This opponent (Lask Linz) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Lask Linz
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.8
Avg scored
2.8
Avg conceded
1.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
2.75
1.00
2.50
1.00
3.00
1.00
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (3)
2.67
1.00
2.00
1.00
3.00
1.00
vs Weaker (1)
3.00
1.00
3.00
1.00
-
-
Clean sheet %
0% (-26pp vs league)
This opponent (Sturm Graz) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 3.2 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 3 (22%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
83.4%
Under 1.5
16.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
61.2%
Under 2.5
38.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
38.9%
Under 3.5
61.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
61.7%
No
38.3%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
11.1%
2-1
9.7%
2-0
7.8%
1-0
7.1%
1-2
6.3%
3-1
6.2%
2-2
6.0%
0-0
5.2%
Sturm Graz goals ↓
Lask Linz goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
5.2%
4.2%
3.3%
1.3%
0.4%
1
7.1%
11%
6.3%
2.6%
0.8%
2
7.8%
9.7%
6.0%
2.5%
0.8%
3
5.0%
6.2%
3.9%
1.6%
0.5%
4
2.4%
3.0%
1.9%
0.8%
0.2%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Sturm Graz goals (down), columns = Lask Linz goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Red Bull Salzburg
2.41
Sturm Graz
2.06
Lask Linz
1.69
Austria Vienna
1.38
Rapid Vienna
1.31
Wolfsberger AC
1.30
Austria Lustenau
1.29
Austria Klagenfurt
1.19
WSG Wattens
1.19
TSV Hartberg
1.03
SCR Altach
0.88
Ried
0.72
Sturm Graz is 0.38 points better than Lask Linz in terms of average points per game (2.06 vs 1.69).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Red Bull Salzburg
2.09
Austria Vienna
1.79
Sturm Graz
1.78
Lask Linz
1.69
Wolfsberger AC
1.58
Rapid Vienna
1.56
Austria Lustenau
1.49
Austria Klagenfurt
1.41
WSG Wattens
1.38
TSV Hartberg
1.22
SCR Altach
0.91
Ried
0.84
Sturm Graz is 0.09 goals better than Lask Linz in terms of goals scored per game (1.78 vs 1.69).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Red Bull Salzburg
0.69
Sturm Graz
0.91
Lask Linz
1.19
Rapid Vienna
1.47
Austria Vienna
1.56
Ried
1.56
Wolfsberger AC
1.58
WSG Wattens
1.66
SCR Altach
1.66
Austria Lustenau
1.74
TSV Hartberg
1.75
Austria Klagenfurt
1.97
Sturm Graz is 0.28 goals better than Lask Linz in terms of goals conceded per game (0.91 vs 1.19).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
Red Bull Salzburg
56%
Lask Linz
55%
Austria Vienna
53%
Rapid Vienna
52%
Sturm Graz
49%
Wolfsberger AC
49%
WSG Wattens
49%
SCR Altach
49%
Austria Lustenau
48%
TSV Hartberg
47%
Austria Klagenfurt
46%
Ried
46%
Sturm Graz is 5.3 percentage points worse than Lask Linz in terms of average possession (49% vs 55%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Sturm Graz
For 4.2 · Against 4.3 · Total 8.5
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 3.5 · Against 4.2 · Total 7.7
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 17.3 · Against 11.8 · Total 29.2
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Lask Linz
For 3.5 · Against 6.5 · Total 10.0
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.2 · Against 2.8 · Total 5.0
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 14.5 · Against 12.5 · Total 27.0
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Sturm Graz
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (6)
8.5
9.0
8.0
7.7
9.7
5.7
29.2
32.3
26.0
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (3)
9.7
9.0
11.0
8.0
9.5
5.0
28.0
32.0
20.0
vs Weaker (3)
7.3
9.0
6.5
7.3
10.0
6.0
30.3
33.0
29.0
% over line
33%
33%
33%
100%
100%
100%
83%
100%
67%
% under line
67%
67%
67%
0%
0%
0%
17%
0%
33%
This opponent (Lask Linz) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Lask Linz
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (4)
10.0
7.5
12.5
5.0
6.0
4.0
27.0
30.5
23.5
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (3)
10.0
5.0
12.5
4.0
4.0
4.0
28.0
37.0
23.5
vs Weaker (1)
10.0
10.0
-
8.0
8.0
-
24.0
24.0
-
% over line
75%
50%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
% under line
25%
50%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
This opponent (Sturm Graz) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Austria Lustenau
13.8
Wolfsberger AC
12.7
Austria Vienna
10.5
Rapid Vienna
10.1
Lask Linz
10.0
Red Bull Salzburg
10.0
SCR Altach
9.5
WSG Wattens
9.2
Ried
9.0
TSV Hartberg
8.5
Sturm Graz
8.5
Austria Klagenfurt
8.0
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Sturm Graz
7.7
Austria Klagenfurt
7.0
WSG Wattens
6.0
SCR Altach
5.2
Lask Linz
5.0
Rapid Vienna
4.8
TSV Hartberg
4.8
Austria Lustenau
4.7
Wolfsberger AC
4.6
Ried
4.5
Austria Vienna
3.8
Red Bull Salzburg
3.8
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Sturm Graz
29.2
Rapid Vienna
28.7
SCR Altach
28.0
Ried
27.2
Lask Linz
27.0
Austria Klagenfurt
26.8
Austria Lustenau
26.5
TSV Hartberg
25.8
WSG Wattens
25.0
Red Bull Salzburg
24.8
Wolfsberger AC
24.6
Austria Vienna
22.8
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Over
Over 9.5
61.9%
Under 9.5
38.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
85.8%
Under 3.5
14.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
87.9%
Under 21.5
12.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Sturm Graz
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.83
0.33
1.00
0.00
0.67
0.67
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (3)
0.67
0.33
1.00
0.00
0.00
1.00
vs Weaker (3)
1.00
0.33
1.00
0.00
1.00
0.50
Clean sheet %
67% (+40pp vs league)
This opponent (Lask Linz) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Lask Linz
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.0
Avg scored
2.0
Avg conceded
0.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
2.00
0.00
2.00
0.00
2.00
0.00
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (3)
2.00
0.00
2.00
0.00
2.00
0.00
vs Weaker (1)
2.00
0.00
2.00
0.00
-
-
Clean sheet %
100% (+74pp vs league)
This opponent (Sturm Graz) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Sturm Graz over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sturm Graz over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sturm Graz over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Lask Linz over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Lask Linz over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Lask Linz over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Sturm Graz
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.67
0.33
1.33
0.33
0.00
0.33
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (3)
0.33
0.33
0.50
0.50
0.00
0.00
vs Weaker (3)
1.00
0.33
3.00
0.00
0.00
0.50
Clean sheet %
67% (+40pp vs league)
This opponent (Lask Linz) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Lask Linz
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
1.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.75
1.00
0.50
1.00
1.00
1.00
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (3)
0.67
1.00
0.00
1.00
1.00
1.00
vs Weaker (1)
1.00
1.00
1.00
1.00
-
-
Clean sheet %
0% (-26pp vs league)
This opponent (Sturm Graz) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Sturm Graz over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sturm Graz over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sturm Graz over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Lask Linz over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Lask Linz over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Lask Linz over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 19.5 fouls
94.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards
94.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 21.5 fouls
87.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 3.5 cards
85.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 1.5
83.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Over 23.5 fouls
77.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 8.5 corners
73.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 4.5 cards
72.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Sturm Graz
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Rasmus Winther Højlund43%
Moritz Wels33%
Otar Kiteishvili28%
Emanuel Emegha25%
Manprit Sarkaria21%
Mohammed Fuseini20%
Christoph Lang17%
Albian Ajeti15%
David Affengruber11%
Tomi Horvat10%
David Schnegg9%
William Bøving9%
Jakob Jantscher8%
Alexander Prass8%
Jusuf Gazibegović6%
Jon Gorenc Stanković5%
Alexandar Borković5%
Ivan Ljubić3%
Gregory Wüthrich3%
Dominik Oroz0%
Vesel Demaku0%
Jörg Siebenhandl0%
Stefan Hierländer0%
Sandro Ingolitsch0%
Bryan Silva Teixeira0%
Amadou Dante0%
Niklas Geyrhofer0%
Arthur Okonkwo0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Vesel Demaku40%
Jon Gorenc Stanković32%
Jusuf Gazibegović31%
Emanuel Emegha28%
David Affengruber26%
David Schnegg24%
Stefan Hierländer21%
Albian Ajeti20%
Otar Kiteishvili20%
Ivan Ljubić17%
Sandro Ingolitsch14%
Bryan Silva Teixeira14%
Gregory Wüthrich11%
Alexander Prass10%
Manprit Sarkaria9%
Alexandar Borković5%
Jörg Siebenhandl4%
Amadou Dante3%
Dominik Oroz0%
Jakob Jantscher0%
Tomi Horvat0%
Niklas Geyrhofer0%
William Bøving0%
Arthur Okonkwo0%
Christoph Lang0%
Rasmus Winther Højlund0%
Moritz Wels0%
Mohammed Fuseini0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Rasmus Winther Højlund29%
Manprit Sarkaria26%
Alexander Prass20%
Vesel Demaku20%
Christoph Lang17%
Amadou Dante10%
David Schnegg9%
Bryan Silva Teixeira7%
Emanuel Emegha6%
Jusuf Gazibegović6%
Albian Ajeti5%
Tomi Horvat5%
Alexandar Borković5%
William Bøving4%
Otar Kiteishvili4%
David Affengruber3%
Gregory Wüthrich3%
Dominik Oroz0%
Jörg Siebenhandl0%
Stefan Hierländer0%
Jakob Jantscher0%
Ivan Ljubić0%
Sandro Ingolitsch0%
Jon Gorenc Stanković0%
Niklas Geyrhofer0%
Arthur Okonkwo0%
Moritz Wels0%
Mohammed Fuseini0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Rasmus Winther Højlund29%
Albian Ajeti25%
William Bøving22%
Otar Kiteishvili20%
Emanuel Emegha16%
Alexander Prass15%
Tomi Horvat12%
Mohammed Fuseini10%
Manprit Sarkaria9%
Stefan Hierländer6%
Jusuf Gazibegović6%
Jon Gorenc Stanković5%
Ivan Ljubić3%
Gregory Wüthrich3%
Dominik Oroz0%
David Schnegg0%
Alexandar Borković0%
Vesel Demaku0%
Jörg Siebenhandl0%
Jakob Jantscher0%
Sandro Ingolitsch0%
Bryan Silva Teixeira0%
David Affengruber0%
Amadou Dante0%
Niklas Geyrhofer0%
Arthur Okonkwo0%
Christoph Lang0%
Moritz Wels0%
Lask Linz
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Keito Nakamura45%
Marin Ljubičić29%
Robert Žulj28%
Ibrahim Mustapha20%
Thomas Goiginger16%
Florian Flecker8%
Efthymios Koulouris7%
Sascha Horvath6%
Moses Usor6%
Filip Stojković4%
Branko Jovičić4%
René Renner3%
Philipp Ziereis3%
Marvin Potzmann0%
Tobias Okiki Lawal0%
Nemanja Celic0%
Alexander Schlager0%
Peter Michorl0%
Husein Balić0%
Felix Luckeneder0%
Adil Taoui0%
Hyunseok Hong0%
Ákos Kecskés0%
Maksym Taloverov0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Branko Jovičić32%
Filip Stojković25%
Adil Taoui25%
Robert Žulj20%
Peter Michorl18%
René Renner17%
Ákos Kecskés17%
Thomas Goiginger16%
Nemanja Celic14%
Marin Ljubičić14%
Philipp Ziereis10%
Sascha Horvath10%
Alexander Schlager8%
Efthymios Koulouris7%
Marvin Potzmann7%
Florian Flecker4%
Felix Luckeneder3%
Keito Nakamura3%
Tobias Okiki Lawal0%
Husein Balić0%
Hyunseok Hong0%
Maksym Taloverov0%
Ibrahim Mustapha0%
Moses Usor0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Hyunseok Hong33%
Thomas Goiginger20%
Ibrahim Mustapha20%
Peter Michorl18%
Robert Žulj16%
Florian Flecker12%
Sascha Horvath10%
Keito Nakamura10%
Filip Stojković7%
Efthymios Koulouris7%
René Renner7%
Moses Usor6%
Marin Ljubičić4%
Felix Luckeneder3%
Branko Jovičić0%
Marvin Potzmann0%
Tobias Okiki Lawal0%
Nemanja Celic0%
Alexander Schlager0%
Husein Balić0%
Adil Taoui0%
Philipp Ziereis0%
Ákos Kecskés0%
Maksym Taloverov0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Keito Nakamura32%
Moses Usor25%
Robert Žulj20%
Marin Ljubičić14%
Ibrahim Mustapha7%
Thomas Goiginger4%
Sascha Horvath3%
Filip Stojković0%
Branko Jovičić0%
Marvin Potzmann0%
Tobias Okiki Lawal0%
Nemanja Celic0%
Alexander Schlager0%
Peter Michorl0%
Husein Balić0%
René Renner0%
Felix Luckeneder0%
Florian Flecker0%
Adil Taoui0%
Philipp Ziereis0%
Hyunseok Hong0%
Efthymios Koulouris0%
Ákos Kecskés0%
Maksym Taloverov0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
RBS (31)
€105m
SG (26)
€52m
RV (33)
€46m
LL (22)
€44m
AV (30)
€23m
WA (28)
€12m
TH (27)
€10m
SA (23)
€9m
RIE (24)
€7m
WW (22)
€7m
AL (22)
€5m
Sturm Graz's squad is €8m more valuable than Lask Linz's (€52m vs €44m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
RBS (11)
€47m
SG (11)
€26m
RV (11)
€16m
LL (5)
€13m
AV (11)
€9m
SA (9)
€4m
WA (9)
€3m
WW (7)
€3m
TH (9)
€3m
AL (10)
€2m
RIE (7)
€2m
Sturm Graz's attack is €12m more valuable than Lask Linz's (€26m vs €13m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
RBS (6)
€29m
SG (4)
€14m
LL (6)
€11m
RV (6)
€10m
AV (5)
€7m
WA (5)
€3m
TH (7)
€3m
RIE (8)
€3m
WW (7)
€2m
SA (3)
€1m
AL (3)
€1m
Sturm Graz's midfield is €3m more valuable than Lask Linz's (€14m vs €11m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
RBS (14)
€29m
LL (11)
€20m
RV (16)
€19m
SG (11)
€13m
AV (14)
€7m
WA (14)
€6m
TH (11)
€5m
SA (11)
€4m
WW (8)
€3m
RIE (9)
€3m
AL (9)
€2m
Sturm Graz's defence is €7m less valuable than Lask Linz's (€13m vs €20m).
Austria: Bundesliga 2022/23 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Austria: Bundesliga stats & trends →