Swansea’s recent 2-game winning streak has them looking sharp at home, yet Southampton’s away form shows a steady 1-1 draw before facing Birmingham. The model favours an away win, with a 53% chance of Southampton triumphing, 23% for a Swansea victory and 24% for a draw. The expected total of 3.2 goals points to a lively encounter, and the most likely scoreline is 1-1, carrying an 10.8% probability. Swansea typically scores 1.5 goals and concedes 1.33 against similar opposition, while Southampton averages 1.17 goals scored and 1.42 conceded on the road. The suggested picks include Over 1.5 goals at 84.2%, Over 19.5 fouls at 80.3%, Under 11.5 corners at 78.3%, Over 2.5 cards at 77.4% and Under 5.5 cards at 77.2%. These selections reflect the model’s view that the match will feature plenty of action and a competitive finish.
Results analysis
The model’s prediction proved spot on as Southampton secured a 1-3 win, extending their two-game winning streak after a 2-0 triumph over Watford. The pre-match favourite, “Away win”, was chosen with a 53% probability and the outcome matched the model’s call. The most likely scoreline of 1-1, with a 10.8% chance, was not reached, but the 1-2 outcome, at 9.7%, came close. The model’s selections performed admirably: Over 1.5 goals hit at 84.2%, Over 19.5 fouls at 80.3%, Under 11.5 corners at 78.3%, Over 2.5 cards at 77.4%, and Under 5.5 cards at 77.2%. All picks settled as predicted.
🎯 1. Model Analysis
Swansea win✗ Miss
23.2%
Avg Implied 18.6% · @ 5.12
Edge
+4.7%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
23.8%
Avg Implied 22.1% · @ 4.30
Edge
+1.7%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Southampton win✓ Hit
53.0%
Avg Implied 59.4% · @ 1.60
Edge
-6.4%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
Swansea
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.1
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
1.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.47
1.47
1.36
1.21
1.56
1.69
vs Stronger (3)
1.00
2.00
0.00
0.00
1.50
3.00
vs Similar (25)
1.52
1.44
1.50
1.33
1.54
1.54
vs Weaker (2)
1.50
1.00
1.00
1.00
2.00
1.00
Clean sheet %
20% (-9pp vs league)
This opponent (Southampton) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Southampton
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.6
Avg scored
2.2
Avg conceded
0.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.83
1.33
2.38
1.31
1.21
1.36
vs Stronger (1)
4.00
4.00
4.00
4.00
-
-
vs Similar (25)
1.72
1.32
2.23
1.23
1.17
1.42
vs Weaker (4)
2.00
0.75
2.50
0.50
1.50
1.00
Clean sheet %
27% (-2pp vs league)
This opponent (Swansea) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 3.2 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 3 (22%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
84.2%
Under 1.5
15.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
62.6%
@ 1.57+2.3%
Under 2.5
37.4%
@ 2.39-2.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
40.4%
Under 3.5
59.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
62.6%
No
37.4%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
10.8%
1-2
9.7%
0-2
7.7%
0-1
6.8%
1-3 ✓
6.4%
2-1
6.2%
2-2
6.1%
0-3
5.0%
Swansea goals ↓
Southampton goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
4.9%
6.8%
7.7%
5.0%
2.5%
1
4.0%
11%
9.7%
6.4%
3.1%
2
3.1%
6.2%
6.1%
4.0%
2.0%
3
1.3%
2.6%
2.6%
1.7%
0.8%
4
0.4%
0.8%
0.8%
0.5%
0.3%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Swansea goals (down), columns = Southampton goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Leicester
2.11
Ipswich
2.09
Leeds
1.96
Southampton
1.89
West Brom
1.63
Norwich
1.59
Hull
1.52
Middlesbrough
1.50
Coventry
1.39
Preston
1.37
Bristol City
1.35
Cardiff
1.35
Millwall
1.28
Swansea
1.24
Watford
1.22
QPR
1.22
Sunderland
1.22
Stoke
1.22
Blackburn
1.15
Sheffield Weds
1.15
Plymouth
1.11
Birmingham
1.09
Huddersfield
0.98
Rotherham
0.59
Swansea is 0.65 points worse than Southampton in terms of average points per game (1.24 vs 1.89).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Ipswich
2.00
Leicester
1.93
Southampton
1.89
Leeds
1.76
Norwich
1.72
Middlesbrough
1.54
West Brom
1.52
Coventry
1.52
Hull
1.48
Watford
1.33
Blackburn
1.30
Swansea
1.28
Plymouth
1.28
Preston
1.22
Bristol City
1.15
Cardiff
1.15
Sunderland
1.13
Birmingham
1.09
Stoke
1.07
Huddersfield
1.04
QPR
1.02
Millwall
0.98
Sheffield Weds
0.96
Rotherham
0.80
Swansea is 0.61 goals worse than Southampton in terms of goals scored per game (1.28 vs 1.89).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Leicester
0.89
Leeds
0.93
West Brom
1.02
Bristol City
1.11
Sunderland
1.17
Millwall
1.20
Ipswich
1.24
QPR
1.26
Coventry
1.28
Stoke
1.30
Hull
1.30
Watford
1.33
Middlesbrough
1.35
Southampton
1.37
Norwich
1.39
Swansea
1.41
Birmingham
1.41
Preston
1.46
Sheffield Weds
1.48
Plymouth
1.52
Cardiff
1.52
Blackburn
1.61
Huddersfield
1.67
Rotherham
1.93
Swansea is 0.04 goals worse than Southampton in terms of goals conceded per game (1.41 vs 1.37).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
Southampton
66%
Leicester
62%
Leeds
58%
Hull
56%
Sunderland
56%
Swansea
55%
Ipswich
53%
Middlesbrough
53%
West Brom
52%
Watford
52%
Blackburn
52%
Coventry
51%
Stoke
51%
Norwich
49%
Bristol City
48%
QPR
46%
Cardiff
45%
Plymouth
45%
Preston
45%
Birmingham
44%
Sheffield Weds
43%
Millwall
42%
Huddersfield
40%
Rotherham
37%
Swansea is 11.0 percentage points worse than Southampton in terms of average possession (55% vs 66%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Swansea
For 5.9 · Against 5.1 · Total 11.0
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.6 · Against 2.1 · Total 4.7
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 11.4 · Against 12.0 · Total 23.4
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Southampton
For 8.3 · Against 3.2 · Total 11.5
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.6 · Against 2.3 · Total 4.9
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 10.6 · Against 10.2 · Total 20.8
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Swansea
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.2
9.0
9.4
4.4
4.6
4.3
23.6
22.9
24.3
vs Stronger (4)
8.5
10.0
8.0
4.2
6.0
3.7
25.5
25.0
25.7
vs Similar (39)
8.9
8.5
9.4
4.4
4.5
4.3
23.2
22.4
24.1
vs Weaker (7)
11.0
11.5
10.3
4.7
4.5
5.0
24.6
24.8
24.3
% over line
42%
40%
44%
66%
68%
64%
62%
56%
68%
% under line
58%
60%
56%
34%
32%
36%
38%
44%
32%
This opponent (Southampton) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Southampton
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
10.7
10.1
11.4
4.6
4.5
4.7
22.5
22.0
23.1
vs Stronger (8)
10.6
9.5
11.8
3.9
2.2
5.5
22.6
19.8
25.5
vs Similar (38)
10.5
9.6
11.6
4.5
4.7
4.3
22.8
22.6
23.1
vs Weaker (4)
12.8
16.5
9.0
6.8
7.0
6.5
20.0
21.0
19.0
% over line
60%
54%
67%
64%
62%
67%
50%
50%
50%
% under line
40%
46%
33%
36%
38%
33%
50%
50%
50%
This opponent (Swansea) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Plymouth
11.9
Middlesbrough
11.4
Blackburn
11.4
Coventry
11.2
West Brom
11.0
Norwich
10.8
Southampton
10.7
QPR
10.6
Stoke
10.6
Bristol City
10.4
Huddersfield
10.4
Hull
10.3
Leeds
10.2
Rotherham
10.2
Birmingham
10.0
Watford
10.0
Sunderland
10.0
Preston
9.9
Ipswich
9.9
Cardiff
9.8
Leicester
9.7
Millwall
9.5
Sheffield Weds
9.4
Swansea
9.2
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Watford
4.8
Sunderland
4.7
Southampton
4.6
Swansea
4.4
QPR
4.3
Blackburn
4.3
Coventry
4.3
Stoke
4.2
Norwich
4.2
Leeds
4.1
Preston
4.1
Ipswich
4.1
Leicester
4.0
Plymouth
3.9
Hull
3.9
Millwall
3.8
Sheffield Weds
3.8
Birmingham
3.8
West Brom
3.7
Cardiff
3.7
Middlesbrough
3.6
Rotherham
3.5
Huddersfield
3.4
Bristol City
3.2
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Watford
24.1
Swansea
23.6
Sunderland
23.5
Stoke
23.1
QPR
22.9
Birmingham
22.8
Southampton
22.5
Coventry
22.2
Preston
22.2
Leeds
22.1
Sheffield Weds
22.0
Middlesbrough
21.8
Ipswich
21.7
Hull
21.7
Norwich
21.6
Millwall
21.4
Leicester
21.3
Plymouth
21.2
Huddersfield
20.9
Rotherham
20.5
Cardiff
20.0
Bristol City
19.7
West Brom
19.6
Blackburn
19.2
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Over
Over 9.5
43.9%
Under 9.5
56.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
58.3%
Under 3.5
41.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
66.3%
Under 21.5
33.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Swansea
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.67
0.57
0.57
0.50
0.75
0.62
vs Stronger (3)
0.67
1.33
0.00
0.00
1.00
2.00
vs Similar (25)
0.68
0.48
0.67
0.50
0.69
0.46
vs Weaker (2)
0.50
0.50
0.00
1.00
1.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
50% (+21pp vs league)
This opponent (Southampton) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Southampton
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.6
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.83
0.57
1.12
0.62
0.50
0.50
vs Stronger (1)
2.00
2.00
2.00
2.00
-
-
vs Similar (25)
0.76
0.60
1.08
0.62
0.42
0.58
vs Weaker (4)
1.00
0.00
1.00
0.00
1.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
70% (+41pp vs league)
This opponent (Swansea) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Swansea over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Swansea over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Swansea over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Southampton over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Southampton over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Southampton over/under 2.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Swansea
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.0
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
1.1
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.80
0.90
0.79
0.71
0.81
1.06
vs Stronger (3)
0.33
0.67
0.00
0.00
0.50
1.00
vs Similar (25)
0.84
0.96
0.83
0.83
0.85
1.08
vs Weaker (2)
1.00
0.50
1.00
0.00
1.00
1.00
Clean sheet %
40% (+11pp vs league)
This opponent (Southampton) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Southampton
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.0
Avg scored
1.6
Avg conceded
0.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.00
0.77
1.25
0.69
0.71
0.86
vs Stronger (1)
2.00
2.00
2.00
2.00
-
-
vs Similar (25)
0.96
0.72
1.15
0.62
0.75
0.83
vs Weaker (4)
1.00
0.75
1.50
0.50
0.50
1.00
Clean sheet %
37% (+8pp vs league)
This opponent (Swansea) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Swansea over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Swansea over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Swansea over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Southampton over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Southampton over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Southampton over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 1.5
84.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 19.5 fouls
80.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 11.5 corners
78.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards
77.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 5.5 cards
77.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Swansea
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Jamal Lowe26%
Jerry Yates19%
Josh Ginnelly17%
Liam Cullen16%
Jamie Paterson14%
Ronald11%
Joe Allen11%
Liam Walsh10%
Mykola Kukharevych10%
Charlie Patino9%
Matt Grimes9%
Harry Darling8%
Harrison Ashby8%
Josh Key7%
Bashir Humphreys4%
Nathan Wood4%
Oliver Cooper3%
Jay Fulton2%
Joël Piroe0%
Yannick Bolasie0%
Kyle Naughton0%
Josh Tymon0%
Kristian Pedersen0%
Przemysław Płacheta0%
Ben Cabango0%
Carl Rushworth0%
Azeem Abdulai0%
Aimar Govea0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Joe Allen26%
Harry Darling24%
Ben Cabango23%
Josh Tymon22%
Liam Cullen20%
Nathan Wood19%
Jamie Paterson18%
Josh Ginnelly17%
Liam Walsh15%
Oliver Cooper15%
Jamal Lowe14%
Azeem Abdulai14%
Jay Fulton14%
Kyle Naughton13%
Matt Grimes11%
Yannick Bolasie10%
Bashir Humphreys8%
Harrison Ashby8%
Charlie Patino6%
Jerry Yates5%
Josh Key3%
Carl Rushworth2%
Joël Piroe0%
Kristian Pedersen0%
Przemysław Płacheta0%
Ronald0%
Mykola Kukharevych0%
Aimar Govea0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Azeem Abdulai14%
Jamie Paterson14%
Josh Tymon12%
Charlie Patino12%
Liam Cullen11%
Matt Grimes11%
Jamal Lowe9%
Harrison Ashby8%
Kyle Naughton7%
Oliver Cooper6%
Harry Darling5%
Joe Allen5%
Josh Key3%
Ben Cabango3%
Jerry Yates2%
Joël Piroe0%
Yannick Bolasie0%
Nathan Wood0%
Liam Walsh0%
Jay Fulton0%
Josh Ginnelly0%
Kristian Pedersen0%
Przemysław Płacheta0%
Ronald0%
Bashir Humphreys0%
Mykola Kukharevych0%
Carl Rushworth0%
Aimar Govea0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Joël Piroe67%
Yannick Bolasie20%
Harry Darling13%
Liam Cullen11%
Ronald11%
Przemysław Płacheta10%
Jamie Paterson7%
Jerry Yates5%
Jamal Lowe3%
Matt Grimes2%
Josh Key0%
Nathan Wood0%
Liam Walsh0%
Kyle Naughton0%
Jay Fulton0%
Josh Ginnelly0%
Josh Tymon0%
Joe Allen0%
Kristian Pedersen0%
Ben Cabango0%
Oliver Cooper0%
Harrison Ashby0%
Bashir Humphreys0%
Mykola Kukharevych0%
Carl Rushworth0%
Charlie Patino0%
Azeem Abdulai0%
Aimar Govea0%
Southampton
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Adam Armstrong41%
Che Adams34%
Nathan Tella33%
Samuel Edozie18%
Will Smallbone15%
Carlos Alcaraz13%
Ryan Fraser12%
Stuart Armstrong12%
Joe Rothwell12%
Joe Aribo11%
Sékou Mara10%
David Brooks10%
Kyle Walker-Peters7%
Flynn Downes6%
Taylor Harwood-Bellis5%
Jan Bednarek4%
Alex McCarthy0%
Jack Stephens0%
Mason Holgate0%
Ryan Manning0%
James Bree0%
Ross Stewart0%
Gavin Bazunu0%
Kamaldeen Sulemana0%
Shea Charles0%
Samuel Amo-Ameyaw0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Nathan Tella67%
Flynn Downes31%
Jan Bednarek29%
Jack Stephens23%
Ryan Manning22%
Mason Holgate20%
Shea Charles18%
Will Smallbone17%
Carlos Alcaraz17%
Kamaldeen Sulemana16%
Joe Aribo16%
Che Adams15%
Ryan Fraser14%
Stuart Armstrong14%
Joe Rothwell12%
Taylor Harwood-Bellis12%
Adam Armstrong10%
David Brooks10%
Kyle Walker-Peters9%
Samuel Edozie6%
Sékou Mara3%
Gavin Bazunu2%
Alex McCarthy0%
James Bree0%
Ross Stewart0%
Samuel Amo-Ameyaw0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Nathan Tella33%
David Brooks25%
Adam Armstrong22%
Stuart Armstrong14%
Che Adams10%
Samuel Edozie9%
Flynn Downes8%
Kamaldeen Sulemana8%
Taylor Harwood-Bellis7%
Sékou Mara7%
Kyle Walker-Peters7%
Will Smallbone7%
James Bree5%
Ryan Fraser5%
Carlos Alcaraz4%
Jack Stephens4%
Joe Aribo3%
Ryan Manning2%
Jan Bednarek0%
Alex McCarthy0%
Mason Holgate0%
Joe Rothwell0%
Ross Stewart0%
Gavin Bazunu0%
Shea Charles0%
Samuel Amo-Ameyaw0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Adam Armstrong35%
Nathan Tella33%
Che Adams20%
Stuart Armstrong14%
Carlos Alcaraz13%
David Brooks10%
Ryan Fraser7%
Will Smallbone7%
Jan Bednarek2%
Kyle Walker-Peters0%
Alex McCarthy0%
Jack Stephens0%
Mason Holgate0%
Joe Rothwell0%
Ryan Manning0%
James Bree0%
Flynn Downes0%
Joe Aribo0%
Ross Stewart0%
Gavin Bazunu0%
Taylor Harwood-Bellis0%
Sékou Mara0%
Kamaldeen Sulemana0%
Samuel Edozie0%
Shea Charles0%
Samuel Amo-Ameyaw0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
LEE (27)
€427m
SUN (30)
€392m
IPS (31)
€280m
COV (27)
€237m
SOU (30)
€205m
MID (29)
€142m
NOR (34)
€107m
HUL (27)
€105m
BIR (26)
€93m
SWA (27)
€91m
WAT (22)
€88m
MIL (29)
€85m
STK (25)
€79m
QPR (28)
€71m
LEI (22)
€69m
BRC (25)
€66m
WBA (22)
€52m
PRE (20)
€43m
BLB (27)
€36m
CAR (25)
€29m
SHW (24)
€21m
HUD (26)
€16m
PLY (25)
€13m
ROT (19)
€5m
Swansea's squad is €114m less valuable than Southampton's (€91m vs €205m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
LEE (11)
€166m
SUN (9)
€157m
IPS (11)
€130m
COV (8)
€85m
MID (12)
€74m
SOU (10)
€72m
SWA (13)
€56m
NOR (10)
€46m
BIR (9)
€46m
STK (8)
€35m
MIL (10)
€30m
QPR (11)
€29m
BRC (8)
€29m
WAT (6)
€28m
HUL (7)
€22m
LEI (7)
€20m
PRE (6)
€17m
CAR (12)
€15m
BLB (8)
€15m
WBA (7)
€15m
SHW (6)
€7m
PLY (8)
€4m
HUD (7)
€4m
ROT (6)
€2m
Swansea's attack is €17m less valuable than Southampton's (€56m vs €72m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SUN (6)
€110m
LEE (5)
€98m
IPS (7)
€66m
SOU (5)
€53m
COV (6)
€52m
WAT (6)
€38m
NOR (11)
€31m
HUL (8)
€31m
MIL (8)
€29m
MID (5)
€27m
WBA (6)
€22m
BRC (6)
€19m
QPR (5)
€15m
LEI (4)
€13m
BIR (5)
€12m
STK (6)
€11m
SWA (4)
€9m
BLB (7)
€7m
SHW (5)
€6m
HUD (6)
€4m
CAR (3)
€4m
PRE (3)
€3m
PLY (6)
€3m
ROT (5)
€1m
Swansea's midfield is €44m less valuable than Southampton's (€9m vs €53m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
LEE (11)
€163m
SUN (15)
€125m
COV (13)
€99m
IPS (13)
€85m
SOU (15)
€79m
HUL (12)
€52m
MID (12)
€41m
LEI (11)
€36m
BIR (12)
€35m
STK (11)
€32m
NOR (13)
€29m
QPR (12)
€27m
SWA (10)
€26m
MIL (11)
€25m
PRE (11)
€22m
WAT (10)
€22m
BRC (11)
€18m
WBA (9)
€15m
BLB (12)
€14m
CAR (10)
€10m
SHW (13)
€8m
HUD (13)
€8m
PLY (11)
€6m
ROT (8)
€2m
Swansea's defence is €54m less valuable than Southampton's (€26m vs €79m).
England: Championship 2023/24 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full England: Championship stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
Leicester
Ipswich
Leeds
West Brom
Norwich
Hull
Middlesbrough
Coventry
Preston
Bristol City
Cardiff
Millwall
Watford
Sunderland
Stoke
QPR
Blackburn
Sheffield Weds
Plymouth
Birmingham
Huddersfield
Rotherham