASunderland Vs WAT2-2
22/04/23AHull Vs WAT1-0
19/04/23HWAT Vs Cardiff1-3
15/04/23HWAT Vs Bristol City2-0
10/04/23ACoventry Vs WAT2-2
07/04/23HWAT Vs Huddersfield2-3
01/04/23ALuton Vs WAT2-0

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Stoke
Stoke
England: Championship
Recent: 2 Wins / 2 Draws / 6 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDLLWL1.14
HomeLLLLW1.08
AwayWDDLL1.20
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %30%28%32%
AVG goals2.442.362.52
Over 1.5 %70%64%76%
Over 2.5 %44%44%44%
Over 3.5 %30%28%32%
Scored1.221.201.24
Conceded1.221.161.28
BTTS44%40%48%
Clean Sheet26%24%28%
Corners10.6810.9210.44
Cards3.924.163.68
Watford
Watford
England: Championship
Recent: 3 Wins / 3 Draws / 4 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLDWWD1.34
HomeWLWWD1.65
AwayLLDLD1.00
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %34%46%21%
AVG goals2.442.622.25
Over 1.5 %74%77%71%
Over 2.5 %42%46%38%
Over 3.5 %28%31%25%
Scored1.241.540.92
Conceded1.201.081.33
BTTS44%46%42%
Clean Sheet36%46%25%
Corners10.3010.3510.25
Cards4.484.734.21

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1LeicesterLeicester4697
67%
2.1
8941+48
2.8
78%
59%
30%
9.8
52%
4.3
63%
21.1
46%
69
2013361.90.9
62%
2IpswichIpswich4696
61%
2.1
9257+35
3.2
80%
61%
43%
10.5
57%
3.9
65%
22.9
59%
280
13066852.01.2
53%
3LeedsLeeds4690
59%
2.0
8143+38
2.7
72%
54%
30%
10.5
54%
4.1
57%
22.6
54%
427
166981631.80.9
58%
4SouthamptonSouthampton4687
57%
1.9
8763+24
3.3
85%
65%
37%
11.5
65%
4.8
76%
22.1
50%
205
7253791.91.4
66%
5West BromWest Brom4675
46%
1.6
7047+23
2.5
76%
48%
26%
10.9
61%
3.5
39%
18.8
22%
52
1522151.51.0
52%
6NorwichNorwich4673
46%
1.6
7964+15
3.1
78%
61%
41%
10.5
57%
4.1
52%
21.3
43%
107
4631291.71.4
49%
7HullHull4670
41%
1.5
6860+8
2.8
76%
59%
33%
10.5
70%
4.3
65%
22.7
54%
105
2231521.51.3
56%
8MiddlesbroughMiddlesbrough4669
43%
1.5
7162+9
2.9
85%
52%
30%
11.0
65%
3.7
59%
21.4
41%
142
7427411.51.3
53%
9CoventryCoventry4664
37%
1.4
7059+11
2.8
85%
63%
26%
11.7
65%
4.3
61%
23.2
70%
237
8552991.51.3
51%
10PrestonPreston4663
39%
1.4
5667-11
2.7
78%
59%
22%
9.3
46%
3.6
52%
22.4
52%
43
173221.21.5
45%
11Bristol CityBristol City4662
37%
1.3
5351+2
2.3
61%
37%
22%
10.5
57%
3.2
41%
20.2
41%
66
2919181.21.1
48%
12CardiffCardiff4662
41%
1.3
5370-17
2.7
76%
52%
26%
9.5
48%
3.5
50%
19.8
33%
29
154101.21.5
45%
13MillwallMillwall4659
35%
1.3
4555-10
2.2
63%
37%
20%
10.2
50%
4.2
63%
22.2
57%
85
3029251.01.2
42%
14SwanseaSwansea4657
33%
1.2
5965-6
2.7
78%
57%
30%
10.4
61%
4.1
61%
22.6
57%
91
569261.31.4
55%
15WatfordWatford4656
28%
1.2
6161+0
2.7
67%
50%
33%
9.9
52%
4.2
57%
23.4
63%
88
2838221.31.3
52%
16SunderlandSunderland4656
35%
1.2
5254-2
2.3
63%
46%
22%
10.5
59%
4.9
72%
23.3
65%
392
1571101251.11.2
56%
17StokeStoke4656
33%
1.2
4960-11
2.4
67%
43%
24%
11.0
50%
4.3
70%
22.3
59%
79
3511321.11.3
51%
18QPRQPR4656
33%
1.2
4758-11
2.3
72%
46%
17%
11.0
57%
4.4
65%
23.0
63%
71
2915271.01.3
46%
19BlackburnBlackburn4653
30%
1.2
6074-14
2.9
76%
63%
37%
11.3
76%
4.1
61%
19.7
39%
36
157141.31.6
52%
20Sheffield WedsSheffield Weds4653
33%
1.2
4468-24
2.4
74%
46%
22%
10.6
59%
4.3
57%
22.5
54%
21
7681.01.5
43%
21PlymouthPlymouth4651
28%
1.1
5970-11
2.8
74%
54%
30%
12.5
80%
4.1
59%
21.8
57%
13
4361.31.5
45%
22BirminghamBirmingham4650
28%
1.1
5065-15
2.5
67%
46%
26%
10.6
59%
4.0
59%
23.3
70%
93
4612351.11.4
44%
23HuddersfieldHuddersfield4645
20%
1.0
4877-29
2.7
83%
46%
30%
11.0
63%
3.9
63%
22.8
59%
16
4481.01.7
40%
24RotherhamRotherham4627
11%
0.6
3789-52
2.7
80%
50%
24%
10.5
57%
3.2
35%
20.7
46%
5
2120.81.9
37%
England: Championship 2023/24 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full England: Championship stats & trends →

← all matches