This opponent (TSV Hartberg) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
TSV Hartberg
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.9
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.27
1.17
1.36
1.45
1.21
1.00
vs Stronger (9)
0.67
1.56
1.00
1.25
0.40
1.80
vs Similar (21)
1.52
1.00
1.57
1.57
1.50
0.71
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
33% (+8pp vs league)
This opponent (SV Lafnitz) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 3.0 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (24%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
80.5%
Under 1.5
19.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
57.0%
Under 2.5
43.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
34.6%
Under 3.5
65.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
51.8%
No
48.2%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
0-2
11.4%
1-1
10.3%
0-1
9.9%
1-2
9.8%
0-3
8.0%
1-3
6.9%
0-0
6.1%
2-2
4.3%
SV Lafnitz goals ↓
TSV Hartberg goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
6.1%
9.9%
11%
8.0%
4.2%
1
3.5%
10%
9.8%
6.9%
3.6%
2
1.9%
4.1%
4.3%
3.0%
1.6%
3
0.6%
1.2%
1.2%
0.9%
0.5%
4
0.1%
0.3%
0.3%
0.2%
0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = SV Lafnitz goals (down), columns = TSV Hartberg goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
TSV Hartberg
2.50
Red Bull Salzburg
2.50
Austria Vienna
2.40
Austria Klagenfurt
2.33
Wolfsberger AC
2.33
Stripfing
2.25
Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz
2.25
Lask Linz
2.20
WSG Wattens
2.00
SV Horn
2.00
Austria Lustenau
2.00
Rapid Vienna
2.00
FC BW Linz
2.00
Voitsberg
2.00
Sturm Graz
1.75
Fach-Donaufeld
1.50
SVG Reichenau
1.50
Wallern / Marienkirchen
1.50
Ried
1.50
Admira Wacker
1.50
SKU Amstetten
1.50
WSPG Wels
1.50
SKN ST. Polten
1.50
First Vienna
1.50
SV Kapfenberg
1.50
Grazer AK
1.33
Krems / Rehberg
1.00
Hohenems
1.00
Velden
1.00
Weiz
1.00
Dinamo Helfort
0.94
Hirschwang
0.94
Jennersdorf
0.94
Union Vöcklamarkt
0.94
Wolfsberg
0.94
Lauterach
0.94
Tillmitsch
0.94
Kalsdorf
0.94
Kuchl
0.94
Lendorf
0.94
Parndorf
0.94
Wiener SC
0.94
Retz
0.94
Wacker Innsbruck
0.94
Oedt
0.50
SV Lafnitz
0.50
Austria Salzburg
0.00
Oberwart
0.00
Wals-Grünau
0.00
Bischofshofen
0.00
Donau
0.00
Gurten
0.00
Wohnbau Dietach
0.00
Imst
0.00
Traiskirchen
0.00
Schwaz
0.00
Treibach
0.00
Mannsdorf-Großenzersdorf
0.00
Pinzgau Saalfelden
0.00
Röthis
0.00
Neusiedl
0.00
Dornbirn
0.00
SCR Altach
0.00
Floridsdorfer AC
0.00
SV Lafnitz is 2.00 points worse than TSV Hartberg in terms of average points per game (0.50 vs 2.50).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Ried
6.00
Hohenems
4.00
Grazer AK
4.00
TSV Hartberg
3.83
Austria Klagenfurt
3.67
Red Bull Salzburg
3.50
Oedt
3.00
Admira Wacker
3.00
SV Kapfenberg
3.00
Wolfsberger AC
2.50
SKU Amstetten
2.50
Austria Vienna
2.40
WSG Wattens
2.33
FC BW Linz
2.33
Lask Linz
2.20
Krems / Rehberg
2.00
Wallern / Marienkirchen
2.00
Velden
2.00
Weiz
2.00
Rapid Vienna
2.00
Voitsberg
2.00
Stripfing
1.75
Sturm Graz
1.75
Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz
1.75
SV Horn
1.67
Austria Lustenau
1.67
Dinamo Helfort
1.55
Hirschwang
1.55
Jennersdorf
1.55
Union Vöcklamarkt
1.55
Wolfsberg
1.55
Lauterach
1.55
Tillmitsch
1.55
Kalsdorf
1.55
Kuchl
1.55
Lendorf
1.55
Parndorf
1.55
Wiener SC
1.55
Retz
1.55
Wacker Innsbruck
1.55
Fach-Donaufeld
1.50
SKN ST. Polten
1.50
First Vienna
1.50
Austria Salzburg
1.00
Wals-Grünau
1.00
Bischofshofen
1.00
Traiskirchen
1.00
SVG Reichenau
1.00
Treibach
1.00
Mannsdorf-Großenzersdorf
1.00
SV Lafnitz
1.00
Floridsdorfer AC
1.00
WSPG Wels
1.00
Oberwart
0.00
Donau
0.00
Gurten
0.00
Wohnbau Dietach
0.00
Imst
0.00
Schwaz
0.00
Pinzgau Saalfelden
0.00
Röthis
0.00
Neusiedl
0.00
Dornbirn
0.00
SCR Altach
0.00
SV Lafnitz is 2.83 goals worse than TSV Hartberg in terms of goals scored per game (1.00 vs 3.83).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Red Bull Salzburg
0.25
Austria Klagenfurt
0.33
TSV Hartberg
0.33
Wolfsberger AC
0.50
WSPG Wels
0.50
Lask Linz
0.60
Austria Vienna
0.60
SV Horn
0.67
FC BW Linz
0.67
Voitsberg
0.67
Stripfing
0.75
Wallern / Marienkirchen
1.00
Rapid Vienna
1.00
Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz
1.00
Grazer AK
1.33
Fach-Donaufeld
1.50
Ried
1.50
Sturm Graz
1.50
SV Kapfenberg
1.50
WSG Wattens
1.67
Austria Lustenau
1.67
Austria Salzburg
2.00
Oberwart
2.00
Krems / Rehberg
2.00
Wals-Grünau
2.00
Wohnbau Dietach
2.00
Schwaz
2.00
Velden
2.00
Weiz
2.00
Neusiedl
2.00
SCR Altach
2.00
Floridsdorfer AC
2.00
Admira Wacker
2.00
SKU Amstetten
2.00
SKN ST. Polten
2.00
First Vienna
2.00
Dinamo Helfort
2.85
Hirschwang
2.85
Jennersdorf
2.85
Union Vöcklamarkt
2.85
Wolfsberg
2.85
Lauterach
2.85
Tillmitsch
2.85
Kalsdorf
2.85
Kuchl
2.85
Lendorf
2.85
Parndorf
2.85
Wiener SC
2.85
Retz
2.85
Wacker Innsbruck
2.85
Donau
3.00
Gurten
3.00
Imst
3.00
Mannsdorf-Großenzersdorf
3.00
Oedt
3.50
Traiskirchen
4.00
Hohenems
4.00
SV Lafnitz
4.00
SVG Reichenau
5.00
Treibach
6.00
Pinzgau Saalfelden
6.00
Dornbirn
6.00
Bischofshofen
11.00
Röthis
11.00
SV Lafnitz is 3.67 goals worse than TSV Hartberg in terms of goals conceded per game (4.00 vs 0.33).
⏱️ Possession
Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
SV Lafnitz or Draw✗ Miss
35.1%
Avg Implied -
13%
22%
65%
covers SV Lafnitz + Draw
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
SV Lafnitz or TSV Hartberg✓ Hit
78.4%
Avg Implied -
13%
22%
65%
covers SV Lafnitz + TSV Hartberg
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw or TSV Hartberg✓ Hit
86.5%
Avg Implied -
13%
22%
65%
covers Draw + TSV Hartberg
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
SV Lafnitz over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
58.0%
Under
42.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
SV Lafnitz over/under 1.5Actual: Over
Over
21.5%
Under
78.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
SV Lafnitz over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
5.7%
Under
94.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
SV Lafnitz over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
1.2%
Under
98.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
TSV Hartberg over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
87.8%
Under
12.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
TSV Hartberg over/under 1.5Actual: Over
Over
62.1%
Under
37.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
TSV Hartberg over/under 2.5Actual: Over
Over
35.1%
Under
64.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
TSV Hartberg over/under 3.5Actual: Over
Over
16.2%
Under
83.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⚖️ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to SV Lafnitz, so a minus line means SV Lafnitz give that many goals of a start and TSV Hartberg receive them. At -1, SV Lafnitz must win by two or more to land; a one-goal SV Lafnitz win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (SV Lafnitz)Actual: TSV Hartberg
SV Lafnitz -2
1.1%
Draw -2
3.4%
TSV Hartberg +2
95.5%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap -1 (SV Lafnitz)Actual: TSV Hartberg
SV Lafnitz -1
4.5%
Draw -1
9.0%
TSV Hartberg +1
86.5%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +1 (SV Lafnitz)Actual: TSV Hartberg
SV Lafnitz +1
35.1%
Draw +1
23.2%
TSV Hartberg -1
41.7%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +2 (SV Lafnitz)Actual: TSV Hartberg
SV Lafnitz +2
58.3%
Draw +2
20.0%
TSV Hartberg -2
21.7%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
SV Lafnitz
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.1
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
1.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.47
1.20
0.62
1.31
0.29
1.07
vs Stronger (4)
0.25
1.75
0.50
2.00
0.00
1.50
vs Similar (26)
0.50
1.12
0.64
1.21
0.33
1.00
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
33% (+8pp vs league)
This opponent (TSV Hartberg) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
TSV Hartberg
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.6
Avg scored
0.2
Avg conceded
0.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.33
0.40
0.27
0.64
0.37
0.26
vs Stronger (9)
0.22
0.78
0.00
0.75
0.40
0.80
vs Similar (21)
0.38
0.24
0.43
0.57
0.36
0.07
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
63% (+38pp vs league)
This opponent (SV Lafnitz) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
SV Lafnitz over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
SV Lafnitz over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
SV Lafnitz over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
TSV Hartberg over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
TSV Hartberg over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
TSV Hartberg over/under 2.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
SV Lafnitz
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.7
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
1.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.87
1.70
0.94
1.44
0.79
2.00
vs Stronger (4)
1.00
2.25
1.50
2.00
0.50
2.50
vs Similar (26)
0.85
1.62
0.86
1.36
0.83
1.92
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
20% (-6pp vs league)
This opponent (TSV Hartberg) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
TSV Hartberg
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.93
0.77
1.09
0.82
0.84
0.74
vs Stronger (9)
0.44
0.78
1.00
0.50
0.00
1.00
vs Similar (21)
1.14
0.76
1.14
1.00
1.14
0.64
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
43% (+18pp vs league)
This opponent (SV Lafnitz) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
SV Lafnitz over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
SV Lafnitz over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
SV Lafnitz over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
TSV Hartberg over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
TSV Hartberg over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
TSV Hartberg over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Under 7.5
98.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home under 3.5 goals
98.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 6.5
96.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Away +2 handicap
95.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 goals
94.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 5.5
91.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Away over 0.5 goals
87.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Draw or Away
86.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away +1 handicap
86.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away under 3.5 goals
83.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Under 4.5
82.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Over 2.5 cards
81.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 1.5
80.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home under 1.5 goals
78.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Home or Away
78.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 11.5 corners
75.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 19.5 fouls
74.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 25.5 fouls
72.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 5.5 cards
71.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
TSV Hartberg
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Elias Havel43%
Lukas Fridrikas15%
Luca Pazourek15%
Jed Drew15%
Marco Hoffmann13%
Fabian Wilfinger10%
Patrik Mijić8%
Jurgen Heil7%
Lukas Spendlhofer7%
Dominik Prokop7%
Maximilian Fillafer7%
Dominic Vincze4%
Damjan Kovačević4%
Maximilian Hennig4%
Tobias Kainz3%
Ammar Helac0%
Julian Gölles0%
Youba Diarra0%
Benjamin Markuš0%
Tom Hülsmann0%
Julian Halwachs0%
Habib Anas Coulibaly0%
Konstantin Schopp0%
David Korherr0%
Musibau Aziz0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Tobias Kainz20%
Maximilian Fillafer20%
Tom Hülsmann20%
Youba Diarra19%
Jurgen Heil19%
Lukas Spendlhofer14%
Dominik Prokop14%
Konstantin Schopp14%
Marco Hoffmann13%
Musibau Aziz12%
Lukas Fridrikas12%
Habib Anas Coulibaly11%
Maximilian Hennig11%
Elias Havel10%
Benjamin Markuš9%
Dominic Vincze8%
Fabian Wilfinger6%
Ammar Helac0%
Julian Gölles0%
Patrik Mijić0%
Julian Halwachs0%
Luca Pazourek0%
Jed Drew0%
Damjan Kovačević0%
David Korherr0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Tobias Kainz17%
Jed Drew15%
Maximilian Hennig14%
Youba Diarra12%
Elias Havel10%
Patrik Mijić8%
Jurgen Heil7%
Tom Hülsmann7%
Habib Anas Coulibaly6%
Damjan Kovačević4%
Lukas Fridrikas4%
Lukas Spendlhofer4%
Fabian Wilfinger3%
Benjamin Markuš3%
Ammar Helac0%
Julian Gölles0%
Dominik Prokop0%
Maximilian Fillafer0%
Julian Halwachs0%
Dominic Vincze0%
Luca Pazourek0%
Marco Hoffmann0%
Konstantin Schopp0%
David Korherr0%
Musibau Aziz0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Elias Havel30%
Jed Drew8%
Lukas Fridrikas4%
Lukas Spendlhofer4%
Tobias Kainz3%
Marco Hoffmann3%
Benjamin Markuš3%
Ammar Helac0%
Julian Gölles0%
Dominik Prokop0%
Jurgen Heil0%
Youba Diarra0%
Patrik Mijić0%
Maximilian Fillafer0%
Tom Hülsmann0%
Julian Halwachs0%
Dominic Vincze0%
Luca Pazourek0%
Fabian Wilfinger0%
Maximilian Hennig0%
Habib Anas Coulibaly0%
Konstantin Schopp0%
Damjan Kovačević0%
David Korherr0%
Musibau Aziz0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
Austria: Bundesliga 2025/26 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Austria: Bundesliga stats & trends →