This opponent (SKN ST. Polten) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
SKN ST. Polten
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
1.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.27
1.67
0.93
1.27
1.60
2.07
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (26)
1.15
1.62
0.92
1.15
1.38
2.08
vs Weaker (4)
2.00
2.00
1.00
2.00
3.00
2.00
Clean sheet %
27% (+0pp vs league)
This opponent (SV Horn) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 3.8 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 3 (20%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
90.3%
Under 1.5
9.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
73.7%
Under 2.5
26.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
53.3%
Under 3.5
46.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
73.4%
No
26.6%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
8.7%
1-2
8.0%
2-2
7.3%
2-1
7.2%
1-3
5.4%
2-3
4.9%
0-2
4.4%
3-2
4.4%
SV Horn goals ↓
SKN ST. Polten goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
3.0%
3.6%
4.4%
3.0%
1.5%
1
3.1%
8.7%
8.0%
5.4%
2.7%
2
3.5%
7.2%
7.3%
4.9%
2.5%
3
2.1%
4.3%
4.4%
3.0%
1.5%
4
1.0%
2.0%
2.0%
1.3%
0.7%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = SV Horn goals (down), columns = SKN ST. Polten goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Ried
2.17
Admira Wacker
1.97
SV Kapfenberg
1.80
SKN ST. Polten
1.77
First Vienna
1.63
FC Liefering
1.43
Sturm Graz II
1.40
SKU Amstetten
1.40
Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz
1.27
Austria Lustenau
1.23
Floridsdorfer AC
1.23
Rapid Wien II
1.23
Stripfing
1.13
Voitsberg
1.07
SV Horn
1.00
SV Lafnitz
0.53
SV Horn is 0.77 points worse than SKN ST. Polten in terms of average points per game (1.00 vs 1.77).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Ried
1.97
SKN ST. Polten
1.87
SV Kapfenberg
1.77
Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz
1.70
SKU Amstetten
1.63
Rapid Wien II
1.63
First Vienna
1.63
Sturm Graz II
1.60
Admira Wacker
1.60
FC Liefering
1.43
SV Lafnitz
1.33
SV Horn
1.33
Stripfing
1.30
Floridsdorfer AC
1.00
Voitsberg
1.00
Austria Lustenau
0.80
SV Horn is 0.53 goals worse than SKN ST. Polten in terms of goals scored per game (1.33 vs 1.87).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Ried
0.77
Austria Lustenau
0.87
Admira Wacker
1.03
SKN ST. Polten
1.13
Floridsdorfer AC
1.17
SKU Amstetten
1.33
Voitsberg
1.37
Sturm Graz II
1.43
FC Liefering
1.43
Stripfing
1.43
First Vienna
1.47
SV Kapfenberg
1.63
Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz
1.90
Rapid Wien II
1.90
SV Horn
2.03
SV Lafnitz
2.70
SV Horn is 0.90 goals worse than SKN ST. Polten in terms of goals conceded per game (2.03 vs 1.13).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
Ried
56%
Admira Wacker
52%
FC Liefering
51%
First Vienna
51%
SKN ST. Polten
51%
SV Kapfenberg
51%
Floridsdorfer AC
50%
Rapid Wien II
50%
Voitsberg
50%
Austria Lustenau
49%
SV Lafnitz
49%
SV Horn
46%
SKU Amstetten
45%
SV Horn is 5.0 percentage points worse than SKN ST. Polten in terms of average possession (46% vs 51%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
SV Horn
For 3.3 · Against 5.7 · Total 9.0
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.9 · Against 2.2 · Total 4.1
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 10.3 · Against 11.1 · Total 21.4
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
SKN ST. Polten
For 4.8 · Against 4.6 · Total 9.4
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 3.3 · Against 3.0 · Total 6.3
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 12.7 · Against 12.6 · Total 25.3
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
SV Horn
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.3
8.5
10.2
3.5
3.2
3.8
23.4
24.7
21.9
vs Stronger (3)
9.3
9.0
9.5
3.3
2.0
4.0
18.0
13.0
20.5
vs Similar (46)
9.3
8.5
10.3
3.6
3.2
3.9
23.9
25.3
22.1
vs Weaker (1)
-
-
-
0.0
-
0.0
-
-
-
% over line
46%
33%
59%
44%
36%
52%
64%
68%
59%
% under line
54%
67%
41%
56%
64%
48%
36%
32%
41%
This opponent (SKN ST. Polten) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
SKN ST. Polten
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.9
10.5
9.5
4.2
2.9
5.5
23.6
23.3
23.8
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (46)
9.9
10.5
9.5
4.5
3.1
6.0
23.6
23.3
23.8
vs Weaker (4)
-
-
-
0.0
0.0
0.0
-
-
-
% over line
54%
59%
50%
58%
48%
68%
63%
65%
62%
% under line
46%
41%
50%
42%
52%
32%
37%
35%
38%
This opponent (SV Horn) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
First Vienna
11.3
FC Liefering
10.8
Floridsdorfer AC
10.5
SV Kapfenberg
10.4
SKU Amstetten
10.4
SV Lafnitz
10.1
Admira Wacker
9.9
SKN ST. Polten
9.8
Austria Lustenau
9.8
Ried
9.4
SV Horn
9.3
Rapid Wien II
9.1
Voitsberg
9.0
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
SV Kapfenberg
6.4
Voitsberg
6.1
SV Lafnitz
5.4
Admira Wacker
5.1
SKN ST. Polten
5.0
Floridsdorfer AC
5.0
Austria Lustenau
5.0
SV Horn
5.0
Ried
4.9
First Vienna
4.9
FC Liefering
4.6
SKU Amstetten
4.4
Rapid Wien II
3.8
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Voitsberg
27.7
Floridsdorfer AC
27.0
First Vienna
26.5
FC Liefering
25.8
SV Horn
25.3
SV Kapfenberg
25.3
Rapid Wien II
25.1
SV Lafnitz
24.7
Ried
24.2
SKU Amstetten
24.1
Admira Wacker
24.0
SKN ST. Polten
23.3
Austria Lustenau
22.8
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Over
Over 9.5
40.1%
Under 9.5
59.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
85.6%
Under 3.5
14.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Under
Over 21.5
71.4%
Under 21.5
28.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
SV Horn
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.63
0.63
0.53
0.73
0.73
0.53
vs Stronger (2)
0.00
0.00
-
-
0.00
0.00
vs Similar (27)
0.67
0.70
0.53
0.73
0.83
0.67
vs Weaker (1)
1.00
0.00
-
-
1.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
50% (+24pp vs league)
This opponent (SKN ST. Polten) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
SKN ST. Polten
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.5
Avg scored
0.2
Avg conceded
0.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.57
0.70
0.60
0.53
0.53
0.87
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (26)
0.54
0.65
0.54
0.46
0.54
0.85
vs Weaker (4)
0.75
1.00
1.00
1.00
0.50
1.00
Clean sheet %
53% (+27pp vs league)
This opponent (SV Horn) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
SV Horn over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
SV Horn over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
SV Horn over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
SKN ST. Polten over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
SKN ST. Polten over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
SKN ST. Polten over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
SV Horn
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.4
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
1.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.83
1.13
1.20
1.33
0.47
0.93
vs Stronger (2)
1.00
1.00
-
-
1.00
1.00
vs Similar (27)
0.81
1.19
1.20
1.33
0.33
1.00
vs Weaker (1)
1.00
0.00
-
-
1.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
37% (+10pp vs league)
This opponent (SKN ST. Polten) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
SKN ST. Polten
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.70
0.97
0.33
0.73
1.07
1.20
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (26)
0.62
0.96
0.38
0.69
0.85
1.23
vs Weaker (4)
1.25
1.00
0.00
1.00
2.50
1.00
Clean sheet %
27% (+0pp vs league)
This opponent (SV Horn) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
SV Horn over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
SV Horn over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
SV Horn over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
SKN ST. Polten over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
SKN ST. Polten over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
SKN ST. Polten over/under 2.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 2.5 cards
94.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 1.5
90.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 3.5 cards
85.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 19.5 fouls
84.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 11.5 corners
81.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 2.5
73.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
BTTS Yes
73.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 4.5 cards
72.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 10.5 corners
71.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 21.5 fouls
71.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
Austria: 2. Liga 2024/25 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Austria: 2. Liga stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
Ried
Admira Wacker
SV Kapfenberg
First Vienna
FC Liefering
SKU Amstetten
Sturm Graz II
Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz
Austria Lustenau
Floridsdorfer AC
Rapid Wien II
Stripfing
Voitsberg
SV Lafnitz