PythiaFootballPythiaFootballBETA Free Picks Fixtures League Stats Team Stats Player Stats Pro Picks PRO Research Head-to-Head Validation Pricing Log in
← Back

Strumska Slava vs Maritsa Plovdiv Result & Analysis

Date: 08/10/2023
Time: 13:00
Final 1-0
Strumska Slava
Strumska Slava
Vs
60%
24%
16%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Maritsa Plovdiv
Maritsa Plovdiv
Bulgaria: Second League
Referee: -
1 Model Analysis2 Goal Analysis3 Team Strengths Analysis4 Props Analysis5 Double Chance6 Home & Away Over/Under7 Handicap8 Half Time Goals O/U9 Half Time Home & Away O/U10 Second Half Goals O/U11 Second Half Home & Away O/U
12 Top picks for this game14 Squad value15 Games History16 Overall Statistics17 League Table

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Strumska Slava win✓ Hit
59.8%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
24.2%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Maritsa Plovdiv win✗ Miss
16.0%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

Strumska SlavaStrumska Slava

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-323L01L20W20W11D23L21W01L10W02LH·LIT29/07A·LUD06/08H·SPA13/08A·CSK22/08H·SPO27/08A·YAN03/09H·CHE17/09A·BDI23/09H·BEL27/09A·SPA02/10
Avg total
2.4
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
1.2
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.201.231.431.001.001.44
vs Stronger (2)1.501.001.002.002.000.00
vs Similar (28)1.181.251.460.920.931.53
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %27% (-8pp vs league)
This opponent (Maritsa Plovdiv) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Maritsa PlovdivMaritsa Plovdiv

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-431W14L33D10W20W02L01L01L13L10WH·SPO31/07A·YAN05/08H·CHE13/08A·BDI20/08H·BEL29/08A·SPA03/09H·MAR18/09H·DUN22/09A·SEP28/09H·DOB02/10
Avg total
2.7
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
1.5
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.201.531.531.060.772.15
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (28)1.181.541.441.060.832.17
vs Weaker (2)1.501.503.001.000.002.00
Clean sheet %23% (-12pp vs league)
This opponent (Strumska Slava) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%13%19%25%8%016%125%222%315%48%56%6+
The model estimates around 2.7 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (25%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
76.8%
Under 1.5
23.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
51.5%
Under 2.5
48.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
29.3%
Under 3.5
70.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
50.1%
No
49.9%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
11.6%
2-0
11.3%
1-0 ✓
11.1%
2-1
9.8%
0-0
7.6%
3-0
7.0%
3-1
6.1%
0-1
4.6%
Strumska Slava goals ↓
Maritsa Plovdiv goals →
01234
07.6%4.6%2.5%0.7%0.2%
111%12%4.6%1.3%0.3%
211%9.8%4.3%1.2%0.3%
37.0%6.1%2.7%0.8%0.2%
43.3%2.8%1.2%0.4%0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Strumska Slava goals (down), columns = Maritsa Plovdiv goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Spartak Varna
2.12
Septemvri Sofia
1.91
Marek
1.79
Montana
1.68
Strumska Slava
1.50
Dobrudzha
1.47
CSKA 1948 Sofia II
1.47
Yantra 2019
1.38
Dunav Ruse
1.35
Spartak Pleven
1.32
Litex
1.32
Ludogorets II
1.29
Belasitsa
1.26
Sportist Svoge
1.18
Chernomorets 1919 Burgas
1.12
Chernomorets Balchik
1.06
Maritsa Plovdiv
0.88
Bdin
0.65
Strumska Slava is 0.62 points better than Maritsa Plovdiv in terms of average points per game (1.50 vs 0.88).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Spartak Varna
1.76
Septemvri Sofia
1.35
Montana
1.35
Dobrudzha
1.26
Yantra 2019
1.15
CSKA 1948 Sofia II
1.15
Ludogorets II
1.15
Belasitsa
1.09
Marek
1.06
Chernomorets Balchik
1.06
Sportist Svoge
1.06
Strumska Slava
1.00
Chernomorets 1919 Burgas
0.97
Maritsa Plovdiv
0.91
Dunav Ruse
0.88
Litex
0.88
Spartak Pleven
0.85
Bdin
0.56
Strumska Slava is 0.09 goals better than Maritsa Plovdiv in terms of goals scored per game (1.00 vs 0.91).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Marek
0.76
Septemvri Sofia
0.76
Spartak Varna
0.82
Strumska Slava
0.82
Montana
0.91
Spartak Pleven
0.94
Belasitsa
0.97
Dobrudzha
1.00
Dunav Ruse
1.06
CSKA 1948 Sofia II
1.06
Litex
1.06
Yantra 2019
1.09
Ludogorets II
1.15
Chernomorets 1919 Burgas
1.21
Sportist Svoge
1.32
Chernomorets Balchik
1.44
Bdin
1.47
Maritsa Plovdiv
1.65
Strumska Slava is 0.82 goals better than Maritsa Plovdiv in terms of goals conceded per game (0.82 vs 1.65).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

Strumska SlavaStrumska Slava

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-201L00D10W00D01L22D11D00D00D00DH·LIT29/07A·LUD06/08H·SPA13/08A·CSK22/08H·SPO27/08A·YAN03/09H·CHE17/09A·BDI23/09H·BEL27/09A·SPA02/10
Avg total
0.9
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.470.430.500.570.440.31
vs Stronger (2)0.000.000.000.000.000.00
vs Similar (28)0.500.460.540.620.470.33
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %60% (+25pp vs league)
This opponent (Maritsa Plovdiv) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Maritsa PlovdivMaritsa Plovdiv

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-211D12L22D10W10W01L01L01L12L00DH·SPO31/07A·YAN05/08H·CHE13/08A·BDI20/08H·BEL29/08A·SPA03/09H·MAR18/09H·DUN22/09A·SEP28/09H·DOB02/10
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
1.0
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.570.700.590.470.541.00
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (28)0.570.640.560.440.580.92
vs Weaker (2)0.501.501.001.000.002.00
Clean sheet %47% (+12pp vs league)
This opponent (Strumska Slava) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Strumska Slava over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Strumska Slava over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Strumska Slava over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Maritsa Plovdiv over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Maritsa Plovdiv over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Maritsa Plovdiv over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

Strumska SlavaStrumska Slava

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-222D01L10W20W10W01L10W01L10W02LH·LIT29/07A·LUD06/08H·SPA13/08A·CSK22/08H·SPO27/08A·YAN03/09H·CHE17/09A·BDI23/09H·BEL27/09A·SPA02/10
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.730.800.930.430.561.12
vs Stronger (2)1.501.001.002.002.000.00
vs Similar (28)0.680.790.920.310.471.20
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %43% (+8pp vs league)
This opponent (Maritsa Plovdiv) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Maritsa PlovdivMaritsa Plovdiv

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-220W02L11D00D10W01L00D00D01L10WH·SPO31/07A·YAN05/08H·CHE13/08A·BDI20/08H·BEL29/08A·SPA03/09H·MAR18/09H·DUN22/09A·SEP28/09H·DOB02/10
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.630.830.940.590.231.15
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (28)0.610.890.880.620.251.25
vs Weaker (2)1.000.002.000.000.000.00
Clean sheet %43% (+8pp vs league)
This opponent (Strumska Slava) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Strumska Slava over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Strumska Slava over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Strumska Slava over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Maritsa Plovdiv over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Maritsa Plovdiv over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Maritsa Plovdiv over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 1.576.8%-------✗ Miss
Under 3.570.7%-------✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SV (22)
€6m
DR (22)
€4m
SS (20)
€3m
Y2 (18)
€3m
C1B (19)
€2m
MON (17)
€2m
MAR (19)
€2m
SP (19)
€1m
DOB (10)
€1m
LI (13)
€1m
SS (12)
€1m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SV (7)
€2m
DR (6)
€1m
Y2 (6)
€1m
SS (8)
€1m
MON (8)
€1m
C1B (4)
€1m
SP (8)
€1m
LI (6)
€1m
DOB (5)
€0m
MAR (4)
€0m
SS (5)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
DR (5)
€1m
SV (4)
€1m
SS (4)
€1m
C1B (6)
€1m
MAR (6)
€1m
DOB (3)
€0m
Y2 (2)
€0m
MON (3)
€0m
SP (5)
€0m
LI (3)
€0m
SS (4)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SV (11)
€3m
DR (11)
€2m
SS (8)
€2m
Y2 (10)
€2m
MAR (9)
€1m
C1B (9)
€1m
MON (6)
€1m
SP (6)
€0m
LI (4)
€0m
DOB (2)
€0m
SS (3)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

2 previous meetings
2
SS wins
0
Draws
0
MP wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Strumska Slava vs Maritsa Plovdiv · H/A from SS
DateH/AGameScore
04/06/23HSS Vs Maritsa Plovdiv3-1
12/11/22AMaritsa Plovdiv Vs SS1-2

Strumska SlavaStrumska Slava

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
02/10/23ASpartak Varna Vs SS2-0
27/09/23HSS Vs Belasitsa1-0
23/09/23ABdin Vs SS1-0
17/09/23HSS Vs Chernomorets 1919 Burgas2-1
03/09/23AYantra 2019 Vs SS3-2
27/08/23HSS Vs Sportist Svoge1-1
22/08/23ACSKA 1948 Sofia II Vs SS0-2
13/08/23HSS Vs Spartak Pleven2-0
06/08/23ALudogorets II Vs SS1-0
29/07/23HSS Vs Litex2-3

Maritsa PlovdivMaritsa Plovdiv

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
02/10/23HMP Vs Dobrudzha1-0
28/09/23ASeptemvri Sofia Vs MP3-1
22/09/23HMP Vs Dunav Ruse0-1
18/09/23HMP Vs Marek0-1
03/09/23ASpartak Varna Vs MP2-0
29/08/23HMP Vs Belasitsa2-0
20/08/23ABdin Vs MP0-1
13/08/23HMP Vs Chernomorets 1919 Burgas3-3
05/08/23AYantra 2019 Vs MP4-1
31/07/23HMP Vs Sportist Svoge3-1

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Strumska Slava
Strumska Slava
Bulgaria: Second League
Recent: 4 Wins / 1 Draws / 5 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLWLWL1.22
HomeLWDWW1.61
AwayLWLLL0.83
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %30%48%13%
AVG goals2.352.222.48
Over 1.5 %70%61%78%
Over 2.5 %46%43%48%
Over 3.5 %22%17%26%
Scored1.091.131.04
Conceded1.261.091.43
BTTS46%30%61%
Clean Sheet33%43%22%
Corners---
Cards---
Maritsa Plovdiv
Maritsa Plovdiv
Bulgaria: Second League
Recent: 4 Wins / 1 Draws / 5 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLLLLW1.37
HomeDWLLW2.00
AwayLLWLL0.68
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %41%62%18%
AVG goals2.522.332.73
Over 1.5 %67%58%77%
Over 2.5 %54%50%59%
Over 3.5 %26%17%36%
Scored1.111.500.68
Conceded1.410.832.05
BTTS43%38%50%
Clean Sheet33%46%18%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1Spartak VarnaSpartak Varna3472
68%
2.1
6028+32
2.6
79%
50%
24%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
6
2131.80.8
-
2Septemvri SofiaSeptemvri Sofia3465
56%
1.9
4626+20
2.1
74%
38%
9%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1121.40.8
-
3MarekMarek3461
47%
1.8
3626+10
1.8
50%
29%
15%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
0111.10.8
-
4MontanaMontana3457
47%
1.7
4631+15
2.3
68%
35%
21%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1011.40.9
-
5Strumska SlavaStrumska Slava3451
41%
1.5
3428+6
1.8
53%
21%
15%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.00.8
-
6DobrudzhaDobrudzha3450
41%
1.5
4334+9
2.3
68%
32%
18%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.31.0
-
7CSKA 1948 Sofia IICSKA 1948 Sofia II3450
38%
1.5
3936+3
2.2
65%
41%
21%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.11.1
-
8Yantra 2019Yantra 20193447
35%
1.4
3937+2
2.2
71%
47%
15%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1021.11.1
-
9Dunav RuseDunav Ruse3446
35%
1.4
3036-6
1.9
71%
24%
6%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
1120.91.1
-
10Spartak PlevenSpartak Pleven3445
38%
1.3
2932-3
1.8
53%
26%
6%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
1000.90.9
-
11LitexLitex3445
35%
1.3
3036-6
1.9
56%
38%
9%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.91.1
-
12Ludogorets IILudogorets II3444
32%
1.3
3939+0
2.3
68%
38%
24%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
1001.11.1
-
13BelasitsaBelasitsa3443
35%
1.3
3733+4
2.1
65%
29%
18%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.11.0
-
14Sportist SvogeSportist Svoge3440
29%
1.2
3645-9
2.4
71%
35%
24%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.11.3
-
15Chernomorets 1919 BurgasChernomorets 1919 Burgas3438
26%
1.1
3341-8
2.2
68%
35%
15%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1111.01.2
-
16Chernomorets BalchikChernomorets Balchik3436
29%
1.1
3649-13
2.5
76%
47%
26%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.11.4
-
17Maritsa PlovdivMaritsa Plovdiv3430
26%
0.9
3156-25
2.6
65%
41%
29%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.91.6
-
18BdinBdin3422
15%
0.6
1950-31
2.0
47%
26%
21%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.61.5
-
Bulgaria: Second League 2023/24 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Bulgaria: Second League stats & trends →

← all matches