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Swansea vs Birmingham Result & Analysis

Date: 05/08/2023
Time: 15:00
Final 1-1
Swansea
Swansea
Vs
57%
26%
17%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Birmingham
Birmingham
England: Championship
Referee: J Linington
Match preview & prediction

Swansea are the clear favorites, with a 57% chance of victory, 26% for a draw and 17% for Birmingham to win. The model expects 2.6 goals in total, most likely a 2-goal match, and the single most probable scoreline is 1-1 at 12.3%. Swansea’s home form shows they average 1.9 goals scored and 1.7 conceded against teams of similar strength, while Birmingham, on the road, averages 1.22 scored and 2.11 conceded. The model’s selections include an 88.9% chance that the match will see under 11.5 corners, 81.7% for under 10.5 corners, 80.3% for under 25.5 fouls, 78.6% for over 2.5 cards, 75.7% for under 5.5 cards, 74.3% for under 3.5 total goals, 73.8% for over 1.5 total goals, and a 71.8% chance of under 9.5 corners. The match is expected to be a tight contest, with Swansea’s recent two-game winning run and Birmingham’s return from a draw suggesting a competitive encounter.

Results analysis

The 1-1 draw stunned the pre-match favourite, the home win call, which carried a 57% probability. The model’s pick was therefore wrong. Swansea, riding a two-game winning run, could not secure the victory, while Birmingham, fresh from a draw, held them to a stalemate. The model’s selections performed largely as expected: Under 11.5 corners hit at 88.9%, Under 10.5 corners at 81.7%, Under 25.5 fouls at 80.3%, Over 2.5 cards at 78.6%, Under 5.5 cards at 75.7%, Under 3.5 at 74.3%, Over 1.5 at 73.8%, and Under 9.5 corners missed at 71.8%. The final score of 1-1 confirmed the draw outcome.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Swansea win✗ Miss
56.9%
Avg Implied 50.4% · @ 1.88
Edge
+6.4%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✓ Hit
25.9%
Avg Implied 26.9% · @ 3.52
Edge
-1.0%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Birmingham win✗ Miss
17.2%
Avg Implied 22.7% · @ 4.18
Edge
-5.4%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

SwanseaSwansea

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-412L20W32W00D20W10W42W30W11D32WA·MIL14/03H·BRI19/03A·CAR01/04H·COV07/04A·WIG10/04H·HUD15/04H·PRE19/04A·NOR22/04A·HUL29/04H·WES08/05
Avg total
2.9
Avg scored
2.0
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.531.401.791.501.311.31
vs Stronger (1)3.001.00--3.001.00
vs Similar (22)1.551.591.901.701.251.50
vs Weaker (7)1.290.861.501.001.000.67
Clean sheet %23% (-5pp vs league)
This opponent (Birmingham) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

BirminghamBirmingham

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-303L10W10W11D00D12L10W01L02L12LA·WAT14/03A·QPR18/03H·BLA01/04A·REA07/04H·STO10/04A·SUN15/04A·MIL18/04H·BLA22/04A·COV29/04H·SHE08/05
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
1.1
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.031.431.001.121.071.79
vs Stronger (2)1.002.001.002.001.002.00
vs Similar (21)1.001.520.831.081.222.11
vs Weaker (7)1.141.001.671.000.751.00
Clean sheet %30% (+1pp vs league)
This opponent (Swansea) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

7%13%20%26%9%017%126%222%314%47%55%6+
The model estimates around 2.6 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (26%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
73.8%
Under 1.5
26.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
47.4%
@ 1.98-0.7%
Under 2.5
52.6%
@ 1.83+0.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
25.7%
Under 3.5
74.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
48.1%
No
51.9%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1 ✓
12.3%
1-0
12.1%
2-0
11.3%
2-1
9.6%
0-0
8.8%
3-0
6.5%
3-1
5.5%
0-1
5.4%
Swansea goals ↓
Birmingham goals →
01234
08.8%5.4%2.8%0.8%0.2%
112%12%4.8%1.3%0.3%
211%9.6%4.1%1.2%0.2%
36.5%5.5%2.3%0.7%0.1%
42.8%2.4%1.0%0.3%0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Swansea goals (down), columns = Birmingham goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Leicester
2.11
Ipswich
2.09
Leeds
1.96
Southampton
1.89
West Brom
1.63
Norwich
1.59
Hull
1.52
Middlesbrough
1.50
Coventry
1.39
Preston
1.37
Bristol City
1.35
Cardiff
1.35
Millwall
1.28
Swansea
1.24
Watford
1.22
QPR
1.22
Sunderland
1.22
Stoke
1.22
Blackburn
1.15
Sheffield Weds
1.15
Plymouth
1.11
Birmingham
1.09
Huddersfield
0.98
Rotherham
0.59
Swansea is 0.15 points better than Birmingham in terms of average points per game (1.24 vs 1.09).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Ipswich
2.00
Leicester
1.93
Southampton
1.89
Leeds
1.76
Norwich
1.72
Middlesbrough
1.54
West Brom
1.52
Coventry
1.52
Hull
1.48
Watford
1.33
Blackburn
1.30
Swansea
1.28
Plymouth
1.28
Preston
1.22
Bristol City
1.15
Cardiff
1.15
Sunderland
1.13
Birmingham
1.09
Stoke
1.07
Huddersfield
1.04
QPR
1.02
Millwall
0.98
Sheffield Weds
0.96
Rotherham
0.80
Swansea is 0.20 goals better than Birmingham in terms of goals scored per game (1.28 vs 1.09).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Leicester
0.89
Leeds
0.93
West Brom
1.02
Bristol City
1.11
Sunderland
1.17
Millwall
1.20
Ipswich
1.24
QPR
1.26
Coventry
1.28
Stoke
1.30
Hull
1.30
Watford
1.33
Middlesbrough
1.35
Southampton
1.37
Norwich
1.39
Swansea
1.41
Birmingham
1.41
Preston
1.46
Sheffield Weds
1.48
Plymouth
1.52
Cardiff
1.52
Blackburn
1.61
Huddersfield
1.67
Rotherham
1.93
Swansea and Birmingham are level in goals conceded per game (both 1.41).

⏱️ Possession

Avg possession %
Southampton
66%
Leicester
62%
Leeds
58%
Hull
56%
Sunderland
56%
Swansea
55%
Ipswich
53%
Middlesbrough
53%
West Brom
52%
Watford
52%
Blackburn
52%
Coventry
51%
Stoke
51%
Norwich
49%
Bristol City
48%
QPR
46%
Cardiff
45%
Plymouth
45%
Preston
45%
Birmingham
44%
Sheffield Weds
43%
Millwall
42%
Huddersfield
40%
Rotherham
37%
Swansea is 11.2 percentage points better than Birmingham in terms of average possession (55% vs 44%).

🎲 4. Props Analysis

SwanseaSwansea

For 4.1 · Against 4.0 · Total 8.1

🚩 Corners

100635362245416553137559886971041010H·WESA·HULA·NORH·PREH·HUDA·WIGH·COVA·CARH·BRIA·MIL
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.4 · Against 2.0 · Total 4.4

🟨 Cards

7012212434213235222213237645743H·WESA·HULA·NORH·PREH·HUDA·WIGH·COVA·CARH·BRIA·MIL
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 10.9 · Against 11.7 · Total 22.6

⚠️ Fouls

300139101098101812116181110111914613822201728232421302021H·WESA·HULA·NORH·PREH·HUDA·WIGH·COVA·CARH·BRIA·MIL
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

BirminghamBirmingham

For 3.3 · Against 7.1 · Total 10.4

🚩 Corners

160445567411296105471101381013151116511114H·SHEA·COVH·BLAA·MILA·SUNH·STOA·REAH·BLAA·QPRA·WAT
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.1 · Against 1.3 · Total 3.4

🟨 Cards

70122122122113334311232342674H·SHEA·COVH·BLAA·MILA·SUNH·STOA·REAH·BLAA·QPRA·WAT
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 11.5 · Against 10.5 · Total 22.0

⚠️ Fouls

3309121010151396193147711371616132021202815222118103233H·SHEA·COVH·BLAA·MILA·SUNH·STOA·REAH·BLAA·QPRA·WAT
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

SwanseaSwansea

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)9.59.010.14.34.44.122.020.823.2
vs Stronger (3)9.011.05.07.07.56.024.321.530.0
vs Similar (37)9.78.910.64.14.24.121.820.423.2
vs Weaker (10)9.08.69.44.04.23.822.022.221.8
% over line44%42%46%60%62%58%48%46%50%
% under line56%58%54%40%38%42%52%54%50%
This opponent (Birmingham) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

BirminghamBirmingham

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)9.910.98.83.94.23.621.721.621.8
vs Stronger (2)10.510.011.04.56.03.021.020.022.0
vs Similar (37)9.810.88.84.24.44.121.621.321.9
vs Weaker (11)9.811.48.52.53.02.222.123.021.3
% over line56%68%44%48%56%40%36%32%40%
% under line44%32%56%52%44%60%64%68%60%
This opponent (Swansea) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

🚩 Total Corners

Match total corners / game
West Brom
10.7
Stoke
10.6
Norwich
10.6
QPR
10.4
Rotherham
10.4
Plymouth
10.4
Watford
10.3
Ipswich
10.3
Bristol City
10.2
Middlesbrough
10.2
Huddersfield
10.2
Southampton
10.2
Coventry
10.1
Hull
10.0
Birmingham
9.9
Leeds
9.8
Blackburn
9.8
Sunderland
9.7
Preston
9.6
Cardiff
9.6
Leicester
9.5
Swansea
9.5
Millwall
9.3
Sheffield Weds
9.1

🟨 Total Cards

Match total cards / game
Watford
4.5
Sunderland
4.4
Preston
4.3
Swansea
4.3
Cardiff
4.1
Blackburn
4.1
Leeds
4.0
Middlesbrough
3.9
Birmingham
3.9
Norwich
3.8
Coventry
3.8
Stoke
3.8
Rotherham
3.7
QPR
3.7
Ipswich
3.7
Bristol City
3.6
Huddersfield
3.6
Sheffield Weds
3.5
West Brom
3.4
Southampton
3.4
Millwall
3.3
Plymouth
3.2
Leicester
3.2
Hull
3.1

⚠️ Total Fouls

Match total fouls / game
Sunderland
23.5
Leeds
23.2
Watford
22.8
Stoke
22.2
Swansea
22.0
QPR
21.8
Birmingham
21.7
Plymouth
21.6
Sheffield Weds
21.6
Preston
21.4
Ipswich
21.4
Middlesbrough
21.3
Millwall
21.2
Leicester
21.1
Norwich
21.1
Southampton
20.9
Bristol City
20.5
Coventry
20.4
Rotherham
20.4
Hull
20.1
Blackburn
19.9
Cardiff
19.8
West Brom
19.7
Huddersfield
19.4
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Over
Over 9.5
28.2%
Under 9.5
71.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
60.0%
Under 3.5
40.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Under
Over 21.5
49.4%
Under 21.5
50.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

SwanseaSwansea

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-300D10W21W00D20W00D30W20W11D11DA·MIL14/03H·BRI19/03A·CAR01/04H·COV07/04A·WIG10/04H·HUD15/04H·PRE19/04A·NOR22/04A·HUL29/04H·WES08/05
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
0.3
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.770.671.000.640.560.69
vs Stronger (1)0.000.00--0.000.00
vs Similar (22)0.820.771.100.700.580.83
vs Weaker (7)0.710.430.750.500.670.33
Clean sheet %47% (+18pp vs league)
This opponent (Birmingham) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

BirminghamBirmingham

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-202L10W00D11D00D11D10W00D02L00DA·WAT14/03A·QPR18/03H·BLA01/04A·REA07/04H·STO10/04A·SUN15/04A·MIL18/04H·BLA22/04A·COV29/04H·SHE08/05
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.600.670.560.310.641.07
vs Stronger (2)0.501.000.001.001.001.00
vs Similar (21)0.430.760.330.330.561.33
vs Weaker (7)1.140.291.670.000.750.50
Clean sheet %60% (+31pp vs league)
This opponent (Swansea) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Swansea over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Swansea over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Swansea over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Birmingham over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Birmingham over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Birmingham over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

SwanseaSwansea

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-212L10W11D00D00D10W12L10W00D21WA·MIL14/03H·BRI19/03A·CAR01/04H·COV07/04A·WIG10/04H·HUD15/04H·PRE19/04A·NOR22/04A·HUL29/04H·WES08/05
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.770.730.790.860.750.62
vs Stronger (1)3.001.00--3.001.00
vs Similar (22)0.730.820.801.000.670.67
vs Weaker (7)0.570.430.750.500.330.33
Clean sheet %50% (+21pp vs league)
This opponent (Birmingham) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

BirminghamBirmingham

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-201L00D10W00D00D01L00D01L00D12LA·WAT14/03A·QPR18/03H·BLA01/04A·REA07/04H·STO10/04A·SUN15/04A·MIL18/04H·BLA22/04A·COV29/04H·SHE08/05
Avg total
0.7
Avg scored
0.2
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.430.770.440.810.430.71
vs Stronger (2)0.501.001.001.000.001.00
vs Similar (21)0.570.760.500.750.670.78
vs Weaker (7)0.000.710.001.000.000.50
Clean sheet %43% (+15pp vs league)
This opponent (Swansea) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Swansea over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Swansea over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Swansea over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Birmingham over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Birmingham over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Birmingham over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Under 11.5 corners88.9%-------✓ Hit
Under 10.5 corners81.7%-------✓ Hit
Under 25.5 fouls80.3%-------✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards78.6%-------✓ Hit
Under 5.5 cards75.7%-------✓ Hit
Under 3.574.3%-------✓ Hit
Over 1.573.8%-------✓ Hit
Under 9.5 corners71.8%-------✗ Miss

🎽 13. Player market rates

Swansea
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Jamal Lowe26%
Jerry Yates19%
Josh Ginnelly17%
Liam Cullen16%
Jamie Paterson14%
Ronald11%
Joe Allen11%
Liam Walsh10%
Mykola Kukharevych10%
Charlie Patino9%
Matt Grimes9%
Harry Darling8%
Harrison Ashby8%
Josh Key7%
Bashir Humphreys4%
Nathan Wood4%
Oliver Cooper3%
Jay Fulton2%
Joël Piroe0%
Yannick Bolasie0%
Kyle Naughton0%
Josh Tymon0%
Kristian Pedersen0%
Przemysław Płacheta0%
Ben Cabango0%
Carl Rushworth0%
Azeem Abdulai0%
Aimar Govea0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Joe Allen26%
Harry Darling24%
Ben Cabango23%
Josh Tymon22%
Liam Cullen20%
Nathan Wood19%
Jamie Paterson18%
Josh Ginnelly17%
Liam Walsh15%
Oliver Cooper15%
Jamal Lowe14%
Azeem Abdulai14%
Jay Fulton14%
Kyle Naughton13%
Matt Grimes11%
Yannick Bolasie10%
Bashir Humphreys8%
Harrison Ashby8%
Charlie Patino6%
Jerry Yates5%
Josh Key3%
Carl Rushworth2%
Joël Piroe0%
Kristian Pedersen0%
Przemysław Płacheta0%
Ronald0%
Mykola Kukharevych0%
Aimar Govea0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Azeem Abdulai14%
Jamie Paterson14%
Josh Tymon12%
Charlie Patino12%
Liam Cullen11%
Matt Grimes11%
Jamal Lowe9%
Harrison Ashby8%
Kyle Naughton7%
Oliver Cooper6%
Harry Darling5%
Joe Allen5%
Josh Key3%
Ben Cabango3%
Jerry Yates2%
Joël Piroe0%
Yannick Bolasie0%
Nathan Wood0%
Liam Walsh0%
Jay Fulton0%
Josh Ginnelly0%
Kristian Pedersen0%
Przemysław Płacheta0%
Ronald0%
Bashir Humphreys0%
Mykola Kukharevych0%
Carl Rushworth0%
Aimar Govea0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Joël Piroe67%
Yannick Bolasie20%
Harry Darling13%
Liam Cullen11%
Ronald11%
Przemysław Płacheta10%
Jamie Paterson7%
Jerry Yates5%
Jamal Lowe3%
Matt Grimes2%
Josh Key0%
Nathan Wood0%
Liam Walsh0%
Kyle Naughton0%
Jay Fulton0%
Josh Ginnelly0%
Josh Tymon0%
Joe Allen0%
Kristian Pedersen0%
Ben Cabango0%
Oliver Cooper0%
Harrison Ashby0%
Bashir Humphreys0%
Mykola Kukharevych0%
Carl Rushworth0%
Charlie Patino0%
Azeem Abdulai0%
Aimar Govea0%
Birmingham
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Jay Stansfield28%
Jordan James17%
Juninho Bacuna16%
Koji Miyoshi14%
Siriki Dembélé12%
Lukas Jutkiewicz11%
Andre Dozzell10%
Gary Gardner6%
Seung-Ho Paik6%
Scott Hogan4%
Ivan Šunjić3%
Dion Sanderson3%
Oliver Burke0%
Emanuel Aiwu0%
Keshi Anderson0%
John Ruddy0%
Kevin Long0%
Alex Pritchard0%
Tyler Roberts0%
Lee Buchanan0%
Marc Roberts0%
Krystian Bielik0%
Ethan Laird0%
Cody Drameh0%
Emmanuel Longelo0%
George Hall0%
Romelle Donovan0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Krystian Bielik33%
Ivan Šunjić31%
Ethan Laird28%
Jordan James24%
Emmanuel Longelo24%
Jay Stansfield23%
Lee Buchanan22%
Juninho Bacuna18%
Kevin Long18%
Emanuel Aiwu17%
Siriki Dembélé12%
Tyler Roberts12%
Koji Miyoshi12%
Keshi Anderson10%
Andre Dozzell10%
Cody Drameh7%
Gary Gardner6%
Seung-Ho Paik6%
Dion Sanderson5%
John Ruddy5%
Scott Hogan4%
Lukas Jutkiewicz4%
Oliver Burke0%
Alex Pritchard0%
Marc Roberts0%
George Hall0%
Romelle Donovan0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Koji Miyoshi14%
Juninho Bacuna11%
Alex Pritchard11%
Cody Drameh11%
Keshi Anderson10%
Ivan Šunjić8%
Scott Hogan8%
Tyler Roberts6%
Emmanuel Longelo6%
Jay Stansfield5%
Ethan Laird4%
Lukas Jutkiewicz4%
Siriki Dembélé3%
Oliver Burke0%
Seung-Ho Paik0%
Emanuel Aiwu0%
John Ruddy0%
Kevin Long0%
Lee Buchanan0%
Marc Roberts0%
Gary Gardner0%
Andre Dozzell0%
Krystian Bielik0%
Dion Sanderson0%
George Hall0%
Jordan James0%
Romelle Donovan0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Juninho Bacuna18%
Jay Stansfield16%
Siriki Dembélé9%
Marc Roberts7%
Koji Miyoshi5%
Scott Hogan4%
Ivan Šunjić3%
Krystian Bielik3%
Jordan James2%
Oliver Burke0%
Seung-Ho Paik0%
Emanuel Aiwu0%
Keshi Anderson0%
John Ruddy0%
Kevin Long0%
Alex Pritchard0%
Tyler Roberts0%
Lee Buchanan0%
Gary Gardner0%
Lukas Jutkiewicz0%
Andre Dozzell0%
Dion Sanderson0%
Ethan Laird0%
Cody Drameh0%
Emmanuel Longelo0%
George Hall0%
Romelle Donovan0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
LEE (27)
€427m
SUN (30)
€392m
IPS (31)
€280m
COV (27)
€237m
SOU (30)
€205m
MID (29)
€142m
NOR (34)
€107m
HUL (27)
€105m
BIR (26)
€93m
SWA (27)
€91m
WAT (22)
€88m
MIL (29)
€85m
STK (25)
€79m
QPR (28)
€71m
LEI (22)
€69m
BRC (25)
€66m
WBA (22)
€52m
PRE (20)
€43m
BLB (27)
€36m
CAR (25)
€29m
SHW (24)
€21m
HUD (26)
€16m
PLY (25)
€13m
ROT (19)
€5m
Swansea's squad is €2m less valuable than Birmingham's (€91m vs €93m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
LEE (11)
€166m
SUN (9)
€157m
IPS (11)
€130m
COV (8)
€85m
MID (12)
€74m
SOU (10)
€72m
SWA (13)
€56m
NOR (10)
€46m
BIR (9)
€46m
STK (8)
€35m
MIL (10)
€30m
QPR (11)
€29m
BRC (8)
€29m
WAT (6)
€28m
HUL (7)
€22m
LEI (7)
€20m
PRE (6)
€17m
CAR (12)
€15m
BLB (8)
€15m
WBA (7)
€15m
SHW (6)
€7m
PLY (8)
€4m
HUD (7)
€4m
ROT (6)
€2m
Swansea's attack is €10m more valuable than Birmingham's (€56m vs €46m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SUN (6)
€110m
LEE (5)
€98m
IPS (7)
€66m
SOU (5)
€53m
COV (6)
€52m
WAT (6)
€38m
NOR (11)
€31m
HUL (8)
€31m
MIL (8)
€29m
MID (5)
€27m
WBA (6)
€22m
BRC (6)
€19m
QPR (5)
€15m
LEI (4)
€13m
BIR (5)
€12m
STK (6)
€11m
SWA (4)
€9m
BLB (7)
€7m
SHW (5)
€6m
HUD (6)
€4m
CAR (3)
€4m
PRE (3)
€3m
PLY (6)
€3m
ROT (5)
€1m
Swansea's midfield is €3m less valuable than Birmingham's (€9m vs €12m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
LEE (11)
€163m
SUN (15)
€125m
COV (13)
€99m
IPS (13)
€85m
SOU (15)
€79m
HUL (12)
€52m
MID (12)
€41m
LEI (11)
€36m
BIR (12)
€35m
STK (11)
€32m
NOR (13)
€29m
QPR (12)
€27m
SWA (10)
€26m
MIL (11)
€25m
PRE (11)
€22m
WAT (10)
€22m
BRC (11)
€18m
WBA (9)
€15m
BLB (12)
€14m
CAR (10)
€10m
SHW (13)
€8m
HUD (13)
€8m
PLY (11)
€6m
ROT (8)
€2m
Swansea's defence is €9m less valuable than Birmingham's (€26m vs €35m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

6 previous meetings
0
SWA wins
3
Draws
3
BIR wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Swansea vs Birmingham · H/A from SWA
DateH/AGameScore
04/02/23HSWA Vs Birmingham3-4
08/11/22ABirmingham Vs SWA2-2
19/03/22HSWA Vs Birmingham0-0
23/10/21ABirmingham Vs SWA2-1
02/04/21ABirmingham Vs SWA1-0
19/09/20HSWA Vs Birmingham0-0

SwanseaSwansea

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
08/05/23HSWA Vs West Brom3-2
29/04/23AHull Vs SWA1-1
22/04/23ANorwich Vs SWA0-3
19/04/23HSWA Vs Preston4-2
15/04/23HSWA Vs Huddersfield1-0
10/04/23AWigan Vs SWA0-2
07/04/23HSWA Vs Coventry0-0
01/04/23ACardiff Vs SWA2-3
19/03/23HSWA Vs Bristol City2-0
14/03/23AMillwall Vs SWA2-1

BirminghamBirmingham

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
08/05/23HBIR Vs Sheffield United1-2
29/04/23ACoventry Vs BIR2-0
22/04/23HBIR Vs Blackpool0-1
18/04/23AMillwall Vs BIR0-1
15/04/23ASunderland Vs BIR2-1
10/04/23HBIR Vs Stoke0-0
07/04/23AReading Vs BIR1-1
01/04/23HBIR Vs Blackburn1-0
18/03/23AQPR Vs BIR0-1
14/03/23AWatford Vs BIR3-0

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Swansea
Swansea
England: Championship
Recent: 7 Wins / 2 Draws / 1 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWWWDW1.36
HomeWDWWW1.50
AwayLWWWD1.21
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %36%42%29%
AVG goals2.943.042.83
Over 1.5 %78%77%79%
Over 2.5 %56%58%54%
Over 3.5 %34%38%29%
Scored1.461.621.29
Conceded1.481.421.54
BTTS58%54%62%
Clean Sheet22%27%17%
Corners9.549.0010.12
Cards4.284.424.12
Birmingham
Birmingham
England: Championship
Recent: 3 Wins / 2 Draws / 5 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLWLLL1.10
HomeWWDLL1.12
AwayWDLWL1.08
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %28%28%28%
AVG goals2.422.202.64
Over 1.5 %70%68%72%
Over 2.5 %44%44%44%
Over 3.5 %18%16%20%
Scored1.041.081.00
Conceded1.381.121.64
BTTS50%48%52%
Clean Sheet28%32%24%
Corners9.8610.928.80
Cards3.884.163.60

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1LeicesterLeicester4697
67%
2.1
8941+48
2.8
78%
59%
30%
9.8
52%
4.3
63%
21.1
46%
69
2013361.90.9
62%
2IpswichIpswich4696
61%
2.1
9257+35
3.2
80%
61%
43%
10.5
57%
3.9
65%
22.9
59%
280
13066852.01.2
53%
3LeedsLeeds4690
59%
2.0
8143+38
2.7
72%
54%
30%
10.5
54%
4.1
57%
22.6
54%
427
166981631.80.9
58%
4SouthamptonSouthampton4687
57%
1.9
8763+24
3.3
85%
65%
37%
11.5
65%
4.8
76%
22.1
50%
205
7253791.91.4
66%
5West BromWest Brom4675
46%
1.6
7047+23
2.5
76%
48%
26%
10.9
61%
3.5
39%
18.8
22%
52
1522151.51.0
52%
6NorwichNorwich4673
46%
1.6
7964+15
3.1
78%
61%
41%
10.5
57%
4.1
52%
21.3
43%
107
4631291.71.4
49%
7HullHull4670
41%
1.5
6860+8
2.8
76%
59%
33%
10.5
70%
4.3
65%
22.7
54%
105
2231521.51.3
56%
8MiddlesbroughMiddlesbrough4669
43%
1.5
7162+9
2.9
85%
52%
30%
11.0
65%
3.7
59%
21.4
41%
142
7427411.51.3
53%
9CoventryCoventry4664
37%
1.4
7059+11
2.8
85%
63%
26%
11.7
65%
4.3
61%
23.2
70%
237
8552991.51.3
51%
10PrestonPreston4663
39%
1.4
5667-11
2.7
78%
59%
22%
9.3
46%
3.6
52%
22.4
52%
43
173221.21.5
45%
11Bristol CityBristol City4662
37%
1.3
5351+2
2.3
61%
37%
22%
10.5
57%
3.2
41%
20.2
41%
66
2919181.21.1
48%
12CardiffCardiff4662
41%
1.3
5370-17
2.7
76%
52%
26%
9.5
48%
3.5
50%
19.8
33%
29
154101.21.5
45%
13MillwallMillwall4659
35%
1.3
4555-10
2.2
63%
37%
20%
10.2
50%
4.2
63%
22.2
57%
85
3029251.01.2
42%
14SwanseaSwansea4657
33%
1.2
5965-6
2.7
78%
57%
30%
10.4
61%
4.1
61%
22.6
57%
91
569261.31.4
55%
15WatfordWatford4656
28%
1.2
6161+0
2.7
67%
50%
33%
9.9
52%
4.2
57%
23.4
63%
88
2838221.31.3
52%
16SunderlandSunderland4656
35%
1.2
5254-2
2.3
63%
46%
22%
10.5
59%
4.9
72%
23.3
65%
392
1571101251.11.2
56%
17StokeStoke4656
33%
1.2
4960-11
2.4
67%
43%
24%
11.0
50%
4.3
70%
22.3
59%
79
3511321.11.3
51%
18QPRQPR4656
33%
1.2
4758-11
2.3
72%
46%
17%
11.0
57%
4.4
65%
23.0
63%
71
2915271.01.3
46%
19BlackburnBlackburn4653
30%
1.2
6074-14
2.9
76%
63%
37%
11.3
76%
4.1
61%
19.7
39%
36
157141.31.6
52%
20Sheffield WedsSheffield Weds4653
33%
1.2
4468-24
2.4
74%
46%
22%
10.6
59%
4.3
57%
22.5
54%
21
7681.01.5
43%
21PlymouthPlymouth4651
28%
1.1
5970-11
2.8
74%
54%
30%
12.5
80%
4.1
59%
21.8
57%
13
4361.31.5
45%
22BirminghamBirmingham4650
28%
1.1
5065-15
2.5
67%
46%
26%
10.6
59%
4.0
59%
23.3
70%
93
4612351.11.4
44%
23HuddersfieldHuddersfield4645
20%
1.0
4877-29
2.7
83%
46%
30%
11.0
63%
3.9
63%
22.8
59%
16
4481.01.7
40%
24RotherhamRotherham4627
11%
0.6
3789-52
2.7
80%
50%
24%
10.5
57%
3.2
35%
20.7
46%
5
2120.81.9
37%
England: Championship 2023/24 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full England: Championship stats & trends →

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