PythiaFootballPythiaFootballBETA Free Picks Fixtures League Stats Team Stats Player Stats Pro Picks PRO Research Head-to-Head Validation Pricing Log in
← Back

Swansea vs Millwall Result & Analysis

Date: 04/05/2024
Time: 12:30
Final 0-1
Swansea
Swansea
Vs
47%
29%
24%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Millwall
Millwall
England: Championship
Referee: G Eltringham

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Swansea win✗ Miss
47.4%
Avg Implied 46.8% · @ 2.03
Edge
+0.6%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
28.9%
Avg Implied 26.8% · @ 3.55
Edge
+2.1%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Millwall win✓ Hit
23.7%
Avg Implied 26.5% · @ 3.59
Edge
-2.7%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

SwanseaSwansea

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-411D01L20W11D01L02L30W10W40W22DA·WAT06/03A·BRI10/03H·CAR16/03A·SHE29/03H·QPR01/04A·MID06/04H·STO10/04H·ROT13/04A·HUD20/04A·NOR27/04
Avg total
2.2
Avg scored
1.4
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.301.531.211.291.381.75
vs Stronger (5)1.202.600.503.001.672.33
vs Similar (21)1.191.481.401.101.001.82
vs Weaker (4)2.000.501.000.503.000.50
Clean sheet %20% (-9pp vs league)
This opponent (Millwall) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

MillwallMillwall

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-311D10W02L11D12L01L10W31W10W10WA·BLA05/03H·BIR09/03A·LEE17/03H·WES29/03A·ROT01/04A·HUD06/04H·LEI09/04H·CAR13/04A·SUN20/04H·PLY27/04
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.971.201.001.130.931.27
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (27)1.001.191.001.141.001.23
vs Weaker (3)0.671.331.001.000.501.50
Clean sheet %33% (+5pp vs league)
This opponent (Swansea) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

7%14%20%27%10%019%127%221%313%46%54%6+
The model estimates around 2.4 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (27%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
71.2%
Under 1.5
28.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
44.0%
@ 1.85-7.4%
Under 2.5
56.0%
@ 1.96+7.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
22.9%
Under 3.5
77.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
49.1%
No
50.9%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
13.7%
1-0
11.6%
0-0
10.0%
2-0
9.4%
2-1
9.1%
0-1 ✓
7.2%
1-2
6.0%
3-0
4.6%
Swansea goals ↓
Millwall goals →
01234
010.0%7.2%4.1%1.3%0.3%
112%14%6.0%2.0%0.5%
29.4%9.1%4.4%1.4%0.3%
34.6%4.5%2.2%0.7%0.2%
41.7%1.6%0.8%0.3%0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Swansea goals (down), columns = Millwall goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Leicester
2.11
Ipswich
2.09
Leeds
1.96
Southampton
1.89
West Brom
1.63
Norwich
1.59
Hull
1.52
Middlesbrough
1.50
Coventry
1.39
Preston
1.37
Bristol City
1.35
Cardiff
1.35
Millwall
1.28
Swansea
1.24
Watford
1.22
QPR
1.22
Sunderland
1.22
Stoke
1.22
Blackburn
1.15
Sheffield Weds
1.15
Plymouth
1.11
Birmingham
1.09
Huddersfield
0.98
Rotherham
0.59
Swansea is 0.04 points worse than Millwall in terms of average points per game (1.24 vs 1.28).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Ipswich
2.00
Leicester
1.93
Southampton
1.89
Leeds
1.76
Norwich
1.72
Middlesbrough
1.54
West Brom
1.52
Coventry
1.52
Hull
1.48
Watford
1.33
Blackburn
1.30
Swansea
1.28
Plymouth
1.28
Preston
1.22
Bristol City
1.15
Cardiff
1.15
Sunderland
1.13
Birmingham
1.09
Stoke
1.07
Huddersfield
1.04
QPR
1.02
Millwall
0.98
Sheffield Weds
0.96
Rotherham
0.80
Swansea is 0.30 goals better than Millwall in terms of goals scored per game (1.28 vs 0.98).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Leicester
0.89
Leeds
0.93
West Brom
1.02
Bristol City
1.11
Sunderland
1.17
Millwall
1.20
Ipswich
1.24
QPR
1.26
Coventry
1.28
Stoke
1.30
Hull
1.30
Watford
1.33
Middlesbrough
1.35
Southampton
1.37
Norwich
1.39
Swansea
1.41
Birmingham
1.41
Preston
1.46
Sheffield Weds
1.48
Plymouth
1.52
Cardiff
1.52
Blackburn
1.61
Huddersfield
1.67
Rotherham
1.93
Swansea is 0.22 goals worse than Millwall in terms of goals conceded per game (1.41 vs 1.20).

⏱️ Possession

Avg possession %
Southampton
66%
Leicester
62%
Leeds
58%
Hull
56%
Sunderland
56%
Swansea
55%
Ipswich
53%
Middlesbrough
53%
West Brom
52%
Watford
52%
Blackburn
52%
Coventry
51%
Stoke
51%
Norwich
49%
Bristol City
48%
QPR
46%
Cardiff
45%
Plymouth
45%
Preston
45%
Birmingham
44%
Sheffield Weds
43%
Millwall
42%
Huddersfield
40%
Rotherham
37%
Swansea is 13.1 percentage points better than Millwall in terms of average possession (55% vs 42%).

🎲 4. Props Analysis

SwanseaSwansea

For 6.3 · Against 5.0 · Total 11.3

🚩 Corners

180612741226647443105633918111281011715912A·NORA·HUDH·ROTH·STOA·MIDH·QPRA·SHEH·CARA·BRIA·WAT
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.7 · Against 2.0 · Total 3.7

🟨 Cards

602312323322112112245356402336A·NORA·HUDH·ROTH·STOA·MIDH·QPRA·SHEH·CARA·BRIA·WAT
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 10.1 · Against 13.2 · Total 23.3

⚠️ Fouls

3207131015109151616169108101211414101820251931321918231828A·NORA·HUDH·ROTH·STOA·MIDH·QPRA·SHEH·CARA·BRIA·WAT
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

MillwallMillwall

For 5.0 · Against 7.0 · Total 12.0

🚩 Corners

180994116439310112642134424181510121313101586H·PLYA·SUNH·CARH·LEIA·HUDA·ROTH·WESA·LEEH·BIRA·BLA
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.0 · Against 1.7 · Total 3.7

🟨 Cards

8023313144212432110544823731H·PLYA·SUNH·CARH·LEIA·HUDA·ROTH·WESA·LEEH·BIRA·BLA
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 12.8 · Against 8.8 · Total 21.6

⚠️ Fouls

300989111071162171011992191710111017201717282118302721H·PLYA·SUNH·CARH·LEIA·HUDA·ROTH·WESA·LEEH·BIRA·BLA
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

SwanseaSwansea

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)10.210.110.24.14.14.122.722.622.8
vs Stronger (6)11.010.711.33.74.03.322.321.323.3
vs Similar (39)9.69.49.74.14.14.223.023.222.9
vs Weaker (5)13.813.714.04.64.74.521.020.721.5
% over line56%56%56%58%60%56%58%60%56%
% under line44%44%44%42%40%44%42%40%44%
This opponent (Millwall) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

MillwallMillwall

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)10.110.210.14.03.84.322.021.822.3
vs Stronger (0)---------
vs Similar (44)10.210.59.94.14.04.221.721.422.1
vs Weaker (6)9.56.511.03.82.04.824.526.023.8
% over line50%50%50%58%58%58%54%62%46%
% under line50%50%50%42%42%42%46%38%54%
This opponent (Swansea) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

🚩 Total Corners

Match total corners / game
Plymouth
12.1
Southampton
11.5
Coventry
11.4
Blackburn
11.2
Huddersfield
11.2
Middlesbrough
11.0
QPR
10.9
Stoke
10.9
West Brom
10.7
Birmingham
10.7
Leeds
10.7
Norwich
10.6
Sunderland
10.6
Rotherham
10.5
Bristol City
10.4
Ipswich
10.4
Sheffield Weds
10.4
Hull
10.4
Swansea
10.2
Millwall
10.1
Watford
10.1
Leicester
9.7
Cardiff
9.6
Preston
9.3

🟨 Total Cards

Match total cards / game
Sunderland
4.9
Southampton
4.6
QPR
4.4
Stoke
4.3
Watford
4.3
Coventry
4.3
Sheffield Weds
4.3
Leicester
4.2
Hull
4.2
Swansea
4.1
Blackburn
4.1
Millwall
4.0
Plymouth
4.0
Leeds
4.0
Norwich
4.0
Ipswich
4.0
Huddersfield
3.9
Birmingham
3.8
Middlesbrough
3.7
Preston
3.7
West Brom
3.6
Cardiff
3.5
Bristol City
3.3
Rotherham
3.2

⚠️ Total Fouls

Match total fouls / game
Watford
23.6
Sunderland
23.4
Birmingham
23.2
Coventry
23.0
Ipswich
22.8
Swansea
22.7
Stoke
22.6
Huddersfield
22.6
Hull
22.5
QPR
22.5
Sheffield Weds
22.3
Preston
22.2
Leeds
22.1
Millwall
22.0
Plymouth
21.8
Southampton
21.7
Middlesbrough
21.5
Leicester
21.4
Norwich
21.2
Rotherham
20.9
Bristol City
20.2
Blackburn
19.9
Cardiff
19.7
West Brom
19.0
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Under
Over 9.5
36.2%
Under 9.5
63.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
61.5%
Under 3.5
38.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Under
Over 21.5
50.1%
Under 21.5
49.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

SwanseaSwansea

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-210W00D10W01L00D01L10W00D00D12LA·WAT06/03A·BRI10/03H·CAR16/03A·SHE29/03H·QPR01/04A·MID06/04H·STO10/04H·ROT13/04A·HUD20/04A·NOR27/04
Avg total
0.8
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.600.770.570.790.620.75
vs Stronger (5)1.001.800.502.501.331.33
vs Similar (21)0.570.620.700.500.450.73
vs Weaker (4)0.250.250.000.500.500.00
Clean sheet %50% (+21pp vs league)
This opponent (Millwall) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

MillwallMillwall

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D00D01L10W00D00D00D21W00D00DA·BLA05/03H·BIR09/03A·LEE17/03H·WES29/03A·ROT01/04A·HUD06/04H·LEI09/04H·CAR13/04A·SUN20/04H·PLY27/04
Avg total
0.5
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.2
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.500.530.600.600.400.47
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (27)0.560.590.640.640.460.54
vs Weaker (3)0.000.000.000.000.000.00
Clean sheet %63% (+35pp vs league)
This opponent (Swansea) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Swansea over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Swansea over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Swansea over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Millwall over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Millwall over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Millwall over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

SwanseaSwansea

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-401L01L10W10W01L01L20W10W40W10WA·WAT06/03A·BRI10/03H·CAR16/03A·SHE29/03H·QPR01/04A·MID06/04H·STO10/04H·ROT13/04A·HUD20/04A·NOR27/04
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.700.770.640.500.751.00
vs Stronger (5)0.200.800.000.500.331.00
vs Similar (21)0.620.860.700.600.551.09
vs Weaker (4)1.750.251.000.002.500.50
Clean sheet %40% (+11pp vs league)
This opponent (Millwall) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

MillwallMillwall

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-211D10W01L01L12L01L10W10W10W10WA·BLA05/03H·BIR09/03A·LEE17/03H·WES29/03A·ROT01/04A·HUD06/04H·LEI09/04H·CAR13/04A·SUN20/04H·PLY27/04
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.470.670.400.530.530.80
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (27)0.440.590.360.500.540.69
vs Weaker (3)0.671.331.001.000.501.50
Clean sheet %53% (+25pp vs league)
This opponent (Swansea) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Swansea over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Swansea over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Swansea over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Millwall over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Millwall over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Millwall over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Under 11.5 corners83.8%-------✓ Hit
Under 25.5 fouls79.7%-------✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards79.7%-------✓ Hit
Under 3.577.1%-------✓ Hit
Under 10.5 corners75.0%-------✓ Hit
Under 5.5 cards74.4%-------✓ Hit
Over 1.571.2%-------✗ Miss

🎽 13. Player market rates

Swansea
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Jamal Lowe26%
Jerry Yates19%
Josh Ginnelly17%
Liam Cullen16%
Jamie Paterson14%
Ronald11%
Joe Allen11%
Liam Walsh10%
Mykola Kukharevych10%
Charlie Patino9%
Matt Grimes9%
Harry Darling8%
Harrison Ashby8%
Josh Key7%
Bashir Humphreys4%
Nathan Wood4%
Oliver Cooper3%
Jay Fulton2%
Joël Piroe0%
Yannick Bolasie0%
Kyle Naughton0%
Josh Tymon0%
Kristian Pedersen0%
Przemysław Płacheta0%
Ben Cabango0%
Carl Rushworth0%
Azeem Abdulai0%
Aimar Govea0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Joe Allen26%
Harry Darling24%
Ben Cabango23%
Josh Tymon22%
Liam Cullen20%
Nathan Wood19%
Jamie Paterson18%
Josh Ginnelly17%
Liam Walsh15%
Oliver Cooper15%
Jamal Lowe14%
Azeem Abdulai14%
Jay Fulton14%
Kyle Naughton13%
Matt Grimes11%
Yannick Bolasie10%
Bashir Humphreys8%
Harrison Ashby8%
Charlie Patino6%
Jerry Yates5%
Josh Key3%
Carl Rushworth2%
Joël Piroe0%
Kristian Pedersen0%
Przemysław Płacheta0%
Ronald0%
Mykola Kukharevych0%
Aimar Govea0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Azeem Abdulai14%
Jamie Paterson14%
Josh Tymon12%
Charlie Patino12%
Liam Cullen11%
Matt Grimes11%
Jamal Lowe9%
Harrison Ashby8%
Kyle Naughton7%
Oliver Cooper6%
Harry Darling5%
Joe Allen5%
Josh Key3%
Ben Cabango3%
Jerry Yates2%
Joël Piroe0%
Yannick Bolasie0%
Nathan Wood0%
Liam Walsh0%
Jay Fulton0%
Josh Ginnelly0%
Kristian Pedersen0%
Przemysław Płacheta0%
Ronald0%
Bashir Humphreys0%
Mykola Kukharevych0%
Carl Rushworth0%
Aimar Govea0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Joël Piroe67%
Yannick Bolasie20%
Harry Darling13%
Liam Cullen11%
Ronald11%
Przemysław Płacheta10%
Jamie Paterson7%
Jerry Yates5%
Jamal Lowe3%
Matt Grimes2%
Josh Key0%
Nathan Wood0%
Liam Walsh0%
Kyle Naughton0%
Jay Fulton0%
Josh Ginnelly0%
Josh Tymon0%
Joe Allen0%
Kristian Pedersen0%
Ben Cabango0%
Oliver Cooper0%
Harrison Ashby0%
Bashir Humphreys0%
Mykola Kukharevych0%
Carl Rushworth0%
Charlie Patino0%
Azeem Abdulai0%
Aimar Govea0%
Millwall
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Kevin Nisbet19%
Zian Flemming15%
Michael Obafemi14%
Wes Harding12%
Tom Bradshaw12%
Duncan Watmore12%
Japhet Tanganga11%
Joe Bryan9%
Ryan Longman9%
Romain Esse8%
Shaun Hutchinson7%
Murray Wallace7%
George Saville5%
Brooke Norton-Cuffy5%
Aidomo Emakhu5%
Jake Cooper5%
Casper De Norre3%
Matija Šarkić0%
Ryan Leonard0%
Danny McNamara0%
Billy Mitchell0%
Bartosz Białkowski0%
George Honeyman0%
Allan Campbell0%
Adam Mayor0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
George Honeyman29%
George Saville28%
Ryan Leonard26%
Jake Cooper23%
Joe Bryan22%
Danny McNamara21%
Murray Wallace20%
Wes Harding17%
Japhet Tanganga17%
Zian Flemming15%
Michael Obafemi14%
Shaun Hutchinson14%
Ryan Longman14%
Billy Mitchell12%
Brooke Norton-Cuffy10%
Aidomo Emakhu10%
Casper De Norre9%
Duncan Watmore9%
Allan Campbell8%
Bartosz Białkowski7%
Matija Šarkić6%
Romain Esse4%
Kevin Nisbet4%
Tom Bradshaw3%
Adam Mayor0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Allan Campbell17%
Zian Flemming11%
George Saville10%
Brooke Norton-Cuffy10%
Tom Bradshaw9%
Ryan Longman9%
George Honeyman6%
Billy Mitchell6%
Aidomo Emakhu5%
Murray Wallace3%
Casper De Norre3%
Duncan Watmore3%
Ryan Leonard3%
Michael Obafemi0%
Joe Bryan0%
Matija Šarkić0%
Wes Harding0%
Jake Cooper0%
Shaun Hutchinson0%
Danny McNamara0%
Bartosz Białkowski0%
Kevin Nisbet0%
Japhet Tanganga0%
Adam Mayor0%
Romain Esse0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Zian Flemming13%
Tom Bradshaw9%
Duncan Watmore9%
Ryan Longman9%
Michael Obafemi7%
Jake Cooper7%
Wes Harding4%
Kevin Nisbet4%
George Saville2%
Casper De Norre0%
Joe Bryan0%
Matija Šarkić0%
Shaun Hutchinson0%
Murray Wallace0%
Ryan Leonard0%
Danny McNamara0%
Billy Mitchell0%
Bartosz Białkowski0%
George Honeyman0%
Allan Campbell0%
Japhet Tanganga0%
Aidomo Emakhu0%
Brooke Norton-Cuffy0%
Adam Mayor0%
Romain Esse0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
LEE (27)
€427m
SUN (30)
€392m
IPS (31)
€280m
COV (27)
€237m
SOU (30)
€205m
MID (29)
€142m
NOR (34)
€107m
HUL (27)
€105m
BIR (26)
€93m
SWA (27)
€91m
WAT (22)
€88m
MIL (29)
€85m
STK (25)
€79m
QPR (28)
€71m
LEI (22)
€69m
BRC (25)
€66m
WBA (22)
€52m
PRE (20)
€43m
BLB (27)
€36m
CAR (25)
€29m
SHW (24)
€21m
HUD (26)
€16m
PLY (25)
€13m
ROT (19)
€5m
Swansea's squad is €6m more valuable than Millwall's (€91m vs €85m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
LEE (11)
€166m
SUN (9)
€157m
IPS (11)
€130m
COV (8)
€85m
MID (12)
€74m
SOU (10)
€72m
SWA (13)
€56m
NOR (10)
€46m
BIR (9)
€46m
STK (8)
€35m
MIL (10)
€30m
QPR (11)
€29m
BRC (8)
€29m
WAT (6)
€28m
HUL (7)
€22m
LEI (7)
€20m
PRE (6)
€17m
CAR (12)
€15m
BLB (8)
€15m
WBA (7)
€15m
SHW (6)
€7m
PLY (8)
€4m
HUD (7)
€4m
ROT (6)
€2m
Swansea's attack is €26m more valuable than Millwall's (€56m vs €30m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SUN (6)
€110m
LEE (5)
€98m
IPS (7)
€66m
SOU (5)
€53m
COV (6)
€52m
WAT (6)
€38m
NOR (11)
€31m
HUL (8)
€31m
MIL (8)
€29m
MID (5)
€27m
WBA (6)
€22m
BRC (6)
€19m
QPR (5)
€15m
LEI (4)
€13m
BIR (5)
€12m
STK (6)
€11m
SWA (4)
€9m
BLB (7)
€7m
SHW (5)
€6m
HUD (6)
€4m
CAR (3)
€4m
PRE (3)
€3m
PLY (6)
€3m
ROT (5)
€1m
Swansea's midfield is €20m less valuable than Millwall's (€9m vs €29m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
LEE (11)
€163m
SUN (15)
€125m
COV (13)
€99m
IPS (13)
€85m
SOU (15)
€79m
HUL (12)
€52m
MID (12)
€41m
LEI (11)
€36m
BIR (12)
€35m
STK (11)
€32m
NOR (13)
€29m
QPR (12)
€27m
SWA (10)
€26m
MIL (11)
€25m
PRE (11)
€22m
WAT (10)
€22m
BRC (11)
€18m
WBA (9)
€15m
BLB (12)
€14m
CAR (10)
€10m
SHW (13)
€8m
HUD (13)
€8m
PLY (11)
€6m
ROT (8)
€2m
Swansea and Millwall have a similar defence value (both €26m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

7 previous meetings
4
SWA wins
2
Draws
1
MIL wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Swansea vs Millwall · H/A from SWA
DateH/AGameScore
30/09/23AMillwall Vs SWA0-3
14/03/23AMillwall Vs SWA2-1
16/08/22HSWA Vs Millwall2-2
05/04/22AMillwall Vs SWA0-1
15/09/21HSWA Vs Millwall0-0
10/04/21AMillwall Vs SWA0-3
03/10/20HSWA Vs Millwall2-1

SwanseaSwansea

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
27/04/24ANorwich Vs SWA2-2
20/04/24AHuddersfield Vs SWA0-4
13/04/24HSWA Vs Rotherham1-0
10/04/24HSWA Vs Stoke3-0
06/04/24AMiddlesbrough Vs SWA2-0
01/04/24HSWA Vs QPR0-1
29/03/24ASheffield Weds Vs SWA1-1
16/03/24HSWA Vs Cardiff2-0
10/03/24ABristol City Vs SWA1-0
06/03/24AWatford Vs SWA1-1

MillwallMillwall

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
27/04/24HMIL Vs Plymouth1-0
20/04/24ASunderland Vs MIL0-1
13/04/24HMIL Vs Cardiff3-1
09/04/24HMIL Vs Leicester1-0
06/04/24AHuddersfield Vs MIL1-0
01/04/24ARotherham Vs MIL2-1
29/03/24HMIL Vs West Brom1-1
17/03/24ALeeds Vs MIL2-0
09/03/24HMIL Vs Birmingham1-0
05/03/24ABlackburn Vs MIL1-1

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Swansea
Swansea
England: Championship
Recent: 4 Wins / 3 Draws / 3 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLWWWD1.40
HomeWWLWW1.52
AwayLDLWD1.28
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %38%44%32%
AVG goals2.802.603.00
Over 1.5 %80%72%88%
Over 2.5 %58%56%60%
Over 3.5 %32%24%40%
Scored1.421.361.48
Conceded1.381.241.52
BTTS60%56%64%
Clean Sheet24%28%20%
Corners10.1610.0810.24
Cards4.124.124.12
Millwall
Millwall
England: Championship
Recent: 5 Wins / 2 Draws / 3 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLWWWW1.24
HomeWDWWW1.35
AwayDLLLW1.12
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %34%38%29%
AVG goals2.342.352.33
Over 1.5 %66%65%67%
Over 2.5 %40%38%42%
Over 3.5 %22%19%25%
Scored1.061.041.08
Conceded1.281.311.25
BTTS42%35%50%
Clean Sheet32%35%29%
Corners10.1410.1510.12
Cards4.043.814.29

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1LeicesterLeicester4697
67%
2.1
8941+48
2.8
78%
59%
30%
9.8
52%
4.3
63%
21.1
46%
69
2013361.90.9
62%
2IpswichIpswich4696
61%
2.1
9257+35
3.2
80%
61%
43%
10.5
57%
3.9
65%
22.9
59%
280
13066852.01.2
53%
3LeedsLeeds4690
59%
2.0
8143+38
2.7
72%
54%
30%
10.5
54%
4.1
57%
22.6
54%
427
166981631.80.9
58%
4SouthamptonSouthampton4687
57%
1.9
8763+24
3.3
85%
65%
37%
11.5
65%
4.8
76%
22.1
50%
205
7253791.91.4
66%
5West BromWest Brom4675
46%
1.6
7047+23
2.5
76%
48%
26%
10.9
61%
3.5
39%
18.8
22%
52
1522151.51.0
52%
6NorwichNorwich4673
46%
1.6
7964+15
3.1
78%
61%
41%
10.5
57%
4.1
52%
21.3
43%
107
4631291.71.4
49%
7HullHull4670
41%
1.5
6860+8
2.8
76%
59%
33%
10.5
70%
4.3
65%
22.7
54%
105
2231521.51.3
56%
8MiddlesbroughMiddlesbrough4669
43%
1.5
7162+9
2.9
85%
52%
30%
11.0
65%
3.7
59%
21.4
41%
142
7427411.51.3
53%
9CoventryCoventry4664
37%
1.4
7059+11
2.8
85%
63%
26%
11.7
65%
4.3
61%
23.2
70%
237
8552991.51.3
51%
10PrestonPreston4663
39%
1.4
5667-11
2.7
78%
59%
22%
9.3
46%
3.6
52%
22.4
52%
43
173221.21.5
45%
11Bristol CityBristol City4662
37%
1.3
5351+2
2.3
61%
37%
22%
10.5
57%
3.2
41%
20.2
41%
66
2919181.21.1
48%
12CardiffCardiff4662
41%
1.3
5370-17
2.7
76%
52%
26%
9.5
48%
3.5
50%
19.8
33%
29
154101.21.5
45%
13MillwallMillwall4659
35%
1.3
4555-10
2.2
63%
37%
20%
10.2
50%
4.2
63%
22.2
57%
85
3029251.01.2
42%
14SwanseaSwansea4657
33%
1.2
5965-6
2.7
78%
57%
30%
10.4
61%
4.1
61%
22.6
57%
91
569261.31.4
55%
15WatfordWatford4656
28%
1.2
6161+0
2.7
67%
50%
33%
9.9
52%
4.2
57%
23.4
63%
88
2838221.31.3
52%
16SunderlandSunderland4656
35%
1.2
5254-2
2.3
63%
46%
22%
10.5
59%
4.9
72%
23.3
65%
392
1571101251.11.2
56%
17StokeStoke4656
33%
1.2
4960-11
2.4
67%
43%
24%
11.0
50%
4.3
70%
22.3
59%
79
3511321.11.3
51%
18QPRQPR4656
33%
1.2
4758-11
2.3
72%
46%
17%
11.0
57%
4.4
65%
23.0
63%
71
2915271.01.3
46%
19BlackburnBlackburn4653
30%
1.2
6074-14
2.9
76%
63%
37%
11.3
76%
4.1
61%
19.7
39%
36
157141.31.6
52%
20Sheffield WedsSheffield Weds4653
33%
1.2
4468-24
2.4
74%
46%
22%
10.6
59%
4.3
57%
22.5
54%
21
7681.01.5
43%
21PlymouthPlymouth4651
28%
1.1
5970-11
2.8
74%
54%
30%
12.5
80%
4.1
59%
21.8
57%
13
4361.31.5
45%
22BirminghamBirmingham4650
28%
1.1
5065-15
2.5
67%
46%
26%
10.6
59%
4.0
59%
23.3
70%
93
4612351.11.4
44%
23HuddersfieldHuddersfield4645
20%
1.0
4877-29
2.7
83%
46%
30%
11.0
63%
3.9
63%
22.8
59%
16
4481.01.7
40%
24RotherhamRotherham4627
11%
0.6
3789-52
2.7
80%
50%
24%
10.5
57%
3.2
35%
20.7
46%
5
2120.81.9
37%
England: Championship 2023/24 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full England: Championship stats & trends →

← all matches