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Sutjeska vs Mladost DG Result & Analysis

Date: 21/09/2025
Time: 16:00
Final 3-1
Sutjeska
Sutjeska
Vs
63%
21%
16%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Mladost DG
Mladost DG
Montenegro: First League
Referee: -

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Sutjeska win✓ Hit
62.8%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
20.9%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Mladost DG win✗ Miss
16.3%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

SutjeskaSutjeska

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-520W12L25L30W10W11D12L52W20W13LA·DIN17/07H·BEI24/07A·BEI31/07H·MOR04/08A·BUD10/08H·PET17/08A·JEZ24/08H·BOK30/08H·ARS13/09A·DEČ17/09
Avg total
3.4
Avg scored
1.9
Avg conceded
1.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.501.271.811.191.141.36
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (21)1.431.291.551.361.301.20
vs Weaker (9)1.671.222.400.800.751.75
Clean sheet %37% (+6pp vs league)
This opponent (Mladost DG) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Mladost DGMladost DG

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-522D12L40W23L22D52W12L31W04L01LH·KOM14/05A·MLA18/05H·IBA24/05A·DEČ04/08A·BOK10/08H·JED17/08A·MOR24/08H·BUD31/08A·PET13/09H·JEZ17/09← Second LeagueFirst League →
Avg total
3.9
Avg scored
2.0
Avg conceded
1.9
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.671.101.730.671.601.53
vs Stronger (1)3.001.003.001.00--
vs Similar (17)1.761.002.120.381.441.56
vs Weaker (12)1.421.251.001.001.831.50
Clean sheet %47% (+16pp vs league)
This opponent (Sutjeska) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

5%11%16%22%4%010%120%222%318%412%512%6+
The model estimates around 3.4 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 3 (22%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
85.7%
Under 1.5
14.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
65.3%
Under 2.5
34.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
43.3%
Under 3.5
56.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
60.6%
No
39.4%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
2-1
9.8%
1-1
9.5%
2-0
8.9%
3-1 ✓
7.4%
1-0
7.0%
3-0
6.7%
2-2
5.4%
1-2
4.7%
Sutjeska goals ↓
Mladost DG goals →
01234
04.3%2.9%2.1%0.8%0.2%
17.0%9.5%4.7%1.7%0.5%
28.9%9.8%5.4%2.0%0.5%
36.7%7.4%4.0%1.5%0.4%
43.8%4.2%2.3%0.8%0.2%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Sutjeska goals (down), columns = Mladost DG goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Sutjeska
2.00
Mornar
1.92
Petrovac
1.42
Dečić
1.42
Buducnost Podgorica
1.33
Arsenal Tivat
1.28
Mladost DG
1.28
Jezero
1.24
Bokelj
1.05
Jedinstvo
0.97
Grbalj
0.50
Iskra (Montenegro)
0.00
Sutjeska is 0.72 points better than Mladost DG in terms of average points per game (2.00 vs 1.28).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Sutjeska
1.69
Mornar
1.42
Mladost DG
1.36
Petrovac
1.22
Jezero
1.21
Dečić
1.19
Bokelj
1.05
Buducnost Podgorica
1.00
Arsenal Tivat
1.00
Jedinstvo
0.83
Iskra (Montenegro)
0.50
Grbalj
0.00
Sutjeska is 0.33 goals better than Mladost DG in terms of goals scored per game (1.69 vs 1.36).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Mornar
0.81
Buducnost Podgorica
0.97
Grbalj
1.00
Petrovac
1.00
Sutjeska
1.00
Dečić
1.25
Bokelj
1.26
Arsenal Tivat
1.28
Jezero
1.29
Jedinstvo
1.36
Mladost DG
1.50
Iskra (Montenegro)
4.00
Sutjeska is 0.50 goals better than Mladost DG in terms of goals conceded per game (1.00 vs 1.50).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

SutjeskaSutjeska

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-300D11D22D00D00D11D01L30W00D02LA·DIN17/07H·BEI24/07A·BEI31/07H·MOR04/08A·BUD10/08H·PET17/08A·JEZ24/08H·BOK30/08H·ARS13/09A·DEČ17/09
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.630.570.690.500.570.64
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (21)0.570.570.550.550.600.60
vs Weaker (9)0.780.561.000.400.500.75
Clean sheet %53% (+22pp vs league)
This opponent (Mladost DG) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Mladost DGMladost DG

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D00D20W02L10W20W11D01L02L00DH·KOM14/05A·MLA18/05H·IBA24/05A·DEČ04/08A·BOK10/08H·JED17/08A·MOR24/08H·BUD31/08A·PET13/09H·JEZ17/09← Second LeagueFirst League →
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.670.500.670.270.670.73
vs Stronger (1)0.001.000.001.00--
vs Similar (17)0.710.351.000.000.440.67
vs Weaker (12)0.670.670.330.501.000.83
Clean sheet %67% (+36pp vs league)
This opponent (Sutjeska) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Sutjeska over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sutjeska over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sutjeska over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Mladost DG over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Mladost DG over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Mladost DG over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

SutjeskaSutjeska

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-320W01L03L30W10W00D11D22D20W11DA·DIN17/07H·BEI24/07A·BEI31/07H·MOR04/08A·BUD10/08H·PET17/08A·JEZ24/08H·BOK30/08H·ARS13/09A·DEČ17/09
Avg total
2.0
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.870.701.120.690.570.71
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (21)0.860.711.000.820.700.60
vs Weaker (9)0.890.671.400.400.251.00
Clean sheet %47% (+16pp vs league)
This opponent (Mladost DG) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Mladost DGMladost DG

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-322D12L20W21W12L32W01L30W02L01LH·KOM14/05A·MLA18/05H·IBA24/05A·DEČ04/08A·BOK10/08H·JED17/08A·MOR24/08H·BUD31/08A·PET13/09H·JEZ17/09← Second LeagueFirst League →
Avg total
2.7
Avg scored
1.4
Avg conceded
1.3
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.000.601.070.400.930.80
vs Stronger (1)3.000.003.000.00--
vs Similar (17)1.060.651.120.381.000.89
vs Weaker (12)0.750.580.670.500.830.67
Clean sheet %60% (+29pp vs league)
This opponent (Sutjeska) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Sutjeska over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sutjeska over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sutjeska over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Mladost DG over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Mladost DG over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Mladost DG over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 1.585.7%-------✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SUT (23)
€5m
MOR (23)
€4m
PET (18)
€4m
DEČ (19)
€4m
BP (21)
€3m
MD (23)
€3m
BOK (18)
€2m
AT (14)
€1m
JEZ (17)
€1m
JED (17)
€1m
GRB (2)
€0m
Sutjeska's squad is €3m more valuable than Mladost DG's (€5m vs €3m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SUT (9)
€2m
DEČ (8)
€1m
PET (5)
€1m
BP (6)
€1m
MOR (8)
€1m
MD (8)
€1m
AT (5)
€1m
BOK (6)
€1m
JEZ (8)
€0m
JED (5)
€0m
GRB (1)
€0m
Sutjeska's attack is €1m more valuable than Mladost DG's (€2m vs €1m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
PET (5)
€1m
BP (5)
€1m
MOR (4)
€1m
SUT (5)
€1m
DEČ (3)
€1m
MD (5)
€1m
BOK (4)
€0m
AT (4)
€0m
JEZ (2)
€0m
JED (2)
€0m
GRB (0)
€0m
Sutjeska and Mladost DG have a similar midfield value (both €1m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MOR (11)
€2m
SUT (9)
€2m
DEČ (8)
€2m
BP (10)
€2m
PET (8)
€2m
MD (10)
€1m
JED (10)
€1m
BOK (8)
€1m
JEZ (7)
€1m
AT (5)
€0m
GRB (1)
€0m
Sutjeska and Mladost DG have a similar defence value (both €2m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

4 previous meetings
1
SUT wins
2
Draws
1
MD wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Sutjeska vs Mladost DG · H/A from SUT
DateH/AGameScore
12/05/24AMladost DG Vs SUT3-2
13/03/24HSUT Vs Mladost DG2-1
11/11/23AMladost DG Vs SUT1-1
03/09/23HSUT Vs Mladost DG3-3

SutjeskaSutjeska

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
17/09/25ADečić Vs SUT3-1
13/09/25HSUT Vs Arsenal Tivat2-0
30/08/25HSUT Vs Bokelj5-2
24/08/25AJezero Vs SUT2-1
17/08/25HSUT Vs Petrovac1-1
10/08/25ABuducnost Podgorica Vs SUT0-1
04/08/25HSUT Vs Mornar3-0
31/07/25ABeitar Jerusalem Vs SUT5-2
24/07/25HSUT Vs Beitar Jerusalem1-2
17/07/25ADinamo Brest Vs SUT0-2

Mladost DGMladost DG

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
17/09/25HMD Vs Jezero0-1
13/09/25APetrovac Vs MD4-0
31/08/25HMD Vs Buducnost Podgorica3-1
24/08/25AMornar Vs MD2-1
17/08/25HMD Vs Jedinstvo5-2
10/08/25ABokelj Vs MD2-2
04/08/25ADečić Vs MD3-2
24/05/25HMD Vs Ibar4-0
18/05/25AMladost Lješkopolje Vs MD2-1
14/05/25HMD Vs Kom2-2

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Sutjeska
Sutjeska
Montenegro: First League
Recent: 5 Wins / 1 Draws / 4 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDLWWL1.34
HomeLWDWW1.36
AwayWLWLL1.32
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %38%36%40%
AVG goals2.482.562.40
Over 1.5 %78%84%72%
Over 2.5 %42%44%40%
Over 3.5 %14%12%16%
Scored1.261.361.16
Conceded1.221.201.24
BTTS48%52%44%
Clean Sheet32%28%36%
Corners---
Cards---
Mladost DG
Mladost DG
Montenegro: First League
Recent: 3 Wins / 2 Draws / 5 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWLWLL1.82
HomeDWWWL2.12
AwayLLDLL1.54
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %54%62%46%
AVG goals2.722.423.00
Over 1.5 %76%67%85%
Over 2.5 %50%42%58%
Over 3.5 %28%25%31%
Scored1.581.671.50
Conceded1.140.751.50
BTTS46%38%54%
Clean Sheet42%54%31%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1SutjeskaSutjeska3672
61%
2.0
6136+25
2.7
72%
47%
25%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
5
2121.71.0
-
2MornarMornar3669
56%
1.9
5129+22
2.2
69%
50%
14%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
1121.40.8
-
3PetrovacPetrovac3651
36%
1.4
4436+8
2.2
67%
36%
22%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
1121.21.0
-
4DečićDečić3651
39%
1.4
4345-2
2.4
64%
47%
22%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
1121.21.2
-
5Buducnost PodgoricaBuducnost Podgorica3648
36%
1.3
3635+1
2.0
61%
25%
11%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1121.01.0
-
6JezeroJezero3847
32%
1.2
4649-3
2.5
79%
47%
21%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0011.21.3
-
7Mladost DGMladost DG3646
39%
1.3
4954-5
2.9
64%
61%
39%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1111.41.5
-
8Arsenal TivatArsenal Tivat3646
33%
1.3
3646-10
2.3
64%
39%
22%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
1001.01.3
-
9BokeljBokelj3840
24%
1.1
4048-8
2.3
68%
39%
16%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1011.11.3
-
10JedinstvoJedinstvo3635
25%
1.0
3049-19
2.2
58%
36%
19%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0010.81.4
-
11GrbaljGrbalj21
0%
0.5
02-2
1.0
50%
0%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.01.0
-
12Iskra (Montenegro)Iskra (Montenegro)20
0%
0.0
18-7
4.5
100%
100%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.54.0
-
Montenegro: First League 2025/26 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Montenegro: First League stats & trends →

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