Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
š„ 6. Home & Away Over/Under
āļø 7. Handicap
ā±ļø 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Sturm Graz
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.93
0.67
1.00
0.73
0.87
0.60
vs Stronger (3)
0.67
1.67
0.50
1.00
1.00
3.00
vs Similar (13)
0.85
0.69
1.00
0.67
0.71
0.71
vs Weaker (14)
1.07
0.43
1.14
0.71
1.00
0.14
Clean sheet %
57% (+30pp vs league)
This opponent (Austria Lustenau) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Austria Lustenau
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.0
Avg conceded
1.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.47
0.80
0.50
1.06
0.43
0.50
vs Stronger (17)
0.47
0.76
0.33
1.00
0.62
0.50
vs Similar (13)
0.46
0.85
0.71
1.14
0.17
0.50
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
47% (+20pp vs league)
This opponent (Sturm Graz) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
š„ 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Sturm Graz over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sturm Graz over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sturm Graz over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Austria Lustenau over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Austria Lustenau over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Austria Lustenau over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
ā±ļø 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Sturm Graz
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.7
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.73
0.57
0.80
0.47
0.67
0.67
vs Stronger (3)
0.33
1.33
0.50
1.50
0.00
1.00
vs Similar (13)
0.54
0.77
0.83
0.50
0.29
1.00
vs Weaker (14)
1.00
0.21
0.86
0.14
1.14
0.29
Clean sheet %
57% (+30pp vs league)
This opponent (Austria Lustenau) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Austria Lustenau
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
1.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.70
1.20
0.75
1.44
0.64
0.93
vs Stronger (17)
0.41
1.53
0.33
1.56
0.50
1.50
vs Similar (13)
1.08
0.77
1.29
1.29
0.83
0.17
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
30% (+4pp vs league)
This opponent (Sturm Graz) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
š„ 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Sturm Graz over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sturm Graz over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sturm Graz over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Austria Lustenau over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Austria Lustenau over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Austria Lustenau over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
š„ 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 2.5 cards
86.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
ā Hit
Over 19.5 fouls
83.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
ā Miss
Under 3.5
74.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
ā Hit
Over 1.5
73.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
ā Hit
Under 11.5 corners
73.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
ā Miss
Over 3.5 cards
71.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
ā Hit
Over 21.5 fouls
70.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
ā Miss
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
š½ 13. Player market rates
Sturm Graz
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Mika Biereth37%
Otar Kiteishvili25%
Alexander Prass17%
Manprit Sarkaria16%
Tomi Horvat15%
William BĆøving15%
Szymon WÅodarczyk14%
Jon Gorenc StankoviÄ12%
Seedy Jatta10%
Amady Camara10%
Gregory Wüthrich8%
Mohammed Fuseini7%
Dimitri LavalÄe7%
David Affengruber5%
Jusuf GazibegoviÄ5%
David Schnegg0%
Alexandar BorkoviÄ0%
Stefan HierlƤnder0%
Bryan Silva Teixeira0%
Kjell Scherpen0%
Amadou Dante0%
VĆtÄzslav JaroÅ”0%
Niklas Geyrhofer0%
Max Johnston0%
Javier Serrano0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Dimitri LavalÄe30%
Otar Kiteishvili28%
Javier Serrano23%
Stefan HierlƤnder21%
David Schnegg18%
Jon Gorenc StankoviÄ18%
Alexander Prass17%
Gregory Wüthrich16%
Bryan Silva Teixeira13%
David Affengruber12%
Jusuf GazibegoviÄ12%
Mika Biereth11%
Manprit Sarkaria8%
Max Johnston7%
Amadou Dante6%
Seedy Jatta5%
Kjell Scherpen4%
William BĆøving2%
Alexandar BorkoviÄ0%
Tomi Horvat0%
Szymon WÅodarczyk0%
VĆtÄzslav JaroÅ”0%
Niklas Geyrhofer0%
Mohammed Fuseini0%
Amady Camara0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Otar Kiteishvili17%
Tomi Horvat15%
William BĆøving12%
Alexander Prass12%
Jusuf GazibegoviÄ12%
David Schnegg12%
Mika Biereth11%
Manprit Sarkaria8%
Bryan Silva Teixeira7%
Amadou Dante6%
David Affengruber5%
Max Johnston4%
Szymon WÅodarczyk3%
Gregory Wüthrich3%
Alexandar BorkoviÄ0%
Stefan HierlƤnder0%
Jon Gorenc StankoviÄ0%
Kjell Scherpen0%
Dimitri LavalÄe0%
VĆtÄzslav JaroÅ”0%
Niklas Geyrhofer0%
Seedy Jatta0%
Javier Serrano0%
Mohammed Fuseini0%
Amady Camara0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Otar Kiteishvili19%
Mika Biereth16%
Alexander Prass12%
Manprit Sarkaria12%
Tomi Horvat10%
Szymon WÅodarczyk8%
David Affengruber5%
Seedy Jatta5%
Amady Camara5%
Jon Gorenc StankoviÄ2%
William BĆøving2%
Jusuf GazibegoviÄ2%
Gregory Wüthrich0%
David Schnegg0%
Alexandar BorkoviÄ0%
Stefan HierlƤnder0%
Bryan Silva Teixeira0%
Kjell Scherpen0%
Dimitri LavalÄe0%
Amadou Dante0%
VĆtÄzslav JaroÅ”0%
Niklas Geyrhofer0%
Max Johnston0%
Javier Serrano0%
Mohammed Fuseini0%
Austria Lustenau
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Lukas Fridrikas26%
Yadaly Diaby18%
Leo MikiÄ12%
Namory Cisse12%
Matheus Lins10%
Anthony Schmid5%
Pius Grabher4%
Darijo GrujÄiÄ4%
Anderson4%
Ben Justus Bobzien4%
Kennedy Boateng0%
Stefano SurdanoviÄ0%
DƔniel Tiefenbach0%
Domenik Schierl0%
Nico Gorzel0%
Luca Meisl0%
Matthias Maak0%
Boris Moltenis0%
Jonathan Schmid0%
Paterson Chato Nguendong0%
Nikolai Baden Frederiksen0%
Fabian Gmeiner0%
Leo MƤtzler0%
Tobias Berger0%
Torben Rhein0%
BaĆÆla Diallo0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Matheus Lins30%
Boris Moltenis27%
Luca Meisl25%
Darijo GrujÄiÄ24%
Matthias Maak24%
BaĆÆla Diallo23%
Paterson Chato Nguendong21%
Nikolai Baden Frederiksen20%
Torben Rhein19%
Leo MƤtzler17%
Pius Grabher16%
Ben Justus Bobzien15%
Domenik Schierl13%
Leo MikiÄ12%
Kennedy Boateng12%
Fabian Gmeiner12%
Anderson11%
DƔniel Tiefenbach11%
Stefano SurdanoviÄ10%
Nico Gorzel8%
Namory Cisse8%
Yadaly Diaby7%
Anthony Schmid5%
Jonathan Schmid0%
Lukas Fridrikas0%
Tobias Berger0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Luca Meisl25%
Leo MikiÄ12%
BaĆÆla Diallo8%
Anderson7%
Ben Justus Bobzien7%
Torben Rhein5%
Darijo GrujÄiÄ4%
Namory Cisse4%
Domenik Schierl3%
Kennedy Boateng0%
Pius Grabher0%
Stefano SurdanoviÄ0%
DƔniel Tiefenbach0%
Nico Gorzel0%
Matthias Maak0%
Boris Moltenis0%
Jonathan Schmid0%
Paterson Chato Nguendong0%
Nikolai Baden Frederiksen0%
Lukas Fridrikas0%
Fabian Gmeiner0%
Leo MƤtzler0%
Tobias Berger0%
Yadaly Diaby0%
Anthony Schmid0%
Matheus Lins0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Yadaly Diaby18%
Kennedy Boateng12%
Namory Cisse12%
Lukas Fridrikas5%
Anthony Schmid5%
Torben Rhein5%
Ben Justus Bobzien4%
Pius Grabher0%
Stefano SurdanoviÄ0%
Darijo GrujÄiÄ0%
DƔniel Tiefenbach0%
Domenik Schierl0%
Nico Gorzel0%
Luca Meisl0%
Anderson0%
Matthias Maak0%
Boris Moltenis0%
Jonathan Schmid0%
Paterson Chato Nguendong0%
Nikolai Baden Frederiksen0%
Fabian Gmeiner0%
Leo MƤtzler0%
Tobias Berger0%
Leo MikiÄ0%
Matheus Lins0%
BaĆÆla Diallo0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
š° 14. Squad value
š° Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
RBS (31)
€105m
SG (26)
€52m
RV (33)
€46m
LL (22)
€44m
AV (30)
€23m
WA (28)
€12m
TH (27)
€10m
SA (23)
€9m
WW (22)
€7m
FBL (21)
€5m
AL (22)
€5m
Sturm Graz's squad is €47m more valuable than Austria Lustenau's (€52m vs €5m).
āļø Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
RBS (11)
€47m
SG (11)
€26m
RV (11)
€16m
LL (5)
€13m
AV (11)
€9m
SA (9)
€4m
WA (9)
€3m
WW (7)
€3m
TH (9)
€3m
AL (10)
€2m
FBL (9)
€2m
Sturm Graz's attack is €23m more valuable than Austria Lustenau's (€26m vs €2m).
š§ Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
RBS (6)
€29m
SG (4)
€14m
LL (6)
€11m
RV (6)
€10m
AV (5)
€7m
WA (5)
€3m
TH (7)
€3m
WW (7)
€2m
FBL (4)
€1m
SA (3)
€1m
AL (3)
€1m
Sturm Graz's midfield is €13m more valuable than Austria Lustenau's (€14m vs €1m).
š”ļø Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
RBS (14)
€29m
LL (11)
€20m
RV (16)
€19m
SG (11)
€13m
AV (14)
€7m
WA (14)
€6m
TH (11)
€5m
SA (11)
€4m
WW (8)
€3m
FBL (8)
€2m
AL (9)
€2m
Sturm Graz's defence is €11m more valuable than Austria Lustenau's (€13m vs €2m).
Austria: Bundesliga 2023/24 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Austria: Bundesliga stats & trends →