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Swieqi United vs San Gwann Result & Analysis

Date: 23/04/2023
Time: 13:00
Final 2-0
Swieqi United
Swieqi United
Vs
49%
24%
26%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
San Gwann
San Gwann
Malta: Challenge League
Referee: -
1 Model Analysis2 Goal Analysis3 Team Strengths Analysis4 Props Analysis5 Double Chance6 Home & Away Over/Under7 Handicap8 Half Time Goals O/U9 Half Time Home & Away O/U10 Second Half Goals O/U11 Second Half Home & Away O/U
12 Top picks for this game14 Squad value15 Games History16 Overall Statistics17 League Table

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Swieqi United win✓ Hit
49.3%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
24.2%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
San Gwann win✗ Miss
26.5%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

Swieqi UnitedSwieqi United

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-422D20W21W03L30W10W21W00D20W40WH·FGU21/01A·VIT28/01H·MAR04/02A·ATT12/02H·MAR25/02A·QRE05/03H·MTA12/03A·ST.31/03H·MQA08/04A·LIJ15/04
Avg total
2.5
Avg scored
1.8
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.891.412.151.541.641.29
vs Stronger (14)1.711.071.601.001.781.11
vs Similar (10)2.201.803.002.001.401.60
vs Weaker (3)1.671.671.671.67--
Clean sheet %33% (+7pp vs league)
This opponent (San Gwann) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

San GwannSan Gwann

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-301L11D01L11D20W11D11D21W21W31WH·VIT21/01A·ATT29/01H·QRE05/02A·ST.11/02H·LIJ01/03A·FGU04/03H·MAR11/03A·MAR01/04H·MTA08/04A·MQA15/04
Avg total
2.2
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.221.591.151.461.291.71
vs Stronger (1)1.003.00--1.003.00
vs Similar (20)1.251.351.001.401.501.30
vs Weaker (6)1.172.171.671.670.672.67
Clean sheet %7% (-19pp vs league)
This opponent (Swieqi United) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%11%17%22%5%010%121%222%318%412%511%6+
The model estimates around 3.3 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 3 (22%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
84.8%
Under 1.5
15.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
63.5%
Under 2.5
36.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
41.4%
Under 3.5
58.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
64.4%
No
35.6%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
10.9%
2-1
9.4%
2-0 ✓
6.9%
1-2
6.7%
2-2
6.4%
1-0
6.2%
3-1
6.0%
0-0
4.8%
Swieqi United goals ↓
San Gwann goals →
01234
04.8%4.2%3.5%1.6%0.5%
16.2%11%6.7%3.1%1.0%
26.9%9.4%6.4%2.9%1.0%
34.4%6.0%4.1%1.9%0.6%
42.1%2.9%2.0%0.9%0.3%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Swieqi United goals (down), columns = San Gwann goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Sliema Wanderers
2.78
Naxxar Lions
2.22
Swieqi United
1.79
Zejtun Corinthians
1.74
Tarxien Rainbows
1.70
Fgura United
1.46
St. Andrews
1.43
Lija Athletic
1.39
Attard
1.32
Melita
1.26
Marsa
1.25
San Gwann
1.21
Zurrieq
1.19
Qrendi
1.11
Marsaskala
1.04
Mqabba
0.79
Vittoriosa Stars
0.79
Mtarfa
0.75
Swieqi United is 0.57 points better than San Gwann in terms of average points per game (1.79 vs 1.21).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Sliema Wanderers
2.44
Naxxar Lions
2.15
Tarxien Rainbows
2.04
Fgura United
2.04
Swieqi United
1.89
Zejtun Corinthians
1.89
Lija Athletic
1.82
Marsaskala
1.79
Melita
1.56
Marsa
1.43
Zurrieq
1.41
Attard
1.39
Qrendi
1.36
St. Andrews
1.32
San Gwann
1.18
Mqabba
1.04
Vittoriosa Stars
0.96
Mtarfa
0.75
Swieqi United is 0.71 goals better than San Gwann in terms of goals scored per game (1.89 vs 1.18).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Sliema Wanderers
0.52
Naxxar Lions
1.04
Tarxien Rainbows
1.19
Melita
1.33
Swieqi United
1.36
Fgura United
1.39
St. Andrews
1.43
Marsa
1.50
Mtarfa
1.61
San Gwann
1.61
Attard
1.61
Zejtun Corinthians
1.67
Qrendi
1.86
Lija Athletic
1.93
Mqabba
2.00
Marsaskala
2.04
Vittoriosa Stars
2.04
Zurrieq
2.22
Swieqi United is 0.25 goals better than San Gwann in terms of goals conceded per game (1.36 vs 1.61).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

Swieqi UnitedSwieqi United

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-220W00D11D02L00D10W00D00D00D20WA·NAX07/01A·VIT28/01H·MAR04/02A·ATT12/02H·MAR25/02A·QRE05/03H·MTA12/03A·ST.31/03H·MQA08/04A·LIJ15/04
Avg total
0.9
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.3
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.640.550.600.500.670.58
vs Stronger (11)0.730.550.000.671.000.50
vs Similar (9)0.440.560.800.400.000.75
vs Weaker (2)1.000.501.000.50--
Clean sheet %55% (+28pp vs league)
This opponent (San Gwann) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

San GwannSan Gwann

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-414L01L00D10W00D10W00D11D20W11DH·TAR22/12A·MAR08/01H·VIT21/01A·ATT29/01H·QRE05/02A·ST.11/02H·LIJ01/03H·MAR11/03H·MTA08/04A·MQA15/04
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.700.780.770.770.600.80
vs Stronger (1)1.003.00--1.003.00
vs Similar (19)0.530.680.500.800.560.56
vs Weaker (3)1.670.671.670.67--
Clean sheet %48% (+22pp vs league)
This opponent (Swieqi United) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
No half-time model prices for this fixture yet - the form above is the record.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Swieqi United over/under 0.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Swieqi United over/under 1.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Swieqi United over/under 2.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
San Gwann over/under 0.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
San Gwann over/under 1.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
San Gwann over/under 2.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

Swieqi UnitedSwieqi United

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-311D20W10W01L30W00D21W00D20W20WA·NAX07/01A·VIT28/01H·MAR04/02A·ATT12/02H·MAR25/02A·QRE05/03H·MTA12/03A·ST.31/03H·MQA08/04A·LIJ15/04
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
0.3
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.270.861.601.101.000.67
vs Stronger (11)1.090.361.330.331.000.38
vs Similar (9)1.671.442.201.601.001.25
vs Weaker (2)0.501.000.501.00--
Clean sheet %45% (+19pp vs league)
This opponent (San Gwann) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

San GwannSan Gwann

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D20W01L01L01L01L20W00D01L20WH·TAR22/12A·MAR08/01H·VIT21/01A·ATT29/01H·QRE05/02A·ST.11/02H·LIJ01/03H·MAR11/03H·MTA08/04A·MQA15/04
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.570.700.380.690.800.70
vs Stronger (1)0.000.00--0.000.00
vs Similar (19)0.680.680.500.600.890.78
vs Weaker (3)0.001.000.001.00--
Clean sheet %43% (+17pp vs league)
This opponent (Swieqi United) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
No second-half model prices for this fixture yet - the form above is the record.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Swieqi United over/under 0.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Swieqi United over/under 1.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Swieqi United over/under 2.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
San Gwann over/under 0.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
San Gwann over/under 1.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
San Gwann over/under 2.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 1.584.8%-------✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SW (25)
€7m
NL (16)
€1m
TR (8)
€1m
SU (2)
€0m
ZUR (1)
€0m
FU (1)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SW (11)
€3m
NL (4)
€0m
TR (2)
€0m
SU (2)
€0m
FU (1)
€0m
ZUR (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SW (4)
€2m
NL (5)
€0m
TR (2)
€0m
SU (0)
€0m
ZUR (0)
€0m
FU (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SW (10)
€2m
NL (7)
€1m
TR (4)
€0m
ZUR (1)
€0m
SU (0)
€0m
FU (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

1 previous meeting
1
SU wins
0
Draws
0
SG wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Swieqi United vs San Gwann · H/A from SU
DateH/AGameScore
13/12/22ASan Gwann Vs SU2-4

Swieqi UnitedSwieqi United

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
15/04/23ALija Athletic Vs SU0-4
08/04/23HSU Vs Mqabba2-0
31/03/23ASt. Andrews Vs SU0-0
12/03/23HSU Vs Mtarfa2-1
05/03/23AQrendi Vs SU0-1
25/02/23HSU Vs Marsa3-0
12/02/23AAttard Vs SU3-0
04/02/23HSU Vs Marsaskala2-1
28/01/23AVittoriosa Stars Vs SU0-2
21/01/23HSU Vs Fgura United2-2

San GwannSan Gwann

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
15/04/23AMqabba Vs SG1-3
08/04/23HSG Vs Mtarfa2-1
01/04/23AMarsa Vs SG1-2
11/03/23HSG Vs Marsaskala1-1
04/03/23AFgura United Vs SG1-1
01/03/23HSG Vs Lija Athletic2-0
11/02/23ASt. Andrews Vs SG1-1
05/02/23HSG Vs Qrendi0-1
29/01/23AAttard Vs SG1-1
21/01/23HSG Vs Vittoriosa Stars0-1

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Swieqi United
Swieqi United
Malta: Challenge League
Recent: 7 Wins / 2 Draws / 1 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWWDWW1.74
HomeDWWWW1.85
AwayWLWDW1.64
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %48%46%50%
AVG goals3.303.692.93
Over 1.5 %93%100%86%
Over 2.5 %63%62%64%
Over 3.5 %37%38%36%
Scored1.892.151.64
Conceded1.411.541.29
BTTS52%69%36%
Clean Sheet33%23%43%
Corners---
Cards---
San Gwann
San Gwann
Malta: Challenge League
Recent: 4 Wins / 4 Draws / 2 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDDWWW1.26
HomeLLWDW1.15
AwayDDDWW1.36
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %33%31%36%
AVG goals2.812.623.00
Over 1.5 %81%69%93%
Over 2.5 %52%38%64%
Over 3.5 %33%31%36%
Scored1.221.151.29
Conceded1.591.461.71
BTTS67%54%79%
Clean Sheet7%15%0%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1Sliema WanderersSliema Wanderers2775
89%
2.8
6614+52
3.0
78%
63%
37%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
7
3222.40.5
-
2Naxxar LionsNaxxar Lions2760
70%
2.2
5828+30
3.2
89%
67%
37%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0012.11.0
-
3Swieqi UnitedSwieqi United2850
50%
1.8
5338+15
3.2
93%
61%
36%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.91.4
-
4Zejtun CorinthiansZejtun Corinthians2747
56%
1.7
5145+6
3.6
89%
81%
48%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.91.7
-
5Tarxien RainbowsTarxien Rainbows2746
48%
1.7
5532+23
3.2
85%
67%
41%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0002.01.2
-
6Fgura UnitedFgura United2841
39%
1.5
5739+18
3.4
86%
61%
46%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.01.4
-
7St. AndrewsSt. Andrews2840
39%
1.4
3740-3
2.8
82%
46%
32%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.31.4
-
8Lija AthleticLija Athletic2839
39%
1.4
5154-3
3.8
86%
68%
54%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.81.9
-
9AttardAttard2837
36%
1.3
3945-6
3.0
75%
61%
43%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.41.6
-
10MarsaMarsa2835
32%
1.2
4042-2
2.9
86%
61%
39%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.41.5
-
11MelitaMelita2734
33%
1.3
4236+6
2.9
78%
56%
30%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.61.3
-
12San GwannSan Gwann2834
32%
1.2
3345-12
2.8
82%
50%
32%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.21.6
-
13ZurrieqZurrieq2732
37%
1.2
3860-22
3.6
85%
81%
48%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.42.2
-
14QrendiQrendi2831
29%
1.1
3852-14
3.2
75%
54%
43%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.41.9
-
15MarsaskalaMarsaskala2829
25%
1.0
5057-7
3.8
96%
82%
61%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.82.0
-
16MqabbaMqabba2822
21%
0.8
2956-27
3.0
71%
61%
29%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.02.0
-
17Vittoriosa StarsVittoriosa Stars2822
21%
0.8
2757-30
3.0
79%
61%
36%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.02.0
-
18MtarfaMtarfa2821
18%
0.8
2145-24
2.4
61%
50%
25%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.81.6
-
Malta: Challenge League 2022/23 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Malta: Challenge League stats & trends →

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