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Strumska Slava vs Vitosha Bistritsa Result & Analysis

Date: 08/04/2023
Time: 14:00
Final 3-0
Strumska Slava
Strumska Slava
Vs
36%
33%
30%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Vitosha Bistritsa
Vitosha Bistritsa
Bulgaria: Second League
Referee: -
1 Model Analysis2 Goal Analysis3 Team Strengths Analysis4 Props Analysis5 Double Chance6 Home & Away Over/Under7 Handicap8 Half Time Goals O/U9 Half Time Home & Away O/U10 Second Half Goals O/U11 Second Half Home & Away O/U
12 Top picks for this game14 Squad value15 Games History16 Overall Statistics17 League Table

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Strumska Slava win✓ Hit
36.5%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
33.5%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Vitosha Bistritsa win✗ Miss
30.0%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

Strumska SlavaStrumska Slava

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-311D00D21W22D01L11D02L00D10W23LA·LIT29/10H·DUN05/11A·MAR12/11A·SOZ11/02H·YAN18/02A·LUD25/02H·DOB04/03A·LEV11/03H·BOT17/03A·MON31/03
Avg total
2.0
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
1.1
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.921.290.581.171.251.42
vs Stronger (1)1.003.00--1.003.00
vs Similar (23)0.911.220.581.171.271.27
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %38% (+3pp vs league)
This opponent (Vitosha Bistritsa) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Vitosha BistritsaVitosha Bistritsa

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-401L11D23L02L14L02L01L20W11D21WA·LUD31/10H·DOB07/11A·LEV13/11A·BOT12/02H·MON19/02A·ETA25/02A·SPO05/03H·BEL11/03A·FK 17/03H·CSK31/03
Avg total
2.5
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
1.6
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.041.501.251.170.831.83
vs Stronger (2)1.501.502.001.001.002.00
vs Similar (22)1.001.501.181.180.821.82
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %21% (-14pp vs league)
This opponent (Strumska Slava) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

7%14%21%28%15%024%128%218%39%44%52%6+
The model estimates around 2.0 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (28%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
60.7%
Under 1.5
39.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
32.2%
Under 2.5
67.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
14.2%
Under 3.5
85.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
41.1%
No
58.9%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
0-0
14.9%
1-1
14.8%
1-0
13.0%
0-1
11.4%
2-0
7.6%
2-1
7.1%
1-2
6.3%
0-2
6.0%
Strumska Slava goals ↓
Vitosha Bistritsa goals →
01234
015%11%6.0%1.9%0.4%
113%15%6.3%2.0%0.5%
27.6%7.1%3.3%1.0%0.2%
32.7%2.5%1.2%0.4%0.1%
40.7%0.7%0.3%0.1%0.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Strumska Slava goals (down), columns = Vitosha Bistritsa goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
CSKA 1948 Sofia II
2.18
Etar Veliko Tarnovo
1.85
Levski Krumovgrad
1.76
Ludogorets II
1.68
Sportist Svoge
1.53
Dunav Ruse
1.47
Maritsa Plovdiv
1.38
Yantra 2019
1.29
Montana
1.29
Litex
1.29
Spartak Pleven
1.24
Belasitsa
1.21
Dobrudzha
1.15
Strumska Slava
1.15
FK Minyor Pernik
1.12
Sozopol
1.12
Vitosha Bistritsa
1.06
Botev Plovdiv II
0.82
Strumska Slava is 0.09 points better than Vitosha Bistritsa in terms of average points per game (1.15 vs 1.06).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
CSKA 1948 Sofia II
1.76
Dunav Ruse
1.38
Etar Veliko Tarnovo
1.38
Spartak Pleven
1.29
Levski Krumovgrad
1.26
Ludogorets II
1.24
Sportist Svoge
1.21
Dobrudzha
1.12
Montana
1.09
Maritsa Plovdiv
1.06
Strumska Slava
1.03
Vitosha Bistritsa
1.00
Belasitsa
0.97
FK Minyor Pernik
0.97
Sozopol
0.94
Litex
0.94
Yantra 2019
0.91
Botev Plovdiv II
0.74
Strumska Slava is 0.03 goals better than Vitosha Bistritsa in terms of goals scored per game (1.03 vs 1.00).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
CSKA 1948 Sofia II
0.50
Etar Veliko Tarnovo
0.65
Litex
0.82
Levski Krumovgrad
0.97
Yantra 2019
1.00
FK Minyor Pernik
1.03
Ludogorets II
1.03
Dunav Ruse
1.12
Montana
1.15
Dobrudzha
1.18
Sportist Svoge
1.18
Belasitsa
1.21
Strumska Slava
1.29
Spartak Pleven
1.29
Maritsa Plovdiv
1.35
Vitosha Bistritsa
1.47
Botev Plovdiv II
1.53
Sozopol
1.53
Strumska Slava is 0.18 goals better than Vitosha Bistritsa in terms of goals conceded per game (1.29 vs 1.47).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

Strumska SlavaStrumska Slava

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
10-110W00D10W10W01L00D01L00D10W11DA·LIT29/10H·DUN05/11A·MAR12/11A·SOZ11/02H·YAN18/02A·LUD25/02H·DOB04/03A·LEV11/03H·BOT17/03A·MON31/03
Avg total
0.8
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.3
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.380.500.170.670.580.33
vs Stronger (1)0.002.00--0.002.00
vs Similar (23)0.390.430.170.670.640.18
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %62% (+28pp vs league)
This opponent (Vitosha Bistritsa) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Vitosha BistritsaVitosha Bistritsa

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-201L01L02L01L10W01L01L10W00D10WA·LUD31/10H·DOB07/11A·LEV13/11A·BOT12/02H·MON19/02A·ETA25/02A·SPO05/03H·BEL11/03A·FK 17/03H·CSK31/03
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.460.580.750.330.170.83
vs Stronger (2)0.500.001.000.000.000.00
vs Similar (22)0.450.640.730.360.180.91
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %50% (+15pp vs league)
This opponent (Strumska Slava) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Strumska Slava over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Strumska Slava over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Strumska Slava over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Vitosha Bistritsa over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Vitosha Bistritsa over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Vitosha Bistritsa over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

Strumska SlavaStrumska Slava

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-201L00D11D12L00D11D01L00D00D12LA·LIT29/10H·DUN05/11A·MAR12/11A·SOZ11/02H·YAN18/02A·LUD25/02H·DOB04/03A·LEV11/03H·BOT17/03A·MON31/03
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.540.790.420.500.671.08
vs Stronger (1)1.001.00--1.001.00
vs Similar (23)0.520.780.420.500.641.09
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %46% (+11pp vs league)
This opponent (Vitosha Bistritsa) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Vitosha BistritsaVitosha Bistritsa

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-400D10W21W01L04L01L00D10W11D11DA·LUD31/10H·DOB07/11A·LEV13/11A·BOT12/02H·MON19/02A·ETA25/02A·SPO05/03H·BEL11/03A·FK 17/03H·CSK31/03
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.580.920.500.830.671.00
vs Stronger (2)1.001.501.001.001.002.00
vs Similar (22)0.550.860.450.820.640.91
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %42% (+7pp vs league)
This opponent (Strumska Slava) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Strumska Slava over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Strumska Slava over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Strumska Slava over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Vitosha Bistritsa over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Vitosha Bistritsa over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Vitosha Bistritsa over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Under 3.585.8%-------✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
DR (22)
€4m
Y2 (18)
€3m
EVT (23)
€2m
MON (17)
€2m
SP (19)
€1m
DOB (10)
€1m
LI (13)
€1m
SS (12)
€1m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
DR (6)
€1m
Y2 (6)
€1m
EVT (12)
€1m
MON (8)
€1m
SP (8)
€1m
LI (6)
€1m
DOB (5)
€0m
SS (5)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
DR (5)
€1m
EVT (3)
€0m
DOB (3)
€0m
Y2 (2)
€0m
MON (3)
€0m
SP (5)
€0m
LI (3)
€0m
SS (4)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
DR (11)
€2m
Y2 (10)
€2m
EVT (8)
€1m
MON (6)
€1m
SP (6)
€0m
LI (4)
€0m
DOB (2)
€0m
SS (3)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

1 previous meeting
0
SS wins
1
Draws
0
VB wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Strumska Slava vs Vitosha Bistritsa · H/A from SS
DateH/AGameScore
05/09/22AVitosha Bistritsa Vs SS0-0

Strumska SlavaStrumska Slava

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
31/03/23AMontana Vs SS3-2
17/03/23HSS Vs Botev Plovdiv II1-0
11/03/23ALevski Krumovgrad Vs SS0-0
04/03/23HSS Vs Dobrudzha0-2
25/02/23ALudogorets II Vs SS1-1
18/02/23HSS Vs Yantra 20190-1
11/02/23ASozopol Vs SS2-2
12/11/22AMaritsa Plovdiv Vs SS1-2
05/11/22HSS Vs Dunav Ruse0-0
29/10/22ALitex Vs SS1-1

Vitosha BistritsaVitosha Bistritsa

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
31/03/23HVB Vs CSKA 1948 Sofia II2-1
17/03/23AFK Minyor Pernik Vs VB1-1
11/03/23HVB Vs Belasitsa2-0
05/03/23ASportist Svoge Vs VB1-0
25/02/23AEtar Veliko Tarnovo Vs VB2-0
19/02/23HVB Vs Montana1-4
12/02/23ABotev Plovdiv II Vs VB2-0
13/11/22ALevski Krumovgrad Vs VB3-2
07/11/22HVB Vs Dobrudzha1-1
31/10/22ALudogorets II Vs VB1-0

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Strumska Slava
Strumska Slava
Bulgaria: Second League
Recent: 2 Wins / 5 Draws / 3 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDLDWL1.17
HomeDDLLW1.25
AwayWDDDL1.08
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %25%33%17%
AVG goals2.211.752.67
Over 1.5 %67%50%83%
Over 2.5 %46%33%58%
Over 3.5 %21%8%33%
Scored0.920.581.25
Conceded1.291.171.42
BTTS38%8%67%
Clean Sheet38%50%25%
Corners---
Cards---
Vitosha Bistritsa
Vitosha Bistritsa
Bulgaria: Second League
Recent: 2 Wins / 2 Draws / 6 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLLWDW1.00
HomeDDLWW1.42
AwayLLLLD0.58
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %25%33%17%
AVG goals2.542.422.67
Over 1.5 %75%75%75%
Over 2.5 %50%50%50%
Over 3.5 %25%25%25%
Scored1.041.250.83
Conceded1.501.171.83
BTTS62%67%58%
Clean Sheet21%33%8%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1CSKA 1948 Sofia IICSKA 1948 Sofia II3474
65%
2.2
6017+43
2.3
71%
44%
18%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.80.5
-
2Etar Veliko TarnovoEtar Veliko Tarnovo3463
53%
1.9
4722+25
2.0
62%
35%
15%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1011.40.6
-
3Levski KrumovgradLevski Krumovgrad3460
50%
1.8
4333+10
2.2
68%
44%
18%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.31.0
-
4Ludogorets IILudogorets II3457
50%
1.7
4235+7
2.3
62%
35%
21%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
1001.21.0
-
5Sportist SvogeSportist Svoge3452
41%
1.5
4140+1
2.4
65%
44%
18%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.21.2
-
6Dunav RuseDunav Ruse3450
38%
1.5
4738+9
2.5
68%
47%
26%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
1121.41.1
-
7Maritsa PlovdivMaritsa Plovdiv3447
41%
1.4
3646-10
2.4
68%
56%
21%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.11.4
-
8LitexLitex3444
32%
1.3
3228+4
1.8
50%
24%
12%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.90.8
-
9MontanaMontana3444
35%
1.3
3739-2
2.2
53%
41%
29%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1011.11.1
-
10Yantra 2019Yantra 20193444
32%
1.3
3134-3
1.9
50%
32%
21%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1020.91.0
-
11Spartak PlevenSpartak Pleven3442
29%
1.2
4444+0
2.6
71%
53%
32%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
1001.31.3
-
12BelasitsaBelasitsa3441
35%
1.2
3341-8
2.2
65%
38%
15%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.01.2
-
13DobrudzhaDobrudzha3439
29%
1.1
3840-2
2.3
74%
35%
12%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.11.2
-
14Strumska SlavaStrumska Slava3439
26%
1.1
3544-9
2.3
71%
50%
21%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.01.3
-
15FK Minyor PernikFK Minyor Pernik3438
26%
1.1
3335-2
2.0
62%
29%
9%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.01.0
-
16SozopolSozopol3438
26%
1.1
3252-20
2.5
76%
44%
24%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.91.5
-
17Vitosha BistritsaVitosha Bistritsa3436
26%
1.1
3450-16
2.5
71%
50%
24%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.01.5
-
18Botev Plovdiv IIBotev Plovdiv II3428
21%
0.8
2552-27
2.3
62%
38%
21%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.71.5
-
Bulgaria: Second League 2022/23 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Bulgaria: Second League stats & trends →

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